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"Is My 100% S&P 500 Portfolio Wrong?" | AMA #1 with Jesse - E81

May 22, 2024 / 37:43

This episode of the Best Interest Podcast features an Ask Me Anything format where host Jesse Kramer answers listener questions about personal finance and investing. Topics include retirement accounts, tax strategies, and financial planning for young adults.

Jesse addresses questions from listeners Andrew and Kenton regarding the concept of Coast Financial Independence and the importance of bridge accounts for early retirement. He explains how to balance contributions between retirement accounts and taxable brokerage accounts.

Justin asks about personal finance topics relevant to new parents, prompting Jesse to discuss household cash flow and insurance needs as he prepares for fatherhood.

Listener G questions the wisdom of holding a portfolio concentrated in large-cap stocks as he nears retirement. Jesse advises on the importance of diversification and the risks of relying solely on one asset class.

Whitney inquires about tax diversification strategies with 401k contributions. Jesse explains the potential for in-service rollovers and the significance of understanding current versus future tax rates.

TL;DR

Jesse answers listener questions on retirement accounts, tax strategies, and financial planning for young adults and new parents.

Video

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welcome to the best interest podcast
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where we believe Benjamin Franklin's
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advice that an investment in knowledge
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pays the best interest both in finances
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and in your life every episode teaches
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you personal finance and investing in
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simple terms now here's your host Jesse
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Kramer hello and welcome to episode 81
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of the best interest podcast my name is
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Jesse Kramer today is an ask me anything
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episode some of you who are listening
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only might not realize this but for the
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past month or so in My Weekly Newsletter
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which you can subscribe to for free at
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bestin interest. blog in the Weekly
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Newsletter I've been telling my readers
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hey I'm going to start doing ask me
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anything episodes so submit your
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questions financial planning personal
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finance Basics investing whatever it is
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submit your questions and every so often
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and you'll see the frequency who knows
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what the frequency will be in the future
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maybe once a quarter maybe a little more
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frequent than that but every so often
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I'm going to put out one of these
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episodes and ask me anything episode
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where I'm going to go through some of
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your questions live on the podcast and
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share some answers with you before we
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get to today's questions though I'm
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going to do a customary review of the
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week from Apple podcasts uh this is a
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five-star review from ging 50 who said
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Jesse took my call which I did and G
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cling says after listening to Jesse's
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podcast about the five golden rules I
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was interested when he spoke that most
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of his listeners are DIY people so I had
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some personal questions for him I
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emailed him and he asked me to call he
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spent over 30 minutes with me answering
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all my questions he sent me reading
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materials as well as he forward me names
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who could further help me I've heard him
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say several times on the podcast to
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reach out to him if you have questions
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and I was pleasantly surprised to
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realize this is true he is the real deal
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thanks Jesse well thank you G cing I was
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happy to help you and take your call
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listeners if I get inundated with
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requests for phone calls I suppose I'll
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have to change my system I'm not sure I
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have enough time to answer everybody
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questions via a personal 30-minute phone
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call but I do really like answering your
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questions hence this AMA episode so I
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hope this starts a virtuous cycle and
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the snowball grows and more and more of
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you submit your questions and then I get
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to answer more of them here on the best
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interest podcast so without further Ado
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let's dive into today's AMA okay first
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question from Andrew Andrew says Hey
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Jesse I wanted to shoot you a question
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for the AMA I'm about to turn 30 years
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old I have roughly 185 ,000 in
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retirement accounts and about $30,000 in
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taxable accounts assuming an 8% annual
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growth rate my retirement accounts could
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grow to $2.7 million without any
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additional contributions most would say
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this is Coast fi and we'll explain what
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that is later with a goal to retire
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early I understand the importance of a
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bridge account do you think it's better
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to give up the better tax treatment in
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the retirement accounts knowing I can't
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access them until I'm age 59 and A2 so
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giving up those retirement accounts
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accounts to instead fund the bridge
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account or should Andrew stay the course
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by maxing out his 401k and Roth IRA
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first and then only put remaining money
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into his taxable accounts very good
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question Andrew and actually I'm going
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to combine that with a second question
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which came from Kenton Kenton said good
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evening Jesse I'm about 27 my fiance and
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I are on track for retirement with our
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401ks and Roth IRAs but we aren't maxing
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them out I am hesitant to Max them out
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because I don't want to be quote unquote
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retirement Rich we already have started
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a brokerage account for future vehicles
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but what are your thoughts on increasing
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the amount to that bucket the The
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Brokerage bucket instead of retirement
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accounts in case opportunities arise
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between now and retirement best Kenton
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so both of these questions share a
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pretty similar tenor which is we have
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two young people 30 27 somewhere in that
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age range we have some young adults who
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are doing a really diligent job saving
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for the long run they're utilizing to
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some extent their 401ks their Roth IRA
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other tax advantaged retirement accounts
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but they have this realization that if
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all they do is fund retirement accounts
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they might be in a situation where all
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their money can't be easily touched
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until they're 59 a half and if they
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wanted to retire before then maybe they
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should be funding another bucket okay so
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we're going to dive into some of the
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details now first from Andrew's question
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the first question we're going to talk
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about what Coast fi is if you haven't
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heard of this term in a nutshell Coast
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fi or Coast Financial Independence as
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the name implies it implies some sort of
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coasting right taking your foot off the
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gas and just coasting for a while and
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it's this phenomena that occurs when
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someone's young they've saved a lot and
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they realize whoa I've saved so much
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that I could essentially never save
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another dollar I could depend on
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investment returns to the things that I
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already have saved and my accounts would
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grow over coming years and decades to a
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certain point where I'd actually reach
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most of my financial goals in theory you
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could save so much by age 35 and maybe
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you live a pretty Frugal lifestyle so
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you just take your foot off the gas you
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let that money grow from age 35 to 55
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and by the time you're 55 that money has
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compounded so much that you could just
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retire and in the meantime if you wanted
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to you could say go from some high
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stress job that you were working in your
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early years to save all this money when
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you were 35 and you could go take your
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foot off the gas go to a lower stress
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job switch careers altogether you don't
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really have to save anymore because
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you've reached that Coast fi point and
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so Andrew is saying that he thinks based
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on his math based on the roughly
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$215,000 he has saved and a reasonable
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8% annual growth rate that he's about
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Coast fi which great for you Andrew now
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Andrew talks about a bridge account and
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Kenton in our second question also
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talked about a bridge account something
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to that extent the idea there is let's
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say Andrew or Kenton they want to retire
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well before age 59 and A2 and we know
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that traditional accounts whether it's a
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401k or Roth IRA they're not supposed to
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be touched until age 59 and a half now
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the fire movement the financial
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Independence Movement there is a lot of
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really good material out there about
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things like 72t withdrawals Roth
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conversion ladders the rule of 55 all of
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these Concepts that I just described all
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those strange terms that I just used
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describe a larger concept that allow ows
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people to access their retirement money
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earlier usually there's a caveat or an
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asterisk associated with that but there
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are many ways that financially
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independent people or people who are
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hoping to be fire right financially
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independent and retire early there are
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many ways that those people are actually
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able to tap into their retirement
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accounts 401K Roth IRA well before the
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age of 59 and a half I'm not going to
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dive into all of the details right now
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Andrew and Kenton but I recommend you
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guys look into that but I I want to
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address the questions a little bit more
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head on now there are some scenarios for
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some people where the best advice is
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fill up your 401k first fill up your
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Roth IRA First full stop use those tax
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advantages as much as you can and only
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then if you have extra money to save
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should you utilize a taxable brokerage
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account but there are other situations
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where the best advice is hey as soon as
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you start putting dollars away into
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long-term investment accounts you should
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strike a balance between tax deferred
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accounts and traditional 401k and the
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after tax Roth IRA the taxable brokerage
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right from the start you want to find a
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balance between these dollars that are
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in these qualified accounts can't kind
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of touch them to 59 a half except you
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sort of can as I just described whereas
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the taxable account is totally flexible
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right you can put money in today you can
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let it grow for the long run but if you
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decide to change your mind in a couple
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years you can pull the money back out
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you might have to pay some capital gains
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taxes you might have to pay some taxes
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on dividends and interest along the way
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that is the penalty if you will or
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that's the difference between the
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qualified account where you have tax
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deferred growth which is fantastic
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versus the taxable account where you do
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not have tax deferred growth now there
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are a few general rules that I use for
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these situations for example the first
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one the less defined someone's long-term
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goals are the more likely I am to
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encourage them to first take advantage
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of their tax advantaged accounts now why
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well because each year you are allotted
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a certain amount of tax advantage
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savings and if you don't use that
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opportunity in that given year you lose
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it you know we all know maybe most of us
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know what's the the 2024 max out for a
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401k I think is
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23,500 $23,500 for an individual W2
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worker so if you don't fill up that
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$23,000
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$23,500 bucket in 2024 whatever you
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don't use you don't get to make up for
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it next year so if someone's goals are
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relatively undefined and I don't really
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know much else about them in other words
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if they're kind of saving in a vacuum
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and we don't know too much about your
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future plans I would rather use this
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year's tax advantages as much as I can
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rather than lose it but then there's
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another side of the coin another general
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rule that I use which is the more
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defined someone's long-term goals are
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the better we can plan out the future
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and the more likely I am to recommend
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taxable Savings in concert with tax
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advantaged savings so Kenton if I know
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for example that you want to retire at
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age 45 which for you is 18 years away
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then I'll know that you'll need some
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sort of strategy to bridge the gap from
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age 45 to age 59 that strategy can
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involve the the early withdrawal
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strategies like a Roth conversion ladder
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or the 72t but it should also probably
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involve you leaning on taxable accounts
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so if I know someone's long-term goals
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really well then I'm more likely to find
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a reason for them to start saving money
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today into that flexible taxable
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brokerage account and then there's one
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more general rule that I use for these
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kind of situations more income the more
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income someone is earning the more
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likely they should be utilizing a
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taxable account in some way and there
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are a few reasons why uh I mean first
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off it's easier for people with higher
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incomes to quickly fill up their tax
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advantaged buckets you know we already
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talked about
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$23,500 into a 401k $7,000 into a Roth
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IRA well if you're earning $300,000 a
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year you should relatively easily be
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able to fill up those two buckets and
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then you still might be saving and so
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Boom the taxable the flexible taxable
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brokerage makes a lot of sense there but
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in another way I mean that was just kind
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of basic arithmetic the the marginal
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dollar actually means less to higher
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earners so not only is it simple
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arithmetic from the fact that $1 is just
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a lower percentage of income if you're
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earning that much money but actually
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Danny Conan's behavioral research
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supports that idea too that the $1,000
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First doll we earn is far less
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meaningful than the first dollar we earn
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the millionth dollar we earn is far less
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meaningful than the thousandth dollar we
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earn and there's a reason when you go
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into a small business a small restaurant
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there's a reason that they frame the
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first dollar that they ever earned up on
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the wall it's because that dollar is
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really important to them and the the the
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millionth dollar you earn simply isn't
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that important anymore so for higher
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earners I'm a bit less concerned about
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optimizing each and every dollar in
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their financial ecosystem and I'm more
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concerned about giving them flexibility
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so essentially this whole conversation
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that we're having whether to use these
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qualified retirement accounts like a 41k
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or Roth IRA or not that whole
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conversation is about a trade-off
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between total assets and tax savings and
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flexibility now when you earn less and
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when I don't know as much about your
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future goals I want to focus more on
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total assets and tax savings but as you
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earn more and more or as I'm more aware
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of your total Financial ecosystem that's
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where I start to recommend focusing more
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on time flexibility and maybe we don't
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have to optimize each and every dollar
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If instead we can gain more time so
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Kenton and Andrew I hope that answered
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your question guys thank you for writing
00:12:11
in here's a quick ad and then we'll get
00:12:14
back to the show a few of you
00:12:16
occasionally inquire about two different
00:12:18
topics that are actually related the
00:12:20
first type of question seeks out details
00:12:22
about my professional life and the
00:12:23
wealth management firm that I work for
00:12:25
here in Rochester New York the second
00:12:28
type of question involves the best
00:12:29
interest which operates with no
00:12:31
advertising no pushy sales no pay walls
00:12:34
and the question is how can the best
00:12:35
interest stay afloat well to answer both
00:12:38
of those questions I want to point you
00:12:40
to episode 78 of the best interest
00:12:43
podcast I intentionally recorded episode
00:12:45
78 to shine light on those topics and
00:12:48
inform you how you can actually help the
00:12:50
best interest if you're so inclined so
00:12:53
if you've ever been curious about the
00:12:55
business of the best interest please go
00:12:57
listen or download episode 78 and let me
00:13:00
know what you think question number two
00:13:02
comes from Justin Justin writes in and
00:13:04
says as assumed to be dad which is true
00:13:07
not exactly sure when this episode will
00:13:09
publish but if you're listening to it
00:13:11
after June most likely I am a dad by
00:13:14
that point so the question is as assumed
00:13:15
to be dad Jesse is there a personal
00:13:17
finance topics for example 529 accounts
00:13:20
that you've really been learning more
00:13:21
about recently also are there any
00:13:23
Financial to-do items that you're
00:13:25
choosing to cross off now I'm curious to
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hear how becoming a parent is changing
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how you're managing your money yeah
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Justin absolutely terrific terrific
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question I'm going to answer you kind of
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have it's a kind of a two-parter
00:13:38
question but I'm going to answer it all
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at once there are some Financial to-do
00:13:41
items that we've been Crossing off ahead
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of time in fact going to into this year
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we earmarked a pretty significant amount
00:13:48
of our emergency fund or just our our
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savings our cash if you will for the
00:13:53
birth itself because we're not on a
00:13:57
platinum Cadillac Health Plan and so a
00:13:59
good amount of the birthing costs are
00:14:00
actually coming out of pocket and birth
00:14:02
is a very expensive thing but also just
00:14:03
there are all these ancillary baby costs
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as anyone with a baby can probably
00:14:08
attest to there's the crib and there's
00:14:10
clothing and there's diapers and there's
00:14:13
bottles there's Just Accessories Galore
00:14:16
there just so many little things car
00:14:17
seats bassinets and just anyone I think
00:14:20
many parents can relate to this and all
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this stuff's pretty expensive right I
00:14:24
don't know if there's a baby premium in
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the same way that there's a wedding
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premium there's just so much baby stuff
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that it's pretty expensive so Kelly and
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I intentionally going into this year we
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looked at our total cash savings as I
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think all of us should be doing on a
00:14:37
fairly regular basis you should be
00:14:39
looking at your total cash savings and
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understanding what's the purpose of
00:14:43
those dollars there certain of those
00:14:45
dollars are there purely as an emergency
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fund some of those dollars might be
00:14:48
there because you're planning on buying
00:14:50
a car in the next 12 months and it just
00:14:52
makes sense to hold them in cash until
00:14:53
you buy that car well for us because we
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knew this baby was coming around June we
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earmarked a certain number of dollars
00:15:00
specifically for those baby costs that
00:15:03
said probably the biggest Topic at least
00:15:06
in my opinion the biggest topic that
00:15:08
I've been thinking about is household
00:15:09
cash flow for example will we be using
00:15:12
Child Care daycare will my wife will
00:15:14
Kelly go part-time to work either way if
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we go down either of those paths we're
00:15:19
talking about either significantly
00:15:21
higher monthly expenses with child care
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or we're talking about significantly
00:15:26
lower household income if if one of us
00:15:28
go part-time to work we either we're
00:15:30
either going to be earning less or
00:15:32
spending more maybe even both and so
00:15:36
understanding how your monthly cash flow
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is changing how our monthly cash flow is
00:15:40
changing understanding that potentially
00:15:42
for a short period of time or depending
00:15:43
what you know we have different options
00:15:45
maybe we can actually operate at a
00:15:47
monthly loss for a short period of time
00:15:49
because we have the cash buffer behind
00:15:51
us to make up for that loss or perhaps
00:15:54
we tighten the belt in a couple areas
00:15:56
just to make sure that we're operating
00:15:57
at a a net neutral on a monthly basis
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because we know that some of that cash
00:16:01
flow is going to be changing so I think
00:16:03
that that's probably the biggest topic
00:16:05
on my mind at least and Kelly and I we
00:16:07
do a quarterly financial review together
00:16:09
I think that's something that most
00:16:10
families or most Partners should do
00:16:13
maybe it doesn't have to be quarterly
00:16:14
maybe it's once a year maybe it's every
00:16:16
six months but it's important to be on
00:16:18
the same page financially with your
00:16:19
partners and this is going to be no
00:16:21
different so when the baby's in that
00:16:22
first 3 six months of the baby being
00:16:24
around we're going to be paying
00:16:25
attention and just seeing how are our
00:16:28
finances changing changing how's our net
00:16:30
worth statement our balance sheet
00:16:31
changing and do we need to rethink our
00:16:34
future child raising techniques because
00:16:36
you know is our monthly cash flow
00:16:38
healthy enough to support what we hope
00:16:39
to do there uh a couple other things
00:16:41
that I think I'm thinking about that
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most parents should be thinking about I
00:16:45
think most parents should be thinking
00:16:46
about it insurance needs so especially
00:16:49
assuming we do go down to one paycheck
00:16:51
or one and a half paychecks that could
00:16:53
place an even greater Insurance need on
00:16:55
our family life insurance that is right
00:16:57
we're talking about term life insurance
00:16:59
here because now all of a sudden we have
00:17:01
a mortgage to pay off and we also have
00:17:04
18 to 22 years of child related
00:17:07
household outflows if I got hit by a bus
00:17:10
tomorrow I would want to make sure that
00:17:12
Kelly and and the child were in a good
00:17:13
place so insurance needs that's a big
00:17:15
one and that leads into just the kind of
00:17:17
the General Estate Planning guardianship
00:17:20
guardianship really is coming up for the
00:17:21
first time estate planning is more
00:17:23
serious than ever when you have a child
00:17:25
in your family again depending on when
00:17:27
this episode comes out out I'm recording
00:17:30
an episode with Andy Hill of marriage
00:17:32
kids and money Fame and marriage kids
00:17:35
and money if you haven't heard of it is
00:17:36
a terrific Financial podcast about
00:17:38
marriage kids and money and Andy and I
00:17:41
are going to go deep on a lot of the
00:17:42
financial topics that new parents face
00:17:45
so great question Justin I hope that was
00:17:47
a good answer for you next question
00:17:49
comes from g g says I'm close to 100%
00:17:53
large cap stocks in my portfolio and
00:17:55
it's worked great for me for quite a few
00:17:57
years now and as time has gone by I sold
00:18:00
more and more of my small cap my midcap
00:18:03
my International and I've gone all in on
00:18:05
large cap stocks and it's working it's
00:18:07
hard for me to see why this isn't a good
00:18:09
strategy going forward I'm close to
00:18:12
retirement but why should I change so G
00:18:15
thanks for the question since you and I
00:18:17
went back and forth via email about this
00:18:19
and I know a little bit about you g I'm
00:18:21
going to use a unique Western New York
00:18:23
analogy as part of my answer so imagine
00:18:25
I replaced the words large cap stocks in
00:18:28
your question with Kodak and let's say
00:18:30
it's 1985 so you're a person in 1985 and
00:18:33
you say I'm close in my portfolio to
00:18:35
being 100% in Kodak stock and it's
00:18:37
worked great for me for quite a few
00:18:38
years now as time has gone by I've sold
00:18:40
more and more of my other companies my
00:18:42
small midcap my International companies
00:18:44
my International stocks and I've gone
00:18:46
all in on Kodak and it's working it's
00:18:48
hard for me to see why this isn't a good
00:18:50
strategy going forward now my example
00:18:53
sounds a little bit crazy I know because
00:18:55
we're smart investors here we would
00:18:56
never go 100% into one single company
00:18:59
and of course I've intentionally
00:19:01
cherry-picked a company that we all know
00:19:03
went bankrupt but some of the underlying
00:19:05
principles of why that codak statement
00:19:08
is kind of crazy should ring true for
00:19:10
your portfolio G maybe not to the same
00:19:13
degree but the same underlying
00:19:15
principles are there you are going
00:19:17
further and further into one single
00:19:19
asset class large cap stocks so there no
00:19:22
bonds in your portfolio despite
00:19:24
approaching retirement granted I know as
00:19:27
we discussed G and and the listeners
00:19:28
don't know this G will be receiving a
00:19:30
pension of some sort and it's worth
00:19:32
knowing that a pension serves as fixed
00:19:34
income which should lessen G's need for
00:19:37
any Bonds in their portfolio but it's
00:19:40
still it's worth a second look to
00:19:42
understand I mean you have no other
00:19:43
diversifying assets outside of large cap
00:19:46
stocks you're all in on the US there's
00:19:48
no Geographic diversification there's no
00:19:50
International stocks for example if you
00:19:52
look at Market history and and when you
00:19:54
look at what someone might consider a
00:19:55
diversified or balanced portfolio a lot
00:19:58
of times you're going to see something
00:19:59
along the lines of a 7030 portfolio in
00:20:02
the stock portion meaning 70% US Stocks
00:20:05
30% International stocks maybe 6535
00:20:09
maybe even 6040 60% US Stocks 40%
00:20:12
International stocks and one of the
00:20:14
reasons why is because when you zoom out
00:20:16
which we need to do here when you zoom
00:20:18
out over Market history you would see
00:20:20
that the best risk adjusted Returns come
00:20:23
from that mix of us and international
00:20:25
stocks somewhere between 6040 and 7030
00:20:28
another thing G is that you're all in
00:20:31
large cap stocks you know no small caps
00:20:33
no uh mediumsized companies just the few
00:20:36
100 biggest US companies and nothing
00:20:39
else now it's far far far from the worst
00:20:42
asset allocation I've ever seen But I do
00:20:45
really think it needs some polishing
00:20:46
some pretty important polishing we
00:20:48
cannot and we should not say that the
00:20:51
recent past has been this one specific
00:20:53
way and therefore I'm going to assume
00:20:56
that the future will be that exact same
00:20:58
way or using specifics here you know the
00:21:00
recent past has been most beneficial for
00:21:02
investors in 100% large cap stocks and
00:21:06
therefore the future will also be most
00:21:08
beneficial for investors in large cap
00:21:10
stocks it could be that way but I highly
00:21:12
highly doubt it and I don't only doubt
00:21:14
it because it's you know it's not like
00:21:16
there's some randomization here that
00:21:18
it's like oh you rolled double sixes now
00:21:20
and what are the odds you rolled double
00:21:21
sixes again that's not it at all and yes
00:21:23
we do need to accept that fact that we
00:21:25
can't predict the future and we need to
00:21:27
accept that fact especially in investing
00:21:29
that the past does not dictate the
00:21:31
future but there's something even more
00:21:33
important G and I want to impart John
00:21:36
bogle's famous what he calls the iron
00:21:38
rule of investing and the iron rule of
00:21:41
investing is reversion to the mean
00:21:43
reversion to the mean mean meaning
00:21:45
average reversion meaning in time all
00:21:48
things tend to track back to the average
00:21:51
in investing no asset class can
00:21:54
outperform forever that's a big part of
00:21:56
what John bogal was saying asset classes
00:21:58
they could outperform for a year for a
00:22:00
few years maybe even for a decade but
00:22:02
the asset classes that tend to
00:22:04
outperform for a decade well they tend
00:22:06
to underperform the next decade and in
00:22:08
the long run an asset class that has a
00:22:10
similar risk profile to one another so
00:22:13
say domestic stocks and international
00:22:15
stocks they're both equities they have a
00:22:16
relatively similar risk profile to one
00:22:18
another they will tend to have a similar
00:22:20
reward profile to one another in the
00:22:23
long run meaning when their reward
00:22:25
profiles fall out of sync for a certain
00:22:27
period of time eventually they will
00:22:29
likely revert and we're coming off a
00:22:31
period to G's defense from 2009 to
00:22:35
basically today May of 2024 where US
00:22:39
Stocks have been crushing International
00:22:41
stocks specifically us large cap stocks
00:22:44
the S&P 500 has been one of if not the
00:22:46
best performing Equity asset classes for
00:22:49
the last 15 years and that's terrific
00:22:52
but what John Bogle has preached to us
00:22:54
and John Bogle is not the only one I
00:22:55
mean most people who who talk about
00:22:58
divers would agree with this idea the
00:23:00
idea is that nothing can outperform
00:23:02
forever I think I used that that term
00:23:04
before and the fact that large cap
00:23:06
stocks have been so good for the past 15
00:23:09
years I don't think we should abandon
00:23:10
them all together because we can't
00:23:12
predict the future but it also doesn't
00:23:14
mean that we should put all of our chips
00:23:16
into large cap stocks in fact if
00:23:18
anything it might be time to dial down
00:23:21
that risk diversification is the way we
00:23:24
don't know what the best performing
00:23:25
asset classes are going to be in the
00:23:27
next 6 months the next 6 years the next
00:23:29
60 years we're not exactly sure but
00:23:31
eventually all asset classes revert back
00:23:34
to the mean at least they have so far in
00:23:36
history again hard to tell what the
00:23:38
future will hold but this is where some
00:23:41
basic financial planning comes into play
00:23:43
for G now I would start G by developing
00:23:45
your net worth statement maybe you've
00:23:47
already done that and a 10-year
00:23:48
projected cash flow maybe you've already
00:23:50
done that that cash flow would if I were
00:23:53
looking at it it would help me
00:23:54
understand what your outbound cash needs
00:23:56
are from your portfolio in the short
00:23:58
term you know the next couple years the
00:24:00
medium-term and eventually in the long
00:24:01
term and I'd want to understand
00:24:03
questions about what you want to do with
00:24:05
your money over the rest of your life
00:24:07
and even what you hope to do with your
00:24:08
money after you pass away now all of
00:24:10
those types of input would then allow us
00:24:12
to to back into a more appropriate asset
00:24:15
class for you it might involve different
00:24:18
asset classes of of equities right
00:24:20
diversifying into different midcap small
00:24:22
cap International those kind of things
00:24:24
it might involve some bonds for some
00:24:26
fixed income it might involve some Al is
00:24:28
real estate whatever it may be without
00:24:30
knowing too much more of your your story
00:24:33
G I am pretty hesitant to to suggest
00:24:36
something like 100% large cap S&P 500
00:24:39
stocks I understand how well it has
00:24:41
worked for you for the past 15 years or
00:24:44
however long that's been your portfolio
00:24:45
design and one of the most challenging
00:24:48
things in investing is this thought
00:24:50
process that occurs when something goes
00:24:52
really really well for us in investing
00:24:54
and we go oh we figured it out let's put
00:24:56
more of our chips into that specific bet
00:24:58
oh amazing the S&P 500 has done so well
00:25:01
for me I'm going to put more there and
00:25:02
more there and more there and if there's
00:25:04
anything we can learn from investing
00:25:06
history from Market history from the
00:25:09
wisest people involved in investing that
00:25:11
can be a dangerous game Warren Buffett's
00:25:14
pretty good at it Warren Buffett is very
00:25:15
famous for saying when you find a good
00:25:17
investment you go all in but what Warren
00:25:20
Buffett is doing the way that he's able
00:25:22
to analyze and understand the models of
00:25:24
specific businesses right Warren
00:25:26
Buffett's very much a person who invests
00:25:28
in specific businesses and his analysis
00:25:31
techniques and his patience and his
00:25:33
mindset his temperament is what makes
00:25:35
him really unique he's not the only one
00:25:37
right many there are many individual
00:25:39
investors out there who have found great
00:25:41
success with similar tactics no offense
00:25:44
to anybody out there listening one thing
00:25:45
that those investors aren't doing is
00:25:47
writing in DIY emails to a podcast
00:25:50
saying hey I've got all my chips on this
00:25:52
bet tell me why I'm wrong the idea is if
00:25:55
you're here listening if you're like me
00:25:57
which is you're kind of a DIY maybe
00:25:59
you've got that little extra expertise
00:26:02
diversification is your friend it
00:26:04
reduces the range of potential outcomes
00:26:07
that you have and that that's really big
00:26:09
when it comes to financial planning if
00:26:11
you've already won the game so to speak
00:26:13
if you've put yourself in this great
00:26:14
position in terms of your asset size as
00:26:17
you go into retirement and all you want
00:26:18
to do is is live that successful
00:26:20
retirement you don't have to worry too
00:26:22
much about whether your portfolio is way
00:26:23
up or way down you need to reduce your
00:26:26
range of potential outcomes and the way
00:26:28
you do that is through diversification
00:26:30
the S&P 500 and maybe this will be my
00:26:32
last point cuz I know I'm kind of
00:26:33
beating it to death but the S&P 500 is
00:26:35
very capable of losing 20 to 40% over a
00:26:39
couple years it's also very capable of
00:26:40
going up 20 to 40% over a couple years
00:26:43
but one thing I would hate to see happen
00:26:44
to you g is to see this sudden shocking
00:26:48
reversion to the mean over the next six
00:26:50
or 12 or 18 months where the S&P 500
00:26:54
essentially starts to underperform the
00:26:56
rest of the world or stocks drastically
00:26:59
underperform bonds and you're sitting
00:27:02
there 100% into the S&P 500 and maybe
00:27:05
you lose 30% of your net worth over the
00:27:07
next 18 months if you hold for the long
00:27:10
run maybe most of that 30% drop Will
00:27:13
recover but it's going to be pretty hard
00:27:15
mentally to live through that and it's
00:27:18
going to be pretty hard mentally to live
00:27:19
through that knowing that you could have
00:27:20
been in a little bit more of a balanced
00:27:22
place so anyway that is the argument
00:27:24
that's one of many arguments for a
00:27:26
little bit of diversification a little a
00:27:28
little bit of balance remembering John
00:27:30
bogle's lesson of reversion to the mean
00:27:32
G since I know that we've had a
00:27:34
conversation before by all means feel
00:27:36
free to reach out to me and and we can
00:27:38
discuss it again but I hope that answer
00:27:40
helps you think about what you should be
00:27:42
doing moving forward here's a quick ad
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and then we'll get back to the show
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every week I send a quick free email to
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strings attached subscription at bestin
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interest. Blog the next question comes
00:28:35
in from Whitney Whitney says Hey Jesse
00:28:38
my husband's employer offers both a
00:28:40
traditional 401k and a Roth 401k with a
00:28:44
6% match he is interested in
00:28:46
contributing to both accounts for tax
00:28:48
diversification we are currently 30
00:28:50
years old but we plan to retire before
00:28:52
55 so we have another early retirement
00:28:54
question now a Roth IRA so not the 1ks
00:28:58
you listeners but a Roth IRA seems more
00:29:01
flexible since we can access
00:29:02
contributions without penalty before age
00:29:05
59 a half but then he misses out on his
00:29:08
401k match if Whitney's husband
00:29:10
contributes directly to an IRA there's
00:29:12
there's no employer match in an IRA so
00:29:14
Whitney's question is can a Roth 401k be
00:29:17
rolled over to a Roth IRA without
00:29:20
separating from the employer is that
00:29:22
something that could be done say once a
00:29:24
year thank you for all your hard work
00:29:26
well you're welcome Whitney thank you
00:29:27
for your question we're going to answer
00:29:29
a few different embedded questions wi
00:29:31
within your question Whitney but I'm
00:29:33
going to start directly with what you
00:29:34
asked me which is can a Roth 401k be
00:29:37
rolled over to a Roth IRA without
00:29:39
separating from the employer so some of
00:29:41
you listening might know this some of
00:29:42
you might not know this but typically in
00:29:45
in most 401K plans but not all 401K
00:29:48
plans the only way to roll over a 401k
00:29:52
to an IRA is if the employee in this
00:29:55
case Whitney's husband is no longer
00:29:58
working with the employer to whom the
00:30:00
401K is attached so I've shared with you
00:30:03
before right I was an aerospace engineer
00:30:04
at L3 Harris which is a very large
00:30:06
engineering firm National engineering
00:30:08
firm and the question is for you know if
00:30:10
L3 Harris has a typical 401K then the
00:30:13
only way I could roll that 401K money
00:30:16
over into an IRA was after I left the
00:30:19
company L3 Harris as long as I was an
00:30:22
employee there the 401K had to stay
00:30:24
there and now that that rule that idea
00:30:27
that your 401 has to stay with the
00:30:29
employer inside the 401K plan as long as
00:30:31
your employee that specifically is
00:30:33
written into each employer's individual
00:30:37
unique 401k plan now some employers
00:30:40
though they have a different rule or a
00:30:42
different set of rules written into
00:30:44
their 401k plan that allow something
00:30:46
called an inservice rollover and as the
00:30:49
name might imply as you might be able to
00:30:51
guess what that permits is that while
00:30:54
you're still in service at your employer
00:30:56
while you're still working you can
00:30:58
actually do rollovers to IRAs this is
00:31:01
very interesting for a number of reasons
00:31:03
for one it allows something called the
00:31:06
mega backdoor Ira I won't go into too
00:31:09
much detail there but essentially it
00:31:11
allows you to put away a lot of money
00:31:14
every year into a backdoor uh Ira into a
00:31:16
backdoor Roth IRA so so that's worth
00:31:19
understanding if especially if you're a
00:31:20
high earner you might want to look up
00:31:22
that Mega backdor Roth iray or we can
00:31:24
talk about it another time but more
00:31:26
specific to Whitney question Whitney I
00:31:29
would have your husband reach out to his
00:31:30
employer and for any of you listening if
00:31:32
this is something you're interested in
00:31:33
you can reach out to your employer and
00:31:35
you can ask them hey am I allowed to do
00:31:37
an inservice rollover from my 401k plan
00:31:40
if yes that's a pretty good thing and it
00:31:43
might open up some financial planning
00:31:44
doors for you that previously you
00:31:46
thought closed now I want to go to
00:31:48
another part of Whitney's question
00:31:50
though which is the traditional 401K
00:31:53
versus the Roth 401k a matching fund
00:31:56
from the employer in either case and the
00:31:58
husband being interested Whitney's
00:31:59
husband I should say being interested in
00:32:01
contributing to both accounts for tax
00:32:03
diversification now tax diversification
00:32:06
is certainly a smart thing it's
00:32:08
something that I do personally I
00:32:09
contribute as much as I can to my
00:32:11
traditional 401k and then I also
00:32:14
contribute to a Roth IRA well as long as
00:32:16
I can CU as you might know there are
00:32:18
some income limits to contributing to a
00:32:20
Roth IRA either way I I kind of want to
00:32:22
have money in both pots traditional and
00:32:24
rth and the reason why of course is
00:32:26
because in retirement we don't know
00:32:28
exactly what the tax code will look like
00:32:30
in that future time and it's good to
00:32:32
have some tax-free assets some tax
00:32:34
deferred assets and also some taxable
00:32:37
assets some Assets in a taxable
00:32:39
brokerage account because it it allows
00:32:41
us to play some games in any individual
00:32:44
year depending on what the federal tax
00:32:46
code looks like you know so and so gets
00:32:47
elected president taxes go up so and so
00:32:49
gets elected president taxes go down
00:32:52
depending on the tax scenario you might
00:32:53
say I'm G to pull extra for my
00:32:55
traditional account this year tax rates
00:32:57
are pretty low and I don't mind paying
00:32:59
low income tax in over these years so
00:33:01
I'm going to pull on my traditional
00:33:03
accounts versus other years you say oh
00:33:04
tax rates are pretty high I'm going to
00:33:06
Plum my Roth accounts because it's
00:33:07
taxfree anyway so I'm just going to
00:33:09
avoid those High tax rates altogether so
00:33:11
it is smart what you're talking about
00:33:13
withy or at least the logic is very
00:33:15
sound but I'm I'm going to point out one
00:33:17
potential thing for you and your husband
00:33:19
to think about Whitney or listeners for
00:33:20
you to think about and that is what is
00:33:23
your tax rate right now your total
00:33:25
household tax rate right now for versus
00:33:28
what do you think your tax rate will
00:33:29
look like when you retire Whitney you
00:33:31
and your husband you you you're 30 right
00:33:33
now you plan to retire before you're 55
00:33:36
ostensibly there going to be some years
00:33:38
in your early retirement when you're not
00:33:39
collecting Social Security you're no
00:33:41
longer collecting W2 income your total
00:33:43
income is going to be pretty low maybe
00:33:45
your only income those years is going to
00:33:47
be withdrawals from say a 72t or a Roth
00:33:51
conversions those are going to be the
00:33:52
only way that you're realizing income in
00:33:54
those years and your future income tax
00:33:56
rate in those years is going to be
00:33:57
pretty low whereas maybe right now
00:33:59
Whitney maybe you and your husband are
00:34:01
earning a great living and maybe you're
00:34:02
actually in a pretty high federal income
00:34:05
tax bracket right now maybe you're in
00:34:06
the 35% tax bracket right now Whitney
00:34:11
but in those early years of retirement
00:34:12
you're only going to be in the 12% tax
00:34:14
bracket so my question to you would be
00:34:17
since you have that difference in tax
00:34:20
brackets 35% today 12% in the future
00:34:23
might it make sense for you to maximize
00:34:26
your traditional accounts right now now
00:34:28
to save 35 cents on the dollar right now
00:34:31
knowing that in the future you're only
00:34:32
going to have to pay 12 cents on the
00:34:34
dollar in tax that might make sense by
00:34:37
splitting between traditional and Roth
00:34:39
right now in that hypothetical scenario
00:34:41
that I just painted for you and your
00:34:42
traditional dollars you're saving 35
00:34:44
cents on the dollar but in those Roth
00:34:46
dollars you're choosing to pay 35 cents
00:34:49
of tax on the dollar that you might be
00:34:51
able to save and in retirement sure
00:34:54
you're going to be able to pull on those
00:34:55
Roth dollars taxfree but you already
00:34:57
paid the $5 cents on the dollar today so
00:34:59
anyway it it's just something maybe you
00:35:01
and your husband have already thought
00:35:02
about it Whitney but for those listeners
00:35:04
who are considering some sort of tax
00:35:06
diversification strategy in their own
00:35:08
portfolio it is worth understanding why
00:35:10
are you doing it in the first place and
00:35:11
it's worth understanding what's your tax
00:35:13
rate today what might your tax rate be
00:35:15
in the future and this is just a big
00:35:17
part of tax planning in general are
00:35:19
there going to be specific years in the
00:35:20
future when you can likely pay much
00:35:23
lower tax rates and thus realize taxes
00:35:26
at that future time time instead of
00:35:28
realizing taxes today we've talked about
00:35:30
Roth conversions on this on the show
00:35:32
before and've written about Roth
00:35:33
conversions a lot on the blog and that's
00:35:35
all Roth conversions are the whole Roth
00:35:37
conversion logic is oh can I realize
00:35:40
some taxes today at a low tax rate
00:35:43
convert those dollars to Roth and then
00:35:45
avoid paying higher tax rates later
00:35:47
especially when we get to something like
00:35:48
rmd required minimum distribution age so
00:35:52
Whitney I know that was a lot that was
00:35:53
some food for thought the upshot the
00:35:56
summary is uh your husband should ask
00:35:58
his employer he should ask HR or maybe
00:36:00
they might just point him straight to
00:36:01
the 401K administrator if he's allowed
00:36:04
to do inservice rollovers it's worth
00:36:06
knowing either way even if he is allowed
00:36:08
to do inservice rollovers it's worth
00:36:11
asking yourselves how well you
00:36:13
understand your current and your future
00:36:14
tax rates and whether it's worth
00:36:17
contributing to that Roth 401k today in
00:36:20
the first place Andrew and Kenton and
00:36:23
Justin and G and Whitney thank you guys
00:36:26
so much for those terrific questions
00:36:28
please listeners keep them coming if you
00:36:30
enjoyed this AMA episode please shoot me
00:36:32
an email jessb bestin interest. blog let
00:36:34
me know or leave a review on Apple
00:36:36
podcast let me know and please send me
00:36:38
questions for future amas as long as you
00:36:41
guys enjoy this I'm going to make this a
00:36:43
regular Cadence on the show some fun AMA
00:36:45
episodes I find it pretty enjoyable to
00:36:47
think about and answer your questions
00:36:49
and so this is a win-win what do they
00:36:51
say rising tide lifts All Ships and we
00:36:53
are investing in knowledge together so
00:36:56
thank you all for
00:36:58
[Music]
00:36:59
listening thanks for tuning in to this
00:37:02
episode of the best interest podcast if
00:37:04
you have a question for Jesse to answer
00:37:06
on a future episode send him an email at
00:37:08
Jesse bestin interest. blog again that's
00:37:12
Jesse atbin interest. blog did you enjoy
00:37:15
the show subscribe rate and review the
00:37:18
podcast wherever you listen this helps
00:37:20
others find the show and invest in
00:37:22
knowledge themselves and we really
00:37:24
appreciate it we'll catch you on the
00:37:26
next episode of the the best interest
00:37:31
podcast the best interest podcast is a
00:37:34
personal podcast meant for education and
00:37:36
entertainment it should not be taken as
00:37:38
Financial advice and is not prescriptive
00:37:40
of your financial situation

Badges

This episode stands out for the following:

  • 60
    Best concept / idea

Episode Highlights

  • Ask Me Anything Episode
    Jesse answers listener questions on personal finance and investing.
    “I'm going to put out one of these episodes and ask me anything.”
    @ 00m 25s
    May 22, 2024
  • Listener Testimonial
    A listener shares their positive experience with Jesse's personal finance advice.
    “He spent over 30 minutes with me answering all my questions.”
    @ 01m 34s
    May 22, 2024
  • Understanding Coast FI
    Jesse explains the concept of Coast Financial Independence for young savers.
    “You could essentially never save another dollar and still reach your goals.”
    @ 04m 31s
    May 22, 2024
  • Reversion to the Mean
    John Bogle's iron rule of investing emphasizes that all asset classes tend to revert to average performance over time.
    “Nothing can outperform forever.”
    @ 23m 02s
    May 22, 2024
  • The Importance of Diversification
    Investing solely in large cap stocks can be risky, especially as retirement approaches. Diversification can help mitigate potential losses.
    “Diversification reduces the range of potential outcomes.”
    @ 26m 04s
    May 22, 2024
  • Tax Diversification Strategy
    Whitney's husband is considering contributing to both a traditional and Roth 401k for tax diversification, which is a smart move for future flexibility.
    “Tax diversification is certainly a smart thing.”
    @ 32m 06s
    May 22, 2024
  • Listener Engagement
    Listeners are encouraged to send in questions for future AMA episodes.
    “Please send me questions for future AMAs!”
    @ 36m 38s
    May 22, 2024
  • Podcast Appreciation
    Listeners are invited to subscribe, rate, and review the podcast to help others discover it.
    “This helps others find the show and invest in knowledge themselves.”
    @ 37m 15s
    May 22, 2024

Episode Quotes

Key Moments

  • Listener Engagement00:25
  • Coast FI Explained04:31
  • Insurance Needs16:57
  • Investment Strategy18:09
  • Kodak Analogy18:28
  • Tax Strategies35:40
  • AMA Invitation36:38
  • Educational Reminder37:34

Words per Minute Over Time

Vibes Breakdown

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