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Buffett's Blueprint - 8 Examples of Warren's Timeless Wisdom - E110

July 02, 2025 / 44:09

This episode covers Warren Buffett's investing philosophy, including long-term thinking, intrinsic value, margin of safety, and economic moats. Host Jesse Kramer discusses key principles from Buffett's career and how they apply to personal finance.

Jesse highlights the importance of long-term thinking in investing, emphasizing Buffett's belief that time is the investor's greatest ally. He shares Buffett's quote, "If you aren't willing to own a stock for 10 years, don't even think about owning it for 10 minutes," to illustrate this point.

The episode also addresses intrinsic value, which Buffett defines as the present value of future cash flows. Jesse explains Buffett's skepticism towards gold and Bitcoin, arguing that they lack intrinsic value as they do not produce cash flows.

Jesse discusses the concept of margin of safety, borrowed from Benjamin Graham, and how it protects investors from mistakes and bad luck. He emphasizes that successful investing is about minimizing losses rather than maximizing gains.

Finally, the episode touches on the significance of trust and reputation in business, highlighting Buffett's belief that integrity is crucial for long-term success. Jesse concludes by encouraging listeners to apply these principles to their own financial decisions.

TL;DR

Jesse Kramer discusses Warren Buffett's investing principles, focusing on long-term thinking, intrinsic value, and the importance of trust in business.

Video

00:00:00
Welcome to personal finance for
00:00:02
long-term investors, where we believe
00:00:04
Benjamin Franklin's advice that an
00:00:06
investment in knowledge pays the best
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interest both in finances and in your
00:00:10
life. Every episode teaches you personal
00:00:13
finance and long-term investing in
00:00:15
simple terms. Now, here's your host,
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Jesse Kramer. Hello and welcome to
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episode 110 of Personal Finance for
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Long-Term Investors. My name is Jesse
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Kramer. By day, I work for a fiduciary
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wealth management firm helping clients
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all over the country. For more details,
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you can go to bestinterest.blog/work.
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Link will be in the show notes. And by
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night, I write a blog called The Best
00:00:36
Interest, and I podcast here on personal
00:00:38
finance for long-term investors. I try
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to help busy professionals and retirees
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avoid costly mistakes and grow their
00:00:44
wealth. And I do so by simplifying
00:00:46
complex ideas about personal finance,
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from investing to taxes to retirement
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and beyond. And we have a fun and unique
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episode for you today. When Warren
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Buffett decided to announce his
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retirement from Berkshire Hathway this
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year, I penciled in an episode dedicated
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totally to Warren. If you read or if you
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listen to me enough, you'll know that
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he's not only one of my favorite
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investing minds, but his communication
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style, his emphasis on reputation and
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the actions we take, even his hokey
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small town, Midwestern style, all things
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that I really appreciate. And now, what
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I don't want today to be is simply to
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lob, you know, Warren Buffett quotes at
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you and and tell you why I like those
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quotes. That's not what we're going to
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do. Even though, yes, he is the most
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quotable investor of all time. Instead,
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I want to dive deeper. I want to go into
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I decided upon eight subject matter
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areas, many specific to investing, uh,
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where I believe Warren Buffett has added
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a huge amount of wisdom over the years.
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Eight topics where you'll be a better
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investor and maybe even a better person
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because you'll hear what Warren Buffett
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has to say. But first, let's do a review
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of the week. Marv8383
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left a five-star review on Apple Podcast
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and said, "You'll love it. Great show.
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Jesse has an amazing way of explaining
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concepts. Highly recommend." Marv,
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thanks so much for the kind words. And
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yes, I now have a a super soft batch of
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uh t-shirts specifically for the
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personal finance for long-term investors
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brand. They are no longer the best
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interest t-shirts. So, shoot me an
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email, Marv, and I will send one of
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those t-shirts your way. And now, let's
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get back to Uncle Warren Buffett. First,
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I want to talk about something near and
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dear to all of our hearts. The benefits
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of long-term thinking. At its core,
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Warren Buffett's investing philosophy is
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remarkably simple. Buy wonderful
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businesses at fair prices and hold them
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for forever. But wrapped in that
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simplicity is this commitment to
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patience and discipline. And the idea
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that time, not timing, but time, is the
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investor's greatest ally. Yes, it sounds
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so easy, but executing that philosophy
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through thick and thin throughout his
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whole career, that's the hard part. He
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taught that investing isn't about
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reacting to headlines or timing the
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market. It's about aligning with
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companies that produce real value over
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decades. You know, he famously said, "If
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you aren't willing to own a stock for 10
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years, don't even think about owning it
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for 10 minutes." That mindset pushes
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investors to think less like traders and
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to think more like owners, right? We are
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all owners. We own shares of businesses.
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You wouldn't buy a local farm or a local
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pizzeria to own it for just a month or
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even just to own it for a year. you
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would probably have a multi-year
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business plan in mind, maybe even a
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decade or an infinite business plan, an
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indefinite business plan in mind. And
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the same goes for owning stocks. Buffett
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also redefined what it means to quote
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unquote do nothing in our world that's
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kind of obsessed with action and
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optimization. He champions inactivity
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really as a strength. He has this famous
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quote where he said, "Leuthy bordering
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on sloth remains the cornerstone of our
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investment style." Yes, of course it's
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funny, but it's also this profound
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statement on allowing long-term
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compounding to do the heavy lifting. You
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only have to make a few good decisions
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and then you can let compounding of time
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take care of the rest. And then there's
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his temperament. Buffett showed that
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investing success isn't just about IQ or
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models. It's really about behavior.
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Granted, if you've heard Buffett talk,
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especially when the numbers are
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involved, yes, he also has a very
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impressive IQ. So, it kind of oozes out
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of them, I guess. But nevertheless, when
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the markets panic, long-term thinkers
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stay grounded. when other people chase
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fads, we stay the course. And Buffett
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proved that mental discipline and that
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emotional control are these durable
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competitive advantages. And we will come
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back to that phrase later. In doing all
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this, Buffett gave everyday investors
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like us a a northstar. His letters, his
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interviews, his examples provide not
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just market insight, but really some
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life guidance to think long term, to
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stay rational, to let the compounding of
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time do its quiet work. And it really is
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quiet work. You know, I'm a little over
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a decade into my personal investing
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timeline. And granted, it's been one
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heck of a decade to be invested in
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stocks, but man, there's some pretty
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quiet yet impressive growth that happens
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over a decade. Sometimes that quiet
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compounding actually gets pretty loud
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and impressive. Next, I want to talk
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about a a different and interesting
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Buffett ism. It's the circle of
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competence. Warren Buffett famously
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said, "Know your circle of competence
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and stay inside it." It's another one of
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those ideas that is quite simple. It's
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almost too easy to ignore. Kind of like
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eat your vegetables or or get enough
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sleep. But part of Buffett's genius lies
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in that simplicity. He's not trying to
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sound clever. He's just trying to stay
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effective. Your circle of competence is
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what you actually understand. You know,
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it's what you were competent in. It's
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not what you've skimmed through once on
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social media or what your buddy at the
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golf course ranted about. It's the stuff
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that you've dug into, you've studied and
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tested and internalized. It's the stuff
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that you could explain to a like a smart
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12-year-old and have them actually get
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it. And most of the world, I think it's
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fair to say, is not inside our personal
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circles of competence. Only the stuff
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that we're truly an expert in is inside
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our circle of competence. To that end,
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we probably all have that one friend who
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seems to have an opinion about
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everything and also kind of acts like
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this walking Wikipedia page who drops
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facts on you. I would argue that people
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like that ought to tighten up their
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circle of competence a little bit. And
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for Buffett, that circle includes
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insurance companies and banks and
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railroads and consumer brands like
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Coca-Cola. He's famously said that there
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are huge areas of the market like tech
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being the the most famous one for most
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of his career that he just doesn't
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understand well enough to invest in. He
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probably could have bluffed that fact
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and most of us probably would have
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believed that bluff, but he doesn't do
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it. He has some humility and and
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discipline and a really powerful
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combination of those two things. And the
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investing lesson here is pretty obvious.
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You don't have to swing at every single
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pitch. In investing, you're allowed to
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just keep the bat on your shoulder as
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long as you want to. You can let the
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confusing pitches go by and you can wait
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for the fat pitch right down the middle
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in the middle of your circle of
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competence. And your circle of
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competence might be small and that's
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okay. What matters is that you know
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where the edges of your circle are. And
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that idea, it expands way beyond
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investing too. You know, we're
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constantly nudged, sometimes even shoved
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outside our circles of competence.
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Social media, probably the internet
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these days, rewards overconfidence. At
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work, a boss might reward a fake it till
00:06:55
you make it approach. And that's not
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exactly good. That's outside of a circle
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of competence. Our egos, if we're being
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honest, love the idea of being the
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smartest person in the room. I'm okay
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admitting that. But the problem is that
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consistently operating outside your
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circle of competence is going to lead to
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mistakes and stress and imposttor
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syndrome. It's going to end up
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overcommitted, underinformed. We're
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going to wonder why things in life feel
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so fragile, like we're always kind of at
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the at the edge of breaking. But the
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flip side is that staying inside your
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circle of competence, it's not a sign of
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weakness. It's just a sign of
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self-awareness. And if you want to grow,
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you don't need to pretend to know
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everything. You can just learn a little
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bit more. Just expand the circle of
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competence slowly and deliberately. And
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Buffett again had a quote where he said,
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"You don't have to be an expert on every
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company or even many companies. You only
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have to be able to evaluate companies
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within your circle of competence. The
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size of that circle is not very
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important, but knowing its boundaries is
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vital." And yeah, same goes for life.
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You don't need to be the best parent,
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the best investor, the best partner, the
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best athlete, cook, comedian, home
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repair expert all at once. Instead, you
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can focus on your circle of competence.
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Go deep. Chip away at the edges, sure,
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when it makes sense. But this idea, it's
00:08:03
not flashy. It might not make you the
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most fun person at the cocktail party,
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but it might help you make better
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decisions in investing and in life.
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Next, I want to talk about Buffett's
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contributions to the idea of intrinsic
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value. Intrinsic value, you know, what
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is something worth? And that question,
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I'd say Warren Buffett kind of
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consistently hunted for the answer to
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that question throughout his career. He
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made tens of billions of dollars asking
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that question over and over again. What
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is this thing really worth? Not what
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it's trading for, not what the headlines
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say, not what your buddy on Reddit
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thinks it'll do next week, not what the
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market says its price is. What's it
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really worth? Now, Buffett describes
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intrinsic value as the present value of
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future cash flows. That's it. That's
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usually what his definition is. If you
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buy a lemonade stand, what matters, you
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know, it doesn't matter what the paint
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color is or whether people are excited
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about lemonade this week. What matters
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is how much real cash that lemonade
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stand will produce for you next month,
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next year, and over the next 20 summers,
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over the coming decades. What is that
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stream of future income? What is that
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worth to you today? That's intrinsic
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value. And intrinsic value, it forces us
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to think like a business owner, not like
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a trader, not like a speculator. It's a
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filter that Buffett uses, well, used and
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uses to strip away the noise, to strip
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away the hype and some of the psychology
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and speculation in markets and ask
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himself, what am I actually getting in
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return for the dollars that I spend on
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this company that I spend on this
00:09:30
investment today? What am I actually
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getting in return? And sure, that
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particular lens has made Buffett one of
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the richest men in the world, but just
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as importantly, it's helped him avoid
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all sorts of shiny distractions along
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the way. And speaking of shiny
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distractions and intrinsic value, that
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brings us to two assets that Buffett
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doesn't like. Gold and Bitcoin. So,
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starting with gold, Buffett doesn't deny
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that it's valuable in the sense that
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people want it. You know, it's shiny,
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it's rare, it has thousands of years of
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monetary history behind it. But
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Buffett's argument against gold is
00:10:00
pretty simple. Gold doesn't produce
00:10:02
anything. You can hold it, you can store
00:10:04
it, you can polish it, but it doesn't
00:10:06
grow. It doesn't generate income. It
00:10:08
doesn't throw off cash flows. In
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Buffett's world, that means that its
00:10:12
intrinsic value is basically zero. From
00:10:15
his 2011 letter to Berkshire Hathway
00:10:17
shareholders, Buffett wrote, "Gold gets
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dug out of the ground, and then we melt
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it down, dig another hole, bury it
00:10:24
again, and pay people to stand around
00:10:26
guarding it. It has no utility." Of
00:10:28
course, he's describing like bank vaults
00:10:30
or safes there, digging another hole,
00:10:32
burying it, and paying people to guard
00:10:34
it. So gold has extrinsic value because
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another person will likely come along
00:10:39
and buy it from us, but it has no
00:10:41
intrinsic value. It has no growth engine
00:10:43
built into it. Now onto Bitcoin.
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Buffett's even less enthusiastic. In
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2022, he famously said, "If you told me
00:10:50
you owned all the Bitcoin in the world
00:10:52
and you offered it to me for $25, I
00:10:54
wouldn't take it because what would I do
00:10:56
with it? It doesn't reproduce. It
00:10:58
doesn't send me a check. It doesn't do
00:10:59
anything." And that argument I actually
00:11:01
find is particularly interesting because
00:11:04
if you did own all of the Bitcoin in the
00:11:06
world, who would you trade it with to
00:11:09
give you value? If I own all of the
00:11:11
Apple stock in the world, if I'm the
00:11:13
100% owner of Apple as a business, I bet
00:11:16
someone would be willing to come along
00:11:17
and buy some of that Apple from me
00:11:19
because equity in Apple does have
00:11:21
intrinsic value because the company
00:11:23
sheds off cash flow to investors. But if
00:11:26
all the Bitcoin in the world is in one
00:11:28
person's hands, would the rest of us
00:11:30
feel a need to buy some from that
00:11:32
person? Are we missing out on something
00:11:34
if one person owns all the Bitcoin? I
00:11:36
think that's a pretty interesting and
00:11:38
convincing thought experiment. But
00:11:40
before the the lasered crypto crowd
00:11:42
comes after me, does that mean that gold
00:11:44
and Bitcoin are worthless? Well, no.
00:11:46
They have market value. They have
00:11:48
subjective value, and that's exttrinsic
00:11:51
value. And in Bitcoin's case, you can
00:11:53
make the argument around say the network
00:11:55
effects and scarcity and its role as a a
00:11:57
store of value or alternative currency.
00:11:59
That's fine. But in Buffett's framework,
00:12:01
price is what you pay and value is what
00:12:03
you get. And if there's no future cash
00:12:05
flow, then there's no intrinsic value to
00:12:07
to anchor you to a future price.
00:12:09
Buffett's idea of intrinsic value
00:12:11
doesn't just work for giant companies or
00:12:12
investment portfolios. It works for
00:12:14
normal people, too, just looking to
00:12:16
invest their 401k or make sense of a
00:12:17
volatile world. It reminds us to ask,
00:12:19
you know, what am I really buying? What
00:12:21
am I expecting to earn from this
00:12:23
investment in the future? Is this
00:12:25
investment producing something real
00:12:27
internally, or am I just hoping that
00:12:29
someone will pay more later than I paid
00:12:32
today? And that can be a compass to help
00:12:34
us out in confusing markets. Gold shines
00:12:36
when the world gets nervous. Bitcoin
00:12:38
spikes usually on on stories and hope.
00:12:41
But cash flowing businesses, ones with
00:12:42
pricing power and loyal customers and
00:12:44
long-term demand, those are the kind of
00:12:46
assets that Buffett would bet on and
00:12:48
those are the ones that tend to hold up
00:12:50
over decades. At its core, intrinsic
00:12:52
value is a mindset. It says you don't
00:12:54
need to predict the next trend. You
00:12:55
don't need to outhype the crowd. You
00:12:57
just need to understand what you own,
00:12:59
why you own it, and what it will give
00:13:01
you or provide to you in return.
00:13:03
Sometimes that's a stock, sometimes it's
00:13:05
rental property, sometimes it might be
00:13:07
bonds, it could be just boring old index
00:13:09
funds. But if you know the cash flows
00:13:11
and you pay less than what they're
00:13:13
worth, you're probably on the right
00:13:14
path. And if you don't know the cash
00:13:16
flows, well, you might want to ask
00:13:17
yourself, is this investing or am I just
00:13:19
speculating? Buffett's circle of
00:13:21
competence doesn't include gold or
00:13:23
Bitcoin, but it does include clear
00:13:25
thinking, patience, and knowing what
00:13:26
something's really worth. That is
00:13:28
intrinsic value. The next big Buffett
00:13:30
topic, so you know, how do you know that
00:13:33
your investment choices aren't too
00:13:34
risky? Well, Buffett would suggest that
00:13:36
you need a sufficient margin of safety.
00:13:39
It's a funny thing. If you listen enough
00:13:41
to Buffett, his sense of humor is great
00:13:43
and often uh it's in the gutter. And if
00:13:45
you had to pick one of his more innocent
00:13:47
gutter quotes, it's that only when the
00:13:50
tide goes out do you discover who's been
00:13:52
swimming naked in investing. That
00:13:54
principle is all about the margin of
00:13:56
safety. It's not just a financial idea.
00:13:58
It is a way of thinking about risk in
00:14:00
general and uncertainty in general and
00:14:02
just the future. I would argue it's how
00:14:04
smart people stay solvent, how they stay
00:14:05
in the game, how they sleep at night.
00:14:07
So, we'll start with the investing
00:14:08
version. Buffett borrowed the concept of
00:14:10
margin of safety from his mentor
00:14:12
Benjamin Graham. Ben Graham, the father
00:14:14
of value investing. You know, like many
00:14:16
of us, Buffett stood on the shoulders of
00:14:18
giants and specifically on the shoulders
00:14:20
of Benjamin Graham. Many amazing
00:14:22
investing ideas seem to originate with
00:14:24
Graham. The metaphor of Mr. Market is
00:14:26
probably my favorite of those Graian
00:14:28
ideas. But back to margin of safety, we
00:14:31
should start with the idea that we just
00:14:32
discussed. Every investment has
00:14:34
intrinsic value, what it's actually
00:14:35
worth based on future cash flows and
00:14:37
fundamentals. But we're not perfect,
00:14:40
right? We're humans. We make mistakes.
00:14:41
The future is uncertain. Our
00:14:43
spreadsheets won't always match reality.
00:14:45
So what do we do about that fact? Well,
00:14:47
we build in a cushion. We aim for
00:14:49
undervalued assets that give us some
00:14:51
breathing room that give us a margin of
00:14:53
safety in case we're wrong. If we think
00:14:55
that a company's intrinsic value is $10
00:14:58
per share, we should only purchase it if
00:15:00
it's selling for $7 or $8 per share.
00:15:03
That difference, that's our margin of
00:15:05
safety. Buffett put it this way. You
00:15:08
don't try to drive a 9800 lb truck over
00:15:11
a bridge that says limit 10,000 lb.
00:15:13
Instead, you go down the road a bit and
00:15:15
you find a bridge that says limit
00:15:17
15,000. Margin of safety protects us
00:15:20
from two scary realities in investing.
00:15:22
The first is just being wrong. And the
00:15:24
second one is bad luck, right? Maybe
00:15:26
this business that we're looking at,
00:15:28
maybe it hits a rough patch. Maybe
00:15:30
interest rates go haywire or our
00:15:32
analysis was just off. If we bought with
00:15:34
a margin of safety, we have room to be
00:15:36
wrong and still come out the other side
00:15:38
okay. Maybe not with huge gains, but at
00:15:40
least without catastrophic losses. And
00:15:43
investing, it it truly is a losers game.
00:15:45
If you're unfamiliar, losers games are
00:15:47
games where it's all about minimizing
00:15:49
bad outcomes. I would argue that for
00:15:52
most of us, tennis is a losers game
00:15:54
because if you've ever seen amateur
00:15:55
tennis or even like pretty good high
00:15:57
school or decent college tennis, a lot
00:16:00
of tennis is simply about not hitting
00:16:01
the ball out. Winners games though are
00:16:04
all about maximizing good outcomes. And
00:16:07
investing, that is a losers game.
00:16:09
Avoiding catastrophe is the name of the
00:16:11
game in investing. It's a name of the
00:16:13
game in financial planning. It's about
00:16:15
understanding our risks and avoiding or
00:16:17
minimizing or mitigating them. And
00:16:19
Buffett's investing record, it's not
00:16:21
just about hitting home runs. Yes, he
00:16:23
hit a lot of home runs, but more so it's
00:16:26
about never striking out. He preserves
00:16:28
capital. He avoids ruin. He only bets
00:16:30
when the odds and the price are clearly
00:16:32
in his favor. He's got the, you know,
00:16:34
another one of his famous quotes that
00:16:35
just kind of popped into my head is the
00:16:37
rule number one is never lose money and
00:16:39
rule number two is don't forget rule
00:16:40
number one, try not to strike out,
00:16:43
right? That's what that rule is. But the
00:16:44
principle doesn't just apply to stocks.
00:16:46
really does apply to a lot of other
00:16:48
things in finances. I mean, if we think
00:16:49
about our personal finances, the best
00:16:51
financial plans have a built-in cushion.
00:16:53
They have an emergency fund,
00:16:55
conservative withdrawal rates in
00:16:56
retirement, not maxing out your your
00:16:59
mortgage just because the bank says you
00:17:00
can, sufficient insurance coverage to
00:17:03
mitigate risks. These are all examples
00:17:05
of margins of safety in our personal
00:17:07
financial life because life is
00:17:09
unpredictable. Layoffs happen. Roofs
00:17:11
leak, your kids need braces, your HVAC
00:17:14
dies on the coldest day of the year. A
00:17:16
margin of safety means you're not living
00:17:17
paycheck to paycheck. It means a
00:17:19
surprise doesn't break you. It might
00:17:21
annoy you, but it doesn't break you. You
00:17:23
avoid the awful, terrible losses as best
00:17:25
you can. In business, the same idea.
00:17:27
Great operators don't run their
00:17:29
companies at the edge of disaster. They
00:17:31
keep some cash on hand. They avoid
00:17:33
overleveraging. They leave a little bit
00:17:34
of slack in the system because the real
00:17:36
world isn't frictionless, right? There
00:17:38
are delays and defects, bad customers,
00:17:41
broken supply chains, economic
00:17:43
downturns, and the margin of safety. It
00:17:46
can apply to so many other areas of
00:17:47
life. I won't wax philosophical on on
00:17:50
relationships or lifestyle or things
00:17:51
like that, but consider how building in
00:17:54
a margin of safety can help you
00:17:55
certainly on the financial side and
00:17:57
maybe elsewhere too. Cuz when the storm
00:17:59
comes, and it will come, right? The
00:18:01
storm always has come before and we can
00:18:03
only see so far out on the horizon. The
00:18:05
margin of safety is what keeps you and
00:18:07
your plan and your finances intact. Or
00:18:09
as Buffett would say, only when the tide
00:18:12
goes out do you find who's been swimming
00:18:14
naked. So don't swim naked, at least not
00:18:16
metaphorically. Here's a quick ad and
00:18:19
then we'll get back to the show. Every
00:18:21
week I send a quick free email to
00:18:23
thousands of readers that shares three
00:18:25
simple things. One, my new articles and
00:18:28
podcasts. Two, the best financial
00:18:30
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00:18:32
internet. and three, a financial chart
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that explains some important concept in
00:18:37
the news that week. It's a great primer
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to boost your financial knowhow. But
00:18:42
Jesse, I don't want another email. Well,
00:18:45
this might not be for you, but I do hear
00:18:47
you, which is why I make it very short,
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sweet, and full of only the essentials.
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You can subscribe for free on the
00:19:01
homepage at bestinterest.blog.
00:19:03
Again, that's a free no strings attached
00:19:06
subscription at bestinterest.blog.
00:19:09
For the next big buffetism, you know,
00:19:11
here on personal finance for long-term
00:19:12
investors, we've talked about the
00:19:14
benefits of diversified passive
00:19:15
investing and efficient markets. But I
00:19:18
want to talk about Buffett's focus on
00:19:20
market inefficiencies and on
00:19:22
concentration rather than
00:19:24
diversification. Because even though it
00:19:26
might not be something that most of us
00:19:27
do in our personal portfolios, there are
00:19:29
some really valuable lessons to learn
00:19:31
here. Buffett's career has been this
00:19:34
70-year rebuttal of one of the most
00:19:36
popular modern theories in finance, the
00:19:39
efficient market hypothesis or EMH. EMH
00:19:42
basically says that stock prices or
00:19:44
market prices in a quote unquote
00:19:46
efficient market that they always
00:19:48
reflect all available information. That
00:19:50
the market is a perfectly rational
00:19:52
pricing machine. that it's impossible to
00:19:55
consistently beat the market unless
00:19:56
you're lucky or cheating. So, it's not
00:19:59
to say that the market is always right.
00:20:01
It's a little bit different than that.
00:20:02
Instead, EMH says that the market has
00:20:05
always synthesized available information
00:20:08
better and more consistently than any
00:20:10
individual can synthesize that
00:20:12
information. So, doesn't mean that the
00:20:14
market's always right. It just means
00:20:16
that the market is better at
00:20:17
understanding what's going on than you
00:20:19
are as an individual. And if you think
00:20:21
you can consistently beat the market,
00:20:23
well, you're in trouble because there's
00:20:25
no way you can have more information and
00:20:27
and do better things with that
00:20:28
information than the market can. That's
00:20:30
what the efficient market hypothesis
00:20:32
says. But Buffett famously disagrees. He
00:20:35
doesn't think that the market is
00:20:37
irrational all the time, but he's built
00:20:39
his fortune betting that at a reasonable
00:20:41
frequency, the market is irrational
00:20:44
enough for him to outsmart it. And he's
00:20:46
been right consistently for decades.
00:20:49
Buffett isn't saying that markets are
00:20:50
dumb. He's just saying that humans are
00:20:52
emotional. And since markets are made up
00:20:54
of humans and since humans, like all
00:20:56
mammals, sometimes have some herd
00:20:58
behavior that stock prices often reflect
00:21:01
our biases, our fears, and our manas.
00:21:04
Sometimes we get greedy. Other times, we
00:21:06
panic. In both cases, prices can swing
00:21:08
wildly away from what a business is
00:21:11
truly worth, away from that intrinsic
00:21:13
value that we talked about earlier. And
00:21:15
going back to earlier when I mentioned
00:21:16
Benjamin Graham's uh Mr. market
00:21:18
metaphor. Buffett refers to Mr. Market
00:21:21
as your manic business partner. Every
00:21:24
day, Mr. Market offers to buy or sell
00:21:26
shares of companies at whatever
00:21:28
mooddriven price he feels like.
00:21:30
Sometimes he's generous with you. Other
00:21:32
times, he's delusional. Part of
00:21:34
Buffett's genius is waiting until Mr.
00:21:36
Market is being irrational in Buffett's
00:21:38
favor by essentially selling $1 bills
00:21:41
for.7 and then Buffett pounces. In doing
00:21:44
so, he's made billions by disagreeing
00:21:47
with the idea that markets are always
00:21:49
right. By disagreeing with the efficient
00:21:51
market hypothesis, em it it lives in the
00:21:54
halls of academia. It's very clean. It's
00:21:56
elegant. It's mathematically satisfying.
00:21:58
It's logically satisfying. But the real
00:22:00
world and investing in the real world is
00:22:02
messy and prices get distorted. Fear
00:22:05
sometimes spreads faster than
00:22:06
spreadsheets would recognize. And not
00:22:08
all investors are rational,
00:22:10
well-informed agent. In fact, most
00:22:11
aren't. Buffett once joked, "I'd be a
00:22:14
bum on the street with a tin cup if the
00:22:16
markets were always efficient." Because
00:22:18
if prices were always right, there'd be
00:22:20
no such thing as a cheap stock. There'd
00:22:21
be no undervalued business. There'd be
00:22:23
no opportunity to buy Coca-Cola at a 40%
00:22:26
discount during a market sell-off. But
00:22:28
Buffett did exactly that and made
00:22:30
billions in the process. If EMH was
00:22:32
right, there'd essentially be no risk or
00:22:36
volatility in the market. If EMH was
00:22:38
perfectly right, we would have a much
00:22:41
different feeling stock market than we
00:22:42
currently do. But we should pivot here
00:22:44
to Buffett's other quote unquote heresy,
00:22:47
at least compared to the way that most
00:22:48
of us invest. He doesn't really
00:22:50
diversify. I mean, I guess at this point
00:22:51
he diversifies a little bit, but he
00:22:53
certainly doesn't diversify in the way
00:22:55
that conventional wisdom says you
00:22:57
should. Modern finance says to own
00:22:59
hundreds of stocks, to spread out your
00:23:00
bets, to reduce risk, to not put too
00:23:02
many eggs in one basket. But Buffett's
00:23:04
approach is more like you should put all
00:23:06
your eggs into very few baskets, baskets
00:23:09
that you've analyzed very very
00:23:11
critically and then you should wash
00:23:12
those baskets very carefully. He
00:23:14
believes in concentration. When he finds
00:23:16
a business that's deeply undervalued or
00:23:19
of extremely high quality and it's
00:23:21
within his circle of competence, it's
00:23:22
run by trustworthy managers. He buys
00:23:25
big. That's how Bergkshire Hathway ends
00:23:27
up with massive positions in Apple and
00:23:29
Coca-Cola and American Express. Not to
00:23:31
mention the real way that Bergkshire has
00:23:33
grown so much, you know, Bur Bergkshire
00:23:35
is kind of famous for owning Apple and
00:23:36
Coca-Cola, but the real way that
00:23:38
Bergkshire has grown so much is by
00:23:40
buying entire privately held companies
00:23:42
outright. He's not trying to own a
00:23:44
little bit of everything. He's trying to
00:23:46
own a lot of the very best things bought
00:23:49
at the right price. And that's a key
00:23:51
reason why he's outperformed for so
00:23:52
long. When most investors are taking a
00:23:55
little bit of everything, Buffett's
00:23:56
waiting for the pitch to be right down
00:23:58
the middle and then he swings hard. But
00:24:00
yes, Buffett did also say that indexing
00:24:03
is smart and we should touch on that and
00:24:05
this is where kind of nuance matters.
00:24:06
Buffett has said that for most
00:24:08
investors, including many of us
00:24:10
listening, for most investors,
00:24:12
diversification is the way to go because
00:24:14
most people don't have the time, the
00:24:16
skill, or the temperament to identify
00:24:18
these inefficiently priced businesses
00:24:20
and to concentrate in them wisely. So
00:24:23
instead of pretending that you're Warren
00:24:25
Buffett or the next Warren Buffett or
00:24:26
that you have the time to even be half
00:24:28
of what Warren Buffett is, it's probably
00:24:30
better to own the whole market and to do
00:24:32
so cheaply and to let compounding do the
00:24:35
rest. That's not a contradiction. It's
00:24:37
just an acknowledgement of reality. For
00:24:39
the skilled few investors out there,
00:24:41
inefficiencies do exist. They aren't
00:24:43
necessarily easy to find or to exploit.
00:24:46
And Buffett had the right temperament
00:24:48
and the right framework and the right
00:24:49
discipline to act when others couldn't.
00:24:51
So yes, most people should diversify,
00:24:53
but for Buffett, concentration in a few
00:24:56
mispriced gems, that's exactly what made
00:24:58
him rich. Buffett didn't just reject
00:25:00
efficient markets. He he really crushed
00:25:02
them. And he showed us in practice some
00:25:04
of the issues with the efficient market
00:25:06
hypothesis. So the efficient market
00:25:08
hypothesis says you can't beat the
00:25:10
market. Well, Buffett says maybe you
00:25:11
can't, but I can and I did. And if
00:25:14
you're not Buffett, that's fine. Just
00:25:15
own the whole haystack. Just don't be
00:25:18
surprised. And you should remember that
00:25:20
there's still a needle there in the
00:25:22
haystack. And every so often, someone
00:25:23
with the right skills and the right
00:25:25
mindset is going to be pretty good at
00:25:27
finding those needles. The next
00:25:29
Buffettism I want to go down is the
00:25:30
frequently cited ideas of economic moes.
00:25:33
In business speak, an economic moat is a
00:25:36
durable competitive advantage that a
00:25:38
company has that protects it from the
00:25:40
competition. Just like a medieval moat
00:25:42
protected a castle from would-be
00:25:44
invaders, the wider and the deeper the
00:25:46
moat, the harder it is for rivals to
00:25:48
attack. And Buffett spent a lifetime
00:25:50
looking for castles with moes and just
00:25:52
as importantly for trustworthy, you
00:25:54
know, royalty kings and queens to sit
00:25:56
inside of those castles. He said, "The
00:25:58
most important thing for me is figuring
00:26:00
out how big a moat there is around the
00:26:02
business. What I love, of course, is a
00:26:04
big castle and a big moat with piranhas
00:26:07
and crocodiles." So, let's not get ahead
00:26:09
of ourselves. Let's talk a little more
00:26:11
specifically about what makes a moat a
00:26:13
moat. Buffett and Charlie Munger had a
00:26:16
name for the key types of moes that they
00:26:18
would identify over the years. First,
00:26:20
they looked for brand. So, when you
00:26:21
think Coca-Cola, Apple, Disney, you're
00:26:24
not just buying sugar water or tech
00:26:26
gadgets or cartoon movies. You're buying
00:26:29
trust and nostalgia and identity. Those
00:26:32
names, Coke, Apple, Disney, they mean
00:26:35
something to us beyond just what the
00:26:37
products are. That's brand. The next
00:26:39
mode they talked about are network
00:26:40
effects. The more people who use a
00:26:42
service, the more valuable it becomes.
00:26:44
So if you think of Visa or Mastercard,
00:26:46
they have these huge, you know, networks
00:26:48
of payment processors. Modern examples
00:26:51
might be Airbnb or LinkedIn. These
00:26:54
network effects, they're typically
00:26:55
compounding in nature, right? So 200,000
00:26:58
users of LinkedIn isn't just twice as
00:27:01
good as 100,000. It might be 10 times as
00:27:03
good. And for each additional user, it
00:27:06
just compounds the network bigger and
00:27:08
bigger and bigger. The next moat that
00:27:10
companies have are cost advantages. If
00:27:12
you can produce or distribute something
00:27:14
cheaper than anyone else, you've got an
00:27:15
edge. Two examples here might be Walmart
00:27:17
because of their scale or GEICO because
00:27:20
of their underwriting model. There are
00:27:21
things that Walmart and Geico can do
00:27:23
with their scale that protects them
00:27:25
against upstart competition. The next mo
00:27:28
is switching costs. For some companies,
00:27:30
it can be painful for customers to leave
00:27:32
you, whether due to logistics or cost or
00:27:35
complexity, and you've built a moat
00:27:37
around your business because of that.
00:27:39
So, one example might be enterprise
00:27:40
software like Oracle or Salesforce.
00:27:42
There might even times in our own lives
00:27:44
where changing dentists or starting to
00:27:46
use a new grocery store and trying to
00:27:48
figure out the new store layout has this
00:27:51
annoying switching costs and that kind
00:27:53
of that inertia of annoyance. we might
00:27:56
not want to switch. Certain companies
00:27:58
and certain services, they can magnify
00:28:00
these switching costs to a huge degree.
00:28:02
It's not that they're trying to be
00:28:03
annoying to switch away from. It's just
00:28:05
the nature of their work. And that
00:28:07
stickiness, that switching cost is a big
00:28:09
competitive advantage and a big moat.
00:28:11
The next moat is regulatory protection.
00:28:13
This one is certainly not sexy, but
00:28:15
Buffett owns utility companies for a
00:28:17
reason. When regulation grants you a
00:28:20
near monopoly, that is a moat that's
00:28:22
enforced by law. And the last one that
00:28:24
they would look for is intellectual
00:28:25
property. So patents and trademarks and
00:28:28
proprietary technology offers a strong
00:28:30
defense for a company. Now sure Buffett
00:28:33
was not very enamored with tech
00:28:34
throughout his career. Apple being the
00:28:36
one notable difference, but that moat is
00:28:38
still a relevant one here in 2025. Now
00:28:41
one of the key attributes of these moes
00:28:43
is durability. A moat isn't just some
00:28:45
flash in the pan advantage. It's a
00:28:47
structural feature of a company that
00:28:49
lets the business fend off competition
00:28:51
for years, if not decades into the
00:28:52
future. But Buffett doesn't just want to
00:28:54
own Modi businesses. He also wants to
00:28:56
own them at a fair price. That's really
00:28:58
the sweet spot because a great moat
00:29:01
might already be priced into the
00:29:03
company. And if you're paying too much
00:29:04
for a company, even the best moat can't
00:29:06
protect you from poor returns. And I
00:29:09
think this is an interesting lesson
00:29:10
that, you know, we can if we want to
00:29:11
apply it to our own life. And for me, I
00:29:14
think about the skill sets that we each
00:29:15
have that are just hard to replicate or
00:29:17
maybe the the networks that we've built
00:29:19
over time or the reputations that we've
00:29:22
built over time. You know, are you known
00:29:23
for a a rare technical ability? Have you
00:29:26
cultivated relationships in your network
00:29:28
that keep on opening doors for you? Do
00:29:30
other people at work say, you know what,
00:29:32
we really need you and specifically you
00:29:34
on this project? Those are all moes. And
00:29:37
just like in business, you want to
00:29:38
invest in deepening and widening your
00:29:40
moat through learning, through
00:29:42
consistency and trust. There's a the
00:29:44
saying here in the content creation
00:29:46
world that some people are in overnight
00:29:48
success, but years in the making. And I
00:29:50
see a lot of truth in that. You know,
00:29:51
when I look at the flywheel of my blog,
00:29:54
but especially here on this podcast, it
00:29:56
is spinning faster than ever. More
00:29:58
listeners, more reader than ever. But
00:30:00
it's really only spinning that fast
00:30:01
because of the years that I've put into
00:30:03
it so far. that time, that effort,
00:30:05
that's a natural moat. And yes, if some
00:30:08
giant company wanted to come in and
00:30:10
publish a hundred episodes over the
00:30:12
course of three months and just really
00:30:14
put a ton of resource into their own
00:30:16
podcast, I'm sure they could, you know,
00:30:18
market it and surpass me and that's
00:30:20
fine. But there's something too that the
00:30:22
time and effort, the natural moat that
00:30:24
I've built that the every weekly article
00:30:27
and every episode digs my moat a little
00:30:30
bit wider and a little bit deeper. Now,
00:30:32
moes like that, they don't guarantee
00:30:34
success, but they certainly make failure
00:30:36
a lot less likely. Buffett once said,
00:30:37
"In business, I look for economic
00:30:39
castles protected by unreachable moes.
00:30:42
In life, I look for personal
00:30:43
relationships that are built on
00:30:45
unshakable trust." We can't all be
00:30:47
billionaires who are buying these
00:30:49
monopolistic railroads and global
00:30:51
insurers like Geico. But we can build
00:30:53
trust. We can build skills. We can widen
00:30:55
our own moes financially,
00:30:56
professionally, and otherwise. And that
00:30:58
might be one of the most buffetesque
00:31:00
moves of all. Here's a quick ad and then
00:31:03
we'll get back to the show. I still
00:31:04
remember it was 2019 and a guy from
00:31:06
Fidelity came in to speak to my then
00:31:08
employer about personal finance in
00:31:10
general and about our 401k plan in
00:31:12
particular. There were 60 or so of us
00:31:14
who attended, mostly 50 plus years old,
00:31:17
clearly with retirement on their minds.
00:31:19
And nothing against this individual from
00:31:21
Fidelity, but unfortunately the guy just
00:31:23
didn't really know what he was talking
00:31:24
about. It ended up being a major
00:31:26
disappointment. And a bunch of my
00:31:28
colleagues afterwards said, in short,
00:31:30
you know, man, we're really thirsty for
00:31:31
good financial retirement information.
00:31:34
Where do we go find it? Now, does that
00:31:36
sound true, listeners, for you and your
00:31:38
colleagues? Last year, either in person
00:31:40
or via Zoom, I spoke to about 800
00:31:43
employees at 11 different organizations.
00:31:45
Sometimes about personal finance in
00:31:47
general, sometimes about specifics of
00:31:49
their retirement plans, sometimes about
00:31:50
the the nitty-gritty details of social
00:31:52
security and withdrawal planning and
00:31:54
retirement math. The point being, if
00:31:56
you're interested in inviting me to come
00:31:58
talk money to you, to your colleagues,
00:32:00
where you work, that is absolutely
00:32:02
something I'm interested in talking to
00:32:03
you about. Simply drop me an email to
00:32:05
jesse@b bestinterest.blog and let's
00:32:08
start a conversation. And I've got two
00:32:10
more topics today, two more Buffett
00:32:12
topics that I I just find really cool
00:32:13
and special. You know, Buffett has
00:32:15
always had a great way of tackling
00:32:17
issues where too few people understood
00:32:19
the risk involved, but Buffett wasn't
00:32:21
afraid to speak up. One of my favorite
00:32:23
examples of that is derivatives. Buffett
00:32:26
once called derivative products
00:32:27
financial weapons of mass destructions.
00:32:29
At its simplest, right, a derivative is
00:32:31
a financial contract where the value of
00:32:33
that contract is derived derivative
00:32:36
derived from something else. A stock, a
00:32:38
bond, an index, currency, even the
00:32:40
weather. Common examples are options and
00:32:42
futures and swaps. And I know I I've
00:32:44
given you the definition, but I haven't
00:32:46
really explained it yet. You can think
00:32:47
of these derivatives as financial side
00:32:50
bets. I could go out right now and I
00:32:52
could bet $5 that Apple will reach $250
00:32:56
per share by a certain date. And if I'm
00:32:59
right, depending on the way the contract
00:33:01
is structured, depending on what Apple's
00:33:03
price actually reaches, if it's $ 250 or
00:33:05
if it's more, I could easily turn my $5
00:33:08
bet into $100. But if I'm wrong, then my
00:33:11
$5 bet goes to zero. That's a really
00:33:13
simple example of an option. It's a side
00:33:16
bet on the future price in this case of
00:33:18
a different financial instrument. I'm
00:33:20
not buying Apple stock itself. I'm
00:33:22
betting on the price of Apple in the
00:33:24
future. Simple example of an option.
00:33:26
Options can be used smartly to hedge
00:33:29
risks. You know, if you're betting big
00:33:31
on one thing, you might buy options that
00:33:34
kind of bet against that one thing in a
00:33:36
different way just to hedge your risk.
00:33:38
But more often than not, options are
00:33:40
used to speculate and to speculate
00:33:42
wildly. They're used to gamble. And
00:33:44
sometimes, as Buffett's seen, they can
00:33:45
be used to hide the truth. Buffett's
00:33:47
concern isn't that derivatives exist.
00:33:49
It's how they're used and more precisely
00:33:51
how misunderstood they are. And in 1982,
00:33:53
Buffett wrote a very famous letter. He
00:33:56
responded to congressional discussions
00:33:57
that were about approving futures
00:34:00
contracts, derivatives on the S&P 500
00:34:02
index. And at the time, Buffett was
00:34:05
managing a $600 million equity
00:34:07
portfolio. He had 30 years of
00:34:08
experience. and he wrote, "In my
00:34:10
judgment, a very high percentage,
00:34:12
probably at least 95% and more likely
00:34:14
much higher than that of the activity
00:34:16
generated by these contracts will be
00:34:18
strictly gambling in nature." He foresaw
00:34:21
that most activity in in derivatives
00:34:23
wouldn't be for hedging. It wouldn't be
00:34:25
for long-term investing. It wouldn't be
00:34:27
for risk management. It would be purely
00:34:30
speculative betting just like casino
00:34:32
play. Buffett observed that low margin
00:34:35
requirements, they tempt people into
00:34:37
risky bets. And just like the bet I
00:34:38
explained before, if I can put $5 down
00:34:41
on Apple and turn it into $100 in a few
00:34:43
months, that's a low margin requirement
00:34:46
and a risky bet. Buffett also said the
00:34:48
unintelligent are easily seduced by
00:34:51
taking tiny amounts of money to control
00:34:54
large bet positions. And that futures
00:34:56
markets and options markets are a
00:34:57
negative sum game. A negative sum game
00:35:00
because brokers collect high fees on
00:35:02
every transaction. So those who are
00:35:04
trading the options therefore must be
00:35:06
losing overall. And Buffett warned that
00:35:09
speculative volume would tarnish the
00:35:11
stock market's reputation. That casual
00:35:13
investors betting and gambling in this
00:35:15
way would get burned and they would
00:35:17
blame their losses not on the betting,
00:35:19
not on the speculation, but on stocks
00:35:21
and the stock markets, right? They ought
00:35:22
to be blaming the derivatives, but they
00:35:24
won't. They'll just blame the stock
00:35:25
market as a whole. He argued that
00:35:27
America needed long-term investors, not
00:35:30
widespread gamblers, and that futures
00:35:31
contracts would hurt security prices. He
00:35:34
said, "The propensity to gamble is
00:35:36
always increased by a large prize versus
00:35:38
a small entry fee," which I think makes
00:35:40
sense, right? When you see the the the
00:35:42
lotto sign on the billboard driving down
00:35:44
the highway that the Powerball jackpot
00:35:46
is now 10 billion and you can go buy a
00:35:49
Powerball ticket for five bucks, that's
00:35:51
a large prize versus a very small fee
00:35:54
and it gets a lot of people to go and
00:35:55
gamble. Buffett also said that futures
00:35:57
markets would be overwhelmingly
00:35:59
detrimental to the security buying
00:36:01
public. It's an amazingly preient letter
00:36:03
written 43 years ago, but helping to
00:36:05
explain some of what we've seen in
00:36:06
financial markets over recent years.
00:36:08
What follows for the next minute or so
00:36:10
is one long quote. Buffett said, "You
00:36:13
will have people wagering as to the
00:36:15
short-term movements of the stock market
00:36:16
and able to make fairly large wages with
00:36:18
fairly small sums. They will be
00:36:20
encouraged to do so by brokers who will
00:36:22
see rapid turnover of customer capital.
00:36:24
the best thing that can happen to a
00:36:26
broker in terms of his immediate income.
00:36:28
A great deal of money will be left
00:36:30
behind by these 95% as the casino takes
00:36:33
a bite of each transaction. We do not
00:36:35
need more people gambling in
00:36:37
non-essential instruments identified
00:36:38
with the stock market in this country,
00:36:40
nor brokers who encourage them to do so.
00:36:42
What we need are investors and advisers
00:36:44
who look at the long-term prospects for
00:36:46
an enterprise and invest accordingly. We
00:36:48
need the intelligent commitment of
00:36:50
investment capital, not leveraged market
00:36:52
wages. The propensity to operate in the
00:36:54
intelligent pro-social sector of capital
00:36:57
markets is deterred, not enhanced, by an
00:36:59
active and exciting casino operating in
00:37:02
somewhat the same arena utilizing
00:37:04
somewhat similar language and serviced
00:37:06
by the same workforce. Boom. Dropping
00:37:09
the hammer on them, Warren Buffett. But
00:37:11
I mean, I will say not to pick on Robin
00:37:13
Hood, but okay, I'm going to pick on
00:37:15
Robin Hood a little bit. There are
00:37:16
others out there. Robin Hood's probably
00:37:18
just the most well-known. When you can
00:37:20
easily download an app, trade options,
00:37:22
and you get confetti thrown at you on
00:37:25
screen for winning money, that feels
00:37:27
like a casino, and that's not exactly
00:37:29
the intelligent pro-social sector of
00:37:31
capital markets that Warren Buffett is
00:37:33
referring to. So, good for Warren for
00:37:36
taking a stand against derivatives and
00:37:38
often taking a vocal stand to explain
00:37:40
things, especially risky things that
00:37:43
other people uh in the markets weren't
00:37:44
either addressing, weren't aware of, or
00:37:47
needed someone smart to come in and
00:37:48
explain. And the last topic today, the
00:37:51
last Buffett ism that I think Buffett
00:37:53
just added a lot of wisdom to over the
00:37:55
years is trust and character and
00:37:58
reputation. Yes, he's the oracle of
00:38:00
Omaha, a stock picker, a value investor,
00:38:03
a capital compounding savant. But his
00:38:05
true edge isn't intelligence or
00:38:07
investing acumen. It's trust and
00:38:10
character and reputation. Because once
00:38:12
you've built a reputation for honesty
00:38:13
and reliability, people want to do
00:38:15
business with you. As we've seen with
00:38:16
Warren Buffett, they trust you with
00:38:18
their money, their careers, and their
00:38:19
futures. And in a world full of
00:38:21
spreadsheets and tickers and technical
00:38:23
one-upsmanship, Buffett reminds us that
00:38:26
the most valuable asset doesn't really
00:38:27
show up on a balance sheet. It's your
00:38:29
name. He said, "It takes 20 years to
00:38:31
build a reputation and 5 minutes to ruin
00:38:33
it. If you think about that, you'll do
00:38:35
things differently." Buffett's entire
00:38:37
empire at Bergkshire Hathway is built on
00:38:39
trust. It's not a coincidence. In fact,
00:38:41
it's pretty remarkable that many of
00:38:44
Bergkshire's deals, especially those
00:38:46
done in a hurry, they come together
00:38:48
without term sheets, without endless due
00:38:50
diligence, without the legal footnotes.
00:38:52
And as scary as that might sound in
00:38:54
today's latigious world, those deals are
00:38:56
built on trust because people want to
00:38:59
sell to Buffett. If you've ever listened
00:39:00
to some of the stories in some of the
00:39:02
shareholders meetings, there are some
00:39:04
giant companies that proactively reach
00:39:06
out to Buffett and they say, "We're
00:39:08
selling and we want to sell to you." And
00:39:10
if you think about that, if you were in
00:39:12
Buffett's position, you might say, "Boy,
00:39:14
if you're coming just to me, I'm going
00:39:16
to offer you a really low ball price,
00:39:18
but that's not the case. Buffett would
00:39:19
offer a fair price. These people are
00:39:21
reaching out to Buffett. They want to
00:39:23
partner with him because they trust him
00:39:25
to do what he says he'll do." From the
00:39:28
owners of the Nebraska Furniture Mart,
00:39:30
one of the largest furniture stores in
00:39:31
the country, to the family behind the
00:39:33
BNSF Railway, Buffett is known for
00:39:36
keeping his word and treating these
00:39:37
companies fairly, treating the people
00:39:39
fairly. He doesn't renegotiate terms
00:39:41
down the line. He doesn't backstab. He
00:39:43
doesn't nickel and dime. When Buffett
00:39:45
took over Solomon Brothers in the early
00:39:46
90s, 1991, he famously testified in
00:39:49
front of Congress, "If you lose money
00:39:51
for the firm, I will be understanding.
00:39:53
But if you lose a shred of reputation, I
00:39:55
will be ruthless. Yes, profits are nice,
00:39:57
but integrity is more important.
00:39:59
Integrity scales." When Buffett buys a
00:40:01
company, he wants to leave the founder
00:40:03
or the CEO in place. You heard that
00:40:05
right. Buffett doesn't want to start
00:40:06
leading the company. He wants to leave
00:40:08
the management team in place. No
00:40:10
micromanaging, no cultural transplant
00:40:13
because he trusts the people he invests
00:40:15
in. And he only invests in people he can
00:40:16
trust. One of his more famous lines is
00:40:18
about this trifecta he looks for in a
00:40:21
business partner. He says, "We look for
00:40:23
three things when we hire people.
00:40:24
Intelligence, energy, and integrity.
00:40:27
Because if you don't have the last one,
00:40:28
the first two will kill you." Again,
00:40:30
intelligence, energy, and integrity. If
00:40:33
you don't have the last one, integrity,
00:40:35
the first two will kill you. You can't
00:40:37
really outsource trust. You can't fake
00:40:39
character. You either have it or you
00:40:41
don't. Eventually, the cream will rise
00:40:42
to the top. And Buffett's entire
00:40:44
framework, his investing style, his
00:40:46
management philosophy, his public image
00:40:48
is built around filtering for that, for
00:40:50
that trust. You see it in his
00:40:52
partnerships, like with Charlie Munger.
00:40:54
It was a 60-year relationship that never
00:40:56
required a contract. You see it in the
00:40:58
way Buffett handles Bergkshire Hathway's
00:40:59
annual meetings, right? Transparent and
00:41:01
unscripted and honest even when it's
00:41:03
uncomfortable. You see it in the
00:41:05
shareholder letters. He doesn't dodge
00:41:06
the bad years or the bad performance. He
00:41:08
owns it. And in doing so, he earns even
00:41:10
more trust. Back to the the Solomon
00:41:12
brother scandal. When Buffett joined the
00:41:14
board in 1991 to help that firm survive,
00:41:16
a major scandal it was going through
00:41:18
involving illegal treasury trading.
00:41:21
Solomon's reputation was in the gutter
00:41:22
and morale at the firm was crushed and
00:41:25
the feds were really circling in about
00:41:27
to close the firm. And Buffett's fix to
00:41:29
that was to tell the truth and to take
00:41:32
responsibility and to own the mistakes
00:41:34
and rebuild the trust from the ground
00:41:36
up. And Solomon survived, albeit barely.
00:41:39
But Buffett's message rang true beyond
00:41:41
Wall Street that reputation is a moat.
00:41:44
And if you lose your reputation, you
00:41:46
lose everything. Going back to branding,
00:41:48
Buffett's personal brand is so strong
00:41:50
that tens of thousands of people flock
00:41:53
to Omaha every year to hear him talk for
00:41:55
six hours about insurance and railroads
00:41:57
and seize chocolate candies because they
00:42:00
trust him. They believe him. They want
00:42:01
to learn from him, not just about
00:42:03
investing. They want to learn how to
00:42:04
live. And that's the Buffett dividend.
00:42:06
When you live by a trusted set of
00:42:08
principles, you attract people who want
00:42:10
to live the same way. Your network
00:42:11
improves, your opportunities grow, your
00:42:13
upside compounds, not because you're the
00:42:15
smartest person in the room, but because
00:42:17
you're the one that people know they can
00:42:18
rely on. What did Charlie Mer say? We
00:42:21
take the high road because it's less
00:42:22
crowded. It's less crowded up there.
00:42:24
Now, the hard part is that trust takes
00:42:26
years to earn and can take seconds to
00:42:29
lose. And Buffett is careful with his
00:42:31
words. He's plain spoken, but never
00:42:33
careless. He underpromises and
00:42:34
overdelivers, admits mistakes, avoids
00:42:36
conflicts of interest. Crucially, he
00:42:38
plays the long game. He didn't chase
00:42:40
shortcuts. He didn't fall for shiny
00:42:42
gimmicks. He built slowly and steadily
00:42:44
because he knew the compounding effect
00:42:45
of trusts was just as powerful as the
00:42:47
compounding effect of capital and time.
00:42:50
He said, "You can't make a good deal
00:42:52
with a bad person." And in a world
00:42:54
obsessed with metrics and margins,
00:42:56
Buffett reminds us that the most
00:42:57
important assets are invisible. It's
00:42:59
your word and your reputation and your
00:43:01
ability to be trusted. Not necessarily
00:43:03
sexy things. Certainly, they don't show
00:43:05
up in quarterly reports, but they're the
00:43:07
bedrock of everything that Warren
00:43:08
Buffett built at Bergkshire Hathaway.
00:43:10
And if you want to play that long game
00:43:11
with money or with people or with your
00:43:13
career, you'd be wise to follow his lead
00:43:15
because reputation doesn't just protect
00:43:17
your downside, it opens doors that
00:43:19
spreadsheets never could. So, Warren
00:43:21
Buffett, thank you very much for the
00:43:22
lifetime of immortal lessons. Thanks for
00:43:25
tuning in to this episode of Personal
00:43:27
Finance for Long-Term Investors. If you
00:43:30
have a question for Jesse to answer on a
00:43:32
future episode, send him an email over
00:43:34
at his blog, The Bestinest. His email
00:43:36
address is [email protected].
00:43:39
Again, that's jessevestinterest.blog.
00:43:43
Did you enjoy the show? Subscribe, rate,
00:43:45
and review the podcast wherever you
00:43:47
listen. This helps others find the show
00:43:49
and invest in knowledge themselves. And
00:43:52
we really appreciate it. We'll catch you
00:43:54
on the next episode of Personal Finance
00:43:56
for Long-Term Investors. Personal
00:43:58
Finance for Long-Term Investors is a
00:44:00
personal podcast meant for education and
00:44:03
entertainment. It should not be taken as
00:44:05
financial advice and it's not
00:44:06
prescriptive of your financial
00:44:08
situation.

Badges

This episode stands out for the following:

  • 60
    Most quotable
  • 60
    Best concept / idea
  • 60
    Most influential

Episode Highlights

  • Warren Buffett's Retirement Announcement
    A special episode dedicated to the wisdom of Warren Buffett and his investing philosophy.
    @ 00m 54s
    July 02, 2025
  • The Benefits of Long-Term Thinking
    Buffett emphasizes patience and discipline in investing, teaching us to think like owners.
    “Time, not timing, is the investor's greatest ally.”
    @ 02m 36s
    July 02, 2025
  • Buffett's Circle of Competence
    Understand your strengths and stay within your circle of competence for better investment decisions.
    “Know your circle of competence and stay inside it.”
    @ 04m 56s
    July 02, 2025
  • Intrinsic Value Explained
    Buffett's approach to intrinsic value helps us evaluate investments based on future cash flows.
    “What is this thing really worth?”
    @ 08m 17s
    July 02, 2025
  • Margin of Safety in Investing
    Buffett's principle of margin of safety protects investors from being wrong or facing bad luck.
    “You don't try to drive a 9800 lb truck over a bridge that says limit 10,000 lb.”
    @ 15m 08s
    July 02, 2025
  • Buffett's Rules for Investing
    Buffett emphasizes the importance of never losing money and maintaining a margin of safety.
    “Rule number one is never lose money.”
    @ 16m 37s
    July 02, 2025
  • Understanding Economic Moats
    Buffett seeks businesses with durable competitive advantages, or economic moats, to ensure long-term success.
    “In business, I look for economic castles protected by unreachable moats.”
    @ 30m 37s
    July 02, 2025
  • Buffett on Derivatives
    Buffett warns that most derivatives activity is purely speculative, akin to gambling.
    “A very high percentage... will be strictly gambling in nature.”
    @ 34m 10s
    July 02, 2025
  • Long-Term Investing Philosophy
    Buffett advocates for long-term investment strategies over speculative gambling.
    “What we need are investors and advisers who look at the long-term prospects.”
    @ 36m 44s
    July 02, 2025
  • The Importance of Trust
    Buffett's success is built on trust, character, and reputation, not just intelligence.
    “It takes 20 years to build a reputation and 5 minutes to ruin it.”
    @ 38m 31s
    July 02, 2025

Episode Quotes

Key Moments

  • Warren Buffett00:54
  • Long-Term Thinking02:16
  • Intrinsic Value08:15
  • Margin of Safety13:36
  • Buffett's Wisdom16:37
  • Economic Moats25:30
  • Speculative Betting34:30
  • Trust in Business38:10

Words per Minute Over Time

Vibes Breakdown

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