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Don't Expect Long-term Relief from the New ECB Funding Proposal

September 13, 2012 / 02:56

This episode discusses Europe's deficit challenges, ECB measures, and the potential political repercussions in Germany. Wharton Finance Professor Franklin Allen shares his insights.

Franklin Allen explains that recent proposals from the European Central Bank (ECB) are unlikely to provide long-term solutions to the continent's financial issues. He emphasizes that printing money cannot resolve these problems, as it only offers temporary relief.

Allen highlights the growing risks associated with the ECB's actions, including the expansion of their balance sheet and the increasing liabilities for German taxpayers. He notes that public sentiment in Germany is shifting against these financial measures.

The conversation touches on the Target Two imbalances and the direct purchases made by the ECB, which contribute to the financial strain on Germany and other countries like the Netherlands and Finland.

Overall, the episode raises important questions about the sustainability of the ECB's approach and the potential for significant political backlash in Germany.

TL;DR

Franklin Allen discusses the temporary nature of ECB measures for Europe's deficit challenges and the growing political backlash in Germany.

Episode

2:56
00:00:01
[Music]
00:00:08
[Music]
00:00:19
don't expect the latest proposal for
00:00:21
resolving Europe's massive deficit
00:00:23
challenges to buy more than a few months
00:00:25
relief the same as other recent programs
00:00:28
each one seems to have a temporary
00:00:30
effect but in the end you can't solve
00:00:33
these problems by printing money says
00:00:35
Wharton Finance Professor Franklin Allen
00:00:38
so this is an important issue as to
00:00:40
whether the measures introduced by the
00:00:43
ECB will be any different than any of
00:00:46
the
00:00:47
other attempts to solve the problem that
00:00:50
we've had over the last few years each
00:00:52
one of them seems to have had an effect
00:00:55
temporarily and then we get back to the
00:00:57
normal situation now in the end you
00:01:01
can't solve problems by printing money
00:01:04
you can buy some time but the ECB is not
00:01:07
going to be able to solve this issue by
00:01:11
printing money and buying back these
00:01:13
debt it's taking risks doing that and in
00:01:16
fact one of the interesting questions is
00:01:19
whether this will finally push the
00:01:20
Germans over the edge so I think this
00:01:24
this is very much something that we need
00:01:27
to wait and see but I would be surprised
00:01:29
if if this did more than by a few months
00:01:33
it could be that they end up expanding
00:01:35
their balance sheet by another half
00:01:36
trillion to trillion Euros but this is
00:01:39
going to start leading to very big
00:01:43
political repercussions in Germany we're
00:01:46
already seeing that the German public it
00:01:48
seems are beginning to turn against this
00:01:51
because the exposures that they are now
00:01:53
have are growing very fast we've had the
00:01:57
Target Two imbalances they're still
00:02:00
growing we've got these
00:02:02
direct purchases in the ECB already we
00:02:06
have the SNP
00:02:07
purchases which are substantial and then
00:02:10
we've got the direct liabilities of the
00:02:13
various German banks on on uh some of
00:02:16
the periphery countries so the taxpayer
00:02:20
is at liability particularly in Germany
00:02:22
also in the Netherlands and Finland and
00:02:24
so the chances that we'll see some kind
00:02:28
of backlash I think are growing
00:02:30
significantly
00:02:35
[Music]

Episode Highlights

  • Franklin Allen on ECB Measures
    Wharton Finance Professor Franklin Allen discusses the limitations of ECB's monetary strategies.
    “You can't solve problems by printing money.”
    @ 01m 01s
    September 13, 2012
  • Growing Backlash in Germany
    The German public is increasingly turning against the ECB's financial strategies due to rising liabilities.
    “The taxpayer is at liability, particularly in Germany.”
    @ 02m 20s
    September 13, 2012

Episode Quotes

  • You can't solve problems by printing money.
    Don't Expect Long-term Relief from the New ECB Funding Proposal
  • The taxpayer is at liability, particularly in Germany.
    Don't Expect Long-term Relief from the New ECB Funding Proposal

Key Moments

  • ECB Challenges00:19
  • Temporary Relief00:28
  • Political Repercussions01:39
  • Public Backlash02:20

Words per Minute Over Time

Vibes Breakdown

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