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Finding Strategic Opportunities: BCG and Knowledge@Wharton

September 29, 2009 / 08:01

This episode discusses strategies for companies to thrive during economic downturns, featuring insights on counter-cyclical thinking, investment in innovation, and altering business models.

The conversation emphasizes the importance of understanding which parts of a business can attack while others may need to survive. Executives are encouraged to focus on strategic opportunities rather than merely surviving.

Key strategies include offering lenient payment terms to profitable customers, increasing marketing and innovation investments, and raiding competitors' customers and talent. An example is given of a company called Wolf that successfully targeted a competitor's stronghold during a downturn.

The episode highlights the potential for altering business models during financial downturns, citing Apple's transformation in the early 2000s as a significant example. It argues that downturns can reset market positions for years.

Finally, the discussion points out that downturns present opportunities for bargain hunting, with deals often being more valuable during these times, allowing companies to acquire assets and intellectual property at lower prices.

TL;DR

Companies can thrive in downturns by seizing strategic opportunities and investing in innovation.

Episode

8:01
00:00:01
[Music]
00:00:11
companies that win in an economic
00:00:13
downturn see the threats and downside
00:00:15
potential but Focus instead on strategic
00:00:19
opportunities rather than simply
00:00:21
surviving a downturn they seek to climb
00:00:24
the Pyramid of ambition and win market
00:00:28
share some parts of your business might
00:00:31
be fighting to survive While others are
00:00:34
in a position to attack and these
00:00:36
attackers will then be able to help
00:00:40
other parts of the business to survive
00:00:42
by generating cash so understanding this
00:00:45
for each part of your business is
00:00:46
crucial not only to survival but also
00:00:49
for positioning for the
00:00:51
upswing winning companies leverage their
00:00:55
capabilities reinforce core strengths
00:00:58
look for weaknesses in their competitors
00:01:00
and seek opportunities to make
00:01:02
inroads the most important thing for
00:01:05
executives today to understand is that
00:01:07
recessions come and recessions go the
00:01:10
trick is to be prepared to win as we
00:01:12
come out of the recession and it is to
00:01:14
be prepared with the assets to be
00:01:16
prepared with the capabilities and to be
00:01:18
prepared with the financial wherewithal
00:01:21
so that you can take share rapidly from
00:01:23
a weakened competitor set as we come out
00:01:25
of the recession being ready being
00:01:28
focused being being structured and being
00:01:31
prepared to win will be the key
00:01:33
differences between the winners and the
00:01:36
losers here are five ways to capitalize
00:01:39
on the global
00:01:41
downturn think counter
00:01:43
cyclically the usual reaction in a
00:01:46
downturn is to tighten payment terms
00:01:49
instead consider giving more profitable
00:01:51
customers more lenient payment terms
00:01:54
make terms stricter for less attractive
00:01:57
accounts the net impact on income will
00:01:59
be neutral or even
00:02:02
positive also increase marketing or
00:02:05
innovation Investments taking money out
00:02:08
of your Innovation budget your portfolio
00:02:12
in most cases is close to suicidal
00:02:15
you're often better served by increasing
00:02:18
rather than cutting back it's really
00:02:20
what's going to provide the opportunity
00:02:23
to come out of the recession faster
00:02:26
stronger and more competitively
00:02:28
advantaged so so I tell companies that
00:02:32
that would be the last place typically
00:02:34
that I would cut you want to keep that
00:02:36
R&D keep the technical function going so
00:02:39
when the Market's opportunity emerges
00:02:42
you're ready to
00:02:43
respond uh that kind of you know a
00:02:46
rather dramatic pathology of this sort
00:02:50
is General Motors efforts in electric
00:02:52
car General Motors push perhaps
00:02:54
prematurely to Market but in response to
00:02:57
that completely ended that effort and
00:02:59
now now in their current distress
00:03:01
situation scrambling to resurrect uh
00:03:05
that R&D that technical capabilities uh
00:03:08
that had been present in The Firm raid
00:03:11
your competitors customers and
00:03:13
talent While others cut back on customer
00:03:16
service costs increase your
00:03:19
Investments it's critical that you
00:03:21
understand where the profitable targets
00:03:23
are which customers are your best
00:03:25
customers which customers are where you
00:03:27
make your money and make sure that you
00:03:29
invest heavily behind those customers so
00:03:31
you retain them you might also be
00:03:33
focusing on your competitor's best
00:03:35
customers a downturn can create
00:03:38
opportunities to try out aggressive
00:03:40
Maneuvers like attacking the profit
00:03:42
stronghold of your
00:03:44
competitors a large Diversified
00:03:46
Industrial company that we'll call Wolf
00:03:50
uh that was very strong across all of
00:03:52
the sectors that it played in had a a
00:03:55
competitor who's more narrowly focused
00:03:58
uh that we'll call sheep
00:04:00
during a downturn sheep ran into some
00:04:03
financial difficulty not because it
00:04:05
wasn't a terrific company but because it
00:04:06
was so focused on this particular sector
00:04:10
wolf had some very strong Innovation
00:04:13
capabilities and decided that now was
00:04:15
the time to pounce and so they developed
00:04:19
a product line that went after the 20
00:04:22
highest
00:04:23
selling uh products or SKS in sheep's
00:04:28
portfolio fast fast forward what
00:04:30
happened sheep eventually had to put
00:04:32
itself up for sale they were able to
00:04:35
find a buyer the company was
00:04:38
W and keep an eye out for talented
00:04:41
people who've been Let Go by
00:04:44
competitors another key strategy is to
00:04:47
alter your business model in strategic
00:04:49
game-changing ways and the perfect time
00:04:52
to create a new business model is during
00:04:55
a financial downturn when it's harder
00:04:57
for competitors to see
00:05:00
a great example is what Apple did in the
00:05:04
2201 time frame it was not only IOD but
00:05:08
it was the iTunes it was the software
00:05:11
which was easy to use it was the very
00:05:15
large music catalog that they brought
00:05:18
and then finally Apple had a consistent
00:05:21
pricing model and so when you put that
00:05:24
all together Apple changed the business
00:05:27
from I'm selling a piece of hardware an
00:05:29
MP3 player to a fundamentally different
00:05:32
proposition which is I'm enabling you as
00:05:35
a consumer to easily and smoothly
00:05:39
seamlessly download and play back the
00:05:42
music that you want to hear and that's a
00:05:45
very different business and business
00:05:47
model than I'm making a piece of of
00:05:50
hardware and selling it and so the first
00:05:53
mover Advantage by changing your
00:05:55
business model can be greatly enhanced
00:05:58
because it just takes that much longer
00:06:00
for your competitors to see what's going
00:06:02
on and be able to react to it strategy
00:06:05
is most interesting at points of
00:06:08
transition uh so this is incredible
00:06:11
opportunity for firms who can think
00:06:13
clearly about strategic opportunities to
00:06:16
really establish themselves strategy in
00:06:18
markets of calm can make incremental
00:06:21
differences strategy in transition
00:06:23
period such as this can really reset
00:06:26
positions for firms for many years
00:06:28
perhaps even a decade or so finally the
00:06:32
downturn is also a great time to go
00:06:34
bargain
00:06:36
hunting and we found that the value of
00:06:39
deals is actually 15% higher in a
00:06:42
downturn than in other times so the
00:06:45
downturn not only opens up opportunities
00:06:48
to find assets cheaply it also allows
00:06:51
you to integrate them in a way that they
00:06:54
fit into your current company companies
00:06:57
that invest in the downtimes can avoid
00:07:00
overpaying other Bargains can be found
00:07:02
on intellectual property many
00:07:05
traditional sources of funding for small
00:07:07
companies have dried up if you have cash
00:07:10
you can often acquire IP at fire sale
00:07:15
prices each of these strategies requires
00:07:17
an ability to see beyond the immediate
00:07:21
crisis winning companies look at a
00:07:24
downturn as a chance to recreate their
00:07:28
industry on their their own terms
00:07:33
[Music]
00:07:53
[Music]

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    Best concept / idea

Episode Highlights

  • Winning in a Downturn
    Companies that thrive during economic downturns focus on strategic opportunities rather than just survival.
    “The trick is to be prepared to win as we come out of the recession.”
    @ 01m 10s
    September 29, 2009
  • Innovate, Don't Cut Back
    Increasing investments in marketing and innovation can lead to faster recovery post-recession.
    “You're often better served by increasing rather than cutting back.”
    @ 02m 18s
    September 29, 2009
  • Bargain Hunting During Downturns
    The downturn is a prime time for acquiring assets at lower prices and integrating them effectively.
    “The value of deals is actually 15% higher in a downturn.”
    @ 06m 39s
    September 29, 2009

Episode Quotes

  • Recessions come and recessions go.
    Finding Strategic Opportunities: BCG and Knowledge@Wharton
  • The downturn opens up opportunities to find assets cheaply.
    Finding Strategic Opportunities: BCG and Knowledge@Wharton

Key Moments

  • Economic Resilience00:11
  • Strategic Opportunities00:19
  • Innovation Investment02:20
  • Bargain Hunting06:32

Words per Minute Over Time

Vibes Breakdown

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