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How a Short-term Shock Can Change Your Firm's Long-term Course

October 01, 2015 / 07:57

This episode discusses firm evolution, IPO impacts, and environmental changes affecting business strategies. The guest emphasizes the importance of adaptability during significant transitions.

The guest examines how firms develop differences, particularly during the IPO process. They highlight that firms are more adaptable during this time, which can lead to long-term effects on their capabilities.

Key findings indicate that unexpected shocks during an IPO can influence a firm's technological direction and strengths for years to come. The guest suggests that managers should be aware of these dynamics when transitioning from private to public status.

Additionally, the conversation touches on how other disruptive events, such as management changes or mergers, can similarly affect firm adaptability. The guest aims to extend their research to understand these impacts more comprehensively.

Overall, the episode provides insights for managers on the importance of recognizing environmental influences during critical business transitions.

TLDR

The episode covers how IPOs and environmental changes affect firm adaptability and long-term capabilities.

Episode

7:57
00:00:04
I'm interested in the way that firms develop specifically I look at the origin of firm differences and within a
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technological context now the the subject of why firms are different has received some attention in the
00:00:22
literature but traditionally people have sort of waved it away the standard view
00:00:26
in economics is to actually control for firm differences and then to look at you
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know apples-to-apples comparisons across firms and that works within that context
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pretty well even within the traditional strategic frameworks it is very normal to take a stock of the firm's strengths
00:00:44
weaknesses capabilities and then allow the firm to do an analysis of where it can fit into a competitive landscape now
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all of that person's that the firm's strengths and weaknesses are relatively
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fixed and that has served us pretty well you know in management but what happens
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when the environment change if the activity that your firm is engaged in at any given moment is serving you well and
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then there's a radical shift in the environment the firm might find itself had a loss as to how to react to that
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and so it turns out that we don't have a lot of very good frameworks to allow a
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firm to enact change and to consciously adapt to the new environment we know that firms can sometimes change we have
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observed that and documented it but even more frequently we see firms not being able to change and react and then the
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splendor and fail so for me my interest is to try to understand firm evolution from the early stages so that we can see
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periods during which firms are changing and adapting then possibly glean some insights into how that can then be
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consciously applied by firms add maturity in order to deal with the environmental turbulence that they might
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be experiencing now more specifically what I do is that I look at a sample of about 1,200 firms around the time when
00:02:05
they go public my hypothesis is that this is a time of radical change for the firm during which they're much more
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plastic than they would be otherwise given the amount of things that are changing in terms of both the four
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normal and the informal structures so then what I do is I control for firms that went through the IPO as planned
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versus a set of groups as it affirms that experience a shock that was unexpected around the time of going
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public and then I compared to see whether that shock leads to divergent development afterwards so what I'm
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trying to find is to see if I can pick up a case of more hiding plasticity in the firm as it's going through this IPO
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process and then what I find is that in fact there's a very short window of about 18 months around the time when
00:02:54
they go public where they are particularly susceptible to the environment and thus the conditions that
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they experienced at that point seemed to determine even 20 years later the type of firm that they are their strengths
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their weaknesses in terms of their technological direction some of the key takeaways from the
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research are that we find that not only do firms develop tastes and in preferences but rather they seem to be
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actually developing what we would call capabilities that is the the technological ability to do things
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differently the firms that were exposed to for example non conducive environments for acquisitions
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counterbalance that by developing stronger internal research capabilities and so that suggests that what is
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driving this is not so much the top management predilection or preferences for doing one thing versus another but
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rather something that is ingrained at deeper levels of the organization in terms of what the people and the
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routines and the structures of the firm allow it to do in my case looking at research intensive activities and you
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know so that is valuable in allowing us to actually locate you know the locus of
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where the persistence of these temporary sharks ultimately resides in the long term
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for businesses my research might ultimately give them a more insight into what they can change what they cannot
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change and how now this is a big agenda and for now I've barely scratched the
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surface by documenting that short periods of sensitivity can have lasting effect on what the firm can ultimately
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do but for managers even in the short term it hints at perhaps the importance of being aware of when they're going
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through a transition such as going public in how that might have unintended effects in disrupting their prior plans
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so the best-laid business plan up to the IPO may not be what works best going forward given for example an unexpected
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shock so you know for managers managing the transition from being a private firm
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to a public firm this should inform at least the awareness to be much more conscious about what the environment was
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like at the time and how that may have inadvertently influence decisions that you know seem trivial at the time such
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as what type of people they're hiring in what sort of routines are developing but
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also might end up shifting the direction of the firm in ways that they had not anticipated now stepping away from the
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IPO context I think it's important to note that these things are actually you
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know probably not limited to the IPO there's other disruptive events and I think that you know some of these
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findings should generalize for managers to think about whether other disruptions
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such as changes in management or mergers can also be disruptive in also managing
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that transition I think that my research suggests that it is important to look at
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the way that the environment is a hitherto you know relatively ignored component of what is shaping the firm
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and how it affects the firm differently at different times the choice of looking at IPOs is a
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convenient one from a data perspective in that looking at a very large sample it provides a very clean before and
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after situation where we can you know pinpoint when change what's happening but theoretically there's nothing to
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limit us to saying that the IPO is somehow privileged as a window I mean as I said there might be mergers
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acquisitions death of founders in all sorts of transfer transformative events that might have a similar impact on the
00:06:43
firm so I'm extending my research by looking at different conditions that might also precipitate these periods of
00:06:49
hiding plasticity in the firm moving beyond just the sort of temporal effects I'm also looking at digging deeper into
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what precisely is going within the firm so whereas you know my study so far have
00:07:02
looked at large sample firms and statistical data that that hints at what's really going on to get a much
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more tangible feel for that requires getting into a smaller set of firms or going deeper in looking at actually
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interviews and more case grounded type of approach to really you know provide much more tangible evidence that the
00:07:21
like I said the whether the change is being perpetuated through formal or informal routines or formal or informal
00:07:28
relationships or whether it's at the top or at the bottom of the organization
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you

Episode Highlights

  • Understanding Firm Evolution
    Exploring how firms adapt to environmental changes and the impact of IPOs.
    “My interest is to try to understand firm evolution.”
    @ 01m 39s
    October 01, 2015
  • The Importance of Transition Awareness
    Managers must be conscious of environmental influences during transitions like IPOs.
    “This should inform awareness to be much more conscious.”
    @ 05m 12s
    October 01, 2015

Episode Quotes

  • What happens when the environment changes?
    How a Short-term Shock Can Change Your Firm's Long-term Course
  • The best-laid business plan may not work after an unexpected shock.
    How a Short-term Shock Can Change Your Firm's Long-term Course

Key Moments

  • Firm Differences00:16
  • Environmental Change00:59
  • IPO Sensitivity02:50
  • Transition Management05:37

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