00:00:00
I do think Trump would only do this if
00:00:02
he had a very high probability of
00:00:04
success and an offramp. However, it's
00:00:06
not looking good with the offramp right
00:00:08
now. If the neocons get their way and
00:00:11
the people on poly market are correct,
00:00:13
the sharps who say 57% chance we'll have
00:00:15
boots on the ground. I think this is
00:00:17
kind of the end of Trump's second term.
00:00:19
And if you were to put together the
00:00:21
series of mistakes that he's made and
00:00:24
the administration's made, they're
00:00:26
really at the heart of why people voted
00:00:29
for him. Number one, doing the war that
00:00:31
everybody said he should not do. Number
00:00:33
two, the Epstein files. Number three,
00:00:34
the ICE cruelty. And number four, not
00:00:37
working for the American working man who
00:00:39
doesn't own equities. You start putting
00:00:41
these things together. If this continues
00:00:44
for another 6 months, it's basically
00:00:46
going to result in the Democrats doing a
00:00:49
clean sweep in the midterms. This is the
00:00:52
chart that should be absolutely
00:00:54
terrifying. The chances of the Democrats
00:00:56
sweeping now is up to 45%. If he doesn't
00:00:58
find an offer ramp quickly, they're
00:01:00
going to lose both houses in the
00:01:02
midterms. That's I think the thing Trump
00:01:04
needs to really consider and I think he
00:01:06
will consider it. I think he's going to
00:01:07
find an offer
