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Did Super Bowl Ads Just Predict an AI Crash? | Pivot

February 10, 2026 / 01:09:13

This episode of Pivot covers topics including the Super Bowl, Amazon's spending plans, and the future of the Washington Post. Hosts Cara Swisher and Scott Galloway discuss their indifference towards the Super Bowl, highlighting the ads and performances, particularly Bad Bunny's halftime show. They also analyze Amazon's projected $200 billion spending increase and its implications for the tech industry.

Swisher and Galloway express their lack of interest in the Super Bowl, with Galloway mentioning his preference for ads like those from Anthropics. They critique various Super Bowl ads, including those that they found overly sentimental or ineffective, while praising the creativity of others.

The conversation shifts to Amazon's significant spending plans, with Galloway discussing the impact of AI and robotics on the company's future. They highlight the competitive landscape of tech spending, noting how Amazon's investments could affect market dynamics.

Finally, they address Jeff Bezos's comments on the Washington Post, following recent layoffs and leadership changes. Galloway criticizes Bezos's management of the paper and discusses the challenges facing traditional media.

TL;DR

Swisher and Galloway discuss the Super Bowl, Amazon's spending, and the Washington Post's future under Bezos.

Video

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Jeff, you're bad at this. Just at least
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have a talk with me. Just meet me. I
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don't like you. You don't like me. So
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what?
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Hi everyone. This is Pivot from New York
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Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast
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Network. I'm Cara Swisser
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>> and I'm Scott Galloway.
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>> Go Seahawks.
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>> You like the Seahawks?
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>> I like Jod Allen, the owner. Uh sister
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of Paul Allen. I know her a tiny bit.
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Um, I knew Paul, her brother who died,
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um, who was one of the Microsoft
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founders, just really cool lady. And,
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uh, I can't stand Robert Craft. I think
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he's a terrible person. I, the whole cat
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Cat's family was for, um, uh, the
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Patriots only because they live there.
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Nobody likes Robert Craft. So, I was
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happy about that. I like the Seahawks.
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>> Well, I'm happy you're happy. Yeah,
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>> the thing that summarized how I feel
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about it was the Elmo the Elmo account
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said, "I hope both teams have a really
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fun time." That's about how much I care
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about the Super Bowl. And the other one
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was Elmo said, "He's not a bad bunny.
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He's a good bunny."
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>> He's a good bunny.
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>> That's That's how I
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>> NAGA lost its [ __ ] mind. We'll get to
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that. But first, let's have a little bit
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of um resistant unsubscribe. How's it
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going, Scott? You everywhere. You're
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like, you are like the village [ __ ] as
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they say.
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>> No, I'm not. I'm not a [ __ ] I'm a hor
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I'm a ho.
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>> We have a montage of Scott everywhere.
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Let's check it out.
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>> Resist and unsubscribe.
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>> Resist and unsubscribe.
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>> Explain to me why I should unsubscribe
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from Amazon Prime if you really want to
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hurt or send a message to the president.
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What he does listen to is the following.
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If you look at the times when he has
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really checked back, immediately
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responded and pulled back, it's been
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when one of two things has happened. The
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bond market yields have spiked or the
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S&P has gone down. This is when he
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backed off of his plans to annex
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Greenland. It's when he's backed off of
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tariffs. When you go after big tech
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platforms with just a small decline in
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spending, this is what moves the
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markets. I think the string we can pull
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here is to go after the subscription
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revenues of big tech that now represents
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40% of the S&P. You're hitting them with
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a $10,000 decrease in market cap with
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just one subscription cancellation. So,
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this is a chance to go after the soft
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tissue of big tech whose leaders the
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president appears to be listening to.
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>> Soft tissue you make hard.
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>> Tell me. So, tell me where we are.
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>> Came out of the gate strong. We're
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getting about 100,000 uniques a day. And
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I asked Chat GBT if I wanted to get
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100,000 uniques with no paid or what
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would it cost me to drive 100,000 people
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to a site?
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>> Go ahead.
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It was interesting. It said 100 to
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200,000 for the site, but it would take
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$4 to5 million. So, we're getting quote
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unquote $4 to5 million in traffic to the
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site with and I haven't paid a dime for
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anything. Um, but it started going down
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earlier in the week. So, I did some
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research on the uh bus strike in
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Alabama. Was it Alabama? And then the
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Kimmel thing. And what it ended up was
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that the study from Kellogg, which I'm
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really into about the protests that are
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effective versus those that aren't, is
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the unsubscribed to Disney were actually
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declining dramatically. But the thing
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that got Disney to reverse course was a
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ton of
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um media that was shaming them and
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creating dissent. And that the media
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that impacted that was traditional
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media. So, I decided on Tuesday I was
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going to get on as much traditional
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media as I could and I was able to do
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it. And then all of a sudden, the site
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visits are now back to about 100,000.
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But just to do the math,
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uh, a good e-commerce site gets 2 to 4%
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uh, conversion. This gets more cuz these
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are people just coming to the site.
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People are unsubscribing two to five
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platforms. So, let's call it three. So,
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I'm thinking I'm getting about 10,000
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unsubscribes a day or 300,000
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subscribes over the course of um over
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the course Anyways, I've done the math
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here. I think I think I can notionally
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take about a quarter of a billion
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dollars of market cap out of these
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companies.
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>> Yeah.
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>> And does that change anything? It
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doesn't. But it's irritating.
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>> It's a voice in the choir. And I asked
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Chad GPT what it thought of the
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resistance movement so far. A one is you
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throw a party, no one shows up, it
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damages your reputation, makes other
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protests less successful. In 10 is the
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president and Sam Alman are, you know,
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forced to to scale back some of this
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stuff. And it said right now you're at a
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six. And that is people in product
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management teams are probably talking
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about it, but not the executives yet.
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>> Oh, they are. And I thought that was
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sort of a fairly honest appraisal of
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where we are. But yeah, I've been all
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over the place.
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>> My sons know about it. Like I'm just
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telling you it's got a lot more I'm
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getting texts from people I haven't
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heard from in a while. Um so it's
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interesting. They all like it because
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here's why they have it's you can do
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something, right? Like I can do that.
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That's easy, right? It's not easy. I
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just I should do that. like it gives you
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permission to do something you kind of
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were going to do and it it gives you a
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framework and instructions right so
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that's why it's successful I think in
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that regard I think you have to do some
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more podcasts maybe possibly
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>> maybe Joe Rogan that's where I would go
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that's where you need
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>> well has invited me but yeah next week
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this week was traditional media this I'm
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sorry last week was traditional media
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this week I'll start doing
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>> um those people
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>> more pods and stuff like that Um, so
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yeah, I need to do I was just on Pierce
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Morgan and that digressed into a food
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fight with some ultra-conservative guys
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calling me desperate and trying to tank
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the US economy because we lost the
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election. But anyways, yeah, I think
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you're right. I think I have to
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>> not food fight people. Don't do the food
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fights. Don't go on any of those. Like
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>> I think you should go on like a Brett
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Bear or someone like that would be
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useful, but or any any of the more
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reasonable people over there. Not at
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hand because it's a food fight. Like you
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don't need a food fight for this. Like
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you need a like just let me explain it
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to you. I think Ro, the von um any of
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those people and they like you, right?
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Go on the let them go on Mel's thing.
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>> Yeah, but Mel makes you come up to
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Boston. So I was invited to go on the
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PBD podcast, but similar to Mel, he
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makes you come to him and he's in Fort
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Lauderdale, so I don't know. I should
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probably make the effort. Is it on is it
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on the way to Boston?
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>> Oh, not that guy.
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>> Well, I he is constantly wrong. If you
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want to be part of the resistance, you
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have to go behind enemy
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>> going to do a food fight with you.
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Whatever you're going to do end up doing
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a stupid food fight. You need to go on
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people that want to listen and will have
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a normal debate with you, but no, like
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you don't want to be used as a chew toy
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for the right on this one. I'm sorry. It
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just doesn't
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>> chew toy for the right.
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>> Yeah. Yeah. Tasty.
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>> Um, so I don't know. Well, I'll think of
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more ideas. I have some more ideas and
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studs. I mean, like you'd be better off
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on like a Mr. Beast or like somewhere
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like something where there's more
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>> Yeah. like that kind of stuff. Like just
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>> but one of the one of the ground zero
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CEOs called me Saturday morning and
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they're so good. They're so smart.
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They're just like I just want to
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understand it better. How are you? What
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could we do better?
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>> And like I got off the phone and I'm
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like maybe I should take them off the
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list. I'm like oh my god it's what it's
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what they do. It's what they do.
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>> They start massaging your feet. That's
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what they're doing. They're massaging
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your feet. They're like your feet.
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>> They're like, you know, we have some
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disagreements, but I really respect what
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you're trying to do here, Scott. I'm
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like, oh my gosh. I saw the post made
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you one of the 50.
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>> You got to believe I was number 49.
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>> Right there. But hold on.
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>> Oh, they're after you. They want to Kai
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Trump. Kai Trump is one of the I didn't
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even know there was a Kai in the Trump
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family.
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>> Yeah, she's a good golfer. I guess
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that's fine. Whatever.
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>> It's a pretty It's a pretty random list.
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>> You know what I say? You could smile
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more. You could smile more.
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>> No smiles in those pictures.
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>> No. The reason I have $100,000 in
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veneers is so I don't have to [ __ ]
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smile.
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>> I understand. And I was just I was just
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using the lady thing. Anyway, let's get
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to the Super Bowl. Anyway, I'll think of
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more ideas. I'll think I'm more stunts.
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More stunts. We could Let's figure out a
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stunt for South by Southwest. Something
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like that. Keep it going. Anyway, that's
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coming up. Um,
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you didn't watch the Super Bowl, right?
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No.
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>> No. I have almost no interest in the
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Super Bowl.
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>> So, did you watch any You watched the
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ads on other places where they had
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>> I watched some of the ads that people
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sent to me.
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>> Yeah. Many of them stand out. I still
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like the anthropic ones, I have to say.
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I thought I thought they won the day. Uh
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I didn't like the one on the Jewish kid
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being bullied.
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>> Um
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>> I didn't I don't
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>> too too virtue signalally.
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>> I think there are better more effective
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ways to talk about the risk of
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anti-semitism. I I actually don't in a
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weird way. I feel like it almost
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normalizes it or raises the prospect
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special kind of tone that kind of thing.
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>> Yeah. It's so funny what I noticed with
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I don't know if you've noticed this. I
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went to my kid's school when he was a
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seventh grader in middle school and
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there were nth graders come down the
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hall and I was way behind them and I
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thought, "Oh, this going to be
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interesting." In the seventh grade, if I
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ran into ninth graders in an
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unsupervised environment, they would
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pants me and throw me in the trash and
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take my lunch money.
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>> And instead, now they're like, "Hey,
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little man." And they high-five them.
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Yeah.
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>> I think things have changed a lot
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>> for some people
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>> in school. Yeah. The ads are always fun
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to watch. I don't I just could the whole
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Bad Bunny thing. I'm like he's the most
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popular entertainer in the world.
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>> We'll get to Bad Bunny second, but my
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favorite I liked I really like the
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anthropic ads. I like the elf. I like
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the funny ones. The elf ad there's a
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whole bunch of them that were super
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funny and I I prefer those. And of
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course, I have to say the Lays potato
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chip ad got me. Got me.
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>> Oh god, I thought that was so [ __ ]
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ridiculous.
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>> I know. But it got me. I agree. I knew
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it was
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>> the family farm. We fetishized
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manufacturing and farmers. The family
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farm is a corporation that's bought out
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all these little farmers 30 years ago.
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>> And yet it got me. I I want I was like
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don't don't
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>> How many How many college grad girls do
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you think are trying to help dad with
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their family?
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>> Hot too. like
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>> yeah,
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>> she's she's in PR for Prada dating a
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hedge fund manager
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>> and her father put her through Hollywood
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and she's hoping she's hoping to get a
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miniseries, but no, she's going to go
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home to Iowa to farm with her dad
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>> and wear a car heart. She had a
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beautiful That car heart didn't have a
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speck of [ __ ] dust on it. Did you
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notice that she had a Ralph Lauren ad?
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>> I know nothing to do with the family.
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>> But the potato chips are delicious. Let
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me just say I like a lace potato chip.
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They're quite good. They're good chips.
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They're They're a good chip. They're a
00:10:40
fine chip. Um I'm trying to think which
00:10:42
other one was funny. I didn't like the
00:10:43
really I didn't like the Emma Stone one
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or the George Clooney one. They were
00:10:46
weird. I don't want the weird ones. I
00:10:48
like the funny ones like the Instacart.
00:10:50
I thought the elf one was funny. Um I
00:10:53
have I will have to say the Jesus one
00:10:55
was good. The Christian like Jesus
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knows. I thought it was
00:10:59
>> Oh, those are always nice.
00:11:00
>> That not always. That one was well done.
00:11:02
>> No, the I thought the really powerful I
00:11:04
don't know if it's the same people. The
00:11:05
the Jesus wash their feet. That one
00:11:07
>> that you
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>> remember that from a few years ago?
00:11:09
>> This is a different one. Yeah,
00:11:10
>> this is a different one.
00:11:11
>> Yeah,
00:11:11
>> that kind of reminds me and it's not
00:11:13
totally related, but just FYI, Donald
00:11:17
Trump is mentioned more times in the
00:11:18
Epstein Files than Jesus is mentioned in
00:11:20
the Bible. Just saying. Or that the word
00:11:23
meth is said in all eight seasons of
00:11:25
Breaking Bad. Yeah,
00:11:26
>> but anyways, not related.
00:11:28
>> Not related. Anyway, they were they were
00:11:30
pretty they were decent ads. They
00:11:31
weren't I wouldn't I would say the
00:11:33
anthropic still head and freaking
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shoulders. Open had one that was
00:11:37
somewhat effective a little bit. I guess
00:11:40
I thought it was good.
00:11:41
>> It was solid, but not like the
00:11:42
anthropic. They got knocked out by
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anthropic.
00:11:45
>> But if the thing I looked at or the only
00:11:48
kind of insider or the thing I found
00:11:50
really interesting is if you look at the
00:11:51
ads,
00:11:52
>> a quarter of them were AI.
00:11:54
>> Yeah.
00:11:54
>> Uh 15 of the 66 were AI. The last time
00:11:58
tech was as dominant in the Super Bowl
00:12:00
in advertising, there's been two times
00:12:02
in the last 50 years. One was in 2022
00:12:04
when it was called the crypto bowl and
00:12:06
it was Binance and FTX and look what in
00:12:09
that year that was the year crypto blew
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up and there were a ton of bankruptcies
00:12:12
and then the time before that what year
00:12:14
Super Bowl did
00:12:17
it was 2000 January 2000 quarter of the
00:12:21
ads were froms pets.com and the like and
00:12:23
look what happened. So if you look at
00:12:26
economic history as a ratio or as the
00:12:29
ratio of tech ads being above a certain
00:12:32
amount, it implies this year is when AI
00:12:35
crashes.
00:12:36
>> Yeah. I'll tell you when I hate it was
00:12:38
the Mike Tyson one. I'm sorry. I just
00:12:40
like it was my government money. Like it
00:12:42
was my dollars paying for Mike Tyson who
00:12:45
has issues of his own to tell me to eat
00:12:47
an apple and that fat people are losome.
00:12:49
I'm sorry. That was really grotesque.
00:12:51
>> I've met Mike Tyson. He's a chain smoker
00:12:53
>> perhap. Yeah, I know. I was literally
00:12:54
like, "That's my [ __ ] tax dollar
00:12:56
telling me to eat an apple. Thanks."
00:12:58
That was really gross. And of course,
00:12:59
these Maha people are such, you know, it
00:13:02
was all their friends that made the ad.
00:13:03
And of course, Brett Ratner was the
00:13:04
director.
00:13:06
Sexual harasser was someone convicted
00:13:08
and brave.
00:13:08
>> I think that's them waving their middle
00:13:10
finger in our face.
00:13:12
>> That's my money. That's my like That's
00:13:15
my money. Cut it out. Don't tell me to
00:13:17
eat an apple. But let me just focus on
00:13:18
the Bad Bunny halftime show. knocked it
00:13:20
out of the park with a projected 108 28
00:13:23
million viewers. Apple was the one did
00:13:24
it and Rock Nation was the producer.
00:13:26
They they've been doing that's Jay-Z's
00:13:28
group has been doing a lot of the really
00:13:30
great Super Bowl ones. And so Jay-Z's
00:13:33
been in charge of picking Super Bowl
00:13:34
halftime for the last seven years.
00:13:36
They've been really good actually. Uh
00:13:38
Turning Point USA of course had a live
00:13:39
stream of an all-American show featuring
00:13:41
Kid Rock who looked like he was
00:13:43
lip-syncing. It seemed the reaction and
00:13:45
re-reaction to Bad Bunny Show was so
00:13:47
joyful and fun and it was so full of if
00:13:49
you wanted to go into it and look at the
00:13:51
layers of you know he's such an artist
00:13:53
like he's he's not just
00:13:55
>> he's the biggest artist in the world he
00:13:57
>> but not just that it was so full of
00:13:58
stuff but you could also just enjoy it
00:14:00
if you didn't know
00:14:01
>> full it was fun
00:14:02
>> right and there was
00:14:03
>> and I realized like people ask me what I
00:14:05
thought of the performance I'm like it's
00:14:07
not for me if Tom Petty or George
00:14:09
Michael can't be there which they can't
00:14:11
I don't care you know, but what I
00:14:14
realized is it's not for me. And it was
00:14:16
a brilliant move on behalf of Roger
00:14:18
Goodell because the NFL is investing in
00:14:19
the future because more than 50% for the
00:14:22
first time ever of people under the age
00:14:23
of 18 are non-white. And people
00:14:27
identifying people saw it as
00:14:29
anti-American to have Puerto Rican or
00:14:31
Ecuadorian flag. No, Reagan said it
00:14:33
best. Anyone can come to America and be
00:14:36
an American. And that's uniquely what
00:14:38
makes America America. They're so but
00:14:41
because they are not the culture war is
00:14:42
they're not winning it. Nobody wants to
00:14:43
watch Kid Rock. And by the way, I should
00:14:46
I should do a dramatic reading of Kid
00:14:48
Rock's lyrics is you know these people
00:14:50
that were they were defending including
00:14:52
that guy's show you want to go on.
00:14:53
They're like oh kid rock. I'm like
00:14:54
literally he talks about putting balls
00:14:56
in the mouth. Come put your
00:14:58
>> Okay. But the retort there is now do rap
00:15:00
stars.
00:15:00
>> Of course. But this wasn't Bad Bunny.
00:15:03
Like fine. Like so it was a bunch of
00:15:04
really
00:15:05
>> It was pretty clean. I agree. You know
00:15:07
who the other big winner was in the
00:15:08
Super Bowl was the prediction market
00:15:10
apps?
00:15:10
>> Yeah. Where did they couch download
00:15:13
spike last month? Uh the app recording 4
00:15:15
million downloads in January. That's up
00:15:17
from less than 2 million in December.
00:15:19
And not only that, it's going at you
00:15:22
know who it's killing? It's killing the
00:15:23
gambling apps. The prediction market
00:15:25
apps from DraftKings and FanDuel got
00:15:27
more people that use it the better. Um
00:15:30
but let me just finish up on Bunny. It
00:15:31
was a great show. It was very light, you
00:15:33
know, you had Peter Pascal as a
00:15:34
background a person and and and and
00:15:37
Cardi B and um uh a whole bunch of
00:15:40
people and I thought Ricky Martin was
00:15:42
lovely looking fantastic and Lady Gaga
00:15:45
was great. It was so joyful and for them
00:15:48
to like attack it and shows just what a
00:15:50
bunch of [ __ ] losers they are. I'm
00:15:52
sorry. They just really are. They It was
00:15:54
so beautiful and so life affirming and
00:15:57
forward thinking and it is where our
00:15:59
country is in a lot of ways. And all I
00:16:01
wanted to do is like I've been trying to
00:16:03
um take Spanish myself, learn Spanish.
00:16:06
I've got to learn Spanish so I under
00:16:08
could understand what he
00:16:09
>> It's a beautiful language. I took it for
00:16:10
5 years in high school. I took them to
00:16:12
seventh and 12th grade. I can barely
00:16:14
order at a Mexican restaurant.
00:16:15
>> Me too. And I've been try I've gotten
00:16:16
one of those apps and I keep coming on
00:16:18
and off of it. I have to learn. This is
00:16:20
the year I learned Spanish. This is the
00:16:22
year.
00:16:22
>> But but what I try to do is I try to
00:16:24
take economic trends away from the Super
00:16:26
Bowl, specifically the advertising. And
00:16:28
the two trends are the following. one,
00:16:30
it looks like this is the year that AI
00:16:31
might crash because there's so much
00:16:33
cheap capital going going into it visa v
00:16:35
the Super Bowl. And the second thing is
00:16:37
there's been a huge transfer in economic
00:16:41
value or market capitalization from the
00:16:43
gaming apps to the prediction apps. In
00:16:45
just the last 3 months, the earnings per
00:16:48
share estimates for Flutter
00:16:49
Entertainment, which is the gaming or
00:16:51
the gambling apps, has been cut in half.
00:16:53
And DraftKings earnings estimates are
00:16:55
also down 29%. The biggest apps were the
00:16:57
gambling apps and now the speculation
00:17:00
markets are taking their are eating
00:17:02
their lunch.
00:17:02
>> Absolutely. And as you noted the NFL
00:17:04
made a great choice here in terms of how
00:17:06
it handles that really smart and the
00:17:08
beautiful visual of San Francisco on the
00:17:11
front which was I'm sorry to tell you
00:17:12
was a rainbow flag kids but um also good
00:17:15
for San Francisco looking great. All
00:17:17
these people are like what were they
00:17:18
talking about looking great? San
00:17:20
Francisco's on the upswing and uh I have
00:17:22
to say um
00:17:23
>> oh it was great for it was great for
00:17:24
your city. It was like Chamber of
00:17:26
Commerce.
00:17:27
>> I The only time I turned it on was late
00:17:29
at night. It was like 11:30 and it or it
00:17:32
started and it was this immediately this
00:17:35
beautiful vista of the Golden Gate
00:17:36
Bridge around around the golden hour.
00:17:38
>> Yeah.
00:17:39
>> And you're just like, wow. Occasionally
00:17:40
there's a moment where you're in
00:17:41
California and you're like, why did I
00:17:42
leave?
00:17:42
>> All the time.
00:17:44
>> Why did I leave again?
00:17:45
>> Exactly. every [ __ ] day of the week
00:17:48
and twice on Sundays when I wake up
00:17:50
>> the fog comes in over the Golden Gate
00:17:52
cleans all this [ __ ] out of the air
00:17:54
>> and then it's crystal clear and sharp
00:17:56
and I mean it is
00:17:57
>> every morning I wake up Scott I weep
00:18:00
Louis moving there just so you know my
00:18:02
son is will be moving to San Francisco
00:18:04
and working for someone who's in
00:18:06
politics there but I'm so jealous of him
00:18:09
anyway he's living in our in the
00:18:11
>> Elmo says bad bunny's a good bunny
00:18:13
>> let's move on to the to speaking of
00:18:15
crypto while The Dow hit a milestone
00:18:17
high of 50,000 last week. Crypto has
00:18:20
been heading the other way into a crypto
00:18:21
winter again. Bitcoin has just had its
00:18:23
worst weekly decline in more than 3
00:18:25
years, down roughly 45% from its
00:18:27
all-time high last October. The downturn
00:18:29
is being blamed on a few things.
00:18:31
Volatility in other markets, terror
00:18:33
fears, uncertainty around Fed chair
00:18:35
nominee Kevin Morris. I don't know about
00:18:36
that. The ongoing decline has been
00:18:38
brutal for some of crypto's biggest
00:18:40
champions. Michael Sailor Strategy Inc.
00:18:42
I know you're an admire just reported a
00:18:44
$12.4 4 billion quarterly loss. Wow. But
00:18:47
don't expect a Bitcoin bailout. Treasury
00:18:49
Secretary Scott Besson said
00:18:50
congressional hearing last week that he
00:18:51
has no authority to do that. Um, of
00:18:54
course, Trump was crypto president. Nice
00:18:56
job, David Saxs, by the way. Um, what do
00:18:58
he They got what they wanted, the crypto
00:19:00
people from Trump. Everything they
00:19:01
wanted. Um, they got rid of uh the Gary
00:19:04
Gensler. They got rid of Sharon Brown.
00:19:07
They got rid of critics. Uh, what do you
00:19:10
think? What's happening here? Well,
00:19:12
first off, I should just point out that
00:19:13
I am easily the worst crypto investor in
00:19:15
history.
00:19:16
>> Yes, because you just
00:19:17
>> I finally threw in the towel and I
00:19:18
bought some shares in a Bitcoin treasury
00:19:21
company. I bought it at 14 and within 45
00:19:23
days I sold it at $4.50.
00:19:25
>> Oh, nice. Well done. Well done.
00:19:26
>> Yeah, well done. Uh, look, Coin Market
00:19:29
Cap's crypto and fear greed index is now
00:19:31
at a nine, indicating extreme fear. This
00:19:34
is the highest reading in the index's
00:19:36
nearly three years of existence. Bitcoin
00:19:39
bit Bitcoin's basically been cut in half
00:19:41
since its high and investors
00:19:44
um had $2 and half billion dollars of
00:19:45
Bitcoin liquidated in just one day
00:19:47
alone. Even after Friday,
00:19:48
>> Bitcoin Bitcoin and then the others have
00:19:50
gone down 90 like the Melania coin the
00:19:52
other coins. Yeah,
00:19:54
>> coins. Even after Friday's rebound,
00:19:55
Bitcoin is down 43% from its pe from its
00:20:00
peak. And then the and the stocks
00:20:02
related to Bitcoin per year comments
00:20:06
have been hammered. Micro Strategy is
00:20:08
down nearly 70% from its peak last
00:20:09
summer and down 15% this year. Coinbase
00:20:12
is down 60% from its summer peak, down
00:20:15
30% this year. And Tom Lee's Bitine is
00:20:17
down 85% from its peak and 34% this
00:20:20
year. Crypto volatility is currently
00:20:22
about 8x higher than that of the S&P
00:20:25
500. But what I would say is the
00:20:28
following. And I don't get this market.
00:20:31
I I I I I respect that Bitcoin has
00:20:33
established itself as a tangible asset
00:20:35
because of scarcity value, because of
00:20:37
its technology. I think the rest is pure
00:20:39
speculation. But what typically has
00:20:42
happened over the last decade is when
00:20:44
Bitcoin has these drawdowns and there's
00:20:47
all this fear over the last 10 years
00:20:49
when we look back those have been buying
00:20:51
opportunities.
00:20:53
So I don't I mean I I always like to
00:20:55
talk about what I'm thinking of doing.
00:20:57
If Bitcoin keeps getting hammered, I
00:20:59
actually might buy a little bit. Not
00:21:01
because I believe in crypto, but because
00:21:02
I like diversification
00:21:04
and I do think this market is incredibly
00:21:07
volatile. I do think Bitcoin has
00:21:09
established itself as a legitimate asset
00:21:10
class. But there's just what's unusual
00:21:13
is typically Bitcoin is meant to be it
00:21:16
should benefit from a weak dollar in
00:21:18
inflation and it's not.
00:21:20
>> Yeah.
00:21:20
>> And it should it ends up that it's not
00:21:23
the default contraindicator of a
00:21:25
weakening dollar. silver, gold, that
00:21:27
kind of stuff.
00:21:28
>> We'll see. At the end of the day, the
00:21:30
crypto is really, it's not investing. It
00:21:32
is speculation. I I would argue that a
00:21:35
little bit of money, one to 3% of your
00:21:37
portfolio in Bitcoin may not be a bad
00:21:40
idea, but like I said, I am
00:21:44
not the other shitcoin.
00:21:45
>> I would not do any of the others. The
00:21:47
others to me are just greater full
00:21:49
theory come to life.
00:21:50
>> Yeah, you sucker. I call them sucker
00:21:52
coins. They're really
00:21:53
>> You have to watch it every day and all
00:21:55
that. It can take a real you volatility
00:21:58
is fine. If you're willing to endure
00:22:00
volatility, it means you'll get greater
00:22:01
returns. But what you want to do is you
00:22:04
want to diversify across multiple
00:22:06
volatile asset classes such that your
00:22:08
mental health is somewhat protected. You
00:22:10
know, you just one of the reasons I like
00:22:12
owning real estate is I don't have a
00:22:14
scorecard every day. And also, if you're
00:22:17
looking at your phone too much, and
00:22:18
you're really good at this, if you're
00:22:19
looking at your phone too much because
00:22:20
you're checking your stocks all the
00:22:22
time, a that's a hit to your human
00:22:24
capital, and B, you don't want to be you
00:22:27
never want to go all in on one thing
00:22:29
because the markets trump individual
00:22:32
dynamics. And if you bought $10,000
00:22:35
worth of Amazon in 1999, it was worth
00:22:37
$400 by two by the end of 2000.
00:22:40
>> And that takes a huge emotional toll on
00:22:42
you.
00:22:43
>> It does. So what you want to do is you
00:22:45
want to be you want to be diversified
00:22:47
and you want to be in good good ETFs,
00:22:49
good indexes and then put them away and
00:22:51
not look at them and think of them as
00:22:52
things you want to hone for five or 10
00:22:54
years. Look at them once a quarter if
00:22:55
you can.
00:22:56
>> I don't look at all
00:22:56
>> but you know
00:22:58
>> yeah I I think your approach to
00:22:59
investing is actually the right approach
00:23:00
to inve
00:23:08
when when Saul is going to be able to
00:23:10
drink he'll be 21. Alex will be 37. I'll
00:23:13
be 10 [ __ ] 12. So it doesn't really
00:23:15
matter to save for retirement.
00:23:18
>> It doesn't
00:23:19
>> doesn't matter.
00:23:20
>> You don't you don't even buy green
00:23:21
bananas anymore.
00:23:22
>> I All I need is money to put me in a
00:23:25
home and have nice nurses. That's all I
00:23:27
and I I can swing that with what I've
00:23:29
got. Even if I lost a lot,
00:23:30
>> I'll be pushing you around.
00:23:31
>> Oh, no. Wrong. I'll be push way.
00:23:34
>> And I'll hire really hot nurses.
00:23:37
>> Yes. And I
00:23:37
>> I'll manage that. I'll manage that side
00:23:39
of your life.
00:23:40
>> I'll manage them for you. What are you
00:23:41
talking about? I'm like, "Yes, he's a
00:23:42
little handsy, but just like put up with
00:23:44
it, you know, give him an extra tip."
00:23:46
>> A little handsy.
00:23:47
>> Little handsy.
00:23:48
>> Handsyish.
00:23:48
>> Just slap him. Just
00:23:50
>> handsyish. I told you.
00:23:51
>> Yeah.
00:23:52
>> I already have my my nurse picked out. A
00:23:54
guy named Manuel, very big with very
00:23:56
well moisturized hands.
00:23:57
>> I'll have some men there that manhandle
00:23:59
you. Anyway, let's go on a quick break.
00:24:01
When we come back, Amazon spending spree
00:24:03
and what Jeff Bezos is saying about the
00:24:04
Washington Post's future. All stupid
00:24:06
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00:25:26
Scott, we're back. Amazon's spending
00:25:28
plans are making waves on Wall Street
00:25:30
after the company signal massive
00:25:31
capbacks ramp up. Amazon said it expects
00:25:34
to spend about $200 billion dollars in
00:25:36
2026. Nearly a 60% increase from last
00:25:39
year. Uh CEO Andy Jasse justified the
00:25:41
spending by sending strong demand for
00:25:42
AI, robotics, chips, and satellites
00:25:44
makes sense for their business in a lot
00:25:46
of ways. The announcement appears to
00:25:48
spook investors though, sending stock
00:25:49
down 10% and wiping $1 133 billion off
00:25:53
of Amazon's market cap. What a massive
00:25:55
amount. Um let's talk about this. Um
00:25:59
they are at the same time there the the
00:26:01
the the suckupery that Jeff Bezos has
00:26:04
been doing. Uh and Andy Jasse too for
00:26:06
Trump is reaping benefits under Trump's
00:26:08
new tax on the company's corporate tax
00:26:10
bill fell to about $1.2 billion last
00:26:12
year down from $9 billion the year
00:26:14
before even though profits uh jumped
00:26:16
roughly 45%. So what Scott says is
00:26:19
corporate taxes just like this has been
00:26:21
a boon for Trump has been a boon for
00:26:23
these people. Um, so talk a little bit
00:26:25
about these spending because you know
00:26:26
they they they need to spend in
00:26:28
robotics. They obviously need AI to go
00:26:31
with the robotics and chips and of
00:26:33
course satellites delivery. They they
00:26:35
have such an unusual business that it's
00:26:37
both analog and and and advertising and
00:26:40
where they market things. It seems like
00:26:42
a company that should be spending here.
00:26:43
But your thoughts? Well, the problem
00:26:46
with or one of the things that makes our
00:26:48
economy so fragile is there's just a
00:26:50
small number of companies that can make
00:26:52
the can allocate this sort of capital.
00:26:55
And this week and last, Amazon, Google,
00:26:57
Meta, and Microsoft unveiled plans to
00:26:59
spend a combined 660 billion on AI
00:27:04
buildout this year. That's a 60%
00:27:06
increase from last year. Apple is the
00:27:08
only big tech company whose capex
00:27:09
decreased from last year. And the and
00:27:11
the sheer magnitude is just shocking.
00:27:14
That's three times the global R&D of the
00:27:17
pharmaceutical industry. So we're now
00:27:19
spending more on data centers and chips.
00:27:21
We're spending triple what we're
00:27:23
spending on trying to research
00:27:25
treatments for cancer and diabetes. It's
00:27:28
more they're spending more than it cost
00:27:30
to build the US interstate highway
00:27:31
system. We're spending more those those
00:27:34
four companies are going to spend more
00:27:35
than we spent on the Apollo moon program
00:27:37
and the International Space Station
00:27:39
combined. And it's the equivalent of
00:27:41
spending about $2 billion a day on AI.
00:27:45
And but what I think you're looking for
00:27:46
if I look at the stocks that are
00:27:48
responding to the market positively
00:27:49
versus negatively, it's okay. A big eye
00:27:54
is really impressive because it
00:27:55
separates you from the rest. Like
00:27:58
Snap can't spend billions of dollars to
00:28:00
increase the AI targeting of its ad of
00:28:03
its ad stack. Most companies just can't
00:28:04
spend that kind of money. But the
00:28:06
companies the company that's really done
00:28:08
well here is a company that not only has
00:28:10
the huge eye, huge capex, but also is
00:28:13
right away showing that they can garner
00:28:16
the return that justifies that eye. And
00:28:18
that company is Meta. Meta is showing uh
00:28:22
increased click-through, increased
00:28:23
advertising, increase ARPO, and it's
00:28:26
saying this is working for us, so we're
00:28:28
going to outspend every other media
00:28:30
company in the world. maybe with the
00:28:32
exception of Alphabet, but these types
00:28:35
of investment, there's just no getting
00:28:36
around them. They're absolutely
00:28:38
staggering. I can't figure out if it's
00:28:40
good or bad. I guess it's I'm hoping it
00:28:42
results in a lot of occasion.
00:28:43
>> You imagine lots of their business does
00:28:46
need this kind of stuff. Like you're
00:28:47
thinking, speaking of advertising, they
00:28:49
do a lot of it in marketing, right? So,
00:28:51
they have to understand what's effective
00:28:52
to to bring up for people when they
00:28:54
search on Amazon. um their their their
00:28:57
logistics of of their their their
00:29:00
various centers where they the
00:29:02
fulfillment centers, the robotics, it
00:29:05
seemed like a lot of this stuff does
00:29:06
lend itself to AI being more efficient
00:29:10
in that or giving them efficient
00:29:12
instructions. It's it would I would
00:29:14
imagine their business lends itself to
00:29:16
this. And you're right, they're the only
00:29:17
ones that can spend this much. Um and
00:29:19
then once it's spent, nobody can catch
00:29:21
them ever, ever, ever. It's just going
00:29:24
to have very weird second order effects
00:29:25
because if you look at where the money
00:29:26
is being spent, if you look at data
00:29:29
centers, most of them could have their
00:29:30
lights off during the day. They a huge
00:29:33
data center that costs hundreds of
00:29:35
millions to build employs what a Chili's
00:29:38
employs. And so obviously a huge burst
00:29:41
in vocational skills, but then what
00:29:43
happens there's no really ongoing
00:29:46
employment here. And what what I look at
00:29:50
is all right if you think about
00:29:53
I mean people say is AI going to affect
00:29:54
me and my standard line has been AI is
00:29:57
not going to take your job someone who
00:29:58
understands AI is going to take your job
00:30:00
and what you need to think about is is
00:30:02
AI complimentary to what I'm doing or is
00:30:04
it a substitute and Justin Wolfers the
00:30:06
economist from Michigan pointed this out
00:30:08
if you think about sec my mother was a
00:30:10
secretary she would be out of work right
00:30:12
now because AI came along and word
00:30:14
processors at the same time everyone
00:30:15
thought ATMs was going to put bank
00:30:17
tellers out of business. There are now
00:30:18
more bank tellers than there were preat
00:30:21
ATM because what they said is let's use
00:30:23
technology to upskill you so you can
00:30:25
give people mortgages, figure out their
00:30:26
financial planning. So just as at a
00:30:30
ground level, it's like okay, how do I
00:30:32
use AI as a weapon as opposed to being
00:30:34
on the wrong end of the weapon? But this
00:30:36
is the economic reshaping here is just
00:30:40
is staggering. But I do think we're at
00:30:42
that point now with all great
00:30:43
technologies that end up going on to be
00:30:45
hugely important that this is um I think
00:30:49
we're overdue for a correction. And the
00:30:51
technology I keep coming at I'm about to
00:30:53
buy stock is Nova Nordis just hit a like
00:30:57
a 5-year low. Nova Nordisk actually
00:30:59
rebounded yesterday, but Nova Nordis the
00:31:01
maker of I think it's I forget which one
00:31:02
it is or Regoi. And I'm I always tell
00:31:05
people the most important technology is
00:31:07
not AI, it's GLP1. and talk to somebody
00:31:10
who loves AI and uses it.
00:31:12
>> There's an ad for it. No, Serena
00:31:14
Williams really did Super Bowl by the
00:31:15
way.
00:31:16
>> Well, talk to anyone who use someone who
00:31:17
uses a lot of AI at their work, really
00:31:20
enjoys it, gets a lot of use out of it,
00:31:22
and then but that person is also on
00:31:24
GLP1,
00:31:26
ask them what's having a more profound
00:31:27
impact on their life.
00:31:28
>> Yeah.
00:31:30
>> Can you do a short rant about the
00:31:31
corporate taxes and the benefits of
00:31:33
being in the Trump administration for
00:31:35
these companies by sucking up? Unless
00:31:37
you don't want to.
00:31:39
Well, look, as a percentage of GDP,
00:31:41
corporate taxes have never been lower.
00:31:44
And as a percentage
00:31:46
of uh uh uh GDP, wages have never been
00:31:49
lower. And as a percentage of profits,
00:31:52
corporate profits have never been a
00:31:53
higher percentage of the SM of GDP. In
00:31:57
some, there's always a healthy tension
00:31:59
between capital and labor. But basically
00:32:01
what you have with AI, shareholders love
00:32:05
AI because what you're seeing across all
00:32:07
of these companies is margin expansion
00:32:08
but no incremental increase in
00:32:09
employment
00:32:10
>> and then lower taxes.
00:32:12
>> That's great for shareholders. And then
00:32:13
the lower tax argument is basically the
00:32:16
strategy for the last 40 years and the
00:32:17
Republicans. If we just lower taxes,
00:32:19
it'll trickle down. All it's doing is
00:32:20
just pushing back debt on young people.
00:32:23
But if you just look at the balance, if
00:32:24
you just assume at some point we have to
00:32:26
pay for our navy and our parks and for
00:32:27
food stamps, the question is, well, who
00:32:30
pays?
00:32:31
>> Yeah. I can't believe they went from 9
00:32:32
billion to 1.2 billion. That is a
00:32:35
savings.
00:32:36
That is a Oh god, I wish
00:32:38
>> this repeat that car.
00:32:40
>> Amazon's under the Trump's new tax law,
00:32:42
the companies, this is Amazon's
00:32:44
corporate tax bill fell to 1.2
00:32:46
>> automatic expensing. Yeah.
00:32:47
>> Yeah.
00:32:48
>> Yeah.
00:32:49
>> 45%. It's really the tax code has gone
00:32:52
from 400 pages to 4,000 and the 3600
00:32:55
pages one by one kind of [ __ ] the
00:32:57
middle class. And it wasn't these aren't
00:32:58
malicious people say let's [ __ ] the
00:33:00
middle class. What they are is really
00:33:01
talented people on behalf of lobbies
00:33:02
like Amazon that says let's figure out a
00:33:05
way to expense all capital expenditure
00:33:07
in year one.
00:33:08
>> But it's Trump's new tax law. It's it's
00:33:10
even more advantageous to them. This is
00:33:13
this is what this was always the game
00:33:15
folks is them getting more for
00:33:17
themselves. It really was with Trump. I
00:33:20
some of them don't like them, some of
00:33:21
them do.
00:33:22
>> This has been happening across
00:33:23
Democratic and Republican
00:33:25
administrations.
00:33:25
>> Agreed. But this new tax law is 1.2 from
00:33:28
nine billion. That's quite a lovely
00:33:31
>> I I agree with you and two things can be
00:33:33
true at once. Biden, for all the talk
00:33:36
about progressive policies and the need
00:33:37
to reduce the deficit,
00:33:38
>> fix it.
00:33:39
>> Taxes on corporations went down.
00:33:43
>> Yep.
00:33:43
>> During the Biden administration, so
00:33:45
here's the bottom line. And the only way
00:33:46
you get reelected, which must include
00:33:48
reservations and [ __ ] because these
00:33:50
people cling to power like an African
00:33:51
dictator. So that was both offensive and
00:33:53
a hate crime and racist. But these
00:33:55
people have decided that they will do
00:33:57
anything to stay in office. And the way
00:33:58
they stay in office is with a thoughtful
00:34:00
lobbyist who says, "Oh, just implement
00:34:02
this one little tax change called 122
00:34:04
where entrepreneurs and VCs get their
00:34:06
first 10 million out." And
00:34:07
incrementally, what we have done is
00:34:09
lower taxes on the 0.1% in corporations.
00:34:12
And we haven't raised taxes on the
00:34:14
middle or low income. That's a myth.
00:34:16
What we've done is we've raised taxes on
00:34:18
future generations with $7 trillion in
00:34:20
spending on $5 trillion in receipts. So
00:34:23
the people who've had their taxes
00:34:24
increased the most are a 55year-old who
00:34:27
is now 25. Because we have the full
00:34:30
faith in credit to borrow that money.
00:34:31
That full faith in credit and that
00:34:33
borrowing power will go away. And at
00:34:34
some point someone's going to have to
00:34:35
pay the piper either through massive
00:34:37
inflation or revolution or much higher
00:34:39
taxes.
00:34:40
>> Yep. Absolutely. Yes. kissing up works.
00:34:42
But um speaking of kissing up, Jeff
00:34:44
Bezos is finally speaking about the
00:34:46
future of the Washington Post following
00:34:47
last week's layoffs. He said in a
00:34:49
statement the Post had an essential
00:34:51
journalistic mission and an
00:34:52
extraordinary opportunity. Bezos added
00:34:54
that readers provided a roadmap to
00:34:56
success and that data tells us what his
00:34:58
value to focus well data. They all left
00:35:00
after he did any number of things. The
00:35:03
Bezos statement came shortly after Post
00:35:05
CEO and publisher Will Lewis announced
00:35:07
his exit from the paper. I think I think
00:35:09
it was exited from the paper. Uh
00:35:11
allegedly uh post CFO Jeff Donof Frio I
00:35:16
met him when he was at one of the tech
00:35:17
companies was CFO at is stepping in as
00:35:20
acting CEO. Um what a big I'm going to
00:35:24
comment on this data tells us what is
00:35:25
value. You're kidding. No [ __ ]
00:35:27
Sherlock. At the same time, you have to
00:35:29
create products that doesn't necessarily
00:35:31
follow data. You have to use both data
00:35:32
and creativity to create a journalistic
00:35:35
product. I mean, anyone would tell you
00:35:37
don't get together with Scott Galloway
00:35:39
data speaking. And of course, it worked
00:35:41
out beautifully. You have to have lots
00:35:43
and lots of things that go into media.
00:35:46
Jeff Bezos has made a number of errors
00:35:48
recently over the last two years. And
00:35:50
that's the reason people have fled in
00:35:52
droves from the Post as other places are
00:35:55
doing much better in New York Times,
00:35:57
Wall Street Journal, the numbers are up.
00:35:59
Um, lots of really interesting
00:36:01
independent media companies. It's not
00:36:03
true that he couldn't do something
00:36:04
better here. And of course, he's never
00:36:06
blamed himself for this [ __ ] Will
00:36:08
Lewis good riddens has been terrible.
00:36:11
Bezos didn't. Bezos again did not step
00:36:13
in and deal with this guy when he was
00:36:15
very clearly [ __ ] up. So that's my
00:36:17
thoughts. You don't have to have any,
00:36:19
but you can.
00:36:20
>> Well, what I don't get is, and maybe
00:36:22
you've done some reporting here, we have
00:36:24
this ideas about putting together a new
00:36:25
group. The bottom line is it's subscale.
00:36:27
Why wouldn't the New York Times or even
00:36:30
>> Bloomberg,
00:36:30
>> the Wall Street Journal take this on and
00:36:34
starch out some of the overhead costs,
00:36:35
but take that traffic and a great brand
00:36:37
and try and do something with it?
00:36:39
>> They could. They could. They could. I
00:36:40
would think Bloomberg is always sort of
00:36:42
the one.
00:36:42
>> Oh, Bloomberg, that's a great one.
00:36:44
>> Bloomberg to me would be the most, but
00:36:46
he's, you know, he's getting on. I mean,
00:36:47
I hate to say it. A younger Bloomberg
00:36:49
certainly.
00:36:50
>> Um, that's that's always that was one of
00:36:52
the possible buyers way back when when
00:36:54
they were trying to keep it out of
00:36:55
Rupert Murdoch's hands. Um, but you're
00:36:57
right. The the the Wall Street Journal
00:36:59
would be interesting. The um but why why
00:37:02
I mean I could let's I'll call Meredith
00:37:04
Leban and ask her and she probably just
00:37:05
go what do I need that for?
00:37:07
>> Yeah. Why do I need that headache?
00:37:08
>> What do I need that headache?
00:37:09
>> Yeah, but they take
00:37:11
>> They've got a great They've got a great
00:37:13
Washington firm. They What do they get?
00:37:15
What are they getting? Nothing.
00:37:16
>> Well, I'm just gonna be very I'll I'll
00:37:18
tell you how this would work. They would
00:37:21
go in, they'd buy the brand, they'd buy
00:37:22
the subscription, they'd pick their 40
00:37:24
or 60% most talented
00:37:27
uh journalists,
00:37:28
>> most of whom they'd hired, but go ahead.
00:37:30
>> They they'd clear out the admin, the
00:37:33
sales teams. I mean, the bottom line is
00:37:35
print journalism or whatever you want to
00:37:37
call this type of journalism is in
00:37:39
structural decline.
00:37:40
>> Y
00:37:41
>> and it requires and everyone wants to
00:37:43
talk about reinvention. Sure, you have
00:37:45
to invest innovation, but more than
00:37:46
anything, it requires consolidation and
00:37:48
cost cutting. Yeah.
00:37:49
>> And the Washington Post, but I mean, why
00:37:52
wouldn't I would just think that the
00:37:54
Washington Post would be an outstanding
00:37:55
Washington bureau
00:37:57
>> and they've built a lot of credibility.
00:37:59
They have a big they have a decent
00:38:00
subscriber base, but they don't have the
00:38:02
techn. It's not a decent it was until
00:38:05
this past year. It's it's cratered
00:38:08
because of decisions Jeff Bezos has
00:38:09
made, direct decisions by Jeff Bezos.
00:38:13
I've heard their traffic their their
00:38:15
website traffic is off by nearly a half
00:38:17
in the last three years.
00:38:18
>> Anyway, um it's it's
00:38:20
>> but you're buying you're buying a great
00:38:22
brand, a vehicle is how I look at it,
00:38:23
>> right? But but what you have to do is I
00:38:25
mean to a certain I hate to say this,
00:38:27
it's almost it's a perfect candidate for
00:38:28
a prepackaged bankruptcy. And that is
00:38:31
you declare bankruptcy. You clear out
00:38:33
all the obligations including probably
00:38:35
of an overpriced headquarters, all the
00:38:38
obligations they have and you say,
00:38:40
"Okay, 30% of you are keeping your job
00:38:43
and that's it." I mean, this is no
00:38:46
solution here is elegant that's going to
00:38:48
paint a brave new everyone's hoping. If
00:38:50
there's some guy who comes in and
00:38:52
thinks, you know what, I got five or six
00:38:54
billion dollars. I'll waste a billion
00:38:55
over the next 10 or 20 years. Fine. I
00:38:57
don't know if that person It's like they
00:38:58
say in therapy, no one's coming to save
00:39:00
you.
00:39:00
>> Yeah.
00:39:01
>> But I don't I I
00:39:04
>> It is a great brand. There's It's a
00:39:07
great brand and there's a lot you could
00:39:08
do with it that's different and that
00:39:10
that if if you had some of the breathing
00:39:12
room, but you got this mealsome owner
00:39:14
who every time he meddles does something
00:39:16
stupid. He hires
00:39:17
>> Do you think he's medalsome? I
00:39:19
>> I do. I think he is. I think he's he he
00:39:21
meddled in the Kamla thing. It was him.
00:39:24
He meddled in um all manner of things
00:39:27
here. He's meddled in a lot of stuff.
00:39:29
And you know what? Let me just tell you,
00:39:30
Jeff Bezos, let me speak to you
00:39:32
directly. You are an astonishing
00:39:34
entrepreneur. You did amazing things
00:39:35
with Amazon. You went left when everyone
00:39:37
went right. Everyone didn't believe you.
00:39:39
You really know how to run an e-commerce
00:39:41
company and you're okay at space. I
00:39:44
think it's a little bit more of a luxury
00:39:45
for you, but whatever. Go for it. I
00:39:47
don't care if you spend your money
00:39:49
there. But you don't know squat about
00:39:51
media at all. And to to act like you're
00:39:54
an expert in this is really exhausting
00:39:56
and you're not. You suck at it. You
00:39:58
should get out of it and you're just not
00:40:00
good at it. I don't know why we listen
00:40:01
to you for 5 seconds on this topic.
00:40:04
There's lots of smart people who know
00:40:05
about this. You should put the put it in
00:40:07
their hands or just sell it. Just sell
00:40:08
it. You don't
00:40:09
>> The problem is
00:40:10
>> by Vogue, Jeff. Go ahead. Sorry.
00:40:12
>> Yeah. Go. Bye-bye. The problem is
00:40:13
whoever buys this is inheriting an
00:40:15
unsustainable cost structure.
00:40:17
>> Yes.
00:40:17
>> And everywhere. So, it's either a
00:40:20
prepackaged bankruptcy or you say to the
00:40:22
current owner,
00:40:24
>> look, you're going to have to do the
00:40:25
hard work and clear out a lot of the
00:40:26
costs here,
00:40:27
>> which he may be doing.
00:40:28
>> You probably have to bolt it on to
00:40:30
another infrastructure, whether it's
00:40:32
Bloomberg or the NT or the Wall Street
00:40:34
Journal,
00:40:35
>> but if a bunch of people get jonesed up
00:40:37
into raising money and finding people
00:40:39
and try and reinvigorate the thing,
00:40:42
>> you're basically going to create, you
00:40:43
know, it's trying to bring Frankenstein
00:40:45
back for a second time.
00:40:46
>> Well, I would agree. There's a lot of
00:40:48
people who contact me and they get
00:40:49
disappointed because I go well that's
00:40:51
not econom like let we need this. One of
00:40:53
the things that the reporters do is
00:40:54
they're like we have need this for
00:40:55
democracy. I agree with that but you
00:40:57
still have to run a business. Like I I
00:40:58
say that I'm like don't make that the
00:41:01
argument. It's of course the arg it's
00:41:02
the it's the unders. The press is very
00:41:04
important for the future. It's always
00:41:06
been and uh it's part of the many things
00:41:08
that are that help our our democracy
00:41:11
thrive. And that's not the argument you
00:41:13
have to create. It's I always say I said
00:41:15
it to someone I think they were
00:41:17
disappointed because they wanted me to
00:41:18
be like let us grab like Jon of Arc. I
00:41:21
was like it's called the news business.
00:41:23
You got to make a business out of it and
00:41:24
you got to figure it out and get the
00:41:26
costs in line. And what I think has
00:41:28
happened here is you know it's been so
00:41:32
um distant and mealsome at the same
00:41:35
time. It's Will Lewis was incompetent
00:41:37
and mealsome at the same time and kind
00:41:40
of cruel not to say anything while you
00:41:43
did it. I mean, how, as you say, how you
00:41:44
leave is how you how you be like, how
00:41:47
you leave is critically important. And
00:41:49
him showing up all ragged look at the
00:41:52
NFL parties while he was laying off
00:41:55
people just not a good look. It's just
00:41:57
not a good it's not respectful. And
00:41:58
these people have worked hard, a lot of
00:41:59
them, and so most of them actually. And
00:42:02
that's the I don't know. I I don't know.
00:42:04
You're right. It has to something
00:42:06
something fresh SM but to me it's a
00:42:08
great vehicle for somebody for including
00:42:11
I have some ideas but you know it's a
00:42:13
great vehicle and it's still not a dead
00:42:15
brand. That's my feeling. It's not. But
00:42:18
>> look, I I I'm I'm more
00:42:22
I'm I'm just um people will say that
00:42:25
this is another example of how democracy
00:42:27
dies of the Washington Post dies. And
00:42:29
this is the bottom line without
00:42:32
>> there's a ton and a lot of these people
00:42:34
will end up at places there's a ton of
00:42:36
sharp critical anti-establishment new
00:42:38
media brands. The Intercept, Democracy
00:42:40
Now.
00:42:41
>> Yeah. Jacobin, Chapo Trap House,
00:42:44
Citations Needed, Navaro Media, uh, The
00:42:47
Bull Work, True Anan,
00:42:49
>> a lot of them are doing original
00:42:50
reporting, but go ahead. Yes, go ahead.
00:42:52
>> Well, that's that's the correct point,
00:42:56
and that is there is no or little
00:42:58
economic viability
00:43:01
in hardhitting
00:43:03
investigative journalism, especially at
00:43:05
the local level. the amount of grift and
00:43:08
corruption and like name your local
00:43:11
state, you know, capital because there
00:43:14
aren't any reporters covering any of
00:43:16
this [ __ ] But the notion somehow that
00:43:19
we're not going to have any, you know,
00:43:21
really thoughtful, interesting, you
00:43:24
know, progressive media if the
00:43:25
Washington Post goes away. No, all of
00:43:27
those people will go to smaller cool
00:43:29
little media firms that are doing a
00:43:30
great job and quite frankly have figured
00:43:31
out a way to be more economically viable
00:43:33
at
00:43:34
>> total cash flow positive apparently.
00:43:36
Does the Does the Atlantic do well?
00:43:38
>> Yes.
00:43:40
>> Very smart. Nick Thompson, Lorine is a
00:43:43
great owner. Jeff Goldberg and very
00:43:44
tough. They're making products people
00:43:46
want. Like it's not This is the thing.
00:43:48
We'll stop talking about this thing.
00:43:50
Jeff, you're bad at this. Just at least
00:43:52
have a talk with me. Just meet me. I
00:43:54
don't like you. You don't like me. So
00:43:57
what? Big deal. I'd love to have a talk.
00:43:59
I know you're a smart person. Um, but
00:44:02
you really need to do something else and
00:44:05
not sell it to a hedge fund or the wrong
00:44:08
owners. Just do the right thing. Just
00:44:10
for the last for the last time, do the
00:44:11
right thing.
00:44:12
>> I don't know. I can't handle the
00:44:13
Atlantic. Every headline feels like it
00:44:15
was written by someone who's
00:44:16
disappointed in you but still wants to
00:44:18
be invited to your wedding.
00:44:20
>> They've done some amazing reporting.
00:44:21
It's not true. They've done You don't
00:44:22
read it enough. You just read headlines.
00:44:24
>> The Atlantic doesn't do hot takes. It
00:44:26
does foreplay for a conclusion you
00:44:28
already disagree with.
00:44:28
>> God, it does not.
00:44:30
It's the only one that also has concern.
00:44:32
Sometimes I call bad Atlantic and good
00:44:34
Atlantic. Sometimes they do the most
00:44:35
irritating things. So you would like it.
00:44:37
They're contrarian.
00:44:38
>> I think the Atlantic is what happens
00:44:39
when someone at the bar who's like a
00:44:41
woke person that's not that attractive
00:44:42
makes eye contact with you.
00:44:44
>> No. No. It's doing great. It's doing
00:44:46
great. Anyway, let's go on a quick
00:44:48
break. When we come back, the latest
00:44:49
media merger gets Trump's seal of
00:44:52
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00:45:57
Scott, we're back with more news. This
00:45:58
is an interesting Speaking of media
00:46:00
stuff. This um President Trump is now
00:46:02
endorsing NextStar Media's takeover $6
00:46:05
billion acquisition of Tegna, saying it
00:46:07
will help knock out the fake news
00:46:08
because there'll be more competition.
00:46:10
These are two giant local firms. Back in
00:46:13
November, Trump seemed to be opposed to
00:46:15
the deal, writing on True Social, no
00:46:16
expansion of the fake news networks. No,
00:46:18
I guess they they sucked up to because
00:46:20
of Jimmy Kimmel. Everything else Nextar
00:46:22
owns or partners with over 200 stations
00:46:24
with the addition of Tegnet would cover
00:46:26
roughly 80% of the company country.
00:46:28
Excuse me. I would call that a monopoly.
00:46:31
Uh the FCC uh currently prohibits
00:46:33
companies from owning broadcast stations
00:46:35
that reach over 39% of US sold. So
00:46:38
that's double. So Trump obviously
00:46:40
shifted because I don't know is there
00:46:41
donation somewhere something else? I
00:46:44
don't know. But it's it's a massive it
00:46:46
they're allowing this merger and then
00:46:48
opposing the Netflix one. It is it's
00:46:50
it's so ridiculously hypocritical. Every
00:46:53
time they turn around they they like one
00:46:55
thing but not the other. Any thoughts on
00:46:56
this Tegna Nextstar thing?
00:46:59
>> Yeah, but the Atlantic is like the
00:47:02
person that ruins brunch by asking about
00:47:04
the long-term implication of eggs.
00:47:07
>> Okay, move.
00:47:09
They're doing great without your without
00:47:11
your insults. What? Tell me. Every
00:47:13
Atlantic journalist thinks that sex is a
00:47:15
phase you'll outgrow.
00:47:16
>> Okay, let's move along. Next star,
00:47:18
Tegna, much more significant.
00:47:20
>> I I've you and I are both talking to
00:47:22
Democratic candidates for president and
00:47:24
one of my one of the platforms I think
00:47:26
they should adopt
00:47:27
>> is um trustbusting.
00:47:31
You you we need to go the other way. We
00:47:34
need if you want to bring prices down,
00:47:35
you you can't have three chicken
00:47:37
companies. You can't have three
00:47:38
pharmaceutical companies. You can't have
00:47:40
four streaming media platforms. You
00:47:42
can't have one search engine. You need
00:47:43
to break all of these guys up. We need
00:47:44
to go the other way. And we need to
00:47:47
separate the whole point. I mean, let's
00:47:50
Can we talk about Ted Sarando's
00:47:52
congressional testimony because I think
00:47:55
it's related.
00:47:56
>> Sure.
00:47:56
>> You had some coin operated Republicans
00:47:59
who are being funded by the Ellison's.
00:48:01
>> Yeah. try to say
00:48:03
>> Scott particularly recently has been
00:48:05
>> try to say I'm worried about Netflix
00:48:07
claiming that 50% of Netflix children's
00:48:10
programming is LGBTQ content.
00:48:12
>> Yeah.
00:48:13
>> And and just so you know
00:48:14
>> they never cared about antitrust.
00:48:16
>> Media companies are allowed to have a
00:48:17
viewpoint.
00:48:18
>> Fox has a viewpoint. It has a bias.
00:48:21
>> CNN has a viewpoint. It has a bias.
00:48:23
Netflix, as far as I can tell, is the
00:48:25
most apolitical of all of them.
00:48:26
>> Agreed. They really do. The way it works
00:48:28
in a capitalist society is the person
00:48:30
with the biggest check shows up and then
00:48:32
it goes under regulatory review around
00:48:34
whether the concentration of power will
00:48:36
ultimately be bad for consumers. It has
00:48:38
nothing to [ __ ] do with how much
00:48:39
LGBTQ content you think incorrectly has
00:48:43
been incorporated into kids content. And
00:48:45
to see all of a sudden these Republican
00:48:47
lawmakers start talking about media bias
00:48:50
and free speech, it's just insane. It's
00:48:53
like, okay, how much money are you
00:48:55
getting from the Ellisons who don't want
00:48:57
to do what you do in a capitalist
00:48:58
society and just pay more for the prize
00:49:01
you want? So, this politicization or
00:49:05
weapon is a the Trump should have
00:49:07
nothing to do with any of this. He
00:49:09
should be Oh, well, as far as I
00:49:10
understand, highest bidder wins and I
00:49:12
appointed the FTC and the DOJ to do a
00:49:13
review.
00:49:14
>> Yeah,
00:49:14
>> that's it.
00:49:16
>> Even the shifted he shifted. He shifts
00:49:18
on everything depending on who gives him
00:49:20
money. But that's, you know,
00:49:22
>> Yeah. So, I don't I hope that and by the
00:49:24
way, I've said and I talked to Ted
00:49:26
Sandos over the weekend. I've said I
00:49:28
hope neither of them get it. I think
00:49:29
there's too much concentration of power
00:49:31
here. I don't think I don't think one
00:49:33
man should control Tik Tok, CBS News,
00:49:35
and CNN. And I also don't think Ted
00:49:37
should control what is kind of I call it
00:49:40
the Walmart of content with Netflix and
00:49:41
the LVMH, HBO. I'm like ultimately
00:49:44
that'll give you too much pricing power.
00:49:46
It'll be good for shareholders. So, I
00:49:47
would, if I were on your board, I would
00:49:48
tell you to do exactly what you're
00:49:50
doing. But we don't need one man owning
00:49:53
Tik Tok, CBS, and uh CNN, and we don't
00:49:57
need one person owning HBO, and
00:49:59
>> it's not one I mean, Ted is not the
00:50:01
Ellison. The Ellison are own
00:50:02
>> Well, one company, but they'll all be
00:50:03
focused on
00:50:04
>> you. You get my meaning here.
00:50:06
>> I get it. Except that the Ellison's have
00:50:08
promised to change of of all the people
00:50:10
that are actually trying to change it.
00:50:12
The Ellison have promised Trump they'll
00:50:14
make CNN.
00:50:14
>> Netflix is the least political. Correct.
00:50:16
Their bias is more subscribers and
00:50:18
shareholder value. That's what their
00:50:20
bias is.
00:50:21
>> The Ellison seem to have more of a
00:50:24
>> quote unquote political scale.
00:50:26
>> Yeah. Yeah. More of a political bias.
00:50:27
Although at some point they're going to
00:50:29
have to be what I don't get. You know
00:50:31
what they've really missed and I told
00:50:32
Ted this on Saturday and he's just not
00:50:35
like this cuz he's too much of kind of
00:50:36
like a gentleman farmer. It if if
00:50:40
Netflix wanted to go gangster, they'd do
00:50:42
the following. They'd get every single
00:50:45
labor union in Hollywood to recognize
00:50:47
one fact. If Netflix takes over, let's
00:50:52
assume one of them gets it. If Netflix
00:50:53
takes over uh Time Warner, I think
00:50:57
employment will be flat, maybe to a
00:50:59
little bit down. If the Ellison's get
00:51:02
this thing at the price they're going to
00:51:03
have to pay for it, and they're kind of
00:51:04
ground zero for AI, do you know what's
00:51:07
going to happen to the the employees at
00:51:10
these companies?
00:51:11
>> Yes, I do. Dad is going to say, "All
00:51:14
right, we've got to figure out a way to
00:51:15
justify this cost. By the way, I am huge
00:51:18
into compute and inference and I'm
00:51:20
buddies with Sam Alman. I have no love
00:51:23
for Brian Cranston or these directors or
00:51:25
these precious screenwriters or script
00:51:27
writers at Spongebob Squarepants. How
00:51:30
can we use AI to take out which they've
00:51:32
talked about 80%
00:51:34
>> that is their big calling card even
00:51:36
though
00:51:38
hey writers grilled hey uh AFTA and SAG
00:51:41
do you realize the literally the ass
00:51:43
[ __ ] and not the good kind you are
00:51:45
about to get if the Ellison's and AI
00:51:49
have to justify the the price that Zazz
00:51:52
has been able to get.
00:51:54
>> Larry's numbers are off rather
00:51:55
significantly too. He's lost billions
00:51:57
and billions. He's way down. I mean, he
00:52:00
doesn't have the extra money to spend.
00:52:01
So, they're really going to cut. They're
00:52:03
really going to because this is a
00:52:04
ridiculous
00:52:06
extravagance for them. This is an
00:52:08
extravagance. This is a yacht that
00:52:10
they're buying. Um, I would agree. But
00:52:12
on that topic, the FCC under, you know,
00:52:14
village idiot Brendan Carr has launched
00:52:17
a probe into the view. The FCC is
00:52:19
investigating whether the show broke
00:52:20
equal time rules for interviewing
00:52:22
political candidates after the show
00:52:23
interviewed Democratic Texas Senate
00:52:25
candidate James Telerico. Uh, I I think
00:52:29
what the view should do is invite
00:52:30
Brendan Carr on and have them eat him,
00:52:32
all those ladies, cuz they would take
00:52:34
him apart bit by bit. Another thing
00:52:36
that's stupid. Like just stupid. Like
00:52:38
what are you doing? This is not making
00:52:40
the airwaves safer for anybody or better
00:52:42
or more fair. This is just you playing
00:52:44
politics for your next job, you dumbass.
00:52:48
All right, that's all I have to say
00:52:49
about branding car. Your thoughts?
00:52:52
>> We need an FDC and a DOJ that do their
00:52:54
job.
00:52:54
>> FCC, but go ahead. Yeah.
00:52:56
>> Well, okay. whatever the same above. I
00:52:59
these aren't supposed to be weapons of
00:53:01
enriching the president and his allies.
00:53:03
>> Yep.
00:53:04
>> This is all the same. This is all cut
00:53:06
from, you know, the same cloth here.
00:53:08
These are supposed to be independent
00:53:09
agencies. They think about the consumer.
00:53:11
Also think about shareholder value. Also
00:53:13
think about the health of US markets.
00:53:15
But again, it's the boring [ __ ] nobody
00:53:17
wants to talk about. The our markets
00:53:19
have become way too consolidated. And
00:53:22
the result is they have way too much
00:53:23
pro. We, you know, we have, we have two
00:53:25
good schools in every major city. We
00:53:26
need five. They need to be competing
00:53:28
with I just went through this early
00:53:29
admissions [ __ ] They quote unquote
00:53:32
take the admissions rate from 9% to 14%.
00:53:34
So, we all go early admissions. Do you
00:53:36
know what that means?
00:53:37
>> What?
00:53:37
>> I'm sorry. Early decision.
00:53:39
>> It means if you get in, you have to go.
00:53:41
What What do you think happens if you
00:53:43
The deal is the following. And this
00:53:45
happened with my son. You pick one
00:53:47
school, they they tempt you with a
00:53:48
higher admissions rate. If you get in,
00:53:51
you have to immediately withdraw all
00:53:53
applications from every other
00:53:55
university. What does that do? It gives
00:53:57
you no pricing power. You can't ask for
00:54:00
financial aid. You can't ask for a
00:54:02
scholarship. So, what do they get to do?
00:54:05
They get to increase their prices faster
00:54:07
than inflation, which education has
00:54:08
done. And by the way, the agency that
00:54:11
provides accreditation such that you can
00:54:12
get debt from the government, low
00:54:14
interest debt to pay for your student
00:54:16
loans, has not admitted almost any new
00:54:19
universities. So, in every major city,
00:54:21
there are two great schools and that's
00:54:23
it. That's it.
00:54:24
>> Did the Galloways just get the bill for
00:54:26
school? I just think
00:54:28
>> Jesus Christ.
00:54:29
>> I know. I know. I'm almost
00:54:31
>> It's lucky I'm a rich man. I sat my son
00:54:33
down yesterday.
00:54:34
>> I'm on my last couple couple of
00:54:36
>> I want to give you a lesson in tuition
00:54:39
and what it means to pay for tuition and
00:54:41
post tax dollars and how much this meal
00:54:43
plan is going to cost you and just how
00:54:46
ridiculously blessed you are. By the
00:54:47
way, be [ __ ] nicer to your mother
00:54:49
after I go through these numbers with
00:54:50
you.
00:54:52
>> It is. Do you realize
00:54:54
>> the gall?
00:54:57
>> When you think about the means of
00:54:58
getting ahead and the means of
00:55:00
establishing a family and saving, you
00:55:02
think about education, you think about
00:55:04
housing. And what has my generation
00:55:06
done? They have purposely created
00:55:07
scarcity such that the houses and the
00:55:10
degrees we already own skyrocket in
00:55:12
value, which is absolutely [ __ ] young
00:55:14
people. How on earth does any middle
00:55:16
class family send a good but not
00:55:18
freakishly remarkable kid to college
00:55:20
these days? How does that happen? And
00:55:23
then you know one of the reason you know
00:55:25
one of the reasons why these gambling
00:55:26
sites are booming and gaming is booming
00:55:28
because if you're not saving for a
00:55:30
house, you're more inclined to buy
00:55:31
crypto or do stupid [ __ ] with your money
00:55:33
and you're less inclined to stay in a
00:55:35
relationship or taking a risk on a
00:55:36
relationship because you're not saving
00:55:37
for a house or building anything.
00:55:39
>> Yes indeed. Yes indeed. I did do a 529
00:55:42
many many years ago for the boys and I
00:55:44
was very aggressive and I was glad I
00:55:45
was. The stock market did well and was
00:55:47
able to pay for their college using
00:55:49
that. But I have to say it's not I know
00:55:51
sometimes those 529s aren't the way to
00:55:52
go but that's what I did and it worked
00:55:54
out for me. But God
00:55:56
>> I got the tuition my this I'm like I
00:55:58
said to my son I'm like this is a state
00:56:00
school. Wait, hold on. What's going on
00:56:02
here? This is a state school.
00:56:03
>> I know you haven't even gotten food and
00:56:05
living.
00:56:06
>> Oh my god.
00:56:07
>> I know. I know. Welcome. You know what?
00:56:09
I'm going to go down there with you when
00:56:10
you go visit him.
00:56:11
>> Oh, we're going to have so much fun.
00:56:12
>> So much fun.
00:56:13
>> We're going to the UVA We're going to go
00:56:14
to the UVA Cal game. It's going to be
00:56:16
amazing.
00:56:17
>> I'm coming down there. I love UVA.
00:56:18
>> Oh, it's going to be a ton of fun. Um
00:56:20
>> he's already told me I told him last
00:56:22
night I'm coming down to the UVA Cal
00:56:23
game. You know what he said? No.
00:56:24
>> Like, oh, that's going to be funny. He's
00:56:25
like, I don't know if I can get you
00:56:26
tickets to the football game. I don't
00:56:27
know.
00:56:28
>> Doesn't matter. We just want to come
00:56:29
down. We ride horses.
00:56:30
>> Something tells me I'm going to I'm
00:56:32
going to figure out a way to get my own
00:56:33
ticket. He's already making excuses.
00:56:35
He's already envisioning me embarrassing
00:56:38
him in front of his friends. He's
00:56:39
already trying to discourage me from
00:56:41
coming to a football game next seme or
00:56:42
in fall. Yeah. Anyways, we're going
00:56:44
down.
00:56:45
>> All right, we're going. Scott and I are
00:56:46
riding our horses down there. All right,
00:56:48
one more quick break. We'll be back for
00:56:50
wins and fails.
00:56:52
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00:57:53
Okay, Scott, let's hear some wins and
00:57:55
fails. I think I'll go first. My fail as
00:57:58
always, Elon seems to be abandoning his
00:58:01
plans to go to Mars. He posted over the
00:58:02
weekend that SpaceX has shifted his
00:58:04
priorities to build a self-growing city
00:58:06
on the moon in order to get to Mars so
00:58:09
that we can save the human race. This
00:58:11
guy changes his tune so much. It's just
00:58:15
like, oh my god, when are you gonna stop
00:58:17
believing this nonsense? He's done an
00:58:19
amazing job with the things he's had
00:58:21
here on Earth, but not not compared to
00:58:23
the lies he tells about what he's going
00:58:25
to be doing in the future. But he's
00:58:27
going to the moon, folks. So, that's
00:58:28
what he's doing. Again, sounds good. He
00:58:31
should go. I think it's a great idea.
00:58:34
More Elon Off the Planet, the better.
00:58:36
Sounds great. My win is I got Scott
00:58:39
Galloway to watch Heiden Rivalry.
00:58:43
How'd you like it, Scott?
00:58:45
I did it on edibles when I was jetlagged
00:58:48
and I am rethinking everything, Cara.
00:58:50
I'm absolutely rethinking everything. I
00:58:52
I thought it was I thought it was
00:58:56
wonderful. I really um it's just really
00:58:59
well done and I think it's important.
00:59:03
I think young people need to have more
00:59:04
sex and I think
00:59:06
>> there's a lot of sex in it.
00:59:08
>> Oh my god, crazy sex.
00:59:11
>> Um
00:59:11
>> well, sex is their way to get to
00:59:12
intimacy. You do see that, right? That's
00:59:15
how they
00:59:15
>> Well, dudes use sex for intimacy. Women
00:59:17
use intimacy for No, wait. Women use sex
00:59:19
for intimacy. Men's use intimacy. I did
00:59:22
some of it kind of shocked me and like I
00:59:24
immediately had to go to that lesbian
00:59:25
series just to get my mojo back.
00:59:27
>> Yeah, a little bit. Little bit. Um,
00:59:31
>> I'll tell you interesting. I interviewed
00:59:33
the creators. You should go with that.
00:59:35
They're Canadian, right?
00:59:36
>> The Canadians. Yeah. Yeah.
00:59:37
>> Yeah. I want to do an erotic drama about
00:59:39
the behind thescenes going on of the
00:59:41
world's best bad mitten team.
00:59:44
>> That's what everyone's saying. Like
00:59:45
they're like, "What about rugby? What
00:59:47
about this?" Can I make one other
00:59:48
observation? I think one of the things
00:59:50
about it, and then you can get your win
00:59:51
and fails, is that there's this there
00:59:53
was one of the things they said in the
00:59:54
interview, and I think there was this
00:59:55
whole incredible market of people who
00:59:57
like this particular book series. It's a
00:59:59
romance novel for women, right? This is
01:00:02
a women, straight women oriented romance
01:00:06
novel that was hugely popular. And one
01:00:08
thing they're like, how could it miss
01:00:09
when it had such a massive market of
01:00:11
fans and people ignore these markets?
01:00:14
And that's that's one of the reasons
01:00:16
it's already caught on with everybody
01:00:17
else. But the initial strength of it was
01:00:20
for this romance novel market that that
01:00:23
all these sort of guys that are like
01:00:26
greenlighting things did not understand.
01:00:28
And I thought that was a real win for
01:00:30
smart creators who understood who
01:00:33
understand where there is fan bases in
01:00:35
market. So I thought that was it. I
01:00:36
talked a lot about the business of
01:00:38
heated rivalry with these guys. Um and
01:00:40
so I thought that was it's just a real
01:00:42
win on a business point of view too. All
01:00:44
right. Your wins and fails.
01:00:48
>> Yeah. And I go I come back to
01:00:52
um when I was thinking about a heated
01:00:54
rivalry because everyone's asking me
01:00:55
what do you think about rival? Um I
01:00:58
think a decent place to start an entire
01:01:02
political platform or guidance for
01:01:05
um
01:01:07
a political system, an economic system.
01:01:10
It sounds corny. It's love. And that is
01:01:13
all right. If if people can't make
01:01:15
enough money in a lowemployment economy
01:01:18
such that they're so stressed out they
01:01:20
can't raise their kids well that
01:01:22
economic policy is getting in the way of
01:01:24
love and we need to revisit it. If the
01:01:27
divorce rates are skyrocketing because
01:01:28
of economic anxiety and because 40% of
01:01:31
of households have medical debt that's
01:01:35
getting in the way of love. We need we
01:01:36
need to stop it.
01:01:38
If if any sort of discrimination is
01:01:40
stopping people from loving each other,
01:01:42
committing to each other, and I think
01:01:44
marriage is a good thing because it, you
01:01:46
know, it stops you from exiting
01:01:47
relationships just because they both
01:01:49
have outdoor plumbing that's getting in
01:01:51
the way of love. I think you could
01:01:53
reduce I think the whole nation, the
01:01:55
whole idea of a a prosperous nation, we
01:01:57
tend to think it's the S&P. It's not.
01:01:59
It's someone's ability to find someone
01:02:01
else and to share their life with them
01:02:03
and notice each other's life. And that's
01:02:06
why I'm I I think the sex recession
01:02:08
among young people is absolutely
01:02:10
terrible. And I also think about all the
01:02:12
men I grew up with who basically
01:02:15
imposed society imposed on them a set of
01:02:18
rules and standards that said you're not
01:02:19
supposed to be in love because your your
01:02:22
inclinations towards love are to are
01:02:24
perverted according to our laws. But I
01:02:26
think you could literally start from the
01:02:28
notion of love or connecting with
01:02:30
someone economically, spiritually,
01:02:32
psychologically, financially and reverse
01:02:35
engineer into what makes good uh public
01:02:38
policy.
01:02:39
>> Yeah.
01:02:39
>> Anyway,
01:02:40
>> there you go. Love, sweet love. That's
01:02:41
what bad said.
01:02:42
>> That's my platform.
01:02:43
>> That was what he said. Love. Okay. Okay.
01:02:46
Wins and veils. Okay. So, my win, my
01:02:49
win, I'm trying to bring attention to
01:02:51
some younger creators who I just think
01:02:53
are outstanding. And I consistently find
01:02:55
myself on this one creators. I brought
01:02:57
up Kylo Scanland, this young uh uh it's
01:03:01
got to be 26 female economists who I
01:03:02
keep bringing on uh PropG. Uh but
01:03:06
recently I find myself just absolutely
01:03:09
obsessed with this guy on Tik Tok named
01:03:11
Gio Husar
01:03:13
and he talks about economics and
01:03:17
geopolitics and he'll go deep into the
01:03:19
weapon systems of Ukraine versus Russia
01:03:22
and while the oil infrastructure for
01:03:25
Russia's collapsing he'll talk about the
01:03:27
Fed and interest rates and this guy is
01:03:30
just so it's like the eighth grade kid
01:03:33
who was kind of introverted and good at
01:03:34
math.
01:03:35
and he's found Tik Tok and he's just
01:03:38
[ __ ] fascinating and he does you can
01:03:40
tell he just does the work and so much
01:03:43
of my thought uh leadership or my views
01:03:46
on economics and geopolitics are
01:03:48
informed by this guy's amazing work. So
01:03:51
people are consistently asking me where
01:03:54
what are my sources of information. I
01:03:55
get a lot, I gotta be honest, I get a
01:03:57
lot from social media. And this one guy
01:03:59
on TikTok, Gio, the Gioar for
01:04:02
geopolitics and economics is a gift. And
01:04:05
it's also, to be clear, a real
01:04:08
endorsement of these platforms. He's not
01:04:10
he's not um, you know, he's not Dan
01:04:14
Rather or he doesn't have, you know,
01:04:16
he's not um, Brian Williams. He doesn't
01:04:19
have that polish. He just does the math
01:04:22
and he's sort of unafraid. Anyway, my
01:04:24
win is Gio Husar. Uh, he's fantastic.
01:04:26
Check out his content. My loss is the
01:04:29
following. I I've I get criticism for
01:04:36
too easily comparing
01:04:39
uh the Nazis to the Trump
01:04:42
administration. And what I do think is
01:04:45
fair though is looking at kind of
01:04:46
latestage Weimar Republic and what was
01:04:49
going on then in the Trump
01:04:50
administration. And some of the things
01:04:52
we share were a secret police loyal to
01:04:54
one man, not to an institution. A
01:04:57
collapse in the cultural and economic
01:04:58
standing of middle class men. Back then
01:05:00
it was about industrial
01:05:02
industrialization and automation. Now I
01:05:04
would say it's about AI. This notion
01:05:06
that the enemy wasn't abroad but it was
01:05:09
the enemy within. The fact that we
01:05:11
started shipping people to different
01:05:14
sites outside of the country where they
01:05:15
had some sort of legal protection. Uh
01:05:18
what we also had in the 30s was a lot of
01:05:21
the people in power very purposely
01:05:24
started comparing
01:05:26
um undesirabs or their enemies whether
01:05:29
it was gypsies or socialists or trade
01:05:31
unionists or Jews. They started
01:05:34
comparing them purposely to animals.
01:05:37
And when I saw the president this week
01:05:41
compare the Obamas, President Obama and
01:05:44
First Lady Obama to animals to apes.
01:05:49
You know, we have seen this before. When
01:05:52
you normalize the dehumanization of
01:05:54
people based on their ethnicity or on
01:05:56
their beliefs or on their religion,
01:05:59
you have to shut that [ __ ] down right
01:06:02
away. And the notion that, oh, he didn't
01:06:05
see it or you can't take him literally.
01:06:08
Well, okay. What would you know? The 60
01:06:11
million people who died in World War II
01:06:13
would like a word. When the president of
01:06:16
the United States is referring to past
01:06:19
presidents and people who have been an
01:06:21
absolute blessing to this society, when
01:06:23
he starts comparing them to animals, we
01:06:26
are
01:06:28
1930s Germany. It has never been
01:06:31
accepted before in our society. We have
01:06:33
never normalized it. We have never
01:06:35
allowed it. And this individual is
01:06:38
talking about he's referred to his
01:06:40
political enemies as vermin as animals.
01:06:43
And so all of the notion that more
01:06:47
Republicans have not stepped up and said
01:06:51
we just can't have this. We cannot go
01:06:54
back. We cannot be like Germany. You
01:06:57
can't have democratically elected
01:06:59
leaders referring to their political
01:07:00
enemies as animals. And so my fail is
01:07:04
that so many people seem to be making
01:07:07
excuses for it than not checking back on
01:07:10
it. This is a different level of danger
01:07:13
when we start convincing people. And we
01:07:16
need Republicans here. Democrats will
01:07:18
always find reasons for why everything
01:07:20
Trump does is wrong. If at some point
01:07:22
Republicans, you know, John Thun, who I
01:07:24
think is a good man, if he doesn't stand
01:07:26
up and say, "You can't equate our
01:07:30
political enemies with animals."
01:07:32
>> Do that like Tom Tillis when they're not
01:07:34
running again, then they get then they
01:07:36
>> Well, then they find their balls.
01:07:37
>> Yep. Yep.
01:07:38
>> Anyways, my win is the Gioar. My loss is
01:07:41
the normalization of referring to people
01:07:43
as animals. It leads to very dark
01:07:46
places.
01:07:47
>> Yeah, I think your comparison is just
01:07:49
mine. But anyway, uh before we go,
01:07:51
listen up. You if you have a juicy
01:07:53
situation you'd like our advice on, call
01:07:55
us at 85551
01:07:58
pivot, think work, dating, family,
01:08:00
finance, make it juicy, people. This is
01:08:02
not career advice ask. This is I want to
01:08:04
date my coworker or I made a huge
01:08:06
financial decision. I regret type ask.
01:08:08
We want something a little more
01:08:10
personal. Um we can't wait to hear from
01:08:12
you on that. and elsewhere in the Cara
01:08:14
and Scott universe. For the last episode
01:08:15
of On, I spoke with longtime defense
01:08:17
attorney Abby Lol, who is representing
01:08:19
some of the most high-profile targets of
01:08:21
the Trump administration right now.
01:08:22
People like New York Attorney General
01:08:24
Leticia James, Federal Reserve Governor
01:08:26
Lisa Cook, and independent journalist
01:08:28
Don Lemon. And to and this is very much
01:08:31
to Scott's last point. Let's listen to a
01:08:33
clip.
01:08:34
>> I don't know that I thought that them
01:08:35
going after Don Lemon was their highest
01:08:37
priority. Right.
01:08:38
>> I should have known better because what
01:08:40
we know about this administration is
01:08:42
they're very good at basically saying if
01:08:45
this is my right hand, pay attention to
01:08:47
it while I do something with my left.
01:08:49
They are the administration of
01:08:50
distraction.
01:08:51
>> Okay, that's the show. Thanks for
01:08:52
listening to Pivot. Be sure to like and
01:08:54
subscribe to our YouTube channel. We'll
01:08:56
be back on Friday.

Episode Highlights

  • Super Bowl Ads and AI
    This year's Super Bowl saw a significant presence of AI in advertising, hinting at future trends.
    @ 11m 54s
    February 10, 2026
  • The Mike Tyson Ad Controversy
    Critics slammed the Super Bowl ad featuring Mike Tyson, calling it grotesque and inappropriate.
    “That was really grotesque.”
    @ 12m 51s
    February 10, 2026
  • Bad Bunny's Halftime Show
    Bad Bunny's performance captivated 108 million viewers, showcasing a vibrant celebration of culture.
    “It was so beautiful and so life affirming.”
    @ 15m 54s
    February 10, 2026
  • Crypto's Brutal Downturn
    Bitcoin has dropped roughly 45% from its all-time high, marking its worst weekly decline in over three years.
    “Wow.”
    @ 18m 44s
    February 10, 2026
  • Amazon's Massive Spending Plans
    Amazon plans to spend $200 billion by 2026, a 60% increase from last year.
    “What a massive amount.”
    @ 25m 34s
    February 10, 2026
  • Jeff Bezos on the Future of the Washington Post
    Bezos claims the Post has an essential journalistic mission despite recent layoffs.
    “Readers provide a roadmap to success.”
    @ 34m 51s
    February 10, 2026
  • Trump Endorses NextStar Media's Acquisition
    Trump shifts stance to support NextStar's $6 billion acquisition of Tegna, citing competition.
    “This will help knock out the fake news.”
    @ 46m 05s
    February 10, 2026
  • Concentration of Power
    A warning against one person controlling major media outlets like Tik Tok and CNN.
    “We don’t need one man owning Tik Tok, CBS, and CNN.”
    @ 49m 53s
    February 10, 2026
  • Netflix's Potential Power Play
    Discussion on how Netflix could leverage its power in Hollywood if it takes over.
    “If Netflix wanted to go gangster, they’d get every single labor union in Hollywood.”
    @ 50m 40s
    February 10, 2026
  • FCC Investigation
    The FCC is probing whether a show violated equal time rules for political candidates.
    “The FCC is investigating whether the show broke equal time rules.”
    @ 52m 19s
    February 10, 2026
  • Economic Anxiety and Love
    Exploring how economic stress impacts relationships and the concept of love in society.
    “Love is all right. If people can’t make enough money, it gets in the way of love.”
    @ 01h 01m 13s
    February 10, 2026
  • Dehumanization in Politics
    A stark warning about the normalization of comparing political enemies to animals.
    “When the president starts comparing them to animals, we are 1930s Germany.”
    @ 01h 06m 26s
    February 10, 2026

Episode Quotes

Key Moments

  • Crypto Winter18:20
  • Bezos' Media Missteps35:48
  • Media Critique39:51
  • Concentration of Power49:53
  • Netflix's Power Play50:40
  • FCC Investigation52:19
  • Economic Anxiety1:01:13
  • Advice Segment1:08:04

Words per Minute Over Time

Vibes Breakdown

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