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Was Apple's Car Project Doomed to Fail?

March 01, 2024 / 09:50

This episode discusses Apple's cancellation of Project Titan, its electric vehicle initiative, and the implications for the company's future direction.

Hosts Scott and Cara talk about the internal meeting where Apple informed its 2,000-person team that the project has been scrapped. They highlight the shift in focus towards generative AI projects, given the changing dynamics in the electric vehicle market.

The conversation touches on the competitive landscape, mentioning Tesla and BYD, and the challenges Apple faced in entering the EV space. Scott emphasizes that the decision to cancel was wise, considering the plateauing EV market and the need for strategic resource allocation.

They also discuss the potential for Apple to focus on software for vehicles rather than manufacturing cars. The hosts reflect on the importance of integrating AI into Apple's products and the possibility of acquiring Rivian as a strategic move.

The episode concludes with thoughts on Apple's need for growth in new markets and the challenges of making acquisitions, given the company's historical reluctance to do so.

TL;DR

Apple cancels its electric vehicle project, Project Titan, shifting focus to generative AI amid a challenging EV market.

Video

00:00:00
apple is scraping its multi-billion
00:00:01
dollar plan to release an electric
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vehicle a not so secret project that was
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in the works for almost a decade the
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company told employees in internal
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meeting this week that the plan notice
00:00:09
project Titan has been canceled
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surprising the 2,000 person team had
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been working on it according to reports
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many of those employees will now be
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reassigned to Apple's generative AI
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projects um which will be interesting to
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see because they have a lot less data
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than other people because they don't
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collect it um you were excited about the
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idea of an Apple car Scott um I'm I'm
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surprised they canceled it I maybe
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they're working on software Apple's car
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was initially envisioned as an EV to
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compete against Tesla and later a
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self-driving car rival wh which is comes
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from uh Google The Google folks Elon mus
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rejected reacted to Apple's news on X
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posting a saluting emoji and a cigarette
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I don't whatever [ __ ] you um what do you
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think first of all do you consider it a
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failure or they smart to get out of the
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EV game um even though they never said
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they were doing it so look a a a
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strategy in a vision is meant to be
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unifying but not a suicide pact and you
00:01:01
were right two years ago I predicted
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they were going to build the most
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valuable waiting list in history that
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this made a ton of sense and in order to
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move the needle on what was then a $1.6
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trillion do market cap company they
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would need to go after big game and the
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automobile industry was big I felt that
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Tesla had unearned market cap at 700
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billion or whatever it was then and that
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Apple was just salivating to go after
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some of that but here's the thing when
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the data changes as a good manager you
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have the right and the obligation to
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change your mind and a step back from
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the wrong direction is a step in the
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right direction and you know what Cara
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this was absolutely the right decision
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because in the last 12 months the
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atmospherics have changed dramatically
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and let's just talk about some of those
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the EV Market is plateauing if not
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slowing all the projections are way
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overestimated consumers pivot to EVS
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Toyota's looking like like a genius
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right now CU they did not go all in on E
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hybrid which popular that's right they
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went hybrids Tesla is running up against
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margin compression and then you have um
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you have the company which is probably
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um probably the most important company
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that no one talks about byd is now
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outselling Tesla so Apple Warren Buffett
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has a big stake in that is that right I
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didn't know that yeah but let's look at
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the market versus where it was say just
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even two years ago much less when this
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project was probably approved you have a
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low margin Capital intensive product
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that is subsidized basically every car
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company in the world has either gotten
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Federal loans Tesla or has been bailed
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out GM and Chrysler it's a massively
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subsidized industry which makes it
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incredibly economically inefficient they
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have this enormous competitor with a
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$600 billion market capitalization that
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is doing really well called Tesla
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they have another gigantic lowcost
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competitor that's actually out selling
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Tesla right now and the consumer seems
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to be pulling back from EVs and EV the
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prices of used EVS are plummeting and
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they look at this in in addition what
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has popped up generative Ai and so the
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the key to strategy is strategy is
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decisions that attempt to cut a swath
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between market dynamics and your
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internal competences in order to add
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shareholder value
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and the key to strategy is not what you
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say yes to but what you say no to and
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even Apple has finite resources both
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human and capital and my guess is
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they've said based on this Market which
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quite frankly looks increasingly
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difficult we would rather take I farite
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resources all right I'm gonna let me let
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me give you some thoughts on this okay I
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think EVS yes they have I think they
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over everyone over invested right and so
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I I still think it's the direction it's
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going period I think this is the way
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it's going I just think consumers aren't
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quite ready yet um it's sort of the
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Valley of Death area that happens in but
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a lot of what who got into this car
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makers right car makers got into this
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and started to make are starting to make
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beautiful cars now as they do that I do
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think customers and people have you know
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have don't have worries about charging
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and everything else I do think it's
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going to move you're going to see in 10
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years you know I forget how much of a
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percentage EVS are it'll it'll it'll
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move up it just won't move up this
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quickly that's one CU I cuz I do think
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this is the way things are going these
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these autonomous vehicles not excuse me
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electric vehicles and then eventually
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autonomous vehicles I think that is the
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direction I think SC science fiction has
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been correct about this that we will
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have autonomous electric cars and you
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know in the future when we're dead when
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both of us are dead um so I think that's
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it's just there's so many competitors
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now and now you do have like byd um and
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and which is just roasting everybody
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else and they're and they're coming here
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they're looking at Mexican uh sites to
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build a factory so that they can move
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into this area um so I do think people
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will have a lot more Choice like they do
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with regular cars that's one and so but
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it's a lot less than the investment so
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GM everybody's pulled back but they
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haven't totally pulled back because they
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realize this is the future the second
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thing is um Apple I was always dubious
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as you know about them building the car
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I'm like why don't they just work on the
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software for the car like making the car
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these electric cars work better or he
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you know uh cook Tim Cook never
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acknowledged this car project and
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referred to it uh as work on autonomous
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systems I think they should not abandon
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I think they should abandon building the
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car that was sort of weird to me but um
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but keep at this idea of how to operate
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Transportation Vehicles right it's a
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great area and as to AI I think it's
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very important that they incorporate AI
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into all their products so that you you
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like assistance all that kind ofu stuff
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like I don't they're going to have a
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harder time in the a market because they
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don't collect as much data um but it's a
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better bet for them to focus on making
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these products seamless in a new AI
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environment like my AI my Apple AI talks
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to your Apple AI kind of things um and I
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think that's where they're going to get
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the big push of keeping you in the Apple
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ecosystem I'm not sure you know what I
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think was likely the final nail in the
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coffin when they said okay it's time to
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officially announce this is over is
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rivan the guy left oh yeah if why is
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that well okay rivan's been around a
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decade and a half it's executed really
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well I have an order on it rivan real
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briefly I'm going to get uh that ocean
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foam green rivan I've already outfitted
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it oh cool and I bought a home in Aspen
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and I'm going to drive into town have
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lunch at casu a dinner Cash Cash I'm
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going to be a cliche of a douchebag and
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everyone is going to love me and I'm
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going to put my dogs in the back of the
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rivan anyways I love rivan I think
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they're beautiful they're really popular
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they have executed really well they cost
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about $70,000 this is an incredibly
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difficult business and they probably
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they probably said what's the analog
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here and they're like well the analog's
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Tesla and I was like come on Tesla
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caught got in front of a tsunami when
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the entire industry didn't want to
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acknowledge what was happening they had
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a spokesperson that brought massive
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attention to it government subsidies
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what has happened there is a unicorn on
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top of a unicorn that gives birth to
00:07:23
unicorns right they said the the analog
00:07:26
to what we're trying to do here is rivan
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rivan is exec well it's a good looking
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car well interesting one of the signs of
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this was and I remember paying a lot of
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attention this guy named DJ I think it's
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novotney he was sort of one of the early
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car people at Apple he left to go which
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I think I saw him at the music Miami
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Music Festival he's right there with
00:07:47
Calvin I I like I like Rufus dool and
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Calvin harrism more but he's right up
00:07:52
there I'm sorry go ahead anyway he went
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to rivan and now he went to rivan and
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that was a big deal now as to rivan it's
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it's interesting one of the people who
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follows Apple Gene monsters said Apple
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should buy revamp like that's how to do
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it like don't get out but actually buy
00:08:07
it it's actually a really interesting
00:08:08
that's a really interesting idea do you
00:08:09
like that that's Jean moner who said
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that um just buying losses at this point
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I'm sorry go ahead car yeah but gets
00:08:15
them in there I don't know it was that
00:08:17
was the the alternative I guess it's a
00:08:19
it's a huge project and they really are
00:08:20
focused in on um they should be focused
00:08:23
in properly on integrating AI into their
00:08:26
systems and also um on on their spatial
00:08:30
Computing they've got to they got to be
00:08:32
focused on that more than this but
00:08:34
buying ribbean could be something I
00:08:36
don't know could be interesting yes so
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he said Apple's a tech company and tech
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companies by definition need to grow and
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that's the $400 billion question that
00:08:42
they have here they've got all this
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money um so they he he feels like to
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grow the business you got to get into
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they shouldn't uh because he thinks
00:08:51
Apple Vision Pro has potential but the
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car they would grow he thinks it
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eventually would grow was an interesting
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you know he thinks they need to be in a
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New Market and that why abandon it stay
00:09:01
in stay in this market by buying someone
00:09:04
that's not an apple thing to do they're
00:09:07
not acquires um it's an interesting idea
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but rivan would have to get their
00:09:12
financial house in order it's tough to
00:09:13
buy a company that's losing that kind of
00:09:15
money right now yeah but they'd get a
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great great stat that that guy who's the
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CEO of rivan's impressive it's a really
00:09:21
interesting idea if they could get sort
00:09:24
of to uh or close to break even then I
00:09:26
think it'd be a great idea for Apple but
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as you said Apple doesn't like to make
00:09:29
Acquisitions doesn't like to do it they
00:09:31
don't like they do it but what's the
00:09:32
last one the headphones what did they
00:09:34
buy last I can't even remember beets
00:09:35
didn't they buy beets beets yeah they we
00:09:37
had them on stage one that was a long
00:09:39
freaking time ago anyway um it's not
00:09:42
like them to do that but they could
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be

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Episode Highlights

  • Apple Cancels Project Titan
    Apple has officially canceled its electric vehicle project, Project Titan, surprising many employees.
    “This was absolutely the right decision.”
    @ 00m 09s
    March 01, 2024
  • Market Dynamics Shift
    The EV market is plateauing, and consumers are pulling back from electric vehicles.
    “The EV Market is plateauing if not slowing.”
    @ 01m 48s
    March 01, 2024
  • Rivan's Popularity
    Rivan is gaining traction and is seen as a strong competitor in the EV space.
    “I love Rivan; I think they're beautiful and really popular.”
    @ 06m 54s
    March 01, 2024

Episode Quotes

Key Moments

  • Project Titan Canceled00:09
  • Market Changes01:48
  • Rivan's Rise06:54

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