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Elon is uh randomly awarding a million--
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doll daily prize to registered swing
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voters who signed his PX petition
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supporting the first and second
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amendments federal law says it's a crime
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to pay people with the intention of
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inducing a reward and be cast a vote or
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get registered the election law experts
00:00:13
are split over whether his actions cross
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the line see I think this is just risk
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assessment by Elon they're not going to
00:00:18
come after him and if Trump wins it
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won't matter uh his iies argue because
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he's not directly paying for
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registration but for a petition
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signature it's not illegal it's very
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typical of him this is a very typical
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risk he would take easily including
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attacking Dominion systems which I think
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is probably not a great w risk to
00:00:34
necessarily take but go ahead finish
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what you were saying about him it all
00:00:38
comes down to incentives and the algebra
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of deterrence the whole point of our
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criminal justice system is that
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criminals do the math or when you're
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about to commit a crime you do a math
00:00:49
and it's the following the likelihood
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I'm caught times the potential penalty
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has to be greater than the potential
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upside MH in certain key factors and
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components of our economic system the
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algebra deterrence is all up and
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I'll give you a couple very three Stark
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examples if I'm if I'm meta and I know I
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I sit on top of research that is showing
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that there is a direct correlation
00:01:16
between usage of my platform and teen
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depression and self-cutting and I
00:01:22
continue to engage in
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this or I violate my consent decree and
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I knowingly violate my my consent decree
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I know that the likelihood I get caught
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that delay and the size of the fine are
00:01:37
vastly smaller than the upside of
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continuing to break the law in
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taxation all really wealthy people have
00:01:45
an incentive to be so aggressive
00:01:49
with their taxes because their taxes are
00:01:51
so complicated and the IRS has been till
00:01:54
Biden so underfunded that the likelihood
00:01:57
you'll get caught and the penalty are
00:02:00
vastly overwhelmed by the amount of
00:02:01
money you're going to save they can come
00:02:03
get you and whether Yeah by being
00:02:05
incredibly aggressive on your taxes and
00:02:08
now let's go to musk who gives a if
00:02:10
it's illegal they're not going to
00:02:13
they're not going to put him in jail
00:02:15
they're not going to say to Trump you're
00:02:17
no the the all of our election laws are
00:02:19
the following lie cheat break the law
00:02:23
get an office and then it'll be
00:02:25
embarrassing and the election commission
00:02:27
will find you and they'll shame your
00:02:29
election your campaign manager and
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you're still the
00:02:33
Senator so the the incentives until they
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say until there's some sort of com real
00:02:41
risk that they can shut down for example
00:02:43
all your media spending if they say okay
00:02:47
if if this guy engages in this he could
00:02:49
go to jail or the campaign has to stop
00:02:52
all media spending like you could get an
00:02:54
injunction if it's really blatant what
00:02:57
incentive is there for must not to do
00:02:59
this yeah I agree I think everyone's
00:03:01
like can you believe I was been asked to
00:03:03
be on I was like he could he doesn't
00:03:05
care he's not going to pay if if she if
00:03:07
he win if Trump wins he's scot-free this
00:03:09
is a scot-free risk that he takes and if
00:03:12
he loses she's gonna have a hard time
00:03:14
going after him and she probably won't
00:03:16
right and so I think our our laws
00:03:19
especially election laws do not
00:03:20
anticipate Shameless like they
00:03:22
just don't and this is Trump and this is
00:03:25
you know as you're saying with the penis
00:03:27
joke it just I don't think I think think
00:03:30
I think a lot of women wof yuck you um
00:03:35
and I agree with you paying attention to
00:03:37
him but I think it brings to question
00:03:39
whether he's cognitiv disb and that's a
00:03:41
negative that is showing up on poll
00:03:43
after poll after poll is is he Biden too
00:03:45
dirty Biden essentially and those
00:03:48
numbers are showing some real residents
00:03:50
we were showing off some stats about
00:03:52
that is he too old to and then therefore
00:03:54
you're voting for for for JD Vance who
00:03:57
is paid for by Peter teal and musk
00:04:00
essentially um so I do think it's a risk
00:04:03
for musk to take and he will take it
00:04:05
because he it will be advantaged and if
00:04:07
she wins I think he's the risk will be
00:04:10
problematic for him but not not fatal
00:04:14
for him you know he'll just he'll just
00:04:16
behave although saying she hates
00:04:18
Christians and stuff like that shows
00:04:20
that he's really he's also mentally has
00:04:22
some mental problems I think the real
00:04:24
quiet winner in this is Peter teal and I
00:04:26
think he will take down all of them
00:04:29
because he quietly he's very sharp he
00:04:32
sits behind the scenes he and Elon did
00:04:35
not get along before this by the way at
00:04:38
all in a way that was significant so I
00:04:41
suspect if Trump wins there's going to
00:04:42
be one ugly there's going to be one ugly
00:04:45
fight going on among those people
00:04:47
there's about a one and three chance if
00:04:49
Donald Trump is
00:04:50
reelected that that he dies in office
00:04:55
just based on his age and his body mass
00:04:57
index that means there's a guy
00:05:00
who was a mediocre entrepreneur VC of
00:05:03
best served four years in the Marines
00:05:05
which he should be honored for got
00:05:07
elected to Senate what two years ago mhm
00:05:10
and this guy is bought and paid for by
00:05:13
Peter teal it's not his service in the
00:05:15
Marines it's not he's a smart guy it's
00:05:18
not his book it's not any of that
00:05:19
there's two
00:05:21
reasons that Senator Rance could be a
00:05:23
heartbeat from presidency and basically
00:05:26
the president there's two reasons the
00:05:27
first is Peter the second is T
00:05:30
yep that's the one I'm watching I you
00:05:32
know I I think elon's in more trouble in
00:05:34
a trump presidency than a Kam Harris I
00:05:38
think he's got issues in you know
00:05:40
Democratic issues of investigation and
00:05:43
Regulatory there is going to be an ugly
00:05:46
fight at the top there if uh if Trump
00:05:48
wins I wouldn't want to be Trump I think
00:05:50
he's among some
00:05:54
very difficult characters I didn't see
00:05:56
that that's interesting I didn't I
00:05:57
didn't see that but because the way I
00:05:58
see it again it just always in my
00:06:00
opinion they're not going to get I'd
00:06:02
love to write a book called incentives I
00:06:03
just don't people connect the dots but
00:06:06
here are the incentives and this is
00:06:07
what's so dangerous about not
00:06:08
immediately having a gag reflex around a
00:06:11
move to
00:06:12
autocracy there's greater incentive to
00:06:14
support Trump than Harris if you're
00:06:16
famous or you're because here's the
00:06:19
thing if you're uh Elon Musk and you
00:06:22
support Trump very very visibly and
00:06:25
Harris is elected they're not going to
00:06:28
they're not going to your company
00:06:30
they're not going to put you in jail
00:06:31
they believe in rule of law Donald Trump
00:06:34
is saying if I'm elected I'm going to
00:06:37
prosecute Google to the full extent or
00:06:39
Jews it's your fault if I don't get
00:06:42
elected so all of the incentives are
00:06:44
okay if I root for this
00:06:47
clown and he doesn't win I'm okay
00:06:51
because the people the other side
00:06:52
believes in rule of law they're not
00:06:54
going to they're not going to go after
00:06:56
personal precu but the autocrat might
00:06:59
come after me I think that is what's
00:07:02
exactly going to happen that's exactly
00:07:05
say more what do you mean Cara I mean I
00:07:06
think elon's in more trouble in a trump
00:07:08
presidency I think he doesn't he's the
00:07:09
one who's sort of off um he's got
00:07:13
obviously some not cognitive issues he's
00:07:16
you know he's really lost his mind in
00:07:18
many ways allegedly um I think teal is
00:07:21
pulling all the strings here I just I
00:07:24
just Peter teal is quiet and deadly Ela
00:07:26
musk is loud and he's just reminds me of
00:07:29
some of these oligarchs that ended up
00:07:32
not not living but but the whole point
00:07:35
of a
00:07:36
democracy the whole point of having
00:07:37
different branches of governments and
00:07:39
and members of Congress and three
00:07:41
branches and a military a secretary of
00:07:43
defense that comes from a civilian
00:07:44
background not a military all of these
00:07:46
things are meant to put in place checks
00:07:48
and balances yeah and we're about to for
00:07:51
the first time I think maybe there's
00:07:53
someone else where essentially you have
00:07:56
one man Peter teal who could literally
00:08:00
control the president there is no
00:08:03
something something Peter teal will
00:08:05
never hear from a vice president or
00:08:07
potentially a president Vance something
00:08:09
he will never hear is no ever yeah cost
00:08:14
him 50 million dollar he's the one I'm
00:08:17
watching I'm not watching any it's just
00:08:19
a ridiculous circus of a person and I
00:08:21
think it'll end badly for him but Peter
00:08:23
Teal's the one I'm looking at
