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E15: “The Besties” All-In’s inaugural award show covering the best, worst & most memorable of 2020

December 18, 2020 / 01:16:37

This episode covers the All-In Podcast's Bestie Awards, featuring discussions on major events in politics, business, and culture. Guests include Chamath Palihapitiya, David Sacks, and Jason Fried.

The hosts discuss the recent IPOs of Airbnb and Wish, with David Sacks sharing his investment experience in Airbnb. They highlight Airbnb's successful navigation through the COVID crisis and its impact on the company.

The conversation shifts to the Bestie Awards, where they identify winners and losers in various categories, including politics, business, and culture. Chamath names Joe Biden and the Chinese Communist Party as significant winners, while Sacks points out Donald Trump and Nancy Pelosi as major losers.

In business, Moderna and Elon Musk are recognized as winners, while small businesses and companies facing antitrust lawsuits are labeled as losers. The hosts also discuss cultural movements, including Black Lives Matter and the rise of podcasting.

As the episode concludes, the hosts reflect on the year, sharing personal anecdotes and emphasizing the importance of friendship and support during challenging times.

TL;DR

The All-In Podcast hosts discuss the Bestie Awards, recognizing winners and losers in politics, business, and culture from 2020.

Video

00:00:13
hey everybody welcome back besties  are back for the all-in podcast  
00:00:18
the queen of quinoa freeburg is here the dictator  chamoth and of course rain man david sachs  
00:00:26
and it's been a big week here in silicon valley  with airbnb and wish both going public for over  
00:00:31
a hundred billion dollars combined anybody  get their beak wet on that one oh hey guys
00:00:41
oh what how are you david yeah i might i might  have gotten my be quiet on on a couple of those  
00:00:48
so oh a little bit well uh you know what in  celebration of your recent victory with airbnb  
00:00:56
wish i will oh no i can't zoom in on my merch  but i've got my unofficial wet your beak  
00:01:05
mug so for those of you wondering we have to  uh get a little bit of housekeeping out of the  
00:01:12
way at first here uh the merch has gone crazy  have you guys been watching merch on twitter  
00:01:18
of course anybody anybody my favorite market i  got some of those mugs i think they arrived today  
00:01:26
they look great it's amazing and you know the  best decision we made was was not to let you  
00:01:31
sell t-shirts jason because you would have you  would have you would have uh milked this for  
00:01:36
every every nickel you could and said and instead  we we open source it to the fans and they've just  
00:01:43
gone crazy with it i mean they're literally i know  that hurt you i know that hurt you a little bit  
00:01:49
i mean the the problem i'm having here no  advertising i'm picking up all the production  
00:01:53
cost here i'm sending you guys equipment you  maniacs lose the equipment every time you go from  
00:01:59
one of your estates to another estate i'm  sending equipment to four different places anyway  
00:02:05
we've got a special very special episode for you  today we are doing drum roll please we're gonna  
00:02:13
add some sound effects to this afterwards we're  gonna do the bestie awards today so we're gonna  
00:02:17
go through the biggest winners in politics and  business and cultures and of course the losers  
00:02:21
the flashes in the pan the best business moves  the stupidest business we got a lot to get through  
00:02:26
um but just in terms of housekeeping again the  all-in syndicate is up and running i think there's  
00:02:31
four thousand people have applied in 10 days  let's just talk about the market cap of airbnb  
00:02:38
wish for that matter what round did you invest  in airbnb uh seriously was that the founders  
00:02:45
fund around yeah yeah congrats thanks oh that's  so yummy but to be honest that was already over  
00:02:53
a billion dollar evaluation correct yeah it was it  was i mean it's still like 80 or 100 x it's like  
00:02:58
a 40x right 48 it's like a 40 it's like a 40x or  something like that so thank you thank you thank  
00:03:04
you brian chesky thank you peter thiel peter led  that round and um brian was looking to include  
00:03:09
founders in the round uh and in addition to it  being led by founders fund and so peter introduced  
00:03:15
me and that's how it happened wow fantastic i  did not get my big wet on that but i did mention  
00:03:23
airbnb on my podcast and that you know i've  been trying to get brian on the podcast for  
00:03:27
i don't know a decade and i said you know i  know you guys want to have him on the pod i've  
00:03:32
asked him like literally every year for 10 years  but i don't think he likes me and then he emailed  
00:03:36
me said i listened to the podcast i like you and  i was like oh okay great will you come on he's  
00:03:40
like i'll come on so he's going to come on this  year i think which will be great right for this  
00:03:44
week and certainly well i think i think uh brian  and the whole team really did a masterful job  
00:03:48
of uh navigating through the whole kovic crisis i  mean everybody forgets how negative the publicity  
00:03:56
was people were talking about airbnb as covid  roadkill back in april i i tweeted a cnbc headline  
00:04:06
from back in april wondering whether  airbnb was even going to survive  
00:04:11
and they navigated the crisis they did have  to cut head count but they made the company  
00:04:17
much more profitable uh but they also did  um great things for uh both the renters and  
00:04:22
the hosts um at the company's expense they  refunded something like 250 million dollars  
00:04:28
to the to to to users who had cancer  reservations but they gave the money  
00:04:34
to the host to keep them afloat so they really  did a great job navigating this whole crisis  
00:04:40
it's a pretty great company he obviously cares  deeply um it was very uh hard i think for him to  
00:04:46
cut all that staff at that time right it was kind  of a tough decision but they were very generous in  
00:04:52
how they did it yeah so congratulations on getting  the beak wet sacks and uh chamath i got a bunch of  
00:04:58
inbound uh you had file to sell some shares of  virgin galactic i saw you tweeted about it and  
00:05:03
you wanted to be transparent people asked for you  to address it on upfront on the show so go ahead  
00:05:08
yeah i have a lot of uh projects that i um intend  to fund in 2021 i'm probably going to put another  
00:05:16
i don't know i think the forecast  was almost 2 billion dollars to work  
00:05:20
and uh i needed to manage my liquidity  for this year and make sure that you know
00:05:28
i could continue to make all  those investments and fund my  
00:05:35
fund all of the other things that i  need to do and that's why i did it  
00:05:39
and you're still a significant shareholder  i assume and you believe in the company  
00:05:44
yeah i mean uh i remain completely committed  to that business um you know i i it would have  
00:05:49
been better if i could have sold something  else but it's not quite possible and when  
00:05:53
we're entering it when we when you leave the tax  year you just have to make these decisions to  
00:05:58
lock in some gains against other losses and um  would have loved to have uh i've not had to do it  
00:06:03
but i needed to manage my liquidity and so i sold  you know it's a small portion of what i own so  
00:06:08
yeah that was sort of my point this is the state  small portion of what you own and i mean this is  
00:06:13
something that you know in poker and in  business you got to manage your chip stack  
00:06:18
and you got to manage your bankroll so today  we're gonna do the besties uh this is our first  
00:06:23
uh attempt at talking about uh uh it's our award  show for 2020. let's leave it at that let's start  
00:06:30
out with the biggest before before we hold on  hold on a second um how much weight did you lose  
00:06:35
because it's either that you're still fat and you  have it wait wait it's either you're still fat and  
00:06:39
you have an incredible camera or you've actually  lost weight and this reminds me by the way  
00:06:45
oh and i'd like to tell a story no no no no four  years ago oh my god here we go jason jason and i  
00:06:54
make a weight bet okay just don't say the dollar  amount it was like you know it was like i think  
00:06:59
it was like uh ten thousand dollars a pound  whatever and uh jason jason he would get ten  
00:07:06
he was about to do and this is incredible jason  comes to us five years ago and says guys you  
00:07:10
won't believe it i'm doing a show on nbc uh a  reality tv show that's true pilot and with not
00:07:22
please beat that out okay beep that  up don't get canceled oh my god that  
00:07:28
guy that guy seems like a train wreck but okay  that's fine you're going to do this pilot with
00:07:34
people don't nbc an nbc and don't you need to  you know be in fighting shape and he said yes i  
00:07:42
need motivation so i said here's motivation let's  make a weight but you need to be under 190 pounds  
00:07:49
and i'll pay you ten thousand ten thousand dollars  a pound that you're underneath you pay whatever  
00:07:54
thousand pound over yeah it was like six months  later and we're hosting i'm hosting a poker game  
00:08:03
and i realized oh my god this is the last this  is the last day of the bet the day before well  
00:08:09
we started the day before and then the last day  of the bet is midnight yeah i wait till midnight  
00:08:15
and i jump up and i'm like wait ben and so i say  jason you gotta be under 190 190 2.5 or 193 pounds  
00:08:26
yeah he literally goes ash and white and he says  more white than i am now okay because i just ate  
00:08:33
and i was maintaining my weight he says he says  okay okay that's fine he had been eating pizzas
00:08:48
and then he says he says freeburg you won't  believe this he goes guys i just need five  
00:08:52
minutes before the weigh-in and then he goes to  our guest bedroom and crosstalk that's not true  
00:08:59
what is that there was no 13 in this story  fabricating now he tried he tried to leave
00:09:11
after eating all that pizza and  cheese and nachos and everything  
00:09:15
anyways he loses the weight bet and he  says jamal this is completely unfair  
00:09:19
i'm not gonna pay you he was like 196 pounds i'm  not paying you this money like one pound over
00:09:27
and he said uh this bet is not over until  midnight the f obviously yes obviously yes  
00:09:33
24 hours in fair enough so i said all  right fine jake i'll find he goes home  
00:09:38
he literally takes every diuretic  known to man come on and then he loses  
00:09:47
two pairs of sweatpants and sweated it out  i checked in with this guy 10 times this day  
00:09:54
he walked like 12 miles he took four shits you  know i sweated it out steam room he lot bath
00:10:04
he did a colonoscopy he did a colonoscopy to his  credit he lost five pounds by midnight and he  
00:10:10
did drop it but then i said then i said you know  what because there were two different weigh-ins  
00:10:17
uh we were gonna go play in a poker  tournament so we went and played in  
00:10:20
the poker tournament i said chamath  buy me into the poker tournament  
00:10:23
whatever we win we'll chop it up if it happens  so we just made it into a friendly thing  
00:10:27
um and obviously but great now that story is out  there and now i'm going to everybody's going to  
00:10:33
be on twitter with the code t-shirt and i hope  somebody in the all-in-army does the t-shirt  
00:10:39
that just says 192.5 and we'll all know what it  means which is the way that the one idea was 193.  
00:10:46
192. which is crazy that i'm one it was 193 anyway  here we go getting into the categories our first  
00:10:53
category is the biggest winner in politics biggest  winner in politics i'm going to ask you gentlemen  
00:11:00
to raise your hand if you have a strong feeling  on this i'll call on one of you who's got a a  
00:11:04
big winner in politics go ahead chamoth joe  biden toe body okay going down the limb there  
00:11:13
i mean let's be honest there's nobody bigger  and actually if you wanted to abstract it what  
00:11:17
i would say is centrism was the big winner and  uh and it kind of feeds the losers which is sort  
00:11:23
of the extreme left and the extreme right but i  would say that centrism and joe biden were the  
00:11:28
huge huge huge winners well i'll give a i'll give  a um an orthodox pick which is uh xi jinping the  
00:11:36
chairman of the chinese communist party you would  have thought he would have had a bad year starting  
00:11:42
off with you know kovid uh starting in  his country at the beginning of the year  
00:11:46
but he wasn't evil they you know that a global  plague came from china but they were able to kind  
00:11:53
of uh they were able to use a a very gullible wh  o to launder uh responsibility for the catastrophe  
00:12:02
and they took advantage of the crisis to build  more client states and asia and africa with  
00:12:06
promises of vaccines and and money and  finally his uh biggest global nemesis  
00:12:12
uh trump and then you know pompeo lost in the  election so you have to say he came out on top  
00:12:18
at the end of this year free yeah i i um i put  i have the exact same answer as saks i put the  
00:12:24
chinese communist party as a whole actually  and i feel like um on the world stage they're  
00:12:29
uh they're strengthened uh in in the post-covered  world so i had yeah because she went from  
00:12:38
the famous quote in the debates there was a little  girl in california who was bust to school that  
00:12:42
little girl was me where she took on joe biden  and then she winds up getting the vp slot and  
00:12:49
i think she winds up actually becoming president  and will be the first female president of the year  
00:12:56
of the of the history of the united states and  that could happen in the first term or if joe  
00:13:00
biden doesn't run for a second term and they do a  halfway decent job kamala plus pete bootage edge  
00:13:07
is a pretty great ticket as well who's the  biggest loser who's your biggest loser chamath
00:13:14
impossible uh donald j trump okay the obvious  answer stream left the extreme left and the  
00:13:20
extreme right got it i'll i'll i'll i'll i'll  agree with that but i'd also add uh nancy pelosi  
00:13:27
the speaker of the house uh her impeachment of  trump at the beginning of the year went absolutely  
00:13:31
nowhere wasn't even an issue in the election and  her majority in the house has almost completely  
00:13:38
disappeared she lost a dozen seats i think the um  the the i think she's down to about four or five  
00:13:44
seats as a razor thin majority in the house and  she's set to lose more in the midterm elections  
00:13:50
i predict that she is set to not be speaker  anymore in two years and headed for retirement  
00:13:58
okay freeberg you got one biggest loser i have i  have the uh institution of american democracy is  
00:14:04
the biggest loser of 2020. i feel like we're  coming out of this year with like no belief  
00:14:10
that our election was valid for a vast majority  for for a sizable minority this country that um  
00:14:19
some democrats believe that the election was  fraudulent now too i mean if you say something  
00:14:24
enough times everyone believes it so um you know  here we are coming out of this year where with a  
00:14:29
crippling um lack of faith in our electoral system  and uh it's scary that american democracy is being  
00:14:36
fundamentally questioned by its own constituents  so um so i think that's the biggest loser i i had  
00:14:42
i had uh two choices here one of them was already  said i said the hysterical left as my runner-up  
00:14:47
bernie and warren just dismissed by biden  and kamala they they are not even part of  
00:14:54
the discussion anymore and they didn't even get  cabinet positions so the hysterical left and the  
00:14:58
socialist communist party is out of the democratic  party thank the lord but my biggest loser  
00:15:04
i have to say that this is the worst run of any  politician i've ever seen in a year which is rudy  
00:15:09
giuliani under investigation for les pardes and  eager fruhman then the bogus lawsuit elections  
00:15:17
then farting during a hearing then doing the  barat shirt tuck i don't know if we have feelings  
00:15:23
on if that was a tuck or if he was trying to  wake up the genie and then he bleeds hair dye  
00:15:30
then he starts bleeding hair dye wake up the genie  and he got covered no then he got covered and he's
00:15:44
do you think you had a shitty  year i think there's gonna be  
00:15:49
the fans of the show are now registering  domain names of things we say  
00:15:54
the upside for him is that donald trump's campaign  is paying him twenty thousand dollars a day in  
00:15:59
legal fees no i think it was two hundred no it's  20 grand a day oh it's only 20. that's his going  
00:16:04
rate for making a a fool of himself i have a i've  ever feeling that rate was adjusted when uh rudy  
00:16:11
couldn't get uh the case to the supreme court well  we all know that trump pays his bills on time so  
00:16:18
it shouldn't be a problem right all right uh now  we're gonna have some more fun biggest winner in  
00:16:25
business biggest winner in business freeburg you  want to lead us off you haven't let us off yet  
00:16:29
i'll take this one i think that the biggest winner  in business this year is a company that started  
00:16:34
a few years ago called moderna this company had a  ipo in december of 18 at seven and a half billion  
00:16:40
dollar market cap it traded between four and five  billion throughout 2019 and all of a sudden covet  
00:16:45
hits and this becomes a vaccine candidate uh  driver for moderna and the stock shoots up it's  
00:16:51
worth 60 billion today this company has not had  a product that's gone to market prior to covid  
00:16:56
and they struggled uh getting this business um i  wouldn't say struggle but they they never really  
00:17:01
had a an application for their mrna technology  they looked at it for years iterating and  
00:17:07
pivoting this business and covid un like a lot of  other businesses really gave them an unbelievable  
00:17:12
uh kick and i might even say i shot on the  arm i shot in the arm and tonight they got  
00:17:17
approval from the fda and they're going to be  shipping starting to on monday i think saks who  
00:17:21
you got for the biggest winner in business we're  moving on a good pace here elon musk uh our friend  
00:17:28
rose to become the six second richest man in the  world ahead of bill gates uh and you know right  
00:17:34
on the heels of jeff bezos uh his company  tesla had something like a 8 or 10x gains  
00:17:40
over a 500 billion dollar company of course the  products are awesome it joined the s p 500 and  
00:17:45
spacex is doing amazing as well uh we saw  the launch of starship the other day and  
00:17:50
i have just been mesmerized by all these  unboxing videos for starlink which you can  
00:17:56
see on youtube and it is just magic that you can  unbox this little satellite dish plug it in and  
00:18:02
you have broadband internet from space so um i  think you know elon seems to be on track to be  
00:18:09
uh not only the world's richest man but the  world's first trillionaire wow big uh big uh  
00:18:16
big ups there to e uh chamath what do you got  for the biggest winner in business of 2020 yeah  
00:18:22
i have to agree with saxypoo uh elon is the elon  basically has had over the last 10 or 15 years  
00:18:30
an incredible amount of challenges that he's  overcome he's had an incredible amount of haters  
00:18:35
he's had probably had to deal with stuff  that most of us would have broken under  
00:18:41
and uh he just fought through it and the guy just  basically bended all the haters until he crushed  
00:18:47
their souls and i just think that that's  incredible absolutely so elon musk is the  
00:18:53
hands down the biggest biggest most obvious winner  of 2020. that's the obvious winner um i'll give a  
00:18:59
couple of runner-ups here um i thought also on the  runner-ups uh after elon zoom beating skype slack  
00:19:07
video google hangouts and fixing all their china  issues and getting to a hundred billion dollar  
00:19:11
valuation is notable obviously amazon did a great  job um because of the pandemic uh and then just as  
00:19:18
an oddball out there i just thought adam silver in  the nba bubble was an incredibly bold project that  
00:19:26
was executed so well and was such a delightful  business moment and also a cultural moment  
00:19:32
that you know you had the nba shutting down  during the pandemic remember that dramatic night  
00:19:38
on a thursday night and they cancel the games and  then they do the bubble and it works and that gave  
00:19:43
me hope that we could get through the virus so  those were some of my other runners-up all right  
00:19:47
the biggest loser in business in 2020 go ahead  chamath facebook and google exiting the year with  
00:19:56
umpteen anti-trust lawsuits um i think morale must  be pretty brutal over there there's no amount of  
00:20:04
money at some point that people are willing  to get paid to walk in the door every day and  
00:20:08
just have to do have to deal with  those kinds of accusations and so  
00:20:12
um for all the good in the world that they do  um which so it just must be really tough that  
00:20:17
they have to deal with it but uh those guys  are i think are the biggest losers in business  
00:20:21
what do you got sex the small business person  um you know whether it's restaurants retail  
00:20:27
hospitality what have you small business  people really took it on the chin this year  
00:20:33
i agree with dramath about you know companies  like google and facebook losing esteem in  
00:20:37
the eyes of the public for good reason censorship  and so on but tech still our you know stocks are  
00:20:43
at all-time highs the politicians got to keep  eating at french laundry but it was a small  
00:20:48
business people who got absolutely decimated  by these lockdowns which don't even work  
00:20:53
and so they are the big loser  of twenty twenty free berkeley  
00:20:58
i'm a little more vanilla than the rest of you  guys i went with amc entertainment holdings talk  
00:21:03
about a [ __ ] business in covid restaurants  at least you can do takeout you can't take out  
00:21:07
a movie from amc they're they're shut down all  over the country their creditors are telling them  
00:21:12
to declare bankruptcy it's a total [ __ ] show  no one's gonna go back to the movie movies you  
00:21:16
don't think they come back i don't think they go i  don't know what the hell like amc's gonna do what  
00:21:20
do you do with all those theaters they're awesome  i love going in the movies but i'm not going to  
00:21:24
the movies for at least another year so and it's  sad because honestly like movies are a big part of  
00:21:29
my life always have been and it's sad to see movie  theaters you know they're gonna come back strong  
00:21:34
they're gonna come back stronger i think amazon  will buy one chain i think netflix buys the other  
00:21:38
and then with your membership you get to go and  see all the range of stuff and maybe even see like  
00:21:43
queen's gambit in the theater it's such a great  experience right yeah yeah i would have loved to  
00:21:49
see queen's gambit in the theater totally there's  so much you could do with theaters and i think  
00:21:53
there's an opportunity but man did those guys  get screwed this year well i always thought  
00:21:56
they should do an extended edition so imagine  if when hbo or one of those did you know game of  
00:22:01
thrones if they had it out the day before in movie  theaters or the week before uh or two days before  
00:22:07
and they did an extra 10 minutes people would love  that my biggest loser was of course same as david  
00:22:13
uh real world businesses absolutely demolished  and the government after that first stimulus  
00:22:18
which was incredible trump did an amazing job  of just dropping buckets of money whether it was  
00:22:23
that pp loans and ppe loans whatever the ppp loans  ppp loans all this stuff was incredible and then  
00:22:31
what complete utter [ __ ] and incompetence from  our government that they couldn't get the second  
00:22:36
one done it's absolutely [ __ ] infuriating that  the democrats and the republicans these selfish  
00:22:44
[ __ ] couldn't get another billion dollars  dropped who was that and here we are in december  
00:22:49
that [ __ ] needed to drop in august or september  not december it's just absolutely disgraceful  
00:22:55
it's they're i'm just disgusted that  they couldn't even get some more money  
00:23:01
to people who are suffering unemployment and these  restaurants a hundred thousand restaurant closures  
00:23:07
by the end of 2020 it's just unconscionable that  the the stock market is ripping and we can't get  
00:23:14
just some money in people's  pockets just drop the money  
00:23:18
to infuriate and we're sitting here at the taping  of this that it might actually happen um okay  
00:23:23
biggest winner in culture who's got a big winner  in culture anybody got one i got the um the black  
00:23:30
lives matter movement and i think it um i think  it was such a like meaningful um and impactful uh  
00:23:39
um kind of shift in how people were thinking  fundamentally about behavior in society it's  
00:23:45
still persisting you know there's corporate action  there's state action there's regulatory action  
00:23:50
um and i think it's uh it's a meaningful movement  that's going to persist i think it came at a time  
00:23:55
when we all felt like you know a lot of people  felt locked up in their homes people were angry  
00:24:00
people were frustrated with the system and um  just uh it just was a very poignant moment uh  
00:24:06
especially occurring during covid that it  really took hold um and i think it's gonna  
00:24:11
last and i think that the uh the movement  itself is gonna spawn a lot of change  
00:24:16
yeah i think it's well said david  who do you got uh in culture  
00:24:20
uh baby yoda uh star so you went pop culture  on that one yeah star star of the mandalorian  
00:24:28
show uh that his his ascent uh icon status  uh helped disney get 86 million subscribers  
00:24:36
for for disney plus uh which just blew away  expectations and uh has established disney plus  
00:24:42
as the main rival to netflix do you think netflix  uh you think disney will pass netflix correct  
00:24:49
i don't know if they'll pass them but  they're now certainly going to be a major  
00:24:52
rival to them i think that i think they  passed them okay chamath who do you got  
00:24:56
i would pick a combination of fortnite roblox  and among me which i think has for at least um
00:25:08
a lot of high school and middle school uh kids  but i may be a lot of adults the only form of  
00:25:15
social interaction that we've had for an entire  year what a great what a great selection and  
00:25:21
and i think it's important to understand how much  lonelier we all would have been and how much more  
00:25:26
mental illness and depression we all would have  dealt with if we couldn't have even just talked  
00:25:30
to our friends and i think that there's something  really beautiful that those games did for people  
00:25:35
that's a good one that's a good one i i went  with podcasting i think on a cultural basis  
00:25:39
joe rogan and what's happening in podcasting  these long-form discussions even this podcast  
00:25:44
um has become just an amazing amazing movement  and people are having better discussions and i  
00:25:50
consider it the antidote to what's happening on  social media when people hear us discussing stuff  
00:25:57
on this podcast they feel like they ate something  nutritious they had a great salad they had some  
00:26:03
healthy food and then when they're on social media  and they consume the same tweets that we're doing  
00:26:08
they feel like it's junk food right and  so i think that podcasting long form  
00:26:12
discussions listening to each other maybe you know  republicans and democrats left right everybody  
00:26:18
listening to each other and podcasting is just  such a great meeting medium for discussion who is  
00:26:25
the biggest loser on a cultural basis in 2020 mr  david sacks the media starting with the new york  
00:26:32
times and other sort of elite media they rip  the umpire jersey off their backs to go after  
00:26:38
trump well they got him but at what cost half the  country will never trust them again this makes  
00:26:43
conspiracy theories more likely it makes cultural  divides deeper and they've been revealed to be  
00:26:49
corporate journalists journalists who subscribe  to and serve an agenda of their corporate masters  
00:26:56
they've lost the public's trust freedberg  what do you got on the biggest cultural loser
00:27:03
uh climate change it took a back seat  this year um it you know it had momentum  
00:27:11
as a as a cultural meme it's uh it's lost its  uh its luster and it's been shadowed a little  
00:27:17
bit this year with blm and uh and covid and lack  of faith and institutions and all the other stuff  
00:27:23
that's been going on do you think that people now  when they see the collective response to kovid  
00:27:29
and the pen uh the the vaccines and us our ability  with science and technology to solve the pandemic  
00:27:36
we will have a newfound appreciation for  coordinated global action on global warming david  
00:27:41
preber i think are you asking  me i think um i think the uh  
00:27:45
i think the faith in institutions has eroded  tremendously this year the who telling people  
00:27:51
not to wear masks and then telling them hey  masks are good uh the efficiency that hits the um  
00:27:58
i think just a global warming movement as well  yeah i think the lack of faith in institutions as  
00:28:03
well as in the media makes it really difficult for  things that require a coordinated effort uh and a  
00:28:09
coordinated cultural shift uh to take hold um you  know are really challenged in this new kind of  
00:28:16
model where where you don't know what to believe  and you don't believe institutions and you don't  
00:28:19
believe old school and you don't believe states  and you don't believe you know anything structural  
00:28:24
anymore so it's it's a scary it's a scary kind  of moment i don't know i think climate change is  
00:28:29
going to have momentum with the new administration  at least coming into office in the u.s but um  
00:28:34
but generally like institutional guidance is  is lost at celester traboth what do you got
00:28:41
business culture wokeness i think when you now  look at the realization of what we've gone through  
00:28:49
um people have realized that you know you can  you can be extremely anti-racist and think  
00:28:57
latinx is just a stupid label you know you can  be an entirely complete 100 000 million percent  
00:29:04
supporter of lgbtq but think that you know all  these complicated pronouns aren't really necessary  
00:29:11
and i think that people are coming to  a point where you can have um nuance  
00:29:18
and i think that that's really important i think  that this whole cancer culture and wokeness was  
00:29:23
um incredibly corrosive um and i think that that  they lost i i think it's actually a great um  
00:29:31
i think it's i think it's a great point you're  making chamath because on the last episode  
00:29:36
i fumbled the word mx which none of us had ever  seen we all laughed about it and then i just had  
00:29:44
this little thing i was like okay i guess this is  when i get canceled because i laughed at the fact  
00:29:49
that or i mispronounced it right and the fact that  i thought even for a second that mispronouncing  
00:29:55
this term mx which i then did research on and  i said does anybody know how to pronounce word  
00:29:59
mx on twitter so i figured i would preempt  the dropping of the um podcast by bringing  
00:30:05
it up on my twitter and people are like  are you trolling i'm like no i'm asking  
00:30:09
and i found videos and it turns out there is an  actual controversy in the trans community where mx  
00:30:17
some people believe means mixed am i xed other  people think it's um mx as x the variable as  
00:30:25
in the variable x and so they're having their  own debate they're figuring it out that's great  
00:30:29
everybody loves them everybody supports them  but the fact that i mispronounce it you know  
00:30:37
yeah well jason can i tell you can i tell  those people that are struggling with whether  
00:30:41
x equals anything or x equals mixed hum  just to touch upon friedberg's point um  
00:30:48
the human race has caused eight percent of  all the species in the world to go extinct  
00:30:54
and we have put another 22 percent of every single  other species at the at the brink of extinction at  
00:31:01
the same time we have now expanded our footprint  to touch 75 of the earth's land surface so until  
00:31:09
somebody fixes those problems i don't actually  want to know what the x stands for yeah i mean we  
00:31:15
we're this idea that we're going to count until we  put until we put it until we put stimulus checks  
00:31:21
put the [ __ ] stimulus checks into people's  hands get these small businesses back to work  
00:31:25
then you can tell me what the x stands  for yeah okay my biggest loser on culture  
00:31:30
was the same exact as you david we're thinking  similar i have taken the red pill you gave me  
00:31:35
i crushed it up i've been snorting these the  red pill like crazy people think i'm turning  
00:31:39
into a republican but i thought mainstream  media and late stage journalism sacrificed  
00:31:45
objectivity specifically to get subscriptions  and they used the anti-trump feelings and they  
00:31:50
worked them and got the the ratings from them and  they literally used that new york times as the  
00:31:57
is the the best example i think the work  you guys use for best example is canonical  
00:32:02
of like using their anti-trump feelings to get  people to take out their wallets and subscribe  
00:32:07
everybody realizes it they drove out barry weiss  they drove out their editor of the page from  
00:32:13
making people feel unsafe with their words and  then new york magazine drove out andrew sullivan  
00:32:19
and then glenn greenwald gets leaves his  publication i mean anybody who descends inside  
00:32:24
of one of these publications they canceled  them inside of a publication for an opinion  
00:32:29
on an opinion page it's crazy okay let's keep  everything moving here biggest turnaround in  
00:32:35
i guess this is biggest turnaround anything but  i did business i'll lead off with mine my best  
00:32:41
turnaround was airbnb they laid off 25 of the  company in july 1900 of 7 500 employees they  
00:32:48
cut their marketing budget by 800 million and then  the ipo five months later uh and they had raised a  
00:32:55
billion dollars at an 18 billion dollar evaluation  according to pitchbook and now worth 88 billion  
00:33:02
a week after the ipo that is a turnaround  of all turnarounds david who did you have
00:33:08
this is where i had joe biden he finished  fourth in iowa fifth in new hampshire no  
00:33:13
candidate has ever bombed that badly in the first  two contests and gone on to win the nomination  
00:33:18
biden roared back in south carolina  and then won big on super tuesday  
00:33:22
and wrapped up the party nomination by  march uh biggest political comeback ever
00:33:28
who do you got freeberg i got airbnb as well  i mean from yeah and here's the here's one of  
00:33:36
the craziest stats they're sitting there in  q1 with a great business revenue dropped 67  
00:33:41
in q2 can you just imagine the experience of  67 of your revenue going away in one quarter  
00:33:47
uh cash burn skyrockets and just having  to respond quickly and still maintain  
00:33:53
integrity with your customers and  your employees as a leadership team  
00:33:56
i mean it was an incredible leadership  um uh demonstration it's a five alarm  
00:34:01
fire right i mean it's literally you got to  get everybody out of the building here we go
00:34:18
sensor censorship censorship existed in in  draconian and the dark ages of our of our journey  
00:34:25
as a country and in the world and it came roaring  back this year the amount of people that have been  
00:34:31
muzzled stifled the amount of fact and science  that literally just gets judged willy-nilly by  
00:34:38
our distribution points like facebook and twitter  and medium it's really scary so censorship made a  
00:34:45
roaring comeback in 2020 i i like it i like  it a lot okay now we go on to the biggest  
00:34:51
flash in the pan you can interpret this  any way you like what do you got sexy poo
00:34:59
the w-h-o the w-h-o nobody knew who the dub the  world health organization nobody knew what the  
00:35:09
who was before this year then they have become  you know somehow this global authority on covid  
00:35:15
despite getting everything wrong they initially  said that we didn't need to wear mass they didn't  
00:35:19
update that until june 5th this was about 10 weeks  after my blog saying that you know mass were a  
00:35:24
good idea they got the method of transmission  wrong they were saying that transmission mainly  
00:35:29
occurred through fomites which is contagious  surfaces instead of respiratory particles  
00:35:34
they initially said that lockdowns worked then  they modified their policy on that because of its  
00:35:40
impact to marginal groups and so the who has just  gotten everything wrong this year and despite that  
00:35:47
fact you now have to chamas point google youtube  and even sites like linkedin or nextdoor are now  
00:35:54
censoring people's statements if they contradict  the who apparently without irony because nobody  
00:36:01
has contradicted the who more than the who itself  i look forward to next year when nobody cares  
00:36:08
about the who anymore great freedberg  what do you got flash in the pan
00:36:16
uh i put hydroxychloroquine you guys remember that  was good it was gonna it was gonna save the world  
00:36:24
for a minute or two and then you know here we  are and uh so i'm just gonna leave it at that  
00:36:30
yeah here we okay yeah everybody knows you may  have heard of hi joe quinn okay miracle some  
00:36:38
people say it's america i took it it's great what  do you got it's a flashlight it's actually quite  
00:36:44
related to this and i thought that she was  marvelous but i do think she will disappear  
00:36:48
off the scene which is sarah cooper which uh you  know basically in the last month of the campaign  
00:36:55
um kind of just disappeared and now is uh i don't  think uh anybody knows who sarah cooper is and  
00:37:02
probably in a year from now won't but for for the  pure for the for those dark months of the pandemic  
00:37:08
her mockery of trump was some of the funniest  stuff on twitter that i know oh sorry cooper's  
00:37:13
amazing yeah she she got a netflix and i don't  think she'll be a flash in the pen i think  
00:37:18
she'll come back um i would have loved to pick  um who was the press secretary for um with the  
00:37:26
southern accent for for trump sex sarah huckabee  sanders yeah huckabee she but i think she was gone  
00:37:35
in 20 by 2020 so i can't pick her but she was  amazing at defending trump she's like you all are  
00:37:44
dumb and trump is smart and he has a 150 iq and  he owns mar-a-lago and he has a jet and his jedi  
00:37:53
and you are the fake news media and i don't care  what you say america public know what you say  
00:37:59
and trump is amazing in bed he was banging porn  stars when y'all were jerk i mean he's just she  
00:38:05
would defend him i that's who i want as my pr  person she defended him for all time my biggest  
00:38:11
flash in the plan though i think you need a pr  person yeah i don't need a person i got this we  
00:38:16
got this podcast now we don't need the press or  pr we just go right to the audience um nicola  
00:38:23
trading at 34 billion dollars they took your  precious spax chamoth and they perverted it with  
00:38:32
a [ __ ] milton who was on my podcast and couldn't  answer basic questions it's now worth 6 billion i  
00:38:39
predicted it will be worth 60 cents i kid you not  this company will go to zero is my prediction if  
00:38:45
you are buying companies and i made jason jacobs  you were gonna scare all founder all founders ceos  
00:38:52
are gonna avoid coming on your podcast now no  no no no i i'm delightful but for this kid um
00:39:05
no he's under investigation the thing's a disaster  they're obviously riding on elon's coattails he  
00:39:10
couldn't make a decision it was hydrogen powered  cars or electric trucks or whatever and uh the  
00:39:17
companies in chaos and i i made a rule which is if  a company has not released their product and it's  
00:39:24
worth over a billion dollars be careful because  it could be a fraud um or it could be a disaster  
00:39:29
that's my biggest flashlight nichola um biggest  breakthrough freeberg you want to start us off on  
00:39:34
this one i have an idea i think i know what you're  going to say i'm going to say alpha fold you know  
00:39:39
that we talked about in the last podcast i think  um alpha fold feels to me like what arpanet was  
00:39:44
which was the origins of the internet you know uh  back when it was first installed and no one really  
00:39:50
kind of grappled with the ramifications of what  would emerge and i think you know once we have the  
00:39:55
ability to design proteins to do things um a lot's  going to change in the world of medicine and human  
00:40:01
health and longevity and the kind of environment  and it's going to be pretty powerful so i'm  
00:40:05
excited about alpha fold creating a foundation  for for humanity's ability to do those things  
00:40:11
what do you got a hundred percent alpha fold by uh  there's not a close second to be honest okay saks  
00:40:20
well as a as a close second i guess i would  i would mention the mrna vaccines which we  
00:40:26
talked about on the show the ability to basically  print a vaccine in two days and hopefully they'll  
00:40:33
follow our advice about challenge vaccines so  the next time we have one of these pandemics  
00:40:37
challenge trials challenge trials we can uh we can  respond much more quickly and then just quickly  
00:40:42
in politics i thought the biggest breakthrough  was uh pete butterjudge he made the unlikely  
00:40:49
leap from mayor of south bend indiana to being the  first credible openly gay candidate for president  
00:40:55
he won iowa sort of uh along with bernie sanders  and was a very close second in new hampshire  
00:41:02
uh he's going to be uh the the um he's going to  be director of the transportation department in  
00:41:08
the binding administration i i want to just  point something out on your sorry jkl but  
00:41:15
um you know the mrna vaccine technology  has been around for like 15 years and  
00:41:20
regulatory barriers and regulatory constraints  have largely kept this stuff from coming to  
00:41:24
market and it's interesting how you know in a year  where we have this pandemic emergency we can take  
00:41:29
this technology that has been around and has been  available to us for so long and suddenly you know  
00:41:34
all the regulatory barriers get dropped and things  come to market to change the world i think it's a  
00:41:38
great highlight of like what's possible when some  regulatory constraints are diminished a little bit  
00:41:44
and technology is really allowed to flourish and  see the light of day um and you know we all act so  
00:41:49
surprised that this technology works but it's been  here for a while it's pretty uh pretty astounding  
00:41:54
that it hasn't worked or hasn't been allowed to  work in the past in a previous just an observation  
00:41:59
i think it's worth yeah i think it's a really  valid one because it wasn't a breakthrough that  
00:42:02
occurred this year the breakthrough was they broke  through the regulations you said you wanted to  
00:42:07
wait and see some people get the vaccines first um  and then that led to some accounts on the twitter  
00:42:15
saying are you still anti-vaccination and i i  had to correct them you've never said you were  
00:42:21
anti-vaccination to be clear i'm not antibiotics  not at all no no no you said you wanted to yes no  
00:42:29
no i think my point is um i think a lot of people  are going to latch on sorry let me just be really  
00:42:34
clear i think a lot of people are going to latch  on to the small number of cases that are going to  
00:42:39
be amplified of people having adverse reactions to  this you know new technology vaccine in alaska the  
00:42:44
other day like two days ago there was a nurse  who got the vaccine and she had a really bad  
00:42:49
anaphylactic reaction to it she had to be given  epinephrine twice to survive and she came out  
00:42:53
and she was fine but it's that storytelling that's  like you know they they assume it should be some  
00:42:59
small percentage of people will have some reaction  to this thing but that is the storytelling that  
00:43:03
will keep people from doing this and i think that  is the the biggest kind of concern and that's why  
00:43:07
you've got guys like mike pence doing the the  vaccine tomorrow you know he's going to do it  
00:43:11
on live tv and uh celebrities like ian mckellen  doing it they're they're trying to kind of create  
00:43:17
wait are we going to see mike pence's  naked shoulder and bicep on television
00:43:24
because mom
00:43:32
actually mother's going to give it to him because  if if a woman doctor gave it to him it would be  
00:43:36
kind of like cheating because she stuck something  in him you know and it's just not right um uh okay  
00:43:44
uh i can't wait to take it if anybody doesn't  want their vaccine i will take it because i'm  
00:43:48
losing my mind and quarantine i mean for  the love of god uh smartest business move  
00:43:54
chamath i think uh 2020 was  uh the year of this back  
00:44:03
i think that it is uh it is it's an incredibly  it's done it's it's done something really really  
00:44:10
really important in the capital market so that  uh can you give child his bestie award now jkl  
00:44:16
yes accepting his best award give it to him by  himself himself would you like an accepted speech  
00:44:24
the smartest business move i would like  to thank the smartest business move me  
00:44:31
saks what was your smartest business move or  the smartest business move in business well i  
00:44:36
i'd like to thank chamoth for the smack thing  too because i was in open door and uh i was in  
00:44:41
porch and both of them are spacking this year so  oh i think i'm in desktop metal i'm going to go  
00:44:46
with we have to agree thank you for the best in  business you've wet you've wet all of our beaks  
00:44:51
so yeah i mean i mean actually if you think  about it i i've done uh six deals this year  
00:44:58
are we still talking about me are okay
00:45:02
we have to
00:45:13
he's been nominated three times  but this is the only besties won  
00:45:16
i really wanted to be in that  reality show with you and
00:45:23
i mean talk about dodging a bullet  we went with this trailer to  
00:45:29
the top five studios they all wanted it in  the room nbc says we'll take it in the room  
00:45:38
the the head of nbc says we'll take it we taped  the pilot and then beeps whole career life blows  
00:45:44
up and thanked the lord that show didn't get on tv  because i it would have been executive produced by  
00:45:52
beep uh and yeah that would have been bad  so uh no reality tv for me uh i had i had  
00:45:58
another smart business move i just wanted to  point out which was salesforce buying slack  
00:46:02
i think it's brilliant for them i think  they're going to look back on the 10  
00:46:05
they paid of their capital for slack and  i think slack will be more important than  
00:46:11
salesforce ultimately in business it's a huge  the most important brand there what a crown jewel  
00:46:16
what a great what a great move by benioff and  and brett taylor and i just think what a great  
00:46:21
asset would be better for them than youtube is  for google or instagram is for i think i think  
00:46:27
it's on that level actually i think it's of that  order of magnitude where the importance of those  
00:46:32
assets to those companies slack will be the sales  force cost cost 20 times 30 times as much though  
00:46:39
so less upside but less upside but but in terms  of like lock-in and value and you know the  
00:46:45
prevention of churn uh over time i think it's  gonna be huge i mean it could be at some point  
00:46:50
the company is slack sales force like slack will  be the preeminent brand there dave did you go  
00:46:57
for this for smartest business move i i agree  i agree with both the ones you've already done  
00:47:02
okay i'm gonna i'm gonna i'm gonna i'm gonna  rattle one off real quick i got i think people  
00:47:08
missed this but at the bottom of the market  silverlake did this massive debt deal into airbnb  
00:47:13
which if you'll remember is reminiscent  to me of warren buffett you know giving  
00:47:16
five billion dollars to swisserie  and goldman sachs and he earned a 12  
00:47:20
coupon and got warrants in both those companies  and it just paid a tremendous return for him  
00:47:25
silverlake swooped into airbnb in april gave  him a 12 debt deal for a billion dollars and  
00:47:30
they got warrants that the warrants today  are worth um about 1.4 billion dollars  
00:47:36
and this debt is probably worth three times  what they put in so in like five months six  
00:47:41
months these guys have basically turned a billion  dollars of debt into four billion dollars of value  
00:47:46
uh it was an incredible deal incredibly gutsy  if you think about what we were all feeling in  
00:47:50
early april about the market and where the world  was headed we had no [ __ ] clue for these guys  
00:47:54
to swoop in and do that i thought it was super  impressive the other one i i i had a couple on  
00:47:59
this because i just i want to rattle these off  bill ackman bought a [ __ ] s p put sorry bought  
00:48:04
an s p put for 27 million dollars that he sold  for 2.6 billion dollars he bought he bought credit  
00:48:10
default insurance on a whole strip of default  insurance yeah but he turned a 27 million dollar  
00:48:17
insurance instrument into 2.6 billion of  returns for his fund and he still didn't sell  
00:48:21
his portfolio in fact he bought at the bottom  and i mean the the the foresight this guy had  
00:48:26
going into the down market ahead of march he saw  that the market was going to tank because of kovid  
00:48:31
um he made a bet on it it was a tiny bet for  him but man to turn 27 million at a 2.6 billion  
00:48:37
in like 60 days or 90 days unbelievable and then  he bought stock and his companies at the bottom um  
00:48:43
what a gutsy investor and then i was like anything  was there anything fugazi on that with where he  
00:48:49
had gone on cnbc and talked and he did this whole  big you know longer yeah he did it afterwards but  
00:48:56
i think he's i think he's great i think he's great  yeah i think it was it was incredible and my third  
00:49:00
one which we don't talk about a lot is larry  ellison bought a billion dollars of tesla stock  
00:49:05
less than two years ago that is now worth over 10  billion dollars and he did it he joined the board  
00:49:11
and um you know you put your money where your  mouth is and you take ownership and um you know i  
00:49:16
don't know much about larry but uh there was a lot  of naysayers about tesla saying they were bubbly  
00:49:21
and overvalued at that time and it was really cute  he did it in the middle of the tesla q shorting  
00:49:27
movement and now he can buy not just lanai but he  could probably get kauai to go with it he could  
00:49:33
buy another island anyway those were three gutsy  bets that i thought were worth highlighting that  
00:49:37
that just really impressed me and and you know  it's when the markets are down when you're facing  
00:49:41
the abyss when everyone else is telling you you're  wrong and you make a big bet like that um and it  
00:49:46
pays off that's the kind of stuff that i think  returns are made from and characters built and  
00:49:50
those are those are just really impressive moves  for me that there's a lot of impressive moves this  
00:49:55
year the tide went out and came back in real quick  so there were some dumb business moves as well  
00:50:02
sax you got a dumb business move  that was a highlight for 2020  
00:50:06
the city of san francisco biting the hand that  feeds it for years these politicians have been  
00:50:14
[ __ ] on the tech community acting like the tech  community was somehow a parasite on san francisco  
00:50:20
well you know now because of covid  congratulations the tech community has the  
00:50:26
option to leave you have a lot of people leaving  and there are gigantic budget deficits for the  
00:50:30
city the schools have giant budget deficits it's  not clear how they're going to close these things  
00:50:36
and it's looking that more and more like it  wasn't tech that was a parasite it was the  
00:50:42
politicians who are the parasites and nobody uh  knows how to fix the city of san francisco anymore  
00:50:50
yeah okay uh dumbest business move chamath
00:50:57
um i think it was one i think it was probably  for me um the governor of california's handling  
00:51:06
of um well i guess that's more political than  business but um well no i mean it did impact  
00:51:12
businesses so i think you're you're i think that  i'll allow it i'll allow it i think that i think  
00:51:17
that what he showed was how naked partisanship was  in decision making that had that should have been  
00:51:24
based on science in fact and the quality of the  decision making just eroded every single decision  
00:51:31
that he made and then now you know as david said  it's kind of like you have this just just you know  
00:51:37
um you have this moment where it's like  you know the justi cake moment where he's  
00:51:43
eating at french laundry and the day after he's  basically shutting the whole world down again it's  
00:51:48
it's very frustrating so so i think he also was  shutting down beaches right and then you know the  
00:51:53
stay-at-home orders and not letting people leave  their house and go to a beach or eat outdoors  
00:51:59
all that is send them inside they're gonna have  a party inside their house well there's a great  
00:52:04
tweet stupid there's a great tweet that said  um you know i'm not allowed to go to the store  
00:52:09
i'm not allowed to go to the shopping center  but i'm gonna take my child on a walk and if  
00:52:13
anybody stops me i'm just gonna tell them i'm  taking her to the nail salon and the reason is  
00:52:18
because you couldn't walk to the park but you  could you could go to the nail salon and so  
00:52:23
you know this tweet was just reminiscent of just  how arbitrary and random this stuff was and it had  
00:52:28
just so many downstream ink packs so i think that  was a huge fail nobody loves hypocrisy i picked  
00:52:33
my smartest business move with salesforce buying  slack conversely i'm picking my dumbest business  
00:52:38
move with slack's board selling slack this is the  stupidest thing i've ever seen i understand they  
00:52:43
felt like maybe uh it was a great deal but i would  have much rather them see seeing them do what  
00:52:49
i can honestly to be honest with you i mean  i left the board and i just don't know why  
00:52:54
i wish i could have gotten the call because i  would have bought it yeah i i agree with you  
00:52:59
i think network effects are incredibly unique  assets they're very very rare i think we've all  
00:53:05
been around them we've worked in them david has  david the other david has i have jason you have  
00:53:10
it is the single most incredible moment momentum  driver and you know sort of tailwind and when it  
00:53:17
exists you just never give it up and so i agree  with you i would have bought slack if i could  
00:53:20
have if they would have given me a shot we ride  our winners and you appreciate network effects  
00:53:26
if you look at what jeff lawson did at twilio  he started with much less i think uh he started  
00:53:33
with nothing started with twilio jefferson grid  and segment their market cap has gone 12 it was  
00:53:44
it's 12x market cap they went from 29 a share to  365 a year in three years they're at 60 billion  
00:53:51
slack should have been buying other companies  with their equity and they sh and they should  
00:53:57
have built and rolled up all of the other  hub spots or whatever else is out there  
00:54:03
by zendesk whatever i'm not sure that the m a  strategy was the hard part i just think that  
00:54:09
it's when you're in the bowels of these companies  as we all know it's super hard right so i mean  
00:54:13
i don't think you can fail stuart uh and the  team but i think that somewhere along the way  
00:54:21
just the realization of how special and unique  that network effect was um didn't happen because  
00:54:28
it would have given a different team a level of  energy or comfort to kind of really go for the  
00:54:34
brass ring as you said and but you know hopefully  they'll be able to execute it at salesforce  
00:54:39
okay did i get everybody's dumbest business move  my dumbest business move was myself um so i will  
00:54:46
take uh i will take pictures of the award for  being a schmuck is me and anyone else that  
00:54:53
[ __ ] hedged or shorted the market or sold during  the dip in march uh i learned the most valuable  
00:55:00
lesson i've learned in my investing career to  date you just want to invest in whole chairs  
00:55:06
and great businesses and not try and time markets  because that's always a loser's game and a fool's  
00:55:10
errand um and i think you know worrying about the  market going down or up as long as you hold shares  
00:55:15
and great businesses it doesn't matter trading is  not for me it was stupid um and i just feel like  
00:55:22
a lot of people learned that lesson this year i've  heard a lot of people that kind of freaked out and  
00:55:26
got out of the market and then they regretted  it and tried to get back in it was too late and  
00:55:30
yada yada i um i read a document um that  someone wrote um for me um and she wrote  
00:55:38
this incredible quote that i had never heard  from buffett and i'll give it to you friedberg  
00:55:41
because it's right it's very uh apropos of this  buffett had this statement which is that you know  
00:55:47
it's not about timing the market it is about time  in market and i just think that's so that's so  
00:55:55
beautiful because it's so simple but it basically  summarizes exactly what you said which is get in  
00:56:01
close your eyes and if you if again unless  for liquidity you just don't ever sell yeah  
00:56:10
it's a fool's errand to try to time the  market sit on your hands ride your winners  
00:56:14
uh and and he always said listen if a business  is on if i own this business and i love it  
00:56:19
and it's at a discount i should want to own more  of it i believe that was another buffet i don't  
00:56:23
know the exact quote uh let's go to smart's  political move and we'll go to our token  
00:56:28
uh republican david sacks for that well uh well  it's it's it's yeah it's funny you identify me  
00:56:36
that way because uh my my smart the smartest  political move goes to congressman jim clyborn  
00:56:41
uh democrat of south carolina for endorsing joe  biden just before the south carolina primary uh  
00:56:47
a number of people on the buying campaign  were panicking they wanted him to do it  
00:56:51
early because biden had bombed in iowa and new  hampshire and uh clybourne kept his powder dry  
00:56:58
and endorsed biden at the absolute perfect  time it caused by him to win south carolina  
00:57:04
and that led him to sweep on super tuesday jim  clybourn was the king maker of 2020 without him  
00:57:10
joe biden would not be president wow okay who  you got freeburg smartest political move of  
00:57:16
2020 was joe biden staying quiet hanging out in  his bunker and letting trump do his own damage  
00:57:22
end of story i feel like i feel like if  you know that biden knew that it wasn't  
00:57:27
his election to win it was trump's election to  lose and i think he let him go out and lose it  
00:57:31
and um and that to me was uh smart advice and and  smart action yes so he just checked and he's just  
00:57:37
he just he just slow played aces he hit his set  he just checked and he watched him fire uh who do  
00:57:44
you got chamoth smartest political move smartest  political move which you will not see until 2022  
00:57:51
or 23 but laid the groundwork this year and i  thought it was brilliantly done was nikki haley  
00:57:57
who i think will be the republican nominee  for president in 2024 and she did an  
00:58:04
unbelievable job of tricking trump to believe that  he was her supporter then getting distribution and  
00:58:11
then basically subtly telling everybody that she  thought that he was an idiot and i thought that  
00:58:17
she was brilliant in so she didn't look like a  rat leaving the ship she looked like you know a  
00:58:24
rebel or something getting off i think i think  if you want to find um somebody to consolidate  
00:58:30
center-right politics in 2024 uh my money would be  on nikki hilly all right i went with the smartest  
00:58:37
political move i also went for the long game  pete buttigieg going on fox recently i think  
00:58:42
he did obviously a masterful job you had that sax  earlier but he started going on fox and basically  
00:58:49
being really spicy with them and supporting the  hell out of um biden and then he gets himself this  
00:58:57
secretary of transportation and i think he's  set up to either be the vp or the presidential  
00:59:02
candidate uh in the future and he's i think he's  going to be one of the bright stars i also would  
00:59:08
uh i think andrew yang it did nothing happened  for him this year really i don't know but i felt  
00:59:13
like he also is my understanding is he's going  to run for mayor of new york that was another  
00:59:19
amazing political winner in all of this i don't  know if anybody has feelings on either of those  
00:59:25
i love i love andrew yang i think he's  uh fabulous uh he's coming on the podcast  
00:59:32
pragmatic centrist smart capable  competent um good listener he attracts it  
00:59:39
he attracts a plurality of people yeah and i and  i think he's spoken out against uh cancel culture  
00:59:46
and so you know whenever i see somebody in the  left speaking out against cancer culture and  
00:59:51
censorship like the way chamoth has that  definitely to me elevates them in my book  
00:59:58
are you saying chamoth is someone from the left  well it's amazing how much we agree on you know  
01:00:03
well i mean i think that there's you have this  left and right definitions which have become  
01:00:07
very hard to understand and i think what we  have to get back to is the american principled  
01:00:11
idea of freedoms and opportunity right and and  and i don't think either of the parties actually  
01:00:17
were representing that properly dumbest political  move of the year i think i know where everybody's  
01:00:22
going to go with this but i would like rudy  giuliani rudy giuliani's press conference  
01:00:28
at the sex shop i mean just i mean how amateurish  is that group of people the four seasons gardening  
01:00:37
we're gonna be at the fourth was they were  they trolling us and trying to get press for  
01:00:41
it i don't understand that one unbelievable  rudy truliani for the dumbest political move  
01:00:45
saks what do you got i have a feeling i know  what sac's got well i got i got a tie here  
01:00:50
uh between uh one was uh defund the police you  know as a political slogan the whole country  
01:00:57
you know the blm movement had the whole country  on its side uh after the you know the george floyd  
01:01:03
video came out everybody was in favor of sensible  reforms to control the use of force by the police  
01:01:10
and then they they introduced the slogan of defund  the police and it scared voters across the country  
01:01:16
into voting for uh republicans in congress and  it probably cost joe biden not the presidency but  
01:01:23
uh congress and the my my tie the other half of  that was uh donald trump refusing to wear a mask  
01:01:32
or to endorse mass uh he finally did it  but it was two or three months too late  
01:01:37
if he had just gotten on board with mass  it would have been a very easy thing to do  
01:01:41
uh politically personally uh that could have  made the the margin of difference he might  
01:01:46
still be president if he had gotten on  board with mass about three months earlier  
01:01:51
freeberg what was your dumbest place i actually  yeah i put making masks political more broadly  
01:01:56
um both the left and the right pointing fingers  about masks i mean this is like a human life issue  
01:02:02
and um you know uh kind of shaming the republicans  for not wearing masks and making it about we're  
01:02:09
the right guys you're the wrong guys everyone  should have avoided pointing fingers and avoided  
01:02:15
um not doing it because the other side was doing  it and it should have never ever been allowed to  
01:02:19
become political it was pure science it was  about saving lives and i think both sides are  
01:02:24
to blame um for you know the democrats tried to  make the republicans look bad because they were  
01:02:29
advocating for masks and they shouldn't have  done that and the republicans should not have  
01:02:33
tried to avoid wearing masks because the democrats  were telling them to wear masks and it was just  
01:02:37
a total cluster um really sad and you know could  have made a big difference for thousands of lives  
01:02:43
i too put trump not advocating for masks  as my dumbest political move i believe he  
01:02:49
nailed the stimulus that first stimulus where  he just dropped the 1200 checks and the ppp and  
01:02:54
everything he obviously nailed uh you know the  operation lightspeed and the vaccines he didn't  
01:02:59
get credit for it um i don't know if that was  political or not that they dropped them the week  
01:03:04
the weeks after the election i think it was i'm  i'm i'm a little bit cynical about that but my god  
01:03:11
is there nobody that this man would listen to um  and they must have all been telling him in unison  
01:03:17
hey [ __ ] put the mask on we'll win the election  the in july and august the numbers started to go  
01:03:24
down precipitously and everybody fauci everybody  with half a brain was saying second wave is  
01:03:30
coming wear masks and he refused to take that  stance and not only to that he doubled down  
01:03:36
like the [ __ ] he is and started doing rallies  this person is such a complete idiot grifter and  
01:03:44
just imbecile that he couldn't see the clear path  to victory and he was tempting fate and of course  
01:03:53
he winds up getting coveted i mean the idiocracy  of the moment is just so profound he absolutely  
01:04:02
would have sailed into that second term we were  sitting here on this very podcast and we all  
01:04:06
believed he was going to sail into the second term  when the market started ripping back and the coven  
01:04:10
numbers went down and because of the stupidity of  not wearing masks thank god we got him out but to  
01:04:17
the families who lost loved ones he's a murderer  period we're moving on best political theater
01:04:28
into his body and then taking the  polyclonal antibodies to heal himself  
01:04:33
and show the american population that it's just  not that bad it was the best stunt the best act  
01:04:40
the best theater i've seen and um uh you know i i  don't know what what the hell else uh could have  
01:04:46
beaten it this year i mean the guy literally  literally it could be he buckled himself in  
01:04:53
you know buttoned up his jacket he stared  out the lights in his face he was glowing  
01:04:57
he had the antibodies rushing through his body he  was healing his body he was on speed man i thought  
01:05:03
i thought the best i thought the best political  theater was when the democratic leadership  
01:05:09
did like the colin kaepernick one knee in  kinte klotz at the in the rotunda congress
01:05:19
can somebody nick you just throw  the picture of that up there
01:05:25
i mean i mean half of them or some of them  are so old they couldn't get down on them  
01:05:29
we picked them back up they all hit  their life alert they got the life  
01:05:32
alert i've fallen i can't get up like 20 life  alerts i've never got off in the same room  
01:05:42
but the kinte cloths were just so over  the top like you didn't need the kitten  
01:05:46
they really weren't kidding
01:05:57
my best political theater is um i i  don't know who this congresswoman is  
01:06:05
but i am falling in love with her um her name is  katie porter oh my god she takes out a whiteboard
01:06:14
she just she's fabulous no she's so great  she she owns people with that white board  
01:06:20
it's the greatest she basically does math  and people are just i mean she's done  
01:06:26
this now two or three times where she just  takes people down and she did it to mnuchin  
01:06:31
like she was like is today tuesday and he's like  you know today's tuesday she's like can you tell  
01:06:37
me if today's student she just destroys people  um like i i just never seen anything like it um  
01:06:44
and uh she's awesome so best political theater  for me i don't know uh david did we get yours well  
01:06:51
um yeah i mean so i thought the the the french  laundry photos you know the all these politicians  
01:06:58
uh violating their own lockdown policies uh was  some with some pretty good uh theater yeah the  
01:07:05
actor theater yeah you had you know you had you  had uh gavin newsom and uh london uh bri dining at  
01:07:12
french laundry you had nancy pelosi going to that  hair salon any republicans do something like that  
01:07:19
well um i i would i would tell you if i knew of  anybody trump rallies the republicans but yeah but  
01:07:25
the republicans haven't been supporting lockdowns  so um you know look if there was a republican who  
01:07:30
was how about the rose garden uh supreme court  where they had a super spreader event at the  
01:07:34
white house but they weren't but but that wasn't  political theater because they weren't violating  
01:07:38
their own policies oh they were saying that  people could take the risk um got it okay i i i'm  
01:07:44
i'm picking these um politicians because because  they're happy yeah it's the hypocrisy uh the one  
01:07:50
i loved the best out of all the hypocritical  politicians was the one who was like please  
01:07:55
stay it was the governor of some place colorado or  something and he's like please stay home with your  
01:08:00
family do not travel for thanksgiving it's gonna  be too dangerous and then they find out he did  
01:08:06
that tweet while at a southwest gate going with  this family to thanksgiving and they literally  
01:08:13
have pictures of him on his phone and the picture  was timed at the time stamp of the tweet if i have  
01:08:19
my understanding correct i forgot the guy's  name but there were so many of these yeah  
01:08:24
well let me give you another one there was uh  la uh the la county supervisor uh sheila cool  
01:08:29
cast the deciding vote to shut down outdoor dining  in los angeles only to be photographed eating at  
01:08:35
uh for nayo in santa monica two hours later so  it's just completely hypocritical and um you know  
01:08:42
this is why there could be a big recall next year  in california i think we have to put political  
01:08:47
theater as one category of just loathsome  political theater because we're going on to worst  
01:08:52
political theater and the stuff we've seen has  been pretty horrific i'm going to lead us off with  
01:08:58
my worst political theater which was the banning  of tick tock was absolutely the right thing to  
01:09:03
do and then they just handed it off as like a  gift to oracle to make money and maybe be their  
01:09:09
server farm i don't understand we were supposed  to ban it and get the [ __ ] out of the app store  
01:09:14
and that was just terrible political theater  anybody else got more political theater that we'll  
01:09:18
put in our loathsome political theaters well you  uh jason just so you uh understand that i'm being  
01:09:25
uh politically even-handed this is where i had  rudy giuliani and his uh tour of self-immolation
01:09:37
right from from the press conference  in front of the crematorium  
01:09:42
to the the the hair dye meltdown to the  is a foreign video all right we need to  
01:09:49
hold on hold on i'm gonna make i'm gonna  call an audible i'm calling an audio here  
01:09:53
we're gonna have a new category to get it covered  worst rudy giuliani moment can we have a giant
01:10:08
what is the worst thing the worst giuliani moment  oh i think i think the saddest moment was the uh  
01:10:15
in the borap thing that was sad because you just  felt you just felt like this is an old broken man  
01:10:22
yeah um it was creepy and it was just sad  he was like desperate and he was creepy  
01:10:26
and it was but giuliani's the worst though was  was actually if you listen to the testimony when  
01:10:34
he farted uh it was really terrible it was really  terrible actually if you listen to the testimony  
01:10:40
you're just like what is this guy saying it's out  of control well the also i think we have to cut  
01:10:45
into here the poor woman sitting next to him who's  clearly in range i mean she's in the blast zone  
01:10:55
he rips it he rips it and she looks him she  gives him side eye but she is so like scared to  
01:11:07
react to such an obvious carpet bombing that she  just keeps a straight face but her eyes go poop
01:11:19
that was unforgivable must have been a  stinker i mean it was loud it had resonance  
01:11:26
if it was yeah um can i can i give one can i give  one other example and i don't know whether this  
01:11:32
is best or worse theater um but um but the the  the the congressional uh hearings with the tech  
01:11:40
ceos where the senators grilled all the tech ceos  and it was definitely it was definitely political  
01:11:47
theater but on the other hand they all deserved it  and there's going to be more of it next year okay
01:11:56
political theater because i thought what  was so depressing about it was how little  
01:12:00
the congressional um the congress people actually  understood of these businesses and they went off  
01:12:07
on rants and and tirades about you know you're  blocking republican voice on twitter and you're  
01:12:12
doing this and none of it actually focused on  you know the the monopolistic practices that was  
01:12:16
the intention of the hearing in the first place  when they actually got into those points when  
01:12:20
they tried to talk about how the ad networks work  and how targeting works they didn't have any clue  
01:12:24
i mean it was really inside these companies don't  even know how it worked and they built it i mean  
01:12:28
these things no i'll tell you like i just i  just think it's really sad that um that that  
01:12:32
folks in congress um honestly are so disconnected  from understanding technology and understanding  
01:12:38
you know modern business practices um and they  can't actually you know tackle the real issues  
01:12:44
um and it neither does the squad i mean aoc  didn't understand what a tax break was i mean  
01:12:50
so yeah even the young ones don't understand  stuff i mean we just we're getting the worst  
01:12:54
possible representation okay now we're gonna go  to lightning round with our final two categories  
01:12:58
uh best meme uh for me it was the funeral  dancers uh followed up by michael jordan i  
01:13:03
took that personally and i of course loved  chamat's mix-up that one of you maniac all  
01:13:09
in army members made uh who do you got for  who got best memes and he got a best meme
01:13:15
tuban
01:13:20
forever a cautionary tale about what not to  do on a zoom call yes yes that would be okay  
01:13:28
arguably in political theater let's say no  uh anybody else got a meme best or worst  
01:13:36
i like the funeral dancers but uh the answers  are pretty great yeah david anything for you  
01:13:43
i just want to say to everybody that's listening  i really hope that you guys have an incredible  
01:13:48
holiday and um we can put this year behind us and  i hope for all of you guys that have gone through  
01:13:55
hard times just know that um you know hopefully  you got some friends to talk to and family to see  
01:14:01
and talk to and we love you and we really  appreciate that you take the time to listen  
01:14:06
and guys i just want to say to you guys i  love you guys with all my heart thank you for  
01:14:09
helping me get through a very difficult year  uh back at you and uh i was very touched by the  
01:14:16
uh birthday present you sent me last week that  was just oh you want to tell them what what you  
01:14:20
got you want to tell them what you got big  boy i mean listen i don't want to chamoth  
01:14:26
i i get a big crate at the house it was i was born  in 1970 and he got some of the best ones from 1970  
01:14:34
and put them in a box and you know i i literally  had to put them on a shelf and say do not drink  
01:14:40
these these things cost as much as the tesla's  in the driveways i mean some of these bottles are  
01:14:45
ridiculous and uh i hope to crack them all open  with you guys at the house in happy honestly happy  
01:14:51
happy 50th birthday big boy it's a big big muscle  well you know i was it was a little bittersweet  
01:14:57
obviously you know i was gonna have some kind of  party or anything like that and then what made it  
01:15:01
particularly hard and challenging was my birthday  was on saturday and my friend tony shea died on  
01:15:06
friday uh on that day and i had been dealing with  tony shea being in a coma for the fives for the no  
01:15:14
for ten days before that and then i found out that  that afternoon that they uh tragically had to pull  
01:15:20
the plug um or i assume that's what happened i  shouldn't say that i don't speak out of a turn  
01:15:25
but uh this has been a shitty year and i really  hope uh that anybody out there who is suffering  
01:15:32
from mental illness uh or struggling in any way  call a friend and i think the reason this podcast  
01:15:40
uh has resonated with so many people and i hear  this from people when they listen to the pod  
01:15:44
is our friendship and they and they they  they hear us talk and they hear us laugh  
01:15:48
and they hear us joke and the value  of friendship and the love and the joy  
01:15:53
and people just can't believe uh when chamat  says and and men say to each other they love  
01:15:58
each other and they can't believe that  sax almost is able to say it and they and  
01:16:04
people think by episode 25 stacks will be  able to say back to us but we'll try right  
01:16:10
now we'll see if we can close 20 20 21. we're  all going to say i love you david sacks and then  
01:16:17
let's just see if this can work i love you david  sacks and i love you david sacks back at you
01:16:26
we'll take it we'll take it i love you guys love  you guys happy holidays love you guys see you guys  
01:16:33
the new year bye bye besties

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Episode Highlights

  • Airbnb's Resilience
    Airbnb navigated the COVID crisis remarkably, refunding $250 million to users while supporting hosts.
    “They really did a great job navigating this whole crisis.”
    @ 03m 48s
    December 18, 2020
  • The Weight Bet Story
    A humorous recount of a weight bet between Jason and the group, showcasing their camaraderie.
    “I said here's motivation, let's make a weight bet!”
    @ 06m 54s
    December 18, 2020
  • Biggest Loser in Politics
    Discussion on the biggest political losers of 2020, including Donald Trump and Nancy Pelosi.
    “The extreme left and the extreme right got it.”
    @ 13m 20s
    December 18, 2020
  • Cultural Impact of BLM
    The Black Lives Matter movement significantly shifted societal behavior and awareness in 2020.
    “It was such a meaningful and impactful shift in how people were thinking.”
    @ 23m 30s
    December 18, 2020
  • Media's Loss of Trust
    Mainstream media sacrificed objectivity for subscriptions, deepening cultural divides.
    “The media sacrificed objectivity to get subscriptions.”
    @ 31m 30s
    December 18, 2020
  • Resurgence of Censorship
    Censorship returned with a vengeance, stifling free expression in 2020.
    “Censorship made a roaring comeback in 2020.”
    @ 34m 45s
    December 18, 2020
  • mRNA Vaccine Development
    The rapid development of mRNA vaccines highlights the potential of regulatory changes.
    “The breakthrough was they broke through the regulations.”
    @ 42m 02s
    December 18, 2020
  • Silverlake's Bold Move
    Silverlake invested a billion in Airbnb, turning debt into four billion in value.
    “Incredible deal, incredibly gutsy!”
    @ 47m 46s
    December 18, 2020
  • Political Hypocrisy
    Politicians violating their own lockdown rules sparked outrage and distrust.
    “Hypocrisy is never loved!”
    @ 52m 33s
    December 18, 2020
  • Rudy Giuliani's Press Conference
    Giuliani's infamous press conference at a landscaping company became a political joke.
    “How amateurish is that?”
    @ 01h 00m 28s
    December 18, 2020
  • Worst Rudy Giuliani Moment
    Discussing the most cringe-worthy moments of Rudy Giuliani's public appearances.
    “The saddest moment was the old broken man.”
    @ 01h 10m 08s
    December 18, 2020
  • A Touching Holiday Message
    A heartfelt wish for listeners to have an incredible holiday and support each other.
    “I hope for all of you guys that have gone through hard times just know that...”
    @ 01h 13m 48s
    December 18, 2020

Episode Quotes

Key Moments

  • Cultural Shift23:30
  • Podcasting Revolution25:50
  • Hydroxychloroquine Controversy36:24
  • Dumb Business Moves50:06
  • Market Timing Lessons55:10
  • Best Political Theater1:04:46
  • Holiday Reflections1:13:43
  • Expressions of Love1:15:53

Words per Minute Over Time

Vibes Breakdown

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