00:00:00
i'm amazed by how close we are to a
00:00:03
military action against Iran it's no
00:00:04
defense of Iran of course I'm not a
00:00:06
Shiite for the record but I think it
00:00:08
comes with perils that people are not
00:00:09
considering or willfully ignoring and
00:00:11
the main one is Iran is not Iraq or it's
00:00:13
not Libya it's not isolated it's a
00:00:16
central player in bricks 90% of Iran's
00:00:19
oil exports go to China it just signed a
00:00:21
defense agreement with Russia in January
00:00:22
it has backup it has big allies that
00:00:24
represent the majority of the world's
00:00:26
population and the majority of the
00:00:27
world's economy and land mass so the
00:00:29
potential for this to become something
00:00:31
much much bigger and unmanageable is is
00:00:33
real it's there i think the downsides
00:00:35
are really kind of overwhelming the
00:00:36
president has said repeatedly "We'll do
00:00:38
everything we can to prevent Iran from
00:00:39
getting a nuclear weapon." I think it's
00:00:41
a completely reasonable goal nobody
00:00:42
wants that but it doesn't mean that it
00:00:44
has to happen on Friday actually
