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E46: False Ivermectin narratives, regulatory grift, wartime mentality in solving issues & more

September 14, 2021 / 01:12:59

This episode of the All-In Podcast covers the ivermectin controversy, media bias, vaccine mandates, and the role of government in innovation. Guests include David Sacks, Chamath Palihapitiya, Jason Calacanis, and Friedberg.

The discussion begins with the ivermectin story, where Rolling Stone published a misleading article about overdoses in Oklahoma. David Sacks critiques the media's failure to verify sources, highlighting the dangers of misinformation and the double standards in how it is treated across political lines.

The conversation shifts to vaccine mandates, with the guests debating the implications of requiring vaccinations for employees in various sectors. They discuss the balance between public health and individual rights, as well as the potential economic consequences of such mandates.

Later, the group reflects on the role of entrepreneurship in addressing societal issues, emphasizing the need for innovative solutions rather than relying solely on government intervention. They argue that a strong entrepreneurial spirit can drive progress, even in the face of bureaucratic challenges.

Finally, the episode concludes with a discussion on the future of decentralized finance and the potential impact of government regulations on innovation, stressing the importance of maintaining a balance between oversight and freedom in the tech industry.

TL;DR

The episode discusses ivermectin misinformation, vaccine mandates, and the need for innovation over government intervention.

Video

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j cal looks like he's going to a night
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at the roxbury absolutely
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he looks like joey
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i'm a joke
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i mean you look horrible thank you thank
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you really [ __ ]
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here we go
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[Music]
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thanks for coming this is the production
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board symposium
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2021 tell us just a little bit about
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why we're here david and what this is
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and what it represents for the
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production board the production board
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symposium second ever thank you all for
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being here we're excited we have uh
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[Applause]
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an amazing group of um science uh
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scientists engineers folks from
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academia from business from the
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investing community some of our
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investors so we're excited to share
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thoughts and ideas over the next couple
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days um
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and thought we would uh chase half of
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you away by hosting the all-in pod
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tonight so um here we go
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great uh okay so first up in the news
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rolling stone uh amplifies false
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ivormectin story you were following this
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chabot what do you think
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this uh ivormectin controversy and you
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want a little give a little summary of
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what the issue is before we
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talk about the hypocrisy of it well on
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september 1st oklahoma news station k4
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ran a story and published an article on
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ivermectin overdoses
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backing up rural hospitals the article
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was titled patients
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overdosing on ivermectin backing up
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rural oklahoma hospital
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hospitals and ambulances uh first line
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of the article quote a rural oklahoma
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doctor said patients who are taking the
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home dewormer medication ivermectin to
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fight covenant 19. causing emergency
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rooms and ambulances to
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back up on september 3rd rolling stone
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amplified the story in its own article
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the only problem was they treated they
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tweeted it with a picture
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that featured people
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lined up in the cold it turns out the
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picture was people waiting for vaccine
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shots back in january not
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gunshot victims waiting to get into the
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hospital
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yeah the story is totally false you
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understand that right well i didn't want
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to say fake news but i know beyonce it
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was it was beyond fake news this was
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basically a doctored up conjured article
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by some person trying to incite a moral
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mania
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at rolling stone look there you tell me
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if the the science of this is wrong the
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whole the whole premise is ridiculous
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so ivermectin basically as far as we
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know because we don't know that much
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acts on a handful of
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uh specific characteristics one we know
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to be glutamate which we don't really
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express in the same way as like [ __ ]
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worms
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and so yes technically it can be used as
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a dewormer but there are four or five
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other ways in which it acts which we
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don't know anything about because we
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haven't taken the time to do a
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broad-based double-blind study so i
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think the fairest thing to say about
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iverbecten is we don't know what it is
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and so neither the people that propose
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to use it as a solution for for covid
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nor the people that rail against it
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aren't really starting from the basis of
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fact but then what happens is you have
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these folks who basically are so turned
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off by the idea
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that you know people aren't getting
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vaccines they're going to use this other
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thing they basically doctored up an
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article that wouldn't be so bad because
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nobody reads rolling stone
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right it's kind of a it's like it's kind
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of it's an ancient brand nobody's going
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there for medical people
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but then the problem is you get a
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handful of these folks who think they're
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really really smart who amplify it
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rachel maddow amplifies it jimmy kimmel
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does it on a comedy skit and then all of
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a sudden there's this enormous outrage
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but the problem is you can't put the
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genie back in the bottle when it turns
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out to be a completely fabricated lie
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and then
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all the people that are purporting to
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basically push this lie who now have
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been outed
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have no consequences because they're on
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the left screaming at the right and what
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happened when it was the other way
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around we basically started to put
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people in boxes we basically kicked them
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off these platforms and again so you
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have this
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compounding building double standard
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that to me is the whole the worst part
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about it
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david when we look at uh
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the ivermectin story we also saw joe
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rogan got coveted that was a big haha
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moment for a lot of people um and he
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took ivermectin as part of his treatment
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and then people started amplifying that
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he was taking a worm
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uh drug
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around this pandemic yeah i mean look
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this is really a media story you had
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rolling stone publish this article based
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on a single source you have this one
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crank basically saying that emergency
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rooms are turning away gunshot victims
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and people having heart attacks okay and
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all they had to do all rolling stone had
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to do was call up any one of these
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several hospitals they immediately would
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have refuted the source but they didn't
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do that they also could have simply
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googled the number of toxic ivermectin
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cases to find out if it was even
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plausible statistically
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that you could have ivermectin overdoses
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flooding oklahoma hospitals but they
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didn't do that either why
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didn't they confirm the sources because
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the article was too perfect it confirmed
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all of their priors their first prior
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was about ivermectin they've been waging
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this war on ivermectin claiming it's a
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horse dewormer when it's actually that
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is one of its purposes but it's not the
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only one it was a it was a drug designed
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for humans is used against parasites now
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as jamasa we don't know
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whether it's effective against covid
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they got to do the double blind studies
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then we'll find out but that was sort of
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their first prior and let's face it the
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second prior was that this is in
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oklahoma right and so rolling stone
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wants to believe you have all these maga
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idiots out in oklahoma eating horse
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paste okay
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and that's why they love this story so
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much and that's why rachel maddow loved
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the story so much and she then starts
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spreading it okay and after she gets
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called out including by say glenn
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greenwald as of last night she had not
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taken it down now why because she knows
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there are no consequences for
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misinformation and lying why because
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twitter and facebook do not punish
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people on the left for misinformation
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that is some penalty they only meter out
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for people who disagree with their
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cultural and political biases
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that gets the get out of jail free card
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i don't i don't even think it's secret i
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just think these people all are part of
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the same cultural sort of mule you they
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all have the same political and cultural
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biases and there is never look where is
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the twitter warning the twitter label on
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the rachel maddow post even now saying
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that this tweet this article is
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misinformation
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uh it doesn't exist because it's
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inconvenient
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let's talk about the science of i think
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i would pay for 40 dollars for all in
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podcast live
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it's dynamic it's like it works yeah by
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the way you're on the show so okay i'm
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here too
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um
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tell me the last time we heard
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a news story that didn't have bias to it
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what was the last general thing that was
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reported
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that we didn't feel had the angle that
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then elicited emotion either love or
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hate or alignment or not um
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have that reaction to the facts the only
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reason you are in the wall street
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journal just now about like the the
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democrats proposal on taxes i have an
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emotional reaction to it but it's
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fact-based i've got a hundred is it
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really was it
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my reaction or no the story
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yeah they just said that they the the
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house proposal now is to move the
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cap gains rate to from 20 to 25 the
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corporate tax rate from whatever it was
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to 26 and a half but it's my point is
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there are articles written by folks who
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just want to get the facts across and
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let you judge whether it's good or bad
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who knows time will tell then there are
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folks that basically manufacture [ __ ]
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because again i think and i think is
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matt taibbi that said this because it
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creates moral mania
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drives the narrative drives the emotion
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but it's the last grasp of the power of
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journalism that's all they have left at
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this point is just to basically make it
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a complete [ __ ] free-for-all and in
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it they still have some kind of
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relevancy i have these old new york
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times uh newspapers like the whole year
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printed from like 1936 through 1944 it's
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cool thinking this huge book
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and i'll you know we'll but you must
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have been out all the time but you
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didn't have time to read those yeah i
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mean but you flip through these things
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they're like
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they are they are just like old like
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ticker stories you know it had
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absolutely no like narrative attached to
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it there was no like these are the
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people almost the implicit right and
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wrong right the implicit morality of
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every decision that's being made of
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everything that's being reported on i
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have a feeling the only thing that's
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going to be left in like 10 years is the
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economist and then like the mob rule in
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the metaverse and that's kind of
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incredible i mean you also have podcasts
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where people can discuss these things
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and maybe a more
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um honest traits
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there's a few great podcasts like that
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mr and mr anti-facebook what do you
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think about this wall street journal
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article that says that there's a secret
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cabal that basically gets to get out of
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jail free card on facebook and nobody
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else does
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millions of people though it said right
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yeah that's a lot
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you work there it's exactly the point
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i've been making right which is that
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there's two sets of rules if you are
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part of the in crowd if you share the
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cultural biases if you're part of the
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same class whether it's you know
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socio-economic or political or whatever
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that of the people who are doing the
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content moderation doing the censorship
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you get
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get out jail free card the rules are
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different for you you can be rachel
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maddow and post an article that's
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complete [ __ ] and even after the
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entire twitter sphere calls you out you
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don't post a correction but you don't
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get labeled you don't get censored but
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if you're on a different part of the
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political spectrum you do
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i mean there's two sets of rules
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yeah i mean i think i think it's insane
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i mean this is exactly what i think
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people have been saying for
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a long time when people say oh you know
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it's algorithmic it's not really human
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controlled there's there's no real
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intervention and then you find out
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there's actually literally something
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called cross check which its definition
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is check the hue you know check the
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algorithm and override it with my own
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bias that's the that's the definition of
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what the feature is well i mean in
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whenever we start down this censorship
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route like who gets to decide and then
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what is their motivation and even if
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they have pure motivation there's no way
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to
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you know not but assume the platforms
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die assume everything de-platforms and
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decentralizes and then like all media is
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through substance or through
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the colon app or through other kind of
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media well decentralized uh crypto based
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exactly so
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there's no longer a platform there's no
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longer a sensor model what's gonna end
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up happening people are gonna click on
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the stuff that they want to hear
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confirmation bias it's going to become
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more extreme it's going to become you
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know even more heated there's going to
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be splintering of media creation as
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there is right now that we see today
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right every every element of the
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spectrum will be kind of produced and
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you're going to end up clicking on the
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stuff that creates the greatest
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emotional response because that's what
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people like to consume how does a
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citizen who wants to inoculate
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themselves from fake news bias
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how do you recommend they go after
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science and how do they they have to
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learn the stuff for themselves they have
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to try to become an expert themselves
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it's hard like anything that's hard
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right i mean there's there's got to be a
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will i don't think that that's really um
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it's it's not to be discouraging i just
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think that it's a lot easier to not do
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that right it's like it's a lot easier
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to consume ice cream all the time it's a
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lot more fun to consume ice cream all
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the time and to kind of plan your diet
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eat healthy and work out and all this
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sort of stuff and i think that's really
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where
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you know media like a lot of things is
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headed as we create these kind of
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feedback loops that are all because
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everything's digital everything ends up
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becoming feedback i bet i bet you i bet
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you if you look inside
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because like now
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some rabid politician will get a hold of
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this facebook crosstrek thing i bet you
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um if you look and graph
00:12:05
the number of people that were
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essentially whitelisted from being able
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to say whatever the hell they want
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versus what was popular on facebook
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you'd see a left versus right
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distribution very clearly you'd
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basically see because if you look at it
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now i think there's a i can't remember
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his name but he's a he's a former new
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york times reporter that tweets out
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every day um the top 10 links that are
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shared on facebook and it's
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like a [ __ ] train wreck it's like
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one normal article and then it's like
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nine like right-wing infowars
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it's a train wreck every day
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and so if you're you know a hipster
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sitting in east menlo park
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you know at some point like the cuffs
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and your jeans are rolled up too tight
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the [ __ ] shirt cuffs are rolled up
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too tight you know
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um and you're just freaking out and then
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you're like we need to create something
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what do we call it and we're like cross
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check you know and then all of a sudden
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what happens is you just start
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introducing people hoping that then the
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list that gets published every day on
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twitter changes but then what happens
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actually is you find the exact opposite
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thing happens that people are so like
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they sniff out the [ __ ] they're like
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what is going on here but then they
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double down and then next thing you know
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ben shapiro's nine you know eight of the
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ten top stories every day
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on facebook and that's how you have
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donald trump and everything else
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next topic well
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go ahead well it's gonna i mean i don't
00:13:30
wanna do it themselves yeah look i i
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think both sides are capable of
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both sides of the political spectrum are
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capable of spreading misinformation and
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[ __ ] and you have to vary your
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information diet right i mean if all you
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do is participate in
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you know the right wing or left-wing
00:13:46
echo chamber you're going to buy into
00:13:49
the ivermectin hoax you're going to be
00:13:51
story here from rolling stone or
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whatever it is so you have to
00:13:56
make an effort to again to vary your
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information
00:14:00
or
00:14:01
the uh lab leak theory
00:14:04
theory exactly but we now have five of
00:14:05
these during the pandemic alone right
00:14:07
right but see what what i
00:14:09
object to is the fact that the
00:14:11
censorship rules only seem to apply to
00:14:14
one side of the spectrum is look both
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sides are capable of spreading
00:14:18
misinformation but only one side is
00:14:20
being censored why because the people
00:14:22
running these powerful tech companies
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agree they're like you know 90 plus
00:14:26
percent of that political persuasion
00:14:28
that is not healthy
00:14:32
raise your hand if you agree with how
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many people uh agree with sacks that
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trump should be reinstated on all
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platforms
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all right there you go
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people agree that the tech platforms
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have a political bias
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how many disagree with that statement
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nobody's interesting
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wife is the chief business officer
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facebook thanks for that
00:15:02
who couldn't see that because i don't
00:15:04
know do we have the audience on yeah no
00:15:06
no no no
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no everyone yeah everyone except for
00:15:11
phil dwight and these are silicon best
00:15:13
described as silicon valley to barney so
00:15:15
that's why you have to raise his hand no
00:15:17
but to be clear for people listening
00:15:18
phil's wife works 100 percent he's got
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to say no it's okay it's okay 99 but
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everybody else here agreed with that and
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these are all people who are silicon
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valley
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they know
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so how many of us are democrats i mean
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we're all mostly democrats i would guess
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how many people voted democrat in the
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last 11 years how many are not democrats
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how many people voted for trump raise
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your hand nice and high no nobody said
00:15:41
that nobody no literally there's only
00:15:43
that's very interesting seriously
00:15:46
here's a question i have okay so we are
00:15:48
we are firmly going down because i think
00:15:50
it's pretty it's pretty clear to me i'd
00:15:52
be willing to make the bet that
00:15:54
the media is on the side of vaccine
00:15:56
mandates okay they want the
00:16:00
top down control and the sense of
00:16:02
theoretical safety that a vaccine
00:16:04
mandate gives them in their own little
00:16:06
bubble and so that's why i think they
00:16:08
support this and i think you know
00:16:10
blowing up ivermectin was kind of
00:16:12
a method of many that they've undertaken
00:16:15
to do that whether we believe in vaccine
00:16:17
mandates or not but now it's coming it's
00:16:19
coming in the la school district it's
00:16:20
you know biden is trying to push this
00:16:22
thing through the bls this is going to
00:16:24
be a very very big deal
00:16:27
what do you guys think is the right
00:16:28
thing to do on vaccine mandates
00:16:30
irrespective of all we're going to hear
00:16:32
over the next
00:16:34
government government or private
00:16:36
employer mandates or both well we should
00:16:38
let's walk through it i'm seeing both uh
00:16:40
for
00:16:41
the gov government employees let's start
00:16:43
with that yeah or the government mandate
00:16:45
look it goes through the bls it says any
00:16:46
company public or private that is a
00:16:49
hundred employees or more well i mean i
00:16:50
think we all agree
00:16:52
that people in the military or people in
00:16:54
health care
00:16:55
they should all be vaccinated or they
00:16:56
shouldn't come to work correct
00:16:59
do you agree with that but that's also
00:17:00
not not even enforceable like sorkin
00:17:03
andrew ross sorkin tweeted out like he
00:17:05
had to take his kid to the urgent care
00:17:07
and he walked in and the doctors weren't
00:17:09
wearing masks or something yeah i read
00:17:11
that and said something about like not
00:17:13
being vaccinated it doesn't matter or
00:17:14
blah blah and he like well that goes to
00:17:16
enforcement but i mean
00:17:18
the military has said you have to carry
00:17:20
i thought wait you brought your kid to
00:17:21
the [ __ ] urgent care don't you first
00:17:23
need to know what's wrong with the kid
00:17:24
you can't prosecute this person's
00:17:26
opinion on masks and vaccines before you
00:17:28
figure out what's wrong with your kid
00:17:30
well what do you think sex military
00:17:33
military health care teachers the i
00:17:35
think the crux of the issue is whether
00:17:37
employers should be able to require that
00:17:40
well there's two issues one is whether
00:17:42
um employers should be allowed to
00:17:44
require it which i think everybody agree
00:17:46
not everyone but but most people i think
00:17:48
agree that private employers and you
00:17:50
could lump the government with this
00:17:52
should be allowed to
00:17:54
test or their employees or require their
00:17:56
employees to be vaccinated if they want
00:17:57
to and or at least i would support that
00:18:00
part of it is let private enterprises
00:18:03
require vaccination if they want if they
00:18:04
decide hey in order to come back to the
00:18:06
office you got to be vaccinated for
00:18:08
everyone's safety they can impose those
00:18:10
rules now the question is do we need to
00:18:12
go beyond that to have a federal
00:18:15
mandate
00:18:16
and it's not that i'm anti-vaccine i
00:18:19
just think that's like an awfully
00:18:20
authoritarian thing to do and
00:18:23
it raises a bunch of questions so for
00:18:25
example
00:18:27
i have a friend who owns a chain of dry
00:18:29
cleaners okay he's got over 100
00:18:30
employees mostly minimum wage in a bunch
00:18:32
of different locations about 20 of his
00:18:35
what is his ethnicity
00:18:38
what does that have to do with anything
00:18:39
just curious sri lankan
00:18:44
anyway so he's the third most famous sri
00:18:47
lankan american yes anyway so
00:18:50
he's got 100 employees about 20 of them
00:18:51
are anti-vax and they will not get
00:18:53
vaccinated okay so they will walk out if
00:18:57
you know if this is required
00:19:00
hold on but he can't run his business if
00:19:02
there's a 20 walkout he just can't do it
00:19:04
okay so now we get to the soft part of
00:19:06
the mandate which is well instead of
00:19:09
requiring the vax he can do a weekly
00:19:11
test well we did that outside here who's
00:19:14
going to pay for those tests who's going
00:19:15
to administer them is it like you know
00:19:17
they had a nurse out here with the full
00:19:20
you know
00:19:21
uh you know hazmat yeah the hazmat thing
00:19:24
so you know that's not cheap so how
00:19:26
who's going to pay for that who's going
00:19:27
to do that what's the documentation
00:19:28
around that going to be is that get
00:19:30
logged into the computer system what
00:19:32
kind of proof is it does it require a
00:19:35
trip to the lab or is this something we
00:19:36
can do in five minutes i mean look if we
00:19:38
had done what freeburg said a year ago
00:19:40
on this pod we should do which is have
00:19:42
these one dollar five-minute tests be
00:19:45
available everywhere then maybe that
00:19:47
sort of rapid test out would make these
00:19:50
mandates more palatable but we don't
00:19:52
have that yet um you know there aren't
00:19:54
enough of these it turns out we still
00:19:55
need it even with the vaccines because
00:19:57
no vaccine is going to be 100 effective
00:19:58
and with right but my point is since we
00:20:00
don't really have that solution
00:20:03
operationalized you know having a hard
00:20:06
vax mandate on a 100 million employees
00:20:08
of private enterprises
00:20:10
you know that's going to cause i think
00:20:12
chaos in the economy what if we get a
00:20:14
variant david or trump
00:20:16
if we get a variant god forbid that is
00:20:19
more dangerous
00:20:20
than delta let's say it spreads just as
00:20:22
fast but it's five times as deadly does
00:20:24
that change your thinking about this
00:20:26
mandate and where do you stand on the
00:20:27
mandate no i i think the mandate in this
00:20:29
very specific narrow instance makes
00:20:31
sense and i think what we should be
00:20:32
fighting about is how
00:20:34
we actually write it so that it's not
00:20:36
wholly expensive and the reason is
00:20:38
because we know
00:20:40
that there is a probabilistic
00:20:43
distribution of outcomes where a
00:20:45
non-trivial percentage of them results
00:20:47
in a variant that is deadly
00:20:49
and so we can understand the math and we
00:20:51
can understand a sense of time to figure
00:20:53
out that if we don't do something and if
00:20:56
we don't get to some amount of control
00:20:59
around what this is
00:21:01
we're all in really big trouble so
00:21:04
because of that specific thing i just
00:21:06
think this is where you know look
00:21:08
the president has the ability to invoke
00:21:10
the war measures act to do all kinds of
00:21:12
things that are super normal
00:21:14
and you know we would never say that
00:21:16
those abide in normal times and we've
00:21:18
created a framework for him to be able
00:21:20
to do those things in non-normal times
00:21:21
and then revert to normal
00:21:24
i think this is one of those cases just
00:21:25
because i don't think the economic
00:21:27
consequences and the social consequences
00:21:29
if we let this thing uh continue to
00:21:32
compound and continue to mutate it
00:21:34
doesn't make any [ __ ] sense we're not
00:21:36
learning anything
00:21:37
we uh could have used the warm mandate
00:21:40
act across two presidencies to demand
00:21:44
some companies make a dollar test
00:21:46
we have 75 80 tests approved in germany
00:21:48
they're down to two or three dollars why
00:21:51
has the fda not
00:21:54
gotten us to that level that germany's
00:21:55
at
00:21:56
and why haven't we done the war mandate
00:21:58
act i mean we have like a constructed
00:22:00
capitalist model of like
00:22:02
let the free market tell the government
00:22:04
what is the right thing to do and so
00:22:06
then they invite abbott and they invite
00:22:08
the the guys in and they're like you
00:22:10
know the white house they have a
00:22:11
consortium meeting and everyone's kind
00:22:13
of a little bit chuckling about this
00:22:14
like oh this is awesome it's another two
00:22:16
billion dollar payday which is what they
00:22:17
just got i don't know if you saw
00:22:19
uh the the write-up today
00:22:21
but the federal government is paying
00:22:24
walmart for the difference between the
00:22:26
wholesale cost and the retail cost so
00:22:28
that consumers cannot now go buy abba
00:22:30
tests at the wholesale price at the
00:22:31
store two billion dollars taxpayer money
00:22:33
gone
00:22:34
when we could have had a bunch of smart
00:22:37
scientists get together at the white
00:22:39
house
00:22:40
with a bunch of engineers take over a
00:22:42
freaking factory and on a piece of paper
00:22:45
print 8 billion [ __ ] tests
00:22:47
and then chop them up and distribute
00:22:49
them for 50 cents and instead we have
00:22:51
this problem where we're like depending
00:22:52
on the korean supply i kid you not of
00:22:56
the test kits that are like plastic
00:22:58
that's where they make all the like
00:22:59
pregnancy test kits and all this stuff
00:23:00
and these um
00:23:02
this like the commercial model is like
00:23:04
tell us how you want to make these tests
00:23:06
tell us what the right model is and of
00:23:07
course you end up with a thirty dollar
00:23:09
test when in germany you can go buy a 50
00:23:11
cent test at any liquor store
00:23:13
um and so it's it's constructive it's
00:23:15
straight up corruption and if you go
00:23:17
back like you know i don't know if you
00:23:19
know the the production board's named
00:23:20
after the straight into the microphone
00:23:22
named after the war production
00:23:24
which was um set up during world war ii
00:23:27
what's that it's pretty humble
00:23:29
yeah um
00:23:30
took the war out
00:23:32
you know
00:23:33
um but it was uh but the idea was like
00:23:35
how do you take a system level uh design
00:23:37
approach uh to solving kind of big
00:23:40
problems and um one of the issues
00:23:43
that we had during world war ii was a
00:23:45
supply chain problem on making tanks and
00:23:47
planes and so
00:23:48
they put together a bunch of smart
00:23:50
people deutsche knows this better than
00:23:51
anyone because he was a lie back he was
00:23:53
alive and he was you can look at the old
00:23:55
photos they're sitting in the front guys
00:23:56
you have the hammer before he does he
00:23:58
made it in the factory floor old as [ __ ]
00:24:01
and um and there was basically a con
00:24:03
coordinated effort it's fine today by
00:24:05
the way sorry the kim happy birthday
00:24:07
happy birthday
00:24:09
um
00:24:10
but there was a coordinated effort by
00:24:11
engineers at the top down to design a
00:24:14
system for making these things cheap and
00:24:16
fast and that's an approach that i think
00:24:18
we lost right like we kind of gave way
00:24:20
to this model of yeah laissez faire like
00:24:23
you come in you tell me what you think
00:24:24
we should do okay that's a good idea
00:24:26
let's take photos and we're out and
00:24:27
that's it like we don't have a wartime
00:24:29
mentality right now we haven't had a
00:24:30
wartime mentality since covet hit
00:24:32
everyone's continued to try and parade
00:24:34
around and get reelected and you know
00:24:36
earn votes
00:24:37
we're not taking this we're not acting
00:24:39
we're you know like every
00:24:41
every time kind of a business or a
00:24:42
government or any organization goes
00:24:44
through a phase it goes through a
00:24:45
wartime phase or a peacetime phase we
00:24:47
should be acting like we're in a wartime
00:24:48
phase and we're not can answer your
00:24:49
question if you may three or four of us
00:24:52
basically pronated up some money could
00:24:54
you go and print eight billion of these
00:24:55
[ __ ] tests
00:24:56
in the u.s you cannot get them approved
00:24:58
without the fda i'm not asking for
00:24:59
approval i'm saying could you do it 100
00:25:02
and how long you could buy some old
00:25:03
freaking paper mill and in three months
00:25:05
i mean you know this this actually
00:25:06
people in this room who could do this
00:25:08
in um now isn't there a framework with
00:25:11
an fda that basically allows you to
00:25:14
effectively experiment on yourself
00:25:17
there's a compassion there's a
00:25:20
it's for drugs it's for therapeutics not
00:25:21
for diagnostics so you're saying that if
00:25:23
i want to you can't build my own test
00:25:25
and use it if you want to build a if you
00:25:26
want to build a diagnostic test that
00:25:27
tells someone whether or not they have
00:25:29
an illness you have to get fda approval
00:25:31
in the united states so
00:25:33
that's also just published before
00:25:35
some pretty statement is regulatory
00:25:37
capture like is one of the biggest
00:25:38
issues and in related
00:25:40
news by the way another insane statistic
00:25:42
just sorry they're up i saw this today i
00:25:44
forgot someone we know tweeted this
00:25:47
the
00:25:48
who wants to guess the ratio of
00:25:50
administrators to doctors in the us
00:25:52
healthcare system 300 to one yeah i saw
00:25:55
at 301 yeah 900 to one today oh my god
00:25:58
and that is up from five to one in 1970
00:26:01
by the way think about it can i just
00:26:02
build on what you said 900 to 1. your
00:26:04
initial tweet said 300 to 1 and it ended
00:26:07
in 2010 right before obamacare passed so
00:26:10
from 300 to 900 was all obamacare yeah
00:26:13
regulatory sacs is shaking his head
00:26:15
which by the way uh nothing against
00:26:17
obamacare because i think like coming as
00:26:18
a canadian i actually believe in
00:26:20
subsidized health care and i think the
00:26:21
the principle of obamacare was great but
00:26:23
there was one fatal flaw which is it
00:26:25
basically said okay you know what you're
00:26:27
capped at the following margin
00:26:29
and the minute that people said wait a
00:26:31
minute i can only have a 20 gross margin
00:26:33
what do you do you just jack up prices
00:26:35
to basically jack up revenue because if
00:26:37
you can only take 20 percent you're
00:26:38
going to take 20 of a bigger number than
00:26:40
a smaller number and so it completely
00:26:42
burned the incentives for any healthcare
00:26:44
company in the united states to do
00:26:46
anything other than just basically walk
00:26:47
prices up
00:26:49
and it's funny because if you look at
00:26:50
the stock prices of these
00:26:52
companies
00:26:53
you you would have made more money being
00:26:55
along united healthcare than you would
00:26:56
have been uh owning facebook google any
00:26:58
of these other tech companies in the
00:27:00
last decade crazy stat
00:27:02
uh speaking of regulatory capture tesla
00:27:05
uh got left out of this new tax credit
00:27:07
or proposed tax credit insane four
00:27:10
electric cars i don't know if you saw
00:27:11
that but tesla wasn't invited a couple
00:27:13
of months ago to biden's ev summit
00:27:16
elon responded like i wonder why i
00:27:18
wasn't invited it turns out it's because
00:27:20
they're not a union shop their employees
00:27:22
make much more money than union
00:27:24
employees make uh and but now as a
00:27:28
punishment but hold on as a punishment
00:27:30
the twelve thousand dollar credit that
00:27:32
they're giving to or they're proposing
00:27:33
to give to all ev manufacturers is only
00:27:36
if you have union employees it's 4 500
00:27:39
less to tesla
00:27:41
so literally two massive regulatory
00:27:44
captures and corruption go or maybe
00:27:47
no i mean i don't have much more to add
00:27:49
to that i mean you hit the nail on the
00:27:51
head i mean this is to serve the unions
00:27:52
it's not to serve uh clean energy
00:27:56
or the ev industry i mean a little bit
00:27:57
for uv but it's mostly for the unions
00:28:01
the um
00:28:02
[Music]
00:28:04
on the one hand what we do is we say
00:28:05
that climate change is this existential
00:28:08
issue
00:28:09
but then when the rubber meets the road
00:28:11
if you look inside the infrastructure
00:28:12
plan today we unveiled basically how
00:28:15
we're going to do all the tax credits
00:28:17
and again it's just an enormous amount
00:28:19
of just sloppy
00:28:20
um regulatory capture
00:28:23
we're doubling and tripling credits in
00:28:24
certain places we're disallowing credits
00:28:27
in other places when you follow the
00:28:29
dollars what happens is you can map it
00:28:30
to companies those companies tend to be
00:28:33
mostly public large balance sheets large
00:28:35
lobbying efforts and it's not
00:28:37
necessarily the most important companies
00:28:39
that matter so if you know if i said to
00:28:41
you what are the most important
00:28:42
companies in climate change you'd
00:28:44
probably say well maybe it's direct air
00:28:45
capture maybe it's nuclear maybe it's
00:28:47
some other thing that basically helps
00:28:48
you go to a different place and where
00:28:50
does all the tax credits and tax dollars
00:28:52
go sun run sun power these are companies
00:28:55
that basically you know have this
00:28:57
oligopolistic hole stranglehold on
00:29:00
essentially installing solar panels and
00:29:02
battery walls in homes across the united
00:29:05
states and it's not to say that that job
00:29:07
isn't important but to basically
00:29:10
explicitly block other people out
00:29:12
because all the chatter today on um you
00:29:15
know or some of the chatter today was
00:29:17
around just if this bill passes as
00:29:20
written you're gonna see these stocks
00:29:22
rip and so obviously the positive
00:29:24
reinforcement loop of wall street and
00:29:25
hedge funds getting behind these
00:29:27
companies their market cap goes up the
00:29:29
amount they allocate to lobbyists go up
00:29:30
and then all this [ __ ] just
00:29:32
continues to cycle through the system
00:29:34
free break how far are we away from
00:29:36
small nuclear reactors and fusion just
00:29:38
from a science perspective and then on a
00:29:41
regulatory basis
00:29:43
i don't know enough i mean yeah
00:29:45
i i look i mean from what i've seen
00:29:48
there there are great technologies that
00:29:50
you know we should be able to kind of
00:29:51
realize my understanding and speaking to
00:29:53
investors some in this room
00:29:55
and i know champs looked at this area a
00:29:56
lot
00:29:57
is um you know there's the the
00:30:00
regulatory burden that's made it so
00:30:01
difficult to launch nuclear
00:30:04
um technically it seems like there's
00:30:05
great breakthroughs there was an
00:30:06
announcement from a group this past week
00:30:09
cfs yeah on a new um
00:30:12
super conducting magnet system that they
00:30:14
spent years designing this is a bill
00:30:16
gates backed company anyone here an
00:30:18
investor
00:30:19
no
00:30:20
john
00:30:23
and uh basically it enables like the
00:30:25
tokamak plasma fusion based systems uh
00:30:28
to be kind of reliably produced now and
00:30:30
so they've they've had a proof of
00:30:32
demonstration of this uh
00:30:34
of the superconducting magnet system
00:30:36
that effectively allows you to control a
00:30:38
plasma which is like 10 million degrees
00:30:40
celsius in a little donut that spins
00:30:42
around and that plasma allows you to
00:30:44
kind of pull energy out that can be used
00:30:46
for you know effectively you put a bunch
00:30:47
of material in this thing runs and more
00:30:50
energy comes out than you put in it's
00:30:52
magic
00:30:53
and so you know this has been a
00:30:54
theoretical kind of concept for decades
00:30:57
uh getting the superconducting magnet
00:30:59
system to control the plasma in a very
00:31:00
small space
00:31:02
using a very small kind of system was
00:31:04
proven and now they think that they're
00:31:06
you know call it four or five years away
00:31:07
you know by the way everything in
00:31:08
nuclear is always four or five years
00:31:10
away so four or five years away with a
00:31:12
grain of salt uh from kind of having a
00:31:14
demonstrable kind of uh system so
00:31:16
there's technologies that are clearly
00:31:17
like on the brink or proceeding nicely
00:31:20
but
00:31:20
as we know um a lot of a lot of these
00:31:22
sorts of technologies similarly are kind
00:31:24
of regulatory burdened we're about a
00:31:25
hundred degrees away i think from a from
00:31:27
a operational functional room
00:31:29
temperature semiconductor
00:31:30
and superconductor sorry and you know
00:31:33
i've told
00:31:34
a team that i'm working with on this
00:31:36
project i don't want to go into energy
00:31:38
generation or unless we can do it in a
00:31:40
small form manufacturing thing that can
00:31:42
be adopted broadly but if you try to go
00:31:44
and you know basically build some
00:31:46
distributed energy resource out over
00:31:48
here that powers cavallo point it's
00:31:50
impossible because you run into these
00:31:52
people who don't really understand the
00:31:54
science won't take the time and you know
00:31:56
we've taken so many steps backwards from
00:31:58
nuclear that it's probably just going to
00:32:01
take decades
00:32:03
and it's going to take some cataclysmic
00:32:05
climate change event where the only way
00:32:07
out is this super abundant energy source
00:32:10
where you're willing to basically say ah
00:32:12
[ __ ] it we're [ __ ] otherwise by the
00:32:13
way if you if you were to go to mars
00:32:15
today you wouldn't be pulling a bunch of
00:32:17
[ __ ] you know oil out of the ground
00:32:19
and burning it and you know rotating uh
00:32:21
you shouldn't i mean and you wouldn't
00:32:23
necessarily i mean you'd be using you
00:32:25
know solar at the beginning but you
00:32:27
wouldn't necessarily rely on solar the
00:32:28
you know the cost of material to
00:32:30
transport from here to mars
00:32:32
to yield the best energy potential would
00:32:34
likely be some sort of nuclear power
00:32:35
source right um as it is in a lot of
00:32:37
military so that's your question sax
00:32:40
elon was saved by obama
00:32:43
i mean
00:32:44
just kind of like having we were there
00:32:46
even meaning like you know it was in
00:32:47
that moment he was able to get that deal
00:32:49
with daimler he was able to get these
00:32:51
you know tax credits the the auto
00:32:53
bailout you know all of that stuff but
00:32:55
then it seems like we're in the middle
00:32:57
of a democrat administration and they
00:32:59
may go out of their way to basically try
00:33:01
to [ __ ] this guy i just think it's like
00:33:02
become a special interest free-for-all
00:33:04
there was an article today that the
00:33:06
national deficit year to date is 2.7
00:33:10
trillion
00:33:12
and i think that we're on october 1st
00:33:13
fiscal year so there's one more month so
00:33:15
it'll be about 3 trillion last year was
00:33:17
over 3 trillion because of covid
00:33:19
there haven't gotten to the
00:33:20
infrastructure bill yet that's going to
00:33:21
be another 1.2 trillion on top of that
00:33:24
the democrats are saying they want
00:33:25
another three and a half well not all
00:33:27
democrats but thank god for joe manchin
00:33:29
but another three and a half trillion
00:33:32
and you know most people can't even
00:33:33
really say what's in that three and a
00:33:34
half trillion dollar bill i mean it's
00:33:36
we're at 28 trillion something like that
00:33:38
of national debt
00:33:39
i mean and it's all just like special
00:33:41
interest plunder
00:33:42
well i mean if you look at the results
00:33:44
the results aren't there correct yeah
00:33:46
and then on top of that
00:33:47
um
00:33:48
well you know i i understand i mean
00:33:51
with respect to obamacare okay that's a
00:33:52
major item
00:33:54
on let's call the democrat wish list was
00:33:56
to give everyone health care and we
00:33:57
didn't even get there okay but you can
00:33:59
sort of understand that but
00:34:01
most people i think even
00:34:03
on the left
00:34:04
can't really say what the big ticket
00:34:07
item is
00:34:08
that's going to be delivered for this
00:34:09
three and a half trillion that is
00:34:11
proposing to be spent
00:34:13
so um i mean it's just it it's just
00:34:16
become this like you know special
00:34:17
interest freeberg we talked about not
00:34:19
having a wartime stance with the
00:34:21
pandemic
00:34:22
we don't have a wartime stance with
00:34:24
global warming or extreme weather
00:34:26
whichever
00:34:27
term you want should we
00:34:29
yeah
00:34:32
yeah
00:34:34
i mean yeah we're burning money i don't
00:34:35
know like a drunken salary what's going
00:34:37
on right now and actually a lot of what
00:34:38
we're going to talk about this symposium
00:34:41
over the next day or so
00:34:43
is that there is effectively now a
00:34:45
raging
00:34:46
free market appetite for these solutions
00:34:49
um the capital is pouring in the
00:34:51
entrepreneurship is blossoming
00:34:53
ballooning the technology is advancing
00:34:56
so you know to some degree folks might
00:34:58
say
00:34:59
you know this is going to get solved but
00:35:00
there are major infrastructure solutions
00:35:03
that are needed for us to accelerate the
00:35:05
outcome and win the the war
00:35:07
and those infrastructure solutions
00:35:09
aren't going to get funded by softbank
00:35:11
and they're not going to get funded by
00:35:12
chamath they're going to need to get
00:35:14
funded by the type of dollars i mean
00:35:17
keep keep you keep building your book
00:35:18
like you are you will fund them in the
00:35:20
next decade but saks you know kind of
00:35:22
speaks to the kind of numbers that i
00:35:24
think you know are necessary here i mean
00:35:25
you think about how much money we spent
00:35:27
on covid without any results over the
00:35:29
last year it really begs the question if
00:35:32
we were kind of to take an roi based
00:35:34
approach to where we spending these
00:35:35
dollars this would probably be the first
00:35:37
on the list and by the way the private
00:35:39
market and jobs will benefit and what
00:35:41
happened in this this bill this
00:35:43
infrastructure bill has passed um
00:35:45
this past year that's now been you know
00:35:47
uh more kind of definitively drafted
00:35:50
is a bunch of infrastructure jobs that
00:35:52
are basically giveaways they're not
00:35:53
actually solving problems with climate
00:35:55
change they're not pushing technology
00:35:56
forward they're not creating uh these
00:35:59
alternatives that we're talking about
00:36:00
they create 10x and 100x outcomes they
00:36:03
are yesteryears solutions and they're
00:36:06
not going to move the needle enough and
00:36:07
so i you know look i do think like
00:36:10
it's unfortunate but the climate change
00:36:12
war production board is needed to kind
00:36:14
of get the kind of dollars motivated
00:36:16
that are needed to create the kind of
00:36:17
infrastructure to solve these problems
00:36:19
um despite the free market appetite the
00:36:21
free market appetite by the way fuels
00:36:22
the outcomes but it still needs uh it
00:36:25
needs something behind
00:36:26
is it possible just as we're having this
00:36:29
discussion here we're looking at an
00:36:30
incompetent corrupt government
00:36:33
that is filled with grifters who are
00:36:35
bought and sold and then on the other
00:36:38
side and causing
00:36:39
problems that's a that's a mouthful i
00:36:41
wouldn't say that people but i i
00:36:42
disagree that people are corrupt and
00:36:44
grifters i i do think that really yeah i
00:36:47
i do think that there's a lot of good
00:36:48
motivations i just think that this is
00:36:49
the government yeah look there may be
00:36:51
corruption but i don't think that that's
00:36:53
the the universal truth right people are
00:36:55
generally you you know you we've all met
00:36:58
politicians right
00:37:00
which one is it it's it's it's a it's a
00:37:02
point of perspective right and there's a
00:37:04
what's your perspective my perspective
00:37:05
is that they're all being told by their
00:37:06
constituents what they want and then
00:37:08
they're doing it or by lobbyists or by
00:37:10
lobbyists but
00:37:11
are they supposed to listen to a lot at
00:37:13
the end of the day the way that the the
00:37:14
system is set up is people get reelected
00:37:16
by doing what they're the people that
00:37:18
are going to vote and put the dollars
00:37:19
and put the votes out for them are
00:37:21
asking them to do and that's the way
00:37:23
that this has kind of resolved itself
00:37:25
so and by the way when the war when when
00:37:27
wars happen you know when i guess when a
00:37:30
war happened
00:37:32
in the 20th century that wasn't the
00:37:34
driving force the driving force was
00:37:36
existential and it was we have to win
00:37:37
the war and that's that that really
00:37:39
needs to be the mindset we all need to
00:37:41
adopt today which is an existential
00:37:43
mindset we need to win the war and it
00:37:44
can't be about what my constituents are
00:37:46
telling me what the lobbyists are
00:37:47
telling me so despite
00:37:49
this either incompetence graft or if
00:37:52
you're more charitable you know it's a
00:37:54
complex problem to solve despite all of
00:37:56
that
00:37:57
we have massive entrepreneurship in the
00:37:58
country we have massive capital
00:38:00
allocation uh at a extreme violent rate
00:38:03
in fact a lot of that money is coming
00:38:05
from all this money being pumped into
00:38:07
the system so in a way do you think the
00:38:09
only solution we have chamoth is
00:38:11
entrepreneurs in startups who are
00:38:13
getting large amounts of money to solve
00:38:15
these problems because it's not going to
00:38:16
happen by government obviously we have a
00:38:18
ton of great entrepreneurs and i think
00:38:20
that we're doing things
00:38:23
we're doing we're okay so
00:38:25
this is this is
00:38:27
if you look at the internet in the 20
00:38:29
years that we've been grinding in the
00:38:30
internet we've had an incredible
00:38:32
tailwind that helped us
00:38:34
which is all these people much like the
00:38:36
folks in this room but in different
00:38:37
companies 10 or 20 years earlier than
00:38:39
you are now
00:38:41
abstracting parts of the stack so that
00:38:43
the rest of us could use it right
00:38:46
um and so you know i remember 2006 we
00:38:49
were racking and stacking servers at
00:38:51
facebook in santa clara me adam deangelo
00:38:53
like and i was like what the [ __ ] are we
00:38:55
doing and i remember in 2008 when adam
00:38:57
deangelo he was our cto at the time left
00:38:59
he started a company called quora
00:39:01
d'andre's like i'm building on aws and i
00:39:03
thought he was a [ __ ] idiot
00:39:05
i thought who builds on aws you build
00:39:07
your own data centers now if you said
00:39:09
that to somebody you would be the idiot
00:39:12
right so if it's that or if it's the
00:39:14
tooling and the tool chains that we've
00:39:15
been able to build on top of
00:39:17
all of that abstraction and
00:39:19
simplification has allowed an order or
00:39:22
frankly probably even maybe two orders
00:39:23
of magnitude of entrepreneurship to come
00:39:26
that's also now happening in biotech
00:39:28
so all of that is an incredible progress
00:39:31
the problem now is we used to be
00:39:34
a part of the economy that was an
00:39:36
afterthought
00:39:37
we were over here
00:39:40
politicians didn't need to understand
00:39:41
they didn't need to take the time
00:39:43
their first reaction is denial because
00:39:46
it basically pushes up against power and
00:39:48
that really freaks them out
00:39:50
but now we're at a point where we are so
00:39:53
integral they need to understand it
00:39:55
better here's a perfect example
00:39:57
last week
00:39:59
illuminous patents expired
00:40:02
so if you're in the business of
00:40:04
healthcare and if you're in the business
00:40:05
of like you know crispr gene therapy any
00:40:08
of the stuff that actually a lot of you
00:40:10
guys are involved in
00:40:12
you would love for the fact that you
00:40:14
know next-gen sequencing could have a
00:40:16
thousand flowers boom bloom 90 different
00:40:19
methods the cost of a sequence goes down
00:40:22
to a penny
00:40:23
it's not possible today because you have
00:40:24
to go through one methodology you have
00:40:26
one company to work through you have one
00:40:28
set of reagents or a set of reagents
00:40:30
that one company sells and it's
00:40:32
basically cordoned off
00:40:34
that can't change because of technology
00:40:36
because they can then sue you go to
00:40:38
courts and they win
00:40:40
and so this is where you have to
00:40:42
interface with the government and they
00:40:43
just need to get smarter
00:40:45
because otherwise there's only so much
00:40:47
innovation we can do before
00:40:49
their historical legacy things like
00:40:51
patents and ip come and bite you in the
00:40:53
ass sex what do you think is
00:40:55
entrepreneurship alone and capital
00:40:58
allocation by aggressive
00:41:00
you know thoughtful and bold uh capital
00:41:03
allocators enough to solve the
00:41:05
incompetence in washington or the graft
00:41:07
well it's going to have to be and i mean
00:41:09
here's the good news bad news okay i had
00:41:11
a tweet that kind of went viral so when
00:41:13
afghanistan happened you know we spent
00:41:16
two trillion dollars
00:41:18
2500 american casualties 40 000 wounded
00:41:21
and
00:41:22
what have we gotten out of it the
00:41:25
chinese are about to take up residence
00:41:26
in bagram
00:41:28
in our splendid air force base
00:41:30
and uh the taliban are one of the best
00:41:32
equipped armies in the world that's
00:41:34
basically what our two trillion dollars
00:41:35
got us and china's going to build a
00:41:37
super highway right by the way they're
00:41:38
going to extract did you see the thing
00:41:40
where like the taliban were flying
00:41:41
around in our helicopter
00:41:43
helicopters no it was fake apparently
00:41:45
yeah
00:41:49
apparently apparently the helicopters
00:41:51
that were left behind are non-functional
00:41:52
so let's just clear that up that's not
00:41:54
true yeah there's more blackhawks than
00:41:56
any other army in the world except for
00:41:57
us
00:41:58
um i mean haven't you seen all the
00:41:59
photos of them they're all decked out in
00:42:01
our uniforms it's incredible yeah oh
00:42:03
yeah
00:42:04
they got our night vision goggles photos
00:42:06
on the internet
00:42:07
no no no there was reporting itemizing
00:42:09
the inventory the cache of weapons we
00:42:11
left behind it was gigantic all right
00:42:13
let's get to the question now the good
00:42:15
news bad news okay so that that's that's
00:42:17
the bad news that's what two trillion
00:42:18
dollars of government spending got us
00:42:21
um the the good news is i went back and
00:42:23
i looked at
00:42:24
how much money has been invested in the
00:42:26
venture capital space over that same
00:42:27
20-year period that we were in
00:42:28
afghanistan and it roughly tallied up to
00:42:31
about two trillion dollars i didn't know
00:42:33
that actually i just i added up the
00:42:34
charts
00:42:35
and about and most of it was in the last
00:42:38
five years because it's actually been a
00:42:39
huge acceleration in the amount of money
00:42:41
coming into vc over the last several
00:42:43
years the softbanks the tigers and so
00:42:46
that you've had these late stage funds
00:42:47
the mega lane stage funds so the truth
00:42:49
is
00:42:50
for
00:42:51
really way less than i'd say a trillion
00:42:54
dollars of you know early stage like
00:42:56
true venture money we've been able to
00:42:58
create the entire technology ecosystem
00:43:00
as we see it today i mean not entire i
00:43:02
guess go back 20 years there's five
00:43:04
years in the late 90s so
00:43:07
the the the private enterprise system
00:43:09
has accomplished so much with relatively
00:43:13
so little money you compare
00:43:15
the efficiency of it you almost wonder
00:43:17
how did we squander so much money in
00:43:19
afghanistan
00:43:20
it took active looting
00:43:22
by many different forces to basically
00:43:25
squander
00:43:26
i mean think about like literally have
00:43:28
to burn money
00:43:29
every venture back company
00:43:31
every stage
00:43:33
in the last 20 years
00:43:35
that's how much money we spent in
00:43:36
afghanistan i mean how much of that
00:43:37
money went to line the pockets of
00:43:40
private contractors
00:43:42
and you know warlords we were paying off
00:43:44
i mean it was a giant kleptocracy okay
00:43:48
so but the good news is look what we got
00:43:49
for the same amount of money here you
00:43:51
know and not just here every every
00:43:53
private venture back company
00:43:55
so i do think we are capable of
00:43:57
accomplishing great things but
00:43:58
with relatively small amounts of
00:44:00
investment and thank goodness for that
00:44:02
because that's the only thing that's
00:44:03
producing anything in our society
00:44:05
but um
00:44:07
but i mean it's true right but but look
00:44:09
at what washington's about to do they
00:44:10
want to stomp on all this innovation i
00:44:12
mean they want to jack up the cap gains
00:44:14
rate to the same to higher than ordinary
00:44:17
income i mean that is the return on
00:44:19
investment for the for the for venture
00:44:21
capital for the kind of investment i'm
00:44:23
talking about i mean they want to make
00:44:24
it punitive now that's not going to pass
00:44:27
thankfully because we got joe manchin
00:44:29
but that's about it by the way i will i
00:44:31
will contradict myself and agree with
00:44:32
sax i do think there will be a hundred x
00:44:34
thousand ten 1000x 10000x
00:44:36
breakthrough
00:44:37
that will resolve a lot of the
00:44:39
challenges we face as a species on
00:44:41
planet earth over this century so we're
00:44:43
optimistic i'm 100 optimistic i'm
00:44:45
actually this might that's my the the
00:44:47
title you gave it away the title of my
00:44:48
talk in the morning uh tomorrow morning
00:44:51
um yeah but yeah yeah i do
00:44:53
and by the way my talk says absolutely
00:44:55
nothing about the government and we went
00:44:56
railing against the government now
00:44:57
everyone's kind of feeling sad and we
00:44:59
sound like a bunch of old guys sitting
00:45:01
at the starbucks talking yeah talking
00:45:03
about the government how they suck um
00:45:05
but at the end of the day i do think
00:45:07
that um the ingenuity of uh the human
00:45:11
spirit and science will resolve the
00:45:13
problems that we face today jesus christ
00:45:15
and we are not gonna end up we're not
00:45:17
going to end up developing on the
00:45:19
government
00:45:20
to solve the problem
00:45:21
all right i want to talk about one other
00:45:22
by the way we should kind of be able to
00:45:23
take questions uh from the audience so
00:45:25
if you have a question i'm going to jump
00:45:26
out there um should we do that now
00:45:28
because yeah just end with the ccp uh is
00:45:32
now
00:45:33
moving to break up alipay's business
00:45:35
this is after jack ma uh went on
00:45:38
a holiday to learn how to oil paint
00:45:40
thoughts chamaf
00:45:42
well i think this is sort of like one
00:45:44
other step in what we've been talking
00:45:46
about for a while which is that china is
00:45:48
basically becoming
00:45:50
a completely vertically integrated
00:45:52
government
00:45:53
where
00:45:54
the public and private sector has no
00:45:56
real clear delineation and i think that
00:45:58
that actually has a lot of implications
00:46:00
to us because they export
00:46:02
an enormous amount of technology and
00:46:04
building blocks to us and we have no
00:46:06
recourse if those guys either change
00:46:09
their mind and this is sort of what
00:46:11
pulls us into
00:46:12
this next very complicated phase of uh
00:46:15
geopolitics because for example if they
00:46:17
decide to cut us off you know in our
00:46:20
they will invade taiwan i've said this
00:46:22
before but i think that they will
00:46:24
and we will have no choice except to
00:46:26
deploy troops into taiwan
00:46:28
because in the absence of the silicon
00:46:30
that we need from tsmc and a couple of
00:46:32
other manufacturers there we have zero
00:46:34
capability here this is why you see
00:46:36
intel i mean for any like any second
00:46:38
when you guys hear an intel press
00:46:40
release that says they're investing 90
00:46:41
[ __ ] billion dollars do you not think
00:46:44
where does intel come up with 90 billion
00:46:46
dollars
00:46:48
right this is a pull through from us
00:46:49
government because it allows us to start
00:46:52
to rebuild
00:46:53
an enormous amount of critical
00:46:54
infrastructure that we've left to other
00:46:56
people
00:46:57
so you know china is systematically
00:47:01
decomposing and basically destabilizing
00:47:04
all the china internet companies they're
00:47:05
going to control and inbound all of the
00:47:07
critical resources and we're gonna have
00:47:10
to have these really hard conversations
00:47:12
unless this is again why i go back to i
00:47:13
don't believe what you said
00:47:15
entrepreneurs are not enough of the
00:47:16
solution we need the government to step
00:47:18
in with intelligence not with anything
00:47:21
other than that
00:47:22
they don't need laws necessarily they
00:47:24
just need to understand the problem and
00:47:26
then or get out of the way in some cases
00:47:29
or step in and for example like you know
00:47:32
allow the regulatory regulatory capture
00:47:34
to be disrupted but they won't do it
00:47:37
because special interests and by the way
00:47:39
special interests what do they spend you
00:47:41
know if you try to donate to a [ __ ]
00:47:42
congressman
00:47:44
four thousand dollars two thousand five
00:47:46
hundred dollars like these people aren't
00:47:48
spending 80 million dollars to defend an
00:47:50
80 billion dollar business they're
00:47:52
spending 80 000
00:47:54
and that's why we can't have progress
00:47:56
that's crazy to me
00:47:58
sacks your thoughts on china's recent
00:48:00
actions to
00:48:02
basically deprecate entrepreneurship
00:48:05
it's it's a continuation of the trends
00:48:06
we've been talking about on the show
00:48:08
like math was saying i mean they're
00:48:09
bringing these um entrepreneurs these
00:48:12
their moguls uh their their oligarchs
00:48:15
under their thumb under the thumb of the
00:48:16
ccp
00:48:18
and xi jinping they're consolidating
00:48:20
control and power
00:48:22
and money and it's also about the data
00:48:24
that was another part of the this new
00:48:26
law is they want to get their hands on
00:48:28
the data that um
00:48:31
all the credit data of every single
00:48:33
person that uses alipay all throughout
00:48:35
southeast asia
00:48:36
that's [ __ ] crazy
00:48:38
and they also control and everybody's
00:48:40
tick-tock you're talking about yeah we
00:48:42
get there at the same time yeah it's
00:48:43
crazy it's crazy
00:48:45
if you were running the chinese
00:48:46
government wouldn't you do the same
00:48:49
i would do everything that they're doing
00:48:50
which is why it's crazy to us that we
00:48:52
are sitting here allowing it to be done
00:48:54
to us
00:48:56
that's what the crazy the crazy right
00:48:57
there's nothing there's nothing about
00:48:59
what they're doing doing is not
00:49:00
illogical right what we are doing is
00:49:03
illogical
00:49:04
because we should have a reaction to
00:49:06
these things we should have a point of
00:49:07
view it can't be tacitly sticking our
00:49:09
head in the sand
00:49:11
all right who's got a question for one
00:49:12
of the besties okay let's try and make
00:49:14
it a tight question talk up the book
00:49:16
john of course these bills are
00:49:17
incredibly wasteful but
00:49:20
you're you guys are engaged so how come
00:49:21
you're not looking through them and
00:49:22
saying this piece i like this piece is
00:49:24
messed up because it doesn't sound like
00:49:26
you've read them either
00:49:28
to be honest with you i haven't read
00:49:29
them i rely on these summaries that i
00:49:31
get from my team and to be honest with
00:49:33
you the legibility of these things are
00:49:35
incredibly low
00:49:36
and the problem is every bill that gets
00:49:38
written now
00:49:40
it's almost like it goes through a
00:49:41
process if you take a two-page bullet
00:49:43
point bill which is really what
00:49:46
senators or
00:49:47
congress people understand and approve
00:49:50
and then out comes the other end two
00:49:52
thousand pages that are
00:49:53
undigestable
00:49:55
so you're absolutely right i don't i
00:49:57
rely
00:49:58
on these summaries i have zero idea
00:50:01
what's really in there let's take
00:50:02
another question
00:50:03
yeah um i'm alex philippenko
00:50:06
you did this poll of whether the media
00:50:08
are
00:50:09
right winning
00:50:10
leaning or left-leaning and the
00:50:11
overwhelming majority said left-leaning
00:50:13
but do you think that that's in part
00:50:15
because for four years we had been fed
00:50:17
so many lies and so much misinformation
00:50:20
from
00:50:21
the extreme right
00:50:23
[Music]
00:50:25
david that question was directed to you
00:50:26
[Music]
00:50:30
i mean look i think there were plenty of
00:50:33
polls if you go back like 10 20 30 years
00:50:36
there's a media organization there's a
00:50:38
guy named brent bizzell who is doing
00:50:39
studies of media bias and if you were to
00:50:42
actually look at
00:50:44
how people in the media voted it was 90
00:50:47
plus percent democrat i mean
00:50:49
it's it's been it's been a thing for a
00:50:51
long time and now it came to a head
00:50:55
i would say
00:50:56
during the trump administration because
00:50:59
the
00:51:00
the press i think in going after trump
00:51:03
gave up something important which is
00:51:06
they gave up their objectivity i mean
00:51:09
they flatly would i mean it was you know
00:51:12
whether you want to call it trump ranger
00:51:13
syndrome or whatever i mean they now saw
00:51:15
it as their duty not to report
00:51:18
objectively both sides but they would
00:51:20
just flatly declare
00:51:23
uh things that trump were saying were
00:51:25
false you know you still see this today
00:51:28
i'm not saying that all the things he
00:51:30
said were true maybe he did say false
00:51:31
things but normally if you wanted to say
00:51:33
that one person's saying something false
00:51:35
you would get a source
00:51:37
on the other side and then you would
00:51:38
quote them
00:51:40
and then that's how you would basically
00:51:41
construct the article
00:51:43
and you had the press basically almost
00:51:46
really become unhinged
00:51:48
and i think they they kind of rip the
00:51:49
empire jersey off their backs um to in
00:51:52
order to chase after trump and i think
00:51:54
you know ultimately they got him um
00:51:56
trump was a one-term president but i
00:51:59
think that it's really contributed to
00:52:01
the polarized media environment we have
00:52:03
now any way to get that referee jersey
00:52:05
back on the press no no
00:52:09
sex
00:52:10
well how i mean they you know
00:52:13
the problem is the journalism and media
00:52:15
have changed so much the nature of press
00:52:17
has changed yeah right it's fragmenting
00:52:19
and splintering much like everything
00:52:21
else
00:52:22
there's um yeah we talk about this at
00:52:24
some of our companies i keep referring
00:52:25
to our companies because i know a lot of
00:52:26
people are here today but you know we
00:52:28
talk about the fragmentation of food
00:52:30
brands for example or the fragmentation
00:52:32
of people's kind of individual media
00:52:34
selection the same is happening in the
00:52:36
press
00:52:37
where you know you're now kind of going
00:52:39
to pick and choose the five articles you
00:52:41
want to read as opposed to buying one of
00:52:43
three newspapers and reading everything
00:52:44
in that newspaper each day
00:52:46
and i think that's fueling this which is
00:52:48
not necessarily in my opinion i've said
00:52:49
this before not necessarily a
00:52:51
constructed or designed decision of the
00:52:54
quote-unquote press but it's more a
00:52:56
phenomenon that arises from the
00:52:58
individuals that consume the media and
00:52:59
they make selections and that selection
00:53:01
bias ends up driving the clicks and the
00:53:03
votes and the counts and the prints of
00:53:05
that particular form of media and guess
00:53:07
what we end up choosing the stuff that
00:53:08
triggers us more and makes us feel some
00:53:10
stronger emotion and then it creates a
00:53:12
feedback loop and that's where this is
00:53:13
coming from and i think it's enabled by
00:53:16
the internet not necessarily bad actors
00:53:18
at platform companies but it's it's
00:53:20
inevitable in a decentralized world or a
00:53:23
platformed world that's why and also
00:53:25
part of the story is advertising went
00:53:27
away as an option as google and facebook
00:53:28
took over those markets so they went
00:53:30
subscription and how do you get
00:53:31
subscribers you pick a side
00:53:33
you can't really go down the middle i
00:53:35
want to feel something emotional when i
00:53:36
click and buy and spend 99 cents or
00:53:38
whatever like it's not i just i don't
00:53:39
want to like be bored to death
00:53:41
everything is so stimulating in this
00:53:42
digital world like i want to be
00:53:43
stimulated right so there's a really
00:53:44
interesting poll that came out today
00:53:46
that speaks to this which is um they
00:53:48
they ask you know people on the left to
00:53:50
the right what do you think the
00:53:51
country's biggest problem is um
00:53:53
on the left the number one answer was
00:53:55
trump supporters
00:53:57
you know so
00:53:59
you know now on on the right it was a
00:54:01
little bit more varied it was the
00:54:02
taliban it was china you know um
00:54:05
it was
00:54:06
what should we be most concerned about
00:54:08
objectively from each of you what do you
00:54:09
think the top three things we should be
00:54:11
concerned about i think as americans i i
00:54:13
don't think the right answer for either
00:54:15
side is like the other half of america
00:54:18
i think i think that happens because you
00:54:20
haven't varied your information diet
00:54:22
you're sitting there watching one
00:54:24
station on cable news and you're being
00:54:27
fed you're being basically being fed
00:54:29
this stuff that the others demonizing
00:54:31
the other side right and
00:54:33
you know the other side is you know is
00:54:35
being otherwise
00:54:37
all right let's take two more questions
00:54:38
nico
00:54:40
uh chamoth this goes back to a point
00:54:42
that you made about entrepreneurs not
00:54:43
being enough and bringing the government
00:54:45
i think a lot of the topics covered are
00:54:47
bringing a lot of government uh support
00:54:49
um or involvement so um from y'all's
00:54:52
perspective how do we bring in uh maybe
00:54:55
new incentives on the government side to
00:54:56
bring in
00:54:57
younger people smarter people people who
00:54:59
are going to make better change than
00:55:01
what we may be seeing today
00:55:03
i mean if you look at country countries
00:55:06
like singapore their solution was
00:55:09
to elevate the role of government to be
00:55:11
so high
00:55:12
from a societal value perspective it was
00:55:14
an incredibly respected role it was well
00:55:17
compensated and it was a thing that was
00:55:20
a real jumping off point to
00:55:22
other positions of true influence
00:55:25
here
00:55:26
we started with that idea so like you
00:55:28
know when you think about what's what
00:55:30
played out in the 1940s 50s and 60s i
00:55:33
think we had a lot of that but then the
00:55:35
problem was we had a handful of things
00:55:38
that completely perverted the cycle the
00:55:40
cherry on the cake i think was citizens
00:55:42
united that basically just tore the
00:55:44
band-aid off
00:55:46
and we are where we are where
00:55:48
it's not clear today that the most
00:55:51
intellectually curious people are in
00:55:52
government nor does it even get its fair
00:55:54
share okay so what do you do about it
00:55:58
i think that there's an element of it
00:56:00
which is you have to play the game on
00:56:01
the field which is folks like us what i
00:56:04
would encourage all of you to do is if
00:56:05
you're in a position
00:56:07
to actually accumulate political power
00:56:09
you have a responsibility to do so and
00:56:12
it is directly correlated with money
00:56:15
and so as you find com found companies
00:56:17
and you get liquidity
00:56:19
you have a responsibility to be engaged
00:56:22
because you will have a louder voice i'm
00:56:24
not saying that it's right i'm not
00:56:26
saying that it's fair but it's a game on
00:56:28
the field the more you spend the more
00:56:30
time you get with all these folks and
00:56:31
you should use that
00:56:33
beyond that
00:56:35
we have to find a way of orienting them
00:56:37
so once you get a seat at the table i
00:56:39
think it's about showing them that
00:56:41
there's these nuanced laws that are a
00:56:43
lot less sexy than they want to talk
00:56:44
about but that actually have real impact
00:56:47
sex what do you think of senators
00:56:48
getting paid like ceos would that help
00:56:50
solve the problem if people could look
00:56:51
at it and say well you paid a half
00:56:53
million dollars in that job or a million
00:56:54
dollars in that job would we draw a
00:56:56
different caliber of person
00:56:58
um i wouldn't be opposed to that i
00:57:00
wouldn't be opposed to people in
00:57:01
government that the top people making
00:57:03
more money i don't know that though that
00:57:05
that really would be the thing that
00:57:07
attracts a higher i mean i think most of
00:57:09
those people go into it for for power
00:57:12
and um
00:57:13
you know the problem isn't that
00:57:15
they're not smart i mean some of them i
00:57:17
guess aren't very smart but you also
00:57:19
have the lack of um
00:57:21
you know they since they can't make
00:57:22
money when they're in they have to
00:57:24
figure out how to make it on the way out
00:57:25
you know yeah before yeah probably
00:57:27
absolutely
00:57:28
giving them a pay increase is not
00:57:29
something i would be opposed to um i
00:57:31
mean it's something that's hard for them
00:57:32
to do because it's easy to campaign
00:57:35
against politicians who want to pay
00:57:36
themselves more but yeah i'd rather pay
00:57:38
them more salary so they're less
00:57:41
beholden to the special interests when
00:57:43
they get out of office
00:57:44
um but i don't think that by itself is
00:57:47
gonna solve the problem
00:57:49
let's take another question
00:57:51
so my question is how do we get both
00:57:53
sides to agree right we want to get back
00:57:55
to the truth and in science and
00:57:56
economics we have a way to measure the
00:57:58
truth in science design scientific
00:58:00
experiment and you measure it against
00:58:01
reality so you both sides can agree
00:58:03
what's reality in economics you either
00:58:06
make money you don't make money right
00:58:07
you can measure it against something so
00:58:09
what can we do to get back to both sides
00:58:12
agreeing on what is true i mean i think
00:58:14
the challenge is it takes more than 15
00:58:17
seconds to walk someone through the
00:58:18
experimental design and the outcome and
00:58:20
the and the action to be taken as a
00:58:23
result same with any i mean
00:58:25
i i don't know what the viewership is of
00:58:27
the economist but i'm pretty sure it's
00:58:28
been going down zero right but this is
00:58:31
why markets work better thank you for my
00:58:34
subscription
00:58:35
then politics
00:58:36
right this is why markets work better
00:58:38
than politics because freeburg in order
00:58:40
for you to pursue what you want to
00:58:41
pursue you don't have to convince a
00:58:43
majority of the country to support it
00:58:46
you just need to find one person who's
00:58:47
willing to fund it
00:58:49
you know you raise the money so
00:58:51
and and the same is true for every
00:58:52
startup and that's why progress is made
00:58:54
by startups and not a lot of progress is
00:58:56
made by this is actually why by the way
00:58:58
that's why i don't think any of us spend
00:58:59
time in politics even though we talk
00:59:01
about it all the time no but because it
00:59:02
influences our decision making i think
00:59:04
politics has done more to rekindle my
00:59:07
interest
00:59:08
in
00:59:09
all things technology and specifically
00:59:11
web 3.0 and d5 than anything else
00:59:13
because these last four years have
00:59:16
completely
00:59:17
convinced me that we need to find a very
00:59:20
decentralized way of building the future
00:59:23
it's going to be ugly though i am i i am
00:59:25
confused i mean i am convinced that the
00:59:26
next 80 years is exactly that like you
00:59:28
know in the physical world there's a
00:59:29
bunch of stuff that's going to happen in
00:59:31
the social world it's going to be
00:59:32
related to this defy decentralization
00:59:34
movement that's underway and it's
00:59:36
underweight because of what we're
00:59:36
hearing about happening in china what
00:59:38
we're talking about happening in the u.s
00:59:39
and you know i mean i don't know i
00:59:43
won't give the context i was hanging out
00:59:45
with some people the other day
00:59:47
they were they were uh working on my
00:59:49
house and they um they were telling me
00:59:50
every single one of them
00:59:52
were trading criticisms uh every single
00:59:55
one of them were trading crypto and the
00:59:56
whole conversation you're really
00:59:57
expensive on the whole the whole
01:00:00
the whole conversation was about crypto
01:00:03
and i don't trust the us dollar and
01:00:04
everything's inflating away and i i
01:00:06
think
01:00:08
politically we're not really awake to
01:00:10
the fact that this is a broad
01:00:12
meaningful social movement it's playing
01:00:15
out with crypto bubbles and nfts and
01:00:17
other nonsense but those are short-lived
01:00:18
bubbles those are little feedback loops
01:00:20
frothing is happening as the tide rises
01:00:23
um and i do think that that is going to
01:00:25
be kind of the big pushing force
01:00:27
david is why china said no more crypto
01:00:29
what are your votes that's the big
01:00:31
battle and by the way everyone's going
01:00:32
to end up saying that let me come back
01:00:33
to crypto just one point on on movement
01:00:36
so there's political movements and then
01:00:37
there's kind of uh economic movements
01:00:40
like private
01:00:41
initiative i wrote a blog post called
01:00:43
your startup as a movement in which i
01:00:44
compared
01:00:46
being i said a good start founder is an
01:00:48
evangelist for their cause it is almost
01:00:49
like leading a political movement you
01:00:51
have to go out there kind of have a
01:00:52
stump speech and evangelize people to
01:00:54
your cause which you know is ideally a
01:00:58
larger mission than just whatever you
01:01:01
know benefits your company right this is
01:01:02
why elon has been able to
01:01:05
um you know frankly why he's been able
01:01:07
to sell
01:01:08
uh so many cars without spending a dime
01:01:10
on marketing is because he creates a
01:01:12
much larger movement than just what's
01:01:14
good for tesla right but the the
01:01:17
difference i think between
01:01:19
uh sort of a private movement and a
01:01:21
political movement is this is that when
01:01:23
you're successful as the leader of a
01:01:26
company everyone imitates you so now
01:01:28
because elon's successful everyone else
01:01:30
is trying to introduce their own
01:01:31
electric cars whereas in politics
01:01:34
whenever you start a political
01:01:35
organization you know an equal and
01:01:37
opposite organization will spring up to
01:01:39
oppose you and it's just very hard to
01:01:42
get anything done maybe that's the way
01:01:44
it should be because we don't want
01:01:45
people imposing their political will on
01:01:48
us but this is why i i am a big fan of
01:01:51
startups and smart young people pursuing
01:01:54
startups and not politics what do you
01:01:56
think about decentralized crypto
01:01:58
you know finance uh in america should we
01:02:02
should we allow it should we tax it
01:02:04
we should clearly allow it because um
01:02:06
this whole crypto stack this whole uh
01:02:09
decentralized finance stack that's being
01:02:11
built could very well be the future of
01:02:13
finance and we certainly want to be
01:02:15
ahead of that curve maybe there's some
01:02:17
bubbles in here in that but i think
01:02:19
what's really interesting there's
01:02:20
certainly a lot of really smart
01:02:22
engineers coders entrepreneurs who are
01:02:24
going to that area and so i think it'd
01:02:26
be a mistake just to discount it i think
01:02:28
we want america to be on the forefront
01:02:30
of that technology wave just like every
01:02:33
other technology wave i'll make a
01:02:34
prediction my prediction is in the next
01:02:37
20 years the d5 movement will catalyze
01:02:41
a movement against the open internet
01:02:43
and it is because state actors will
01:02:45
compete with private actors for this
01:02:47
battle between centralized institutional
01:02:50
state-based control systems like i want
01:02:52
to have a know your customer if you want
01:02:54
to buy crypto in the us versus all of
01:02:56
these offshore places where i can go and
01:02:57
sign up get a bunch of money and trade
01:02:59
forever and never pay the irs a cent and
01:03:01
live my life in the ether and the open
01:03:04
internet will start to get threatened
01:03:06
we've seen this in the past where proxy
01:03:08
servers and dns servers got you know
01:03:10
requests from the doj and take down
01:03:12
notices and if that starts to happen
01:03:14
where all the servers and all the fiber
01:03:16
lines that are running in and out of the
01:03:17
us and elsewhere
01:03:18
start to get kind of tackled like china
01:03:20
has a closed internet um you could start
01:03:22
to see this become a really ugly battle
01:03:24
that starts to play out and i think
01:03:26
we're not too far i mean i don't know if
01:03:28
you guys agree but i think the open
01:03:29
internet is kind of going to be the
01:03:30
great battleground to resolve this well
01:03:33
the original battle was over information
01:03:35
and now it's over money and the dollar
01:03:37
well i think there's a really
01:03:38
interesting point there which is you
01:03:39
know i remember the late 90s early 2000s
01:03:42
where the big technology investing wave
01:03:44
was all about connecting people and
01:03:47
goods into seamless global networks and
01:03:50
that's where all the investment went
01:03:52
today and and behind that was sort of
01:03:54
this utopian idea that the internet was
01:03:56
going to break down barriers and
01:03:58
tribalism and remove geographic borders
01:04:00
and create a single connected world well
01:04:03
what what exactly is the bet on crypto
01:04:06
today it's a bet
01:04:07
that
01:04:08
fiat currencies are going to collapse
01:04:10
and deteriorate be undermined by money
01:04:13
printing the u.s dollar will stop being
01:04:14
the world's reserve currency most likely
01:04:17
that individuals need to be protected
01:04:19
against the rise of the authoritarian
01:04:21
state these are the big themes of crypto
01:04:24
and if you think of major technology
01:04:26
investing waves as essentially a
01:04:27
prediction market on what smart people
01:04:30
think the future is going to look like
01:04:31
it's pretty scary that we're going from
01:04:33
a utopian
01:04:34
technology investing wave to a very
01:04:36
dystopian technology investor destroys
01:04:38
capitalism
01:04:40
you know if you think about what
01:04:41
capitalism is it's not just a return on
01:04:43
investment but it's the tonnage of
01:04:45
dollars
01:04:46
right so anyone who's a big investor
01:04:48
here
01:04:49
um i'll pick out jan because he's done
01:04:50
an incredible job
01:04:52
you know you're putting more and more
01:04:54
dollars in for more and more dollars out
01:04:56
that's the pressure brad you know these
01:04:58
guys are under enormous pressure to get
01:05:00
tonnage of dollars through the system in
01:05:02
a productive way and so you know these
01:05:04
guys are at the forefront um
01:05:07
but when you look at you know most of
01:05:09
the projects on solana they're seeded
01:05:11
with a few million dollars and these are
01:05:13
60 80 billion dollar market cap projects
01:05:17
um and so i don't know how
01:05:19
capitalism survives in that world number
01:05:22
one number two governance goes
01:05:24
completely out the window because you're
01:05:25
essentially replacing
01:05:27
um a set of
01:05:29
norms that we've all agreed to about
01:05:31
what a company is it's an llc or it's a
01:05:34
c corp that is incorporated with laws
01:05:37
there is recourse for you you can go to
01:05:39
these places and sue them
01:05:42
now it's a dow
01:05:43
it's a bunch of rules written in a
01:05:45
blockchain here's how it all works
01:05:47
here's how i make my hr decisions here's
01:05:49
this here's that here's the other thing
01:05:51
um and then you basically decompose
01:05:53
everything into a service where it's
01:05:55
recursive
01:05:56
you cannot build with me
01:05:58
unless you make yourself buildable to
01:06:00
others
01:06:02
okay so
01:06:05
when you add all these three things
01:06:06
together i think to me it's the most
01:06:10
incredibly positively disruptive force i
01:06:12
have seen
01:06:13
i think it will destroy wealth i frankly
01:06:16
couldn't give a [ __ ] um and i think it's
01:06:19
better for the world let's take a final
01:06:20
question
01:06:22
thanks jason um and maybe to connect
01:06:24
some of the dots
01:06:26
you know i think the
01:06:28
the power of the individual
01:06:30
perhaps
01:06:31
reflected in crypto has never been
01:06:32
greater relative to the power of
01:06:34
government
01:06:35
right thomas friedman talked about super
01:06:37
empowered individuals 20 years ago
01:06:39
um
01:06:41
whether you're a terrorist or whether
01:06:42
you're a capitalist the power of the
01:06:44
individual is is is
01:06:47
never been greater
01:06:49
the four of you started a movement
01:06:51
earlier this year
01:06:53
around
01:06:54
what was going on in california
01:06:56
right a lot of people got excited about
01:06:59
the recall about what might come next
01:07:02
i think where we fail as entrepreneurs
01:07:05
where we fail as allocators
01:07:08
is
01:07:08
we had no strategic plan for california
01:07:13
we have no strategic alternative plan
01:07:15
for america
01:07:17
the parties have platforms
01:07:20
why don't we put together a strategic
01:07:23
plan for this state a strategic plan for
01:07:26
the country that brings in these folks
01:07:29
the production board is a strategic plan
01:07:32
for winning world war ii
01:07:35
right and so to chamas point that it's
01:07:38
incumbent upon us to get involved i
01:07:40
think it's incumbent upon us to step up
01:07:42
what it means to be involved
01:07:45
it's not hire a lobbyist in dc it's not
01:07:48
you know
01:07:49
just show up and vote
01:07:51
but i actually think that the voice that
01:07:53
you have carries a lot of responsibility
01:07:56
and i think that i would have liked to
01:07:58
have seen the all-in step up and do
01:08:00
something to catalyze a strategic plan
01:08:03
for california right not necessarily
01:08:05
endorse a candidate but let a candidate
01:08:07
stand on top of that strategic plan if
01:08:09
we really think about
01:08:10
decentralized right
01:08:14
i'll let you wrong i'm really honest
01:08:15
with you why didn't you run for governor
01:08:17
you're supposed to run for governor yeah
01:08:19
you [ __ ] it up we don't we don't have
01:08:21
as four people our act together
01:08:24
we are
01:08:25
still learning
01:08:27
because we
01:08:28
are like anybody else in a startup you
01:08:30
stumbled into some success there's about
01:08:31
a million people that will listen watch
01:08:34
consume this a week
01:08:36
and
01:08:37
all the polling or all of the data that
01:08:39
you pull it's like new york san
01:08:40
francisco dc
01:08:42
we don't internalize that and use it for
01:08:44
any strategic intent they're still if i
01:08:47
could just to be honest with you they're
01:08:48
still infighting bitching complaining
01:08:51
you know all kinds of [ __ ] nonsense
01:08:53
where if you saw the inside of it you'd
01:08:54
be like hey [ __ ] wake the [ __ ] up
01:08:57
get a plan together and act we don't
01:08:59
have that brad
01:09:00
and we disagree on a lot
01:09:02
that's okay
01:09:03
but what we but we we can't get we can't
01:09:06
get away from ourselves we are learning
01:09:08
how to do that
01:09:09
um and we've had a bunch of instances
01:09:11
where we've had to come together and say
01:09:12
hey our friendship is the most important
01:09:15
so let's [ __ ] sort this out and we've
01:09:16
always been able to sort it out we're
01:09:20
going to get pushed to what every other
01:09:22
you know startup founder story gets
01:09:24
pushed to which is now what
01:09:26
are we just going to sit here babylon
01:09:29
for another [ __ ] 3-4 years through a
01:09:30
pandemic and you know maybe you get to 2
01:09:33
million views 3 million views maybe
01:09:34
spotify gives you a deal and you can
01:09:36
make 10 20 million bucks a year who the
01:09:38
[ __ ] cares
01:09:40
so you're right we have a responsibility
01:09:42
to figure out
01:09:44
if we are four reasonable voices
01:09:47
in the sea
01:09:48
and people are attracted to those voices
01:09:50
what do we use it for
01:09:52
and we've talked about it but we haven't
01:09:54
put
01:09:55
pen to paper and finalized
01:09:57
by the way we
01:09:58
spent about 90 minutes a week on this
01:10:00
podcast and then
01:10:04
i also think we've also tried to
01:10:06
experiment a little bit david and i
01:10:08
collaborated on getting chessa boudin
01:10:11
recalled but in different ways david
01:10:13
sacks david sacks literally helped them
01:10:16
start a recall chesabooting campaign
01:10:19
gary tan who listens to the pod started
01:10:21
his own with democrats and then i
01:10:24
tweeted anybody want to donate for an
01:10:26
investigative journalist to cover
01:10:28
chester boone's office because we
01:10:29
couldn't find anybody covering it
01:10:31
60 000 showed up for that gofundme page
01:10:34
and we just gave it to a journalist who
01:10:36
started this week and she's reported
01:10:38
in the first 10 days on three different
01:10:40
like
01:10:41
tragic cases in san francisco that have
01:10:43
not been followed up on by the dea's
01:10:45
office so that was just a little you
01:10:47
know example of dipping our toes and
01:10:49
obviously chamath
01:10:50
you know being uh pushed to run for
01:10:52
governor caught fire like we thought
01:10:55
that was a joke it was literally
01:10:56
somebody who listens to the pod put the
01:10:58
website up he tweeted as a joke and then
01:11:00
all of a sudden it's on cnbc but the
01:11:03
best thing has been the feedback we've
01:11:04
gotten from people like you brad and
01:11:05
everybody in the audience bill gurley a
01:11:07
lot of other people here and uh we have
01:11:09
thought about hey what do we use this
01:11:11
platform for in terms of making change
01:11:13
like that and i think that that'll be
01:11:14
your tool it's the right question and
01:11:15
the right challenge brad it is
01:11:17
appreciate it i appreciate it
01:11:18
all right david we should let everybody
01:11:20
get to pizza i want to say thanks to the
01:11:21
besties to jay cal jamal sacks
01:11:32
yeah and um
01:11:34
just thanks for listening to the show
01:11:35
thanks to friedberg if um you want to
01:11:37
make things truly uncomfortable uh david
01:11:39
loves to give a long embrace a nice hug
01:11:42
tell him come on you're his favorite
01:11:44
family
01:11:45
this [ __ ]
01:11:47
he there's another friend who shall not
01:11:48
be named
01:11:50
who is a side hugger nobody likes us who
01:11:53
likes a side hugger anybody side hugging
01:11:55
you want to get the full frontal hug
01:11:56
when you full frontal hog with sacks
01:11:58
give it to him but i had to force him
01:12:00
today because he comes into you like
01:12:01
stand up i'll show you he comes in like
01:12:03
this
01:12:04
and then he does this the hip hug like
01:12:06
he does he does kind of to him yeah it's
01:12:07
called asparagus so nice to see you
01:12:10
it's called that's burgers
01:12:12
looks like he's going to a night at the
01:12:14
roxbury absolutely
01:12:23
i mean you look horrible thank you thank
01:12:26
you really [ __ ] horrible okay i
01:12:28
appreciate it is that your fault
01:12:30
here we go all right let's wrap it up
01:12:32
all right uh well this has been the
01:12:34
all-in podcast and enjoy your time at
01:12:36
the
01:12:41
[Music]
01:12:49
the conference and they've just gone
01:12:50
crazy
01:12:54
[Music]

Badges

This episode stands out for the following:

  • 60
    Most shocking
  • 60
    Best concept / idea
  • 60
    Most polarizing

Episode Highlights

  • Ivermectin Controversy Unpacked
    A deep dive into the misinformation surrounding ivermectin and its portrayal in media.
    “This was basically a doctored up conjured article.”
    @ 02m 37s
    September 14, 2021
  • Double Standards in Censorship
    Discussing the unequal application of censorship across political spectrums.
    “There's two sets of rules.”
    @ 10m 07s
    September 14, 2021
  • The Cost of Testing
    Questions arise about who will pay for weekly COVID tests if vaccination is mandated.
    “Who's going to pay for those tests?”
    @ 19m 14s
    September 14, 2021
  • A Wartime Mentality Needed
    We lack a wartime mentality to address climate change and other crises effectively.
    “We should be acting like we're in a wartime phase.”
    @ 24m 48s
    September 14, 2021
  • Regulatory Capture in Healthcare
    The ratio of administrators to doctors in the U.S. healthcare system is staggering.
    “900 to 1 administrators to doctors?”
    @ 25m 52s
    September 14, 2021
  • Entrepreneurship vs. Government Solutions
    The discussion centers on whether entrepreneurs can solve societal problems better than government. "We have massive entrepreneurship in the country... it's not going to happen by government."
    “Entrepreneurs in startups are our only solution.”
    @ 38m 11s
    September 14, 2021
  • The Cost of War vs. Venture Capital
    A comparison of the two trillion dollars spent in Afghanistan to the investment in venture capital over the same period. "For the same amount of money, we created the entire technology ecosystem as we see it today."
    “How did we squander so much money in Afghanistan?”
    @ 43m 13s
    September 14, 2021
  • The Role of Government in Innovation
    Discussing how to elevate the role of government to attract smarter individuals for change.
    “We started with that idea in the 1940s, 50s, and 60s.”
    @ 55m 26s
    September 14, 2021
  • Decentralized Finance and the Future
    Exploring the potential of decentralized finance and its implications for the future of finance.
    “The DeFi movement will catalyze a movement against the open internet.”
    @ 01h 02m 37s
    September 14, 2021
  • The Challenge of Political Engagement
    Addressing the need for a strategic plan to engage in political processes effectively.
    “We have no strategic plan for California or America.”
    @ 01h 07m 13s
    September 14, 2021
  • That's Burgers
    A quirky mention of a burger place adds a fun twist to the conversation.
    @ 01h 12m 10s
    September 14, 2021
  • Night at the Roxbury
    A nostalgic reference that brings a smile to the audience.
    @ 01h 12m 14s
    September 14, 2021

Episode Quotes

Key Moments

  • Media Misinformation02:30
  • Ivermectin Debate02:37
  • Testing Mandate Debate19:14
  • Healthcare System Issues25:52
  • Climate Change Action36:14
  • Political Responsibility56:04
  • That's Burgers1:12:10
  • Wrap-Up1:12:32

Words per Minute Over Time

Vibes Breakdown

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