00:00:00
The scary open secret in the AI industry right now is that it's possible that we'll end up essentially creating a new
00:00:05
species that ends up ruling the world with a 70% chance that this goes horribly wrong like human extinction.
00:00:10
That's one possibility. There's many more. >> It's quite chilling what you're saying.
00:00:13
>> Yeah, it's uh it gets me down sometimes. I basically told my wife like let's not
00:00:19
have any more kids. It's too uncertain. I don't think they'll ever join the workforce.
00:00:24
Everybody should be afraid that their jobs are going to be lost. And I know this because I went to OpenAI in 2022.
00:00:28
What I did there was forecasting what the what the next couple years might look like. And unfortunately, most of
00:00:33
the world is kind of asleep at the wheel and doesn't really realize what's going
00:00:35
on with AI. So, I resigned. >> I read it somewhere that you lost $2 million for not signing an
00:00:41
anti-disparagement clause, meaning you couldn't criticize the company. >> Yes, for reasons I'm happy to get into.
00:00:45
But, the main thing I've learned is when I go talk to people at Anthropic and OpenAI about forecasting, they're like,
00:00:50
"It's not going to take that long. You need to shorten them again. Get them back to 2027 or 2028." Because these
00:00:54
powerful CEOs, Dario or Sam or Elon, are racing each other to be in control of the most powerful AIs and are literally
00:01:01
afraid that if the other guy gets there first, he might become dictator. I mean,
00:01:04
Anthropic is on track to be the entire economy by 2030. But, none of these people should be trusted with that much
00:01:10
power. So, this is the most important thing happening in our lifetimes, probably in all of history, in fact. And
00:01:15
it's very important that it go well. So, I think that there's a lot we can do to
00:01:18
like steer things in a better direction. There's loads of benefits that we could
00:01:20
get from AI if we do it right. And if we do solve the problems, then things could
00:01:24
be absolutely amazing for everyone. >> Well, this report here in 2021, it was remarkably [music] accurate. And then
00:01:30
you just published this one. >> Yeah. So, this is our new scenarios. >> So, let's go through these slowly and
00:01:33
one at a time. >> I would be incredibly happy if all my predictions turn out to be wrong.