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WHAT HAPPENS NEXT IN THE IRAN WAR?

April 13, 2026 / 01:16

This episode discusses Iran's military capabilities, the chaotic decision-making in the White House, and Israel's role in the situation. The conversation also touches on NATO's effectiveness and the implications of a hypothetical bombing campaign against Iran.

The guest outlines how Iran has become stronger and the challenges the U.S. faces in countering their drone attacks. They emphasize that the current U.S. administration is struggling to manage the situation effectively.

Key questions raised include the future for the 90 million people affected by the conflict and the potential responses from Europe. The guest reflects on their 21 years of modeling military strategies against Iran.

The discussion highlights the complexities of U.S.-Iran relations and the limitations of military action as a solution.

TL;DR

Iran's strength grows as U.S. decision-making falters amid military strategy discussions.

Episode

1:16
00:00:00
Iran has figured out that we can't beat
00:00:03
them. We're not weakening Iran. We have
00:00:05
strengthened Iran and we can't stop
00:00:09
their drone attacks. And what you're
00:00:11
seeing is far more chaotic
00:00:13
decision-making is happening in the
00:00:15
White House than it's happening in the
00:00:16
government of Iran and it's evidence
00:00:18
Trump is losing power. So when I look
00:00:21
through the response to the last
00:00:22
conversation, the audience had lots of
00:00:24
different types of questions. Like
00:00:25
there's 90 odd million people stuck
00:00:26
right in the heart of this that often
00:00:28
don't really have a voice. What do you
00:00:29
think happens next for them and what is
00:00:31
Israel's role in this?
00:00:32
>> Well, Israel is playing two roles here
00:00:34
that have not helped us correctly assess
00:00:37
the situation and we'll talk about that.
00:00:39
>> And then what do you think happens with
00:00:40
Europe?
00:00:40
>> NATO is for all practical purposes dead
00:00:45
and what happens next.
00:00:46
>> So for 21 years, I laid out what a
00:00:48
hypothetical bombing campaign of Iran
00:00:51
would look like. And when I was here
00:00:53
last time, every single thing we talked
00:00:55
about unfolded in the first several
00:00:57
weeks of the war.
00:00:59
>> So when you did this 21 years of
00:01:00
modeling these attacks, how did America
00:01:03
come out of this situation?
00:01:04
>> So there was a consistent set of
00:01:07
findings and America can bomb them,
00:01:09
attack them. We could even threaten to
00:01:11
murder all 92 million of them. But the
00:01:14
bottom line is

Badges

This episode stands out for the following:

  • 60
    Most chaotic

Episode Highlights

  • The Chaotic Decision-Making
    Decision-making in the White House is more chaotic than in Iran, indicating a loss of power.
    “Trump is losing power.”
    @ 00m 18s
    April 13, 2026
  • The Role of Israel
    Israel is playing two roles that complicate the assessment of the situation.
    @ 00m 32s
    April 13, 2026
  • The Future of NATO
    NATO's effectiveness is questioned, with implications for global security.
    “NATO is for all practical purposes dead.”
    @ 00m 40s
    April 13, 2026

Episode Quotes

  • We're not weakening Iran. We have strengthened Iran.
    WHAT HAPPENS NEXT IN THE IRAN WAR?
  • NATO is for all practical purposes dead.
    WHAT HAPPENS NEXT IN THE IRAN WAR?
  • America can bomb them, attack them... But the bottom line is...
    WHAT HAPPENS NEXT IN THE IRAN WAR?

Key Moments

  • Iran's Strength00:05
  • Power Dynamics00:18
  • Israel's Influence00:32
  • NATO's Decline00:40
  • 21 Years of Modeling00:46

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