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IS A GROUND INVASION COMING?

July 23, 2026 / 01:45

This episode discusses the current geopolitical situation regarding Iran, the potential for a global economic crisis, and military strategies involving the U.S. and Iran. Key topics include predictions about conflict, the risk of terrorism, and the control of the Strait of Hormuz.

The guest, a conflict advisor, shares insights from advising multiple U.S. administrations since 2001. He expresses concern about Iran's increasing strength and the implications of a potential military operation.

He emphasizes the urgency of the situation, comparing it to the Titanic approaching an iceberg. The conversation highlights the risks of a recession and the consequences of Iran's actions in the region.

Overall, the episode presents a serious analysis of the looming threats and the difficult choices facing the U.S. regarding military intervention and economic stability.

TLDR

Iran's strength grows amid looming global crisis and military tensions.

Episode

1:45
00:00:00
Iran is stronger today than it was before the war started and this is literally the nightmare scenario that
00:00:07
we've been worrying about and the reason you're having here is because in the next few months the world economic
00:00:13
crisis is going to grow. >> And it does appear that you've been largely correct about what you said
00:00:18
would happen. It's because I've been modeling the bombing of Iran for 20 years and I've advised every White House
00:00:24
from 2001 to 2024 on different issues [music] related to conflict. And right now we're
00:00:32
coming into the stage three prediction. We're like on the Titanic [music] and we're about to hit the iceberg and
00:00:38
when the iceberg hits there's not enough lifeboats for everybody. So we are knocking on the door of the world
00:00:45
literally running out of oil. And then on top of that even, we have another set of problems. For [music] example, Iran
00:00:52
is attacking our base in Jordan and we're in our ninth day of bombing in a row and [music] the scale of eliminating
00:00:58
the drone and missile threat is much bigger than people realize because they hide those drones everywhere. So how
00:01:05
real [music] is the risk that the US will do some kind of limited ground operation with boots on the ground in
00:01:11
Iran? >> It's bordering on [music] 70% now, probably by the end of this week. But
00:01:16
I'm concerned about terrorist attack because controlling pieces of homeland territory is the biggest risk factor
00:01:21
[music] for suicide terrorism. So the choice is do we have a global economic crisis, possibly recession, possibly
00:01:28
worse, or do [music] we let Iran control the Strait of Hormuz? >> This is not a good place to be. So what
00:01:33
is the most probable next thing that you think happens? [music] >> I think that question Stephen is the
00:01:39
most important question in the world and I think the answer is

Badges

This episode stands out for the following:

  • 80
    Most dramatic
  • 75
    Most intense
  • 70
    Most shocking
  • 70
    Best concept / idea

Episode Highlights

  • Impending Economic Crisis
    A world economic crisis is looming, predicted to worsen in the coming months.
    “the world economic crisis is going to grow.”
    @ 00m 13s
    July 23, 2026
  • Terrorism Threat
    The risk of terrorist attacks increases as control over territory becomes critical.
    “controlling pieces of homeland territory is the biggest risk factor”
    @ 01m 17s
    July 23, 2026

Episode Quotes

  • We're like on the Titanic and we're about to hit the iceberg.
    IS A GROUND INVASION COMING?
  • This is not a good place to be.
    IS A GROUND INVASION COMING?

Key Moments

  • Titanic Metaphor00:34
  • Iran's Threat00:52
  • Critical Choices01:26