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WHAT HAPPENS NEXT IN THE IRAN WAR?

March 13, 2026 / 01:10

This episode covers the potential escalation of conflict with Iran, featuring insights from Professor Robert Pape on nuclear threats and military strategies.

Professor Robert Pape discusses the current situation with Iran, highlighting the risks associated with their nuclear capabilities. He notes that Iran has the material for 16 nuclear bombs and emphasizes the shift in leadership that has made the situation more volatile.

Pape, who has advised multiple U.S. presidents, explains the implications of the new Supreme Leader's aggressive stance on nuclear weapons. He warns that President Trump may escalate the conflict based on his analysis of the situation.

The episode outlines the three stages of conflict and the likelihood of reaching stage three, which Pape estimates at a 75% chance. This prediction raises concerns about the future of U.S.-Iran relations.

TLDR

Professor Robert Pape warns of escalating conflict with Iran and nuclear threats under the new Supreme Leader.

Episode

1:10

00:00:00

You've been running simulations on a war with Iran. >> Yep. Every strategy for 20 years and

00:00:04

it's playing out right now. So I can tell you that we are losing control of the situation. Like we don't know where

00:00:12

that nuclear material is, but they have the material for 16 nuclear bombs and we've given them every incentive to

00:00:20

develop them. >> Professor Robert Pap might be the single most important credible person we all

00:00:26

need to listen to right now. The Supreme Leader that we took out was against nuclear weapons. The new Supreme Leader,

00:00:32

and he's way more aggressive. >> He's advised two decades of presidents

00:00:36

in the White House. President Trump is really stuck, but he thrives in chaos >> and spent 30 years building the

00:00:43

curriculum that trains the Air Force for the exact type of war that's taking

00:00:47

place now in Iran. And one of the most mind-blowing things I've learned is that

00:00:50

there are three stages to this conflict. Unfortunately, Professor Robert Pape, who has two decades of being correct

00:00:58

with his predictions, gives a 75% chance that Trump is about to escalate to stage three. In this episode, we're

00:01:06

going to explain exactly what this means.

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Episode Highlights

The Nuclear Threat
Iran possesses material for 16 nuclear bombs, raising global stakes.
“We’ve given them every incentive to develop them.”
@ 00m 18s
March 13, 2026
Professor Robert Pape's Predictions
With a 75% chance of escalation, Pape warns of imminent conflict.
“Gives a 75% chance that Trump is about to escalate to stage three.”
@ 00m 58s
March 13, 2026

Episode Quotes

We are losing control of the situation.
WHAT HAPPENS NEXT IN THE IRAN WAR?
There are three stages to this conflict.
WHAT HAPPENS NEXT IN THE IRAN WAR?

Key Moments

Nuclear Material00:12
Escalation Warning00:58