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Was Apple's Car Project Doomed to Fail?

March 01, 2024 / 09:50

This episode discusses Apple's cancellation of its electric vehicle project, Project Titan, and the implications for the company and the EV market.

Scott and Cara talk about the internal announcement to employees, revealing that the 2,000-person team will be reassigned to generative AI projects. They reflect on the challenges Apple faced in the EV market, including competition from Tesla and BYD.

They analyze the changing dynamics in the EV industry, noting that consumer interest in electric vehicles is plateauing and that many companies are pulling back on investments.

The conversation also touches on the potential for Apple to focus on software for vehicles instead of manufacturing cars, as well as the idea of acquiring Rivian to stay relevant in the transportation sector.

Overall, the episode highlights the strategic decisions Apple is making in response to market conditions and the future of electric vehicles.

TLDR

Apple cancels Project Titan, shifting focus to AI amid changing EV market dynamics.

Episode

9:50
00:00:00
apple is scraping its multi-billion dollar plan to release an electric vehicle a not so secret project that was
00:00:05
in the works for almost a decade the company told employees in internal meeting this week that the plan notice
00:00:09
project Titan has been canceled surprising the 2,000 person team had been working on it according to reports
00:00:15
many of those employees will now be reassigned to Apple's generative AI projects um which will be interesting to
00:00:20
see because they have a lot less data than other people because they don't collect it um you were excited about the
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idea of an Apple car Scott um I'm I'm surprised they canceled it I maybe they're working on software Apple's car
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was initially envisioned as an EV to compete against Tesla and later a self-driving car rival wh which is comes
00:00:38
from uh Google The Google folks Elon mus rejected reacted to Apple's news on X posting a saluting emoji and a cigarette
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I don't whatever [ __ ] you um what do you think first of all do you consider it a
00:00:50
failure or they smart to get out of the EV game um even though they never said they were doing it so look a a a
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strategy in a vision is meant to be unifying but not a suicide pact and you were right two years ago I predicted
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they were going to build the most valuable waiting list in history that this made a ton of sense and in order to
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move the needle on what was then a $1.6 trillion do market cap company they would need to go after big game and the
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automobile industry was big I felt that Tesla had unearned market cap at 700 billion or whatever it was then and that
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Apple was just salivating to go after some of that but here's the thing when the data changes as a good manager you
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have the right and the obligation to change your mind and a step back from the wrong direction is a step in the
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right direction and you know what Cara this was absolutely the right decision because in the last 12 months the
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atmospherics have changed dramatically and let's just talk about some of those the EV Market is plateauing if not
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slowing all the projections are way overestimated consumers pivot to EVS Toyota's looking like like a genius
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right now CU they did not go all in on E hybrid which popular that's right they went hybrids Tesla is running up against
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margin compression and then you have um you have the company which is probably um probably the most important company
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that no one talks about byd is now outselling Tesla so Apple Warren Buffett has a big stake in that is that right I
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didn't know that yeah but let's look at the market versus where it was say just even two years ago much less when this
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project was probably approved you have a low margin Capital intensive product that is subsidized basically every car
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company in the world has either gotten Federal loans Tesla or has been bailed out GM and Chrysler it's a massively
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subsidized industry which makes it incredibly economically inefficient they have this enormous competitor with a
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$600 billion market capitalization that is doing really well called Tesla they have another gigantic lowcost
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competitor that's actually out selling Tesla right now and the consumer seems to be pulling back from EVs and EV the
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prices of used EVS are plummeting and they look at this in in addition what has popped up generative Ai and so the
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the key to strategy is strategy is decisions that attempt to cut a swath between market dynamics and your
00:03:26
internal competences in order to add shareholder value and the key to strategy is not what you
00:03:33
say yes to but what you say no to and even Apple has finite resources both human and capital and my guess is
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they've said based on this Market which quite frankly looks increasingly difficult we would rather take I farite
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resources all right I'm gonna let me let me give you some thoughts on this okay I
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think EVS yes they have I think they over everyone over invested right and so I I still think it's the direction it's
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going period I think this is the way it's going I just think consumers aren't quite ready yet um it's sort of the
00:04:03
Valley of Death area that happens in but a lot of what who got into this car makers right car makers got into this
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and started to make are starting to make beautiful cars now as they do that I do
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think customers and people have you know have don't have worries about charging and everything else I do think it's
00:04:20
going to move you're going to see in 10 years you know I forget how much of a percentage EVS are it'll it'll it'll
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move up it just won't move up this quickly that's one CU I cuz I do think this is the way things are going these
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these autonomous vehicles not excuse me electric vehicles and then eventually autonomous vehicles I think that is the
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direction I think SC science fiction has been correct about this that we will have autonomous electric cars and you
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know in the future when we're dead when both of us are dead um so I think that's
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it's just there's so many competitors now and now you do have like byd um and and which is just roasting everybody
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else and they're and they're coming here they're looking at Mexican uh sites to build a factory so that they can move
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into this area um so I do think people will have a lot more Choice like they do with regular cars that's one and so but
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it's a lot less than the investment so GM everybody's pulled back but they haven't totally pulled back because they
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realize this is the future the second thing is um Apple I was always dubious as you know about them building the car
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I'm like why don't they just work on the software for the car like making the car
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these electric cars work better or he you know uh cook Tim Cook never acknowledged this car project and
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referred to it uh as work on autonomous systems I think they should not abandon I think they should abandon building the
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car that was sort of weird to me but um but keep at this idea of how to operate Transportation Vehicles right it's a
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great area and as to AI I think it's very important that they incorporate AI into all their products so that you you
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like assistance all that kind ofu stuff like I don't they're going to have a harder time in the a market because they
00:06:02
don't collect as much data um but it's a better bet for them to focus on making these products seamless in a new AI
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environment like my AI my Apple AI talks to your Apple AI kind of things um and I
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think that's where they're going to get the big push of keeping you in the Apple
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ecosystem I'm not sure you know what I think was likely the final nail in the coffin when they said okay it's time to
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officially announce this is over is rivan the guy left oh yeah if why is that well okay rivan's been around a
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decade and a half it's executed really well I have an order on it rivan real briefly I'm going to get uh that ocean
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foam green rivan I've already outfitted it oh cool and I bought a home in Aspen and I'm going to drive into town have
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lunch at casu a dinner Cash Cash I'm going to be a cliche of a douchebag and everyone is going to love me and I'm
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going to put my dogs in the back of the rivan anyways I love rivan I think they're beautiful they're really popular
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they have executed really well they cost about $70,000 this is an incredibly difficult business and they probably
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they probably said what's the analog here and they're like well the analog's Tesla and I was like come on Tesla
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caught got in front of a tsunami when the entire industry didn't want to acknowledge what was happening they had
00:07:14
a spokesperson that brought massive attention to it government subsidies what has happened there is a unicorn on
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top of a unicorn that gives birth to unicorns right they said the the analog to what we're trying to do here is rivan
00:07:28
rivan is exec well it's a good looking car well interesting one of the signs of this was and I remember paying a lot of
00:07:35
attention this guy named DJ I think it's novotney he was sort of one of the early
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car people at Apple he left to go which I think I saw him at the music Miami Music Festival he's right there with
00:07:47
Calvin I I like I like Rufus dool and Calvin harrism more but he's right up there I'm sorry go ahead anyway he went
00:07:54
to rivan and now he went to rivan and that was a big deal now as to rivan it's it's interesting one of the people who
00:08:00
follows Apple Gene monsters said Apple should buy revamp like that's how to do it like don't get out but actually buy
00:08:07
it it's actually a really interesting that's a really interesting idea do you like that that's Jean moner who said
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that um just buying losses at this point I'm sorry go ahead car yeah but gets them in there I don't know it was that
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was the the alternative I guess it's a it's a huge project and they really are focused in on um they should be focused
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in properly on integrating AI into their systems and also um on on their spatial
00:08:30
Computing they've got to they got to be focused on that more than this but buying ribbean could be something I
00:08:36
don't know could be interesting yes so he said Apple's a tech company and tech companies by definition need to grow and
00:08:41
that's the $400 billion question that they have here they've got all this money um so they he he feels like to
00:08:47
grow the business you got to get into they shouldn't uh because he thinks Apple Vision Pro has potential but the
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car they would grow he thinks it eventually would grow was an interesting you know he thinks they need to be in a
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New Market and that why abandon it stay in stay in this market by buying someone
00:09:04
that's not an apple thing to do they're not acquires um it's an interesting idea
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but rivan would have to get their financial house in order it's tough to buy a company that's losing that kind of
00:09:15
money right now yeah but they'd get a great great stat that that guy who's the CEO of rivan's impressive it's a really
00:09:21
interesting idea if they could get sort of to uh or close to break even then I think it'd be a great idea for Apple but
00:09:28
as you said Apple doesn't like to make Acquisitions doesn't like to do it they don't like they do it but what's the
00:09:32
last one the headphones what did they buy last I can't even remember beets didn't they buy beets beets yeah they we
00:09:37
had them on stage one that was a long freaking time ago anyway um it's not like them to do that but they could
00:09:48
be

Badges

This episode stands out for the following:

  • 60
    Most shocking

Episode Highlights

  • Apple Cancels Project Titan
    Apple has scrapped its electric vehicle project after nearly a decade of development.
    “Surprising the 2,000 person team had been working on it.”
    @ 00m 11s
    March 01, 2024
  • Market Dynamics Shift
    The EV market is plateauing, prompting Apple to reassess its strategy.
    “The EV Market is plateauing if not slowing.”
    @ 01m 48s
    March 01, 2024
  • Rivan's Potential
    Discussion on Rivan as a competitor and potential acquisition target for Apple.
    “Gene monsters said Apple should buy Rivan.”
    @ 08m 02s
    March 01, 2024

Episode Quotes

  • This was absolutely the right decision.
    Was Apple's Car Project Doomed to Fail?
  • I think this is the way things are going.
    Was Apple's Car Project Doomed to Fail?

Key Moments

  • Project Titan Canceled00:09
  • Market Dynamics Change01:48
  • Rivan Acquisition Idea08:08

Tension Over Time

Words per Minute Over Time

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