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May 08, 2026 / 56:25

This episode of Pivot covers the legacy of Ted Turner, the founder of CNN, his philanthropic efforts, and the current state of media companies like Warner Brothers and Disney. Scott Galloway and Cara Swisher discuss Turner's impact on news media, his unique personality, and the evolution of CNN.

They reflect on Turner's contributions to the media landscape, including his vision for 24-hour news and his philanthropic work, such as a billion-dollar donation to the United Nations Foundation. Jane Fonda's comments on Turner highlight his vulnerability and strength.

The hosts also critique the current state of media, mentioning the decline of traditional news and the rise of sensationalism. They discuss the challenges faced by companies like Warner Brothers and Disney, including financial losses and the impact of streaming services.

Additionally, they touch on the role of AI in investment strategies, with a focus on a Wall Street Journal experiment using ChatGPT for stock advice. The conversation emphasizes the limitations of AI and the emotional toll of investing.

Overall, the episode provides a critical view of media evolution and the complexities of modern investment, while honoring Ted Turner's significant contributions.

TL;DR

Scott Galloway and Cara Swisher discuss Ted Turner's legacy, media evolution, and the challenges facing companies like Warner Brothers and Disney.

Episode

56:25
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These are the richest people on earth
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and they're so manifestly unhappy. They
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just can't shut the [ __ ] up. And what
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tiny, petty, angry, unhappy people, they
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all are. Every single one of them.
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Hi everyone, this is Pivot from New York
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Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast
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Network. I'm Cara Swisser.
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>> And I'm Scott Galloway. Ted Turner, the
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media mogul CNN founder who helped
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create the 24-hour news cycles, died at
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87. Turner was also a major
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philanthropist, making a record 1
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billion in donation to establish the
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United Nations Foundation. He was a
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different kind of billionaire, although
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he was also the it was called the mouth
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of the south. Um, beyond media and
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philanthropy, Turner pursued countless
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other passions from his Montana Grill,
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his eco-con, this is a eco-conscious
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restaurant chain, being named yachtsman
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of the year multiple times. He was Larry
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Ellison before Larry Ellison. Uh he
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announced he had Louis body dementia,
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progressive brain disorder. In 2018,
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Jane Fonda, one of Turner's ex-wives who
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remained a close friend, remembered him
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saying, "Men like Ted aren't supposed to
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express need and vulnerability. That was
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Ted's greatest strength, I believe." And
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he was. And she I recently interviewed
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her and she had told me he was quite
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ill. Um I I talked to him a little bit
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for my books, Lenol. He was real mad
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about the sale and everything else. um
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except that when he sold the company, he
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had that famous quote where where he
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said um this deal was better than sex.
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Do you remember that? He was he always
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had something kooky to say
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>> at any one moment. And I you know a lot
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of people are like oh he's the reason we
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have terrible cable. His vision of cable
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was not this what has happened. So I I
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sort of push back against that because
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his idea was that you can get news to to
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sort of democratize the news a little
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more from the big three. And so I
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consider him a real important his legacy
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very important even though even though
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it sort of you know morphed into this
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screamfest that it has become. But his
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was was you know was it was real news
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and and I was happened to be with
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Cristian Almanpor who got there pretty
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early not right away at the beginning
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and she had nothing but great things to
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say about his tenure when he was sort of
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do real entrepreneurial news news and
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other things you know and a very a very
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generous and charitable person at the
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same time and also funny and weird and
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interesting. Your thoughts?
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Yeah, this guy is, you know, he kind of
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defined the term that you don't hear
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anymore, a captain of industry. And the
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term captain, he was the something
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people don't know about him is, I think
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he may be the only billionaire who was
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also an elite worldass athlete. He won
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the America's Cup.
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>> Yeah, he did.
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>> And there are just aren't very many
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billionaires who've reached the pinnacle
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of a sport. And
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um maybe Roger Stalach, is he a
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billionaire now? Anyways, but he built
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CNN from nothing. It's really
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interesting how it emerged. So news when
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we were growing up was a public service
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and that is ABC and CBS sold a [ __ ] ton
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of ads from Tang and Chevrolet running
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against All in the Family and MASH and
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the Partridge Family and the Brady Bunch
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and they felt that it was a public
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service to have 23 minutes of news and 7
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minutes of commercial in this money
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losing thing called the local news. and
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he said he correctly figured out that
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there was money in a market for 24 by7
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news and it was very scrappy. If you
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look go back it wasn't very well
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produced and he he started the whole
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thing. Now where it came off the tracks
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was quite frankly with Rubert Murdoch
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recognizing that the part of the news
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they made an observation and that is
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KABC news back in the 70s had something
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called point counterpoint and SNL used
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to mock it you know Jane ignorance
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>> ignorance law that's our show pretty
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much but go ahead
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>> anyways so
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um uh so they recognized something
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called point counterpoint and it was
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Bruce Hersen and Jim them tunny and they
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would start yelling at each other and
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someone did the analysis is and found
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out that's what people were tuning in
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for.
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>> Yeah, I know.
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>> And that was really the key and arguably
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the most dangerous insight that Rupert
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Murdoch made.
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>> And of course, no, this isn't about
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balance. It's enough news to keep to
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give to create a halo of legitimacy.
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>> And quite frankly, CNN was guilty of it,
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too. Crossfire.
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>> Yeah. And CNN now has a show like that
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where they all just start yelling at
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each other.
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>> That's where Tucker Carlson started.
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>> Yeah. And
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>> Michael Kinsley,
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>> remember Tucker and Michael just going
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at it?
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>> Um and that seemed civil compared to
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>> it is it actually when you watch it,
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it's actually
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>> it seems Patrician. It seems
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>> it's intelligent. It's intelligent.
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>> It is digressed and has become something
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that is I don't know. It's a longer talk
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show. Let's get back to Ted Turner. He
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gave away a billion dollars. She
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actually gave away a billion dollars to
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the UN. I would argue in the UN actually
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meant something. Uh something also
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people constantly ask me for male role
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models for kind of a positive or
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aspirational form of masculinity. I
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think Ted Turner is a great role model.
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One, let's just go let's just go to the
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male stuff.
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>> Very aggressive. Also
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>> politically incorrect. When Time Warner
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When Time Warner was acquired
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>> by CNN, Gerald Levvin introduced the
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whole thing and said, "And now I want to
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introduce my best friend, Ted Turner."
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And Ted stood up and said, "Best friend?
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I've never been to your [ __ ] house."
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>> Yeah, it was good.
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>> And then my favorite was when he did an
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all hands and it was Ash Wednesday and
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there were a bunch of people in the
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audience with ashes on their forehead.
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He's like, "Shouldn't you be working at
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Fox?"
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>> The guy was
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>> It was funny. I think there's a certain
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charm in a world now where everything is
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so I don't know
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>> it's he was a different time period. He
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wasn't malevolent
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>> but he was he was charitable. He was
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visionary. He was aggressive. 14
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grandchildren 14 or 12 grandchildren
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>> married to Jane F. She still loves him.
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She told me she was she
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>> an environmentalist and also took his
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seat and his privilege and his wealth as
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an obligation to serve and connect
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nations with each other. He was very
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serious about uniting nations in trying
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to promote world peace.
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>> He saw his wealth and his seat as an
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obligation that he was he was optimizing
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for service not for attention.
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>> Yeah. He's a really
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>> I would I urge people if they're blaming
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what cable is now on him not to. It's
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not what he that was not his vision. I
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was around for that and it became that
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and it was not his. He he he may have
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created the 24 and they did take
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advantage. Remember the thing that
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really sent them over the top was that
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the girl down the well. Remember the
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girl down the well story?
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>> Oh yeah. Wow.
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>> That's what that's that's what Cristian
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was. She's like, "Oh, that's the thing
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that really got people watching
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>> that in the Iraq war."
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>> Yeah. And but you saw moments of that
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where remember the stud Arthur was
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Arthur Kent like it started to turn it
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that's when you started to sort of see
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the beginnings of kind of the circus
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acts of these cable stations and I was
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thinking that as I was you know I went
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on Sky News and BBC and stuff like that
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and like the constant haunt and I think
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it's a very serious I'm worried about
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Honda virus but the the the constant
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let's go back to the cruise ship let's
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go back to the and I was like This
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actually we're in a war in Iran. I feel
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like perhaps we need to head over there
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and take a look at what's had the
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cruising going on in the straight of her
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moose. But it he is a he has a great
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legacy.
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>> Bernard Shaw.
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>> Bernard Shaw.
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>> Daniel Shore.
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>> Oh my dad's favorite for the wrong
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reasons. Bobby Batista. Oh yeah, Bobby.
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>> Well, that was great. It was great. It
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was
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>> I grew up on CNN.
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>> Yeah. and Christine.
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>> And also, I genuinely believe a decent
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administration
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would be CNN anchors.
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>> Dana Bash should be president. She is
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smart. She's elegant. And she could
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smother you in your sleep. She's got
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that edge to her, which every president
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needs
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>> if you crossed her.
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>> Yeah.
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>> Uh uh Anderson should be vice president.
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Any problems with the pope, he just goes
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over there and just talks about grief.
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Everybody loves him. Competent enough.
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>> Okay.
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>> Fred Zakaria, Secretary of State. Hands
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down. Hands down. All right.
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>> Uh Michael Mirkish. He could be uh
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secretary of commerce or labor.
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That tell me that tell me that cabinet.
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>> Will I get anything? I'm a contributor.
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Do I get like an ambassadorship to
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something?
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>> Oh, you're ambassador to Guyana. We've
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already decided this here.
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>> Okay, we're going to we're going to move
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on because you're saving me for myself
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there.
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>> I'm saving you from yourself because
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it's interesting. I don't think Ted
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Turner he didn't like the AOL Time
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Warner deal that I did speak to him
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about. First he was like it was better
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than sex. The deal was the best thing I
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ever did. Better than sex. And then
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afterwards he like totally publicly
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decrieded it publicly. And one thing
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that um Barry Diller I think told him
00:09:02
was like if you sell your house and they
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wreck they wreck the patio you need to
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shut up. You sold the house. And I I I
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didn't necessarily agree with him on
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that but it was he definitely had much
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regrets and he probably wouldn't be
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thrilled where from the latest numbers
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from Warner Brothers Discovery the
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company reported a net loss of 2.9
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billion in the latest quarter. That's
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essentially a 2.8 8 billion termination
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fee tied to the Netflix deal. Paramount
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agreed to cover the cost, but the
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expense still sits on Warner's books
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until the deal officially closes. For
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people that don't see why that was that
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big of a loss, nonetheless, the first
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quarter revenue was down 1%
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year-over-year, and ad revenue slid 7%.
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Total streaming revenue did rise 9%.
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Largely by HBO Max went international.
00:09:46
Um, Paramount had slightly better news
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to report, beating revenue and earnings
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expectations in the first quarter.
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Paramount added uh 700,000 subscribers
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during the quarter, helping streaming
00:09:54
revenue grow by 17% year-over-year. The
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company's film studio did well with
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revenue up 11%. Um, and they said
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they're making great progress on the
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Warner Brothers deal with late Q3
00:10:05
closing still on track. There's still
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some push back to it. Um, at the same
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time, I'm going to add one more
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earnings. Disney's under the first new
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CEO Josh Dearo. The numbers were strong
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with revenue climbing 7% to 25 uh
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billion. Operating income across
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Disney's entertainment sports and
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experiences division beat expectations.
00:10:24
The company says it expects earnings per
00:10:25
share to grow 12%. That's solid in the
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fiscal year and one weak spot. Um a dip
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in attendance at its US theme parks
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probably due to fewer international
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proers. They're going to see
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repercussions from gas prices, I'm
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guessing, and other prices, but it's
00:10:40
only down 1%. Maybe the next quarter is
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where you're going to see it over the
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summer. that will be the real indicator
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there. Um thoughts on on the Warner and
00:10:48
everything. They're just sort of bumping
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along these companies.
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>> So Warner Brothers 117 adjusted gap
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versus estimates of 9 cents which is
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actually pretty good. They had a 45%
00:11:01
beat. Operating margin was down but or
00:11:03
mostly flat. The linear networks
00:11:05
continue to bleed. The revenue fell 8%
00:11:09
uh with domestic pay TV subscribers down
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10% and free cash flow was 476 million
00:11:14
in net leverage sits at 3.4x. Uh the
00:11:18
paramount deal is expected to close Q3
00:11:20
which will form a company with 69
00:11:23
billion in proformer revenue. Like if
00:11:25
there's a book, if you wrote a book
00:11:27
called the worst acquisitions in
00:11:28
history, you could just call the book
00:11:30
Time Warner is every they are at the
00:11:33
center of the
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>> I mean three of the five worst
00:11:36
acquisitions in history all involve Time
00:11:37
Warner. It's
00:11:38
>> AT&T.
00:11:39
>> It's just AOL,
00:11:41
>> right? And this one I think will go down
00:11:43
as in terms of shareholder uh value
00:11:45
destruction. Um, Paramount posted a
00:11:48
clean beat and streaming turned its
00:11:51
first real profit. Revenue of 7 uh.35
00:11:55
billion versus 7.28. EPS of 23 cents
00:11:58
versus 15 cents expected. I mean,
00:12:00
companies are just, it's just
00:12:01
incredible. Companies are just blowing
00:12:02
away their earnings. Their direct to
00:12:04
consumer revenue was up 11%. Paramount
00:12:07
Plus revenue up 17%. I wonder how much
00:12:09
of that is landman. They added 700,000
00:12:12
net subscribers to reach um 79.6 6
00:12:16
million um in total. Direct to consumer
00:12:19
IBIDA improved to 251 million. Uh TV
00:12:22
media revenue fell 6% to 3.7 billion as
00:12:25
cord cutting continues. And Paramount is
00:12:28
nearly doubled its film slate for 2026
00:12:30
versus 2025 since closing the Sky Dance
00:12:33
deal last August, which to their credit
00:12:34
>> has been promising that.
00:12:36
>> Yeah. Everyone's been saying, "Oh,
00:12:37
they're going to gut Hollywood and
00:12:38
they're coming out swinging and they're
00:12:40
doubling their film slate."
00:12:41
>> The thing is, is it going to make money,
00:12:42
right? That's the issue. Let's see what
00:12:44
happens.
00:12:46
So, let's just wait until they
00:12:48
>> you can you can spend the money. I mean,
00:12:50
that's what rich people do, but let's
00:12:51
see if they make it. If they have some
00:12:53
hits, if they have some hits.
00:12:54
>> And so, Josh Dear's first earning
00:12:55
coliseio reported a a really strong
00:12:58
beat. Shares gained roughly 7% after the
00:13:00
report. But here's the thing,
00:13:04
100% of this beat, the credit goes to
00:13:09
Bob Iger.
00:13:11
you someone doesn't impact earnings two
00:13:15
weeks after they take the CEO job. This
00:13:17
beat was really ringing the bell for for
00:13:20
Bob Iger. Revenue at 25.2 billion versus
00:13:24
24.8 expected. Earnings at buck 57
00:13:26
versus 149 expected. Streaming operating
00:13:29
income jumped 88% to 582
00:13:34
uh uh uh million dollars. And Disney's
00:13:37
streaming margins broke into the double
00:13:40
digits. at almost 11%. Their streaming
00:13:42
revenue hit 5 a.5 billion up 13% driven
00:13:45
by price hikes and Disney's no Disney no
00:13:48
longer reports subscriber numbers which
00:13:51
is a shame but um their experiences that
00:13:54
you referenced uh was up 7% which must
00:13:58
be an increase in prices because as you
00:14:00
mentioned um numbers are down
00:14:02
>> attendance is down
00:14:04
>> and they also have raised their buyback
00:14:06
target similar to what Apple did last
00:14:07
week and guided for I think Disney I
00:14:10
think Disney is a is a buy and tomorrow
00:14:14
is you know he came out of the the parks
00:14:17
um in which grew nearly 40% in revenue
00:14:20
under his watch and he called Disney
00:14:23
plus the digital centerpiece of the
00:14:24
company on Wednesday's earnings he
00:14:26
flagged fuel and consumer spending Dana
00:14:28
Walden who I know you know named
00:14:30
president chief creative officer and
00:14:33
>> that was an important keep for th that
00:14:35
company the keeping her because she was
00:14:36
a CEO she was the top contender
00:14:38
>> not only that they're all I mean quite
00:14:40
frankly
00:14:41
A lot of these people are probably
00:14:44
I mean this is the challenge when your
00:14:46
stock is below where it was 10 years
00:14:47
ago. You have to get the most talented
00:14:50
people in the room and say I'm going to
00:14:51
issue new options and please stick
00:14:53
around because you got to think a lot of
00:14:55
these people are looking at
00:14:57
>> except what is their option?
00:15:00
>> Yeah, because
00:15:00
>> producers that's harder now. You can't
00:15:02
be as good a you can't do those sweet
00:15:05
sweet deals anymore. Yeah, but if you're
00:15:06
a Disney, if you're a talented Disney
00:15:08
executive,
00:15:09
>> you could absolutely land, you know,
00:15:12
>> I would stay. See, now I would stay
00:15:14
because you have power.
00:15:15
>> I agree. And
00:15:18
>> pieces of that, you know, pieces of wood
00:15:20
floating. I don't know. I just would say
00:15:22
>> Oh, that's interesting. I hadn't thought
00:15:23
of that analogy. I like that. Um,
00:15:24
>> it was from the Devil War product, but
00:15:26
go ahead.
00:15:27
>> I thought it was from the Titanic, isn't
00:15:28
it?
00:15:28
>> It is, but it was She just said that.
00:15:30
She goes, "We just got on the list."
00:15:31
>> I was wondering how long it was going to
00:15:32
be before you mentioned the Devil. It's
00:15:34
killing it. Still killing it.
00:15:35
>> Yeah. No, it's great. Let's go over
00:15:37
every movie that's actually making
00:15:38
money. Um,
00:15:39
>> it is making money.
00:15:40
>> Yeah, it's it's making a ton. It's it's
00:15:42
it's going to change the world to see
00:15:43
it.
00:15:43
>> Lawrence of Arabia meets The Sound of
00:15:45
Music meets the
00:15:47
>> Let's move along.
00:15:48
>> But Disney stock is down more than 10%
00:15:51
year to date despite back-to-back
00:15:53
earnings beats. I don't know if it's
00:15:55
because everyone's giving up on
00:15:57
traditional media or because AI is
00:15:59
sucking all the oxygen out of every
00:16:01
other company of the other 490 in the
00:16:04
S&P. But I think Disney actually right
00:16:07
now is a really good buy and I wouldn't
00:16:09
be surprised if it's put in play in the
00:16:12
next 3 to 6 months either by
00:16:13
>> you keep saying that by whom to Apple to
00:16:16
because Apple was looking at perplexity
00:16:18
allegedly
00:16:18
>> uh an activist.
00:16:21
Oh,
00:16:21
>> an activist comes in and says, "You need
00:16:23
to cut 20% of your staff or you need to
00:16:24
put the company up for sale,
00:16:25
>> which they did with with Iger." I mean,
00:16:27
I went through that, right? Several
00:16:29
times, I think.
00:16:30
>> Yeah. But I had so much credibility he
00:16:32
was able to back this.
00:16:33
>> It's weak because this is a new CEO.
00:16:35
>> Disney has this unbelievable franchise
00:16:38
or it might be corporate restructuring.
00:16:40
Go good bank, bad bank, spin out the
00:16:42
parks into its own business. And
00:16:44
>> they decided not to, as you know, they
00:16:46
were going to get rid of ABC at one
00:16:47
point, then they decided to keep ESPN.
00:16:49
And I think that's one of tomorrow's
00:16:51
>> an activist will argue that their
00:16:54
decisions have been really poor because
00:16:56
this company has probably the greatest
00:16:58
collection of IP in the world, a booming
00:17:00
parks business, and yet the stock is
00:17:02
trading below where it was in 2016.
00:17:05
This is sort of I got to think there's a
00:17:07
lot of activist, the same old sort of
00:17:08
unpleasant Ike per motor.
00:17:11
>> If I had to bet on any firm that shows
00:17:13
up forcefully at dignified, it would be
00:17:14
Elliot. Um, and by the way, I don't know
00:17:17
anything. I haven't talked to him about
00:17:18
this. The But I wouldn't be surprised.
00:17:21
Unfortunately, it'll probably be someone
00:17:23
like um Peltz, but he's more consumer. I
00:17:27
wouldn't put it past
00:17:28
>> Peltz was in the last one, I think, with
00:17:29
Parm Mutter.
00:17:30
>> I don't know. I think if Netflix stock
00:17:32
was was I don't I think Netflix and
00:17:35
Disney,
00:17:37
this merger the merger between Netflix
00:17:38
and Disney could never happen under an
00:17:40
administration that didn't have its that
00:17:42
didn't have a FDC or a DOJ that was in a
00:17:44
slumber. So if there was any desire to
00:17:47
do that, it would then now would be the
00:17:48
time. And if you had
00:17:49
>> No, except Brenda is not He doesn't like
00:17:52
Disney. It's in his It's in his sights.
00:17:55
>> Who doesn't like Disney?
00:17:56
>> Brendan Carr. Brenda. I call him Brenda.
00:17:59
>> Yeah, but Well,
00:18:00
>> he's specifically called out Disney like
00:18:03
by name, saying he doesn't like
00:18:04
>> Yeah, but he doesn't get to decide any
00:18:06
trust. It goes It's the I mean, I guess
00:18:09
could he lead it? The bottom line is
00:18:12
Disney and Netflix right now, Disney is
00:18:14
cheap right now. Netflix and Disney in a
00:18:17
windup would be game over. If you took
00:18:20
Netflix's IP, including Wednesday,
00:18:23
Stranger Things, Bridgetton, and used it
00:18:25
to go vertical and create experiences
00:18:28
and parks. I just think it'd be I just
00:18:30
think it'd be incredible. By the way, I
00:18:32
it shouldn't happen. It would be too
00:18:34
much concentration of media,
00:18:35
>> but from a I would buy shares in that
00:18:37
company.
00:18:38
>> Yeah, absolutely. I don't think it'll
00:18:39
happen. you probably
00:18:40
>> although I don't know why it shouldn't
00:18:42
because they have a lot of companies to
00:18:44
go up against these tech companies but I
00:18:46
don't know anyway well interesting to
00:18:47
see it was fine it was perfectly fine it
00:18:49
was like okay it's so funny you know
00:18:52
when Ted Turner when that deal happened
00:18:54
I mean media that was the top for media
00:18:56
wasn't it like when AOL alltime Warner
00:18:59
happened I think it was like they were
00:19:01
running the [ __ ] show they were the
00:19:02
kings of the road and then they weren't
00:19:05
like it's been a downward downward
00:19:07
downward slide for traditional media The
00:19:10
fall of traditional media for me is
00:19:13
embodied by when I first moved to New
00:19:15
York in 2000 and like all single people
00:19:20
in their 30s, we would pile eight people
00:19:22
into a house in Bridgeampton
00:19:26
and every weekend was a mad scramble to
00:19:29
see who we knew at Condast
00:19:32
who knew what magazine was throwing the
00:19:35
most fabulous party in the Hamptons and
00:19:39
And whether it was details or Vogue and
00:19:43
the job the masters of the universe were
00:19:46
these was the creatives and the business
00:19:48
people working at condonas magazines in
00:19:50
the magazine.
00:19:51
>> That's true. And in the journalism
00:19:53
business I have to tell you I was like
00:19:55
the internet person and they like
00:19:56
treated me like [ __ ] Like they were
00:19:59
like oh you're part of the internet
00:20:01
>> you know and you're no the no it was
00:20:03
Ponzi scheme. It was Ponzi scheme. Oh,
00:20:05
it's not going to it's going to it's all
00:20:06
a bunch of it's going to go away. And
00:20:08
the media reporters was such snot bags.
00:20:11
I have to tell you, they just were. And
00:20:14
I was like, I don't I think you're in
00:20:15
trouble. I was And they were like, you
00:20:17
don't know. They're going to run the
00:20:19
show and media media media. And I was
00:20:21
like, I think there's got some
00:20:22
vulnerabilities there. But they I I'll
00:20:24
never It was the same thing. It was sort
00:20:26
of it was well, too bad. That's what
00:20:28
happened. Anyway, um let's go on a quick
00:20:31
break. We come back. Anthropic gets into
00:20:34
bed with Elon and SpaceX. Lock that
00:20:37
metaphor. Support for this show comes
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00:21:40
Scott, we're back. Anthropic CEO Daario
00:21:43
Amodi says the company planned for 10x
00:21:45
growth this year but is now seeing
00:21:47
growth closer to 80x creating a massive
00:21:49
need for more computing power. Enter
00:21:51
SpaceX or rather SpaceX AI. SpaceX
00:21:54
acquired XAI back in February. But Elon
00:21:56
Musk has just revealed XAI will be
00:21:59
dissolved and its AI products will be
00:22:00
part of the Space X AI brand of course
00:22:03
because everybody left and he he didn't
00:22:05
it didn't get quite the traction that he
00:22:07
had hoped. So he's as I said folding it
00:22:09
right in. Everything's going to get
00:22:10
folded. Tesla's next. Under the New
00:22:12
Deal, Anthropic will get compute power
00:22:14
with uh SpaceX AI data center in
00:22:16
Memphis, the one that's polluting people
00:22:18
as it works to keep up with surging
00:22:20
demand. Everybody needs power. A real
00:22:23
turnaround for Elon, who earlier called
00:22:24
anthropic evil. He's now saying he was
00:22:27
impressed after meeting with senior
00:22:29
executives, adding, "No one set off my
00:22:31
evil detector."
00:22:33
Again, look in the [ __ ] mirror, dude.
00:22:35
Um, so is this the enemy? My enemy is my
00:22:38
friend because of chat GPT. This is an
00:22:41
interesting thing. I mean, obviously
00:22:42
Lince has not had the success he had
00:22:44
he'd hoped to dominate and it's all
00:22:47
about his beef with Sam Alman, but in
00:22:49
this case, he's this is what he's doing.
00:22:51
I would I would be careful if I was
00:22:53
Daario in general, but um I I think he's
00:22:57
savvy enough to deal with Elon, though.
00:22:58
Um and he seems to have enough push
00:23:00
back. Um any thoughts on this?
00:23:03
>> Uh I'd rather talk about me and the
00:23:05
reminisce a little bit longer. Is that
00:23:06
okay?
00:23:07
just for a second.
00:23:09
>> So I started
00:23:10
>> Okay. But I want thoughts on this.
00:23:12
>> In 2000, I had said I'm moving to New
00:23:15
York from San Francisco. I had just been
00:23:18
abused, roden, ridden hard, and put away
00:23:21
wet by Sequoia Capital. Kicked off the
00:23:23
board of the kicked out of the band I
00:23:25
started, kicked off of the board of the
00:23:26
company I started. Just like got divor
00:23:29
just like I I just wanted I wanted to
00:23:31
never go back to San Francisco the rest
00:23:33
of my life. And I moved to New York.
00:23:34
>> Can I ask you a question? Did you
00:23:35
deserve it? Just a little bit. Did I
00:23:36
deserve
00:23:37
>> what happened? What happened with
00:23:38
Sequoia? I'm just asking. I'm just
00:23:40
curious.
00:23:40
>> Oh, I I I was an obnoxious, aggressive
00:23:43
entrepreneur that was arrogant and
00:23:45
reckless,
00:23:46
>> but also Mike Morates is a small
00:23:48
vindictive man.
00:23:49
>> Okay. Got it.
00:23:50
>> Um, so, uh, so yeah, I I don't I think
00:23:53
there's enough blame to go around for
00:23:54
everyone.
00:23:54
>> Okay.
00:23:55
>> And also, the board was a bunch of a
00:23:57
bunch of obsequious people getting
00:23:59
Anyways,
00:24:00
>> um,
00:24:01
>> I'm still not triggered. I'm clearly
00:24:03
over it. I'm clearly over it.
00:24:06
All of you are still to this day.
00:24:08
>> I'm clearly over it. Anyways, I moved
00:24:10
back to New York and I started an
00:24:12
e-commerce incubator backed by Goldman,
00:24:15
JP Morgan, Maverron, Howard, How Howard
00:24:18
Schultz's company. And it was near
00:24:21
impossible to recruit
00:24:24
people to come to work for a technology
00:24:25
incubator. And I would take people out
00:24:27
who were working at traditional media
00:24:29
who were making5 or $600,000 a year. And
00:24:32
I'd say, "I can only pay you 200, but
00:24:33
I'm going to give you 2 million options
00:24:35
on 2 million shares." And I would have
00:24:37
to walk them through what options were.
00:24:41
>> That the ecosystem. I couldn't even use
00:24:44
a New York-based law firm because they
00:24:46
didn't do venture. People don't realize
00:24:48
New York in 2000 was about finance. It
00:24:51
was about media.
00:24:53
There was no, you know, what the
00:24:54
>> There were a couple There were a couple
00:24:56
little ones.
00:24:56
>> Guilt.
00:24:57
>> I mean, there was a guilt and there was
00:24:59
something.
00:24:59
>> Yeah. Guilt. I forgot about
00:25:01
>> there was guilt in that Kevin Ryan's
00:25:02
company and then there was
00:25:04
>> the one ad company that got sold to
00:25:07
there was no technology
00:25:09
>> there really wasn't whatsoever there was
00:25:11
one oh the one that bought was bought by
00:25:13
Yahoo Tumblr
00:25:16
Tumblr was in New York
00:25:17
>> Tumblr the worst acquisition in history
00:25:19
>> in history
00:25:20
>> the worst acquisition in history
00:25:22
>> I broke that story nice to meet you but
00:25:24
yeah
00:25:24
>> yeah within the same 60 days um uh uh
00:25:29
Mark Zuckerberg made the best
00:25:30
acquisition in history for a billion. He
00:25:32
bought Instagram. It's now worth I think
00:25:34
probably a half a trillion to a trillion
00:25:36
dollars.
00:25:36
>> And Marissa Mayor said,
00:25:38
>> "I'm a baller." And she bought Tumblr
00:25:40
for a billion dollars, which seven years
00:25:43
later got sold for how much?
00:25:45
>> A couple million dollars. It was a
00:25:47
collection of It was a collection of
00:25:49
blogs,
00:25:50
>> dirty sites, dirty bloss.
00:25:51
>> And then when they shut down the porn, I
00:25:53
I got into an online battle with what's
00:25:55
the guy with the bad Caesars's haircut?
00:25:57
I forget his name.
00:25:57
>> There were two or three. Union Square
00:25:59
Ventures. Anyways,
00:26:00
>> they they told Tumblr they were no
00:26:02
longer going to fund this bag of [ __ ]
00:26:04
that was making no money,
00:26:05
>> but he convinced Marissa Mayor to buy it
00:26:07
for $1.1 billion.
00:26:09
>> I know.
00:26:10
>> Anyways, uh
00:26:12
>> I'll walk down memory lane.
00:26:13
>> This has been fun. I've really enjoyed
00:26:15
this.
00:26:16
>> Okay. Um, and then I joined and then my
00:26:19
my incubator collapsed within like 6
00:26:21
months founding it after the dot
00:26:23
implosion and I joined the faculty at
00:26:26
NYU where my first year salary was
00:26:27
$12,000. Good times.
00:26:30
>> Good times.
00:26:31
>> Back to ex.
00:26:32
>> Anyways, back to anthropic. What do we
00:26:34
talk? I've said this. I wish I I have
00:26:36
never bet on a a predictions market. I I
00:26:39
said this a week ago. Khi had Musk
00:26:42
winning at 51 or 52%. Now it's all of a
00:26:46
sudden fallen to 38.
00:26:48
>> Winning at what? Winning
00:26:49
>> winning the case.
00:26:50
>> Oh, the case.
00:26:51
>> The must wins the case.
00:26:52
>> Yeah. Yeah. He's got to make some moves.
00:26:54
>> Going from there is no moves. He does
00:26:56
not have a legal egg to stand on. You
00:26:59
can go from a nonprofit to a for-profit.
00:27:01
You're allowed to do that. This is
00:27:03
regret and a messiah complex cosplaying
00:27:06
a legal argument.
00:27:09
Judges and courts aren't concerned or
00:27:12
aren't moved by anger and indignance and
00:27:14
by and sellers regret. They're moved by
00:27:17
evidence and argument. And there's none
00:27:19
here.
00:27:19
>> Though I will say this trial, I was
00:27:22
thinking, you know, you're watching the
00:27:23
texts go back and forth and Mirror
00:27:25
Morati doesn't like Sam really even
00:27:27
though she pretended she did. And the
00:27:30
girlfriend uh who was on the board, I'm
00:27:32
blanking on her name. I don't really
00:27:33
care cuz Siobhan Zillas. Um
00:27:36
>> isn't that his girlfriend? Well, it's
00:27:37
his partner and then they had four
00:27:39
children and she didn't manage to tell
00:27:41
the open eye people that she had two
00:27:43
children with him and obviously
00:27:46
>> that's not a conflict. Cara,
00:27:48
>> she's like a spy in there like right
00:27:51
spy like you might give that piece of
00:27:53
information if you're in a beef with
00:27:55
someone.
00:27:55
>> You're a fiduciary for all shareholders
00:27:57
making decisions around someone's
00:27:58
compensation and you're having their
00:27:59
children. That's just like she probably
00:28:01
just forgot to mention compensation.
00:28:03
Anyway, so the whole thing and they're
00:28:05
like going back and forth in this trial
00:28:06
and I thought this is a soap opera but
00:28:09
the most boring people, most awful
00:28:11
boring people in it. I'm like I could
00:28:14
give a [ __ ] that whether Mir Morotti
00:28:15
likes Sam Alman or not. I don't care. I
00:28:18
don't care. Like oh he was manipulative.
00:28:21
I don't care. Like what does that have
00:28:23
to do with anything? Like I you know
00:28:25
honestly I I force you know you hear
00:28:27
that of course about Sam being
00:28:28
manipulative and telling one person one
00:28:30
thing and another. And as I'm reading it
00:28:32
in the trial, I'm like, "So, what does
00:28:36
this is this illegal? Is he's just a
00:28:38
jerk or you didn't like him or he was
00:28:40
deceptive? Did he do anything illegal?"
00:28:41
Because otherwise, your internal
00:28:44
corporate hijinks. I don't, you know,
00:28:46
care. I do think she should have told
00:28:48
people she had his babies in my opinion.
00:28:50
But the whole thing is like a bad soap
00:28:52
opera that you want to like turn off
00:28:54
like and it's just bad for AI. It's bad
00:28:57
for the companies. And therefore, he's
00:28:58
going to do another deal like this.
00:29:00
That's where we That's why we're where
00:29:01
we are. He's trying to glum himself on
00:29:03
to a successful
00:29:05
>> Ron Wayne was one of the founders of
00:29:07
Apple.
00:29:09
>> He owned 10% of it. He sold his 10% for
00:29:12
$2,300
00:29:14
>> back to I think Jobs and Wnjak. That is
00:29:17
now worth $400 billion.
00:29:20
>> Yeah. He feels bad.
00:29:21
>> And guess what?
00:29:22
>> Mhm.
00:29:22
>> It sucks to be a grown-up. He signed the
00:29:25
legal documents. Private property. The
00:29:26
key to private property is when like
00:29:28
Elon Musk and my favorite defense is,
00:29:30
oh, he didn't read the fine print. He's
00:29:32
the wealthiest man in the world with the
00:29:33
most sophisticated legal team in
00:29:35
history, but oh, he didn't ruin the
00:29:37
fine. I would like to I I would just
00:29:39
love to see someone show up who sold the
00:29:42
guy who sold Tesla to Musk or the rights
00:29:44
to it, I forget his name, show up and
00:29:46
say, "Oh, I didn't realize it was going
00:29:47
to be worth this much and I didn't read
00:29:48
the fine print." Just to see how that
00:29:50
goes over in court.
00:29:50
>> Yeah. Instead, he's like baby daddy. I'm
00:29:52
like, come on. Like, stop it people. And
00:29:55
then the smart people, these are the
00:29:57
smartest people on our planet. They
00:29:59
sound like such idiots.
00:30:00
>> They're trying to make an emotional
00:30:02
argument that he's trying to that I
00:30:04
wanted it to be a nonprofit. And what
00:30:06
did I do? Go on to found a forprofit AI
00:30:09
company that arguably has less guard
00:30:11
rails than any other AI company.
00:30:14
>> A a jury of actual people.
00:30:17
>> I I think this is a great buy at 38%.
00:30:20
I'll take the other side of this. I
00:30:22
don't
00:30:22
>> Yeah. Yeah. Nobody likes these people. I
00:30:25
have to say Brockman came off of all
00:30:27
these sort of loathome people I'm
00:30:28
waiting for the Sam Alman testimony, but
00:30:31
of all the people so far, Greg Brockman
00:30:33
comes off the best and I'm not a
00:30:35
particular fan of his either like the
00:30:37
one that keeps notes of everything. So
00:30:39
some of the highlights of the testimony
00:30:41
emails from Zillis showing Mus suggested
00:30:42
opening I become part of Tesla
00:30:45
potentially as a BC Corp subsidiary. Mus
00:30:47
tried to recruit Sam Alman to join AI
00:30:51
the worldclass AI lab within Tesla even
00:30:53
offering him a board saying they didn't
00:30:55
had no interest Sam Alman and Greg
00:30:57
Brockman 2 days before the trial started
00:30:59
Musk tested Brockman asking if he was
00:31:01
interested in settling the case Musk
00:31:03
supposedly wanted full control of Open
00:31:06
AI in part to help him raise $80 billion
00:31:08
to colonize Mars and was using OpenAI
00:31:11
employees to do secret work for Tesla.
00:31:13
OpenI president said the mask lack of
00:31:15
understanding. Mrs. Brockman of AI was a
00:31:18
concern for the company. I that was
00:31:20
factual. I really when I heard that I'm
00:31:22
like I I get it. And OpenA's former CTO
00:31:25
Mera Moradi was a very nice person. She
00:31:27
testified saying she couldn't trust Sam
00:31:28
Waltman's words and saying he created
00:31:30
chaos. Mirror I like you but I don't
00:31:32
care. Like then leave. Leave. Leave.
00:31:36
>> None of this matters.
00:31:37
>> Nothing matters. Like none of it. It's
00:31:39
not who's a better person. It's not who
00:31:41
would be a better shepherd of AI. It's
00:31:44
contract law.
00:31:46
>> I know
00:31:46
>> when you sell an asset, it doesn't it
00:31:48
doesn't matter who the bigger [ __ ]
00:31:50
is, the seller or the buyer.
00:31:52
>> I know
00:31:52
>> he sold he gave up his ownership and
00:31:55
governance.
00:31:55
>> Baby daddy gave up his ownership.
00:31:57
>> It doesn't and the whole and media is
00:31:59
trying to turn this into who would be
00:32:01
better at running it. It doesn't [ __ ]
00:32:02
matter.
00:32:03
>> Don't follow when you sell an asset,
00:32:07
>> right? It doesn't matter who's the
00:32:08
better person or steward of the home you
00:32:10
sold.
00:32:11
>> It is instructive to look how sloppy it
00:32:14
is. And so that's I keep saying to
00:32:15
people, they're like, "Oh, the Masters
00:32:17
of the Universe." I'm like, "They're
00:32:18
kind of sloppy." Like Google, like
00:32:20
everybody in the beginning of Google,
00:32:21
they were all like [ __ ] each other.
00:32:24
Like it was like and it was a big mess
00:32:26
and it was chaos and they all hated each
00:32:28
other. They liked each other. I could
00:32:30
care less, right? That's the thing.
00:32:32
until professional management got in.
00:32:34
Microsoft early on was like this, like
00:32:36
kind of a mess. But who cares? But the
00:32:39
fact that it's coming out in court is is
00:32:42
just makes you realize how dumb and dumb
00:32:44
dumb dumb this trial is. Like how dumb
00:32:46
it is. It's about money. That's all it
00:32:49
is.
00:32:49
>> This is This is I sold something that
00:32:52
ended up being worth $850 billion.
00:32:54
>> You're right. You're That's exactly
00:32:56
right.
00:32:56
>> It's I'm the Messiah who's going to put
00:32:58
us on Mars. Who should control
00:33:00
autonomous in the US? should control
00:33:02
space. And oh, by the way, the the one
00:33:04
part of the technological revolution
00:33:06
that I don't control and I can't seem to
00:33:08
catch up in is is AI. And so 6 years
00:33:12
after I've decided, oh, I I need I
00:33:15
should own it. I need it back or I need
00:33:17
money back or I need to get in the way
00:33:19
of their progress so X AI can I mean
00:33:21
pretty soon it's going to be I don't
00:33:24
know. I had a conversation with Dario
00:33:25
Amade. I should own
00:33:28
>> Yeah. You know, he he I should own
00:33:30
anthropic.
00:33:31
>> It's ridiculous. These people 80 bill
00:33:33
$80 billion to colonize Mars. Guess
00:33:35
what, Elon? You have it. Spend it and
00:33:37
have a good time. Have at it. Good luck.
00:33:39
Bye. Take your children. Go. We're We're
00:33:42
thrilled for you. We're We're excited.
00:33:43
We'll write a a a poem for you like when
00:33:46
on your way out. It's so stupid. Mike
00:33:50
Tyson at the peak of his career
00:33:53
um fought Marvis Frasier and knocked him
00:33:56
out in the first 30 seconds. I think
00:33:58
legally Elon Musk is Marvis Frasier. I
00:34:02
just think the guy
00:34:04
>> I don't even know what you're talking
00:34:05
about.
00:34:05
>> It's a boxing analogy. I don't like
00:34:07
boxing because I don't like to see young
00:34:08
men beating each other up like that.
00:34:09
Neither do I.
00:34:10
>> But if you want to talk Oh my gosh.
00:34:12
Whenever the the the reels come on of
00:34:15
Mike Tyson's 10 greatest knockouts.
00:34:17
Jesus Christ. I met him at a restaurant.
00:34:20
>> Did you?
00:34:20
>> Yeah. He came up to me.
00:34:21
>> Talk to him crossways. I hope.
00:34:23
>> Oh my. I was so scared of the guy. I
00:34:24
just thought be nice to him.
00:34:26
>> Yeah.
00:34:26
>> That guy one of the most dominant
00:34:27
athletes of all time. Anyways,
00:34:30
this is this is this should and I
00:34:33
believe will be a first round [ __ ]
00:34:36
knockout. And all this drama and all the
00:34:37
media say, "Who would be better at open?
00:34:39
What happened? Who's none of them? Who's
00:34:41
[ __ ] none of them? Who's [ __ ]
00:34:43
who?" It's like when Iran and Iraq were
00:34:45
at war. I used to say, "I hope the
00:34:46
bullets win."
00:34:48
>> I I don't both
00:34:51
>> We don't care.
00:34:51
>> I went on CNN and they asked me,
00:34:54
>> "Who would be a better steward?" I'm
00:34:55
like, "It doesn't matter.
00:34:56
>> None of them.
00:34:57
>> It doesn't matter. None of them. This
00:34:58
shouldn't be."
00:34:58
>> The answer is none.
00:34:59
>> The answer is no. And it doesn't matter.
00:35:02
Private capital and private property
00:35:04
means it sucks to be a grown-up. And if
00:35:06
you sell your house, it ends up being
00:35:07
next to [ __ ] Mark Zuckerberg and
00:35:09
could be worth eight or 10 million right
00:35:10
now. Okay, it's done. You sold it, boss.
00:35:13
Let me make one final observation about
00:35:14
these people. These are the richest
00:35:16
people on earth and they're so
00:35:17
manifestly unhappy. They just can't shut
00:35:20
the [ __ ] up. They can't stop fighting.
00:35:23
They have so much money. None of them
00:35:25
are qualified to run be in charge of
00:35:28
AGI. None of them. They're This is what
00:35:30
this is showing. What tiny, petty,
00:35:33
angry, unhappy people. They all are.
00:35:36
Every single one of them. And you're
00:35:37
like, "Y'all, none of you deserve what
00:35:41
you've got here." So then none of you
00:35:42
has the dignity or character to to look
00:35:46
good. And meanwhile over to the left,
00:35:48
Dario Modi is like sucking up all the
00:35:50
attributes of goodness. I don't even
00:35:52
trust him and I like him. Like it
00:35:53
doesn't even matter these people.
00:35:55
Anyway,
00:35:55
>> we shouldn't have to trust these people.
00:35:57
We should be able to elect
00:35:58
representatives we can trust to do the
00:36:00
right thing and regulate these companies
00:36:01
>> and then we can fire them easily.
00:36:03
Anyway, let's go on a quick break. We
00:36:05
come back, we'll talk about managing a
00:36:07
stock portfolio via chat GPT. You'll
00:36:10
like this one, Scott.
00:36:12
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00:37:23
Scott, we're back with just one more
00:37:24
quick story. Over the past few months,
00:37:26
I'd love to know what you think of this.
00:37:27
A Wall Street Journal reporter asked
00:37:28
Chad GPT for investment advice to see if
00:37:30
AI could really realistically manage a
00:37:32
stock portfolio. It's actually makes
00:37:34
sense. There's uh speaking of of of
00:37:37
anthropic, they just did an interesting
00:37:39
deal where it would make decks and pitch
00:37:41
decks and things like that working. It's
00:37:44
called it's a company, I can't remember
00:37:45
the name, but it's interesting though.
00:37:47
Um, CHATPGT uh there's a lot of
00:37:50
interesting smaller AI companies being
00:37:52
made that actually sound useful. And so
00:37:53
this is what the reporter did. Chat GPT
00:37:56
generally identified market risk, but
00:37:58
also made simple math mistakes,
00:37:59
suggested questionable market timing
00:38:01
strategies and sometimes veered into
00:38:03
overly complex ideas like options
00:38:06
trading. The chatbot often told the user
00:38:08
what they seem to want to hear,
00:38:10
highlighting a bigger concern that AI
00:38:11
could sound confident and persuasive
00:38:13
even when its advice may be flawed or
00:38:15
risky. Sounds like a lot of brokers I
00:38:17
know. About 30% of everyday investors
00:38:20
report using AI for their portfolios. So
00:38:23
apparently not so good yet. Not and in
00:38:26
lots of really problematic ways that you
00:38:28
I mean with a person you're looking at
00:38:30
you sort of have a sense when they're
00:38:31
sort of trying to sell you something you
00:38:33
don't want. Um so it was curious. It's
00:38:36
just like with law or medical it's not
00:38:39
there. It's not there. And this
00:38:40
personalized investment advice is just
00:38:42
the latest wrinkle. I don't mind them
00:38:43
making, you know, decks, pitch decks and
00:38:46
things like that, but um huge risk for
00:38:49
lawsuits, I would assume, just the same
00:38:50
with legal or medical or anything else.
00:38:53
Any thoughts?
00:38:54
>> Well, I I think it was tempting to
00:38:56
believe in the '9s you could use
00:39:00
Lotus, you know, 123 to beat the market
00:39:04
by doing all sorts of
00:39:06
>> analysis and calculations and you might
00:39:08
have had an edge for a minute. But what
00:39:12
I would argue is that the the the
00:39:15
individual thinking they can use uh
00:39:18
Claude and I'm guilty of this. I've been
00:39:19
asking Claude like crazy using co-work
00:39:22
to come up with different options and
00:39:23
hedging strategies and to identify
00:39:25
stocks. I'm guilty of it. I I love the
00:39:27
markets. I like to gamble. It's my means
00:39:29
of gambling.
00:39:29
>> That's why I'm asking you this.
00:39:30
>> And I find it interesting what it says.
00:39:33
But here's the bottom line or what I
00:39:35
think. Ken Griffin will hire 2,000 PhDs
00:39:40
and he will weaponize them with AI and
00:39:42
they will outperform the market. But you
00:39:45
believing with your $20 a month claude
00:39:48
coowork weapon can compete against these
00:39:51
folks, you are showing up with a very
00:39:54
elegant squirt gun and they have a
00:39:55
[ __ ] howitzer. So this is what you
00:39:57
do. You invest in lowcost ETFs like
00:40:01
Vanguard and people who know and
00:40:03
understand technology can use, you know,
00:40:05
understand how to use AI. But this will
00:40:09
further this will further diminish or
00:40:12
create or widen the delta between
00:40:13
individual investors and institutional
00:40:16
because institutional investors will
00:40:17
have the capital.
00:40:19
The bottom line is every time you you
00:40:21
place a trade, you got to keep in mind
00:40:25
on the other side of that trade is
00:40:27
likely someone smarter than you that has
00:40:30
broader technology. So what you want to
00:40:32
do in my view, unless you I get a lot of
00:40:34
I get a lot of psychic income around
00:40:36
playing the market. So 30% of my net
00:40:38
worth you like I enjoy it,
00:40:41
>> you know, it it's fun for me.
00:40:42
Occasionally I have access to a deal
00:40:44
that other people don't have access to.
00:40:46
So fine. But the retail investor would
00:40:49
be better off finding lowcost ETFs where
00:40:51
the management team there is really
00:40:54
technically competent.
00:40:55
>> But the notion that's what I do that's
00:40:57
what I do. I just put it in exactly the
00:40:59
right way to do it.
00:40:59
>> I'm not interested in it. I know I could
00:41:01
do slightly better if I I'm a little
00:41:03
smarter than most people and have a
00:41:05
little more.
00:41:05
>> You're smarter. You're smarter in an
00:41:07
area that has nothing to do that that's
00:41:09
done. Be careful thinking that. No, what
00:41:12
I mean is I have some thoughts on on
00:41:14
some things that I pro I'm talking about
00:41:15
the average bear, but I'm I don't think
00:41:18
I'm smarter than you understand
00:41:19
technology.
00:41:20
>> That's right. So, I could be like I
00:41:22
wouldn't bet on this company. I would
00:41:23
bet on this company probably earlier
00:41:25
than other people, but I still wouldn't
00:41:27
win still.
00:41:28
>> The problem is people have emotions in
00:41:30
the market and you can't trust your
00:41:32
emotions in the market. So, when the
00:41:33
stock gets cut in half, your emotion is
00:41:34
to sell it because you can't take any
00:41:36
more pain and that's probably when you
00:41:37
should be buying more. And so
00:41:41
and then you and then you have you
00:41:43
literally have Ken Griffin out there
00:41:45
looking at all the trades and seeing
00:41:48
where emotion is spiking or irrationally
00:41:51
plummeting and then moving in in a
00:41:54
millionth of a second and then moving
00:41:56
out and and absorbing millions of
00:41:58
different data points. So, you do not
00:42:03
you do not want to play in traffic here
00:42:05
and believe that just because you you're
00:42:08
going to get up to the mound where a
00:42:09
guy's pitching 105 miles an hour because
00:42:12
you got a new aluminum bat that you
00:42:14
think is going to that you're going to
00:42:15
be able to hit a home run. No, you're
00:42:16
going to get beaned in the face. So, I
00:42:20
do think AI is going to be a huge
00:42:22
unlock. And also it will compress
00:42:24
margins because what will happen is
00:42:27
financial advisors unless they're really
00:42:29
good and can go upstream into tax
00:42:31
planning. A mediocre financial planner
00:42:34
at your local bank know you could
00:42:36
probably do almost as well using AI or
00:42:39
better and save 1% a year. I remember
00:42:42
when I my mom passed away and I was
00:42:43
looking at her estate. This guy was
00:42:46
charging her one or one and a half% of
00:42:48
her assets every year to put her in
00:42:51
eight S&P stocks. And I'm like, "Okay,
00:42:53
that's just not that hard. Why are we
00:42:55
paying you 1 and a.5%."
00:42:57
>> Right. Yeah. And
00:42:58
>> it was 1 and a.5%.
00:42:59
>> So, what I would say is I I think, by
00:43:01
the way, I think people should use AI to
00:43:04
try and pick stocks. I just don't think
00:43:06
they should buy them. I think it's
00:43:07
fascinating to see the logic to see what
00:43:09
it comes back with, to start asking it
00:43:11
more questions. I've been trying to
00:43:13
figure out option strategies, a strangle
00:43:15
strategy. I just I'm learning a lot.
00:43:17
>> Although sometimes you don't know if
00:43:18
it's accurate, right? That's the issue.
00:43:20
some of it they the sycopanticness is is
00:43:23
still a problem because it's not going
00:43:25
to challen it's not if you it's I think
00:43:27
someone was I think the article says
00:43:29
it's no more than having a smart
00:43:30
assistant right like they're no smarter
00:43:33
than anything else and and there's an
00:43:36
assistant part which doesn't want to
00:43:38
displease you and then it's just a smart
00:43:41
person but you're never going to have an
00:43:42
edge with AI
00:43:43
>> but you you can you can normalize for
00:43:46
that there's a a a co-work fe feature in
00:43:49
anthropic
00:43:51
where you ask this council of people.
00:43:53
One's a cynic, one's an optimist, one is
00:43:56
one is grounded in historical context,
00:43:59
the other is like an analytical
00:44:00
unemotional person. And all of these
00:44:03
quote unquote agents look at your
00:44:04
question and then they distill their
00:44:06
answers up to a quote unquote chairman
00:44:08
who distills it and gives you an answer
00:44:10
back. You can also I I I lead a lot of
00:44:14
prompts with give me the brutal truth
00:44:16
because I don't like, you know, I don't
00:44:18
like it. I hate it when it says to me.
00:44:19
Great question. The other thing you
00:44:21
should do is is and I can't do this
00:44:23
because I unsubscribed from chat GPT.
00:44:25
You can beta test the same do the exact
00:44:27
same prompt somewhere else.
00:44:29
>> Yeah, I did that before I quit and I was
00:44:31
on other things like show me a book
00:44:33
title, get show me a book cover. I got
00:44:36
to say Claude was hands down the best.
00:44:38
It just was. It just was so clearly
00:44:40
better. You know when you taste test
00:44:42
things you're like oh that tastes like
00:44:43
[ __ ] and that's good, right? Or the
00:44:45
coffee or something like that. But yeah,
00:44:47
you're right. But anyway, it's very
00:44:48
interesting. I mean, you should all try
00:44:49
it out to see what happens and do one of
00:44:52
those tests. But this was a great
00:44:53
article in the journal and I think it
00:44:55
showed that it just doesn't it's not as
00:44:57
ready for prime time as they say.
00:44:59
>> And about 30% a third of retail
00:45:01
investors are already using AI for their
00:45:03
portfolios. And so
00:45:06
>> everyone's looking for a shortcut,
00:45:07
Scott.
00:45:07
>> But this one of the greatest grips I
00:45:10
believe legal grips in corporate history
00:45:12
was the financial adviser
00:45:14
>> or or institutional investors. And by
00:45:17
the way, the majority of the grift has
00:45:20
happened amongst the richest. Rich
00:45:22
people like
00:45:22
>> they always have the handholders. Yeah.
00:45:24
>> Rich people like to believe that they
00:45:25
deserve something better. So they want
00:45:27
to get into these really high-profile,
00:45:29
well marketed hedge funds who they
00:45:31
believe, oh, I have access to Alson or I
00:45:35
have access to this, you know, DEA or
00:45:37
whatever. Okay, fine. Guess what? If you
00:45:40
added up all alternative investments and
00:45:42
hedge fund returns for the last 50
00:45:44
years, they have underperformed the S&P
00:45:47
by the amount of their fees. It's a a
00:45:50
and some outperform. Berkshire Hathway
00:45:52
has outperformed. My buddy at Anchorage
00:45:55
Capital has outperformed. You know, I
00:45:56
have another buddy at Mudra Capital
00:45:58
who's outperformed. But generally
00:45:59
speaking, over the long medium and long
00:46:02
term, they all underperform the market
00:46:05
by their fees. And every piece of data
00:46:09
analysis, if you go to the finance
00:46:10
department at a world-class university
00:46:13
and ask them where they invest, they're
00:46:15
like, "Vanguard."
00:46:16
>> Mhm. Me, too.
00:46:17
>> And they don't pick stocks. They don't
00:46:19
pick stocks.
00:46:20
>> I put I don't know. Someone's like, "How
00:46:22
are your stocks doing?" I'm like, "I
00:46:23
have no idea." And I I'm not going to
00:46:24
look until I need and I don't really
00:46:26
need the money. So, I just I'm like, "I
00:46:28
just put it there and then it goes
00:46:29
away." It's like it's like a bank at
00:46:31
Gringots. I don't care. Like I I the I
00:46:34
the more I think about it, the more
00:46:35
upset I get, right? Like what am I
00:46:38
missing? What did I get wrong? Did I buy
00:46:39
gold? Should I do this? And then I'm
00:46:41
like, why am I that [ __ ] person?
00:46:43
>> It's a great point because
00:46:45
>> in addition to the capital
00:46:47
you're investing, you want to talk about
00:46:49
the emotion you're investing.
00:46:51
>> And that is I do get psychic income, but
00:46:54
>> you like it. You like it.
00:46:55
>> I I started buying stocks when I was 13.
00:46:57
I worked at Morgan Stanley. I I find it
00:46:59
fascinating. I really do enjoy markets
00:47:02
and it's served me well. Having said
00:47:04
that, it also takes a real emotional
00:47:06
toll staring at your [ __ ] phone and
00:47:08
then when you buy a stock and you're
00:47:09
convinced you're a genius and it gets
00:47:11
cut by 40% in 2 weeks after you buy it,
00:47:14
you're really going to beat yourself up.
00:47:15
>> The only thing I wish you wouldn't do is
00:47:17
put so much of your your your medical
00:47:19
information into these people cuz they
00:47:21
don't it's they don't they're not bound
00:47:22
by HIPPA. Same thing with legal. I'm
00:47:24
like, please don't. I mean, unless you
00:47:27
find one of these ones that is bound by
00:47:29
the same law as everybody else is, I
00:47:31
just worry about that over time.
00:47:33
>> What's that? Wait, who's taking
00:47:34
>> No, I'm just saying when you whenever
00:47:35
you put a lot of your per you always
00:47:37
like, oh, I loaded up you sometimes you
00:47:39
don't even realize you're saying this to
00:47:39
me. I put away all my medical thing into
00:47:41
this and I was like really not sure I
00:47:44
trust these people to have all
00:47:45
>> I'm very promiscuous with my
00:47:47
information.
00:47:47
>> You are. I makes me worried. I'll be
00:47:49
honest with you. I think oh dear, no,
00:47:51
don't do that.
00:47:51
>> Cuz you think at some point they're
00:47:53
going to get all of it and weaponize it
00:47:54
against us. They're They're not I I They
00:47:56
could because they're not bound by
00:47:58
HIPPA. They're not bound by legal things
00:48:00
anyway.
00:48:00
>> I wonder if I should just send out
00:48:03
>> a preemptive apology to Angie Dickinson
00:48:06
and Emily Ratikowski right now.
00:48:08
>> Why?
00:48:08
>> Well, just all the things I've asked Ali
00:48:10
about.
00:48:11
>> Oh, no. Okay, we're moving on. We got to
00:48:12
go. All right, one more quick break.
00:48:15
We'll be back for predictions. Okay,
00:48:17
Scott, let's hear a prediction. Do you
00:48:19
have a prediction for us?
00:48:21
>> There was a really interesting story
00:48:22
this week that I think
00:48:24
kind of indicates or pretends portends
00:48:27
what might be in store for us around
00:48:30
um potential acquisitions. And I made a
00:48:32
similar prediction a few years ago, but
00:48:34
it didn't pan out. And that is a
00:48:36
32-year-old Tik Tocker just crowdfunded
00:48:39
132 million in non-binding pledges to
00:48:41
buy a bankrupt uh Spirit Airlines. Did
00:48:44
you see this?
00:48:45
>> No, I didn't see.
00:48:46
>> He said he said, "Look, Spirit helps
00:48:47
keep airline prices down. Let's do what
00:48:49
we did with the Green Bay Packers and
00:48:51
let's neutralize it." and he's very
00:48:54
talented and Spirit said it was gonna
00:48:57
shut down at 2 am on Saturday and this
00:48:59
guy Hunter Peterson
00:49:01
had a TikTok up the same day a website
00:49:04
by the next and 6 million views within
00:49:06
days and more than a get this car more
00:49:08
than 133,000 people have pledged on
00:49:10
average about a,000 bucks each totaling
00:49:14
uh $132 million
00:49:16
and essentially what he's saying is that
00:49:19
okay 20% of American adults paying the
00:49:22
average spirit fair of $30 to $40 equals
00:49:24
enough to buy an airline. and they say
00:49:27
it's unl okay listen it's unlikely to
00:49:29
close but the idea with in an era of AI
00:49:33
and compliance AI where you could spin
00:49:35
up the legal documents and have people
00:49:37
sign them and with PayPal I think you're
00:49:40
going to see
00:49:42
in the next 12 to 36 months someone
00:49:45
pulled this off where they say hey who
00:49:49
wants to buy
00:49:51
Estee Lauder or who wants to buy you
00:49:54
know it'll start with a small stock it
00:49:56
wouldn't Estee Lauder because that's too
00:49:57
big a company. But it'll start with a
00:49:59
small company that goes out of business.
00:50:01
They'll say, "Okay, Dick Sporting,
00:50:02
whatever it is, and someone talented
00:50:05
who's very charismatic, who will
00:50:06
weaponize social media and AI to collect
00:50:09
legal pledges for funds and will buy
00:50:12
something. I think crowdfunding I think
00:50:14
crowdfunding is going to
00:50:17
um is going to is going to happen." and
00:50:20
and also retail participation in US
00:50:22
equities has risen by nearly 20% of
00:50:24
average daily trading volume which by
00:50:25
the way is usually a sell signal um up
00:50:28
from low single digits before co and
00:50:30
>> so it's like when everybody got in one
00:50:32
of those accounts
00:50:33
>> that's right
00:50:34
>> trade accounts
00:50:34
>> and rather than fading retail flows hit
00:50:36
fresh records in 2025
00:50:38
>> it's cuz the stock market's up
00:50:39
>> that's right and everyone thinks we're a
00:50:40
genius now everyone's like oh I'm I'm
00:50:42
>> all right okay I like that why don't you
00:50:43
do it why don't we buy
00:50:45
>> well that's what I used to do for a
00:50:46
living between 2000 and 2008
00:50:48
>> buy all kinds of sense What could we
00:50:50
buy? What would we buy?
00:50:51
>> All kinds of stunts.
00:50:53
>> Like Chipotle or something?
00:50:54
>> Chipotle's expensive.
00:50:56
>> Chipotle is expensive.
00:50:58
>> I don't want to buy,
00:50:59
>> you know, they send me I used to tell I
00:51:00
was in the original.
00:51:01
>> Isn't that the plot?
00:51:02
>> They sent me a card.
00:51:03
>> This is the most impressive. My sons
00:51:05
have ever been with me. I got a card for
00:51:07
free lifetime Chipotle and I sold it or
00:51:09
I didn't sell it. I've lost it. But I
00:51:12
love Chipotle.
00:51:13
>> Oh, you want one again? That's what this
00:51:14
was about. Little
00:51:15
>> I didn't get paid. They sent me a card.
00:51:16
No, if they do it again, I want I want
00:51:18
serious cabbage.
00:51:19
>> Yeah.
00:51:20
>> Yeah.
00:51:21
>> Yeah. It's uh
00:51:22
>> All right.
00:51:22
>> Yeah.
00:51:23
>> I like that prediction. By the way, I
00:51:25
predict the government is going to lose
00:51:26
that idiotic case against the New York
00:51:28
Times about the hiring the DEI and then
00:51:30
attacking the woman who did
00:51:31
redistricting.
00:51:33
These people make Chowescu look kind.
00:51:36
It's ridiculous. They're going after all
00:51:38
their enemies with the FBI and they're
00:51:40
attacking Here's what I predict. It's
00:51:41
going to end in tears for those people.
00:51:44
They attack the New York Times for DEI
00:51:46
in a lawsuit. Then they're going to use
00:51:49
the Justice Department to try to get uh
00:51:51
Eugene Carol's money that Trump owes
00:51:53
her, the 83 million, which is insane.
00:51:56
And then they attack the woman in the
00:51:58
82-year-old woman. They in they they
00:52:01
raided her office um to try to find
00:52:03
corruption who did the who was so this
00:52:05
this badass lady in Virginia who did all
00:52:07
the redistricting that kicked their ass.
00:52:10
And then they are investigating the
00:52:12
reporter for the Atlantic who, you know,
00:52:16
No [ __ ] Sherlock did the story about
00:52:18
Cash Patel being a drunk. Um, and of
00:52:20
course she immediately answered it by
00:52:22
showing off a bottle she bought on
00:52:24
auction where Cash Patel gives out
00:52:26
whiskey to people with his name on it,
00:52:28
like some Woodford wi reserve whiskey.
00:52:30
So, no one's having any of this nonsense
00:52:33
that they're doing. It's just so like
00:52:35
clawish and thuggish. So, none of it's
00:52:37
going to work. That's my prediction. I
00:52:38
>> I I can't help it. I agree with you.
00:52:41
Private companies get to do what they
00:52:42
want. Whether do that's none of the
00:52:44
government's business in my view. Unless
00:52:46
it's they're claiming reverse racism. I
00:52:50
I think that
00:52:51
>> I will say
00:52:52
>> let the guy sue her sue the New York
00:52:54
Times. I don't care.
00:52:56
>> Um look, a search warrant is not proof
00:52:59
of guilt, but it is a serious threshold
00:53:01
and federal judges do not casually
00:53:03
approve raids on senior state
00:53:04
legislators.
00:53:06
>> Come on.
00:53:06
>> So, well,
00:53:08
>> why her? Why her?
00:53:09
>> Because well, okay, you could argue that
00:53:11
the investigation, the fact it was even
00:53:14
launched is politicized, but a federal a
00:53:16
sitting federal uh judge, they do not
00:53:19
issue
00:53:20
>> I don't know.
00:53:21
>> This is this is in my opinion, we'll see
00:53:23
what the evidence says.
00:53:24
>> That's correct. We'll see what the
00:53:26
evidence says.
00:53:26
>> You know, because at the same time, a
00:53:28
high-profile corruption probe,
00:53:30
>> they often look strongest at the raid
00:53:32
stage and weaker later once the evidence
00:53:34
is scrutinized. Leticia James.
00:53:36
>> But to be fair to the other side, a
00:53:38
search warrant is a, you know, it has to
00:53:40
pass a serious threshold that a federal
00:53:42
judge does not casually approve on
00:53:45
senior state legis.
00:53:46
>> I understand that, but there's a reason
00:53:47
they didn't pick 20 other Republican
00:53:49
ones. This is what they do all the time.
00:53:51
They just This is it's a it's a
00:53:53
weaponization of the power and they they
00:53:56
complained about it happening to them
00:53:59
and then they're doing it. So, stop it.
00:54:01
Just cut it out. Anyway, we want to hear
00:54:02
from you. to send us your questions
00:54:03
about business, tech, or whatever is on
00:54:05
your mind. Go to nymag.com/pivot
00:54:07
to submit a question for the show or
00:54:09
call 85551 pivot. Elsewhere in the Karen
00:54:12
Scott universe this week, Scott uh ProfG
00:54:14
Markets is going on tour this month. Uh
00:54:16
tell us a little bit about it. Tell us a
00:54:19
tiny thing. It's kicking off May 27th.
00:54:22
It's going to San Francisco, LA, Miami,
00:54:24
Chicago, and New York. You go to
00:54:26
profarketsour.com
00:54:28
for tickets. Tell us a tiny bit about
00:54:29
this and why people should go.
00:54:31
>> Uh well, thanks Cara. It's similar to
00:54:33
what we did with Pivot. It's a live
00:54:35
tour. We have a bunch of great guests
00:54:37
across different cities. It was
00:54:39
interesting. It's interesting what sells
00:54:40
out the quickest. New York and San
00:54:44
Francisco. We were worried that San
00:54:45
Francisco wouldn't like us because we're
00:54:46
constantly ship hosting tech people, but
00:54:49
New York and San Francisco are going to
00:54:51
sell out in the next 24 hours. And um
00:54:55
anyways, but yeah, it's just a live tour
00:54:56
with me and Eden.
00:54:58
>> We sold out San Francisco first on
00:55:00
Pivot. So, it looks like Toronto. Was it
00:55:02
Toronto and
00:55:04
>> Oh, Toronto and Boston. Wait, did
00:55:05
Boston.
00:55:06
>> We sold out Boston fast. We sold them
00:55:07
all out fast. I'll be on the LA was
00:55:09
happen to be a huge theater. So, it took
00:55:10
a little longer, but
00:55:11
>> yeah. But it's it's u and it'll be after
00:55:14
the show. It'll be a bunch of people
00:55:16
coming up to me and asking me if Edson
00:55:17
is single because their daughter is
00:55:19
looking for a nice husband. Um but yeah,
00:55:22
so it's it's my um Propy Markets live
00:55:25
tour. Go to property markets tour.
00:55:27
>> Propy Markets Tour uh.com.
00:55:30
Yeah, thanks for that.
00:55:31
>> Good.
00:55:32
>> But yeah, it's starting at the end of
00:55:34
May and first week of June.
00:55:36
>> Great. That's fantastic. And also, we're
00:55:37
going to be doing Pivot in the fall.
00:55:39
Another Pivot tour in the Nepal. We're
00:55:40
just You're going to be on the road,
00:55:41
Scott Gallow.
00:55:42
>> We're doing another tour.
00:55:43
>> Yes. You know that. What do you do? You
00:55:46
know that? We are.
00:55:47
>> I didn't know that, but I'm excited
00:55:48
about it.
00:55:49
>> You did know. We literally had a call
00:55:51
about it. What happened?
00:55:52
>> We didn't have a call about another
00:55:53
tour.
00:55:54
>> We literally discussed it. We're having
00:55:56
a tour in the fall. You were on the
00:55:58
call. You weren't listening,
00:56:00
>> but you were there.
00:56:01
>> I know.
00:56:02
>> You were.
00:56:02
>> I don't remember. Where am I?
00:56:03
>> Well, we're having one. Anyway, that's
00:56:05
the show. Thanks for listening to Pivot
00:56:07
and be sure to like and subscribe to our
00:56:09
YouTube channel. We'll be back next
00:56:11
week.

Episode Highlights

  • Ted Turner: A Legacy of Philanthropy
    Ted Turner, the founder of CNN, was not just a media mogul but also a major philanthropist, donating a record $1 billion to establish the United Nations Foundation. His unique approach to wealth and service set him apart
    “He was a different kind of billionaire.”
    @ 00m 36s
    May 08, 2026
  • Remembering Ted Turner's Humor
    Ted Turner was known for his sharp wit and humor, often making memorable remarks during his career. One of his famous quotes was about a deal he made, stating it was 'better than sex.'
    “This deal was better than sex.”
    @ 01m 26s
    May 08, 2026
  • The Downfall of Traditional Media
    A reflection on the decline of traditional media since the early 2000s, marked by chaotic industry dynamics.
    “The fall of traditional media for me is embodied by when I first moved to New York in 2000.”
    @ 19m 10s
    May 08, 2026
  • Elon Musk's Change of Heart
    After previously calling Anthropic 'evil', Musk now praises its executives: "No one set off my evil detector."
    “No one set off my evil detector.”
    @ 22m 27s
    May 08, 2026
  • The Worst Acquisition in History
    Discussion on Marissa Mayer's purchase of Tumblr for $1.1 billion, which later sold for mere millions.
    “Tumblr, the worst acquisition in history.”
    @ 25m 19s
    May 08, 2026
  • The Unqualified Elite
    The richest people on earth are manifestly unhappy and unqualified to run AGI.
    “None of them are qualified to run AGI.”
    @ 35m 25s
    May 08, 2026
  • AI in Investing
    AI can identify market risks but often gives flawed advice, highlighting its limitations.
    “AI could sound confident and persuasive even when its advice may be flawed or risky.”
    @ 38m 11s
    May 08, 2026
  • Crowdfunding the Future
    A TikToker raised $132 million to buy Spirit Airlines, showcasing a new era of crowdfunding.
    “Crowdfunding is going to happen.”
    @ 50m 17s
    May 08, 2026
  • Propy Markets Live Tour
    Scott Gallow and Eden are going on tour! Kicking off May 27th in major cities.
    “It's just a live tour with me and Eden.”
    @ 54m 33s
    May 08, 2026
  • Pivot Tour Announcement
    Another Pivot tour is planned for the fall, keeping the excitement alive!
    “We're having one. Anyway, that's the show.”
    @ 56m 05s
    May 08, 2026

Episode Quotes

Key Moments

  • Media Mogul00:24
  • Legacy Discussion06:28
  • Media Downfall19:10
  • Tumblr Acquisition25:19
  • Unqualified Leaders35:25
  • Crowdfunding Revolution50:17
  • Government Predictions51:41
  • Fall Tour Plans55:43

Words per Minute Over Time

Vibes Breakdown

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