Search Captions & Ask AI

Trump’s State of the Union: “High Chance of Crazy” | Pivot

February 24, 2026 / 01:04:10

This episode of Pivot covers the blizzard in New York, the recent violence in Mexico involving cartels, and the implications of Donald Trump's tariffs. Scott Galloway and Cara Swisher discuss the impact of the Halisco New Generation Cartel's leader's death and the resulting chaos in Puerto Vallarta. They also touch on the U.S. role in the drug trade and the structural issues within Mexico's governance.

Scott shares his thoughts on the blizzard warning affecting over 40 million people in the U.S., while Cara mentions her upcoming award ceremony in Brooklyn. They both express their love for Mexico despite the violence, emphasizing that most of it is localized.

The conversation shifts to Trump's tariffs, which he has raised to 15% following a Supreme Court ruling against his previous authority. Scott critiques Trump's approach to trade and the potential economic consequences, including the confusion it creates for businesses.

They also discuss the upcoming State of the Union address, Trump's disapproval ratings, and the reactions from Democrats. The episode concludes with a focus on corporate accountability and the political implications of Trump's comments regarding corporate board members.

TLDR

Scott and Cara discuss the blizzard, cartel violence in Mexico, and Trump's tariffs amid political tensions.

Episode

1:04:10
00:00:00
The victimization that he has is so massive, you know, that he's always being victimized. Someone's always
00:00:06
[ __ ] him. That's his whole world view. Hi everyone, this is Pivot from New York
00:00:15
Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast Network. I'm Cara Swisser. >> And I'm Scott Galloway.
00:00:20
>> Scott, you're missing the blizzard. It's outside. I should pull it back.
00:00:24
>> Is it a bomb cyclone? >> It's something else. Can you see that or
00:00:28
not? I see a city being snowed on by an old lady. Um leisure >> today. It's nuts. It's It is really
00:00:38
quite a blizzard. It's a blizzard. It's what's happening here. So, just so you
00:00:42
know, as we tape, over 40 million people in the US are under a blizzard warning,
00:00:46
by the way, and snow dropping 3 in an hour in some locations. It really is still going on here in New York. Um and
00:00:52
it's crazy. It's it's it's there's a lot of snow happening. We all thought the
00:00:56
snow was over. Maybe I'll go take a a walk in New York and co walk in the Central Park and contemplate my life.
00:01:02
>> Do what I would do. Go to Shea Margo and get [ __ ] up and establish eye contact
00:01:06
with a nice young Russian lady. >> I'm getting an award tonight in Brooklyn. I've got to go out there.
00:01:10
>> Of course you are. >> I am. I'm getting the governor's award.
00:01:13
>> I'm getting an award tonight in Brooklyn. That is the most Cara Swisser
00:01:16
thing ever said. >> I'm getting an award in Brooklyn. >> Yes, I have to go there. Yeah, it's for
00:01:23
the ambies. >> What do you Okay. All right. Fine. I'll play along. There's a podcast. What are
00:01:27
you getting an award for? >> For being old from the governor's award. >> The Oscars is a podcast. I thought that
00:01:32
was the vibes. What? What are those? What is it called? The web those. No, that's the Oh, the
00:01:37
>> the signal awards. >> No, I don't know. Whatever. They're
00:01:40
trying to make the mic. That's called That's what podcast. >> This is not the BAFTAs or the Oscars.
00:01:45
This is the podcast version. I'm getting the great contributions to podcasting
00:01:50
award. >> Really? >> I guess here's something crazy going on. Mexican security forces killed the
00:01:55
leader of the Halisco New Generation Cartel and eight other cartel members in a Mexican military operation aided by US
00:02:01
intelligence support and then they went crazy these these cartels and they're
00:02:06
like they're in Porto Viarda like Captain Stubing that's how I know Porto
00:02:09
Viarda from from Loveboat and they're like bombing the whole place and all these Americans have been either
00:02:15
diverted from going there or cannot leave there not just Americans but lots of people and they're like attacking
00:02:22
neighborhoods and this footage is really something. All these burnt cars and it's
00:02:27
really something. I don't know what you think about it. >> I don't it the the issue is it's not I
00:02:35
mean it's violence but it feels like it's more structural governance and an
00:02:39
economic issue that's been evolving for nearly two decades and that is these
00:02:43
cartels are so inextricably integrated into the economy and even the government.
00:02:49
>> That's a really good point. And it it it's not a traditional drug war in the
00:02:53
old sense. It's sort of fragmentation and power vacuums. Right? After the break up of more powerful consolidated
00:03:01
cartels, dozens of regional groups now compete for territory and trafficking routes and increasingly
00:03:08
diversified revenue streams. like things like fuel theft, extortion, uh human smuggling, elite I mean all
00:03:17
kinds of supposedly they've interrupted the avocado supply chain and often times the violence is about local
00:03:25
market control because Mexico is a big economy rather than exports. >> I guess that this is the reaction like
00:03:31
to to just show what they can do to upset economics, right? I guess that's what they're doing like with these. the
00:03:38
I mean the thing that does so much damage to this >> hands down my favorite place to travel
00:03:45
in the world and I'm very fortunate I get to go to a lot of every year I go with a group of guys to Tulum I love
00:03:51
Cabo I think San Miguel dea I just think Mexico I also think it's the best bargain in the world it's six-star
00:04:00
service and food and culture and vistas for fourstar prices where in eur whereas
00:04:06
in Europe you get a lot of five star service for six-star prices. The I absolutely love the food, the culture,
00:04:13
the people. And what happens is Americans immediately are like, "Oh, no. I'm not going to travel there." And the
00:04:18
reality is most of this violence is coni confined to what I'll call Mexican on
00:04:21
Mexican violence, but it makes you think, should I? >> These photos of tourists from, you know,
00:04:28
they're all in their hotels near beaches and they're just showing enormous
00:04:31
amounts of fires. I guess there there was one guy who was in his hotel room and this guy these these two cartel
00:04:37
members are on motorcycles set fire to like a version of a 7-Eleven there like just in front of him and it was really
00:04:45
it's really interesting to experience it this way like sort of online like hey I
00:04:50
was down here having a margarita and oh yeah the drug cartels just bombed a car in my
00:04:57
>> this does this does sort of signal a shift because for the last for in recent
00:05:01
years Mexico's federal ederal strategy and some people call it appeasement has
00:05:05
been more about containment over confrontation. This is confrontation and also we don't we don't want to have an
00:05:10
honest conversation. The US plays a role here. There's a dimension here and that
00:05:14
is a lot of our firearms flow south. You know what drives a lot of the profits here is is US drug demand and fentanyl
00:05:23
production and trafficking have reshaped the the supply chain and the economics of the trade. lower input costs, much
00:05:30
higher potency, smaller shipping volumes. So the the synthetic the power or economic potency of synthetics have
00:05:38
changed the incentive structure. You don't need large cocoa fields or massive
00:05:42
kind of drug smuggling convoys. You need kind of like chemical precursors and in
00:05:49
distribution networks and enforcement muscle. But this is, you know, Yeah. But I'm let me be clear. I'm still going to
00:05:55
Mexico. I love Mexico. Anyway, it's a black eye for Claudia Shine Bomb, I have to say. Even if the
00:06:01
US helped her and stuff like that. Anyway, we'll we'll move on. >> Well, is it a black eye or does she show
00:06:05
some some some muscle here like >> by by doing something about I don't
00:06:09
know. I don't know. We're going to keep watching it and I hope people there are
00:06:13
safe. How is Resistant Unsubscribe going? Some of you have been writing in asking, let's check in on that for
00:06:19
alternatives to big tech that they're unsubscribing from. I'm going to help
00:06:22
you out here. Uh, Scott, we asked David Pierce, editor at large of The Verge and
00:06:26
co-host of The Vergecast, to give us some recommendations. Everyone's going to help you, Scott. Let's listen to what
00:06:31
David has to say. >> If I was trying to get rid of big tech apps in my life, my top three or four
00:06:38
recommendations would definitely start with Proton. Proton is this company started by a bunch of CERN scientists in
00:06:44
Switzerland that is very privacy focused. And over the years, they've actually built a series of apps that are
00:06:50
basically as good as everything you get from Google. They have a drive, they have an email, they have calendar, they
00:06:55
have all this stuff. The next one is probably Signal, which is the messaging app I think everyone should switch to.
00:07:01
There are things that are good about WhatsApp even though it's owned by Meta,
00:07:03
but Signal is is a is an organization run by the right kind of people who believe in the right kind of things. And
00:07:08
then the third one is slightly more a field, but I would say anyone who wants to do smart home stuff in their life
00:07:14
right now should use Home Assistant. You can use Alexa, you can use HomeKit, you
00:07:19
can use Google, but Home Assistant is this very specific, hackable, open system that you control much more
00:07:30
completely than you control any of those other systems. Everything from the stuff
00:07:33
on your doorbell that's looking out at the world and seeing people come up to
00:07:36
your door to like the baby monitors inside of your house. Who runs that stuff matters.
00:07:41
>> That was great. That was great. Those are all three terrific recommendations.
00:07:45
So, what's going on, Scott? >> Well, first off, it bears repeating. You
00:07:49
have been the biggest supporter of this and I very much appreciate it. Um, >> no problem.
00:07:53
>> But as we wind down February, so the two objectives were what I call signal and
00:07:58
incentives. wanted to send a signal to the American public that they have this weapon hiding in plain sight and that
00:08:03
their economic decisions can have an impact. I think we've I I think we've
00:08:08
hit that on all levels. We've gotten just a ton of media exposure, a ton of unsubscribes
00:08:15
people. I do think there's a large percentage of the populace who now realizes that economic strength is is
00:08:19
strength. The second objective was incentives and that is to reconfigure the incentives among big tech executives
00:08:24
to think twice before they enable or facilitate. I'm not sure we've accomplished that quite frankly. I my
00:08:30
friends have said it's a conversation on product management teams but it's not a
00:08:34
board level conversation yet. >> So the question is as we wind down February what do we do? And I was
00:08:40
>> I was contacted by um uh the Dutch historian Ruter Bregman who's been
00:08:45
instrumental in this. >> Yeah. I'm a huge fan by the way. He's only 37.
00:08:49
>> He's a lovely guy. >> Yeah. And super smart. and he reached out and said,
00:08:53
>> "FYI, for people who don't know, he confronted the issue of billionaires at
00:08:56
Davos and got a lot of >> He called him a bunch of tax avoiders." He basically said, "None of you want to
00:09:01
talk about the real issue on the table, which was tax avoidance." He's unafraid.
00:09:04
I love the guy. And anyways, I I love authors and academics who are just sort of unafraid.
00:09:10
>> And he contacted me and said, "You've got the brand, the visibility, and the
00:09:14
momentum. We have this group of really talented young people and some traction in something called Quit GPT." and his
00:09:21
view is you need to consolidate and focus on one and try and bring them down. And so we're trying to figure out
00:09:29
um and I'm going to speak to you about it and some other people, but I've had a
00:09:32
bunch of organizations, a bunch of Congress people, elected representatives all say, how do we
00:09:38
continue this and how do we make it more effective? and it's gotten I did an I
00:09:43
did an analysis for us to get the number of visitors unique visitors to our site
00:09:47
if we paid for it and we haven't paid a dime would cost us somewhere between5
00:09:51
and $9 million. It just shows the power of social media um in terms of the platforms we've built
00:09:58
and the content stream we have uh and how powerful podcasts are driving. But I need to in the next several days figure
00:10:06
out what we do in March. Is it focusing? Is it different media outlets? What is it that that helps maintain this
00:10:12
momentum? Is it consolidating? There are three or four similar movements around the world. Do we all consolidate? I was
00:10:19
on a call with recorded ed and I was like, if the British, the Russians, and the Americans can come together to
00:10:24
defeat Germany, maybe we should figure out a way to all consolidate and come together. But the the two points are
00:10:31
distill down to a smaller number of targets if you will and also do what you said devel uh um structure some
00:10:37
full-time resources. >> Yeah, I think so. So that that that that you can they just tell you what to do,
00:10:43
right? Essentially there's there's a lot of people who do that. One of the things
00:10:46
that's you know someone who I'm really impressed with that maybe well she's a
00:10:49
Democratic uh she wrote a great book about young people organizing Amanda Litman who runs Run for Something and
00:10:54
it's to I had her on the podcast. She's incredibly um you know strategic in
00:10:59
terms of figuring out what people need to do, especially young people. It seems like this is something you need to get
00:11:05
people who are actually a little more you know that that really can focus energetically. I don't mean
00:11:09
professionally like because there's a lot of professional organizers that don't really get stuff done. I think
00:11:14
you've really caught lightning in a bottle here and you've got to keep doing
00:11:17
it. Anyway, we were we're still working on an event uh Scott and I are and so
00:11:22
we're going to do that hopefully. Um and uh and we'll see where it goes from
00:11:27
there. Um but let's uh let's move on to the stuff we have to cover today. Uh
00:11:30
Donald Trump is increasing his global tariff uh to 15% from 10% effective immediately just days after the Supreme
00:11:37
Court struck down most of his global tariffs. In a 6 to3 decision, the court ruled that Trump exceeded his authority
00:11:42
when he invoked the Emergency Powers Act. Trump called the decision ridiculous and anti-American. He also
00:11:47
insulted the justices personally quite a bit. Um that was, you know, it was worse
00:11:52
than that. He's just being a giant [ __ ] baby. His latest workaround uses a 1974 trade law that allows him to
00:11:58
impose temporary terrorists for 150 days. He just posted on True Social a little while ago about the court
00:12:03
empowering him to use the terrorists in a more powerful and obnoxious way. He's
00:12:07
just, you know, he's just the the the court, let me be clear, was very clear
00:12:12
about what he was doing was illegal essentially and that the Congress and and and uh Gorsuch, the judge Gorsuch
00:12:19
had a really eviscerating take on how Congress has sort of abregated its responsibility. Uh they also are
00:12:25
questioning one of the other justices also questioned whether the re who was against it questions if the if the
00:12:32
refunds could happen. Um Scott Bessant sort of is trying to hedge that bet because they've got to give billions in
00:12:38
in many many billions in um I think 175 billion something like that in returns to US businesses etc. Um what did you
00:12:49
think about this and the reaction? Um I I I'll just let me let me actually read
00:12:55
through this stuff. We can discuss the whole thing. The repercussions of this tariff position. The EU just hit pause
00:13:00
on its US trade deal until it gets more clarity on what Trump is doing. Thousands of companies around the world
00:13:04
have already filed lawsuits challenging the tariffs even before the Supreme Court's ruling. So there's all a market
00:13:09
in that. Estimates suggest the government could owe again more than 175 billion in refunds. The Supreme Court is
00:13:16
leaving the refund question in lower courts. This is just Kavanagh who warned the process. It's going to be a mess.
00:13:20
And it is. Let's let's listen to Secretary Bessant uh what he said about
00:13:24
these payoffs. He spoke to Fox News after the decision. This could take months. This could take years to to
00:13:30
litigate and to get to the payouts. And if there is a payout, it looks like it's
00:13:37
just going to be the ultimate corporate welfare. >> Oh, please, Scott. You took the money
00:13:41
from them. Give it back. Um, so talk about what the next move is for everybody and and and the reaction that
00:13:46
Trump had, which was was was very I honestly thought it was dangerous given the political uh heat right now,
00:13:53
especially for the Supreme Court justices. Well, it's weird. Everyone says he's a loser.
00:14:01
There's no doubt it's a check on his authority and, you know, a rejection or
00:14:06
a gag reflex. The the primary purpose or power of Congress is the power of the purse. They're the ones that are
00:14:12
supposed to I mean what you've had on a metal level and Barry Goldwater back in
00:14:17
the 70s warned of this there's been a slow abregation of power to the executive branch and a lot of the power
00:14:24
was checked by norms not by laws and then someone showed up and said [ __ ] the norms I'm declaring wars and tariffs on
00:14:32
my own. And one of the reasons you've seen such uh so many Republican Congress
00:14:37
people decide to retire is they're like it's one thing to be in the minority and
00:14:41
know that you've been defenistrated or neutered. It's another thing to be in
00:14:44
the majority and the speaker of the house is not the speaker of the house. He's the speaker of the white house.
00:14:48
He's there just to run rough shot over us and pretend he represents Congress.
00:14:53
He doesn't. He represents the president. And Republicans are like, "Wait, I
00:14:58
thought we were in charge and had some say here and we don't." And these
00:15:01
tariffs would not have gone through. there are enough Republicans against the tariffs. You know, they're supposed to
00:15:05
be the free marketers. So, this is a victory for uh co-equal branches of government in Congress controlling the
00:15:14
purse. I think it's a huge victory for the Supreme Court who was looking increasingly like Trump's um you know,
00:15:22
trolls or not trolls, Trump's acolytes, right? This does look like the independence of the court. Six to three
00:15:28
is pretty resounding. In a weird way, I thought this gave Trump an offramp from what was clearly a failed economic
00:15:36
policy that I thought the economy and the stock market would actually probably um go up. What was interesting is the
00:15:44
the reaction was muted. The market was slightly up, but now it's looking like
00:15:48
he's going to use another provision 122 which only lasts 150 days. But it's more
00:15:53
inconsistency. And we've said this for a long time. More than more than the tariffs themselves, the most damaging
00:15:58
thing to American trade policy is inconsistency. Nobody no small business knows how to plan their business against
00:16:05
what will be tariffs or not tariffs. What I've been tracking, I was working with a hedge fund trying to find tariff
00:16:12
claims. So if you're Mercedes-Benz of the United States and you paid 20 million tariffs, you could at one point
00:16:18
potentially buy those claims for 10 cents on the dollar. Now, those have accelerated to 20 to 40 cents on the
00:16:25
dollar, but the reason they're not trading at 60 or 80 cents on the dollar is the administration and complexity of
00:16:30
potentially getting the money back. I think that's a red herring. I just don't
00:16:34
>> I think if if they collected this money easily, I don't see why they can't
00:16:37
reimburse it easily. It was all done digitally. So, I don't I don't buy that
00:16:40
argument. But, it's more indecision. It's more sclerotic decision-m where
00:16:45
people can't plan their business again. And what you see is just a continued
00:16:50
reconfiguration of the global supply chain around the US where we have massively
00:16:56
benefited over you know someone brought up the notion the very simple notion actually I think it was Justin Wers that
00:17:01
said we have a trade deficit in the form of dollars but we have a trade surplus in the form of stuff. So the example is
00:17:09
I have a trade deficit with my barber but my barber makes me look just [ __ ] dreamy for very little money. So it's a
00:17:16
good trade and US trade policy while we give more paper money to them we get so much [ __ ] because of the strength of the
00:17:25
dollar is an economic imbeile like he's just he's seeing things like he learned
00:17:29
economics in fourth grade and that's where he's stuck right >> but if you if you if you if you export
00:17:35
$100 with Nvidia chips to Germany in exchange for $100 of a Mercedes G Wagon they operate at 10 points operating
00:17:43
margin and get seven times you IBIT does. So they get $70. We operate uh Nvidia operates at like 60
00:17:51
points operating margin and trades at 40. We get $2,400. I mean, if there's any asymmetry here of
00:18:00
who is who has disproportionately benefited from global trade, it's been the US. We've been the big winner.
00:18:06
>> So this is stuck in Trump's brain forever because he's just not honestly
00:18:10
he's not that smart, right? like I know just in a in a very basic way he has
00:18:14
this has had in this brain and then he has these facilitators and by the way Scott Besset knows better of course he
00:18:19
knows exactly what you know and he's I don't know what his game is I mean it's
00:18:23
he's talk about tarnishing a reputation that he had that was pretty decent um
00:18:28
but one of the one of the things that's problematic is that he's operating sort
00:18:32
of economics for dummies or something like something because he sticks in his brain that this is the way things go and
00:18:39
I I I think most people don't think about it in in in a complex way. I think
00:18:44
the two things that I think about again were these that the Supreme Court did him a favor here, right? That got him he
00:18:50
got to try out his stupid ideas. >> He seems to be doubling down. >> He's doubling down in a really demented
00:18:57
way and the personal stuff that he was attacking them with. And you know, apparently
00:19:01
>> families should be ashamed. >> Families and Barrett, Coney Barrett and
00:19:06
Gorsuch, I think. um just really strange just really really strange and they were
00:19:12
all they were saying was pointing out the obvious which was this is something Congress should do it's something
00:19:17
Congress is job is to do and he just doesn't feel any restraints on himself and that's what it is and it's like old
00:19:25
man combined with someone who's already an egoomaniac and a narcissist combined
00:19:30
with more old man combined with he gets to do what he wants this term and the victimization that he has is so massive
00:19:37
you know that he's always being victimized. Someone's always [ __ ] him. That's his whole world view that
00:19:42
it's just we're being governed by a guy who just again didn't is a victim.
00:19:48
Thinks he's a victim. Anyway, uh we'll see where does it go from here very
00:19:52
briefly. >> Well, on Cowsi, they're saying it's a 76% chance the court orders a tariff
00:19:58
refund before 2027. So, it does feel like he's running out of options. This section 122 has a maximum 150 days. The
00:20:07
Supreme Court does seem pretty resolute on this 63. I don't think he's going to
00:20:11
lot get a lot of support from even Republicans who are Congress like, "Oh, wait. We have meaning again. You mean we
00:20:15
get to actually have input? You actually have to bring this to us." And and if if
00:20:19
he thinks these tariffs have merit and they're good for the economy, then take
00:20:23
it to Congress and work out a deal with them. That's that's what they're there
00:20:27
for. >> He can't get it passed because he can't get it passed the way he wants
00:20:29
>> because he can't justify it intellectually or economically. Right. Well,
00:20:33
>> this is the the amount of money the prosperity we have recognized from global trade. Now, granted
00:20:40
he his some of his instincts are correct. We had an asymmetric relationship. We were getting taken
00:20:45
advantage of in my view in terms of our relationship with China. They you know they they steal our IP and then sell us
00:20:52
stuff at 60 cents on the dollar. We are not good at looking after people who are
00:20:56
on the wrong end of global trade. Right. >> But he's never doing that. He just tells
00:21:00
them he's here for them. But then he doesn't actually do anything for them.
00:21:05
>> And then if you want to look at the manufacturing sector that was supposed
00:21:08
to be rejuvenated, that has not happened. What has happened >> is that the tourist industry which
00:21:13
employs 12 million people versus the manufacturing industry which employs 11 million is taking a real hit cuz
00:21:21
Canadians are thinking, "No, I'm not going to Disneyland or Las Vegas this
00:21:24
year." Did you see that story about that British woman who was put into ice for 6
00:21:28
weeks for, you know, >> checking your people have to turn over their phone and they're being asked for
00:21:34
their password? It's like, [ __ ] that. I'll go to I'll go to Capri or I'll go
00:21:37
to Buenosar, you know, I'll do something else. I would think this is a I would
00:21:42
think every tourism board in the world is like come here. We'll take your money.
00:21:45
>> Okay, Scott, let's go on a quick break. When we come back, get ready for Trump's
00:21:49
State of the Union. Support for this show comes from Delete Me. Whether you're a public figure or a private
00:21:55
citizen, it's easier than ever for bad actors to get your personal information.
00:21:59
I've tried delete me a lot and I really have had a great time figuring out how
00:22:03
much information data brokers have about me. It's scary and it's surprising and I
00:22:09
am always disturbed by how much they bring together and how sometimes wrong it is. So, it's really important to get
00:22:15
your data in line with things. A dashboard on Delete Me is very easy to use and you can tell them what you want
00:22:21
deleted and what you want to keep an eye on. Delete Me makes it easy, quick, and
00:22:25
safe to remove your personal data online at a time when surveillance and data breaches are common enough to make
00:22:29
everyone vulnerable. With Delete Me, you can protect your personal privacy or the
00:22:33
privacy of your business from doxing attacks before sensitive information can be exploited. The New York Times wire
00:22:38
cutter has named Delete Meir their top pick for data removal services compared to others out there. Take control of
00:22:43
your data and keep your private life private by signing up for Delete Me now at a special discount for our listeners.
00:22:49
Get 20% off your DeleteMe plan when you go to joindeleteme.com/pivot and use the promo code pivot at
00:22:55
checkout. The only way to get 20% off is to go to joindeleteme.com/pivot and enter the code pivot at checkout.
00:23:02
That's joined me.com/pivot code pivot. Support for the show comes from ShipStation. Growth is good, but it also
00:23:13
brings new business challenges. For example, it can get tougher and tougher to fulfill orders. That is unless you
00:23:18
have ShipStation by your side. Shipstation's intelligence-driven platforms brings everything you need to
00:23:23
get orders to customers in one place. That includes order management, rate shopping, inventory and returns,
00:23:28
warehouse systems, and comprehensive analytics. And that means that instead of five to seven disconnected tools,
00:23:34
you've got one. ShipStation says they can save customers 15 hours per week on
00:23:37
fulfillment. And they also do the leg work of comparing rates across all major global carriers, finding you the best
00:23:43
shipping options on every order. If you already have negotiated carrier rates, just bring them over so you can keep
00:23:48
your discounts while adding ShipStation's automation and intelligent features to make things even smoother. 1
00:23:54
million businesses have trusted Shipstation. You can join them and try ShipStation for free for 60 days with
00:24:00
full access to all features. No credit card needed. Go to shipstation.com and use code pivot for 60 days for free. 60
00:24:08
days gives you plenty of time to see exactly how much time and money you're saving on every shipment. That's
00:24:13
shipstation.com code pivot. shipstation.com code pivot. >> Scott, we're back. As we record, we're
00:24:22
one day away from Trump's State of the Union speech. This will appear on the
00:24:25
day of it. He's walking in with a 60% disapproval rating. According to a new
00:24:30
Washington Post ABC Ipsos poll, House Minority Leader Hakee Jeff is urging Democrats either attend in silent
00:24:37
defiance or skip the speech. And a growing number of Democrats plan to attend a counter rally on the National
00:24:42
Mall called the people's state of the union. And uh Virginia Governor Abigail
00:24:46
Spanber is delivering the official Democratic response. It's a good choice. Um what do you think of this?
00:24:52
>> I I don't think he quite frank I I'm wondering if that's if and when we bomb
00:24:57
Iran. I don't >> I don't think he has a lot to I I don't know.
00:25:02
>> Apparently it apparently he's going to talk about how manufacturing is coming back to the
00:25:07
US like tomorrow. He's sort of like an Elon promise. >> I think the screenshots here are going
00:25:11
to be really hilarious. The audience reaction even I think there's even going
00:25:14
to be some Republicans who are kind of like, "Oh yeah, I clap." Uh yeah, that's
00:25:18
not >> Yeah, >> that's not that's not working here. I I think it's going to be very interesting,
00:25:25
but I feel as if he's, you know, they're like, "Okay, how do we turn chicken [ __ ]
00:25:29
into chicken salad here?" >> Yeah. They're going to to Vance apparently gave an interview where he's
00:25:34
talking about how we're going to suddenly have factories everywhere. Like it's all made up. Literally, it feels
00:25:38
like, you know, there was a really interesting meme online, Elon promising autonomy for like 10 years, like
00:25:44
tomorrow, next week. They're going to try to say everything's great with the
00:25:47
economy, which to me, when Biden did that, was so uneffective when people know that's not the case. I think this
00:25:53
these these numbers are just astonishing that he keeps doubling down, right, on these 60% disapproval is so high. I
00:26:01
don't think you I think it was this number right after the January 6th attack on the capital. I mean, I think
00:26:08
that's where we are right now. And um it'll be interesting. I think there's a
00:26:12
high chance of crazy like that he does something nuts. >> Just goes unchained.
00:26:16
>> Unchained like he says something kooky or he loses his words. I wouldn't get up
00:26:21
there if I were him. You know, of course he's going to have pancake makeup caked
00:26:26
on his hand. By the way, whoever is doing that, I can tell you there are Hollywood people that can make that hand
00:26:31
look better. I keep looking at it. I'm like, what is his like secretary doing
00:26:35
it or, you know, with a bunch of like like cheap makeup? It's really weird. I
00:26:40
feel like they could do a better job. >> It's the same person that came up with
00:26:42
the tariff strategy. >> Right. Exactly. It's Peter Navaro slabbering, you know, Mac.
00:26:47
>> Hold your hand out. >> It's not even >> My niece works My niece works at
00:26:51
Sephora. This is how you do it. >> But seriously, I think it is a good chance of crazy. good can't like a high
00:26:57
chance of crazy like something. Yeah, I wouldn't do it if I were him. I'd find
00:27:00
some dumb excuse not to do it. But he he he's now a heat seeeking me missile.
00:27:06
>> Have you noticed how much he's been like appearing like he keeps appearing
00:27:10
everywhere? I don't know. I just feel like it's bad. And speaking of which, I
00:27:15
think it's we'll see what happens. But the at the very least if he doesn't say
00:27:19
something crazy, poop his pants or or lose his words and it'll be fine, I guess. and doesn't just lie too much.
00:27:27
Um, I don't know. What should the Democrats do? Just show up and say nothing, stare angrily?
00:27:32
>> I think you just I think you just sit there and kind of look like, "Okay,
00:27:36
>> are you [ __ ] kidding me? >> This dude has lost his shit." I I don't
00:27:39
know what they should do. I don't think they uh you know, uh, acquaint yourself like the
00:27:46
elected leaders you are and just uh polite, you not go. The Supreme Court has to go the all of them, right? Don't
00:27:54
you think? Don't you think all of them have to go? >> Yeah. As do our elected representatives.
00:27:59
I I just hate the idea of whoever's president, half the house doesn't show
00:28:03
up. I I don't know. >> I think there's a certain decorum. It's
00:28:06
the State of the Union. Show up. You don't have to smile. You don't have to
00:28:09
applaud. But yeah, I think you show up. And of course, >> they're aliens. Maybe that's what he's
00:28:13
going to do. I don't know. Something. He's going to have to have any jazz
00:28:15
hands and he shouldn't use his hands too much. Let's just say >> I'm just praying that the teleprompter
00:28:20
goes down and he goes full apeshit crazy. I hope that it's >> I hope it's too gin and tonics for drunk
00:28:26
uncle. >> No, but he doesn't drink. Remember, he doesn't drink. Remember his brother died
00:28:30
of alcoholism. >> But other than that, Cara, how is his brother doing? >> What?
00:28:36
>> Dead. All right. Um >> that's like, do you ever run into a friend and you ask how their dad is and
00:28:40
you didn't know? Like, oh, my dad passed a year ago. Oh, but wait, other than
00:28:43
that, how's it going? >> That's always my response. >> You never do that.
00:28:47
>> I totally do that. What are you supposed to say? People, what I find is people
00:28:50
don't go, oh, I'm sorry. All right. It's like, well, dude, he died a year ago.
00:28:53
I'm fine. I think you make a joke out of it. >> Still okay. All right. Well, my mom's
00:28:57
still living. Just remember that. So, all right. >> Lucky. >> Lucky. She's good. I got her a lazy boy.
00:29:03
>> I got her. >> Still good. >> That's the greatest innovation in
00:29:07
Hollywood. It's not AI. It's lazy boys in theater. >> It stands up now. It's so good. I took
00:29:11
her to lunch. I I lifted her right out of that chair. Stuck her in. Anyway, she loves her lazy boy. She loves her.
00:29:18
>> Yeah. >> I'm just saying I'm getting you one. They're very nice now. Anyway, um
00:29:22
>> I want one with wheels where I can just fly down the avenue. >> No, we're going to keep you in a room
00:29:26
and that's going to be the end of it. So, this is one I've been really excited
00:29:30
to talk to you about. President Trump has called on Netflix to fire board member Susan Rice or quote the
00:29:35
consequences after Rice said Democrats would push for corporate accountability. The DOJ is investigating Netflix
00:29:42
proposed takeover of Warner Brothers and whether the deal may quote substantially
00:29:46
lessen competition. and Paramount saying there's quote no statutory impediment to
00:29:51
closing its deal for Warner Brothers after clearing a US antitrust waiting period. This is not true. Uh regulators
00:29:57
could still stop to sue it. Of course, there's the EU and other uh other ways.
00:30:01
This is not This was a press release. Meanwhile, a group of Democratic senators is threatening to investigate
00:30:07
Paramount, seeking information on the company's contacts with the Trump administration. as we tape the seven-day
00:30:12
window for Warner Brothers to talk with Paramount is nearing an end at 11:59 PM on Monday. So, talk about this this
00:30:21
Trump thing. I mean, Susan Rice, like what I mean, maybe it'll have an implication. I don't know. It's just
00:30:26
weird. You can't make like he had tried to get Lisa Monaco from stopping working
00:30:30
at Microsoft. Microsoft just ignored him essentially and she's still working
00:30:33
there. Um, do you think it's important? What do what do what do you think here?
00:30:38
Yeah, it's it's incredibly socialist. Capital markets function on the assumption that boards are accountable
00:30:44
to shareholders, that regulatory authority is exercised through formal channels, and that political powers and
00:30:50
uses leverage and private corporate disputes. And you know, when those lines erode,
00:30:56
you introduce political risk and into ordinary governance decisions. Capitalism is supposed to be regulated
00:31:03
competition. and you a guy who just has a history of bankrupting casinos and leaving a stream of unpaid
00:31:11
subcontractors uh you know who got rich through a grift monetizing the White House is not the
00:31:18
person to be telling companies it's just it's totally anathema to the way America
00:31:23
has built its economy you know when political actors treat corporate boards as cultural back uh
00:31:30
battlegrounds you shift you shift from kind of rules-based capitalism to personalitydriven capitalism. Investors
00:31:40
investors can price regulation, but they struggle to price discretionary political targeting. So, does this mean
00:31:46
every time the administration changes, we invest in companies that are have Democratic board members versus
00:31:52
Republican >> board members? And practically, if presidents start leaning on boards, it
00:31:58
invites Congress, regulators, and state officials to do the same. And that's not
00:32:01
market discipline. That's >> we won't give you this unless you get
00:32:05
rid of this person. I mean, so far >> again, it didn't work with Lisa Monaco
00:32:10
at Microsoft. They just basically ignored the request. >> And I think so I was with some Netflix
00:32:15
people. I went to the BAFTA awards last night and I was >> you went to BAFTA. Hello. Where are the
00:32:22
lead? What did you wear? >> Oh, I I I did know BAFTA was a big deal and I showed up just with a blazer and
00:32:28
then Ted Sandos came up to me in a tux. I'm like, "Oh god, I [ __ ] up."
00:32:31
>> Yeah. Okay. >> Um, >> yeah, he was there. >> Yeah. Uh, but everyone, yeah, it was
00:32:36
really, really fancy. I didn't a friend of mine took me to dinner and said, "Do
00:32:39
you want to go to the BAFA Awards?" I said, "Yeah." >> Wow.
00:32:41
>> And anyways, but they will I I have no inside information here, but I know what smart class act
00:32:51
management is. I am sure if they haven't already, they'll put out a statement of
00:32:54
support for Susan Rice. And this is this has become so obviously he's now supporting um Paramount, but I talked to
00:33:06
some Netflix. I think that at this point these so much testosterone has gotten involved in this. If you had asked
00:33:13
either the Ellison's or Ted Sando 6 months ago, are you willing you ever pay
00:33:18
$82 billion for Warner? They'd say, no [ __ ] way. It's not worth that in any
00:33:22
world. But because Zazlav, to his credit, is not a great operator, but he's an outstanding investment banker,
00:33:28
he has played them off each other and convinced both of them to overpay. If the Ellison's end up getting this, and
00:33:35
Netflix doesn't, my prediction is that Netflix stock is up 10 to 20%. Because
00:33:40
with $80 billion, Netflix can create just a [ __ ] ton of content, new verticals, new markets, new subscription
00:33:45
plans. They'll be able to at this point I think it would almost be better for
00:33:50
them if they lost and they just sue the [ __ ] out of Paramount and the government
00:33:55
and basically create keep Hollywood in a state of flux because >> this non non
00:34:01
>> and they're the winner. They they'll keep on humming. I mean that company's
00:34:04
firing on all 12,000 cylinders with >> content production all over the world
00:34:09
and just you know they're sort of the default, right? You have to even in the
00:34:13
resist and unsubscribe people would say I'm going down to one streaming media
00:34:18
platform and if you go down to one who do you choose >> absolutely >> you choose Netflix right it's
00:34:22
>> Netflix yeah >> everyone else is heated seats and car stereoss they're they're the engine in
00:34:27
the car itself they're the chassis so to speak >> or Disney right because it's
00:34:32
>> you have young kids and you don't watch TV maybe well I guess >> I watch a lot of TV you're wrong you're
00:34:37
wrong I watch it at night >> but but yeah it it's What you're going to see here, I think,
00:34:44
is that even if the Ellison's get it, if Netflix could block the closing of the
00:34:52
acquisition until the next administration, they might be able to overturn it because
00:34:56
>> that's right. >> The whole point of capitalism is it's pretty basic in in M&A. Whoever shows up
00:35:02
with more money gets approved by shareholders and then it has to survive regulatory review. The president has no
00:35:08
role in any of that. That's not as what he that's not what he's there for. He's
00:35:12
the whole point of government is we let our thoroughbreds run. We have antitrust. We have regulatory concerns.
00:35:19
We have cifhious security concerns. But you're supposed guess what the American
00:35:24
corporation is the second best performing organizations in history only behind the US military. We create these
00:35:33
these out of control full body contact violence, not a ton of regulation, low regulation rules, regulated competition
00:35:41
produces unprecedented profits, prosperity, and innovation. And all of a sudden, you have a a failed rich kid
00:35:49
deciding who should own what. >> Yeah. Exactly. So, one of the things that I has is really struck me. Look,
00:35:55
Netflix will be fine without this. I think they really want it now. You know what I mean? I think they are
00:36:00
>> ego's involved now. Not just ego, but it's actually could be good for them, too. Right. This gives
00:36:05
>> I don't agree. I think with that money, they could build a bigger business on
00:36:07
their own >> possibly. Right. You're right. You're absolutely right. So, they'll be fine.
00:36:11
Whatever. And in slowing everything down, they've created a slowdown for everybody, which is always good for them
00:36:17
because they're faster, right? They were lapping Hollywood for years. That I sat
00:36:21
there, I was like, why are you letting Netflix lap you all for years and years and years? So, they have that ability to
00:36:27
do that. And they've always stayed fresh. They're a very fresh company even
00:36:30
as old as they are comparatively, right? So, they're still they remain fresh and
00:36:34
relevant. Um, and people are learning how to do what they do, but it's taken
00:36:38
forever for Hollywood to do so. And one of the things that just gets me is one, the efforts of Paramount are one, to run
00:36:45
a shitty business and show that you cannot do content, whether it's over at CBS News or Losing Taylor Sheridan.
00:36:52
>> Oh, come on. Landmen. >> The world before the world before HR. I love Landmen.
00:36:57
>> Okay. I know you do. >> A bunch of men drilling where they're
00:36:59
not supposed to drill. People die and then they pay him off and everything's
00:37:02
better. >> How could you How could you ruin 60 Minutes? What a bunch of [ __ ] idiots.
00:37:06
I'm sorry. Like, how could you how could you get Anderson Cooper to walk out?
00:37:11
He's such a polite young man. Like, it's just like you're a bunch of dummies. I'm
00:37:15
sorry. I really I like some of you, but seriously, this is rid It comes from the
00:37:20
top. I'm sorry. And getting daddy to pay for it is really depressing on so many
00:37:25
levels. Like, so sad. It's like sad rich kid. And they and they're going to Let
00:37:30
me just tell you, guess who's coming for you. You think the Democrats won't do
00:37:34
anything? You are wrong, Paramount. They are coming at you. If they win these elections, I don't It's going to be a
00:37:41
long time before you get your hands on CNN. It's going to be a long time before
00:37:44
you get your hands on any of this. And then let's stop at European regulators.
00:37:49
Like, and by the way, now people in Hollywood don't all love Netflix. That is 100% clear. But now suddenly a lot of
00:37:56
Hollywood people like Mark Ruffalo very liberal is is pushing back against James
00:38:01
Cameron who's cuz he loves theaters whatever. Um there's now like a a growing like hey leave Netflix alone
00:38:08
like which is incredible because they're so like bossy to most of Hollywood. So
00:38:13
Paramount, you have managed to shoe yourself in every foot possible, every toe in the way you've conducted this and
00:38:19
just throw the money at it as you should have done in the first place and just take daddy's money and and buy it, but
00:38:26
you're still not going to get it easily, especially because you're stressing all
00:38:29
this closeness with the Trump administration. It's not going to end well for you in three or four months.
00:38:34
That's my thought. In the first Star Wars, uh, Jedi Obi-Wan Kenobi is on the
00:38:39
Millennium Falcon and he feels a disturbance in the Force and he has to sit down and he goes, "It's as if
00:38:45
millions of people just screamed and then nothing." And he's referring to the
00:38:50
Death Star which builds a capability to destroy planets and Darth Vader orders the destruction of Aldderon.
00:38:57
You are going to see if the Ellison's get if the Ellison's close, if Paramount
00:39:03
closes on Warner Brothers, you are going to hear a scream from the creative community of which they're not even
00:39:09
aware of. >> Mhm. >> Agreed. >> You have a melting ice cube in Paramount
00:39:15
and then you'll get this the scale. They'll overpay. At this point, they're
00:39:20
both overpaying. Whoever gets it is overpaying. And then father Ellison is gonna go, "Okay, the only way we can get
00:39:26
anything resembling a return is to reduce cost by 40%." The fact that SAG After the Writers Guild are not hair on
00:39:36
fire about AI, you want to see AI come to an industry and destroy the labor. Oh my god. Because Ted Sand, whatever you
00:39:46
think about Netflix, they like Hollywood. >> They still hire makeup artists. They
00:39:50
still they still do things kind of I don't want to call it, >> you know, the old way. I I think with
00:39:56
CBS they're like, "All right, we have to make some bold take some risk because
00:40:01
this thing is just going away slowly." >> Dink way. I get it. They I have a list
00:40:06
of that. >> It's hard to defend the execution to date. They had to take some risks here.
00:40:12
I wouldn't have taken a lot of risk with 60 minutes. Yes. Now, I would have waited until this deal was over and
00:40:18
maybe hired a competent person, but that's a different story. Anyway, um let's go on a quick break and we come
00:40:23
back. Investors want protection from AI. >> Support for the show comes from
00:40:29
Coreeave. AI isn't just a new tool. It encompasses so much more. It's spurring
00:40:34
a revolution across all industries and reshaping itself to become a big part of our future together. Cororeweave is at
00:40:39
the center powering some of the biggest names in AI. As the essential cloud for AI, Coreweee provides an AI platform
00:40:45
that combines next generation infrastructure, intelligent tools, and expert support. It's powering the
00:40:50
world's most complex AI workloads faster and more efficiently. From medical research and diagnosis to education,
00:40:55
from complex visual effects from movies to breakthroughs in science and technology. If it's AI, Corweave is
00:41:01
uniquely ready to power it with purpose-built tech, the big ideas, the wild visions, and what-ifs and why nots.
00:41:07
Cororeweave is working to build what's never been built before. Cororeweave is
00:41:11
the essential cloud for AI. Ready for anything, ready for AI. To learn more about how Coree powers the world's best
00:41:16
AI, go to corweave.com/re for anything. Scott, we're back. This is really interesting because you've talked about
00:41:28
the the problems that companies not AI are having, but Wall Street is taking interest in a new category called Halo
00:41:34
companies. Heavy assets, low obsolescence. Business is seen as largely immune to disruption from AI.
00:41:40
Really interesting. S&P 500 sectors for industrials, materials, utilities, and
00:41:44
consumer staples have marched ahead in the last month. Companies like McDonald's and Exon Mobile are taking a
00:41:49
win as investors try to take cover from potential AI disruption. Now, you've
00:41:54
said a lot of these companies have suffered because AI has taken most of the gains in the stock market. Talk
00:42:00
about this. This was a story in the Wall Street Journal, but it's something we've
00:42:03
discussed before. It was the other 400 companies, not the first the top seven or whatever.
00:42:10
>> There's been a rotation out of AI companies into what are traditionally
00:42:14
thought of as defense stocks like Proctor and Gamble or Caterpillar, but they have been run up. And so what
00:42:20
you've had is you've had this weird phenomena where there's been a pretty
00:42:24
serious like multi-trillion dollar destruction in the private and public market valuations of the companies most
00:42:29
tightly associated with AI whether it's Nvidia or Microsoft or you know they
00:42:35
have all gotten hit pretty hard. What's also interesting though and then there's
00:42:39
been a rotation into quote unquote the defensive guys that are considered AI immune. Goldman Sachs put together an AI
00:42:46
immune index. the opportunity in all of this and where I'm actually thinking of
00:42:50
investing is that while AI stocks have come down, you know, the there's still a
00:42:56
massive fear that they're going to destroy entire sectors. And the sectors that are ground zero for this fear right
00:43:03
now are traditional SAS companies, Salesforce, Service Now, um Adobe. The view is since this new innovation from
00:43:13
um clude I'm sorry from claude that those businesses that someone will just automatically put in a prompt and all of
00:43:20
a sudden overnight no longer need Salesforce for their CRM for for their salespeople and that overnight
00:43:27
Salesforce is going to go away. I mean Salesforce and Adobe and Service Now these companies are off somewhere
00:43:32
between 40 and 70%. These companies and by the way there's absolutely no evidence whatsoever. voted last week.
00:43:40
Yeah. >> So, these companies are growing at double digits. Meanwhile, some of these
00:43:44
old economy companies that are growing at single digits are trading at much higher multiples. So, I would argue that
00:43:52
one of the biggest opportunities in the market right now is the traditional SAS companies as a multiple on their free
00:43:58
cash flow. They >> This is beyond these Halo companies, beyond the McDonald's.
00:44:02
>> No, I think the Halo guys quite frankly are overpriced right now. >> Oh, interesting. They're low growth
00:44:08
companies trading at exceptional pees. Meanwhile, I mean, keep in mind if you think so at all my companies, we've had
00:44:17
Salesforce. I don't care if some kid if some kid came to me and said, "Okay, we can kind
00:44:22
of replicate Salesforce with a thoughtful prompt into anthropic." I'd be like, "Okay, we're going to have to
00:44:29
retrain everybody on a new UI." these companies get so they have client service, they have events, they have
00:44:36
they have worked out millions of bugs over a couple years. I get invited to Dreamforce if I spend enough money. The
00:44:44
thought that all of a sudden people are just going to strip out Adobe or Figma or Service Now is just these companies
00:44:53
are so deeply embedded. You can call it technical debt, you can call it switching costs, whatever it is. In
00:44:59
addition, if if AI can actually take the coding down to something meaningless, then what will happen, I think, is that
00:45:07
these SAS companies will reduce their cost by 10 or 20%. Which gives you their actual coding and technical costs are
00:45:14
only 10 or 20% of their revenue. The other 80% is marketing, branding, client service, design, events is so that shows
00:45:22
you where the value is. They'll do the same thing and then pass on those savings. So you might see some mild
00:45:28
margin compression, but I think the flight into quote unquote defensive stocks. I think that trade has been
00:45:33
overdone. And I think there's one of the biggest I haven't been able to find value
00:45:38
anywhere. I've been selling, not buying for the first time in a long time. I
00:45:43
look at these SAS companies. There is absolutely no evidence anywhere that a large corporation is giving up Adobe or
00:45:49
Salesforce and putting in new prompts into AI. So I think that threat has been massively
00:45:56
over overdone. Also I think the rotation into these more traditional low growth companies quite frankly I think those
00:46:03
guys are really overvalued right now. These are low growth companies trading at a tech growth multiples.
00:46:10
>> Yeah I would agree. I think you're absolutely right. I think that's a
00:46:13
really interesting take on that. The it is interesting that people are looking beyond AI right like where are the
00:46:19
opportunities and I think I think your argument is excellent. So, what are you buying?
00:46:23
>> Oh, I'm going to put together probably a basket of Figma, Adobe, Salesforce,
00:46:29
maybe Service Now, but I look at those companies and unless there's a collapse
00:46:35
in their business model, do you know how hard it is to get rid of I remember, you
00:46:40
know, these companies are so deeply embedded. I remember we were paying $25,000 a year for my terminal for
00:46:46
Bloomberg and we thought, okay, let's go to Thompson Reuters. It's cheaper.
00:46:50
Bloomberg is so tightly integrated into your life if you're managing a hedge
00:46:54
fund. Even messaging the way we message people in the hedge fund over time, Scott things do get replaced over time,
00:47:02
right? >> I think what's going to happen here is margin compression >> a box if you remember a lot of this
00:47:08
>> but they'll I think they'll cut costs. I mean I still think I mean for example
00:47:13
Salesforce I actually think is really brilliant branding. They have built some of the tallest buildings in every one of
00:47:18
their markets in the world. There there's probably if they needed to quite a bit of cost they could cut and pass on
00:47:24
to their consumers. These are smart people. What they might say is if they see a threat they might say oh
00:47:31
Salesforce is now6x per seat versus X per seat. These are smart well-run management teams. Uh and by the way no
00:47:40
evidence whatsoever that any of this is impacting any of those companies. >> Yes. That is the bigger point. All
00:47:46
right. Scott's going different than Halo. He's going, "What are we going to
00:47:49
call them? S not dead software." >> I would say abandoned. Abandoned. It's
00:47:56
like that little monkey who was who was rejected by his his family and found a plushy. It's the plushy strategy.
00:48:04
>> I knew you watched that. >> I can't stop watching that little
00:48:07
monkey. >> I know. >> I can't stop watching. >> Did you see the one
00:48:10
>> his mom rejected him and they gave him a plushy? >> I know. But did you see the one where
00:48:14
they it was speaking of AI use where the monkey attacks all the other monkey the
00:48:18
monkey with the plushy attacks all the other monkeys >> starts doing kung fu on them.
00:48:22
>> Yeah. Starts doing kung fu on them like he's like he's had enough. He's going to
00:48:26
punch. Anyway, >> I just thought that I saw that and granted I think I was on an edible and
00:48:31
I'm like that's my purpose in life is to be other people's plushy. >> Plushy.
00:48:35
>> That's my purpose. >> You are my plushy. Anyway, >> I meant I'm here to go somewhere weird
00:48:40
really quickly. So, I'm going to move on. One more quick break. We'll be back
00:48:43
for wins and fails. Support for today's show comes from Upwork. Hiring help shouldn't be a headache, let alone a
00:48:50
drain on your budget. Upwork makes it easy to hire specialized freelancers quickly so you can get the experience
00:48:55
you need now without weeks of recruiting for a full-time hire. Upwork is a one-stop platform to find, hire, and pay
00:49:01
expert freelancers across web and software development, data and analytics, marketing, business
00:49:06
operations, and more. They help grow your business by giving you fast access to specialized talent across 125 plus
00:49:12
categories so you can fill skill gaps, launch projects faster, and scale support up or down without committing to
00:49:18
a full-time headcount. You can browse profiles, review past work, and get help scoping the role so you can hire with
00:49:23
confidence and get started quickly. And with Business Plus, you can access the top 1% of talent on Upwork. And with AI
00:49:30
powered shortlisting, you'll get matched to the right freelancer in under 6 hours. No endless searching required.
00:49:36
You can visit upwork.com right now to post your job for free or connect to top talent ready to help your business grow.
00:49:42
That's upw.com. upwork.com. All right. Wins and fails. I shall go first cuz I have declared myself first.
00:49:55
So when the Olympics just ended, they were quite good. US women and women in general dominated. America's female
00:50:01
Olympians won six gold medals and 17 medals overall. American men won four gold medals and 12 medals over her. It's
00:50:07
not a competition, but they did really well. Um, and in any case, one of the things I was really struck by was not an
00:50:13
American, but someone who is American, Eileen Goo, uh, who won the gold medal in the women's free uh, free skipipe
00:50:21
event for China. She's been been meddling for China and just won a couple of silvers. She's been really plagued by
00:50:28
stupid questions largely from male um, reporters. But she got asked a question uh when asked by a woman, "What do you
00:50:36
think about your words before you speak?" It actually was a very complimentary question saying, "You're
00:50:40
so well spoken. How do you do it?" And so, let let's listen to her answer,
00:50:44
which I thought was so superb. She's gorgeous. She's a model. She's a skier.
00:50:48
She's an athlete, etc. Let's let's listen. I think overall, I'm just a
00:50:53
pensive person. Like, I'm a very introspective I'm an introspective young
00:50:57
woman. Like, I spend a lot of time in my head. Um, and it's not a bad place to
00:51:01
be. I I journal a lot. I break down all of my thought processes. I think I apply
00:51:05
a very analytical lens to my own thinking and I kind of modify it because it's so interesting. You can control
00:51:12
what you think. Like you can control how you think and therefore you can control
00:51:16
who you are. And especially as a young person, like I'm 22, so with neuroplasticity on my side, I can
00:51:21
literally become exactly who I want to be. How cool is that? Like how empowering is that, right? I think she
00:51:25
was quite lively in a way that I really enjoyed listening to her uh you know push back against people very a lot of
00:51:31
these athletes whether they were some of the skaters uh the women skaters were astonishing and they're they're their
00:51:37
own people. I really enjoyed this for that for all these uh these athletes especially the women showing off. They
00:51:43
don't have to be adorable little dolls. They were just their own people. I really like that. My fail is related.
00:51:50
It's when Trump called the US men's hockey team in the locker room after
00:51:54
their victory where Cash Patel was making a [ __ ] idiot himself chugging beers and acting like he was 21 when
00:52:00
he's old and spending taxpayer money. But let's not get into that imbecile.
00:52:05
But anyways, Trump then tried to said hold my beer to Cash Patel and he invited them to the State of the Union
00:52:11
and the White House. But let's listen to how he said it. >> We'll do the White House the next day.
00:52:16
We'll just have some fun. We have medals for you guys. And we have to I must tell
00:52:20
you, we're gonna have to bring the women's team. You do know that. >> I do believe I probably would be
00:52:29
impeached. Okay. >> It's so great to have a really old man make a stupid old man joke and that is
00:52:36
fine. He is what he is. And it was just gross to insult the women who had just won the gold medal. Um instead the guys
00:52:43
laughed and I get it. I get it. I get it. You're in a locker room, you just won, you're all excited, and you have
00:52:48
the president calling you, but you don't have to laugh at his jerky joke. And it
00:52:52
it it doesn't shed good light on you to do this and to cut down the women's team
00:52:57
just because UN because of this imbecile old man said this thing. I think it's
00:53:02
time is over for for talking about women like their battle axes or they're such a
00:53:06
pain to be here and oh the ladies. It's tiresome in the extreme. Um I'm not
00:53:11
someone who doesn't like a good joke. I put up with Scots all the time, but this
00:53:15
is just not funny. And it isn't funny to the women's team. Now, a day later,
00:53:18
after Trump did invite the US uh women's hockey team, it turns out they simply
00:53:23
can't make it. Sorry, Donald Trump. We're getting our hair washed or washing
00:53:28
our hair, I don't know, whatever stupid excuse. They don't want to they don't
00:53:31
want to hang with you. A spokesman for the team said, "We are sincerely grateful for the invitation extended to
00:53:36
our gold medalinning US women's hockey team." and added that they would not be
00:53:40
able to attend, quote, due to the timing and previously scheduled academic and professional commitments. I love them.
00:53:46
And I'm going to just relate very quickly. When my son Louie was on a men's soccer lacrosse team, there was a
00:53:53
there was an audio of something where they it really insulted the girls in the class really badly. Like really like it
00:54:01
was a dumb, stupid, sexually charged um song they played. I don't remember it
00:54:07
exactly, but they got a video of it, of course, because everything's videotaped.
00:54:11
And it was gross what they were doing. They're assaulting their classmates like
00:54:15
in a really sexist way. And Louie wasn't singing the song. I he was in the video.
00:54:20
He wasn't singing the song. But I remember um you know, when I saw it, I was so disappointed in him because he
00:54:26
didn't say anything, right? He didn't like and I know he couldn't he was in
00:54:30
the locker room. And so we had a great talk at the time and I remember spending a lot of time talking to both my boys
00:54:36
about their role in pro, like you say, protecting women. Not just protecting, but don't laugh at stupid [ __ ] like
00:54:43
that. Like you don't have to go along just to get along. And it was really it
00:54:47
reminded me of that moment when when Louise said to me at the time, you know, I didn't do anything. And I said, you
00:54:53
didn't do anything. That's exactly my problem with you at this moment. And I
00:54:58
get it. I get what it's like being a boy. I get the pressures of it, but honestly, US men's soccer hockey team,
00:55:05
you know, just be better. Let's just say, let's say be what I would say to you is if I
00:55:12
was your parent, I'd slap you back to last Sunday. Anyway, that's my Go ahead.
00:55:16
Congratulations, by the way, US men's hockey team and the women's hockey team.
00:55:20
>> The I I thought the highlight of the Winter Olympics was um Megan Keller, who
00:55:25
scored the overtime. I grew up going to hockey games. It was the only one of the
00:55:29
few ways my father and I bonded. We used to go to LA Kings games and watch Marcel
00:55:34
Deion and Whitey Whiting and Roie Vashan and uh so I know something about hockey
00:55:40
and I used to go to Maple Leafs games with my father. The the overtime goal from Megan Keller hands down for me was
00:55:48
the the ultimate demonstration of athleticism, grace under pressure. And keep in mind,
00:55:55
you know, these women are really doing it for the love of the sport. They don't, their league does not pay a lot.
00:56:01
>> Can I point out Alyssa Lou and the three others, the three other women from the
00:56:06
US were all supportive of each other. Like they weren't like had each other level of camaraderie.
00:56:11
Amazing. >> I do not fault the men for laughing. They're in a locker room. They're
00:56:14
talking to the president and most of them are like 23 year olds from Wisconsin. They don't
00:56:19
>> Not that there's anything wrong, but I don't fault them. I fault the president
00:56:23
for not setting a good example for young men, >> right? >> You know, that's just not And but the
00:56:28
the women >> did you see the final of the the women's hockey? >> Yeah, it was amazing.
00:56:34
>> The goal she pulled off >> was so ext I I kept watching it over and
00:56:39
I spent 20 minutes watching it 40 times. Anyways, >> uh Megan, >> they don't get they don't get to star in
00:56:46
heated rivalry, etc. They It really is. They they they're an astonished rivalry with women's hockey.
00:56:54
>> That's already happening. >> You got one viewer. >> I'm sorry. That's already happening. But
00:56:58
we'll go into it in great. Go ahead. Yours win and fail. >> Well, it's one thing and that is
00:57:06
okay. So, we let our thoroughbreds US corporations run. And we have structural systemic
00:57:13
laws that tell them, okay, you can't pour mercury into the river. And if an industry becomes so consolidated, it
00:57:19
starts extracting unfair rents from labor, consumers, the government moves in. Other than that, one of the reasons
00:57:25
for our economic growth is we heir on a lack of regulation or government intervention. When the president starts
00:57:31
weighing in and saying the most ridiculous [ __ ] about a board member he called her racist, oh yeah, Susan Rice,
00:57:39
like famous racist. >> So that's not even my fail though. that we we've expected that kind of weak and
00:57:47
weird socialist/communist/autocratic behavior that hurts our economy. What I can't stand is that Democrats
00:57:58
do not lack all creativity around how we're going to strike back. And let me
00:58:03
just give you one idea because I love the idea of economic activism. And that is all right. A a kind of beltway
00:58:12
on-ramp into greater wealth is the following. You serve in Congress or in the cabinet and you go on because you're
00:58:18
an impressive person with strong connections and an understanding of the world. You go on to serve on corporate
00:58:24
boards and make some money. I bet Susan Rice has made millions of dollars on the
00:58:29
board of Netflix. And by the way, I think it's great. She worked her ass off. I don't mind. There should be a
00:58:35
cooling off period going to work for lobbyists. But I have been on boards with former the New York Times. We had
00:58:41
Bill Canard, the former head of the FCC, went on to be the American ambassador to
00:58:44
the EU. I was on a board with uh Rick Snder who went on to be the governor of Michigan. I think it's great that they
00:58:51
serve on boards. They're talented, thoughtful people. They deserve to make money. I have no problem with it. But if
00:58:56
the president starts [ __ ] with Democrats on boards, leader Jeff and uh Senator Schumer, why
00:59:05
the [ __ ] are you not [ __ ] back? And this is the following. For example, Mike
00:59:11
Pompeo, former head of the CIA and Secretary of State, he is on a board, and I did this in about 10 minutes of
00:59:19
research. He did he is on a board uh called Von which is a single class share company and when I used to do activism I
00:59:30
had to spend 150,000 to 250,000 to file a 13D and nominate directors and get lawyers involved. I have now written up
00:59:40
uh uh uh the filings for nominating governors at this single class share company and I did it in about 7 minutes
00:59:47
using AI. I'm gonna buy one share in this company and I'm gonna start targeting Republicans on boards and not
00:59:55
renominating them and then maybe go after another board member and anyone in Congress who's a Republican who decides
01:00:03
they too would like to make some money on boards. Well, why aren't Schumer and
01:00:07
Jeffrey saying, "We're going to we're going to be back in power, folks. And if
01:00:12
you want to go serve on boards as Susan Rice did, we're gonna start [ __ ] with
01:00:17
you. >> Now look, Scott, the thing is what he's doing is totally wrong. So you should do
01:00:21
the wrong thing in order to meet him. Like that is a hard decision. >> You you fire a gun at me, I am pulling
01:00:28
out my gun and I am shooting you in the [ __ ] face. >> All right, I'm good.
01:00:32
>> This is about incentives. And this this notion that Democrats that we're higher
01:00:36
and mightier and that we'll restore the con [ __ ] that. [ __ ] that. You wanna You
01:00:43
want to deny the Constitution and and engage in depraved criminal behavior against us? Well, fine, folks. If you
01:00:51
think we're going to restore just go back to being the nice guys who are gentile and restore the norms, no. That
01:00:57
is the wrong incentives. There needs to be a loud and clear message to the Republicans who are grabbing this their
01:01:03
ankles as America gets [ __ ] here. Be clear. You want an autocracy? Fine. and we'll show you an autocracy when we're
01:01:11
back in charge. >> Sorry for sorry for the lecture. >> Okay. I think they're not going to be
01:01:15
invited at the next Democratic getaway. I There's other ways to fight back that
01:01:19
are just as devastating to them that you don't have to do what they did. There's
01:01:23
lots someone called me from one of these companies and it's like, "Oh, I don't
01:01:27
think the Democrats are going to hurt us." I said, "Oh, they're going to hurt
01:01:30
you. You're just not the same way. >> They're not afraid. They think we're
01:01:33
going to go back to strongly worded letters." >> No, they're not going to. I think
01:01:36
there's going to be action. I do. I just don't think we have to do it the way
01:01:39
Trump is doing, which is essentially acting like Putin. Anyway, we have we have to we have to uh move on. But just
01:01:45
for people who don't know, Trump's favorite judge, speaking of fails, Eileen Cannon just blocked the public
01:01:50
release of special counsel Jackson's report on the classified documents case
01:01:54
against Trump trying her best to get into the Supreme Court. Eileen or Ailen, whatever your [ __ ] name is, you suck
01:01:59
and you're going to be overturned on appeal. Um anyway, we want to hear from
01:02:04
you. Send us your questions about business, tech, or whatever's on your mind. We don't want to hear from Judge
01:02:08
Cannon at all anymore, hopefully. Go to nymag.com/pivot to submit a question for the show or
01:02:13
call 85551 Pivot. Elsewhere in the Cara and Scott universe this week on OnWith with Carara Swisser, I spoke with Chris
01:02:21
Appleands and Maggie Kang, directors uh of the K-pop Demon Hunters. Maggie is also the creator. And Scott, you got a
01:02:28
mention. Let's listen. >> How do we get Scott to watch it? Do we just tell him every Let's tell him
01:02:33
everyone's hot. That'll work right cuz everyone's hot. So, watch it. Do it.
01:02:38
>> I just got him to watch Heated Rivalry. >> So, I know it took a bit, but I finally
01:02:43
got him. I am going to make when I'm with him at South by Southwest, I'm
01:02:47
going to go to his room and we're going to watch it. He and I I I will have to
01:02:50
cuddle with him. But that's what's if it takes that's what it takes. I'm going to
01:02:54
do that. So, I will I promise I will get him to watch it and I will give him an edible
01:02:58
>> and I'll put him right in front of it and that's how it's going to go. Just so
01:03:02
you know, >> show >> K-pop Demon Hunters. >> You have not watched it.
01:03:07
>> I have not. But I don't have young kids. Isn't it for little kids?
01:03:10
>> No, it's an adult movie. Just watch it. You're going to watch it with me. You
01:03:13
and I are going to watch it. Okay, we're going to >> Yeah, that's definitely got to involve
01:03:16
some sort of THC. >> Okay, we won't >> K-pop Demon Hunters. It's They're sexy
01:03:22
cartoons. You'll love it. >> Aren't those folks billionaires now? It's not the most watched thing ever on
01:03:26
Netflix. >> It is, but I think they got didn't get again like he did rivalry. They got they
01:03:30
got it for a song. Uh, but I think they did fine. I mean, they're amazing. It's
01:03:33
an amazing podcast. I love K-pop Demon Hunters. It's not for kids, actually.
01:03:36
It's a It's a very complex show. Okay, that's the show. Thanks for listening to
01:03:40
Pivot. Be sure to like and subscribe to our YouTube channel. We'll be back on
01:03:44
Friday.

Episode Highlights

  • Cara's Award Night
    Cara Swisser shares she's receiving the governor's award in Brooklyn tonight.
    “I'm getting the governor's award.”
    @ 01m 11s
    February 24, 2026
  • Cartel Violence in Mexico
    Mexican security forces killed a cartel leader, leading to violent retaliation in tourist areas.
    “These cartels are so inextricably integrated into the economy.”
    @ 02m 35s
    February 24, 2026
  • Trump's State of the Union Speech
    Trump enters with a 60% disapproval rating, facing a divided Congress.
    “He's walking in with a 60% disapproval rating.”
    @ 24m 28s
    February 24, 2026
  • Democrats Plan Counter Rally
    A growing number of Democrats plan to attend a counter rally during Trump's speech.
    “A growing number of Democrats plan to attend a counter rally.”
    @ 24m 40s
    February 24, 2026
  • Netflix and Corporate Accountability
    Trump calls for Netflix to fire board member Susan Rice amid corporate accountability discussions.
    “President Trump has called on Netflix to fire board member Susan Rice.”
    @ 29m 31s
    February 24, 2026
  • Netflix's Dominance
    Despite challenges, Netflix remains the go-to choice for streaming, even in tough times.
    “You choose Netflix right it’s Netflix, yeah.”
    @ 34m 21s
    February 24, 2026
  • Paramount's Struggles
    Paramount faces backlash and challenges as it tries to compete with Netflix.
    “You think the Democrats won’t do anything? You are wrong, Paramount.”
    @ 37m 32s
    February 24, 2026
  • AI's Impact on Traditional Companies
    Concerns rise over AI disrupting traditional SAS companies, but evidence remains lacking.
    “I think that threat has been massively overdone.”
    @ 45m 54s
    February 24, 2026
  • Empowerment Through Control
    A young woman reflects on neuroplasticity and the power to shape her identity.
    “You can control what you think and therefore you can control who you are.”
    @ 51m 16s
    February 24, 2026
  • Locker Room Laughter
    Discussion on the US men's hockey team's reaction to Trump's comments about women.
    “You don’t have to laugh at his jerky joke.”
    @ 52m 50s
    February 24, 2026
  • Lessons on Gender Respect
    A mother shares a lesson with her sons about standing up for women.
    “You don’t have to go along just to get along.”
    @ 54m 40s
    February 24, 2026
  • Megan Keller's Overtime Goal
    A memorable moment in women's hockey that showcases athleticism and teamwork.
    “The overtime goal from Megan Keller was the ultimate demonstration of athleticism.”
    @ 55m 44s
    February 24, 2026

Episode Quotes

  • I love Mexico.
    Trump’s State of the Union: “High Chance of Crazy” | Pivot
  • He's doubling down in a really demented way.
    Trump’s State of the Union: “High Chance of Crazy” | Pivot
  • I think there’s a high chance of crazy.
    Trump’s State of the Union: “High Chance of Crazy” | Pivot
  • You think the Democrats won’t do anything? You are wrong, Paramount.
    Trump’s State of the Union: “High Chance of Crazy” | Pivot
  • I think that threat has been massively overdone.
    Trump’s State of the Union: “High Chance of Crazy” | Pivot
  • Just be better.
    Trump’s State of the Union: “High Chance of Crazy” | Pivot

Key Moments

  • Blizzard Warning00:44
  • Trump's Disapproval24:28
  • Counter Rally24:40
  • BAFTA Awards32:15
  • Netflix's Future33:35
  • Investment Decisions33:37
  • Empowerment51:22
  • Megan Keller's Goal55:44

Tension Over Time

Words per Minute Over Time

Vibes Breakdown