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Elon is uh randomly awarding a million-- doll daily prize to registered swing voters who signed his PX petition
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supporting the first and second amendments federal law says it's a crime to pay people with the intention of
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inducing a reward and be cast a vote or get registered the election law experts are split over whether his actions cross
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the line see I think this is just risk assessment by Elon they're not going to
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come after him and if Trump wins it won't matter uh his iies argue because he's not directly paying for
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registration but for a petition signature it's not illegal it's very typical of him this is a very typical
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risk he would take easily including attacking Dominion systems which I think is probably not a great w risk to
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necessarily take but go ahead finish what you were saying about him it all comes down to incentives and the algebra
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of deterrence the whole point of our criminal justice system is that criminals do the math or when you're
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about to commit a crime you do a math and it's the following the likelihood I'm caught times the potential penalty
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has to be greater than the potential upside MH in certain key factors and components of our economic system the
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algebra deterrence is all up and I'll give you a couple very three Stark examples if I'm if I'm meta and I know I
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I sit on top of research that is showing that there is a direct correlation between usage of my platform and teen
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depression and self-cutting and I continue to engage in this or I violate my consent decree and
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I knowingly violate my my consent decree I know that the likelihood I get caught
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that delay and the size of the fine are vastly smaller than the upside of continuing to break the law in
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taxation all really wealthy people have an incentive to be so aggressive with their taxes because their taxes are
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so complicated and the IRS has been till Biden so underfunded that the likelihood
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you'll get caught and the penalty are vastly overwhelmed by the amount of money you're going to save they can come
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get you and whether Yeah by being incredibly aggressive on your taxes and now let's go to musk who gives a if
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it's illegal they're not going to they're not going to put him in jail
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they're not going to say to Trump you're no the the all of our election laws are
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the following lie cheat break the law get an office and then it'll be embarrassing and the election commission
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will find you and they'll shame your election your campaign manager and you're still the
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Senator so the the incentives until they say until there's some sort of com real
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risk that they can shut down for example all your media spending if they say okay
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if if this guy engages in this he could go to jail or the campaign has to stop all media spending like you could get an
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injunction if it's really blatant what incentive is there for must not to do
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this yeah I agree I think everyone's like can you believe I was been asked to
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be on I was like he could he doesn't care he's not going to pay if if she if
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he win if Trump wins he's scot-free this is a scot-free risk that he takes and if
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he loses she's gonna have a hard time going after him and she probably won't
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right and so I think our our laws especially election laws do not anticipate Shameless like they
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just don't and this is Trump and this is you know as you're saying with the penis
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joke it just I don't think I think think I think a lot of women wof yuck you um
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and I agree with you paying attention to him but I think it brings to question whether he's cognitiv disb and that's a
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negative that is showing up on poll after poll after poll is is he Biden too dirty Biden essentially and those
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numbers are showing some real residents we were showing off some stats about that is he too old to and then therefore
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you're voting for for for JD Vance who is paid for by Peter teal and musk essentially um so I do think it's a risk
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for musk to take and he will take it because he it will be advantaged and if she wins I think he's the risk will be
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problematic for him but not not fatal for him you know he'll just he'll just
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behave although saying she hates Christians and stuff like that shows that he's really he's also mentally has
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some mental problems I think the real quiet winner in this is Peter teal and I think he will take down all of them
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because he quietly he's very sharp he sits behind the scenes he and Elon did
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not get along before this by the way at all in a way that was significant so I suspect if Trump wins there's going to
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be one ugly there's going to be one ugly fight going on among those people there's about a one and three chance if
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Donald Trump is reelected that that he dies in office just based on his age and his body mass
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index that means there's a guy who was a mediocre entrepreneur VC of best served four years in the Marines
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which he should be honored for got elected to Senate what two years ago mhm and this guy is bought and paid for by
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Peter teal it's not his service in the Marines it's not he's a smart guy it's
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not his book it's not any of that there's two reasons that Senator Rance could be a
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heartbeat from presidency and basically the president there's two reasons the
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first is Peter the second is T yep that's the one I'm watching I you know I I think elon's in more trouble in
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a trump presidency than a Kam Harris I think he's got issues in you know Democratic issues of investigation and
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Regulatory there is going to be an ugly fight at the top there if uh if Trump wins I wouldn't want to be Trump I think
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he's among some very difficult characters I didn't see that that's interesting I didn't I
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didn't see that but because the way I see it again it just always in my opinion they're not going to get I'd
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love to write a book called incentives I just don't people connect the dots but
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here are the incentives and this is what's so dangerous about not immediately having a gag reflex around a
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move to autocracy there's greater incentive to support Trump than Harris if you're
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famous or you're because here's the thing if you're uh Elon Musk and you
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support Trump very very visibly and Harris is elected they're not going to they're not going to your company
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they're not going to put you in jail they believe in rule of law Donald Trump
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is saying if I'm elected I'm going to prosecute Google to the full extent or
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Jews it's your fault if I don't get elected so all of the incentives are
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okay if I root for this clown and he doesn't win I'm okay because the people the other side
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believes in rule of law they're not going to they're not going to go after
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personal precu but the autocrat might come after me I think that is what's exactly going to happen that's exactly
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say more what do you mean Cara I mean I think elon's in more trouble in a trump
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presidency I think he doesn't he's the one who's sort of off um he's got
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obviously some not cognitive issues he's you know he's really lost his mind in
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many ways allegedly um I think teal is pulling all the strings here I just I just Peter teal is quiet and deadly Ela
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musk is loud and he's just reminds me of some of these oligarchs that ended up
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not not living but but the whole point of a democracy the whole point of having different branches of governments and
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and members of Congress and three branches and a military a secretary of defense that comes from a civilian
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background not a military all of these things are meant to put in place checks and balances yeah and we're about to for
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the first time I think maybe there's someone else where essentially you have
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one man Peter teal who could literally control the president there is no something something Peter teal will
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never hear from a vice president or potentially a president Vance something he will never hear is no ever yeah cost
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him 50 million dollar he's the one I'm watching I'm not watching any it's just
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a ridiculous circus of a person and I think it'll end badly for him but Peter
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Teal's the one I'm looking at