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Is It Too Late To Invest In Nvidia? | Pivot

June 28, 2024 / 04:49

This episode discusses Nvidia's stock volatility, its impact on the market, and investment strategies. Key topics include Nvidia's market cap, employee wealth, and housing market effects.

Scott analyzes Nvidia's recent stock performance, noting its significant rise and fall, and how it influences the broader market. He highlights that Nvidia's fluctuations can affect the NASDAQ and S&P indices.

The conversation touches on the wealth generated for Nvidia employees, with many potentially having millions in incremental wealth. Scott speculates on how this could impact San Francisco's real estate market.

Scott advises listeners on investment strategies, suggesting index funds as a safer option for those interested in Nvidia. He explains how investing in index funds allows participation in the success of top companies while mitigating risk.

Overall, the episode provides insights into the implications of Nvidia's stock movements on the economy and offers practical investment advice.

TLDR

Nvidia's stock volatility impacts the market and employee wealth, prompting investment advice on index funds.

Episode

4:49
00:00:00
another story that's really interesting Scott I I noticed Nvidia stock they were
00:00:03
talking about here on Aspen it's been on a roller coaster this week Shares are headed back up after multiple days of
00:00:09
decline which cost the company it's title is the world's most valuable company NVIDIA Shares are still up over
00:00:16
160% uh since January what do you think about this um I think a lot of I think a
00:00:23
lot of people thought this was coming you you talked about this a lot go ahead yeah but since it's rebounded 7% it's
00:00:29
not it's ups and downs aren't that interesting what's more interesting is that when it loses
00:00:34
133% over the course of 3 days um it basically loses the value of MasterCard I mean if you look at the
00:00:42
blast zone or Ground Zero of essentially two trillion do in incremental value creation over the last six or 12 months
00:00:50
the knock on effects are so dramatic if this company this company could go down 80% and all of a sudden the NASDAQ and
00:00:56
the S&P wouldn't be keeping Pace with inflation one company is now sort of as goes I mean it in it used to be the
00:01:03
Magnificent 7 now it's the Magnificent one it's it's the singular Samurai Nidia so nvidia's now become the tail that's
00:01:12
wagging the dog of almost everything and I'm fascinated by this thing because people just can't imagine the kind of
00:01:18
value creation here and what it means when it becomes so huge that in this volatile it is I mean
00:01:25
the NASDAQ is effectively the tone for the American economy right now now is going to be directly and indirectly
00:01:33
dictated by the volatility of Nvidia even for example 30,000 employees 3 trillion plus market cap so you're
00:01:42
talking about $100 million per person I was just I work my ass off got so lucky with L2 sold it for $160 million after
00:01:50
executing almost what I felt like was perfectly having just an in incredibly lucky just finally I did something and I
00:01:56
got every all the moons lined up 160 million dollar 80 people so that's $2 million per employee they've generated
00:02:05
somewhere between 100 and 130 million per employee and I would bet of those 30,000 10,000 woke
00:02:12
up last week and said I'm worth between 10 and 50 million doar right which what does that do to San Francisco real
00:02:19
estate prices when all of a sudden what do you do when you're 29 you know that we we talked about that
00:02:25
housing is way up mhm a lot of the tech companies and especially all the an open AI everybody
00:02:32
coming back etc etc but when you have 10,000 people probably in their 20s 30s and 40s that all of a sudden have $10
00:02:38
million in incremental wealth you got to think two-thirds of them are thinking we're either going to buy a nice home or
00:02:44
a better home I mean we're either going to buy a first home or upgrade what does
00:02:46
that do to housing stock I mean there's just and then what happens if this thing
00:02:51
goes down 80% it could Nvidia could decide the the presidential election if the market is off 2% instead of up 14
00:03:00
that is a huge talking point for for the Republicans this Nvidia has become as Nvidia goes so goes the market and the
00:03:09
perception of the American economy so where is it a buy now Scott for people who are like you still can't to it this
00:03:16
is literally it's it's a meme stock in a weird way in a weird this is I I tell you I track everything I get about 70 60
00:03:25
meals a day from strangers and the number one question I get is regarding Young men either moms looking for advice
00:03:32
or young men themselves the number two is is it too late to buy Nvidia people and what I tell them is
00:03:39
look I don't know I can pin a scenario where it doubles I can see it getting cut by 50% if not 80% so this is what
00:03:47
you do in my view you buy spy you buy an index fund because if you buy an index fund every dollar that goes you're
00:03:54
buying 24 cents on the dollar goes to the Magnificent Seven so if those companies continue to kill it you
00:04:01
participate but if the other 493 stocks have their day in the Sun and those stocks get cut in half you're still okay
00:04:08
so you take some upside off the table but you save your mental health you know you're participating and the thing about
00:04:15
these indexes that's so amazing is they are a screening mechanism for the best companies so so you know uh
00:04:30
right so it's the best companies in the world you're investing in and they do the job of balancing and diversifying
00:04:36
for you so anyway you want to invest in Nvidia thoughtfully you don't need to know whether it's going to go up or down
00:04:41
buy an index fund just buy an index fund good idea

Episode Highlights

  • Nvidia's Market Influence
    Nvidia's stock fluctuations are now pivotal to the NASDAQ and S&P 500 performance.
    “Nvidia has become the tail that's wagging the dog of almost everything.”
    @ 01m 09s
    June 28, 2024
  • Investing Strategy
    A recommendation to invest in index funds rather than directly in Nvidia.
    “You buy an index fund because if you buy an index fund...”
    @ 03m 39s
    June 28, 2024

Episode Quotes

  • Nvidia has become the tail that's wagging the dog of almost everything.
    Is It Too Late To Invest In Nvidia? | Pivot
  • What happens if this thing goes down 80%?
    Is It Too Late To Invest In Nvidia? | Pivot
  • You buy an index fund because if you buy an index fund...
    Is It Too Late To Invest In Nvidia? | Pivot

Key Moments

  • Nvidia's Roller Coaster00:05
  • Market Impact01:01
  • Investment Advice03:39

Tension Over Time

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