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How Tech Transforms Economies

June 08, 2016 / 29:58

This episode covers entrepreneurship, innovation, and economic development, featuring Kadir, founder of Grameen Phone and the Legatum Center at MIT. Kadir discusses his background in Bangladesh, the impact of war on his life, and his journey to the United States for education. He shares insights on the founding of Grameen Phone, emphasizing the importance of connectivity and economic efficiency in developing countries.

Kadir reflects on his experiences during the 1971 war in Bangladesh and how they shaped his entrepreneurial spirit. He explains how he recognized the potential of mobile technology to transform economies, particularly in low-income regions. He highlights the role of Adam Smith's theories in his understanding of economic progress and division of labor.

The conversation touches on the barriers to innovation in developing economies, such as lack of infrastructure and resources. Kadir describes how he leveraged microcredit programs to establish Grameen Phone, aiming to provide connectivity for the masses. He discusses the significance of partnerships with organizations like Grameen Bank and the impact of mobile technology on productivity.

Kadir also challenges the notion that innovations only come from developed countries, arguing that developing nations can provide valuable markets for these technologies. He emphasizes the mutual benefits of such arrangements, where both innovators and local populations advance economically.

Finally, Kadir offers advice to young entrepreneurs in developing countries, stressing the importance of education and adaptability in leveraging available technologies for economic improvement.

TLDR

Kadir discusses entrepreneurship and innovation in developing economies, focusing on Grameen Phone's impact in Bangladesh.

Episode

29:58
00:00:02
I'm Carl Olrich, vice dean of entrepreneurship and innovation at the Wharton School and I'm very lucky to be
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able to interview today Kadir who's the founder of two amazing institutions,
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Grammine Phone and the Legatum Center at MIT. Welcome. Thank you very much. Great
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to be here. You know I want to take us back to your origins. Tell tell us a little bit about where you came from. I
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I came from Bangladesh but uh I came from a relatively smaller town called Jasur and uh I grew up there and I
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happened to have gone to a boarding school inside Bangladesh but um um since you're asking the what has
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impacted on me which I guess we could come to is uh that one year of my life I was somewhat of a urban uh kid uh but in
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1971 when there was a war in the country. I went to the rural area for my family did and um we I had experienced
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the actual rural conditions in Bangladesh during that year. So I my friends were often u children of
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peasants and other small farmers and that had always had an impact on me and so that's I I talk about that. Yeah. And
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how did you end up in the United States? Um, I guess I was an entrepreneur. I I don't know. But uh my father died when I
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was 14 years old and I somehow aspired to get a good education and I my mother and uh had provided some funds but I
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managed to get to the US with some scholarships and eventually I got uh better and almost full scholarship and
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uh so that's how I simply tried myself. Yeah, that's a that's a common path for
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some of our most successful entrepreneurs in the United States and and so you you there there are a lot of
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others who've taken that path and and like the many of those others you also
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achieved some entrepreneurial success. So I wonder if you could tell us a little bit about Grammy and Phone. Sure.
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uh Gramm fund right now is the largest company in the country uh in Bangladesh and it has 55 million subscribers.
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Sometimes in the stock market it's valued some7 billion dollars. But uh if I go back it was really uh for four or
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five years I tried to convince people that this is a good idea this is something to be pursued and it took
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quite a while to convince that but I think if we want to go back to its origin uh it's good that you asked me
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about my personal origin uh those impacts had certain u germ of thoughts that eventually gave rise to uh gramming
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phone and um and this is why I think it's important that no matter how we rigorously we think about problems uh
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deeper at a deeper level passions are important because it drives us to find a logical solution but uh even behind
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logic you may have uh a passionate u pursuit which gives rise to finding a logical solution. So in my case, I knew
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that I came to America and there were extraordinary opportunities here uh in the United States. I managed to go to
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good schools with scholarships and whatnot, but I uh also had in mind the conditions I've seen in Bangladesh and
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so therefore I always on the lookout for uh good ideas that could do something about it. So two really important ideas
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uh stuck me in I was doing that. One is that um the economic progress does not necessarily come from um pouring capital
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into it or something but rather people becoming more efficient uh in managing their tasks or getting better at it. So
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it's a question of improvements or or skills but also how uh let's say in a
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sense economic progress can come out of thin air. I I'll give you the point. Um
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so for instance I was actually attracted to Adam Smith because he mentioned uh Bengal which is Bangladesh. Twothird of
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Bengal is Bangladesh. That is how I was originally drawn to it. And he mentioned
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an interesting thing. He said in antiquity three places had good um um good wealth and they were ancient Egypt,
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Bengal and Eastern China. And he attributed those things to uh inland navigation. And his point is that people
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could exchange and through inland navigation um tra specialize in exchange and divide in division of labor and
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through that wealth is created and through that uh there was he called it opulence in antiquity and that has drawn
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me and that I as a result I always became a fan of Adam Smith but what is interesting is that many things come out
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of division of labor. many good things okay including inclusivity because if I want to specialize in something I have
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to give up something else to you okay so that gives rise to inclusivity now be but what is interesting of all of that
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is that it's uh it's something I learned over time I frankly didn't grasp it all over
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immediately but uh but I did see the inland navigation as a means of communication that naturally certain
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places had certain other places didn't have. Okay. But separately I had another
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I'll come back to the another Adam Smith point but separately I had another uh
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important thing I observed is when I was an undergraduate I was part of a uh college team. I mean I was the only
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token student representative in this team that decided on buying a $3 million computer. Okay. and one big mainframe
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that took a whole room full of machinery. And then in the when I was doing my graduate studies here at
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Wharton, okay, I was in decision sciences with computers. We learned all sorts of applications of computers. But
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the key point is there's this Moors law that's driving down costs and processing
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power is getting squeezed more and more into the same chips. But the Moors law means the prices of this processing
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power is declining rapidly which means countries that doesn't have very much
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capital these machines are going towards them. Okay. So I actually tried in the middle of ' 80s with another brother of
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mine. We created a Bengali word processor. Okay. But later on we realized that that it was an interesting
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innovation to take. But I'm trying to show you the evolution of this that um
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the Bengali word processor people couldn't use at least not not the masses because um it's a um most people do not
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know how to read or write. Okay. But an event took place in my life in the 93. By this time I've been trying to be a
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budding investment banker. And the point is that um I I noticed that uh we I was
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to work in a a small firm that had um uh we just had some rudimentary networks. So we didn't have to exchange floppy
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disc and cumbersome activities. So we could send data from one to another etc. And one time it broke down and I was
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waiting for someone to come and fix it. But that reminded me of a day in 1971 22 years earlier. This is in 93 or so.
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And I um remember my mother sent me to get some medicine from this rural setting. And uh I was from a middle-ass
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family. My father was a lawyer and all these things. But uh in this setting, I walked 10 kilometers to get this
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medicine. And when I went there, the medicine man wasn't there. So I walked all afternoon back. And as a result I
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remembered that unproductive day sitting in New York while having waiting for someone to come and fix my network and
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kind of said you know networks help. So if you are connected you can get things done and if you don't get connected then
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you don't get things done. So this inland navigation earlier in my mind I went back to all those things and I
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realized a new thing which is that two things. One is the microchips are getting squeezed in into phones. In the
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early '90s they were becoming digital phones. Before that cellular phones were
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analog phones. But at this point I also realized a powerful point from Adam Smith that there were many things that
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come out of division of labor and division of labor gives rise to productivity. So just like I experienced
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that if I had connections I could produce more and perhaps pay for the phone service. Similarly, this is
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confirmed by the one of the most profound economies, okay? That the it will promote division of labor if we can
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connect with each other. Otherwise, I cannot really divide and do one part and you do another part, we can exchange.
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But what he made also he said the market the extent of the market dep tells you how far you'd be dividing. So let's say
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I start focusing on fishing but I will stop there and not necessarily go any further and fishing only salmons. Okay.
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If the market is small okay if the market is bigger and bigger then I can uh specialize narrower and narrower but
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that means and all the other good things come out of this division of labor. Okay. But if we did that then other
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means of connectivity profoundly impacts on the size of the market. So the point
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is the the ways to connect determines how far the market will be and how far the division of labor will advance.
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And all of this made sense to me. So ultimately I realized that if the the Moore's law is bringing down the price
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of connectivity, connectivity would be a profound force of of transforming these
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countries and it became so I became so convinced of this because of these insights of these other people. I'm
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basically stealing their ideas. I basically said hey I have to stay put on this. So I stayed for five six years
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convincing various parties to come together and create this company. I jokingly say that that's how I lost my
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hair. Now it's it's amazing because you're really saying not only does
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private enterprise and entrepreneurship contribute to an economy but particular kinds of innovations these connectivity
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innovations. Exactly. Exactly. So it's it's little bit like this. You see I I I
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like analogies to understand what's happening. Let's say if I take a bucket
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of water, if I drop a a drop of ink, even without stirring, it will get absorbed. And so if it is something
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favorable, the molecules other molecules will receive them. So in other words, people
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will accept them. But if you put a let's say a drop of water, oil, it may not go
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very far. Okay? So if you find the right technology then it will be grabbed by people okay
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and the whole water will get transformed okay the the whole economy gets transformed so the I think the cell
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phone was such a thing because it's fundamentally a elementally human to connect and and produce more and gain
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more sometimes it's consumption I want to contact my friends and see how it is
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doing but sometimes it's production namely I want to save time and produce more etc. So it depends on how it is but
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it is very elemental and at the same time the cost of these things radically going down things automatically come
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together and so it's the question of bringing it together and seeing that it's um frankly to me
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it's almost surreal but if it is like a country like Bangladesh everybody knows
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is one of the lowest income countries um there right now we have 110 million phones
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And when I started it had a quarter million fixed ones. Okay. So it's a really a profound change
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to know to say the least. Yeah. Now I I wonder if you could speak to the barriers to entrepreneurial innovation
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in developing economies. You've spoken very eloquently about the power of enterprise in developing economies. What
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do you see? What have been the the barriers the legacy barriers? Yeah. All all innovations I think human beings
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cannot radically absorb something completely radically new. It's hard. Okay. So uh similarly innovations has to
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ride on other things. Okay. So for instance I there were a lot of things I sorted out in my head and I said this is
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why I'm talking about these insights and I said this is what gave me the resilience the patience to try it
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because I believed in those insights and those insights were logical and made sense to me but there are actual
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practical problems okay and perhaps you were asking about that but one of those practical problems is lack of other
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things. So for example, let's say I bring a good car but without the highway
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I cannot drive the car. Okay. So internet for example in the same early 1990s internet were spreading in this
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country very rapidly. It was very easy to notice. Um so people already had computers, they had modem, they had
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telephone lines, they could easily call up something and internet was spreading.
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But the real problem in poor countries is that you don't have those other infrastructures. Now because of
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colonialism uh and subsequent adriven statedriven development central uh centralized
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planning even if it's not a communist country tend to be the case it is tend
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even in India you'll see different states and within those states there is central and so usual pattern in these
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countries are one central city often being um supporting a big in um bureaucratic infrastructure
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and vast parts of rural areas uh relatively underdeveloped with no infrastructure and what happens it
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creates a vicious cycle because because the infrastructures are there everybody develops things within that area okay so
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even if you want to start something you don't want to go out in the rural areas
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and uh not have your children go to good schools so you kind of avoid that okay but this case here is the problem I knew
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through Mo's law and through the Adam Smith thing that this is ultimately useful because it's Mo's law would say
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it's it would it would be viable everywhere and Adam Smith said it will be useful everywhere okay so then the
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problem is that how can I break that vicious cycle because I too do not have engineers to go out in the world where
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there's nothing or there is no lack of electricity all these problem and this
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is why I try to latch on to another organization that may have calm infrastructure and this is why I went to
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microcredit programs and somehow Bangladesh was blessed with good micro credit programs and Grammine Bank for
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instance had um 10,00 branches I thought oh maybe I could put the cell towers over there and this is why by the way
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our name has become in their honor Grammine phone okay but my original idea was gonophone which means phones for the
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masses and the daring see because I'm bringing this insight It's because that
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is how I projected it's will be feasible because I was talking about phone for
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the masses in a poor country when only 1% of Americans had mobile phones in the days I I started this process. Okay. So
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but again I was basing myself on those insights. Okay. But coming back to this, this is why I try to the one of the
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problems you're talking about is the ecology being poorer. Okay. To bring something new. Okay. So, if you have an
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let's say Amazon.com is a company that's selling books or other things, but
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people have credit cards. Well, you can base that on you need those other infrastructure to bring about a new
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thing. And this is not a conceptual problem. It's a practical problem that you need to solve. And so Grammine Bank,
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not only I could find those sites where I could potentially put cell towers and some some infrastructure to help out
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that process, but also there were borrowers and eventually I developed an idea and I proposed it to Grammine Bank
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that they would give money to somebody to borrow uh borrow small amount of money, $100, $200 to buy vegetable
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growing facilities or ducks or chicken or a typical loan was a cow loan. And so I said, you know, the cell phone could
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be a cow because somebody could borrow $200 um instead of a cow, get a phone and the
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phone would serve the village, but it would pay the p it would be a business for that person. And that idea was was
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um was a little crazy, but it was considered illogical. But so the founder of Brain Bank,
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Mhammed said, "Why don't you see if you can make it happen?" So I quit my job. I
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went there and I flew around the world. I got some seed funding from New York and uh I faced many rejections. But
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eventually I managed to convince the Norwegian telephone company. Ah they came and interestingly they have never
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been to Asia before. Wow. This is Teleno. So Teleno and they were very reluctant to come and subsequently they
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saw this is a great opportunity and today they are very big in Asia. Yeah. So I want to I want to talk about that
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for a minute because the normal view of entrepreneurship in the developing world
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that says that that is the view held by most of us in the developed world is that all this great stuff gets invented
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in the developed world and then it trickles down to the to developing economies. Is are we missing something?
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Is there a different way to view this? Well, in this case, it somewhat trickled down. Yeah, somewhat but rapidly
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trickled down because of the Moore's law which says which is which is only a
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decade later the same amount of processing power becomes 200th or so. Okay. So you can even if we throw out
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all the details it becomes $100 becomes $1 in 10 years. That does go down rapidly. That's one issue. Okay. And the
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other is that it is so fundamentally useful. It's an egalitarian thing. So I
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was totally wrong in chasing computers. Okay, that's when I realized that no
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when I when I saw that connectivity is helpful, I also realized at the same time that it's and Adam Smith and all
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that is there but you know it's a culmination of a lot of things but the other point is it's egalitarian.
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Everybody can talk. Okay. And so in a way there is an irony of all this. The point is the cell phones are actually
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computers. So the computers have entered these markets in the disguise of a phone. Okay? And so so because the voice
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communication is the killer app, okay? And everybody can talk. But now what is happening is that these computers are
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now that they're there, they're kind of a Trojan horse that can do all sorts of
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other things. Okay? And so when you say trickle down, yes, but if you look at Telenor's example,
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yes, typically a let's say a um western company goes to Asia, first they go to
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Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan or something and then they will go to poorer and poorer places that would I would say
00:21:00
trickle down. Okay, for whatever reason, maybe because I banged on their door for
00:21:04
many times, okay, they somehow came to Bangladesh. Okay, before they went to any other uh Asian country, okay, and
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frankly it took them few years. They may not admit it now, but it took them few years to there were some very good
00:21:18
people who did this. But what I'm trying to and it got endorsement from the top
00:21:22
of Telenor. But I personally think it they thought it's a good thing to do. Okay, socially, socially speaking, okay,
00:21:31
but they had some officially some motivation to make money, but they also thought it's a good thing to do. After
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all, Norway was the poorest Western European country and now they their things they have developed very well and
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fast after World War II. Norway was the poorest country in Western Europe. Okay,
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now by the way it's very expensive place to go and okay so what I'm saying they
00:21:56
they may have had little bit of that mindset and they have seen their own country develop. So they came and after
00:22:02
four five years they saw this is indeed becoming very profitable and so now they
00:22:07
have close to 200 million subscribers in Asia. So Bangladesh, Pakistan, India, Myanmar they had gone to Thailand,
00:22:16
Malaysia etc. But the bottom line is what is an interesting thing that has evolved not necessarily I saw it all
00:22:24
that the the western world is providing an innovation but the low so-called low-income country
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is providing a market and I think that's a very healthy dubtail arrangement interest of both worlds and that is an
00:22:43
interesting model that uh American business schools should look at and so it's not and what I like about it
00:22:51
there's another aspect of it that is interesting it's not necessarily selling
00:22:57
um consumer goods okay again consumer goods have their own good purposes but the point is this is empowering people
00:23:04
so somebody is spending let's say two pennies to make a phone call and is saving him a quarter worth of time then
00:23:12
he is advancing by 23 cents okay so these people are actually advancing. So I personally think that the cell phone
00:23:21
revolution in Bangladesh is at least producing I can show some back of the envelope calculation uh at least
00:23:28
producing $20 billion a year to say the least. Okay, because it's simply millions of people if more oper
00:23:35
efficiently. So what I'm trying to say if we have productivity tools supplied by western innovations then let
00:23:45
the innovators make money and let the low-income people provide the market but they also advance. Yeah, both are
00:23:53
advancing. Okay. Today I would say that Bangladesh is giving uh more aid to Norway through dividends than uh Norway
00:24:04
might be giving some aid to Bangladesh and you know this is um I think that's
00:24:09
the way it should be. I mean we are a bigger country uh we are warm bigger country they are a small cold country. I
00:24:16
think it's perfectly good arrangement. So interesting. So you're saying something actually quite profound. I
00:24:23
think again we would often characterize impact entrepreneurship, right, as people want to do good in the world.
00:24:30
They want to use entrepreneurship and enterprise as the as the vehicle. You're
00:24:35
saying something slightly different, which is that in some cases pure greed actually is is is fine. That that in
00:24:42
fact some of these opportunities are exceptionally valuable economic opportunities. I think so. But again, we
00:24:48
can restrain ourselves with our conscience. Okay. But remember the ultimate restraint comes from people. So
00:24:57
sometimes we are may we may restrain ourselves through our own internal police and say oh I won't go there and I
00:25:04
will restrain my greed. But the as people become more empowered through economic uh wherewithal they are also
00:25:13
able to create more checks and balances. So ultimately it is a good thing. But what I'm also trying to say is that if
00:25:21
we find fantastic innovations, okay, that are empowering at the bottom, then those innovations
00:25:30
are to be embraced and people advance this way. And remember another thing, this kind of capital, we're not talking
00:25:37
about Marxist worries. We're not talking about a big factory where some capitalist may potentially quote unquote
00:25:44
exploit people. We're talking about people simply uh becoming more efficient
00:25:49
with their fellow citizens. Okay? And as a result, all the value they create often acrew to them themselves. Okay?
00:25:58
And at the same time, there's a viable business. The business makes billions of
00:26:03
dollars in revenues and very good dividends. Okay? So, but this can be a model for other kinds of innovations
00:26:11
that are perfectly in sync with each other's needs through innovations. But there's another one other issue.
00:26:18
Remember, cell phone was not invented for the poor countries. Okay? So, too much planning is not necessarily
00:26:26
necessary. Okay? It was an unintended consequence. What I'm saying is that we
00:26:32
need to go into the reservoir of various innovations we have in this in the first
00:26:37
world and pick out those that we can tweak and make it available for uh lower income people and their income
00:26:48
automatically rising is is uh then they can buy things from the western world more even not just the phones they can
00:26:56
buy generators they can buy other things. So what I'm trying to say that what is really necessary is remember the
00:27:03
two things that are already existing in on the ground two things one normal human desire to improve your lives that
00:27:11
desire is very much a has a role in this because without that they wouldn't use
00:27:16
the phone that's one. Okay. The other is there is entrepreneurial energy. Both of these are often squandered if
00:27:25
these tools are not found. with the tools both can be unleashed. I I want to I want to turn our attention
00:27:33
to those young people who are in developing economies. We're taking very much the perspective here we are saying
00:27:40
in the United States talking about entrepreneurship in a developing economy. Well, I want to close by by
00:27:45
speaking to our audience that's outside the United States, outside the developed
00:27:49
world. What advice would you give to a young entrepreneur who's growing up in
00:27:53
Bangladesh or Pakistan or or my my own example is is itself could be followed. I mean I I mean I'm I'm not trying to
00:28:01
sell myself but what I'm trying to say is that I can I I'm more authority on
00:28:05
myself. The point is the point is I got an education in the west. That's one.
00:28:11
Okay. And therefore I was informed. Okay. And I I tried to think clearly of what is necessary. Okay, that's those
00:28:20
are one. But nowadays that is easier than when I try to educate myself. There was no internet for example. So now you
00:28:28
can even sit in Pakistan and learn some of these things. That's one. The other
00:28:32
point is that it's um uh that that you don't you could remember I was saying
00:28:40
you need one thing to get to the other thing. Remember let me show you one aspect of that. the fact that cell
00:28:46
phones now exist through my work or other people's work then that should make their lives a little bit easier and
00:28:54
get the information. You can also read the internet through the smartphone now as an example. So, so you can get lot of
00:29:00
things that didn't exist before, but it's always important to get an education to think clearly and think
00:29:08
about things that might be available in the west that can be adapted in the in the in the lower income countries. But
00:29:16
again there may be other ways of solving problems but this is the one I found to
00:29:21
be um profoundly transformative and also things can hang together around that kind of economic interest dotelling.
00:29:29
Okay. Well thank you so much. It was so interesting and inspiring. Thank you. Thank you very much. Thank you.
00:29:46
[Music]

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Episode Highlights

  • Kadir's Journey from Bangladesh
    Kadir shares his origins and the impact of his childhood experiences on his entrepreneurial journey.
    “I came from Bangladesh... I experienced the actual rural conditions.”
    @ 00m 54s
    June 08, 2016
  • The Birth of Grameen Phone
    Kadir discusses the challenges he faced in convincing others about his vision for Grameen Phone.
    “It took quite a while to convince that this is a good idea.”
    @ 02m 37s
    June 08, 2016
  • The Power of Connectivity
    Kadir emphasizes how connectivity can transform economies, especially in developing countries.
    “Connectivity would be a profound force of transforming these countries.”
    @ 10m 46s
    June 08, 2016
  • Breaking Barriers to Innovation
    Kadir addresses the practical barriers to entrepreneurial innovation in developing economies.
    “All innovations... cannot radically absorb something completely radically new.”
    @ 13m 30s
    June 08, 2016
  • Bangladesh's Economic Impact
    Bangladesh is now providing more aid to Norway through dividends than the other way around.
    “Bangladesh is giving more aid to Norway through dividends than vice versa.”
    @ 23m 57s
    June 08, 2016
  • The Role of Greed in Entrepreneurship
    Exploring how pure greed can lead to valuable economic opportunities.
    “Pure greed actually is fine; some opportunities are exceptionally valuable economic opportunities.”
    @ 24m 36s
    June 08, 2016
  • The Power of Education
    Education and internet access are crucial for young entrepreneurs in developing countries.
    “Education is easier now than it was before; the internet makes learning accessible.”
    @ 28m 23s
    June 08, 2016

Episode Quotes

  • I always had in mind the conditions I’ve seen in Bangladesh.
    How Tech Transforms Economies
  • I jokingly say that’s how I lost my hair.
    How Tech Transforms Economies
  • The cell phone was such a thing because it’s fundamentally human to connect.
    How Tech Transforms Economies
  • I was totally wrong in chasing computers.
    How Tech Transforms Economies
  • Bangladesh is giving more aid to Norway through dividends than vice versa.
    How Tech Transforms Economies
  • Without human desire to improve lives, they wouldn't use the phone.
    How Tech Transforms Economies

Key Moments

  • Kadir's Origins00:54
  • Entrepreneurial Aspirations03:41
  • Transformative Connectivity10:46
  • Barriers to Innovation13:30
  • Economic Aid Shift23:57
  • Greed and Opportunity24:36
  • Desire for Improvement27:11
  • Transformative Innovations29:21

Tension Over Time

Words per Minute Over Time

Vibes Breakdown