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What Happens to Employees When a Company Goes Public?

June 06, 2025 / 08:20

This episode discusses the IPO process, employee expectations, firm lifespans, and the impact of layoffs. Guest Matt Josefy, a visiting Associate Professor of Management at Wharton, shares insights on these topics.

Matt Josefy explains that firm lifespans are shrinking, with companies having only a 50/50 chance of remaining listed on stock exchanges a decade after going public. This raises concerns for employees about job security and the value of their contributions.

The conversation highlights how companies often hire before an IPO to project growth but may face pressure to become profitable afterward, leading to potential layoffs. Josefy questions whether founders are more likely to retain or let go of employees they hired.

Josefy emphasizes the importance of understanding the IPO process from an employee's perspective, especially in light of recent layoffs in major tech firms. He notes that employees should consider a firm's commitment to human capital when evaluating job security.

Finally, the episode touches on the evolving nature of employment relationships and the significance of firms signaling their commitment to employees during the IPO process.

TL;DR

Matt Josefy discusses the IPO process, employee expectations, and the impact of layoffs on job security.

Episode

8:20
00:00:00
Dan Loney: Why do companies decide to go public, and what does that mean
00:00:04
for employees? What should they expect during and after the IPO
00:00:08
process? That's an area that's being looked at by our guest
00:00:11
today, Matt Josefy, who's a visiting Associate Professor of
00:00:14
Management here at Wharton. He's also an Associate Professor of
00:00:17
Strategy and the Shoemaker Faculty Fellow in
00:00:20
Entrepreneurship at Indiana University. Matt, great to talk
00:00:23
to you. How are you today? Matt Josefy: Fantastic, Dan.
00:00:26
- You know, I think it's interesting, because when we talk about the IPO
00:00:29
process, we talk about the company itself. We don't
00:00:31
necessarily talk a lot about the assets within the company and
00:00:35
the employees themselves. What was it that had you interested
00:00:37
about this in the first place? - Yeah,
00:00:39
Dan, my interest in this dates back several years when I was
00:00:43
really studying firm lifespans, and we were able to document in
00:00:47
some earlier work that firm lifespans are shrinking, even
00:00:51
for the largest companies in the US. Firms that have managed to
00:00:53
achieve this successful milestone of going public, they
00:00:57
only had a 50/50 shot of still being listed on that US stock
00:01:00
exchange 10 years later, and that's down from what
00:01:03
historically would have been more like 20, 25 years. And so
00:01:06
when I began thinking about the shrinking lifespan of firms, I
00:01:09
was really interested in what that means from an employee's
00:01:12
perspective. When I'm being asked to stay late, stay at work
00:01:15
until midnight, is the firm even going to be around to pay me
00:01:18
back for that extra attention and extra effort that I've put
00:01:21
in? So my initial interest in this comes from that lifespan
00:01:24
direction. - And
00:01:25
part of this, as you wrote, is the element of layoffs. And
00:01:31
whenever you have, you know, two companies coming together, the
00:01:35
amazing word synergies comes up, and that usually ends up meaning
00:01:40
layoffs. Is there an element of this that plays out when you go
00:01:44
through the IPO process? - That's
00:01:46
what we hadn't quite expected. When we first started studying
00:01:50
this, we were looking at it from the direction of firms growing,
00:01:52
that in the lead up to the IPO, historically, we have this idea
00:01:57
that firms would kind of clean up the balance sheet, clean up
00:02:00
the income statement. The goal is to make -- essentially window
00:02:03
dress, such that when you raise all these funds from additional
00:02:07
investors, that the company looks as strong as possible. And
00:02:11
so in the past, that would mean that maybe you were trying to
00:02:13
get towards profitability. But increasingly, over the last
00:02:17
decade, I'd say that firms actually just want to project
00:02:20
growth. And so actually, in the lead up to the IPO, they might
00:02:24
be on a hiring spree. And so it's not until after the IPO,
00:02:28
that now you've brought in these additional block holders, large
00:02:32
investors, great diversity of investors, and they want you to
00:02:37
then start moving towards profitability, and you realize
00:02:40
that you're not going to be able to continue to grow forever.
00:02:43
What is the long term setup of the company and what are its
00:02:47
true human
00:02:47
capital needs? - But then, doesn't that put even more on the plate
00:02:51
of the company leaders in terms of making a lot of these
00:02:54
decisions as to how this process plays
00:02:56
out? - Absolutely. That's been one of the most fascinating pieces
00:03:00
that we've been trying to unpack, is imagine that the founder of
00:03:03
the firm is still in charge, still the CEO, even post IPO,
00:03:08
and we were essentially trying to ask and uncover, would that
00:03:11
person be more or less likely to fire employees? Because, on
00:03:15
the one hand, you may have hired and been involved in the
00:03:17
hiring process of these individuals pre IPO, that might
00:03:21
lead you to be more emotionally attached. But on the other hand,
00:03:25
the firm itself is your baby as well, that this is an
00:03:28
organization that is a mirror image of you to some extent. So
00:03:32
would you be more likely to show commitment to those employees?
00:03:35
And so that's something we're still trying to get to the
00:03:38
bottom of, is would founders be more or less likely?
00:03:41
- But let me ask you this, because I know the work you do in
00:03:44
entrepreneurship. I would think then, to a degree, this even has
00:03:48
to be on the radar of entrepreneurs as they're kind of
00:03:51
even starting out, and maybe many years down the road,
00:03:54
but at least it's a component they have to have in the back of
00:03:56
their minds as to, I mean, look, they want to grow the company,
00:04:00
they want to build it up. They would like to, you know, see the
00:04:03
level of growth, it may end up being through a sale, whatever,
00:04:05
but they still have to think about these
00:04:07
components as they're playing out.
00:04:09
- That's absolutely correct. So as the firm is building, this is one
00:04:13
of the reasons why I love studying IPOs, to be honest, is
00:04:16
because it's the intersection of entrepreneurship and strategy.
00:04:19
In a way, it's like the handover from the incubation period of
00:04:22
the organization to it being a more formal structure, a more
00:04:25
formal company. So as that entrepreneur is building the
00:04:29
organization, they want to bring the right people to the table
00:04:32
for that stage. And the IPO is, in one way, a way of unlocking
00:04:37
value for many of those individuals, many of the
00:04:39
original you know, employee number two, employee number
00:04:42
three would have a lot of equity in the firm, and the IPO is
00:04:45
their first true chance to completely cash out on all the
00:04:49
efforts that they've invested. And firms are actually taking
00:04:53
longer to IPO than in the past. They might be eight, nine, ten years
00:04:57
old by the time they IPO. So many Individuals who have been
00:05:01
with the firm from the beginning have been there for a
00:05:03
while. - And then there are those times where it just seems like
00:05:06
it's it's more of a challenge to go through the IPO process, the
00:05:09
dynamics of the market, and you know, what we're seeing play out,
00:05:13
and that obviously is part of the process as well, correct?
00:05:16
- For sure. So in some of my other work, I try to look at ways that
00:05:19
firms have tried to short circuit the process or do things
00:05:21
a little bit more easily because of the scrutiny of a traditional
00:05:24
IPO. So a couple years ago, we saw the special purpose
00:05:27
acquisition company boom. These SPACs were everywhere. Every
00:05:31
company that was trying to get to the moon or solve a really
00:05:35
difficult medical challenge would try to IPO through a SPAC
00:05:40
because it allowed you to shortcut, to some extent, this
00:05:43
traditional process that might take 18 months to two years to
00:05:46
be vetted in a traditional way.
00:05:49
- What do you think then the thought process of the employees
00:05:52
should be, especially when a company does go through an IPO,
00:05:55
and maybe even looking on the back end?
00:05:58
- I mean, in the current environment, layoffs are
00:06:01
something that is occurring even among the stalwart
00:06:05
companies. The biggest tech firms have announced layoffs of
00:06:09
10,000 people or more over the last couple of years. So in some
00:06:12
sense, all of us obviously approach our jobs, hopefully
00:06:16
most days, not thinking about the threat of layoffs. But
00:06:21
obviously, many of us know individuals who have been
00:06:23
directly impacted, whether it be a family member or someone else.
00:06:26
And that's why I care so much about this research, because
00:06:30
layoffs are highly disruptive at the individual level, even if
00:06:34
they can be, at times, a necessary tool of retrenching a
00:06:37
company or re-preparing it for its next phase.
00:06:40
- But again, it's important to have this understanding, whether
00:06:43
you're part of the company or whether you're a potential
00:06:45
investor, of understanding how these companies are thinking
00:06:48
about things as they go through the IPO process
00:06:51
and come out the other side.
00:06:53
- Absolutely. We used to think of employment as more of a lifetime
00:06:56
commitment by both parties. And so kind of a highlight in our
00:07:00
research is that you can actually learn about which
00:07:03
firms are more committed to their human capital. So it
00:07:06
really has surprised us that when we look at the prospectus
00:07:09
of a company at the time of IPO, that still has lingering
00:07:13
effects three, four, five years after the IPO in predicting which firms
00:07:17
are less likely to lay people off. So when a firm tells you
00:07:21
who it is and how much they care about their employees and what
00:07:24
they signal there, dig deep into those claims, and in some cases,
00:07:28
we do see firms that are willing to take the financial hit to
00:07:31
keep people on board. Because look, basic economics tells you
00:07:36
if resources are being made available, if it is a time when
00:07:39
other people are letting go of great talent, the firms that can
00:07:41
and are committed to scooping up the best talent, staying loyal
00:07:45
to them, those employees will pay that back many times over.
00:07:49
- That loyalty, aka the old golden watch theory, right? Given the
00:07:53
golden watch after 20 years, right? - Absolutely.
00:07:56
- Matt, great to have you with us. Thanks very much for your time today.
00:07:59
- Fantastic. Really enjoyed it. - Thank you. Matt Josefy, who is a
00:08:02
visiting Associate Professor of Management here at the Wharton
00:08:05
School.

Episode Highlights

  • The Shrinking Lifespan of Firms
    Research shows that firms going public have a 50% chance of lasting a decade.
    “Firms that have managed to go public only have a 50/50 shot of lasting.”
    @ 00m 53s
    June 06, 2025
  • The Impact of Layoffs
    Layoffs are becoming common, even among major tech firms, affecting many employees.
    “Layoffs are highly disruptive at the individual level.”
    @ 06m 30s
    June 06, 2025
  • Employee Loyalty Post-IPO
    Companies that commit to their employees can reap long-term benefits.
    “The firms that can stay loyal to their employees will pay that back many times over.”
    @ 07m 45s
    June 06, 2025

Episode Quotes

  • Firms that have managed to go public only have a 50/50 shot of lasting.
    What Happens to Employees When a Company Goes Public?
  • Layoffs are highly disruptive at the individual level.
    What Happens to Employees When a Company Goes Public?

Key Moments

  • Employee Perspective01:12
  • Layoff Concerns06:01
  • Commitment to Employees07:21

Words per Minute Over Time

Vibes Breakdown

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