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Building a Better Earned Income Tax Credit

January 19, 2017 / 06:24

This episode features Wharton professor Benjamin Lockwood discussing his research on tax policy, work subsidies, and the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC).

Lockwood explains that his research focuses on the effectiveness of work subsidies as anti-poverty programs, which incentivize low-income individuals to work more. He highlights the prevalence of such policies in various countries, including the U.S., where the EITC is a significant example.

He addresses the paradox of why these work subsidies are popular despite being considered suboptimal by traditional economic models. By incorporating behavioral economics, Lockwood illustrates how people often underestimate future benefits and overestimate immediate costs, making work subsidies more rational.

Key takeaways include the political popularity of the EITC and its impact on single mothers in the 1990s, who reported increased happiness despite reductions in unconditional welfare grants. Lockwood suggests reforms to broaden the EITC's focus and improve the timing of benefit payouts.

Looking ahead, Lockwood plans to explore the implications of behavioral economics on sin taxes, such as Philadelphia's soda tax, balancing their regressive nature against public health benefits.

TL;DR

Wharton professor Benjamin Lockwood discusses work subsidies, the Earned Income Tax Credit, and their implications for tax policy and behavioral economics.

Episode

6:24
00:00:01
we're here today with Wharton business
00:00:03
economics and public policy professor
00:00:05
Benjamin Lockwood to discuss some of his
00:00:06
recent research Ben thanks for being
00:00:08
here thanks for having me so first of
00:00:10
all could you give us a brief summary of
00:00:12
your research what you were looking at
00:00:14
sure gladly so um so I my research
00:00:17
focuses fundamentally on tax policy
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issues of redistribution and rising
00:00:21
inequality and and so the most recent
00:00:23
paper that I've been working on this
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involves issues of work subsidies so
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this is a particular kind of
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anti-poverty program where the
00:00:31
government pays especially low income
00:00:33
people to work more and these kinds of
00:00:35
policies are quite widespread they exist
00:00:37
from the UK to Scandinavia to the to New
00:00:42
Zealand they exist in the u.s. in the
00:00:44
form of the Earned Income Tax Credit
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which is an incredibly popular policy on
00:00:48
both sides of the of the political aisle
00:00:50
but there's a sort of puzzle in optimal
00:00:53
tax research because this kind of policy
00:00:56
is is suboptimal according to standard
00:00:58
economic models instead you should just
00:01:00
give people kind of a lump sum and let
00:01:02
them do choose the amount of work that
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they would like to like to provide so so
00:01:07
to resolve that puzzle I've essentially
00:01:08
looked to more recent developments in
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behavioral economics research which
00:01:13
studies temptation and self-control
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these kinds of issues and one of the
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lessons of that research is that people
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often underestimate benefits when they
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come with a delay and overestimate
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upfront costs so this can explain
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everything from under saving for
00:01:29
retirement to exercising less than one
00:01:31
intends to and when you think about it
00:01:33
labour effort the decision to work often
00:01:35
often involves those kinds of trade-offs
00:01:38
you need to put in time at a menial task
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or you need to do do lots of unpleasant
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work work searching for for a new job
00:01:46
upfront in exchange for the possibility
00:01:48
of a delayed benefit in the form of a
00:01:50
pay raise or a promotion so once you
00:01:53
take that that kind of behavioral bias
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into account these sorts of work
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subsidies can actually make a lot of
00:01:58
sense so what were some of the key
00:02:01
takeaways of the paper so I think that
00:02:02
there are a couple one is that this
00:02:05
helps us understand why policies like
00:02:07
the Earned Income Tax Credit might be so
00:02:09
widespread and so politically popular it
00:02:12
also helps us understand the kind of
00:02:14
puzzle
00:02:14
related to the EITC expansion in the
00:02:16
1990s so the way that expansion worked
00:02:19
was to expand work subsidies for for
00:02:22
primarily for single mothers while at
00:02:24
the same time reducing unconditional
00:02:27
welfare welfare grants and and so that
00:02:30
had the effect of encouraging single
00:02:32
mothers to enter the workforce which
00:02:33
they did quite substantially and
00:02:35
conventional economic theory suggests
00:02:38
that because it was it was accompanied
00:02:40
by reductions in other welfare programs
00:02:42
this should have actually unbalanced
00:02:44
made single mothers worse off on the
00:02:46
other hand when you look at subjective
00:02:48
happiness reports from single mothers
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over this same period you actually see
00:02:52
that they report being happier over that
00:02:54
time frame which is consistent with this
00:02:56
kind of behavioral economic model as
00:02:58
they gained the benefits of these
00:03:00
delayed delayed returns to being in the
00:03:02
labor force and so if I am either a
00:03:06
policymaker or even just the average
00:03:08
person what are some of the practical
00:03:10
implications of these research of this
00:03:11
research so I think there are a couple
00:03:13
practical ramifications one is it helps
00:03:15
us better understand why we have these
00:03:17
kinds of policies and why they're so
00:03:19
widespread why people on both sides of
00:03:21
the political aisle might favor them on
00:03:23
the other hand it also points to reforms
00:03:25
that we could potentially make to
00:03:27
programs like the EITC to actually
00:03:29
improve them so one type of reform would
00:03:32
be to expand the program from its
00:03:34
current more narrow focus on families as
00:03:37
primarily single mothers with children
00:03:38
to also expand it to families with it
00:03:41
without children single men and the like
00:03:44
because even though because those types
00:03:46
of workers also faced these delayed
00:03:49
benefits in exchange for upfront costs
00:03:51
of work on the other hand it also
00:03:53
suggests how the structure of the timing
00:03:55
of EITC benefits could be improved so
00:03:57
the the EITC has currently paid out as
00:04:00
one lump sum at the end of the tax year
00:04:02
and that results there and that results
00:04:04
in many people taking out loans against
00:04:06
those anticipated refunds often at very
00:04:09
high interest rates in excess of one
00:04:11
hundred and fifty percent at an
00:04:12
annualized level so by paying out EW I
00:04:15
see benefits more frequently throughout
00:04:16
the year we could avoid those kinds of
00:04:19
high interest loans by providing people
00:04:21
the liquidity they need more frequently
00:04:23
now with that also though would you have
00:04:25
to consider that that is less delayed
00:04:27
gratification you know
00:04:28
because they'd be getting it over the
00:04:30
course the year as opposed to waiting
00:04:31
till the end yes exactly so in fact
00:04:33
that's part of the benefit of that sort
00:04:35
of alternative timing structure if we
00:04:36
can pay those benefits more frequently
00:04:39
and closer to the time that the work is
00:04:41
actually performed then we can help
00:04:43
mitigate this temptation to to sort of
00:04:46
sit back and not think as much about
00:04:47
those delayed benefits because people
00:04:49
can connect it more directly to yes
00:04:51
exactly
00:04:52
and so what is what's next for this
00:04:54
research what are you going to look at
00:04:55
value gonna follow this up sure so I
00:04:57
think there are many different contexts
00:04:58
where it's helpful to build
00:04:59
considerations of behavioural temptation
00:05:02
and self-control into models of optimal
00:05:04
redistribution so the next project that
00:05:07
I'm working on along these lines is
00:05:09
actually looking at sin taxes like this
00:05:11
more recent soda tax that the city of
00:05:13
Philadelphia has introduced so there are
00:05:16
one of the kind of rationales for those
00:05:18
kinds of policies is that they help
00:05:20
discourage unhealthy behavior in this
00:05:22
case consuming sugary beverages
00:05:24
hopefully then reducing the incidence of
00:05:26
obesity and diabetes but at the same
00:05:29
time one caught one perceived cost of
00:05:31
those policies is that they can tend to
00:05:33
be really regressive falling heavily on
00:05:35
poor on lower-income consumers so so
00:05:38
this more recent research that I'm
00:05:39
looking at sort of ways those those
00:05:42
benefits and costs against each other to
00:05:44
try to find the optimal point and also
00:05:46
looks at other possible policies like
00:05:48
making the income tax more progressive
00:05:50
at the same time as we increase sin
00:05:53
taxes like like a tax on soda to kind of
00:05:55
offset those regressivity costs thank
00:05:58
you so much for being here my pleasure
00:06:18
[Music]

Episode Highlights

  • Understanding Work Subsidies
    Research shows that work subsidies can help people overcome the temptation of delayed benefits.
    “These sorts of work subsidies can actually make a lot of sense.”
    @ 01m 57s
    January 19, 2017
  • The EITC and Single Mothers
    The expansion of the EITC in the 1990s encouraged single mothers to enter the workforce, leading to increased happiness.
    “They report being happier over that time frame.”
    @ 02m 52s
    January 19, 2017
  • Reforming the EITC
    Proposed reforms to the EITC could expand its focus and improve its timing structure.
    “We could avoid those kinds of high-interest loans.”
    @ 04m 21s
    January 19, 2017

Episode Quotes

  • Policies like the Earned Income Tax Credit are incredibly popular on both sides.
    Building a Better Earned Income Tax Credit
  • People often underestimate benefits that come with a delay.
    Building a Better Earned Income Tax Credit
  • We could avoid high-interest loans by providing liquidity more frequently.
    Building a Better Earned Income Tax Credit

Key Moments

  • Tax Policy Research00:17
  • Behavioral Economics01:08
  • EITC Expansion02:16
  • Policy Implications03:11
  • Future Research05:09

Words per Minute Over Time

Vibes Breakdown

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