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Our favorite stat from the original paper was one we called the better than the next guy stat, which is take any two
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players who play the same position, who are drafted one after the other. So, the
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third running back compared to the fourth. And we say, "What's the probability that the earlier player is
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better than the next one?" And in the original paper, the answer to that question was
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52%. Now, if they're perfect, it's 100. If they're random, it's 50. It's a
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little higher in the first round. And so, that was the first question is, "Well, now we've got stats and the
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combine and AI and who knows? Maybe they've gotten a lot better at this."
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And the answer is they haven't. That number's now 53%. First round, 58%.
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So, they've not all of a sudden mastered the art of predicting who's going to be good.