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Housing market outlook for 2024 – Wharton Professor Susan Wachter #housingmarket

December 27, 2023 / 01:00

This episode discusses predictions for the housing market in 2024, focusing on interest rates, inflation, and opportunities for Millennials and Generation Z.

The speaker predicts that the first half of 2024 will continue the challenges faced in 2023, with mortgage rates remaining high. However, by the second half of the year, a potential recovery may begin.

Interest rates are expected to decrease as inflation has dropped to 2.5%, which aligns with the Federal Reserve's goals. This reduction in inflation could lead to lower mortgage rates, possibly falling from 7% to around 5%.

As mortgage rates decline, the supply of homes is anticipated to increase, providing more opportunities for buyers who have struggled in recent years.

The speaker expresses optimism for Millennials and Generation Z, suggesting that 2025 could present a healthier market for those looking to purchase homes.

TL;DR

Predictions for the housing market in 2024 suggest challenges early on but potential recovery later, benefiting younger buyers.

Episode

1:00
00:00:00
my prediction for the housing market for
00:00:01
2024 is a continuation of the
00:00:04
difficulties of 2023 for the first half
00:00:07
of the year but by the second half I
00:00:08
think we'll start seeing recovery stay
00:00:10
alive to 2025 because we see some really
00:00:13
positive Trends in interest rates moving
00:00:15
down because inflation is down inflation
00:00:17
is down over the last 6 months to a 2.5%
00:00:20
rate which is close to the fed's goal
00:00:22
with recession that should come down
00:00:23
further giving us significant relief on
00:00:26
the side of the mortgage market and at
00:00:27
the same time that mortgage rates fall
00:00:29
from 7 % range to perhaps as low as 5%
00:00:33
we will see that Supply will in fact
00:00:36
increase as well so difficult year ahead
00:00:39
but by 2025 markets could be
00:00:41
considerably healthier for buyers who
00:00:44
are been shut out of owner occupancy and
00:00:47
we look forward to that opportunity for
00:00:50
Millennials Generation Z to get into
00:00:53
that home that they've been struggling
00:00:54
to buy over the last several
00:00:58
years

Episode Highlights

  • Housing Market Predictions for 2024
    Expect a tough first half, but recovery may begin in the second half of the year.
    “Difficult year ahead, but recovery is on the horizon.”
    @ 00m 39s
    December 27, 2023
  • Positive Trends in Interest Rates
    Inflation is down, leading to potential relief in the mortgage market.
    “Difficult year ahead, but recovery is on the horizon.”
    @ 00m 39s
    December 27, 2023

Episode Quotes

  • Difficult year ahead, but recovery is on the horizon.
    Housing market outlook for 2024 – Wharton Professor Susan Wachter #housingmarket
  • Millennials and Generation Z will finally get their chance to buy homes.
    Housing market outlook for 2024 – Wharton Professor Susan Wachter #housingmarket

Key Moments

  • Market Recovery00:08
  • Interest Rates Down00:13
  • Millennials' Opportunity00:47

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