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Want a Job in the Future? Be a Student for Life

July 02, 2019 / 20:51

This episode features Ravi Kumar, president of Infosys, discussing the future of jobs shaped by technology, automation, and AI. Key topics include the impact of emerging technologies on job creation and elimination, the importance of lifelong learning, and the evolving nature of work across different industries.

Kumar highlights that by 2022, 75 million jobs will be lost while 135 million new roles will emerge due to advancements in technology. He emphasizes the shift from repetitive tasks to cognitive, non-repetitive roles, where humans will collaborate with machines.

He also addresses the challenges and opportunities presented by this transition, particularly the need for a culture of lifelong learning and the blurring of industry lines. Kumar notes that emerging economies like India and China are better positioned to adapt to these changes due to their lack of legacy systems.

In discussing the service sector, particularly banking, Kumar explains how traditional banking practices are evolving into digital solutions, making banking more accessible, especially in underdeveloped nations.

Finally, Kumar advises young graduates to embrace lifelong learning and adaptability to remain relevant in a rapidly changing job landscape.

TLDR

Ravi Kumar discusses how technology will transform jobs, emphasizing lifelong learning and the shift from repetitive to creative roles.

Episode

20:51
00:00:01
our guest today is Ravi Kumar president of emphasis and we are speaking with him
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about how the emerging world of Technology will shape the jobs of the future Ravi thank you so much for speaking with
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knowledge it was named local for the opportunity so I won't talk to start by
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talking about a recent panel at the Milken conference that you were a participant and one of the things that
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you said on that panel is that seventy five million old jobs will go away by 2022 and 135 million new jobs will be
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created because of new technologies so the two questions I have are how will the jobs of the future be different than
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the jobs that are being eliminated and what are the main factors that are driving this change thank you so much
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Mukul that's a that's a great question actually in fact every large enterprise
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and every large you know government ecosystem is thinking about this fact about automation AI machine learning and
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new age digital technology is taking away jobs of the past and creating jobs of the future that's happened in most
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tech revolutions in the past but this this to me is one of the biggest and it's a tectonic shift in the way
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businesses and operating models have evolved in the last few years I would think there will be fundamentally two
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big shifts the first being a lot of repetitive tasks are going to be automated with machines and AI software
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in your workspace so when that happens the cognitive non repetitive tasks will be done by humans so that's one big
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shift so humans have to start looking at it as a way to amplify their jobs using
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machines to amplify the jobs and the shift from repetative to non repetitive tasks so that's a big shift the second I
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would say and this is one of my favorites institutions enterprises will from people workplace to a people plus
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machine workplace and if I extend the thought they will move from people plus gig plus machines machines will do the
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problem-solving the gig the gig economy which will give you variability of your workforce agility of your workforce and
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scale and the private human capital you have as I call it you know I kind of make this distinction of public and
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private human capital will switch to creative jobs or problem finding so repetative test to non-repetitive and
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the second is moving from problem solving to problem finding or more creative jobs so humans will then you
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know switch to transition to creative jobs so these are the two big shifts in the way work packets and in workplaces
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won't be so I'd like to drill a little deeper into into this issue but before
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we do that what are some of the opportunities and some of the challenges in implementing this vision that you
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just described you know the fundamental shift on this is is lifelong learning you know all of us have moved from you
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know at least when I grew up we we had a linear equation of studies to work and I
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call that linear straight line and we're going to move to a continuum of lifelong
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learning which essentially means you have to be a lifelong learner and you have to learn to learn and learn to
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unlearn and learn to learn that switch is a big switch for individuals to have a culture of being on that learning
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curve for all their lives so that's there that's a big switch in the way you
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see see things the second aspect is and we kind of discussed in one of our previous conversations which is about
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curiosity or problem finding lines between industries have blurred as lines between industries have blurred you have
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to start thinking in a much cross-functional way there isn't a discipline or a
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disciplinary approach to work anymore and that will that will make disciplines beyond core engineering and stem which
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was used for core technologies to diverse into a much cognitive diverse pool and I think in the digital age
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applying technologies to businesses will be a much bigger virtue than the technology itself so on one side of the
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spectrum you need deep programmers on the other side of the spectrum you need individuals who can contextualize it to
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businesses and apply it which means they need to be they need to be people who can actually find problems people who
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can actually apply to businesses so you need a much diverse workforce coming from liberal arts coming from design
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coming from humanity coming from anthropology and disciplines of that kind that's a big shift from the
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previous era where the tech revolution kind of got a braced with technologists and technologists actually created the
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divide and this is an opportunity to actually bridge the divide interesting I mean what you're saying makes a lot of
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sense and I wonder I've been given your role at Infosys you probably see a lot
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of different companies in different industries across the world based on your perspective which industries do you
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think are best prepared for this shift and which countries are best prepared to offer these changes in the future of
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jobs samokhin you know that's a that's a very intriguing question I would say you
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know industries which had a legacy of adoption of core technologies or traditional technologies
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counter-intuitively have a much difficult task of repurposing themselves because they have
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a legacy to deal with so that's one aspect of reflecting which industry will
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play a role which essentially means you could leapfrog multiple if you're in industry which not which
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did not adapt to traditional technologies and be ahead of the curve you have that opportunity now if you
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have not done it in the previous era the second way of seeing this is industry lines are blurring you know every time I
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meet a CX of a of an enterprise they're not worried about the peers they worried
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about what other industries are doing because they don't know who their competition is you know if I meet a bank
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CSC XO of a bank most times I get to hear tell us what you're doing with retail clients we want to know about
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them and the same with all other industries so industry lines are blurring so you really don't know where
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to actually how to measure you know what you want to benchmark yourself with so that's one other aspect of seeing this
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if I go back to society's or countries countries in the Asia Pacific the emerging ones like India China which did
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not have legacy systems and legacy processes to deal with a leapfrogging and creating digital platforms which are
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significantly superior to some of the developed nations and that's because the
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developed nations have a deal with a legacy and when they have to deal with the legacy they have to repurpose
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financial capital to fund the new and they have to repurpose human capital to fund new while the emerging economies
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have this if they have the vision they have the opportunity to leapfrog into a completely new digital paradigm without
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even bothering what the legacy is all about so I kind of have and that's why I
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said it's very intriguing who is gonna win win the race if I look at China which traditionally did labor arbitrage
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to create a massive manufacturing ecosystem today is in an inflection point at the crossroads where automation
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can take away that leverage of labor arbitrage because the percentage of Labor Robert percentage of labor in a in
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a manufacturing shop floor is going down and it could reassure manufacturing back
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to the developed nations if they don't embrace automation in a big way so I would think this is
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this is a very complicated you know paradox of sorts for economies to deal with it right well I think that both
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what you're saying is fascinating because if you take a country like China do you see this model that you described
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earlier of people plus machines plus gig do you see that playing out into China and and how is it differ different from
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the way it plays out say in a place like the US so it does you know in fact I actually think if you look at density of
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robots on a shop floor China doesn't rank number one Korea ranks ranks much higher than them
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Taiwan drags higher than them for the manufacturing manufacturing space Germany is doing pretty well in fact a
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lot of a lot of manufacturing is getting restored back so China really has to scale up on it and they have to
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cannibalize their ownselves to to get there and that's the point I was making earlier being an incumbent is
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not necessarily a competitive advantage in in a era where you can leapfrog and create necessarily a completely
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different operating model I think that that that's true moving slightly away
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from manufacturing into a service sector see like banking and insurance as you look to the future of work in these in a
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sector like banking and financial services what kind of jobs do you think are likely to go away and what kind of
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new jobs will come into being as a result of these technology shifts that are going on yeah you know going to a
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bank to do a transaction the traditional way of doing it is going to switch to the bank coming to your home and the
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band coming to your app and that's that's happened in literally in every
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country in the world and in fact in the emerging markets the amount of transactions you can do do online and do
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in a digital way and the digital Bank is much much superior to doing it you know if you if you go to
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developing nations because they're just leapfrogged you know multiple leaders to
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get there so that's taken the whole banking revolution into a very different
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paradigm if you go to underdeveloped nations the unbanked which is a significant population in in
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underdeveloped nations are getting access to a bank through the mobile phone you know all of Africa does
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banking on mobile phone and mobile service providers are becoming banks for for those citizens so banking has taken
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a very different paradigm in underdeveloped nations where you can literally Bank you know you can bank the
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unbanked by by very different industry industry paradigm and the and and the lines between these industries are
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blurring because everybody has a chance to be a bank of the future for those for
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those for those nations so how many jobs of the future need to balance between technical skills on the one hand and
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emotional and social skills on the other hand and also what are some of the implications for blue-collar and
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white-collar work that you see coming down the road that's a fascinating question because you know as much as
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technologies of the future are going to change the paradigm of work workforces and workplaces as well on one side you
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need deep programming skills to build these technologies I think the bigger virtue is to apply this technologies to
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businesses apply this technologies to a personal lives and our professional lives and the societies we live in and
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that embrace will need an emotional quotient a empathy quotient to make technology live our lives better finally
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that's what technology is all about it has to make lives better and for that to
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happen my sense is we're gonna move not just having deep programming skills with stem
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stem talent but we're going to have inclusion of liberal arts an inclusion of design an inclusion of humanities
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inclusion of disciplines which are completely away from the stem you know the stem equivalent if I'm an
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and that never happened in the tech space when the tech revolution happened it is going to happen in the digital age
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when these when these technologies are going to be embraced across industries and it will give you the emotional and
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the and the and the human aspect of of technology so I think liberal arts design and disciplines of this kind will
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play a much bigger virtue I also believe that we're going to move from T skills
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to Z skills and this is my you know my way of articulating it these skills are the skills where you specialize in an
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idea but you kind of have a broad embrace on things around you and that's how you know educational ecosystems are
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built we're going to move to Z skills which means you learn unlearn and learn
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on a constant basis and there isn't a discipline so I almost call it an entire
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disciplinary approach to education so you're spot on you know the technology
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is important but a bigger virtue is to apply them in a human and an empathetic way to businesses that's that's the
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future right as you think about the future of work and I know you think a lot about it some of the biggest risks
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that keep you up at night yeah and what do you hear from the people you talk to in different companies and different
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industries what are they most worried about what can be done about those risks to do it so that everyone can sleep
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better at night yeah I think you're you know this is a follow-up question but
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you you teed it up before I asking the blue collar and white collar it's kind
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of in the same space zone you know across the world everybody now recognizes rescaling is very important
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repurposing is very important but everybody is talking about rescaling white-collar
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jobs what happens to blue-collar jobs what happens to a factory worker what happens to a technician what happens to
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a bartender there was this distinctive difference between blue and white collar jobs and how you scale and rescale in
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the past but the embrace of digital is so overarching and so pervasive that we need to start thinking about blue collar
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jobs and I think you know that line will blur and you're gonna have new college
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options very little infrastructure has been established for blue collar jobs or jobs of the future so that's a big risk
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I I believe and that's a that's an uphill task because they're not ready to
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get rescaled and you are almost pushing them to rescale in fact our own initiative on community colleges is a
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phenomenal example of how we're trying to do that the second aspect Mukul I don't know whether you have thought
00:16:26
about it for this rescaling task which is such a such a big mission governments academic institutions and enterprises
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have to come together to to take the owners you know who own set is it the employee or the enterprise or the
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government or the academic institutions who owns it but you know governments have wired in a very different way
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governments are wired for the first 15 to 20 years of their of citizens lives and they're wired for the last 20 years
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of citizens lives but all this change happens in the middle and all the risk killing is needed in the middle and how
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do government's re-architect then their own infrastructure to to deal with the
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middle I think is a big risk we all foresee and how do the educational ecosystems get up to create lifelong
00:17:21
learners I think these are the three things I would say I would lose sleep on how is Infosys what his interest is
00:17:28
doing to try to mitigate some of these risks so you know you know in our own small way we are making impact on all
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these three areas we have a learning platform called wingspan which is being which is a platform for enterprises to
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create learn for their employees this is our own customers not just our employees and
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that is to create an embrace of learning across the enterprise including blue-collar jobs in the in the aspect
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round round working with governments we are very actively pursuing with governments in fact what we are hiring
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from schools in the US with our six centers is a is a partnership with local state governments and academic
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institutions to create future talent talent which does not exist in the market and to create lifelong learners
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we have the Infosys foundation in the United States which is in the top three foundations for computer science
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education in k-12 schools and our endeavor is to teach teachers so that they are equipped enough to teach
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students and teach students and we're doing this a massive scale and I think
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that's in a small way our contribution to theirs I would say challenges and opportunities of the future then end
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with one last question let's imagine that among the people who are listening
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to this conversation there are some young people who are just about to graduate from college and enter the
00:19:03
workforce for the first time what advice would you give them about things that they can do today so that they can have
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a meaningful career over the next 30 to 40 years you know that's a that's a
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phenomenal question you know I actually think being a lifelong learner it's probably the most important aspect of
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this and because I can academic institutions the way they're wired you finish higher studies you get to work
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and you think you're done with learning I think you need to get back into the
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mind frame of being a lifelong which essentially means what you learn today will will get obsolete and in literally
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in a few a few months sort of or or less than a year and you should be prepared to challenge the status quo and and
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create your own you know your own career path that and that I think is the only way
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you could be on this constant learning journey I would say that's the that's
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the area we are all entering into and if they want to stay relevant they have to
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be paranoid about the change around them and accordingly react Andy Grove the former CEO of Intel used to say only the
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paranoid survive you know that that might be a good mindset you know absolute for the future absolutely
00:20:28
Robbie thank you so much for speaking with knowledge at Wharton Thank You McCool for this opportunity thank you so
00:20:33
much for more insight from knowledge at Wharton please visit knowledge Wharton UPenn edu
00:20:44
[Music] you

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Episode Highlights

  • The Future of Jobs
    Ravi Kumar discusses the impact of technology on future job markets, predicting significant job shifts.
    “Seventy-five million old jobs will go away by 2022.”
    @ 00m 31s
    July 02, 2019
  • Lifelong Learning
    Kumar emphasizes the importance of continuous learning in adapting to job market changes.
    “You have to learn to learn and learn to unlearn.”
    @ 03m 47s
    July 02, 2019

Episode Quotes

  • Only the paranoid survive.
    Want a Job in the Future? Be a Student for Life

Key Moments

  • Job Shifts00:31
  • Lifelong Learning03:47
  • Industry Blurring07:23
  • Future of Work19:12

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