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DOGE unveils a roadmap, Unlocking GDP Growth, WW3 escalation, Fat cell memory

November 23, 2024 / 01:10:07

This episode covers the Allin Holiday Spectacular, the Doge initiative led by Elon Musk and V, and discussions on government efficiency and regulation reform.

The hosts discuss the upcoming Allin Holiday Spectacular event in San Francisco, scheduled for December 7th, and the option for virtual attendance via Zoom. They highlight the importance of the event and the excitement surrounding it.

Elon Musk and V's op-ed in the Wall Street Journal about the Doge initiative is a major focus. They propose cutting unnecessary government regulations and expenditures, aiming for a more efficient government structure.

The conversation shifts to the challenges of implementing these reforms, with Freeberg emphasizing the urgency of acting before the midterms. The hosts express optimism about the potential impact of Doge on federal spending and bureaucracy.

They also touch on the political landscape, discussing the need for bipartisan support and the potential backlash from entrenched interests. The episode concludes with reflections on the broader implications of these reforms for the American economy.

TLDR

The episode discusses the Allin Holiday Spectacular and Elon Musk's Doge initiative for government efficiency reforms.

Episode

1:10:07
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Jamal do you hear that freeberg got busted looking at porn on his computer no I did not you got busted
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looking at porn you want to know what it was yeah it was Elon of AES Wall Street
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Journal off that it was I lost it oh man was too good I think he was pleasuring himself to that
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off skin flute what happened you had to go for a quick game of pocka pool how's you oh my God it was it was too exciting
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you were beating the bishop Allison came in and just like wondering what was going on she grabbed my computer she
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looked at it and it was an essay let your winners [Music] ride we open sources to the fans and
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they've just gone crazy [Music] withen all right before we get to Doge we got a little housekeeping a little
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Housey housekeeping you know we're getting into the holiday spirit here it's Episode 205 we're in year 4 and
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we're having a Christmas party it's going to be great the Allin Holiday Spectacular is happening in San
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Francisco on Saturday December 7th I think the VIP sold out there's still some tickets left go to allin.com
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events and uh if you can't make it to San Francisco I think you can buy a a ticket for $50 on uh on the uh Zoom I
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think we're going to have it on Zoom is that right am do I have my fact straight
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there freeberg yeah there's going to be a live stream thanks to zoom for setting this
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up for us it's kind of interesting they're doing this thing where you could you kind of you know get access to Live
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Events so they're helping us get this set up if you want to watch the the stream live on Zoom anything's possible
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it could be spicy true that true that all right listen bestie Elon and bestie V wrote an OP ED a barn burner in the
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Wall Street Journal about Doge the department of government efficiency and they laid it out they want to cut
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overbearing and unnecessary regulation obviously they want to cut unnecessary administrative roles save taxpayers
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money they want to run it by Founders not politicians helping the Trump transition team find a way to hire quote
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a lean team of small government Crusaders team's going to work closely with the White House Office of
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Management and budget here's the plan First Take Aim at 500 billion in annual F Federal expenditures that are
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unauthorized by Congress then fix the government's procurement process by conducting massive audits during
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temporary payment suspensions this is an interesting Playbook that Elon has done
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before so basically suspend all the payments and hey let everybody audit those payments Drive change through
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executive action based on existing legislation rather than passing new laws and two two scotus rulings are going to
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play a major role here West Virginia versus EPA that's when scotus ruled that federal agencies can't impose
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regulations dealing with major economic or policy questions unless Congress authorizes them to do so and Looper
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brigh versus Rondo that's from 2024 and that overturned the Chevron Doctrine we talked about that on a previous episode
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so according to Doge when combined quote these cases suggest that a plethora of current Federal Regulations exceed The
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Authority Congress has granted under the law do will use software and legal experts to create a list of regulations
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that Trump can immediately pause they're going to make some sort of a leaderboard
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Elon said and vake said he would do he suspended his existing podcast I didn't know he
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had a podcast but he's doing a doge cast a doge podcast and so freeberg this has
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been you know a major issue for you you you've been talking about on this podcast
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the unsustainable existential issue for our country is all of the debt we have what are the chances that this is going
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to occur because obviously we all know the machine is going to fight to preserve the machine chances that we are
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sitting here in four years and we've seen meaningful Cuts in spending and a meaningful reduction in size of the
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government look it it Doge has probably 18 months to do what they can do before the midterms and there's going to be an
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inevitable amount of recoil and backlash that's going to arise from the actions that they're going to try and take and
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president Trump's going to try and take uh under the uh recommendations provided
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by Doge um so they need to move fast and aggressively and that's only going to cause The Recoil to be harder and and
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faster there's going to be a ton of litigation obviously everything's going to go to court it's going to be um
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incredibly politicized what is frustrating and challenging to me is that there is nothing that they said
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that doesn't seem obvious and right I don't know how you can politicize the points that they're making put aside
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their party put aside who they are individually put aside how we got here at the end of the day this federal
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government needs to be run more efficiently more effectively it is unfair and it is a tax on every one of
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us to have money thrown away to have wasted Capital to have bureaucracy that gets in the way of people being able to
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do their jobs it is a tax on all of us and our kids and our future it needs to be fixed if it doesn't get fixed as I've
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said countless times before we are in an arithmatic debt depth spiral there is no
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way out of it so by resolving both the inefficiency reducing the bureaucracy stopping the wasteful spending having
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accountability in the or in the government we can actually get the United States another 50 years a 100
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years whatever long we want but we were literally in a death spiral leading up to this moment and I have no idea how we
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ended up on this time timeline I was over the moon and shocked when I read all of the progress over the last couple
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of weeks and putting this thing together I did not know that this is where we would end up I couldn't be more happy
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with what I think is going to happen with Doge and its effect on if not actually making the changes shining a
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light on the issues that need to be addressed and I will say it is unfair to Americans for this to be politicized the
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Democrats shouldn't make this a republican issue this is not about Republicans doing damage this is about
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doing the right thing for the government for the country and the Democrats had an
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opportunity to own this issue and instead they've chosen to oppose it which makes no sense it is frustrating
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and challenging to me as an American to think that this is even a political point this should be a what's right for
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America point it's almost like we're going to war war with ourselves with our bureaucracy with the morass that's been
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built up over the last couple of decades and I'm thrilled that this is happening
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and frankly put the put the people aside maybe it's the fact that you need people
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that are as outspoken as challenging as difficult as these two particular individuals are going to run this group
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but that might be what it takes for it to happen in the small 18mon window that they have so I don't know that's my rant
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on it yeah great rant and uh we had a Milton fredman clip go viral and he spoke exactly about his positions on
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what he would eliminate departments like agriculture Commerce education let's just play that clip and then there was
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obviously the Malay interview by Lex Freeman earlier this week keep them or abolish them Department of Agriculture
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abolish gone Department of Commerce abolish gone Department of Defense keep keep it Department of Education abolish
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gone energy abolish Health and Human Services there is room for some public health activities to prevent uh uh
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contagion will'll eliminate half of the Department of Health and Human Service okay one half there we go Housing and
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Urban Development down done that's gone Department of the Interior the problem there is you first have to sell off all
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the land that the government owns but that's what you should do it could be done pretty quickly you should do
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Department of Justice oh yes keep that one keep that one labor no gone State keep keep it Transportation Gone Gone
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the treasury you have to keep it to collect taxes all right collect taxes through the treasury sax you see that
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clip you see the activity going on with Doge do you think that the machine will allow what Milton Freeman is describing
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there what Javier Malay is doing in Argentina and what Elon is proposing with Doge do you think the machine's
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going to allow you know the wholesale deleting of Department of Agriculture Department of Education at a
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federal level and move all that stuff to the states what do you think's going to
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happen here and how hard will the machine fight back against this in your mind because hey you might have some
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Republicans some Democrats they fought really hard to get jobs to get subsidies to put in factories whatever from the
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federal government are they going to just give that all back the clip is from 1998 by the way Sach your
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thoughts well that Milton Freeman clip as great as it is I mean it really is outstanding is setting expectations a
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little bit too high here I mean we're not going to be able to wipe out entire major Departments of the government that
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are cabinet level positions I don't think that's in the cards what mil Freeman's basically describing as a
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night Watchman State and I don't think we're going to get back to that however if you look right now at the opinions on
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the Legacy Media msdnc CNN all that kind of stuff they are forecasting that doge
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is going to amount to nothing they're basically saying that the powers that be in Washington are going to rejected
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completely there's somehow going to be a falling out between Elon and djt they're
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just very cynical gjt and then you have people who are not necessarily dismissive in that way in
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the media but just kind of longtime Wasington insiders who feel like they've seen it all before and nothing ever
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happens and so they're just very jaded and cynical so I would say that you know again I wouldn't have the expectations
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of the Milton Freeman level but I think that the expectations for Doge right now
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are being set incredibly Low by the media and by the Washington insiders and I think there are good reasons to
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believe that the results will surpass those those low expectations number one is you've got
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Elon Musk running this thing with fa and Elon understands better than anybody the
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impact of delarius regulations on business so he can really put a microscope on that he's got the largest
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speech platform in the world with x the largest account on X and he's also built
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a get out the vote operation that he funded in the last election that he's promised to keep around and potentially
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expand so his influence hopefully is not going anywhere he's going to be able to
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keep using that to help keep politicians on side here right yeah so that's number
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one is no one's ever made money betting against Elon Musk and I don't expect that to start right now number two is
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you got V who is co-head with Elon of this thing and I think he's a perfect partner for Elon because V first of all
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he's a brilliant guy with a lot of success in business but he's also a Harvard trained lawyer he's a brilliant
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legal mind and I think you could see in that oped I suspect the parts that were citing all those Court decisions were
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his influence and so they figured out a legal road map here it's not just a matter of kind of going to Congress and
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hoping Congress acts they've got a way here sequentially to do this through the executive branch through executive
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orders going through the court system they've kind of got a game plan here that's not entirely reliant on
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legislation so I think think the's influence and and sort of legal strategic mind is a is a big asset here
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and then I think the third reason to be optimistic is just the fact that this was printed on the Wall Street Journal
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oped page is suggestive in and of itself what this shows is that this Doge effort
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is I think uniting both the kind of populist reformers and the establishment types within the party if Elon and aake
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were're trying to get a mandate for no more Forever War I don't think the Wall Street Journal will be publishing that
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right just would not happen so there are are reasons to believe that this will not actually divide the party that the
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party could building yeah could be yeah now look every congressman and every Senator is still going to advocate for
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their pork barrel project in their District or their state and it's going to be very hard to push back on that
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however you could imagine a process like we had with the base closure commission
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when the United States needed to close a bunch of military bases and they created
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a an outside commission to recommend the cuts and everyone kind of shared the pain equally maybe do could somehow play
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into that for trade a bit yeah so I'm not saying it's going to be perfect but I do think that if
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Republicans share a principle across again both these establishment and the populace side it would be in reducing
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unnecessary regulation and the number of regulators needed the number of government employees needed to enforce
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all those regulations so I'm hopeful that they'll be able to get something done within the party and since the
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Republicans have the trifecta if they've got Trump's leadership and they've got the leadership of the Senate and House
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backing it I think they'll be able to get something done again it's not GNA be it's not gonna be Milton Freeman level
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but I'm optimistic they'll get something good and important done I think the easiest thing for them to get done with
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doge is the naming the shaming the auditing the transparency of what we're actually spending because so many of the
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audits Jam off are just not completed people don't know what's being spent and if you show Americans a $112,000 hammer
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or people with job titles not coming into the office or coming into the office one day a week one day a month
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that's going to infuriate taxpayers and I think there's a very easy way to navigate all this you just create the
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leaderboard and you not only shame people who are wasting our tax dollars you celebrate the people who are heroes
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Who start showing frugality and cost and they're going to do this with a leaderboard of the heroes and the goats
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this could be the unifying not just the Republican party as as sax is pointing out shof I think this could unify the
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whole country is there anybody paying taxes that wants to see money wasted that wants to see us pay people high
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salaries to not come to work shath what's your take on the sequence of events here what are easy layups that
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they could actually get done and then where is the machine going to fight and try to stop this thing I think you
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are highlighting something that they can do right away which I think is very powerful which is just using these
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distribution channels that Elon has now to create a massive layer of accountability I do think that Sunshine
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is a really incredible disinfectant I think the best way that they could start if possible is to stop paying their
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vendors until you actually have some amount of accounting to figure out as you said how many $600 soap dispensers
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are actually being bought and sold now that kind of whatever you want to call that corruption or grift it's not going
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to account for hundreds of billions or trillions of dollars but I do think that it is a very moral and symbolic win that
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says we're going we're going to start to get much more rational and it starts to
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allow the average American to actually feel like they have a little bit of control and they have a more vested
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interest in how the governments M but I want to I actually want to take a step back for a
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second and before I talk about what Doge can do I just want to highlight something that's been going on in
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California because I think it it explains a lot in California and I'm just going to read this St because it's
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incredible the regulatory burden in California as a state from 1997 to 2015 this is when the data is available that
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I found has increased by almost 50% as of May of 2022 there are almost 61,000 individual regulations in the
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state of California so what does that mean and where does it come from and Nick if you can just put out the tweet
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it has happened over a period of time in which the government has been the absolute singular source of employment
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in the state and we talked about this before where this is also a problem at the
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federal level when you look at GDP and job growth because it looks like a lot of these jobs are actually fake
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manufactured government type jobs so why is this a problem you've seen in California the issue that we have is
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that if you have a growth in the number of employees in this case in California all the job
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growth in recent memory has been state employees what is the byproduct regulations go up what is the byproduct
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of that there are actually no private sector jobs and more to the point the private sector flees so now let's bubble
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that up and look at the federal government Nick if you want to just show that chart that I that I sent you what
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is incredible jcal is that the more people are hired by the government lo and behold what do you see
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the number of regulations issued by federal agencies has just continued unabated year in year out you cannot run
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a country like this so these accumulate right Congress is doing less and less of a job actually
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trying to frame how the country should work that white space is filled in as freeberg said by these federal agencies
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it compounds and accumulates this is not replacing laws none of these regulations
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have expiry dates and so as a result I think what you probably have is an incredible restraint on the US economy I
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think that the US economy could be growing at four or 5% but the reason that it doesn't grow
00:18:35
at four or 5% is in that one single chart it is impossible to be able to live up to your economic potential when
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you have this burden on your neck so I think the real opportunity for doge is to basically do whatever it needs to do
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using the law to wipe as many of these regulations off the books we are better cutting them all to zero and then
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finding the ones we really need and then repassing those then we are going at this peace meal and there's some incred
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there's some incredible ideas by the way that this creates Nick I don't know if you can find this tweet but Doge asked
00:19:15
what people think of the IRS and there was an enormous amount of activity that essentially said give us a
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flat tax and wipe out the tax code and people were very flexible in the of tax that they were willing to pay
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but could you imagine the simplification in the tax code and the implications of that I was in Singapore
00:19:36
by the way 10 days ago when I started my trip Nick beep out the name of the person I'm about to say but I had a long
00:19:42
meeting with who you know is there and I was asking him the complexity of dealing with taxes he's
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like what do you mean we don't we pay a very simple tax system there's no capital gains in Singapore and so as a
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result our filing requirements are diim small but as a result people like him meaning great entrepreneurs can spend
00:20:05
all their time thinking about what to build not how not tax optimization exactly not or how to account for it so
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could you imagine if these guys basically use Doge as a mechanism to shrink the tax code create a flat tax
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potentially I know that that has to be passed by Congress I understand that but the idea of just cutting this all the
00:20:27
way down and then finding through that process what you actually need I think can find America 100 200 basis points of
00:20:36
GDP growth it could be an economic Renaissance I mean just to build on that cutting all the regulations to zero you
00:20:42
might have throw out some babies in the bath water so why not put a clock on them and just say whenever this was
00:20:48
enacted plus five years and then it rolls off or plus two years whatever number of months and then you could have
00:20:55
them Cham rolling off every month to be but it I think that's a good idea but Jal I think you first have to cancel all
00:21:03
these regulations and then say whatever we need we will reenact P your point on a five-year shock clock that then has to
00:21:10
be renewed in a new Congressional period And I think that that's extremely healthy well because you know what
00:21:16
people die paradigms shift and then nobody even remembers these regulations you have to do archaeology to figure out
00:21:22
who created this what was the intent and you would never do that you would never
00:21:26
live Sachs with all of these rules forever just one last comment In fairness to these government
00:21:33
employees the one thing is that it's not their fault right meaning in the sense that they were hired into a regime where
00:21:40
the incentive was to regulate so that you had things to oversee and so they did their job in fact I would say they
00:21:48
did their job incredibly well but the point is that now we need to Pivot for them to do a totally different job well
00:21:53
chath I'll hand this over to free freeberg freeberg if you were to get R rid of regulations as somebody working
00:22:00
in the government you might work your way out of a job so the incentive is completely perverse and revers to what
00:22:07
we actually need in the country Which is less regulation more thoughtful regulation and some process by taking
00:22:12
these things on and off the books and adapting them to reality yeah this is where I
00:22:18
think I think we've talked about this many many times in the past but like all organizations have a natural tendency to
00:22:24
grow they they want to grow they're not yes like find me one nonprofit or find me one University or find me one company
00:22:32
or one government agency that's ever said my job is to shrink myself it's never happened so why does that happen
00:22:40
well if you look at the like daytoday operating role of each individual over time like all individuals they want to
00:22:47
do more they want to have a bigger impact they want to have more scale they want to have more leverage so there's
00:22:52
this natural set of incentives that drives a lot of choices and operating procedures on the ground that create
00:22:57
more more scale more leverage and drive more hiring everyone wants to become a manager of people they don't want to
00:23:04
just be doing the same IC job forever individual contributor job forever so if they want to be a manager they got to
00:23:10
find more stuff to do and then they got to hire people to do that stuff so all of these organizations whether again and
00:23:15
we've all been on Boards of nonprofits I'm sure and we've all been involved in this sort of thing there's always this
00:23:20
like incentive to raise more Capital to hire more people to do more stuff that sort of it's really unclear until you
00:23:26
really dig into the psychology of each individual a person working there why this is happening I don't think that the
00:23:31
federal government is any different each of these people feel they want to be more important they want to have a
00:23:36
bigger role they want to have a bigger impact J if your job direct directionally is to regulate then what's
00:23:44
the scaler on regulation more regulation so therefore to do more you have to regulate more there's no regulator that
00:23:51
says I want to regulate less over time because we've created a system that's one directional so you have to have
00:23:57
these resets if you don't have them naturally they're going to happen unnaturally in the form of social unrest
00:24:03
and breakdowns of the economy and collapse of social structures all these other things that happen way way down or
00:24:08
as chamat is pointing out in California in the economic structure of California which I think is happening on a kind of
00:24:14
national scale because of the outsid role the federal government plays in our national economy here today so so you
00:24:20
have to have these unnatural forces come in and and do this Readjustment from time to time otherwise it's just going
00:24:26
to break on its own and mle in Argentina has basically I don't know a year or an
00:24:33
18-month head start on us and has been doing this he did a great podcast with Lex
00:24:38
pedman they translated it actually they dubbed it which is kind of interesting technology and in this discussion they
00:24:47
talked about reducing the Ministries agencies from 20 to 8 they fired 50,000 government workers 15% of the total
00:24:54
Workforce there were 341,000 when he started they implemented daily deregulation process to remove
00:25:01
inefficient policies so they just do that day in and day out they ended discretionary payments to provinces and
00:25:07
cities that restored Market driven utility prices no more subsidies yada yada y Right Down the Line sax your
00:25:14
thoughts on how many months it will take to do this and there's this this discussion
00:25:21
and I don't know if that's from inside the Trump administration of hey we got to get this done in 18 months we got to
00:25:27
get this done in 18 months What can you tell us about the the sense of urgency about getting this done
00:25:32
quickly and and why that's occurring well I think Elon and V have announced that Doge will be sunsetting or
00:25:41
disbanding at the 250th anniversary of America which would be July 4th of 2026 so they've only given themselves
00:25:51
about what's that 18 months yep which kind of makes sense right that's leading into the midterms right right exactly
00:25:58
you tend to have the most momentum coming off an election like this one where you have the trifecta so I think
00:26:05
it makes a lot of sense that they're going to be able to have the greatest impact let's say in the first year after
00:26:10
the new president of Congress gets sworn in how do you get Democrats in on this sax how do you push them to join the
00:26:18
party to to join the movement to be more efficient to be more transparent is there a possibility for us to get some
00:26:26
coordination here with the other side or no you might be able to get some support of
00:26:30
particular Democrats on particular things I don't want to say that it's not possible difficult but not not
00:26:38
impossible but look I think what melee has done in Argentina is remarkable I mean that was a country that was a total
00:26:45
basket case inflation was out of control it's already because of the cuts he's made they now have a more normal
00:26:52
inflation rate and they've gone from basically being uninvestable to investable as as a country now the
00:27:00
United States is not the basket case that Argentina is but we are on an unsustainable fiscal trajectory doge is
00:27:07
also not going to have the power that mle has it's not going to have the degrees of freedom to act but we also
00:27:12
don't have as big a problem what we need to do is just bend our fiscal curve from
00:27:17
being unsustainable to being sustainable and if we can do that it'll have a huge
00:27:21
impact on the economy specifically what we saw in the last election the thing that probably hurt the Democrat the most
00:27:29
was inflation voters clearly do not like inflation they do not like the diminishment of their purchasing power
00:27:36
but how do you stop inflation you have to raise interest rates and that's not good either because that raises the cost
00:27:41
of a mortgage that raises the cost of a car payment is bad for investment right because if interest rates are higher
00:27:48
then that means the discount rate on stocks and real estate on every investment class basically is higher and
00:27:56
the hurdle rate for Investments higher so high interest rates are also bad for the economy so how do you get out of
00:28:01
that box where you either have high inflation or high interest rates the only way is to bend the fiscal curve to
00:28:07
that more sustainable path and if you can and if you can do that the bond markets will actually give you credit
00:28:13
for it in advance because they know because they know that they're not GNA be flooded with the need to keep funding
00:28:21
all of this US Government debt so we either get to kind of you know startups have the saying by being either default
00:28:28
alive or default Dead We either get to default sustainable or default unsustainable right now we're
00:28:33
unsustainable the bond markets know it inflation remains persistently high around 3% the FED has not been able to
00:28:40
cut interest rates the way that they expected to remember the markets were expecting seven Cuts this year we got
00:28:47
basically three we got a 50 and a 25 so it's just hasn't been the cuts that people were expecting and that's because
00:28:52
inflation hasn't come down as much as people thought so if Doge working with the rest of the government om the
00:29:00
treasury Congress executive orders can now convince the markets that the US Financial picture is more sustainable
00:29:07
we'll get credit for that interest rates will come down and that'll lead to a boom in the economy so it's all win-win
00:29:14
if they can pull this off prre any final thoughts here before we move on from Doge wishing Elon and v as much success
00:29:23
as possible we've really I mean everybody should be rooting for this you want to give us your final
00:29:30
thoughts I feel like America is Neo from The Matrix where there was like a thousand bullets being shot at America
00:29:39
and we like literally had to dodge every single one of them in order to get to this this point I again I am so shocked
00:29:47
and surprised in a positive way that we ended up on this particular timeline look everything had to go the way it
00:29:54
went for this to have happened Biden decided to run for re-election Biden stayed in too long they didn't run a
00:30:01
primary they put kamla in Elon got off the fences switch parties Elon decided to throw 100 million bucks at the
00:30:08
problem Elon bought Twitter China had a real estate bubble I mean you can go down the list of things
00:30:15
that had to go right for us to get to this very moment where a small group of people have recognized the fiscal death
00:30:23
spiral that the United States federal government has been in and have the Authority and the capacity and the skill
00:30:31
to be able to go and execute against a solution I have no idea how this could have been architected maybe saak knew
00:30:38
all along and I convinced him two years ago that this was how things had to go and he's been designing it like emper
00:30:44
talking about Ray doio in the end of the empire for three years podcast maybe you
00:30:48
did it freeberg we remember when when we talked with doo about this he's like been hand and also around the the
00:30:56
relationship with China which I think this is all very tightly related we may have dodged a lot of bullets and and if
00:31:03
the United States can get its house in order reduce federal spending while increasing um economic activity uh it
00:31:10
can be a tremendous unlock for the US and for world pieace so because again I think that conflict arises when when we
00:31:17
don't have our own fiscal housing order and so I feel very positive more more surprised and positive than I was a year
00:31:25
ago six months ago it's just amazing we're on this timeline and I do think the United States as Neo dodged a lot of
00:31:30
bullets here absolutely fre I told you everything was proceeding as I had foreseen the emperor you know what
00:31:37
happened to the tenure and Elon and VI wrote that essay I actually don't what happened yields contracted by five basis
00:31:43
points you know what the value of that is couple billion 15 billion per year yeah yeah so so I think that it was
00:31:51
probably a hundred billion doll essay just writing it I think you will find that this doge is quite
00:32:02
operational I mean it I think it's got a chance I mean if you I just wish it weren't political right I I want I want
00:32:09
all I want all Americans and Democrats to stand up and say this is the right thing for the United States forget about
00:32:15
the fact the problem the essay saved us a 100 billion just the essay here you're going to have to be very
00:32:25
strategic true about how they detailed what they're doing pick the the Doge team's just going to have to be very
00:32:31
strategic to pick things that are consensus building that don't make people feel like this is going to grind
00:32:38
the poor more and make the rich richer that's the expectation that's going to be the negative framing on this I
00:32:44
predict which is just a bunch of Rich guys making Cuts talking their books making cuts for things that are their
00:32:50
pet projects their Investments they have to come out and not make it that they have to make it here's inefficiency
00:32:56
here's inefficiency here's inefficiency and a great way to do that would be to say the efficiency gains and the tax
00:33:02
cuts are going to go to people making let's say under $250,000 these are not and these cuts
00:33:07
are not being made just to make the rich richer that's going to be the framing you think that don't you think
00:33:13
that that's going to happen no matter what what which part of it that they're going to say that no matter what so I I
00:33:19
actually disagree with the first part of what you said I agree with you that the
00:33:23
media the mainstream media will try to characterize this as hurting the poor agree and I'm not sure yet whether still
00:33:30
or not yeah but I think the first part I disagree with is I don't think they should operate towards consensus I think
00:33:36
that they should do what's right well you could do what's right and you could start with things that are the most
00:33:41
wasteful like if you start cutting kids lunches or pel grants or you start cutting people's jobs to in healthcare
00:33:51
education that people perceive are helping people I think you're going to just feed into this narrative that it's
00:33:58
a way to cut taxes on rich people and you know what you do need to build consensus how does that cut taxes on
00:34:04
rich people if you cut regulations and a bunch of our companies benefit from it just to be self-aware the framing is
00:34:13
already that this is an effort for companies that we invest in to have less regulation to make the equity holders in
00:34:22
those companies more Rich you have to make sure that the hold on have to make sure the saving is for all Americans and
00:34:29
that all Americans benefit from it and the way they benefit it the best framing they could do is your taxes are going to
00:34:34
be lower because you're not wasting your tax dollars if they can keep to that not
00:34:39
hey we're moving regulations so that our companies I to be honest biger being a hairdresser requires more regulation
00:34:45
than being any one of most of my companies so I actually think it benefit I think it benefits other people way way
00:34:52
more than it benefits me and you have to show it is my point show it that's the point is you have to show people that
00:34:58
you're doing this for everybody not just for the people on this podcast and our friends that's going to be the key what
00:35:04
sham just said is so important there's a great interview I've mentioned this in the past between Tim Ferris and Charles
00:35:10
KO from a couple years ago where he brings up this exact example yes about how regulatory burdens make it difficult
00:35:16
for women to become hairdressers it's like $7,000 so they don't have the capital to do that because of the
00:35:21
regulatory burden to get there think about building building your home or you know like let's say you want to change
00:35:27
put shower in your bathroom change the shower in your bathroom you don't want to spend $115,000 on all the permitting
00:35:33
regulatory stuff to make that happen it's going to unlock value for everyone that's a small example of kind of a
00:35:38
regulatory problem but this benefits everyone and the cost of Transportation will come to communicate that you have
00:35:44
to be able to communicate that and that's where using platform but show up perfect job of communicating this to
00:35:53
people and that's the Playbook freeberg that's my point people are going to fight this you have to convince them you
00:35:59
have to show them that this is helping every can we just agree that there okay but that's different than how you
00:36:04
started you said only work on consensus projects I age no I didn't say that I I think you have to highlight those do
00:36:10
them first I said do those first make sure that people understand this is to save them money I'm not saying that you
00:36:15
don't change regulations for spaceships and self-driving cars as well but you have to make sure you show people that
00:36:22
this can benefit them or else they're going to just fight it and and that's it's going to be the whole all this
00:36:27
effort will be for not if you if you get a bunch of Republicans sacks Who start fighting this and you have a splintering
00:36:33
in your party because they feel like this is in helping their local constituents this whole thing could be
00:36:38
for not that that's my that story that you told is going to be told by the Legacy Media and all the haters and the
00:36:46
enemies regardless of what Elon do I don't think so I think win people over you show people you show people
00:36:56
haters you're not going you show I'm talking about the public who votes we already won the election now is the time
00:37:01
to implement when you show people $22,000 you know Hammers and wasted money you will get a 100% of Americans
00:37:09
backing this not 60 minut been doing that for 30 years nothing's happened we got to just act now yeah act and bring
00:37:16
people along with Communications I mean if you got if your communicate poorly great go for it yeah I'm not saying that
00:37:22
communication isn't part of the job in fact this whole conversation started by us talking about an oped
00:37:28
that Elon and V wrote correct they lay out in which they're laying out their objectives and they're doing podcasts
00:37:34
and Elon has the biggest platform in the world and biggest following so I just don't think communication is going to be
00:37:40
the problem but you're also not going to be able to convince everyone and you know we've already won the election and
00:37:45
now is the time to figure out very strategically how to implement as much as possible be humble by two million
00:37:51
votes keep it in mind you have to bring everybody along okay you know what if the media was fair it would have been 20
00:37:56
million votes for Trump to have won under these circumstances and he won the trifecta it's impressive nobody saying
00:38:05
it's not minimize it I'm not minimizing it I'm just saying be aware there's 74 million people who are rooting against
00:38:11
Trump and I think getting some them on that's not true that's not true I think there's a decent number of people who
00:38:17
are probably very upset that you know Trump won just like last time they were upset that Biden won including all
00:38:24
Americans in this is the most virtuous thing you can do I think it's der I think I think it's deranged the idea
00:38:31
that 74 million people are actually rooting against him I don't think that that's true I they feel good that they
00:38:36
lost people don't feel good about losing bringing those people on board is virtuous dude there's already a shi in
00:38:43
the country have you seen the Trump Dance I mean there's been such a sh let's see it let's see it I'm not going
00:38:49
to do it right now but there's been such a huge Vibe shift the energy is so optimistic right now
00:38:58
the energy right now is incredible and I think people are feeling much more optimistic can you imagine what a downer
00:39:03
would have be if like we were expecting president KLA Harris to take the oath of
00:39:08
office it would be a downer it would be a downer to me if they were still pushing a 7.2 trillion dollar federal
00:39:14
budget next year it that would be a downer and by the way I think that there's a deeply linked relationship
00:39:20
between social issues economic issues political policies and foreign conflict they all seem like they're four
00:39:28
different things but they're so tightly interwound and it's interesting how everything kind of moves together with
00:39:34
the shift in who ended up winning winning this election cycle and I think it really speaks to the relationship
00:39:41
between the four well by the way there's a great meme that was floating around where it showed a photo of trump Elon
00:39:50
Bobby Kennedy and tulsey Gabbert and it said that all four of the field used to be Democrats yep yep you know demat in
00:39:57
it I tweeted that it used it used to be that that Democrats were Progressive Progressive means progress looking
00:40:04
forward and the last decade the last couple years in particular I think a lot of people that I know that are former
00:40:10
Democrats jamat you can speak for yourself feel like the Democrats stopped looking forward and it was all about
00:40:16
trying to like and grievance and victim culture and all of a sudden you've got guys like
00:40:22
Elon promoting themselves as Republicans highlighting that it's all the this is the party that looks forward this is the
00:40:28
party that drives progress it's an amazing shift I don't know if there's been anything like it that's happened this
00:40:34
quickly I voted more to make America great again than I did vote for being a republican I I think that the Republican
00:40:42
party right totally is is less important than it's ever been and I think Maga is more
00:40:47
important than it's ever been I agree and I'd say the biggest RIS of the whole agenda probably is not the Democrats
00:40:54
it's actually some of these old Bulls in Cong who are anti- Maga for some reason Trump
00:41:02
is the one who just won the trifecta he just won this big election if you stick with the old Republican message you're
00:41:08
just a shorefire loser so give Trump his due as the leader of the party realize it's now a magga party and let's get
00:41:16
some things done if the reform agenda fails to be frank it probably is not going to be the
00:41:22
Democrats it's probably going to be these holdouts in the Republican party for it yeah yeah yeah that was my
00:41:29
question earlier I think I asked it twice I didn't get anybody to engage in it how do you convince them how are they
00:41:34
being brought on board to this if they have all this pork barrel spending is there a strategy there or do you have a
00:41:39
strategy I think saak laid it out which is that if you use the combination of the carrot and the stick I think the
00:41:45
carrot is creating transparency and I think the other part of the carrot is you'll have now an
00:41:54
extremely well-funded pack that can support people who are on board with this agenda but the stick is if you
00:42:02
don't I think that if Elon makes this a really concerted long-term part of his strategy then I think you should run
00:42:08
candidates who actually are aligned with the agenda that the make America great again movement wants so I think that's
00:42:16
the carrot and stick Jason which is like some of these old Republicans will have
00:42:19
to decide do I basically help invest in a renewal of the American Spirit or do I
00:42:25
keep pushing back because I like the way it was and want to go to war and I want
00:42:29
to Cozy up to these lobbyists I think those folks are going to have a very tough four and eight years because I
00:42:35
think you'll see a bunch of magga candidates rising up to run against them everywhere in the United States as you
00:42:41
can see my Young Apprentice your friends have failed now witness the Firepower of
00:42:47
this fully armed and operational battle station man I said be humble like three times it's none of it sinking in huh no
00:42:56
I just explained I explained the risk I I've been very clear you're not going to
00:43:00
get Milton Freeman okay you're not going to get Javier Malay what we can hopefully get is a bending of the curve
00:43:05
toward sustainable I'm setting my expectations to be realistic okay I mean breaking
00:43:11
even would be great if we do just weren't adding to the debt that would be amazing look if if if the federal budget
00:43:18
gets to three trillion and regulation gets cut if you get 50% of the regulation in federal
00:43:28
agencies cut I think you unleash an economic Sonic Boom I'm all in I think it's the greatest thing that could ever
00:43:35
happen my gosh could you imagine America clocking in regat I mean how much are you guys stuck with companies zero I'm
00:43:44
dealing with regulatory the regulatory stuff is brutal man it's like it's legit brain like melting sh tell me your
00:43:53
number one regulatory frustration we could go around the horn this is a topic actually I don't have any I think I'm
00:43:59
very blessed to work in an industry that's very light with regulation I think it affects many many other
00:44:04
industries that if they were Unleashed could contribute to American G Construction I also think regulations
00:44:12
are very regressive because they touch poor and middle inome people way more than it touch folks like me rip these
00:44:20
regulations out two regulations that do affect you crypto regulation and capital
00:44:26
formation both of those things are they haven't hurt me they haven't hurt me this my point you but they definitely
00:44:32
are the economy right I can snap a finger and raise a couple billion dollars that is not it's so I'm in a
00:44:37
unique position and I and I recognize that what is much harder is if you're trying to be an electrician if you're
00:44:44
trying to be a hairdresser if you're trying to be a massage therapist when you have to spend 15 20 30% of your
00:44:49
salary on lure why totally why do we need these stupid rules if if you're a person that's trying to like construct
00:44:57
home why does it take six and eight weeks to get permits approved why and there are no good answers for these
00:45:03
things so forget about me like it doesn't matter about me but the mainline part of the United States economy as I
00:45:09
said before is a coiled spring if you get rid of those regulations it disproportionately impacts middle inome
00:45:17
and lower middle inome jobs this is why if you if you see if you see GDP if America clocks in GDP at four to four
00:45:25
and a half percent watch out folks Sonic Boom watch out I'll give you two really simple ones
00:45:32
allowing everybody in the United States to participate in company formation would change everything 95% of the
00:45:40
company cannot participate in investing in startups or any you know new compan czy the accreditation L I think more
00:45:50
massive freedom to operate just freedom to do stuff you want that's what it is I
00:45:53
mean you're free to go to Vegas and gamble you're free to you know play you know online you're free to buy Bitcoin
00:46:01
you're not free to buy you are free to buy Bitcoin you can buy Bitcoin you can yeah but you're not afraid to create a
00:46:06
token right there should be some clear path of Regulation I think there's many more traditional forms of economic
00:46:13
growth that we can have before we need to make icos legal and easier I I want to say something I think that the person
00:46:20
that runs for governor in California should commit to cutting those 65,000 regulations down to 10,000 as
00:46:30
needed to replacing the DMV with a digital app and to cut taxes to near zero and to create school choice whoever
00:46:40
does that incredible will create a Renaissance in California it's the fifth largest economy in the world folks and
00:46:47
it can be a bellweather for the rest of the world well you know there there's a lot of scuttlebutt online that Nicole
00:46:52
Shanahan's going to run for governor of California and I'd be in favor of that I
00:46:58
would say that of all the political personalities involved in the election over the past year she gets my most
00:47:05
improved award I remember when like Bobby named her to his ticket I was a little bit skeptical of that choice
00:47:11
because of some of the causes that she had identified with or donated to in the past but she I think has ended up being
00:47:18
a star she's pretty based she's a star yeah totally I mean she's she's red pilled and ended up
00:47:23
supporting Maha and Maga and I don't think we're going to get anyone better in California so if she's willing to do
00:47:31
it and take it on that'd be awesome SX what about you you don't want you don't want that that
00:47:36
Mansion that'd be a significant downgrade for me I about to say you took the joke right out before I got to it
00:47:42
damn it that was such an easy one yeah you could live in the governor's mansion also known as smer than your guest
00:47:49
house that would be your backup man cave well actually that's happened people have in New York I remember one of the
00:47:55
governors was like yeah yeah you know I'm good I don't need to live in the Mansion where do you want to go next
00:48:00
boys we we have other things on the docket would you like to go to our war correspondent would you like to go
00:48:06
Chrome Google breakup would you like to go Nvidia where would you like to go World War III I think is important sax
00:48:11
you put World War II on the docket would you like to te it up for us yeah sure well there's a several events that have
00:48:18
happened in reasonably close succession the the first thing to understand is what's happening on the ground in
00:48:23
Ukraine the ukrainians been losing territory and Accel ating Pace there's an excellent graphic in the New York
00:48:29
Times that I'll put on the screen that shows this is not a stalemate remember I said on this
00:48:34
podcast six months or a year ago that it was no longer a stalemate it was a war of attrition in which the ukrainians
00:48:40
were now losing and every single month now the Russians are taking more and more territory again the curve is
00:48:46
accelerating we had all invest in a business who had a growth curve that looked like this so not good news for
00:48:50
the ukrainians in response to that I think that's fundamentally the condition on the ground that's created the next
00:48:56
set of actions which is the Biden Administration finally approved the use of longrange missiles attack's missiles
00:49:03
storm Shadows to hit territory deep inside of Russia the Russians believe and I don't know whether this is true or
00:49:10
not but what they say is that those weapons cannot be operated without Americans or
00:49:16
British operators being there to you know they're too complicated for the ukrainians just to use on their own so
00:49:22
they the Russians view this as not just a direct attack on their Homeland on their motherland but also a direct
00:49:31
involvement by the NATO allies United States and Britain in the war and that is a big
00:49:39
escalation you know a lot of people say that the Russians have all these red lines we keep Crossing them and they
00:49:45
don't do anything that's not true if you actually listen to what the Russians have said there's only been two red
00:49:49
lines the first red line was they said they would not accept NATO expanding to Ukraine and they proved their
00:49:57
seriousness on that issue by invading Ukraine in February of 2022 the second red line is they said that they would
00:50:04
not accept American long-range missiles being used to Target inside of Russia and that line has now been crossed so
00:50:12
this leads us to the next set of events which is Russia just used what may be some people are saying it's an ICBM but
00:50:21
it probably is more likely to be not an InterContinental but an intermediate range
00:50:27
ballistic missile that hit a Ukrainian City and it's obviously it didn't carry a nuclear payload but it's the type of
00:50:36
of ballistic missile that is used to carry nuclear weapons there are a couple of features of this that I think are
00:50:43
really important number one it's a Hypersonic missile it hit the target at something like mach 10 what that means
00:50:49
is that it just can't be intercepted it's too fast the the west and the United States in particular does not as
00:50:55
far as we know have a tech techology to intercept a Hypersonic missile like that
00:50:59
the second is that it had what's called a MV Warhead or payload MV is multiple independently targeted re-entry Vehicles
00:51:10
basically what it means is the Warhead splits up right when it gets close to the ground it splits into six separate
00:51:16
warheads and the reason for this is I understand it is diabolical again it's just if you're launching nuclear weapon
00:51:23
it just makes it that much harder to now intercept it because now you've got six
00:51:27
Warheads hitting you instead of just one so I mean as I understand a missile like this
00:51:33
has never been used before and what the Russians are doing obviously is sending us a signal and what that message is is
00:51:40
that they're saying we have the means to hit any European city or any European asset with a Hypersonic missile that you
00:51:49
can't stop that may or may not have a nuclear warhead attached to it and is it's just a way of them expressing their
00:51:58
seriousness and displeasure and and and reacting to and escalating in response to the fact that we are now allowing
00:52:05
Western missiles to be hitting targets deep inside of Russia so the bottom line is this war is escalating it's
00:52:11
escalating nowhere good and at some point soon yeah it's really we're gonna have to get off of this escalatory
00:52:18
ladder to or we're going to end up in a really disastrous place and just the last final point is it's absolutely
00:52:25
remarkable that Biden decided to take us to this place with what just 6 weeks left in his term completely I mean as a
00:52:33
lame duck president what is his mandate for doing that for taking this extraordinary risk on behalf of the
00:52:39
country the voters just voted for Trump who made it really clear he wanted to end the war and Biden and his team have
00:52:46
unilaterally now escalated this war they did it without consulting with Trump's team at least that's what was publicly
00:52:52
reported is there was no briefing set up for Trump's transition team so you have here Biden his team taking a
00:52:59
unilateral action to expand and escalate this war even when he's a lame duck president and the question you have to
00:53:05
ask is why what is the point of this well I think it's just completely deranged because it's not just that for
00:53:11
forget Biden and Trump for a second if you take a step back what was voted in was to end this war and for the United
00:53:21
States to get our hands out of it so you couldn't have a clear message to the sitting president in the white house
00:53:28
which is this is not what Americans want and so to basically ignore the will of the voters and to essentially go and
00:53:36
push another country into the brink I think is so incredibly responsible and you know other times we've said in the
00:53:43
past take Donald Trump seriously but not literally Russia you should take seriously and
00:53:51
literally because they actually write it down for you and tell you and so when they said Every Act of aggression from
00:53:59
now on is going to be viewed by us on a lookth through basis to the actual country that is enabling this to happen
00:54:06
you couldn't be more clear but Americans couldn't have been more clear which is we don't want this war
00:54:11
anymore and I just think it's really deranged what the Biden White House is doing it's incredibly Dangerous by the
00:54:17
way not to mention it's incredibly costly as well I mean we've had like some last minute efforts to sort of Tamp
00:54:23
down on these last minute budget approvals and whatnot but we're talking about tens and hundreds of billions of
00:54:27
dollars that we're giving on top of the risk of of nuclear escalation I just think it's absolutely crazy it's
00:54:34
absolutely crazy Putin is not a dummy he has heard and seen Trump's campaign rhetoric and sax I don't know if this is
00:54:47
this has been publicly reported that he had a call with with Trump after the uh the election Victory does Putin not see
00:54:54
that in a couple of weeks a couple months there will be new leadership in the white house and there's going to be
00:55:00
a path to a resolution here like does that not give us all a little bit of reprieve that this is not
00:55:06
going to escalate because everyone's waiting for January 20th oh I mean for sure I mean thank goodness I would say
00:55:13
that we have a new president coming in who does not own this War I mean the problem with Biden is that he completely
00:55:19
owns this war and he does not want to admit defeat and so what you've seen is that over the last couple of years every
00:55:25
weapon system that Biden said he wouldn't give to Ukraine because it could literally cause World War III
00:55:30
these are Biden's words he said it could be Armageddon if we gave Ukraine f-16s it could be Armageddon if we gave them
00:55:36
Abrams Tanks it would be Armageddon if we gave them himars and attacks and could lead to World War III if we let
00:55:43
them hit targets inside of Russia these are Biden's words and he has basically given in on every single one of those
00:55:49
points because he's so committed to this policy right he's he's in the Quagmire he can only double down he doesn't to
00:55:56
extricate himself and now we don't know exactly what KLA Harris would have done but I think probably she would have
00:56:02
inherited Joe bid's policy and likely continued it and I think we have a wonderful opportunity here with Trump
00:56:07
taking office he doesn't own this policy he can look at it with fresh eyes and most importantly he campaigned on ending
00:56:14
the war so he has the Mandate of the American people to stop it all I can say is thank goodness and we just need to
00:56:21
get through the next two months we just need to get to January 20th without there being some new horrible escalation
00:56:27
in this war he's B Joe Biden is marting galing that's his strategy for the Ukraine
00:56:36
Russia War just keep doubling down and doubling down down oh yeah do you want to explain what that is oh yeah sorry
00:56:41
Martin giling is a strategy in gambling where let's just say you know you start betting a dollar and you lose your next
00:56:48
bet is $2 doll if you lose your next bet is $4 if you lose your next bet is $8 and eventually you'll win once is the
00:56:55
theory but there's many times where Mortin but you only WI a dollar so you could be betting you know
00:57:04
80 you know 40 bucks 80 bucks $160 $320 and then you finally win and you win a dollar right or or you go broke that's a
00:57:12
great analogy because you can also go broke right this is why they have caps at the roulette table one time I would
00:57:19
do this that's why all casinos have a Max yeah exactly so I would do this as a joke with my wife or when I was at the
00:57:24
world serice a poker i' be like I'll go pay for dinner or lunch or whatever and I put $100 on black lose put 200 on
00:57:31
black win go pay for lunch and I did it one time with the WSOP and I went 100 200 400
00:57:39
800600 I ran out of cash I got 3,200 from my friend I put it down the floor man came over and said that's your last
00:57:45
bet oh no my buddy and I my budy and I would if you do this yeah in our college Years early 20s we would go to drink for
00:57:54
free at the casino you just sit at the blackj table just table and watch your drink this was
00:58:00
this was a long time ago happened last year I would well I mean if you bet a dollar then you bet two bucks you can
00:58:05
just keep drinking for free for like two or three hours then go out and enjoy your night you've made 15 bucks and call
00:58:10
it did I tell you about the losing a million dollars playing roulette no me Nick you got to beep up the names
00:58:19
me it was me and and oh you did tell me this you did tell me this yeah this is so good says guys I've developed a
00:58:27
system it's full oh no that's always what happens before you lose a million somebody says that it's
00:58:34
like we need to risk a million we can win like two or three and it's like 99.996%
00:58:42
so so I say to them so are you really telling me that we just have to fade 0.004% chance of like total loss and he
00:58:51
says yep well guess what hit the 4% shot me totally and and it was devastating I
00:59:01
just kept looking at this thing like what just happened he's like oh we lost yeah and I was like there it is folks
00:59:07
never again I've never gonna play roulette again I think the gambling analogies are the right analogies
00:59:12
because I look I'm not saying World War II is going to happen I've never said World War II is going to happen I'm
00:59:16
saying that there's a risk of World War II and I don't need the risk to be very high to be very worried about it because
00:59:21
it would be such a disaster outome right totally exactly so I want to minimize risk of Ruin I want to exactly I want
00:59:28
there to be hopefully a zero risk of that but you know what's interesting is remember just like a week or two ago
00:59:35
president Trump made that trip to DC and he met with Biden in the Oval Office and
00:59:38
Biden had this he was like all smiles and I'm everyone's like wondering why is he so happy and the speculation was that
00:59:48
he somehow wanted to Common a lose or something but now you think back on this he must have known he was about to
00:59:54
authorize this decision so what he's doing here he's grin he's grin Trump he knows he's about to give
01:00:02
Trump this horrible hand right he's about to make this situation in Ukraine so much worse so that Trump will have to
01:00:09
inherit this mess that is like the definition of grin yeah he definitely knew more than
01:00:16
that picture L on because a the interpretation of that picture was they are getting along he's being super
01:00:22
gracious what an incredible gesture it just looked like yeah he promised a smooth transition of
01:00:28
power and then we find out that he didn't confer with his successor about this extraordinarily meaningful decision to
01:00:37
escalate the war escalation yeah it's like that's just crazy it's crazy you guys want to do science corner I got one
01:00:46
for you yeah yeah it all right your super fans are desperate for a science Corner give him one freeor give him
01:00:52
something all right I will give you guys something here here's a depressing paper
01:00:58
that was published in the journal Nature just this week research team out of Switzerland going over to the Swiss
01:01:06
where they are conducting extraordinary research in the epigenetics of fat cells
01:01:13
in oh so we're going to Fat shame me on the uh science Corner go ahead great no we're actually going to understand
01:01:19
perhaps why it is difficult for people that have been overweight yes to keep the weight off I did read this and I I
01:01:27
think it's fascinating yeah explain it it is it is really incredible so remember we've talked about this many
01:01:31
times in the past but every cell has your whole all your DNA all your genes and certain genes are turned on or off
01:01:39
in different cells and those genes being on or off differentiates those cells and
01:01:44
causes them to act differently that's the difference between an eye cell and a skin cell and a heart cell is they have
01:01:50
different genes that are up regulated down regulated turned on and turned off and even when you have different kinds
01:01:55
of cells you have certain genes that are overexpressed or underexpressed or over
01:01:58
regulated up regulated or down regulated so that means that those genes are turning pumping out certain proteins
01:02:04
that do certain things in that particular cell so what these folks did is they wanted to understand what is the
01:02:12
EPO meaning what are the genes that are turned on or off or up regulated or down
01:02:17
regulated in fat tissue in fat cells and does the epigenome change when an individual loses weight so once
01:02:29
they're obese and they lose weight do the fat cells actually change their epigenome or do they have an epigenetic
01:02:37
memory meaning that those cells even though the person has lost weight those cells still continue to act as if that
01:02:43
person were obese so I'll tell you in humans they basically took five individuals that were obese and lost
01:02:50
more than 25% BMI and they looked at the epome they looked at the markers of what
01:02:55
genes are UL and down regulated before and after they lost the weight after they lost the weight there were a set of
01:03:01
markers that were still upregulated that are associated with poor metabolism an increased fibrosis and increased
01:03:09
cellular death so these are inflammatory genes these are genes that are associated with the cells being
01:03:14
inefficient at utilizing glucose to create energy and so these cells contined to act like slow dying cells
01:03:22
even after the person lost weight and they did the same thing in and they found similar results that they caused
01:03:29
these mice to gain weight looked at the epome of the fat cells and then looked at the epigenome after they lost the
01:03:34
weight and again the mouse epigenome continued to act as if the mouse was obese and what this means is that the
01:03:42
metabolism remained reduced fibrosis remained elevated and likelihood of cell death remained elevated so now they
01:03:49
applied glucose in a Petri dish to those cells and they saw that the glucose had
01:03:53
a harder time being fully being appropriately utilized from a healthy fat cell that hadn't been obese so it
01:04:01
actually permanently alters and creates an epigenetic memory in the fat cells after obesity and this could explain
01:04:09
pretty significantly why when people that have been obese lose the weight they are more likely to gain the weight
01:04:15
back and have a hard keeping the weight off you're referring to yes and that makes total sense because anybody who's
01:04:22
added weight chth if that you add but you know you eat one extra Oreo a week that's 3,500 calories you do that over
01:04:31
20 years all of a sudden you wake up one day you're 20 30 pounds overweight like
01:04:34
I was three or four years ago and this is why I think OIC and wovi and mouro and all these things are so great
01:04:39
because it does seem like it breaks you through that no the problem but we we do see in all
01:04:45
those results that when you go off of The glp1 Agonist drugs you gain the weight back very quickly this is some
01:04:51
amount of yeah not the total amount it's a pretty significant bounce back effect
01:04:56
so and this is pretty well documented and so I think that it speaks to the why now it also introduces an
01:05:04
opportunity there are molecules that can turn certain genes on or off can now be
01:05:08
identified and utilized to change that epigenetic memory so now flip that switch in
01:05:15
addition exactly this could arise from things like increased exercise it turns out that when you do significant amounts
01:05:21
of cardiovascular exercise there are certain genes that are expressed that trigger gen to switch on or off and so
01:05:28
we can start to identify those particular molecules and produce either supplements
01:05:34
or additional drugs or combo therapies that can both knock the weight off and keep it off by changing we tic memory in
01:05:42
those cells wow and so it introduces a whole new class of opportunity for folks to explore how do we help folks that are
01:05:49
obese lose the weight and then flip the switch that they can keep the weight off
01:05:52
I've been doing rocking this is like the old man activity that Peter AA and these
01:05:57
guys are all put weights on and you like go walk I wear a I I started with a 10 pound weight vest now I'm at 35 pounds I
01:06:04
I do a mile and a half hike every day with 35 pounds on man I fall asleep immediately and the the amount of
01:06:11
intensity that puts on your body you do it right before you go to bed no no I do
01:06:16
it anytime during the day but I'm just saying it's it's I'm I'm focused on four things right now with my health diet
01:06:22
sleep exercise meditation and I I try to do four each day but the rucking specifically in this Zone 2 stuff is
01:06:29
what they say 40 50y olds should focus on so that's what I'm focused on but that rucking man does it make your whole
01:06:36
body strong I highly recommend it it's really transformative my meditation is reading Doge ESS for chamath popatia
01:06:44
German dictator 8090 he's running a software company services company great look at you in the driver's seat David
01:06:51
fredberg your suant of science working on ohal and the architect the Rainman yeah definitely David sax from Craft
01:07:01
Ventures and maybe it's going to be involved in Doge I I wouldn't be surprised if we see a sax Doge uh hook
01:07:08
up in the future I don't know I'm taking a guess here I am your host here Jason calanis we'll see you all on December
01:07:16
7th live or in person by the way did you guys Holiday Spectacular did you see this tweet from Brian Johnson he tweeted
01:07:24
out all of his blood levels this is incredible I love this guy look at these results they're incredible if he can
01:07:31
break this down into like a turnkey thing that normal folks like us can follow for people who don't know what
01:07:40
this kid's doing is he is spending like $3 million a year or something to that effect on his own personal health
01:07:47
documenting it sharing it everything from sleep to his bone density everything is an open book and uh he's
01:07:55
made some products out of it as well so you you can you can eat his pudding too if if you're interested in it but I
01:08:00
don't think it's as good as how do you follow his regimen you know what I mean like it just seems too hard you can't
01:08:05
have a job I mean he's doing it's like he's got two jobs right now doing all this stuff his biomarkers are showing
01:08:09
he's 10 years younger than his actual biological age dude look at some of these results
01:08:15
his his speed of Aging he says his birthday now happens every 19 months what the freeberg
01:08:26
I mean freeberg do you you look at what do you think here science uh from a science perspective any thoughts on all
01:08:31
this well I think his nighttime erection rate is pretty impressive not three hours and8 minutes for a nighttime
01:08:37
erection that is he reading is he reading uh Elon and V's opad colum what slowly he's reading it very
01:08:47
slowly wow he's got a 240 lb bench press and an 800 lb leg press Jesus he looks like he's dead though though that's the
01:08:55
only problem with he's so pale sax has got to go djt online too we'll see you all next time on the love byee love
01:09:07
you let your winners ride Rainman David and instead we open source it to the fans and they've just gone crazy
01:09:18
with it love you queen of [Music] besties are that's my dog taking your driveway oh man myit meet we should all
01:09:39
just get a room and just have one big huge orgy cuz they're all useless it's like this like sexual tension that they
01:09:44
just need to release [Music] somehow we need to get merch our [Music] I'm going all in

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Episode Highlights

  • Doge's Government Efficiency Plan
    Elon Musk and V propose a radical plan to cut government regulations and spending.
    “They want to cut overbearing and unnecessary regulation.”
    @ 02m 06s
    November 23, 2024
  • The Urgency of Reform
    The discussion emphasizes the need for immediate action to address government inefficiency.
    “Doge has probably 18 months to do what they can do before the midterms.”
    @ 04m 27s
    November 23, 2024
  • Milton Friedman Clip Goes Viral
    A viral clip of Milton Friedman sparks a discussion on government departments and efficiency.
    “Let’s just play that clip.”
    @ 07m 14s
    November 23, 2024
  • Doge's Urgency
    The urgency surrounding Doge's potential sunset by July 4th, 2026, is discussed.
    “Elon and V have announced that Doge will be sunsetting by July 4th, 2026.”
    @ 25m 36s
    November 23, 2024
  • Argentina's Economic Reforms
    Discussion on Argentina's drastic cuts and deregulation, leading to economic recovery.
    “What melee has done in Argentina is remarkable.”
    @ 26m 41s
    November 23, 2024
  • America as Neo
    A surprising metaphor comparing America to Neo from The Matrix, dodging challenges.
    “I feel like America is Neo from The Matrix dodging bullets.”
    @ 29m 30s
    November 23, 2024
  • A Huge Vibe Shift
    The energy is incredibly optimistic right now, a stark contrast to previous expectations.
    “The energy right now is incredible and I think people are feeling much more optimistic.”
    @ 38m 58s
    November 23, 2024
  • The MAGA Shift
    The Republican party is evolving, with Trump leading a movement that emphasizes progress.
    “It's now a MAGA party and let's get some things done.”
    @ 41m 14s
    November 23, 2024
  • Escalation in Ukraine
    The Biden Administration's approval of long-range missiles marks a significant escalation in the conflict.
    “This leads us to the next set of events...”
    @ 50m 12s
    November 23, 2024
  • The Roulette Disaster
    A story about losing a million dollars while gambling, leading to a vow to never play again.
    “Never again I've never gonna play roulette again.”
    @ 59m 07s
    November 23, 2024
  • Epigenetic Memory in Fat Cells
    New research reveals why it's hard for people to keep weight off after losing it.
    “Wow, it introduces a whole new class of opportunity for folks.”
    @ 01h 05m 45s
    November 23, 2024

Episode Quotes

  • We are literally in a death spiral leading up to this moment.
    DOGE unveils a roadmap, Unlocking GDP Growth, WW3 escalation, Fat cell memory
  • Sunshine is a really incredible disinfectant.
    DOGE unveils a roadmap, Unlocking GDP Growth, WW3 escalation, Fat cell memory
  • I feel like America is Neo from The Matrix dodging bullets.
    DOGE unveils a roadmap, Unlocking GDP Growth, WW3 escalation, Fat cell memory
  • This is the party that drives progress.
    DOGE unveils a roadmap, Unlocking GDP Growth, WW3 escalation, Fat cell memory
  • This war is escalating, it's escalating nowhere good.
    DOGE unveils a roadmap, Unlocking GDP Growth, WW3 escalation, Fat cell memory
  • Wow, it introduces a whole new class of opportunity for folks.
    DOGE unveils a roadmap, Unlocking GDP Growth, WW3 escalation, Fat cell memory

Key Moments

  • Christmas Party Announcement01:04
  • Doge's Radical Proposal01:59
  • Fiscal Urgency25:21
  • Doge Sunset Announcement25:36
  • Optimistic Energy38:58
  • MAGA Evolution41:14
  • Ukraine Escalation50:12
  • Obesity Research1:05:45

Tension Over Time

Words per Minute Over Time

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