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Scott Bessent | All-In DC

March 19, 2025 / 01:13:17

This episode features a discussion on the U.S. economy, the national debt, and fiscal policy with Scott Bessant, the U.S. Treasury Secretary. Key topics include the national debt, economic recovery, and the impact of government spending on the middle class.

The conversation begins with the hosts reflecting on their visit to the White House and their excitement about interviewing Scott Bessant. They express their enthusiasm for understanding the current economic landscape and the implications of government policies.

Scott Bessant shares his background in finance, including his experiences with notable figures like George Soros. He discusses the importance of understanding macroeconomic trends and the relationship between Wall Street and Main Street.

The discussion shifts to the challenges of managing national debt and the need for fiscal responsibility. Bessant emphasizes the importance of cutting spending while ensuring economic growth and stability.

Throughout the episode, Bessant addresses the complexities of the current economic situation, including inflation, housing affordability, and the need for a balanced approach to government spending and taxation.

TLDR

Scott Bessant discusses U.S. economic policy, national debt, and the impact of government spending on the middle class.

Episode

1:13:17
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okay we are here in Washington DC in front of the White House having spent the afternoon with our friend David Saxs
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our friend Elon Musk and others we are here to learn about the debt the deficit what's going on in DC and we have an
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incredible interview lined up with Scott Bessant Treasury Secretary of the United
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States it was amazing and it's been an amazing afternoon and we're really looking forward to it it was amazing
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well this is the pre the intro to the video it will be amazing it's not the pre let's just What the
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We're going to pretend it's the pre it was amazing it It will be incredible it was incredible but how cool is the White
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House and here's a bell i'm pretty sure I'm pretty sure the bell I cannot even describe to you the day we had running
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around it's incredible running around room to room in the White House one of the best days of my life it was one of
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the best days of my life it was incredible incredible i think this bell is probably pretty important can you
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guys get a shot of this bell i don't know what it is but it's really important yeah the White House the
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people to a one super kind super open super curious i mean did you felt it i You felt accepted yeah I felt But I got
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free soda they have a soda machine where you can make any Coca-Cola flavor you want in the White House it was pretty
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cool i took some uh hummus i wrapped it on Creeper's face i punched him in it was a cool afternoon and uh this is what
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is this the east wing of the White House and we took a walk from the west wing all the way over to the east wing to the
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portico and then we we snuck in well we didn't sneak in we walked in and then we're walking around the east wing we
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went to all of the private rooms i got great photos we'll we'll we'll slice him into this video and then some secret
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service dude comes up and he's like "What are you guys What are you doing here this is the residence of the
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president you have to get the out." He's like "You need to go downstairs now." So
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we got kicked the out but it was an incredible um incredible tour super great yeah anyway we're excited for this
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interview with Scott Bess and hope you enjoy it all right besties i think that was
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another epic discussion people love the interviews i could hear him talk for hours absolutely we crush your questions
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in a minute we are giving people ground truth data to underwrite your own opinion what do you guys think that was
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fun pal Well today's a really important day we're joined by the 79th Secretary of
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the Treasury Scott Bessant and this is an opportunity that we wanted to take as part of a longer form way of explaining
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to people not just how the economy works but in a little bit more detail where are we in this moment in time where are
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we with deficits tariffs the budget economic monetary fiscal policy how do we make sure that we all understand the
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plan to make America great again so Scott thank you for joining us good thanks for having me i actually want to
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start with let's go back in the way back machine so South Carolina your father was a real estate developer tell us
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where the passion for finance came from uh well um I don't know where finance in
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particular came from as you mentioned my dad was a real estate developer and he he was kind of boom bus kind of uh guy
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so I think that's where my passion for risk management came from but uh I I was I was very fortunate went to Yale wasn't
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sure what I wanted to do n 1980 when I got there probably you all can imagine this
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but uh there used to be these things called punch cards and we just gone the Yale computer system just gone from
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punch cards to screens i was going to think of being a computer science major maybe a journalist because people
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actually used to read newspapers so punch cards and newspapers from the way back machine uh and I
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um I I got an internship at just for an individual and he taught me the investment business
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really well and I And who was that his name is Jim Rogers he's famous he was George Soros's first partner uh he uh
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had just completed an around the world motorcycle trip and written a book called Investment Biker right and fa
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fascinating guy and um I did the investment business and I thought this is really what I like because it's
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quantitative so I get to use my quantitative skills but you're also constructing a narrative um and it's
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also like human emotions and you were trading equities bonds everything currencies uh well I started out with
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equities and I I did that for several years and then I actually ended up at Soros Fund Management i worked for a
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fellow who's my mentor Stan Draen Miller who's incredible but I I think he's on he's more than 40 years now never a down
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year and you know when you're sitting next to him I think what am I doing all day and notorious for going allin
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several times in his career all in all all in and uh only when he's he's right yes well I but he he is the best at
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changing his mind that's right of anyone I've ever seen so Duck has that famous adage invest then investigate well he he
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has several and and I'm trying to get him to write a book because he has so many of these great things uh maybe you
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will press him um but invest investigate it takes courage to be a pig right right
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so uh and then I I was hooked on markets because again it was everything it was quantitative it was qualitative and it's
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real time you get real- time feedback all the time and you you're could have a long-term view but then you're trying to
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gauge the short term against that and you know I I loved it and uh for 35 years I've got into I did what's called
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macro investing so uh eventually I was trading currencies bonds commodities the equities uh some credit
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and I got to travel around the world meeting leaders and trying to figure out what the next move was in policy i think
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this is important because I've spoken with folks who um trade in macro and a big part of the the role of being a
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macro investor macro trader is really knowing where central bank action is going to be really knowing how
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government bonds are going to move and spending time with economists not just central but around the world and
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learning a little bit about how capital is flowing all over the world is that kind of the right way to describe that
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role of being a macro investor just for folks yeah you know it's it's a lot of it's a lot of that there's another great
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macro investor called Bruce Ker and he had this saying that he said you know I succeeded because I could imagine a
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different future and believe it could happen so the key is to believe it could happen
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and then manage the risk so you know could you imagine like what would happen if the iron curtain came down what would
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happen i mean you all do it as venture capitalists but like you know how could the world live in a different state okay
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well let's hold that idea and double click for us to 92 it's probably one of the most famous moments where the
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broader world at large metro trading and this is really where you and Duck and Soros basically broke the back of the
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Bank of England and it's really an interesting window into assessing all of these things so can you give us the
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conditions on the ground at that moment and what new reality you saw for England
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and then it would be great from there we'll contrast and compare to America today good so uh it it's a great
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historical example and it also kind of brings in three dimensions so I I was the analyst
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Stan was the portfolio manager and then in a way George was the risk manager okay so I I was running the the UK
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office i was on the ground in the UK and I I had this light bulb go off and you know I thought kind of the fulcrum
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thought or like my differentiated view was that the UK had just had a big housing boom and UK mortgages at that
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time they didn't have long-term mortgages they were all floating rates so if the Bank of England raised rates
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on a Wednesday the your mortgage went up on a Friday yeah uh the UK had hooked into something called the exchange rate
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mechanism they had to balance versus the Deutsch mark they had to stay within a band um I noticed that if they raise or
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I thought if they raised rates to try to stay in the band and protect the currency it would be unsustainable
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because British homeowners would get bankrupted uh Stan's great uh feat of analysis was figuring out that gosh the
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these bands set up this incredible asymmetric bet because I can push them up against one
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side of the band and their mandate is just to push me back to the other side so we just lose two and a half%
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and um you know Stan tells this great story of like telling George Soros oh well you
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know here's what I want to do and he says he told him and George says well how much do you want to do and he said
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probably 100% of the fund and he said Soros gave him this really sour look and he thought that he had said something
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wrong why wouldn't you do three times that deal so uh but anyway it was um we pushed them against the the ban the Bank
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of England the British government uh had to buy this unlimited amount of pounds and they started raising interest rates
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and this was September of 1992 and uh you know eventually they just weren't able to
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sustain the the pressure from the high rates and came out and then the asymmetric riskreward was we made about
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20 something% in a day yeah right and back to what was really Stan's genius is I don't know if either of you play back
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gammon but in back gammon there's the move after the move and so Stan we'd made all that money and we were kind of
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euphoric okay now what because there's going to be the trade after the trade so we made that much in a day but then it
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was actually the trade after the trade and this isn't well publicized I think we made another 20%
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during the rest of the year wow so in that moment what you're really observing is that the real economy is somewhat
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dislocated maybe meaningfully dislocated from the financial economy in your operating and I think you've said this
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now many times and you've basically used the terminology the main street wall street dichotomy
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how do you observe the moment in 2025 the maybe what rhymes with the early 90s or other periods where you've been
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trading actively well look I I I think it goes back to something that's unsustainable is
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unsustainable and um one of the reasons I'm sitting here now is uh about 18 months ago I went to see President Trump
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i'd known the Trump family for 30 years i'd never known the president that well but to tell him that I want to get
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involved in the campaign because I was so alarmed with what the Biden administration was doing with the defic
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debt and deficit endless stimulus endless spending endless spending but endless spending
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when we were in like solid economic territory or not in a war first time first time ever and I I thought it was
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very cynical because I I actually thought well we're going to spend spend spend and then there'll be no choice but
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to raise taxes so you'd go into this equilibrium that you could just never get out of and you become kind of a
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European style social social democracy you know the malaise and you know I I also think that we're very cynical on
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immigration right because if you take kind of the stated number 12 million the president's number 22 million i don't
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know what the truth is kind of lean toward the president but it was oh we're going to let all these people cross the
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border you can't ever make them problem's too big to make them go home but I like to stay in my finance lane so
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the finance lane was we're going to just go to the point of no return and kind of
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inflict these the progressive financial values on the country there'll be no way out very
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meaningful wage suppression in that period and you had an equity market that was incredibly well bid just because the
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money supply was just always there well it was always there and you had these distributional aspects because back to
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your question Wall Street versus Main Street that it was driving me crazy when Vice President Harris said "I'm going to
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fight for the middle class." And she'd eviscerated the middle class or or these policies
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inadvertent intentional had eviscerated the middle class and really the bottom 50% so you we're we're in this uh
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because purchasing power goes down inflation went up well per if you didn't have assets right so uh that's really
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important i think people don't understand this that if you had stocks if you had assets your assets inflated y
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but if you didn't the cost of everything inflated but you didn't have the ability
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to purchase because your wages don't go up yeah and they not not only did inflation go up but if you look uh
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Jason Trinard has this thing I think he calls it the everyman index and um so CPI went up about 22 during the period
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but the everyman index was up over 30 35% because the the bottom 25% the bottom 50% of wage earners have have a
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different basket than we do and it inflated much faster% used car prices around car insurance car insurance rent
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groceries and you like not not only is it unfair but it's just unstable and great civil civil issues societal issues
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and so yes but sorry as you guys got into looking at this I and I remembering and talking about this in the
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summer of 23 I think it was or 23 yeah and what was the point of view on what should have been done at that point in
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time and then how much farther did it go how much longer did it last well I I think what happened the the Democrats
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will tell you that the big spending bills were needed for rescue yeah and I would say in March of 21 the economy
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didn't need rescue was already in recovery right so these were rescue size packages and even Larry Summers I
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remember there was a great debate between Larry Summers and Paul Krugman and Summers I think said "Look this is
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at least 900 billion a trillion too much." And the Federal Reserve was ve summer of 23 22 Federal Reserve was very
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slow off the mark and you know we we ended up and you know again imagine top 10% has assets stock market is flying
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you're in the bottom 50% you have no assets but you have debt yes so you credit cards are up u mortgages
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impossible to buy a house house prices had gone through the roof due to COVID so it really did like end the American
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dream and but we we've been suffering these distributional effects scott what what is the American dream today do you
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think uh look I I think the American dream is what it what it's always been but after World War II I think 90% of
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American families uh the the children made more than the parents now now I think it's 50/50 but you know it's to to
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own a home it's financial security it's to uh some some level of comfort it's purpose in your work it's the to be able
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to support your family uh to be able to have choices to not have to work two two
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jobs i I made a remark at the Economic Club of New York last week two weeks ago and Mike Pence decided he was going to
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troll me and because I said the American dream is not built on cheap goods right
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and he said "Well yes it is." And you know I I just say "Vice President Pence this let them eat flat screens economic
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policy that doesn't is isn't what people want they we they don't want the bobbles
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from China it's like the old they want progression people want progression i I mean I remember reading um there's a uh
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I think Jonathan height had some work on this a long time ago where happiness is
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measured by your change in net worth or income per year it doesn't matter what your absolute levels are by all these
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socioeconomic kind of surveys that they do that feeling like you're having some progression in life is what folks are
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looking for and I wonder whether solving for that we created a system and I I I'd
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love your point out your your your read on this that we said everyone should own
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a home that's the American dream and in order to do that people put most of their net worth into a home 60% I think
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of middle class net worth is tied up in their in a single asset and then in order to get them to feel like they're
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progressing we've created a system of loans and a system of kind of economic and fiscal policy that ultimately drives
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the value of the home up every year now we're kind of in an unsustainable housing bubble can most people can't
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even afford to buy a home what did we get wrong there and how does that affect what the American dream should look like
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going forward well I I think a lot of it is scarcity because what what you're talking about is like out in San
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Francisco super tight zoning laws so there there's scarcity for home if if you think like Ivy League education all
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of a sudden you gave all these people access to Ivy League educations you brought in international students but
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the the number of degrees awarded at Harvard Dale Princeton probably hasn't changed very much since the 1950s so you
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you created just this demand for scarce things which leads to this anxiety um but you you you
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also created I think a sense of hopelessness through cuz if you're I can't access I will never get I will
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never be able to pay down my student loan i will never be able to afford a home i can never see my income growing
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to give me access there yeah a and um so is that is that a dereg solution is that the Well I think the first the
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first part of it is it's a data problem because in order for the government I mean the one thing that struck me about
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I think this Trump 2.0 administration is I think you have a better beat on the fact that this data is not as reliable
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as other administrations would say they were in order to do whatever it is they wanted to do anyway so it's sort of like
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let me just find the data that justifies what my action is um and part of why you
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can't I think tell this story is do you trust the GDP numbers do you trust non-farm payrolls do you think these are
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reliable enough for you to act on behalf of the United States no look that they're subject to big revisions o over
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time and I thought one of the big mistakes the Biden administration made and thank goodness they made it was they
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refused to they went with the numbers not what the American people were feeling they said "No it's a vibe
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session and you really don't understand how good you have it this has happened this has happened." When when in
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reality I was on Meet the Press yesterday and there's something that said "Well the American people don't
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believe Donald Trump's doing enough on the economy." And I told the host I said "You know the one thing I'm not going to
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answer is that they don't know what they're talking about i have to have respect for how they feel and then we
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need to go back and look at what is causing this anxiety so you that's what that's what we're going to do so let's
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peel the onion back what do you think is causing this anxiety where are the levers that maybe the federal government
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can control in releasing some of the pressure and what are more market functions that just need to clear up
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some of these dis Well look I I think there we we're we're trying to do three things and I I think you may have talked
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about it last week week before the the three legs on the stool three legs in the stool and and from from the outside
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that you intuited that very well i I would do just a little refinement on that that's what I was going to ask you
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yeah just tell me where I was right and wrong but the you were adjacent to everything okay so uh on on one uh we
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are trying to bring down this massive federal debt cut the spending and but in a controlled way because you can't do it
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all at once i I don't like to repeat private conversations with the president but I'll repeat this one because I think
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it's very the it really illustrates where his head was at first time I went to SE into seam saw him at Mara Largo
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and walk in the door and said "Scott how are we going to get these debt and deficits down without causing a
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recession?" Fantastic and that's exactly where we are now how are we going to get
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the debt and deficits down not cause a recession and I said "Sir um when you win you didn't get us here we're going
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to set a goal by 2028 we want to get back to the long-term average we're going to deflate it slowly and long-term
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average being about 3% deficit to GDP about three three and a half% deficit to GDP and you know like I keep saying the
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US we don't have a revenue problem we have a spending problem because we are averaging right about 18% revenue and
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I'm talking about federal government federal government only we're at about 18% and Biden administration blew it out
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blew the spending out to 25 normally it's about 21 21 and a half we have the 2% inflation nominal GDP it take real
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GDP is 18 so we get nominal GDP 3.8 and it all works out yeah and it was very I had uh one of the heads of one of the
00:24:03
Singapore sovereign wealth funds here last week guess what Singapore spends the in terms of spending to GDP deficit
00:24:12
3% uh they they have no deficit but they they spend 18% 18% 18% and he said you know he said we have a lot in common
00:24:21
with the Trump administration we like small government we don't like immigration illegal immigration and we
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like personal safety which I thought was very interesting sorry so let me just um
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understand so deflating government spending is key but the big challenge has been that we have now accumulated 30
00:24:40
some odd trillion dollars nearly of debt and the interest on that debt has started to grow we now have to pay $1.2
00:24:50
trillion in interest payments per year so that starts to consume more of the spending budget that we have at the
00:24:57
federal level which means we can spend less on the rest of the federal government's programs meaning you have
00:25:04
to cut a lot more than you otherwise would have which is what makes it so difficult and so painful is it realistic
00:25:10
that you can get Congress to act in the way that Congress needs to act to get to
00:25:16
the level that we need to get to given the high interest payments and the high debt level that we have yeah and w with
00:25:22
this Republican Congress uh and look I I I'm I'm not sure what a deficit hawk is
00:25:28
but I I think I I would qualify as one and uh a lot of the Republicans I actually have to coax him you can't do
00:25:36
this all at once i I was with the one of the congressional budget committees two
00:25:42
weeks ago and you know they really want to cut this fast and I said you do realize every 300 billion we cut is
00:25:50
about a percent of GDP so you you could so we we are trying to land the plane right uh well
00:26:00
and the plan uh because that that's really what I'd like to talk about today i think there are three plans here but
00:26:07
plan one we're going to delever the government via the spending uh we are also going to shed excess labor from the
00:26:17
government so on that side and then on the other side we're going we're going to deregulate the financial system the
00:26:25
regulated financial systems really been what I call a regulatory corset for a long time and as we deregulate that then
00:26:35
the private sector can relever so government deleveraging private sector releveraging and the employment or
00:26:44
the folks who lost their government jobs will be picked up by the more productive
00:26:50
but this sorry this is really important and I think this is the most critical thing i'm really glad we got the chance
00:26:54
to talk today because I hear so much about the conversation on any one of these topics independent of the others
00:27:01
and there's a relationship between them that I think is critical to understand on how this administration is aiming to
00:27:07
drive an economic recovery that is not inflationary is sustainable and also will allow people to have the American
00:27:15
dream in a way that they can't have access to today yeah and the so part of fixing the affordability crisis is what
00:27:24
can and we we come back and talk about it if you want but what where can we get prices down you know like e eggs are
00:27:30
easy or but the the other side of getting prices down is getting real wages up so on
00:27:39
getting real wages for working people up it goes back to the main street versus Wall Street and the the second plan is
00:27:49
to the reorder the international trading system and bring manufacturing jobs back
00:27:56
to the US and you have reinvigorate the the middle class because again through tariffs well to to use
00:28:06
tariffs that we're needed to bring other countries uh into line and to create an
00:28:13
economic incentive to onshore for some industries and some supply chains well so there there's tariffs then I think
00:28:22
there are three other things we can do which are the centerpiece of the administration we can have the low and
00:28:29
predictable taxes we can substantially uh slash regulations because regulations are the equivalent of that'll drive
00:28:38
investment dollars private investment dollars and predictability in regulations uh and then uh cheap energy
00:28:46
right and sorry what what is the relationship between the tax cuts and um the getting to 3% three and a half%
00:28:55
deficit as a percent of GDP especially because the CR unfortunately gave folks a get out of jail free card because we
00:29:03
kept the you know $2 trillion cap for the next alone uh yes uh but you got to have we we I I I been in this building i
00:29:15
think this is my seventh week president Trump been back at the White House for eight weeks so you actually do need time
00:29:23
so what a lot of people who weren't happy about the CR but shutting down the government wouldn't have been productive
00:29:30
either politically or economically so sorry does does um tax cuts get made up with tariffs or does tax cuts get made
00:29:38
up with cutting government spending well tax cuts will so tax cuts and deregulation will uh change the growth
00:29:48
traje uh if trend line has been 1.8 eight if you can move the growth to three or
00:29:56
above right then you really change their trajectory and if you can um keep expenses flat or do the unthinkable and
00:30:05
cut expenses then you can really So this is important so sorry government revenue
00:30:10
as a percent of GDP can go lower if you have lower expenses and a faster growing
00:30:16
economy yes I think that's like really important for folks to understand that relationship and so in isolation tax
00:30:23
cuts might reduce revenue but when done with reduced government spending and deregulation and a reordered
00:30:29
international trade model you theoretically will accelerate economic growth in this country increase
00:30:34
government revenue overall even with a lower tax rate that's kind of a theory right and and you know I'll I'll tell
00:30:40
you shame on me i I was in the investment business 35 years i I talk very confidently that CBO scoring says
00:30:48
this and it turns out I I didn't know you know what about CBO scoring like when you're on this side of the wall you
00:30:54
realize how crazy it is it's crazy so So just quite a gameable system it's a Yeah
00:30:58
it it's very gameable and one of the most gameable parts of it is in normal CBO scoring that so we we're calling
00:31:08
we're saying that we want to renew the tax cuts right we're actually just renewing the current
00:31:14
tax regime right that but somehow a after they expire then they go back to the old rate
00:31:24
spending never changes like spending never has to get renewed and I think when when I look and think about a
00:31:30
mental model and how does systems work how do they break down one of the things that has caused this spending bulge is
00:31:38
this idea that you never had to rescore spending oh it's nuts and the incentive model is when you have a constituency
00:31:47
that you represent as an elected representative that's earning from that spending they're telling you "If you
00:31:53
want to get reelected make sure my earnings stay and get me more." And then every year you've got a set of elected
00:31:59
representatives whose you know primary objective in a democratic system is to go in and get more money for their
00:32:05
constituents how do we solve that fundamental problem how do you think about that well you got to deal with a
00:32:10
second do you actually think that that's true do you think that most politicians
00:32:13
are here to just get money for their Good question yeah yeah i mean it's it's OPM it's other people's money but they
00:32:21
Danny DeVito had that movie yeah but but you you would regard that as being a good politician like you brought home
00:32:27
the bacon for for your district that because the the CR a lot of people didn't like
00:32:35
it but one of the things that a lot of people didn't like there were no earmarks in it like how dare they
00:32:40
totally the Christmas tree bill that kind of shows up at the 11th hour where everyone gets a little bit yeah can you
00:32:46
talk about So we talked about this deregulation as this one very important lever right so how do we add 50 100
00:32:53
basis points of growth back in we're going to do it through deregulation how do you undo the
00:32:58
financial corset as you said what are the what are the sort of three or four big ideas that you'd like to affect yep
00:33:04
so um we are reexamining all all the bank regulations and why why are they there why why do
00:33:15
banks have to I can't remember it's five or 7% to hold treasury bills what are the regulations why do I I had a whole
00:33:23
group of community bankers or small banks here last week and why do they have to hold the same amount of capital
00:33:32
that JP Morgan and Wells Fargo and City hold when they don't have the complexity
00:33:39
they don't have why do the regulators one one of these small bankers said "Well you know Bank America does it this
00:33:47
way." Well Bank America has a trillion dollars in deposits yeah this was $183 million
00:33:54
but when you look at the regulatory overhang of some of these things Basel 1 Basel 2 you have all of these frameworks
00:33:59
and then as a result all these organizations that are running around trying to help you administer this
00:34:05
complexity all it does is just lower economic activity in the end well and and but it's I know you all talk about
00:34:11
incentives a lot back to incentives what's a regul regulator's incentive just to keep like keep tightening the
00:34:20
corset they don't care about growth they they don't care about the uh common sense turn off turn off every risk it's
00:34:30
their job if you had to create a metric then to say okay here's how we're going to measure this undoing of the financial
00:34:35
corset is it sort of the lending velocity by private lenders so that the private releveraging can occur is that a
00:34:43
good way to think about or is rates a way to think about it well it it doesn't have to be rates but if if we do all the
00:34:49
things I was just talking about if we deregulate if we have cheap energy the I if we shed excess labor from the
00:34:57
government if we get government spending down then rates inflation should come down rates should come down yeah uh but
00:35:06
the on the question of how are we going to measure it i I don't have any problem
00:35:12
with private credit yeah like I I actually think it's exciting the dynamic it's dynamic it meets the business where
00:35:18
it is yeah i agree and the the strength of the US financial system is the depth and now the breadth but you you could
00:35:26
see that what's happened that so much lending is being pushed outside the regulated banking
00:35:33
system that tells you it's overregulated yeah right so now um once we so one test will be
00:35:43
how has bank lending especially small regional small banks community banks that come undone and you these small
00:35:52
banks the small banks and community banks they're 70% of a loans they're 40% of small business loans and that that's
00:36:00
one of the reasons Main Street's been stifled so can you talk about then how you will work with the Fed in sort
00:36:08
of the change of all of this financial you need to and do you need to work with Congress too to make these changes and
00:36:14
also just generally maybe your thoughts on just the Fed in this process of helper foe like where where do they
00:36:21
stand well the the Fed I 100% support the Fed's autonomy in monetary policy yeah i don't agree with
00:36:31
it all the time but right that how it is it's how it is it's how it is and um so and and I've said I won't
00:36:42
comment on perspective policy i can talk about their mistakes in the past which have been numerous but I I think like
00:36:49
like with with with any system as as it expands beyond sort of the core uh I I actually think that some of the things
00:37:00
they've done in regulation some of the things they've done kind of climate and DEI some of the things may maybe even
00:37:07
non-standard monetary policy uh threatens their independence and I want them to stay strong robust and
00:37:15
independent on monetary policy on regulation i I think that they have they have been much too harsh on especially
00:37:26
the smaller smaller banks medium banks u so there are three main bank regulators
00:37:32
there's the Fed off office of control of the currency OC and the FDIC and then there other regulators the
00:37:41
SEC CFTC but the banking regulators at the federal level are those three here at Treasury we have something called
00:37:51
FSOC and financial stability oversight council and um I chair that and via that the president's working group uh which
00:38:03
is another convening mechanism that I I plan to just keep pushing for you know safe sound and smart deregulation like
00:38:14
why are we doing this why are we doing that and you again that there's a capital charge to banks for buying
00:38:21
treasury bills totally so I I actually think there's a chance that if we take it's it's called the supplementary
00:38:28
leverage ratio if we take that away it's it becomes a binding constraint on banks
00:38:34
we might actually pull Treasury bill yields down by 30 to 70 basis points every basis point is a billion dollars a
00:38:45
year can we talk about that for a second so I think and I' I've said this for a year
00:38:51
probably but the one of the biggest mistakes that I think Janet Yellen affected was this continued issuance of
00:39:00
money on the short end of the curve to finance these deficits which gives you you inherit an incredibly difficult
00:39:08
challenge i think over the next nine months I think there's like nine or 10 trillion that has to get refinanced do
00:39:13
you want to talk about that yeah look I I I thought that it that when rates were low you're supposed to
00:39:20
term out rates exactly and in instead the the Treasury for the past few years has pulled rates in and I think part of
00:39:30
that was to keep rates lower that they they changed the issuance schedule when rates move back up towards 5% i I um
00:39:42
have maintained that policy but I'm maintaining it because let's go back to David's
00:39:50
question of when when are you going when are we going to see the results from this the getting the government spending
00:39:58
under control and I don't think the markets recognize it yet like like you know again if we do they don't they're
00:40:04
not sure what to believe i mean we hear this commentary a lot like what do you really what we people there's just a lot
00:40:10
of uncertainty there's a big spectrum of opinions there yeah like like the the central value tendency you're right the
00:40:18
central value tendency like what's the center of it because the the range of outcomes is so so broad and you know
00:40:27
like we know we know there's a problem there we know there's waste fraud and abuse quantify it quantify it so I I
00:40:35
think as we are more able to quantify it we will get credit for it so let me go back so outside of waste fraud and
00:40:43
abuse as it's termed I want to go back to the question I asked earlier how much do does this administration need
00:40:50
Congress to act to get to 3 to 3 12% deficit to GDP and how what's your read on the Congress and how willing and able
00:41:01
they are to take the action that's needed here yeah I I I think there are a lot of headlines especially after the CR
00:41:08
about the Democrats being in disarray and media like media likes to write about disarray
00:41:14
i I think the under or untold story here is Republicans have for a change actually been very disciplined that and
00:41:23
I think a lot of that President Trump is kind of shephering the party shephering the
00:41:30
movement because imagine he said "Oh that Mike Johnson will never get reconciliation instructions out of he's
00:41:41
got such a slim majority." Well he did it he did it yeah that he'll never be able to pass a clean CR he did it he did
00:41:50
it so let's see what happens with the budget so we need Congress to be our partners on the budget they're very
00:41:58
engaged the House and the Senate that everybody recognizes that if we don't get this done it's going to be the
00:42:04
biggest it's past fail it's the biggest tax hike in history where does Doge come
00:42:10
in well Doge that's the the cost cutting and it's the first time we've really ever
00:42:18
had business people looking at it the this Clinton Gore Commission that we hear a lot of like or hear a lot about i
00:42:25
I think it was a bunch of business school professors and but here you've got real CEOs you got Lutnik you got
00:42:32
Bergam you got Elon i mean this cabinet is stock full of experienced operators that can go in and identify where
00:42:40
there's an opportunity for saving the taxpayers money and still getting the results well it's that and we we had
00:42:47
this crypto council meeting the other day and I was sitting as looking it was myself Secretary Lutnik and Kelly
00:42:54
Laughler everybody was a market person like forget business like we and but with Doge
00:43:03
that I am completely aligned with what Elon's doing and everyone says "Well do you
00:43:10
have to do it so fast you have to do it." I I like I said I've only been in in this business for 7 weeks i've only
00:43:17
been in DC for 8 weeks but the thing I can tell you is if you don't move fast the vested interest will weigh you down
00:43:26
like the the the quicksand will come up or the claws get the claw yeah everybody's got lobbyists everybody's
00:43:35
got I mean think about it within a 10 10 mile radius of here 25% of the GDP of the US pulsates through here pulsates
00:43:46
every day and everybody wants to just skim a little i I said to uh e Elon and we were in a meeting and I said "You
00:43:55
know people are mad at you cuz you're moving their cheese." And he goes "It's not their cheese it's the American
00:44:00
people's cheese." 100% every dollar spent goes into someone's pocket and that person's going to fight tooth and
00:44:06
nail to get that dollar to keep flowing into their pocket and it's a it's a it's
00:44:10
a very like there is no winning in Elon's role there's every single time he takes action there are people that are
00:44:17
going to come after him that are going to come after the administration there's no situ and and obviously gets recast
00:44:24
reclassified in the media as being something different but there's nothing but downside as you make these changes
00:44:31
to individual organizations that participate and then it takes a while for the flow of that money to find its
00:44:38
way or those individuals to find their way back into the productive private economy that's where I think there's a
00:44:42
big gap and a big challenge in the perception of the actions that are going on with the changes right now is
00:44:48
everyone sees the cuts but they don't see the benefits and that's nine months 12 months 15 months down the road and
00:44:53
that's a really hard thing to reconcile for most yeah and I I'd say there are a couple of things too is one like
00:45:00
everyone's hearing cuts and they think they're government services that's right that's right and they're not i I keep
00:45:07
saying it's the Department of Government efficiency not government extinction not
00:45:13
government elimination and can we make it run much better with fewer people with fewer costs and you I don't want to
00:45:23
demonize any of these federal employees cuz I tell you in this building I've been so impressed with the quality of
00:45:29
the the people i I would have hired them in my private firm they are great public
00:45:34
servants i need you to stay for the weekend and I need a 25page memo in 72 hours that super high quality i I
00:45:42
actually think what when when all this is done there there will have been two big
00:45:49
savings one will been on these contractors sure which totally we were just talking about this we were with
00:45:55
Elon just now with an incredible stat he said I'm not going to name the firm so that I don't want to but he said this
00:46:01
one organization gets 98% of their revenue from it was in the newspaper so we can say it it's booze Allen
00:46:08
we were talking about this and then but then we were going through the numbers on the other firms and it's just the
00:46:12
whole thing what kind of risk management is that by the way yeah yeah but but it
00:46:16
tells you that that they didn't manage the risk that's right tells you how entrenched
00:46:23
they believe they were and how good it is for them and how good it is you're absolutely right and and the way the way
00:46:29
the grift works you can only have six-month contracts but there are people who have had 40 six-month contracts
00:46:36
incredible like they've been in situ for 20 years incredible and it's this whole
00:46:42
I'm so happy there is transparency and visibility into this if for nothing else the administration providing this level
00:46:50
of insight and data I think is so important for taxpayers and individuals in this country to see to recognize and
00:46:57
importantly to understand just how much of this grift is going on it's frightening and I'm glad that it's like
00:47:03
being addressed and and the American people can see if they want it so this is what I was going to ask you let's
00:47:08
just say that some somehow the Borg slows this whole thing down you know what people say is that
00:47:16
the conventionalism well then the only place to look will be things like entitlements
00:47:21
good question yeah do you do you think that that's true well I I I think that now that the cat's out of
00:47:31
the bag that the American people are are not going to stay with this is that you
00:47:37
may maybe again here may maybe in the Northeast Corridor um there's some push back but when I've seen the polling data
00:47:47
and the rest of the country does not want this to stop and this administration's not gonna stop yeah
00:47:55
the courts they're trying to throw sand in the gears with the courts and how some judge can say "Oh all these workers
00:48:02
have to come back in." And but I I also think we've moved really quickly now i think when we start putting out some of
00:48:12
the ane anecdotes and the the messages and talk about what's happening like I I'll talk about it i I'll be talking
00:48:21
about it soon but there there's one very large department that everybody deals with on April 15th that their help desk
00:48:29
is fully staffed 24/7 365 days a year they have the same number of people on Christmas Eve as they have on April 14th
00:48:40
wow this is this this by the way is something that I've seen being a lightning rod theoretically every dollar
00:48:45
you spend on the IRS you get $3 back or whatever it is that's not necessarily true like I just want to be clear that
00:48:52
there's you can still get all your tax revenue at the federal level but you don't need to waste well look I I mean
00:48:58
I'd be the ultimate chump if I said "Oh we're going to cut spending." Yeah but I
00:49:03
also cut revenues with with the IRS which Treasury controls my my three goals are very simple revenue
00:49:12
enhancement privacy and customer service totally you know there's a there's a body of knowledge that says if we just
00:49:19
fed in and by the way four or five of these companies can do this now if we just fed in this entire federal tax code
00:49:26
into these AI models what you can give to Americans is a very guaranteed resolute ability to file taxes with the
00:49:34
assurance that there is no waste fraud and abuse and now all of a sudden you take this incredible weight off of
00:49:40
people's shoulders um you know sometimes it is said that you get audited for almost political reasons it seems like
00:49:47
you know uh people that not almost we have a big we we we had a big announcement on Tuesday and we brought
00:49:57
in the 200 Biden whistleblowers who they uh have a lot to say about who gets audited who doesn't they're going to be
00:50:05
sitting in this building working on IRS the matters and understanding exactly how these audits get triggered how these
00:50:15
political witch hunts happen and trying to the change the ethos of the building and again
00:50:25
99% of the people at the IRS are good people it's just like all these other agencies where they're they're bad folks
00:50:32
but to your point this is where technology can create um very reliable guard rails for the American citizen
00:50:40
where it's like okay well if this model says I owe $1,000 in tax this is it i'm not trying to change anything i've fed
00:50:47
it all the software first and you just know let me go back to entitlements um I talked last week on our podcast
00:50:56
about social security mhm social Security has a $2.7 trillion balance which is just a basically a Treasury
00:51:04
bond that's owed that they can't trade out of should Social Security have invested in the S&P or invested in
00:51:10
equities and why don't we turn Social Security into a sovereign wealth fund and invest it for the benefit of all
00:51:16
Americans going forward yeah I I I think there there's the optimal then there's the
00:51:24
possible george W bush tried to privatize social security and you I I saw your your numbers listened to your
00:51:32
numbers going way back 1971 1971 and with 15 16 trillion that we'd have I I don't know what the numbers are since W
00:51:42
tried it they'd be substantial we we wouldn't be thinking about a problem in a few years but I think now you got to
00:51:52
play the hand you're dealt i think we are dealt the social security uh hand and I think maybe we could re-engineer
00:52:00
it if we could create the sovereign wealth fund and have that on the other side there are a lot of philanthropists
00:52:07
who are looking at baby bonds so if you can create a some kind of an investment account for newborns then that would run
00:52:19
on a parallel track to social security so that would be compounding the other thing would be a safety net yeah but
00:52:28
it's still sitting in treasuries on the other side y and that's where there's an
00:52:31
opportunity not just to drive up returns but participate in the American economy
00:52:36
and give all Americans today the ability to know that they have some participation in the American economy
00:52:41
rather than having their retirement funds being sitting as a loan to the federal government for spending which I
00:52:47
think could be a big dramatic change i don't know if they need to be independent but I I I would I think it's
00:52:52
a it's a real opportunity for us are you are you excited by the idea of the sovereign wealth fund i I am and I'm
00:52:59
excited by the idea like this is pres President Trump everything he does isn't in a straight line but I guarantee he
00:53:09
has a destination in mind and the idea that he's going to be the first president in generations who is going to
00:53:20
he wants to create assets for the American people not just debt yeah yeah so he wants to take the debt down and
00:53:26
then this idea of assets there was a lot of talk about this economic deal we're going to do with Ukraine that would have
00:53:33
gone in the sovereign wealth fund right yeah government has big stake in Fanny May and Freddy Mack
00:53:42
when it comes out of conservatorship where does that go where where does that go
00:53:47
as you mentioned Doug Doug Bergam did great work when he was governor of North Dakota north Dakota
00:53:55
has the equivalent of two state sovereign wealth funds and for I don't know are they 7 8 900,000 people i think
00:54:03
they had $25 billion right and Alaska permanent the Alaska permanent but all all that's from the natural resource
00:54:11
money going in so to the extent we start the other day when the sovereign wealth fund was announced President
00:54:19
Trump surprised me in the oval and said "Could you make a few remarks?" And I said "Well we're we're going to we're
00:54:24
going to mo we're going to mobilize the asset side of the balance sheet." And all the gold books said he's going to re
00:54:29
he's going to revalue the gold i I can say today we're not revaling the gold but what we are going to do is Doug
00:54:36
Bergam at Interior every other department head is looking for the assets that we can mobilize so if if we
00:54:45
have energy leases federal government own back to the housing shortage federal government owns a lot of land in
00:54:52
downtown urban areas can we or in suburban adjacent things in in Nevada and Utah can we use that land yeah do
00:55:01
you see a wave of privatizations as a way to sort of both pay down the deficits and debts and also just to that
00:55:07
that's important to me like why put in a sovereign wealth fund versus pay down the debt help help kind of do the
00:55:13
finance math for us on Oh could you think you get a higher return right well anything anything that beats our
00:55:19
current return our current interest rate yeah i mean not not that I'm keeping score not that I watch it closely but
00:55:26
the 10-year Treasury today is 428 428 yeah so um it's responding well can can we can can we do better Yeah than four
00:55:35
can we do better than 428 and I think with this group and this cabinet and if we can put in right right now we're
00:55:43
working on the the study group for the sovereign wealth fund and we want to do best practices we're talking to people
00:55:50
around the world we're talking to investment people uh we're talking to uh a lot of the other big sovereign uh
00:55:58
funds and we're going to do best practices and we want this to be a legacy event totally dan Lo made this
00:56:05
comment that the Australian superanuation they've got 30 managers and they have as much in their on their
00:56:11
balance sheet today in their fund than Social Security does about $3 trillion and they have 7% of our population yeah
00:56:19
no it's incredible it's incredible it's incredible and I was with one of the Middle Eastern funds and you know I said
00:56:26
something about oil revenue we haven't had an an injection into the fund in 20 years why was this such a miss for
00:56:34
America what happened in the United States was that we took every excess dollar we had and we invested it in the
00:56:40
future we bought in we built infrastructure what happened that kept us out of this model where others were
00:56:46
so successful and clearly have now gotten ahead of us and their their people have a greater kind of safety net
00:56:53
than we do yeah i I I think it it was just this idea of it it was supposed to be a safety net not some kind of
00:57:01
prosperity ramp the old age and survivors disability insurance fund that's what it's called
00:57:07
right under social security you uh you've mentioned cheap energy as a critical part of this holistic program I
00:57:14
think three times now where do we make mistakes in that path where energy gets out of control what what do we need to
00:57:22
do to make sure that energy actually the the incremental cost of the electron basically goes to zero well I I think
00:57:29
the biggest challenge we're having right now is trying to get private sector to lock in for some things that might not
00:57:39
have a payoff for 5 10 years and how do we avoid student body left student body right with administrations coming and
00:57:47
going so we're we're trying we're we're working on well this is an incredibly nuanced and I think an important point
00:57:53
because we have this very vibrant as you know tax equity and transferability market that allows a lot of these
00:58:00
organizations to make these five and 10 year investment cases and you know for all the issues with the IRA of which
00:58:06
there are many I think the one narrow aspect that it did was um it calmed the markets about the future of those
00:58:14
specific ITC credits and transferability and And it's a critical thing because there was a report you probably saw it
00:58:20
but you know FK said 90 plus% of our incremental electrons as of December were from sources that were
00:58:29
leveraging these ITC credits and that transferability so to your point we have this very delicate balancing act of
00:58:34
making sure we but but there there's the the tax side but then the regulatory side with with fossil it's tougher
00:58:43
because it crosses a lot of state lines there's a lot more permitting right a lot less permitting for solar farms
00:58:50
for wind for geothermal yeah and nuclear uh nuclear is going to be a big part of it but it it's not
00:58:57
going to happen tomorrow we got to fix the supply chain and the regulatory well we got to fix the supply chain we got to
00:59:04
fix the regulatory um I we've got to decide which model are we going to go with and you know I I'm
00:59:13
told that you you two probably know more about nuclear than I do but he loves it
00:59:19
i hate it okay well no I don't hate it i mean I I like I like nuclear i just think it's 10 years away he's a loser
00:59:24
don't listen to him yeah he doesn't really It's just not an investable thing for the
00:59:28
next but it's important because the question is when it becomes one that's when we know we've fixed the problem but
00:59:34
but but to to the point that it's not investable that's where the government needs to step absolutely i 100% agree
00:59:41
with you like we that's where we have to bridge to to the technology we have to do the time arbitrage and also I'm told
00:59:51
especially with the smaller plants that you that you need to cluster them and you got to find somebody who wants to
00:59:59
cluster them and all that and um let me ask you one more question as we kind of get to the end but uh what's been the
01:00:06
most surprising thing for you in this role since you've um since you've been in office uh the national security
01:00:11
aspect that I I would say 40 50% of my day uh Treasury does a lot of national security work whe whether it's cifhious
01:00:22
in terms of uh foreigners who want to buy US assets whether it's sanctions whether it's OFAC anti-money laundering
01:00:34
we we've just designated the Mexican cartels as foreign terrorist organizations we President Trump over
01:00:43
the weekend launched a very aggressive strike on missile strike on the Houthi assets well underneath that we had
01:00:54
already been working for several weeks on their bank accounts i see so or anyone who is adjacent to them the
01:01:01
Iranians supply the Houthis with the their ecosystem previous to my getting here uh
01:01:12
Treasury had disrupted the ecosystem so much that uh the Iranians used to hand them cash now they're just handing them
01:01:19
here take take this oil tanker and try to sell it right so like there there is the ability to to break that down when
01:01:27
you go home and you're talking to your kids you're talking to your husband and you're
01:01:32
like "This was so cool." There must be these moments where you're like "This was so cool do you have any anecdotes
01:01:40
that you you're comfortable sharing where you're just like this is like I can't believe I'm doing this job uh well
01:01:45
uh there have been several but a a good example my family was actually there because after the inauguration I I asked
01:01:54
President Trump may I bring my family in say hello get a photo and we're we're sitting in the oval so it's myself my
01:02:02
11year-old daughter uh my spouse 15-year-old son and the President Trump's having a great conversation with
01:02:11
them and and then he said "Oh Scott while you're here let me call in these other two people and we need to discuss
01:02:19
this." So they actually got to see government being done live so you there there's that um I I you know I I have to
01:02:31
say I I think the the moment with um President Trump Vice President Vance President Zalinski was kind of a once in
01:02:41
a-lifetime thing in the Oval Office i hope it's once in a lifetime and they um but you know I I was sitting there kind
01:02:49
of in the front row of history i I vice president Secretary Rubio myself on the sofa and watching President
01:02:59
Zullinsky do what I thought was the the biggest diplomatic own goal in history yeah yeah i think you said it very well
01:03:07
in in TV afterwards it really really was based on and you you said because you were there you tried to negotiate with
01:03:13
him in Kev it was a very escalated I think you use the word escalated or high high decibel conversation high decel yes
01:03:21
yeah so but it kind of my my job for 35 years was to be outside the room try to put my ear to
01:03:30
the door maybe lift myself over the transom figure out what the leaders needed to do were going to do and then
01:03:38
how it would affect the markets and now it it's fantastic and amazing and stimulating and a little scary being the
01:03:49
person in the room who has to what should we do what can we do how's it going to affect the markets
01:03:56
how's it going to affect the real economy that what what's it going to do to working people in America so how do
01:04:03
we fix affordability um we're just going to have to go through and where where's the problem
01:04:11
what's the solution in terms of like are are the insurance markets broken right what can
01:04:20
we do there there's been no in I I've been involved in the house building business there's been no technological
01:04:28
change in house building in 50 years maybe 60 some of the building codes go all the way back to the Chicago fire
01:04:35
right so what can we do that the way we categorize housing it's stickuilt or modular mhm is there something in the
01:04:47
middle prefab because the more that comes out of a factory the more that is standardized that neighborhoods from DC
01:04:57
from DC to Bethesda to PTOAC to like you could be in contiguous neighborhoods and
01:05:05
if they're different municipalities they'd all have different building codes not zoning building yeah and why is that
01:05:12
like it they're adjacent why do the houses have to be so is there some kind of window guidance that the federal
01:05:20
government can give in terms of the more that comes out of the factory the cheaper it'll be the faster we can make
01:05:27
it things like that is there pressure that you could apply or influence you can apply one of the things you
01:05:32
mentioned earlier was just you know take San Francisco there's an artificial constraint that's created by the zoning
01:05:39
paradigm and it's not clear how you unlock that you know maybe is it up to private citizens to sort of like have
01:05:45
regime change at the local level um but how do we sort of unclog that part of it
01:05:51
to marry up with this kind of stuff because it would be great if you could just build up in many places yeah well I
01:05:56
I I think there are a lot of things where you can look around and find what's interesting that some what's something
01:06:05
that's interesting that's being done somewhere so I I lived in Greenwich Connecticut for a while may maybe the
01:06:11
richest suburb in America there's a ton of multifamily there very expensive very
01:06:17
nice multifamily there's some affordable housing but Greenwich is not all 10 acres and a horse farm
01:06:29
the state of Connecticut has put in a I guess it's a law that every municipality
01:06:37
has to allocate 10% of vacant land to multifamily and if the zoning board won't give you a hearing you as a
01:06:47
developer you as a nonprofit for housing can go over the top and go to Hartford and then Hartford will give you the
01:06:58
authority well no no town wants the state doing on their behalf so now the towns negotiate yeah so like I I think
01:07:08
that there are a lot of things that that can be done again on on insurance is there something that I I've been
01:07:17
thinking about is there something the federal government could do for California where we come in
01:07:23
everyone's paying homeowners insurance then there's reinsurance on top of that then I think the California reinsurance
01:07:31
companies called Fair on top of that so it's a well it's a separate plan but yeah yeah but but it it's it's a you're
01:07:39
stack you're stacking it so is there something we could do where you put another layer of private money in there
01:07:47
and then the federal government is the fifth risk trunch right but if the federal government comes in can we
01:07:55
mandate down here proper hygiene changes in the building code well changes in the
01:08:01
building code changes in brush cutting right and material choices yeah right right yeah makes sense great so I I
01:08:09
think there's a lot if we And obviously energy I mean just getting back to affordability right energy costs come
01:08:14
down i took the words out of my mouth no no no no but I mean energy costs are energy costs but then there's also the
01:08:22
for food the transportation cost of getting it to the to the grocery store everything that that's made out of
01:08:29
petroleum products so I I think we we can do that and um you know I think there's a lot to do
01:08:38
and it shouldn't be too hard so we're actually we should probably be announcing it in about 10 days we're
01:08:45
going to have an affordabil affordability zar but it's going to be someone with a lot of experience in
01:08:51
supply chains figuring out what are a lot of the quick fixes we can do because back to the question
01:09:01
what really has people anxious inflation for now is actually pretty quiet in and
01:09:12
um but the affordability has gotten so away from everyone that how can we bring that down
01:09:21
yeah good for all our friends at home who talk a lot about the conversation about climate change and carbon-f free i
01:09:31
think one of the things that I always point out to people is the cheapest way of driving energy production in this
01:09:37
country is that there's a low carbon or carbon-f free alternative that's out there that's actually cheaper than
01:09:42
standing up new new plants um and there's an acceleration i don't know how much this administration thinks about
01:09:48
that relationship but it seems to me like if we can unlock energy production costs come down and this economy
01:09:54
transitions well it transitions and I think it's also not being dogmatic like I I I saw what the Biden
01:10:01
administration did with EVs i I have an EV i can't wait for it to come off lease
01:10:06
and but also have a hybrid and I think I fill it up maybe three times a year totally but this administration had a
01:10:14
jihad on hybrids because there it it they didn't pass the purity test so they were picking winners and losers in a way
01:10:22
that a lot of us were left scratching our heads yep and cheap I think cheap energy solves a lot of problems i I I
01:10:29
think it'll a and uh cheap energy is energy security too 100% cuz that that's why Europe's kind of over a
01:10:39
barrel literally and it's a it's why the Russian war machine hasn't again literally run out of gas and to the
01:10:48
extent that we believe we're in an existential arms race for technical supremacy it's really on one dimension
01:10:54
which is AI and that is so needy of energy so if we don't pull all of these issues together and
01:11:02
realize that we need to basically take the incremental cost to zero whatever we do we need to create the incentives and
01:11:07
package it all together i mean we can't we can't compete manufacturing as without energy without we certainly
01:11:12
can't compete without energy yep yeah i mean we're we're we're not going to crush labor like China and some other
01:11:19
countries have done so we got to crush the energy price right exactly right and when you're in the Oval what are the
01:11:24
truths and misconceptions of the president meaning on the outside and what people know or don't know oh how
01:11:31
about this i we we had a lot of um foreign leaders come in and I I knew someone in in the in one of their
01:11:43
entouragees i won't tell you which one but afterwards he comes up to me he goes "Holy crap." He goes "He's really smart
01:11:50
president Trump has perfect recollection because he was talking about something that had happened in that country 30
01:11:56
years ago and he said and he really So the President Trump listens he is judicious he is just taking it all in he
01:12:05
likes to see how people react um it it's just incredible executive skills uh yeah and the other thing too
01:12:17
that he he's tough but I went in and I showed him we were talking about something the other day and I said "Well
01:12:24
you know this is going to cause some layoffs." He goes "Well let let's try to fix it." Yeah yeah let's try to fix it
01:12:32
so I I always say he really regards himself as the mayor of America right 330 million people he wants to be
01:12:40
personable to everyone and he cares deeply about all of them and he doesn't care whether you're Elon Musk or the the
01:12:49
guy cutting the rose garden but you're his constituent great well Scott thank you so much for
01:12:56
taking the time this has been a wonderful a pleasure and we really appreciate the insight yeah and thanks
01:13:01
for the service and thanks for doing the role good thanks appreciate it thanks [Music]
01:13:11
thanks i'm going all in

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Episode Highlights

  • Interview with Treasury Secretary
    A deep dive into the economy with Scott Bessant, discussing critical financial issues.
    “We're excited for this interview with Scott Bessant.”
    @ 01m 52s
    March 19, 2025
  • The American Dream Today
    Exploring the changing landscape of the American dream and its challenges.
    “What is the American dream today?”
    @ 16m 42s
    March 19, 2025
  • The Debt Dilemma
    How do we tackle the massive federal debt without triggering a recession?
    “How are we going to get the debt and deficits down without causing a recession?”
    @ 22m 55s
    March 19, 2025
  • The Spending Problem
    Exploring the real issue behind the federal budget: spending versus revenue.
    “We don't have a revenue problem, we have a spending problem.”
    @ 23m 23s
    March 19, 2025
  • Deregulation's Impact
    Deregulating the financial system could unlock economic growth and job creation.
    “We are reexamining all the bank regulations and why they are there.”
    @ 33m 08s
    March 19, 2025
  • The Role of Congress
    Can Congress act decisively to address the growing deficit?
    “We need Congress to be our partners on the budget.”
    @ 41m 56s
    March 19, 2025
  • Elon's Cheese Metaphor
    Elon Musk's perspective on economic change and vested interests.
    “It's not their cheese, it's the American people's cheese.”
    @ 44m 00s
    March 19, 2025
  • The Challenge of Perception
    People focus on government cuts without recognizing the long-term benefits.
    “Everyone sees the cuts but they don't see the benefits.”
    @ 44m 48s
    March 19, 2025
  • Transparency in Government Spending
    The importance of visibility into government contracts and spending practices.
    “I'm so happy there is transparency and visibility into this.”
    @ 46m 42s
    March 19, 2025
  • A Once in a Lifetime Moment
    Witnessing a historic meeting in the Oval Office with President Trump and President Zelensky.
    “I was sitting there kind of in the front row of history.”
    @ 01h 02m 43s
    March 19, 2025
  • The Weight of Responsibility
    The pressure of making decisions that affect the economy and people's lives.
    “It's fantastic and amazing and stimulating and a little scary.”
    @ 01h 03m 43s
    March 19, 2025
  • Trump's Leadership Style
    A foreign leader praises Trump's intelligence and memory during a meeting.
    “He's really smart.”
    @ 01h 11m 40s
    March 19, 2025

Episode Quotes

  • You need to go downstairs now.
    Scott Bessent | All-In DC
  • What did we get wrong there?
    Scott Bessent | All-In DC
  • We don't have a revenue problem, we have a spending problem.
    Scott Bessent | All-In DC
  • If you don't move fast, the vested interest will weigh you down.
    Scott Bessent | All-In DC
  • This was so cool.
    Scott Bessent | All-In DC
  • It's fantastic and amazing and stimulating and a little scary.
    Scott Bessent | All-In DC

Key Moments

  • Interview Setup01:52
  • Debt Management22:55
  • Spending Crisis23:23
  • Deregulation Discussion33:08
  • Transparency46:42
  • Historic Meeting1:02:43
  • Inflation Anxiety1:09:01
  • Trump's Intelligence1:11:50

Tension Over Time

Words per Minute Over Time

Vibes Breakdown