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How Matt Mahan Thinks He Can Save California

March 23, 2026 / 01:17:13

This episode features Matt Mayan discussing his candidacy for governor of California, focusing on government spending, homelessness, and housing issues. Key topics include California's budget, high-speed rail spending, and the role of public sector unions.

Mayan shares his background growing up in Watsonville, California, and his frustration with the state's increasing spending without improved outcomes. He highlights a 75% increase in state spending over six years, with little accountability for results.

The conversation shifts to California's homelessness crisis, with Mayan emphasizing the need for effective solutions and the importance of addressing mental health and addiction issues. He advocates for a more efficient approach to housing production and reducing bureaucratic hurdles.

Mayan critiques the current legislative environment, noting the dominance of organized interests and the need for a governor willing to challenge the status quo. He argues for a focus on measurable outcomes and accountability in government spending.

Finally, Mayan discusses his vision for California, advocating for a pragmatic approach to governance that prioritizes results over increased revenue and government programs.

TLDR

Matt Mayan discusses his gubernatorial campaign, focusing on California's spending, homelessness, and housing issues.

Episode

1:17:13
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Matt Nahm, welcome to Allin. >> Thanks, David. I have no idea who you are. Who are you? I mean, you're a guy
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who kind of popped up running for governor of California last minute. How'd that come about? And who is Matt
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Mayan? >> Well, David, like everybody, I'm frustrated with a state that keeps
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spending more and seemingly getting less, which is why I jumped in. But to back up, I grew up in a little farming
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town here in California, a town called Watsonville, where your strawberries come from. Home
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>> I do work in Watsonville. >> Frisco berries. You know it well. >> I got green houses. Yeah.
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>> Yeah. Exactly. working-class family. Mom was a teacher, dad was a letter carrier.
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My lucky break in life was getting into a great college prep high school on a work study scholarship. I took buses
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about two hours each way. Worked my way through high school and college and uh came back as a public school teacher
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through the Teach for America program. Always was very community oriented, was interested in politics, wanted to know
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how to make our city, our world a better place. ended up in the tech sector and spent about a decade building civic tech
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tools to help people navigate their democracy. >> What did you build? >> I was involved with an early Facebook
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application called Causes and then went on to start a platform called Brigade that was sort of like LinkedIn for
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voters. And the whole premise was to build grassroots bottomup power by connecting voters around issues they're
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passionate about, outcomes they want to see, and help them organize to hold their elected officials accountable.
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After about a decade in the civic tech space, our company was acquired. I decided to run for city council, and I
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went out and knocked on 10,000 doors, got yelled at for a lot of things that I wasn't necessarily responsible for, but
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I got a real feel for the common sense of the residents of California who would ask questions like, "If I'm paying
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$20,000 a year in property taxes, why haven't my local roads been paved in the
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last 15 years?" And I thought that made a lot of sense. So, I went to city hall
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to try to find out >> how dysfunctional is California and how did it get this way.
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>> Pretty bad. I'm really worried, which is why I jumped in. I think the state is
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heading toward an inflection point past which there there may be no return. We have increased spending in state
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government by 75%. To put that in perspective, that's $150 billion more this year than six years ago. And as far
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as I can tell, none of the outcomes have gotten better. Never mind 75% better. Many of them are flat or down over the
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same time period. So there is a real lack of accountability in government. We don't have a money problem in
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Sacramento. We have an incentives problem. We have a structure that allows us to keep shoveling more money into
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things that aren't working. Just take highspeed rail. If a startup took 20 years, spent $14 billion, and didn't
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deliver a product, people would have been fired a long time ago. And we're just not seeing that level of
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accountability in our state government. >> Is this theft? Where does the money go?
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$14 billion. Who has that $14 billion today? It's contractors. It's lawyers.
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Some of it has gone into actually building the project. But belatedly, what happens in California and the
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reason we can't build, we can't do big things anymore, is that we've got
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endless process, years of environmental review, the most latigious environment imaginable. Anybody can sue under SQA.
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You don't even have to be a resident of California to sue under SQUA. And so,
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you just get years of litigation, bureaucracy, when it comes to housing. Just to
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slightly switch topics, the fees that cities can assess, one-time fees can add 20% to the cost of a project. So, we've
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just we've bureaucratized the state to the point where it's total paralysis. We
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can keep spending more and more and not getting anything for it. It's like I'm
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trying to understand as a citizen and a taxpayer, I pay a 53% tax rate living in
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California. I pay my federal tax and my temporary California tax, which I've
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been temporarily paying for 11 years, and I'm paying 53 cents of every dollar
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I earn to the state and to the federal government. I'm like, where'd my money
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go? It's such a mind-boggling number. Pick the highspeed rail project alone.
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$14 billion >> spent. >> Spent. We don't have a rail. We don't
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have anything. Is it lawyers that made $14 billion? You mentioned contractors. like is this just like there's a whole
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bunch of people that are all making 20 30 grand and it all adds up to 14 billion like just help me understand
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where my money went. So on that project specifically and I haven't done the line
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item by line item analysis to be totally clear but you have years of consultants
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doing environmental reviews and and doing all of these studies and reports of of the impacts it might have. So tons
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of consultants you have the cost of litigation. You have an entire cottage industry of people doing design and
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studies and reports and managing litigation and buying right ofway and managing community engagement processes
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and we just we take years to do to do anything and so it just gets vacuumed up into this sea of little groups of
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things. So there isn't like one big thief like the grandmaster thief of California that's taking all the money
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and then it's just like the dysfunction is just like everyone's getting a little
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piece of >> my sense I mean let's be clear there is fraud there has been fraud very well
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documented in California and other areas during the last 5 years or so roughly during the pandemic unemployment claims
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in California that were fraudulent totaled over $30 billion that is well documented there's emerging
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research right Now that shows that there are hundreds if not thousands of hospice
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providers who may or may not exist. I mean we're just getting this information
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now. This is very real time investigative journalism. So there's fraud I think by an order of magnitude.
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There's even something bigger here which is which is waste and inefficiency is a
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system where you just keep incrementally growing headcount, growing the size of programs, growing the grants that we
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give out to nonprofits. And we're funding and managing around process, not outcomes. And I've tried to approach it
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very differently in San Jose. I think it's why without raising taxes, in fact,
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our revenue has actually slowed a bit the last couple of years just because the economy is cyclical, real estate is
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struggling. We're very dependent on local property taxes. But without raising taxes, we have dramatically
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changed the outcomes we're getting. We have led the state in reducing crime and
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become the safest big city in the country. We've reduced unsheltered homelessness, meaning people living
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outside in tents and vehicles, by about a third in the last few years. We've
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unblocked housing uh production. We're seeing thousands of new homes under construction. In all of those cases, we
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had to change existing process that was in the way, reduce fees, and cut funding
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for programs that weren't delivering so that we could fund other solutions that
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were more efficient. >> Well, let me also ask about legislation. If you look at Washington DC, we have
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our nation's Congress, the House and the Senate, and there's a Republicans and
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there's Democrats, and they fight. And they fight so much they don't get
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anything done, which by the way may be a good thing because in California, the legislature passes hundreds and hundreds
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of bills a year, and they all um come from one party, the Democrat party. Gavin Newsome on average vetos 15 to 20%
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of these bills every year which says something but maybe you can just explain a little bit your view on how are all
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these laws getting passed in California how are these how does the legislature in Sacramento where you're vying for a
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seat to have the right to veto and the right to push back how are they making decisions and what's motivating the
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California state legislature >> yeah and I I would just to be clear as governor veto even more of these bills
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because there's a a total lack of accountability. And I think too many of our legislators think that their measure
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of success is how many bills they can write, get to the governor, and ultimately get signed. What you see is
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you actually read what these bills do. They generally just add more cost and more process. And what the legislature
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needs to be told by our next governor is that we're not going to fund failure.
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We're going to publicly set goals. We're going to measure the performance of
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every dollar we spend. We're going to audit the heck out of existing programs.
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Right now, 75% of the audit recommendations from the state auditor never get implemented. So, there's just
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there isn't a feedback loop with the public or or an accountability for the outcome. There is a lot of performative
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politics, a lot of discussion of how much good we're trying to do, how we're
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trying to be responsive to everyone. We have a tendency, particularly in the Democratic party, to want to be
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empathetic and tell everyone that we're working on everything. We try to be everything to everyone all at once
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rather than very strategically saying some things matter more than others. The high cost of housing, the high cost of
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energy, the quality of our public schools, the safety in our neighborhoods. These are the things
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people care about and think that they should be getting when they pay taxes. But despite increasing spending in the
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state by 75%, none of those outcomes have actually gotten better. Some have gotten worse.
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>> The irony is that sometimes it may be the case, and I think it's very often
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the case that less government solves the problem better than more government. Trying to do more to create housing may
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make housing more expensive. Sounds ironic. Trying to do more to make education accessible makes education
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more expensive. The more government gets involved, the more prices seem to skyrocket. How do you get over that with
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all the interested groups that are getting themselves elected in the California state legislature by saying,
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"I'm going to do more. I'm going to do more. I'm going to do more." Because
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that's how you get elected. How are you possibly going to come in and say, "We
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should do less, and that's how we're going to fix some of this stuff."
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>> Yeah. Well, certainly, if you're if you're in a hole, don't keep digging.
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And sadly, one of my opponents in this race, Eric Swallwell, just in a debate, he said it a couple times now in
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debates. When asked what his top three, we were all asked what are our top three
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priorities for the state, said revenue, revenue, revenue. And to me, that is just that is a mindset that doesn't get
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what has broken down in the state. You're absolutely right. As Democrats, we have to own the outcomes we're
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getting in this state. And for too long, our reflexive answer has been, we need more revenue. if we just have more
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money, we'll solve this problem. I I just don't believe that. And and I say
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that as the only current executive in this race. I'm the mayor of the largest
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city in Northern California, San Jose. And because of a quirk of history, we were built as a bedroom community for
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the job centers just north of us. We actually have significantly lower revenue per capita than many other
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cities. We're not a job center. And so with Prop 13, our tax revenue goes up
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more slowly and it is smaller. Our revenue is about a third less than some of our neighboring cities. And we're
00:11:03
delivering huge increases in sheltering people, getting housing built, reducing crime by thinking differently. But it
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all starts with being willing to set a goal publicly and allow the public to hold you accountable for spending
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dollars in a way that actually achieves outcomes. And that sounds so simple. I know most of your audience, I've been
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listening for years, are in the private sector and it almost seems so obvious that why would you even need to say it?
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But the truth is, as elected officials, we almost never set public goals where we can actually be held accountable.
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Heaven forbid in your next election you might get called out for not actually reducing homelessness or reducing crime
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or getting housing built. And instead, to your point, we pass bill after bill showing that we're doing something. And
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half the time, with the the law of unintended consequences, we make it slower and more expensive to do the very
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thing that we want. >> Right. Well, let's talk about maybe some of the competing interests that want to
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get capital, that want to pull capital through the government for their base, and that would be labor unions. They're
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a very powerful lobbying coordination set of groups in California. They have significant influence over who gets
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elected in the legislature, who gets elected in city mayor's races, and who gets elected in the governor's seat.
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Tell me your view on the role that labor unions play in California politics today
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and some of this dysfunction in government and unaccountability in spending because I know that this might
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be a very controversial topic to talk about because you don't want to piss off
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the labor unions, but I'd love to hear your your candid views on their role.
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Yeah, let me start by saying I am not afraid to take on any organized interest. And it is not just labor
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though. Let's talk about the role of public sector unions. It's not just
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labor that is highly organized. You have trade associations. You have the doctors
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and the dentists. You have the public sector unions. You have the oil and gas industry. You fi tech has actually been
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late to the party. Tech is starting to organize. So the the way that I look at the landscape in Sacramento, and I think
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it's largely true in Washington as well, is you have wellresourced, highly organized, professional advocacy,
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lobbying, and political operations that essentially defend the status quo. And you are absolutely right that the single
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biggest spender in Sacramento when it comes to advocacy, lobbying, and elections is organized labor and
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particularly public sector unions. Now, I don't think it's a monolith. I have a
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great relationship with our public sector unions. Our building trades want to see the economy grow. So, u many
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unions are very pragmatic and all of them are doing what they're supposed to
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be doing. It's spineless politicians who cave to their aggressive demands who are
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the the root cause of the problem here. So, when the teachers union organizes and says, "We don't want more
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accountability. We don't want to be told to use evidence-based curriculum. We
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don't want more technology in the classroom." whatever it is they may advocate for uh presumably on behalf of
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or at least what they perceive to be the interests of their members. It's our
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elected officials who need to step up and say, "Well, for the good of the community, we're going to push you on
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that. We're not just going to give you a pass. We're not just going to veto that
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legislation or stay quiet when we know that for what we're spending, we aren't
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getting what we should be." We've gotten to the point where Mississippi and
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Louisiana are doing a better job of helping low-income kids get on grade level for reading than we are in the
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very well-resourced, very progressive state of California. That is a function of a system that is more responsive to
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the highly organized interests than the people we're elected to serve. >> Right? That's the fundamental
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dysfunction. U some see it as corruption, and I don't think that's too strong of a word. I don't mean it in the
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narrow sense of anyone breaking the law or or um you know stealing money but but
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the system has become again back to the core point here that the incentives are all wrong. The incentive for an elected
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official is to cater to highly organized interests who disproportionately spend money in elections. Follow what's
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happening up in the legislature. Draft the bill language. Draft the friendly amendments. get legislators to do their
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bidding. And I just I'm running against the system because it doesn't matter if
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you're a Democrat, a Republican, an independent. We need a high functioning government that delivers
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lower housing costs, lower energy costs, better schools, safer neighborhoods, an
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end to street homelessness. We have the resources to do it. What we haven't had
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is the political will and accountability to do it. And I don't think that's a
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partisan point. And frankly, if the Democratic Party doesn't start to wake up and be more responsive to the needs
00:15:55
of our constituents and deliver with the resources we've got, we're going to see
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the pendulum swing all the way the other way and you're going to see a MAGA-like
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movement happen here in California. >> If I look at California, I can understand we're not solving certain
00:16:09
problems, but what I'm trying to grock is how did some of these problems become
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the worst in the nation? So there are statistics and you can debate per capita statistics versus absolute number of
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people but number one in poverty, number one in unemployment, nearly half the nation's homeless live in California.
00:16:27
Yeah. >> How did California go from being bad and not solving these problems to making
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them worse? >> Well, I think you my my grandmother used to always say that the road to hell is
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paved with good intentions. And I do think generally speaking, people have had good intentions but have been
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unwilling to look at data and react when the things that they're championing
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aren't working. On homelessness, we've well, first of all, we've broken the
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housing market, which we should talk about as its own issue. We've also been
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incredibly lax when it comes to dealing with cycles of addiction and mental illness. We've sort of diluted ourselves
00:17:04
into thinking that leaving someone to choose to live however they'd like, even
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if that means suffering in misery on the streets and ultimately dying of an overdose is somehow more important than
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intervening and saving their life. And that's how we've ended up in this
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horrific situation that frankly has been under reportported over the last decade.
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We've had 50,000 people die on our streets in California, about half from overdose and suicide. These are people
00:17:30
with deep behavioral health issues where we're kind of just watching them deteriorate and die because we're so
00:17:38
precious about protecting civil liberties may also be an excuse for not spending money in new ways. In San Jose,
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we had to move away from spending a million dollars a door to build a brand new apartment to get someone off the
00:17:50
streets and pivot to buying sleeping cabins that can be deployed in small communities on publicly owned land
00:17:57
hooked up to utilities. all-in cost of $85,000 a unit. We've added over 2,000
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shelter beds in my first three years as mayor and led the state in reducing unsheltered homelessness. But we had to
00:18:10
overcome an incredible amount of opposition from advocates, affordable housing developers, and and you know,
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much of it well intended, maybe some of it self-interested, but we either are going to be committed to solving the
00:18:23
problem or we're going to cave to highly organized interests or a progressive
00:18:28
ideology that needs to be willing to revise itself when when its ideas and practice aren't working.
00:18:34
>> Yeah. I mean, it just feels some of the policies are just crazy. I always
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commented on the managed alcohol program for homeless in San Francisco. They give
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away free alcohol to alcohol addicted unhoused people. And I can't imagine that that disincentivizes people to
00:18:51
>> No. >> Right. It's it's like you go to you go to San Francisco, you get needles, you
00:18:55
get free alcohol. I mean, you get these things. So, it incentivizes people to to
00:19:00
go to go to San Francisco. The whole thing just seemed absolutely nuts to me. Let's get into the housing question. I
00:19:05
mean, what is the core of the housing affordability problem in California? Is it that we don't have enough houses?
00:19:11
Because I see a lot of homes for lease, a lot of houses for sale, a lot of houses for rent, or is it that we have
00:19:17
regulation that makes it hard to maintain a house and it's expensive? Or is there something else going on that's
00:19:24
making housing unaffordable in California? Like, what's the the core here? >> Look, I I think it's fundamentally a
00:19:31
supply problem. We've seen most recently in Austin. We saw in Seattle, we've seen
00:19:35
dozens of markets around the country that when we remove barriers to the market investing in housing to meet
00:19:41
growing demand, you slow down cost increases. It's economics 101. Part of our challenge is that we've also made it
00:19:50
impossible to build affordably. So, part of the challenge was zoning, high fees,
00:19:55
all of the things government imposes that block housing from getting built. But we also have a building code that's
00:20:02
incredibly cumbersome. We I mentioned litigation earlier when it came to highspeed rail. Same thing is true for
00:20:08
housing. We're not building condos in California, partly because construction
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defect liability allows a trial lawyer to come in in year nine of a project and if they see that the paint is starting
00:20:20
to bubble, they'll file a suit and they they care about the fees. Their incentive is to generate fees. And we've
00:20:28
created a legal framework that allows them to do that. And if you try to change it, the another highly organized
00:20:36
interest in Sacramento, the trial lawyers will push back on that. >> I think this is so important. People
00:20:40
don't understand how expensive. Someone told me it was like a sizable percentage
00:20:45
of GDP in the United States is spent on litigation and trial lawyers and that they are the largest donor in certain uh
00:20:54
state elections all over the country to try and create a legal framework that allows them to pursue litigation and
00:21:00
earn significant fees. I mean, it's a multi multi multi-billion dollar industry.
00:21:04
>> That's right. And California is very much at one end of the spectrum. I I
00:21:07
mean, I've talked to municipal leaders in cities that are settling at such a
00:21:12
high amount for a trip and fall that now they can't afford to maintain the rest
00:21:17
of the sidewalks in the city for the next few years. So, they're going to have more trip and fall cases. We are
00:21:21
going to or at risk of allowing travelers to sue the state into oblivion. So, that is a it is a major
00:21:27
issue. And on condos, it may seem like a peripheral issue, but traditionally that
00:21:32
has been how young people get some equity in society, become a homeowner for the first time and build that nest
00:21:39
egg to eventually perhaps trade up into a town home or a single family home. We've essentially taken that rung of the
00:21:46
ladder away by making it cost prohibitive to build. You good luck getting financing or insurance to build
00:21:52
a new condo building in California right now? >> Right. Is it fair to say we have a
00:21:56
regulation crisis, not a housing crisis in California? I mean, is there a way to
00:22:00
kind of reframe this? I >> I think that's fair. I think regulation, bureaucracy, a a set of codes and laws
00:22:07
that don't work for people and work for the special interests in Sacramento.
00:22:11
>> I interviewed this guy, Adam Corolla. You know him? The >> I know of him. I know.
00:22:15
>> Yeah. Dr. Drew, what was the term he Oh, very inappropriate. He called it
00:22:19
gynofascism. He said that all of the regulatory is a safety thing and it's like a very feminine safety protective
00:22:26
kind of origin in a lot of the regulations that have been passed that make it impossible. Everything's about
00:22:31
safety and more regulation, more regulation, more regulation and as a result you can't get anything done and
00:22:36
the lawyers show up and everything gets sued. What's the right way to think about the origin? Cuz his argument is
00:22:41
that there's a mindset of safety and protectionism that's driven this. Is it
00:22:46
just the trial lawyers or like why does someone keep passing? Why do the legislators keep passing laws over and
00:22:52
over and layers and layers and layers and layers that make it impossible to build and make it super expensive to
00:22:58
maintain because otherwise you'll get sued. >> Yeah. Look, I I would take the the
00:23:01
gender content out of it. But I think the the deeper point that we suffer from safety, it's actually easier to add one
00:23:10
more rule, one more process. I see this play out every day with our city council
00:23:14
at the local level and I think it's even a greater temptation at the state level
00:23:19
where you're not able to point to a concrete service that you're delivering.
00:23:22
So much of the implementation happens at the local level. Every time there is a negative story about something bad
00:23:30
happening in the world, there is an impulse for a legislator to say, "Let's
00:23:36
create a new rule. We could always be a little bit safer. let's let's add
00:23:40
another check, another balance, another process, another rule, another fee, whatever it is. And the reason for that
00:23:48
in my view is that we have not created an incentive structure in government to reward actual performance and outcomes.
00:23:59
And so we are by default rewarding the performiveness of showing that we're doing a lot of activity without a lot of
00:24:06
impact. And I just I think that we have to help voters be smarter about analyzing what their elected officials
00:24:15
are doing and whether or not it's working. That's why I want to be held accountable. I came into office running
00:24:20
on dashboards. I mean, I put up public-f facing dashboards and said, "Here's our
00:24:24
baseline. Here's how we compare to others. Here's the goal we're setting.
00:24:28
We're going to reduce homelessness by 10% year-over-year. We're going to
00:24:31
reduce crime. We're going to remove barriers and get housing built. We're
00:24:34
going to speed up permit reviews. I want to be held publicly accountable because
00:24:38
I would rather, frankly, have a feedback loop with the people whose doors I knocked on than whichever group doesn't
00:24:45
like that we're trying to change something. >> What's your metric for being governor of
00:24:48
California as it relates to housing? What's the dashboard you're going to put
00:24:51
up and what's your goal? >> So, I think that the the ultimate outcome has to be that we're building
00:24:56
more housing, but that we're building it more affordably. We have to pull the
00:25:00
cost out of building because as long as the state of Colorado can build the exact same home at half the cost of what
00:25:06
it what it is in the Bay Area, we're never going to be able to compete. So, I
00:25:10
want to see more housing in absolute terms get built. We need to start moving in a better direction. We've gone from
00:25:16
about 100,000 units a year to about 80,000 a year. You go farther back, it was 150,000 a year.
00:25:21
>> What do you want what do you want to get to in your term? >> I think we need to get we need to get
00:25:24
well over a h 100,000. I think the right way to think about it though is it's
00:25:28
really a ratio with jobs. For every two jobs an economy creates, you need at least one home. Part of the reason the
00:25:34
Bay Area and particularly Silicon Valley is so unaffordable for working people and we're seeing displacement of working
00:25:40
families is that over the last 20 years, this incredible economy here, the engine
00:25:46
of of innovation for our country and really the world has created about eight jobs for every one new home we've built.
00:25:53
That is a completely unsustainable ratio. So, I'm a little hesitant to come out and say we're going to build 10
00:25:58
million homes. I think it's a ratio thing. It's a it's a rate of change. We
00:26:02
need to be building more year-over-year. But importantly, we need to pull back the fees, the long timelines, the overly
00:26:09
complicated building codes. >> So, each of those get a metric. >> Yeah, each of those get a metric because
00:26:14
ultimately the per square foot cost of building needs to go down. >> What does that need to get to? Where is
00:26:18
it today? Where does it need to get to? >> Oh, it varies dramatically by product
00:26:22
type and market. So I don't I mean it's a good question. I think I think we
00:26:25
should we should lay that out. But I just visited a modular construction f factory factory built housing. They can
00:26:32
bring down the cost per unit by 20% speed up overall project timelines by up to 50% by just industrializing the
00:26:40
production of housing. So we need to pull the cost down. We should be able to drop the cost on a per square foot basis
00:26:47
by at least a third with actions that are within our control as regulators. If you become governor, you're going to be
00:26:54
fighting against a legislature that's got all of the various vested interests
00:26:58
tied up in keeping this from happening. How do you take action without partnership with the legislature? Cuz
00:27:04
what I think might be very hard is again to wind things back that all these incentive systems have been created to
00:27:10
to deliver. >> Yeah. >> Are there emergency powers or action you can take as governor that can just say,
00:27:16
you know what, I'm going to fix this in a year or do you have to work with the
00:27:19
legislature to solve these problems? a bit of both. I mean, the the governor has certain levers that are very
00:27:24
powerful driving the budget process. There's the veto, the bully pulpit, just
00:27:27
kind of naming and shaming is really powerful. Executive orders, the the appointments. I mean, the governor
00:27:34
appoints 3,000 people who run all of these commissions that have incredible discretion over how to implement
00:27:41
regulations. But there's no doubt that ultimately you need the legislative branch to to change. And I think that a
00:27:48
lot of Democratic legislators, many of whom I know personally in private, will admit that things are broken, that
00:27:54
things aren't working. There just hasn't been that willingness publicly to name
00:27:59
what is going on, say that the system's broken, the incentives are are completely backwards. I think, you know,
00:28:05
as governor, I'd be in a position to change the conversation, help um either
00:28:10
persuade existing legislators to think differently or elect different legislators. Do you think it's also
00:28:15
because if they're public about it, they'll lose their donors and they'll
00:28:20
lose their donor class that's supporting them? >> Well, it's hard to step out on a limb
00:28:24
without knowing if you're going to have support for it. It is difficult to just
00:28:28
go direct to voters in an environment where money talks. It's a very large state. Uh it's expensive to deliver a
00:28:36
message. Social media has lowered barriers. That's part of my bet is that we can go straight to the voters with
00:28:41
this message and get traction around around the truth around what it takes to actually solve our problems. Uh but it's
00:28:48
it's you know I understand why people go with the sure the sure thing and it's
00:28:53
it's not fun to be labeled. They will call you everything when you fight for
00:28:57
change. You're a corporate sellout. You're um you're racist. You're
00:29:01
whatever. I mean there's always some label that people will ascribe when you
00:29:05
try to fight for change. But I try to stay laser focused on the real world outcomes. Housing costs, energy costs,
00:29:13
quality of schools, public safety, the things that people care about in neighborhoods like the one I grew up in.
00:29:18
That has to be the north star. >> Yeah. What causes homelessness? >> It's a big question. There a few things.
00:29:23
I mean, one, you can't ignore our broken housing market because in places where
00:29:27
housing is cheap and widely available, you can have high rates of addiction and mental illness and most people can
00:29:34
remain indoors even um even with those challenges. You know, typically what happens if you if you actually look at
00:29:41
it as a life cycle issue is someone who's already vulnerable for some reason. could be of their own choosing,
00:29:47
could be circumstances, but job loss, health issues, addiction, mental illness, you know, domestic violence.
00:29:54
There's a range of really awful things that happen to people and that people
00:29:58
sometimes do to themselves. And in these circumstances, if the rent is $3,000 a month, you are just one medical bill,
00:30:08
you know, layoff away from really having, you know, ending up in your car very quickly. and and people working
00:30:15
people in California especially don't have a lot of savings. They don't have
00:30:18
something they can fall back on. So the macro cost structure of California the highest housing costs second highest
00:30:25
energy cost with the highest gas prices which dis disproportionately hurts working people. Um an educational system
00:30:32
that is preparing far too few of our children for the jobs of the future. We can go through that list, but that is
00:30:39
creating these conditions of of sort of vulnerability or fragility that means that people living on the edge are much
00:30:44
more likely to end up in their car. But I would add that we have a massive public policy failure. Not only did we
00:30:51
break the housing production market, which is the macro challenge, but we haven't built shelter and treatment
00:30:56
beds. So for folks for whom an addiction or mental health issue is the the thing
00:31:01
that has them on the edge, we have far fewer beds than other states. And then when people do become homeless, it ought
00:31:07
to be brief and it should not be outdoors. And yet we we lead the nation in unsheltered homelessness. Over 40% of
00:31:15
the people living outside in tents in the entire country live in California, which is only about 12% of the country's
00:31:21
population. We haven't built shelter. We haven't built treatment. We're not doing
00:31:26
what we need to do to rapidly rehouse people, connect them to a case manager, give them tools to turn their lives
00:31:32
around, and hold them accountable for turning their lives around. >> If there's mental illness, should they
00:31:37
be committed to some facility to help them recover from their mental illness? >> Yes. In short, I I think you have to be
00:31:44
able to involuntarily hold people for addiction treatment, mental health care. if they're repeat if someone is
00:31:51
repeatedly refusing help, if they are harming the broader community, which is often the
00:31:57
case, whether that's vandalism, retail theft. It's been a battle here in our
00:32:01
downtown where windows are constantly being broken by people who clearly are suffering from serious addiction and
00:32:07
mental health issues. I think we should give people opportunities to accept help. It needs to be dignified. They
00:32:15
need to be alternatives to the streets. We've stood up over 2,000 indoor placements, interim housing
00:32:21
placements, almost all individual rooms with doors that lock, giving people privacy. These are low barrier
00:32:26
alternatives to the streets. Bring your partner, your pets, your possessions. We're really trying to meet people where
00:32:31
they are. The good news, twothirds of people say yes. The bad news, the other third is so deep in the throws of
00:32:40
addiction to substances like meth and fentanyl that they can't make a rational
00:32:45
decision about their own self-care. I believe that that is that it is not compassionate or progressive to leave
00:32:51
them to endlessly cycle between streets, emergency rooms, jails, and ultimately die of an overdose. I think we have a
00:32:58
moral duty to intervene, help them detox and get connected to a counselor and give them a chance to turn their lives
00:33:05
around. Drugs are coming from somewhere fueling this crisis. Can the governor address the drug crisis? Can the
00:33:12
governor get drugs off the street, arrest drug dealers? Is that a federal issue? How do we resolve the fueling of
00:33:18
fentinyl, methamphetamines, prescription painkillers, etc. that have made their way onto the street?
00:33:23
>> It has to be all levels of government, all hands on deck. So much law enforcement is done at the local level.
00:33:28
We have a police department with about a thousand officers out on the street enforcing local laws. They're on the
00:33:34
front lines of this crisis as are our firefighters, social workers. Certainly having federal federal tools and um and
00:33:42
and state u we have the National Guard, we have CHP, we have a variety of of tools here. What I do know though is
00:33:50
that we can reduce demand by intervening in public drug use and getting people into treatment and holding them
00:33:58
accountable for turning their lives around. If we get people into recovery, that's one more customer not available
00:34:05
out on the streets to buy these dangerous products. >> And how many times do they cycle through
00:34:09
before they have to be held more permanently? >> Well, I think it has to scale up over
00:34:13
time. And with Prop 36, I was the first Democratic mayor in the state to come out in support of Prop 36. The rule of
00:34:19
thumb there is on your third public drug offense, you can be given a choice between treatment and incarceration. And
00:34:26
that's bringing a consequence to a decision that doesn't just affect you.
00:34:30
We can talk about civil liberties, but when you are actively choosing not to engage in treatment, you are more often
00:34:37
than not creating imposing real costs, real harm on the broader community. We've seen businesses shutter in our
00:34:43
downtowns, parks where families can't play. So we >> It's direct and indirect.
00:34:47
>> That's right. >> And I think a lot of people don't account for that, which is critical. I
00:34:50
want to shift topics to energy costs. There's an Iran war going on. So there's
00:34:55
an acute spike in energy gas prices in the state, but over the last number of years, California Governor Nuomo and the
00:35:01
state legislature have pursued an effort to drive green energy policy in the state. California has a 70 cents per
00:35:09
gallon roughly tax rate. The California price for gasoline this week is $5.50 compared to 350 in the rest of the
00:35:18
country. Did we get it wrong? Should we have taken a different path in the state
00:35:22
versus fighting for green, chasing Chevron out of the state. Chevron's now relocated to Houston. They're shutting
00:35:26
down the largest refinery on the West Coast because of the policies and the the bureaucracy. And you know, how do we
00:35:33
balance this climate change green interest? with the real hard cost for everyone on the price of living in the
00:35:39
state. >> Yeah, I do think we've gotten our regulatory solution here approach wrong.
00:35:45
I would reject the notion that it's either or. I don't think it has to be. I
00:35:48
think innovation is the is the middle path, the way to do both. Look, Texas is providing dramatically cheaper power
00:35:56
that is cleaner than California. You see places like China leaning heavily into solar, wind, storage, EVs. the the path
00:36:05
is investment in innovation in infrastructure, a smarter grid. What we've done in California is is another
00:36:13
classic case of well-intended regulations leading to massive unintended consequences. Let's just take
00:36:19
the example of our refineries. The state has lost most of its refineries over the
00:36:25
last decade because we have intentionally regulated them out of out of existence. And so what's actually
00:36:33
happened is we still import oil and gas. We've just pushed refineries. We have
00:36:39
the cleanest, best regulated refineries with some of the highest paying jobs in the sector. We pushed that out of state.
00:36:46
Now we're importing the same amount of gas from thousands of miles away. It is
00:36:51
dirtier. It has a bigger carbon footprint. We lost those good, high-paying jobs. We lost the tax base
00:36:57
of those companies paying local taxes. It has been a hit on every level. And actually because climate and climate
00:37:03
change is a global phenomenon, we we have not actually made the we've actually made the problem worse while
00:37:08
hurting ourselves economically. So that's the opposite of what we need. We need win wins. We should be paying EV
00:37:14
owners today in the middle of the day, strongly incentivizing them to charge their vehicles in the middle of the day
00:37:20
when power is so cheap and abundant in California that we sometimes pay Arizona to take our excess solar and then have
00:37:27
them plug in at night to power the grid and get through that roughly 5:00 p.m. to 900 p.m. evening peak where we've got
00:37:34
to start firing up gas power plants because there just isn't enough power on
00:37:38
the grid. So, we need to be smarter. We need to invest in innovation and infrastructure, not regulate energy
00:37:45
sources out of state that we still rely upon. >> But it's hard. So now we've got the 70
00:37:49
cents a gallon tax in California. The legislators passed a series of bills to to make that tax go up and up and up.
00:37:56
Now they're talking about increasing it even further. >> It's the most regressive tax imaginable
00:38:00
because it's even worse than a sales tax, which is already fairly regressive.
00:38:04
But as you know, higher income, wealthier people have already adopted EVs. They're they're not paying this
00:38:11
tax. It's working folks, particularly in towns like Watsonville where I grew up.
00:38:15
I mean, when I was in high school, I had to go 50 miles one way for high school.
00:38:19
My parents went 50 miles the other way for their jobs. And so, it disproportionately hurts working people.
00:38:24
My proposal is that we to start temporarily suspend our gas tax to provide immediate relief to working
00:38:31
families who are paying the price for a war that they didn't ask for and they're
00:38:35
disproportionately paying the price. I would temporarily suspend it, but we have to be intellectually honest about
00:38:41
this. It is our primary source of revenue for paving and maintaining roads and our transportation infrastructure.
00:38:50
We will need to shift how we do this rather than being a gas tax. First of all, the general fund is up 75% in the
00:38:59
last 6 years. So, I'm pretty confident that in a state that's spending $350
00:39:03
billion, we can afford to pave our roads without punishing working families. But
00:39:08
I also think over time, as EV adoption increases, we'll have to find a smarter
00:39:12
way of charging a basic user fee so that people who use the roads pay to maintain
00:39:17
them. One of the other big costs in California related to housing and related to this climate change question
00:39:23
is the cost of insurance for your home. We had this massive wildfire that spread
00:39:29
destroyed a large part of areas in Los Angeles last year and as a result many of the home insurance companies have
00:39:36
left the state. I just lost coverage on my home because I live near a bunch of trees. So my house is deemed too risky
00:39:42
to have coverage. And I'm fortunate in that I don't have a mortgage that I've
00:39:47
got to deal with the loss of of insurance coverage. But this is becoming an increasing burden for the state of
00:39:53
California because the states had to step in >> and create a bigger and bigger insurance
00:39:57
pool that financially and accounting wise the state can't really afford. How
00:40:01
do we solve this problem of the cost of homeowners insurance? What's the right
00:40:05
structural solution here for either incentivizing the return of insurance companies creating an insurance pool
00:40:10
that's well capitalized and can actually afford to make the payouts instead of
00:40:14
needing to go to the federal government when there's a crisis and ask for a bailout? How do we fix this problem in
00:40:18
California? I think there are a few components to the strategy going forward here. Uh number one, we have to rebuild
00:40:25
the private marketplace. 90% of homeowners, maybe more, can be covered by private insurance affordably,
00:40:33
and we have to rebuild that part of the market by bringing them back, allowing them to appropriately price risk, and
00:40:39
creating more granularity. If you're willing, and you may not be, but if you're willing to remove those trees
00:40:44
within 100 ft of your home, you should pay a lower premium. If you prefer to have the trees there, you should pay the
00:40:50
higher premium. So more granular pricing, allowing appropriate pricing of risk is is just really important. Now,
00:40:57
for the 5 to 10% of homes that are up in heav, you know, in the in the in the hills, heavily wooded areas where
00:41:05
there's lots of vegetation, we'll have to have higher, first of all, when you build, there's a question of
00:41:11
how much more we should be able to build out there. Probably not a lot. what materials you use, they need to be fire
00:41:16
resistant and you'll have to pay much higher insurance just to cover the true
00:41:21
cost of of the likelihood of a fire and the cost of replacement. The other piece
00:41:25
of this though is the state has to take more ownership for vegetation management. We spend $8 in fire response
00:41:35
and recovery for every $1 we spend on prevention. And there are plenty of urbanized areas that are at risk because
00:41:42
they're proximate to dense vegetation that the state has not taken ownership
00:41:46
for clearing. And yes, it should be in partnership with the federal government. If they're federal lands, we should hold
00:41:51
the federal government accountable for doing it. But I just toured Altadena and Palisades, met with the homeowners there
00:41:56
who are incredibly frustrated about the lack of rebuilding. No one is quarterbacking this. And if you go walk
00:42:04
the palisades today, you will see once again vegetation that's 5t tall that hasn't been managed in an area where
00:42:10
people are trying to rebuild their homes. So the state has to step up. As governor, I would create a a task force
00:42:18
that just focuses on fixing the insurance market. And if the state will invest in vegetation management to
00:42:24
reduce the risk of catastrophic loss, you're going to see premiums go down over the long term. I mean, I I think
00:42:29
it's insane that the state sets rates and then tells the insurance companies
00:42:33
how much to charge and assumes they're going to stick around and keep charging
00:42:35
it. If they can't make money doing it, why not let the market decide? There's
00:42:38
hundreds of insurance companies that if they were able to set their own rates and not have to have the state dictate
00:42:43
the rate, they would compete for and price would come down. This idea that the state should be determining what
00:42:49
companies should charge for anything is a problem. But fundamentally in the insurance markets, it's literally chased
00:42:55
every insurer out of the state. I just don't understand like how this >> Yeah, these kinds of obvious don't work
00:43:01
in practice as we've seen. And when I that's what I mean by saying we have to
00:43:05
be able to appropriately price risk. Insurance companies need to be able to charge rates that reflect the true risk
00:43:11
and cost. I think they should be strongly incentivized if not held accountable for allowing homeowners to
00:43:17
adopt best practices and thereby reduce their premiums. And I think there's a
00:43:23
subset of folks who may need to be on and pay into a public option of some kind because they just won't be covered
00:43:29
by the market or perhaps they have to choose that based on where they live they won't have insurance. I I don't
00:43:34
know. But I don't think you can force everybody else to pay exorbitant rates
00:43:39
to ensure that we cover the last riskiest home that's going to be the most expensive to cover.
00:43:44
>> Yeah. >> It's just it's an illogical setup. >> Well, look, let's shift to one of the
00:43:48
other big liability questions in the state. It's the one I care not I wouldn't say the most, but it's one that
00:43:54
I've observed may end up being a big driver for what's ahead for us. California's public employee retirement
00:43:59
system. So, Kalpers and Calsters, they provide the retirement benefits to roughly 3 million California public
00:44:06
workers. And there's roughly a trillion dollars of capital in those two investment funds that are meant to
00:44:12
support those retirees. They've been making about 7% a year compared to the S&P making 11% a year. And the current
00:44:19
accounting estimates that they're going to be short by some estimates 250 to30
00:44:23
billion by other estimates as high as a trillion dollars in the years ahead in paying out the benefits that they're
00:44:29
legally obligated to pay to public employees as they retire. And you can't just change those benefits. There's a
00:44:35
state supreme court case that's made that known that you can't go in and
00:44:40
rescend benefits that you've promised someone. So you are stuck with that liability. And because they're public
00:44:45
entities, California's state taxpayer is ultimately going to be stuck with a
00:44:50
trillion dollar liability if that's what it comes to. How do we fix this frigin
00:44:54
problem? >> Yeah, I'm worried about it as well and I'm intimately uh familiar with it
00:44:58
because we've had to tackle pension reform in San Jose. We were sort of the canary in the coal mine quite a few
00:45:04
years ago as our unfunded pension liabilities began eating up our general fund. Even today after pension reform,
00:45:13
19% of our general fund in San Jose this year goes to paying an unfunded pension
00:45:20
liability. That just comes off the top. That is one out of every $5 goes first to our obligation to retirees. And
00:45:27
again, I don't blame the retirees or those who advocated. politicians who didn't do the math, didn't recognize
00:45:33
when the math wasn't working out, and swept it under the rug because they knew
00:45:37
they'd be long gone by the time uh the the bill came due. And so, look, there's
00:45:43
there's really only two options here. One is to move toward a defined contribution model as we have in the
00:45:51
private sector. You see all over the world, the employer and the employee pay in. It's put in the market. It needs to
00:45:59
grow over time. people need to calculate their savings and their >> you see your account you track it
00:46:04
>> you track it you can up your contribution level if we were to move to that uh the private sector I'm sorry the
00:46:11
public sector would need to be a a strong match and I I think the challenge is this I don't think politically that's
00:46:18
likely to happen what we've done in San Jose which could be a roadmap for the
00:46:22
state is we negotiated well we had to go to the ballot we went to there were lawsuits it was a very messy process I
00:46:29
think it needs to be better handled. But effectively, we created a a different pension system for new employees that
00:46:36
said, "As you come in, this is what a right-sized pension system needs to look
00:46:39
like. We're going to have the employee and the employer pay in more upfront.
00:46:44
We will be more realistic about the returns we're expecting. We'll adjust
00:46:49
over time faster if the returns are underperforming. We've brought in better
00:46:54
fund managers who get who are heavily incentivized to make smart investments and grow the the the investment. And
00:47:01
then most importantly, if our if the returns fall short, the the delta, the gap is covered 5050 by the city, meaning
00:47:12
the taxpayers and the employee in terms of loss benefits. So there's shared pain
00:47:18
on the backside if we miss our targets. And what do we do for what we have now? >> Well, well, what that has allowed us to
00:47:23
do because of the legal limitations that you've mentioned is, and I'm not saying
00:47:27
it's perfect, but this is just legally and politically what we were able to get
00:47:32
to was the best outcome we were able to get, is that we're on a long glide path
00:47:36
of paying off all of the the the unfunded liabilities for the tier one employees, all of those older employees.
00:47:43
It's a 20 year process. By the early 2040s, San Jose will have cleared the debt. our general funds going to be
00:47:50
flushed. We're going to be increasing staffing and service levels and and you'll start to feel that here much
00:47:56
sooner. We are actually roughly at peak cost for unfunded liabilities today because we took the medicine and now
00:48:02
we'll start that slow glide path where each year there'll be a little more room
00:48:06
in our general fund because we actually bit the bullet and took this on. Well, I
00:48:09
think that's like how do you fund that glide path? It may be the case that our
00:48:14
budget has some margin for error, let's say, because of how much we're spending.
00:48:19
Let's just do the statistics. California Governor Nuome has proposed a $349 billion budget this year in the state.
00:48:26
That's up from 209 billion. So almost 2x 60% 70% 80% more 75% more than the year
00:48:34
before co. And that's up from 110 billion 10 years prior. So we went from 110 to 350. 3 and a halfx is how much
00:48:42
we're spending since, you know, feels like yesterday, like just a couple years
00:48:47
ago. Yeah. Despite having the nation's highest tax rates, the largest revenue
00:48:51
base, we're still looking this year at a $35 billion deficit California state
00:48:57
budget. What happened? Like, how did this get so bad? And how much of this do you think is this term of fraud, waste,
00:49:06
you know, abuse? Like, where is this money going? Well, part of what we've done is something we talked about
00:49:13
earlier, which is we have increased our our pay for public sector employees and our our pension obligations and and post
00:49:22
retirement health benefits at a faster rate than we could actually afford. And we haven't been honest with ourselves
00:49:29
about that. Part of where the money's gone though is is is really just a sprawling
00:49:35
bureaucracy that when we in good years have more money, we create new programs. We add headcount. The state's population
00:49:42
has stayed flat over the last six years. Spending is up 75% as you point out, and
00:49:49
headcount in state employees is up, I believe, over 20%. So, we're we're
00:49:54
adding more state workers. We're pouring more money into public programs that
00:49:59
aren't starting from the premise of what is the outcome we need and how do we
00:50:02
most efficiently get there. I mean, it's time for California to go through an
00:50:07
exercise of zerobased budgeting and say what are the outcomes we need and are we
00:50:11
actually spending dollars to achieve those outcomes or are we just funding a sprawling bloated bureaucracy where it's
00:50:17
just easier to add 2% 3% headcount every year, give everybody a 4% raise and call
00:50:23
it a day. And I think it's it's that's generally been the approach is whenever
00:50:26
revenue is up, we just kind of give everybody a raise, hire more people, initiate a few new programs. We never go
00:50:31
back to basics and say, well, this is if these are the resources we have and these are the outcomes we need, are we
00:50:37
really optimizing our spend for those outcomes? And the answer is no, we're not. Can you do that riff restructuring
00:50:44
zerobased budgeting as governor or do you need to do this in partnership with the legislature that all has their
00:50:49
special programs that they fired up where money's flowing to their local county, money's flowing to their
00:50:54
friends, money's flowing to their donors? How do you actually execute this? I think yeah, as I said before, I I
00:51:01
think electing a pragmatic, independent-minded governor who's willing to who understands this problem
00:51:08
and is willing to tackle it is step one and is necessary but insufficient. Ultimately, we have to build a more
00:51:16
moderate coalition of legislators who understand how broken the system is, who are willing to do to do hard things. I
00:51:24
don't I don't think that this just happens overnight, but the governor has
00:51:26
a lot of tools that he or she can choose to use that, you know, you do drive the
00:51:32
budget process. Ultimately, you need legislative support for it. You have the bully pulpit. You have the ability to
00:51:38
manage state agencies in a very different way. The governor appoints 3,000 people to run state bureaucracies
00:51:43
that can either come in with the mindset of business as usual. I'm going to sit
00:51:47
behind a desk. We're processoriented. Or can be held accountable and maybe it
00:51:52
should be 3,000 employees. Maybe we should slim how many people it is, but can be told here are the outcomes we
00:51:57
need. Tell us, you know, go ground truth these. Go down to the local level, spend
00:52:03
time with the school boards, the cities, and the counties where all the money actually meets the constituent where the
00:52:07
rubber hits the road and come back with answers on how to reform these systems to get more for what we're spending. And
00:52:15
if you can't hit more aggressive goals, we'll bring in someone else who can. We
00:52:19
need a different mindset for how we operate our government agencies. >> What you're saying is starkly different
00:52:24
from what others are saying. And one of the biggest points that others are making right now is that they want to
00:52:28
increase programs and increase spending particularly in healthcare. So what's
00:52:33
your view on government provided health care? Should all healthcare in California be free? There's a big
00:52:39
movement, a big legislative effort to try and make this the case. Does this make economic sense? Can we afford it?
00:52:44
How do we actually do it? or do you think that this should remain a private market effort?
00:52:48
>> I don't think it's realistic for California to create a um a single
00:52:55
staterun free healthc care for all system. I just I I don't understand. I I know my uh many of my opponents in my
00:53:04
party, Democratic party, are proposing this. I think we have a pretty good sense of how to reduce cost. We just
00:53:12
have to be willing to do it. price transparency and competition could bring down costs in health care by 5 to 10%.
00:53:21
Preventative care, we should be incentivizing insurers and and um health providers for
00:53:30
helping someone get healthier and reducing their overall demand on the system over the course of their
00:53:35
lifetimes. things that may seem small, but getting a hundred thousand plus people off of our streets and into
00:53:42
shelter dramatically reduces the burden on our health care system. I I just I I think that prevention take another one.
00:53:52
Nurse practitioners can do so much more than we often allow them to do, which again is a function of this
00:53:58
behind-the-scenes negotiation in Sacramento over what are doctors allowed to do, what can nurses do. nurse
00:54:03
practitioners providing preventative upstream care in clinics in communities can be far more effective at preventing
00:54:10
long-term chronic illness than what we do today, which is end up with everybody in the emergency room needing care after
00:54:16
they're already really sick. So, we need to restructure our health care system.
00:54:20
California should be demanding and investing in innovation and better ways of doing things and bend the cost curve,
00:54:27
not fall back on this lazy answer that we're just going to find a way to raise
00:54:31
taxes more to fund free services that will ultimately break just break the bank.
00:54:38
>> You've been criticized by many for being against the billionaire tax. I think
00:54:41
you're the only candidate running for governor right now that has spoken out
00:54:45
against it. I've heard your comments on it obviously. I think I was probably the
00:54:49
first to identify it and bring it up on my show when it first came out the day it was filed. For me, it's fundamental
00:54:55
to private property rights. If you can take people's assets after they've paid
00:54:59
taxes on it, there's no stopping that train. I mean, why not take everyone's
00:55:03
assets at some point? Like that, you know, you pay your income tax, that's your private property, you get to keep
00:55:08
it. Shouldn't be that the legislature can later say, "I'll take 10% of what
00:55:12
you own." That just seems wrong to me. Do you think we need to have a continued
00:55:16
increase? Like do you think we need to maintain the temporary high income taxes in California? What's your general view
00:55:22
on revenue? We've talked a lot about you think hey, you know, we don't need to
00:55:25
rely on growing revenue, but based on the current tax system in California, what else do you think needs to change
00:55:31
or do you think it's just like let's leave it as is, no billionaire tax, no
00:55:35
new taxes, but let's just not go back. >> Yeah, let me say a couple things. one, I
00:55:38
I think where this push is coming from is a deep concern about economic inequality and declining social
00:55:47
mobility. And I think these are >> real issues. I am worried about economic
00:55:53
inequality. I think in the long run it's a threat to democracy. I think there are
00:55:58
a number of better solutions to this than the proposed wealth tax which is as you point out say aside even the
00:56:05
philosophic arguments it simply won't work certainly not at the state level half the people I know have already left
00:56:11
the state >> right we've seen over a trillion dollars of capital flight our ongoing revenue
00:56:16
going forward is now going to be lower that the dirty secret of this proposal is that it won't be the billionaires who
00:56:22
pay higher taxes it'll be middle class and working families who are left holding the bag. So that mean that's why
00:56:28
I just immediately felt that I had to say something because it's working people who are going to be hurt by this.
00:56:35
It's not going to be billionaires. They're the most mobile people in society. Um so look, I I think first of
00:56:41
all there are things we can do to make the tax code uh fair. I think there's a
00:56:45
legitimate debate about what should the absolute rate of capital gains tax be. There's the phenomenon of very wealthy
00:56:50
individuals borrowing against uh appreciated assets where you're not you're sort of you're effectively
00:56:56
avoiding paying capital gains. I think that's a loophole we can close. There's
00:57:01
the step up in basis upon death. I'm not sure that um it's very fair for
00:57:06
somebody. Well, let me just use an example. I'll just say this. I don't think Elon Musk should be able to pass
00:57:10
on $500 billion of appreciated but untaxed stock wealth to his children. And the moment that they inherit it,
00:57:19
it's rebased at current market value and no one ever pays the capital gains on
00:57:22
it. I mean, there there are a lot of things we can do to capture billions in revenue to close loopholes in the tax
00:57:28
code. This is of all the proposals, the the worst, the least likely to work, the
00:57:32
most likely to hurt working people. But I also think we have to acknowledge in a
00:57:36
state that keeps asking for more before we do better, we we've got to acknowledge that social mobility is down
00:57:44
because of po public policy failures first and foremost, public schools that aren't performing, housing that isn't
00:57:50
affordable, energy that isn't affordable. We when half of people sorry when most Californians are spending over
00:57:57
a third of their income on housing many spending over half of their income on housing that hit social mobility a lot
00:58:05
more than the fact that the tech sector has had a bunch of growth. It's just
00:58:11
these are fundamental public policy failures and the sooner we own them and think differently about our regulatory
00:58:18
environment and our policies so we start fixing them the the better for California, the better for the
00:58:24
Democratic party. Uh most importantly, the better for the people we serve. But what you're saying makes a lot of sense,
00:58:30
but I think people hate other people's success. I think there's a lot that's
00:58:34
been going on, this fueling that's going on with the lack of social mobility, but
00:58:38
seeing a small segment of the population accelerate. Technology's really had that
00:58:42
driven that. I'll be the first to admit there's a small population in California
00:58:45
that's done extremely well while most of Californians have been left behind. Do
00:58:50
you think you're electable in a sense? I mean, you're not fueling the populist
00:58:54
sentiment that I think every one of your candidates has found they can tap into and uh that may put you at a big
00:58:59
disadvantage in this race. Look, I I do think we we need to take economic inequality and social mobility much more
00:59:07
seriously than we have. I think we need to ask and ultimately demand our um our wealthiest individuals, our tech sector,
00:59:17
industries that do well to be structured in a way that works for people. Um I I'm
00:59:23
curious what you think. Maybe I'll turn the tables for a moment. I think that we
00:59:27
need a shared prosperity that includes people having some sort of equity from or more direct benefit in the incredible
00:59:39
gains that tech has produced. AI is scaring a lot of people because it could lead to the elimination of jobs, further
00:59:47
concentration of wealth. What do you think is the appropriate role for the tech sector and those who have profited
00:59:54
immensely from it to ensuring a level playing field or at least you know some some notion some semblance of of
01:00:00
equality of opportunity? >> That's a longer conversation but I do think giving more people more ownership
01:00:06
is important but I'm not sure people are going to want to or need to work at big
01:00:11
companies anymore with AI. the longer conversation. But in the same way that Instagram,
01:00:18
Shopify, Etsy created a Tik Tok created new jobs almost like new roles, new ways
01:00:25
that people could earn. >> Yeah. >> I think AI is going to create a thousand
01:00:28
times more new ways for people to earn than they do today. And they're not going to have to have the job that they
01:00:34
feel like they're stuck with today. And AI is actually going to accelerate more
01:00:37
people up the ladder faster than anyone's really realizing. And I can give you countless examples of this that
01:00:43
I've seen recently, but I think we're all going to wake up pretty happy with
01:00:46
the next advance in in economic mobility that's going to be unleashed because of
01:00:49
AI, not in spite of it. I hope that's true. It's a very optimistic read. I do
01:00:54
think my read of history is that technological change while ultimately producing greater abundance, if you
01:00:59
will, often is really hard on people. And that's why in in San Jose at least,
01:01:05
we've done we've created AI upskilling courses for our workers. We've gotten AI
01:01:10
companies to come into our libraries and provide tools and training. We're really
01:01:15
trying to figure out how we lower barriers to learning how to use these tools, apply them in people's lives,
01:01:20
start those new businesses, create the new jobs of the future. >> The cool thing is AI can teach people
01:01:25
how to use AI. >> That's true. >> Which is where where I I'm starting to
01:01:28
see a lot of people learn how to use these tools on their own by asking the AI and engaging. And then there's almost
01:01:35
like you watching people get knocked down like bowling pins in terms of wo that wo
01:01:46
moment that I've I've been vis like visibly seeing people just in the last
01:01:49
couple months >> is making me very optimistic. >> That's good. It does though get back to
01:01:54
this basic point that we need our public education system to teach people to think critically. When half of our kids
01:02:00
aren't on grade level for reading or math proficiency, it's going to be very
01:02:04
hard for them to be lifelong learners. >> I mean, curiosity and asking questions
01:02:09
and learning how to think, not teaching them knowledge is a massive problem that
01:02:13
we're dealing with in education in the United States, in my opinion, on its own. Kids are not being taught how to
01:02:18
question, how to build. They're being taught facts. Those facts are irrelevant
01:02:22
because they all exist in AI. Now you don't need to know all those facts. You
01:02:26
It's good to have basis. But what are you really trying to get? A curious mind, an engineering mind, a creative
01:02:31
mind, a thoughtful mind, and teach individuals agency in a world where they have infinite capacity. That's what AI
01:02:37
gives all of us. >> But what do you think of Donald Trump? >> I'm not a fan.
01:02:41
Um, my concern with Donald Trump, even if he may get certain issues right, I think he's channeled the
01:02:51
frustration of working Americans who feel that they've been left behind, is that I don't believe he really
01:02:57
understands what makes our country great. I think that he has created a lot of fear and division around immigration.
01:03:06
doesn't recognize how many people we have had in this country in part because
01:03:10
both Democrats and Republicans wanted access to cheap labor in places like Watsonville where I grew up who have
01:03:15
been here 20 30 years working hard paying their taxes otherwise playing by the rules raising children who are US
01:03:21
citizens who are now living in in terror because they're worried their families
01:03:25
going to get ripped apart. Um, I I don't understand and don't support this war in
01:03:30
Iran that I think is a huge uh huge blunder and it's going to drive up energy costs and it's it's not clear to
01:03:36
me why we're losing American lives over there. Um, I just, you know, I think
01:03:41
tariffs, yes, I do believe China, this is something I think he's gotten right,
01:03:45
has been competing unfairly with the US. I think a targeted approach to tariffs,
01:03:51
focusing on that issue would have made a lot more sense than the general inflation we've seen. So, I mean, I
01:03:57
could go issue by issue, but I just I worry mostly about the health of our democracy. I think it requires a um a
01:04:05
real honest dialogue, a respect for rule of law and the independent judiciary. Um I just yeah I have deep concerns that
01:04:14
this not just populist but um reactionary quasi authoritarian rhetoric and mindset is the outcome of
01:04:26
declining trust in government when we don't hold ourselves accountable for delivering for working people. I think
01:04:33
it's predictable and I think you're seeing an equal and even um I'd say
01:04:38
equally risky rise in populism on the left in reaction and these two are playing off one of one another. And part
01:04:43
of the reason I jumped into this race was to offer a third way, a pragmatic alternative. I'm a I'm a Democrat, but I
01:04:51
also recognize that something's broken in California. The incentives are all
01:04:57
wrong. The highly organized interests in Sacramento are being taken care of. Sacramento is working great for highly
01:05:04
organized interests. It is not working great for regular people. And I think the best antidote to that is to get back
01:05:11
to basics, be competent, be data driven, deliver results for people because I'm
01:05:16
worried that if we don't, we're going to see this epic populist battle on the
01:05:21
right and the left where people are offering really easy answers, not the honest answers that we need. rate
01:05:27
Governor Nuome and the job he's done as governor of California. >> I think Governor Nuomoe has been a bull
01:05:32
work against some of the worst ideas coming out of the legislature. You mentioned that he's vetoed 10 to 15% of
01:05:39
the bills coming out of the legislature. Uh many of those vetos I agree with and
01:05:45
I think have averted um real harm. I my my critique has been around not doing enough to take on the
01:05:54
entrenched interests in Sacramento and uh and we've we've disagreed very
01:06:01
publicly on certain policy issues, Prop 36, recovery housing, um some energy policy points, but it's
01:06:10
it's always I mean I try to attack problems, not people. I'm not really interested in, you know, evaluating
01:06:17
somebody's intentions or or or their ideology so much as the results of their
01:06:22
actions. And I think he's done some really good things. Uh I also think he he could do even more. And that's been
01:06:29
my appeal to him is let's work together to drive even more change faster. But
01:06:35
some of the things he's brought forward like care court, right idea. Now we need
01:06:39
to execute it. We need to actually make sure that care court's actually getting
01:06:42
people with addiction and mental illness into care. I think he's got the right
01:06:45
right idea, right intention, but we've got to follow through and as governor, I
01:06:49
would make sure that Prop 36, Prop 1, Care Court, uh number of things he's put
01:06:54
in place are actually used to deliver the intended outcome. >> Governor Newim's put out a lot of these
01:06:58
memes kind of making fun of Donald Trump by doing tweets sort of like the way Trump does truth social posts and yeah
01:07:06
and so on. It's very antagonistic to the president, at least publicly antagonistic. At the same time,
01:07:11
California relies on federal funding and requires a lot of federal cooperation, a
01:07:14
lot of federal land in the state. How would you interact with President Trump and talk a little bit about how the the
01:07:20
governor has interacted with President Trump publicly? >> Look, I understand what the governor's
01:07:25
doing. He's, you know, been holding a mirror up to Donald Trump and um both fighting for California's values,
01:07:34
which I appreciate. I think there's also just back to incentives. I mean, he's
01:07:38
he's running for president and and that's where I think this approach is
01:07:43
coming from. I would take a different approach in the sense that as governor focused on
01:07:50
delivering for Californians, I will fight the Trump administration through through the courts, through the bully
01:07:57
pulpit whenever necessary to protect our values, to protect our people, to protect state funding. I also think
01:08:04
though that we need to find places where we can achieve a win-win with the federal administration. I'll give you
01:08:12
the example that's top of mind for me. I just spent time walking through Altadena, the Palisades where people
01:08:18
have lost everything, over 10,000 homes lost between the two. People are desperate to rebuild. They're not
01:08:26
getting the help that they need. And part of the reason they're not getting the help that they need is this
01:08:30
hyperartisanship in which uh California and Washington are fighting rhetorically and
01:08:38
politically and the people who are being hurt are the families who have lost their homes who are waiting on the $40
01:08:44
billion of federal aid that's been promised and that if it weren't for this
01:08:49
political battle would have already flowed to help those neighborhoods rebuild. And I just as governor, yeah, I
01:08:57
I will absolutely fight for our values, but I'm committed to fixing our problems, which means finding a way to
01:09:04
make it a win for this president and this administration to rebuild Los Angeles. That we have to put the people
01:09:10
before our politics. And as it relates to ICE and immigration enforcement, do you consider undocumented immigrants in
01:09:19
the state of California individuals that you would represent as governor? Is it part of your job to protect undocumented
01:09:26
immigrants who came here illegally that ICE would like to remove? >> Yes, unless they're committing serious
01:09:32
and violent crime. Look, if you're here, you're not documented, you're committing
01:09:37
violent felonies, I think you should be deported. But like many of the people I grew up with, if you were
01:09:45
essentially if ta maybe tacitly welcomed here because we had an a industry or a construction industry that needed
01:09:52
lowcost labor and you came, started a family, started working, paid taxes, raising kids here who were born here who
01:10:01
were US citizens. The only practical and ethical solution is for parties to put the hyperartisanship aside, come
01:10:09
together, and come to a grand bargain in which we secure the border. We deport those committing violent crime who are
01:10:15
undocumented, and we create a pathway to a legal to some sort of legal status. If
01:10:20
citizenship is a bridge too far for that older generation that came earlier, so be it. But their kids are US citizens
01:10:27
and they deserve to still live with their parents. And I think we've got to find that the the approach that respects
01:10:34
people's humanity and is practical and ethical. And I'm incredibly disappointed, frankly, with both parties
01:10:41
for years of kicking the can down the road. And I will absolutely stand up to protect undocumented residents who are
01:10:49
playing by the rules, who are doing the most American thing. And I get all the I
01:10:53
get all the arguments around lawful immigration. Let's secure the border and
01:10:57
set up a proper system of lawful immigration going forward. and not create a bad incentive. So, let's do
01:11:03
that and then create this pathway to legal status. But what we've seen play out in in Minneapolis is horrible for
01:11:11
the country. We're seeing citizens arrested, even killed. This is this is not this is not working and I don't
01:11:17
think it's ethical. >> Let me give you the push back that the Republican party leadership would would
01:11:21
give, which is that many of these individuals will end up voting for Democrats. Vast majority of them will
01:11:27
vote for Democrats and that the border was opened. They were allowed in here and now this inevitable due to
01:11:32
humanitarian conditions path forward to citizenship will ultimately increase the
01:11:36
Democratic party's voting base and lock them into power in DC, lock them into
01:11:40
power in these states, turn more states blue, etc. How do you respond to that concern and push back? Put the
01:11:46
humanitarian piece aside, but that the reason the border and every Democrat I ask about this cannot answer the
01:11:51
question, why was the border opened? Was it to lower labor costs? Was there some
01:11:56
other reason that we did it? Was it to increase the voting base? I mean, what was the motivation and how do we address
01:12:01
the response that's going to come for the many years ahead from a Republican
01:12:05
party that's going to have issue with this? >> So, my sense growing up in an in an a
01:12:09
town that historically has probably been about a third undocumented is that the primary incentive for the
01:12:17
parties to not solve this problem is that a lot of people became very wealthy. A lot of industries did very
01:12:23
well by having access to lowcost abundant labor and plenty of the business interests that did really well
01:12:31
in a construction and other otherwise I mean historically this would have been say meat the meat packing industry right
01:12:38
um they're donors to the Republican party. So I think both sides have been complicit. I think the back to
01:12:44
incentives, I think Democrats and Republicans have played to their base and actually been politically
01:12:49
incentivized to not solve the problem. And as a pragmatic moderate, my approach is to say you're both wrong, but there's
01:12:58
something true in what you're both saying. Republicans are right that we should be able we should know who and
01:13:04
what comes in and out of the country. We should have a secure border and we should take away any incentive for
01:13:09
people to come here illegally, especially in a moment where uh we've got a fentanyl crisis. We've got
01:13:16
international terrorism. We've got nukes that are getting smaller and smaller. We
01:13:21
should have border security. Absolutely. If you're not here lawfully and you're
01:13:25
committing serious and violent crime, deportation is the is the minimum expectation of what should happen. So,
01:13:32
let's do that. But I just I think both parties have been complicit. We can sit
01:13:36
around and say who wins electorally or economically. We can play that game and continue to have this incredibly
01:13:44
divisive and unproductive situation where millions of people are living in fear, living in the shadows, or we can
01:13:49
fix it. And when I say legal status, maybe that legal status doesn't come with a with a right to vote. Maybe it's
01:13:57
a green card. I mean, I'm I'm for compromise and problem solving and moving the country forward. Both sides
01:14:03
are going to have to give if we're going to solve this problem. >> I think that's the best idea possible
01:14:07
for how to solve this, which is a path to residents without a path to voting. And that that could solve everyone's
01:14:14
concerns. And and lastly, I just want you to compare and contrast your Democrat opponents, Swallwell, Styer,
01:14:20
Porter. Let's just do those three. Give me a sense on your view on each of the
01:14:24
three of them. Well, look, I I've I've been in enough debates with them now to
01:14:30
understand that those three other leading Democratic candidates are vying for the same lane. It is the more of the
01:14:40
same lane. It's a platform that says that the answer to our problems is more
01:14:46
revenue. It's revenue, revenue, revenue as Representative Swall's top three
01:14:51
goals. And uh look, we need to think differently. What I'm offering is an approach that's been working in Northern
01:15:00
California's largest city. I call it getting back to basics. It's focusing on
01:15:04
fewer things, the things that are most foundational to opportunity and quality of life for everyone. It's being humble
01:15:13
about what government can actually do, not thinking that the answer to every problem is more revenue and another
01:15:18
government program. It's being radically more transparent and accountable about
01:15:22
how we spend dollars and rooting everything in results or or measurable outcomes and just bringing a a new uh
01:15:31
politics of pragmatism as an antidote to this incredibly destructive populism we're seeing on the right and the left
01:15:37
that really risks the the democratic lowercase d democratic project of this country. And I just I think that
01:15:45
California has throughout its history been the the innovative state that has led the way and changed the world. And I
01:15:53
am hopeful that Californians are ready for a different kind of politics that focuses on problem solving. I jumped in
01:16:01
this race because all of the other candidates across the spectrum had already been in for a year and uh I
01:16:08
didn't hear anyone talking speaking honestly about our problems and how to solve them. And I thought that I had a
01:16:13
unique voice in this race and we're seeing that. I It's a short runway, but
01:16:19
as I travel around the state, go to, you know, see the sewage crisis in the in the Tijuana River on the border that
01:16:24
shut down all the beaches down there, walk Altadena or go through the Tenderloin in San Francisco, people are
01:16:30
are responding because all they really want is for their tax dollars to be used responsibly. They want their government
01:16:37
to work. They want their life to get better when they send so much of their money to their government. And that's my
01:16:43
that's my commitment. >> Mayor Matt Mayan, thank you for being here with me today on Allin. Really
01:16:48
appreciate the time and good luck in the in the governor's race. >> Thanks, David. I enjoyed it.
01:17:06
>> N I'm going all in.

Badges

This episode stands out for the following:

  • 70
    Most intense
  • 65
    Most heartbreaking
  • 65
    Best concept / idea
  • 65
    Most influential

Episode Highlights

  • The High-Speed Rail Controversy
    Nahm critiques California's high-speed rail project, highlighting accountability issues.
    “If a startup took 20 years, spent $14 billion, and didn’t deliver a product, people would have been fired.”
    @ 02m 41s
    March 23, 2026
  • California's Legislative Dysfunction
    Nahm discusses the overwhelming number of bills passed in California and their implications.
    “There’s a total lack of accountability.”
    @ 07m 57s
    March 23, 2026
  • The Role of Labor Unions
    Nahm shares his views on the influence of labor unions in California politics.
    “The single biggest spender in Sacramento when it comes to advocacy is organized labor.”
    @ 13m 24s
    March 23, 2026
  • Regulation Crisis vs. Housing Crisis
    Exploring whether California's issues stem from regulation rather than a lack of housing.
    “I think that’s fair. I think regulation, bureaucracy... don’t work for people.”
    @ 21m 56s
    March 23, 2026
  • Intervention for Addiction
    Discussing the need for involuntary treatment for those refusing help.
    “Yes. In short, I think you have to be able to involuntarily hold people.”
    @ 31m 41s
    March 23, 2026
  • California's Green Energy Policy
    California's push for green energy has led to unintended consequences for its economy.
    “We’ve just pushed refineries out of state that we still rely upon.”
    @ 36m 39s
    March 23, 2026
  • Insurance Crisis
    California faces a growing homeowners insurance crisis due to wildfires and regulations.
    “I just lost coverage on my home because I live near a bunch of trees.”
    @ 39m 38s
    March 23, 2026
  • Budget Deficit
    Despite high spending, California faces a significant budget deficit this year.
    “How did this get so bad?”
    @ 49m 00s
    March 23, 2026
  • Critique of the Billionaire Tax
    The candidate expresses concerns about the billionaire tax, emphasizing its potential impact on the middle class.
    “It’s not going to be billionaires. They’re the most mobile people in society.”
    @ 56m 26s
    March 23, 2026
  • The Role of AI in Future Jobs
    A discussion on how AI could create new job opportunities and change the workforce landscape.
    “AI is going to create a thousand times more new ways for people to earn than they do today.”
    @ 01h 00m 28s
    March 23, 2026
  • Immigration Policy Stance
    The candidate outlines a balanced approach to immigration, advocating for undocumented residents who contribute positively.
    “I will absolutely stand up to protect undocumented residents who are playing by the rules.”
    @ 01h 10m 46s
    March 23, 2026
  • Pathway to Legal Status
    A proposed solution for undocumented residents that excludes voting rights.
    “I think that’s the best idea possible for how to solve this.”
    @ 01h 14m 05s
    March 23, 2026

Episode Quotes

  • It’s like you go to San Francisco, you get needles, you get free alcohol.
    How Matt Mahan Thinks He Can Save California
  • It’s a big question. There are a few things.
    How Matt Mahan Thinks He Can Save California
  • We lead the nation in unsheltered homelessness.
    How Matt Mahan Thinks He Can Save California
  • How do we fix this problem in California?
    How Matt Mahan Thinks He Can Save California
  • We need to restructure our health care system.
    How Matt Mahan Thinks He Can Save California
  • I will absolutely stand up to protect undocumented residents who are playing by the rules.
    How Matt Mahan Thinks He Can Save California

Key Moments

  • Labor Union Influence13:24
  • Regulation Crisis21:56
  • Moral Duty32:58
  • Green Energy Debate35:04
  • Gas Tax Controversy37:51
  • Healthcare Reform52:55
  • Billionaire Tax Controversy54:40
  • AI and Job Creation1:00:39

Tension Over Time

Words per Minute Over Time

Vibes Breakdown