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According to Poly Market, Gavin Newsome is the early favorite in the 2028 Democratic presidential race. So, who
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gets the nomination? Is any of this even valid, Saxs, in your mind, or is it just
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too much time between now and then? Well, I think it's valid in the sense that you're seeing Democrats react
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positively to what Newsome is doing. And what Newsome is doing is mirroring Trump's style in an attempt to give
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Democrats what they want, which is they want a Trump of their own. And despite Democrats figning objections to Trump's
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style, this is really what they want. They want someone who they perceive to be a fighter. That said, I think there
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are two problems with presumptively crowning Gavin as the nominee 3 years in advance. One is that what Nome is doing
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here is completely performative. Everyone can see that he's acting and he's aping what he thinks is Trump's
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style. Gavin comes across as being synthetic or plastic and you don't really have a sense of who the real
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person is. So, one is authenticity. The other is that I think that Democrats make a huge mistake if they think that
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Trump's popularity is based on his style. I mean, it's true that Trump has a trillion dollar personality, and that
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is very helpful in politics, but ultimately, I think the reason why Trump has done so well for a decade is because
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he's been on the right side of a bunch of core issues in American politics that other people just weren't focused on or
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weren't talking about. So until the Democrats confront why they really lost, the reality is it's because of the
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policies and it's about the record. And until they're willing to confront those things and change their policies, then I
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think they're going to continue losing.