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Former Intel CEO on What Went Wrong, What's Next + Lovable CEO on the Real Promise of Vibe Coding

July 15, 2026 / 49:44

This episode features a discussion about Intel's history, leadership changes, and the impact of competitors like Nvidia and TSMC. Guests include Pat Gelsinger, who reflects on his 34 years at Intel and the company's transition from a technical to a business-focused leadership. Key topics include the missed opportunities in chip production, the rise of Apple Silicon, and the strategic decisions that led to Intel's decline.

Pat Gelsinger shares insights on the leadership styles of past Intel executives and the importance of technical expertise in decision-making. He emphasizes how the shift towards business-oriented leaders contributed to Intel's struggles and how a return to technical leadership is essential for the company's future.

The conversation also touches on the competitive landscape, highlighting the success of TSMC as a foundry and the implications of geopolitical tensions surrounding Taiwan. Gelsinger discusses the Chips Act and its potential to boost U.S. semiconductor manufacturing.

Finally, the episode addresses the current state of AI technology and its future, with Gelsinger expressing optimism about the potential for innovation and the importance of energy capacity in sustaining growth in the tech sector.

TLDR

Pat Gelsinger discusses Intel's decline, leadership changes, and the competitive landscape with Nvidia and TSMC, emphasizing the importance of technical expertise.

Episode

49:44
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spent a long time at Intel. >> Yeah. >> And uh >> only 34 years. >> 34 years. >> Yeah.
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>> Probably one of the greatest American companies uh ever. And then absolutely went off the rails and got absolutely
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demolished by Nvidia, TSMC, uh and I guess Apple to a certain extent. So you had this incredible Intel
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inside moment. We bought our computers based on, you know, hey, the Pentium and that sound
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>> Intel inside, baby. Intel insideum. And so, let's talk about how things went wrong. What went right and then
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>> how did it and and you were there for a long time. You took a break and then you
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came back. But there seemed to be have been some critical mistakes that we can learn from. So, let's just embrace it
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and go right into it. tremendous success as an American company coming back now I
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think uh reasonably but when you when we look back on it and we do our post-mortem what were the mistakes a and
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what would we change in terms of the direction of that company >> if you were building a global financial
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Airwall built for the future. >> Having spent so much of my life there, you know, I view it. I joined when I was
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18. I went through puberty at Intel, right? I joke, right? I was just like, you know, I am so early. uh Grove,
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Noise, Bar uh Barrett, right? Uh and uh uh you know, they they were the people I
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grew up at, right? You know, so on. They were my mentors. They were the people I
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adored uh for it and they were deeply technical. >> Andy Grove, >> Andy Grove, Gordon Moore, Bob, you know,
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co-inventor, you know, these were deeply technical leaders. I remember when I joined the executive staff for the first
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time, you know, there was, you know, probably 15 of the 20 people that were in the room were PhDs, right? You know,
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it was just that technical. And, you know, I view one of the things that went off the rail was when it started to be
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run by business people >> as opposed to technical, >> the bean counters, the finance people.
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>> Yeah. And you know when I became uh CEO uh in 2001 that was the first technical
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leader in essentially 15 years >> right you know associated with it you know and if you have a business leader
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who does he promote business leaders and you know right you know so I think one of the fundamental things is and you
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know as you look at the great technology companies uh today you know they're deeply technical
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>> and founderled typically >> you know and even if they're not you know Satcha is not a founder no right?
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You know, Sundar is not a founder as well, but they're deeply technical individuals. And when you're making
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these hardcore technical, you know, decisions that affect billions of dollars, you don't do that through a
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spreadsheet. That's a lousy investment, right? Unless the technology trends make
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it the right investment. And I think that's one of the fundamental things. And obviously you know in the five years
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uh five six years before I came back you know Intel gave $100 billion to shareholders.
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>> Oh the dividends >> and stock buybacks >> a hundred. What I wouldn't have done for
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another hundred billion dollar on the uh what would you have done? You probably would have made chips for iPhone which
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Intel passed on. Yeah. >> Yeah. you know, but you know, it hadn't built a new factory in a decade when I
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got there. It's like, you know, how can you not be building? How could you not buy EUV machines? You know, there's just
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all of these things, you know, that you would only do as a technologist because the economics behind them by themselves
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were not good. >> So, you know, it's getting back to the core of technology to me that was, you
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know, the fundamental thing. You know, you make good decisions, you make bad decisions as leaders. Every business uh
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does that uh as they go along but uh you know fundamentally this is a technology
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business and you need technologists running technology uh that then hires technologists that are sitting at the
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staff that then hire the best technologist you know you know >> and take big swings at you know
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categories that could matter in the future like skating to where the puck's going. If you look at Apple, they did
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the same thing for the past 15 years, buying back the stock, tremendous amount of dividends. They're the largest holder
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of capital of any company, I believe, to this date. And what if what companies do
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they buy? They buy little tiny acquisitions on the margins. I think the largest ones was was Beats cuz they
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wanted to get inroads into, you know, certain uh demographic segments like in the Android space that they couldn't get
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into. But my god, what a colossal waste of time. Like you said, they could have done so many amazing things. Tell me
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about Steve Jobs in 2008, 2009 deciding, I think we're going to make our own silicon and that
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impact because was that a covert product project or did you guys know he was doing that? Did he inform you?
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>> Well, that seemed to be another one of those forks in the road. Yeah, >> you know, Steve was an incredible
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leader. You know, he was also a ruthless leader, right? You know, very difficult.
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you know, read Walder Isaxson's book on him uh as well. I had many many conversations with Steve over the years
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uh you know, for it. Um but you know, when they moved to Intel and the Centrino chip, it was a big deal.
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>> Yeah. >> Right. And they were putting extraordinary demands on Intel. You know, make the chip smaller, drive lower
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power. They're demanding uh customer. And when he was no longer convinced that we could continue to do that, you know,
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he started the project, >> right? You know, and if you remember what was it, you know, you know, uh, P
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semi, you know, they acquired some small companies, started to build some competency, but, you know, they did a
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few little chips internally. It wasn't a big deal and then the little chips got a
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little bit bigger, you know, and Steve was a master of this, you know, just starting, you know, these small efforts
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to build core competence inside the company. Uh I remember when we had the first conversation with Steve about uh
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porting the uh operating system to the Intel chip from the power chip that they were running on before they moved to
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Intel. And we were quite proud of the silicon software competencies that we had and compilers and operating systems,
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you know. So Steve, we'll help you port the operating system to the x86. And I remember that Steve said, "I've been
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working on that for the last four releases." >> He had been preparing the core technologies inside of Apple for
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something that might happen uh in the future, you know, and he was already, you know, to me, I just remember I was
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just shocked. I, you know, I've ported the last four releases to the x86. I think we got this.
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>> Yeah. >> Right. You know, it was that kind of thing. And that's how they got into the
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semiconductor, you know, doing their own semiconductor. Hm. I'm not sure I can rely on Intel to be that much ahead of
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the industry and I can start optimizing the system design with the silicon design as opposed to relying on one
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that's been somewhat optimized for a Windows environment versus an iOS environment, you know, in their uh
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operating system. And you know, it was just, you know, uh, you know, it was never that kind of thing. They sort of
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said, you know, right, you failed as a supplier. No, I can supply myself better.
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>> Yeah. and Jensen uh decides, hey, he's going to go all in making these video cards and talk about just incredible
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uh serendipity that these happen to be also very applicable for cryptocurrency and running these AI jobs.
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>> Yeah. >> Was that luck or skill or combination of both there? Well, you know, when you
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think about that progression, you know, Jensen, he was just building high performance computers, you know,
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throughput machines. You know, when we were at the height of our strength on CPUs, uh, at Intel, we sort of scoffed
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at his machines. Yeah. >> Right. You like, oh, that's a graphic machine. You, you know, there's some
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gamers who want to use that kind of stuff, right? You know, it was always the big CPU and those little GPUs. But
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when they started to build a real software stack, Yes. with it, right? You know, sort of, okay, this CUDA thing and
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SIMT as a technology, you know, uh, you know, uh, multi-threading and so on. And
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it just sort of kept getting a little bit better and a little bit better and it was a little bit jobslike in that
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way. You know, we're just making it better every release and it's becoming more robust and all of a sudden, you
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know, the crazy, you know, uh, Japanese HPC guys said, "Hey, we could take those
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graphics cards and maybe start using them in HPC." H, >> right? you know, and that was sort of
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defining moment where it wasn't just about doing graphics anymore. This was a more computationally dense platform to
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start attacking some of the world's most interesting workloads. And I think Jensen would agree that was a defining
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moment and them sort of saying, "Oh, these aren't just graphics cards anymore. You know, these are
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generalpurpose computing devices that can start applying to these other uh workloads." And you know AI was you know
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had gone through what its fifth nuclear winter by that point. We're just like man you know you know this is never
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going to matter right we're never going to you know get the breakthroughs but the community around it was continuing
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to develop uh you know for it and the CUDA software kept getting better uh generation by generation and uh you know
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I had a project at Intel Larabe right where we were trying to take the x86 and essentially do the same thing right you
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know for it and you know in my first departure from Intel the project was killed a week after I left
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>> huh >> and the world would have been so much different right I >> I mean it really I think it's
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illustrative of illustrative of what continuous innovation taking some risks and doing that fundamental research and
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the compounding power of technology because I think it was William Gibson who said the street finds its own use
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for technology like Nvidia did not predict that this Bitcoin project would take over and that this
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would be the best way to do those computations, nor did they anticipate, I think, you know, that AI would take off,
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but because it was the best solution, the hacker community could kind of figure that out. Well, as we wrap on the
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Intel portion of your uh career, um, okay, Apple Silicon, that's one. Uh, and then you have Nvidia, and then you have
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this Taiwanese company, uh, that starts making, you know, really great at fabricating the these chips. Um and
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Intel missed that as well. Yeah. And and maybe you could talk a little bit about
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TSMC and their surging and we can even get into a little bit of the the politics of it now and then we'll get
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into some of these AI chips and venture investing. You know the thing with TSMC was they started with a vision of
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foundry >> right you know they were going to become the factory for the industry and again
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these factories are so expensive 20 billion 30 billion and uh the engineering and the continuous
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investment required to do it and you know it was a stunning you know vision uh at that point in time Intel was IDM
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as we called it the integrated design and manufacturing you We never worked to make our process and our factories
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available for third parties >> right you know it was always this thing hey it's you know we do enough CPUs
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oursel you know we reuse it for chipsets and some of the other things that we're
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doing but it was never standardized in a way that it could be made available for
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a broad ecosystem you know using PDKs and all the design tools you know we did a lot of our own EDA tools ourself you
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know one of the projects that I started early in my career was the foundations of EDA, right? Uh as well, the first
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place and route, you know, the first standard cells, the first highle description language, you know, it was
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so proprietary and TSMC basically cut that in half and says, I don't care whose chip it is. I don't care what
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you're designing, I'll be your manufacturing partner. And at the time, that was such a trivial piece of the
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business, Intel didn't even care, >> right? You know, so on. And then over steady progress over a long period of
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time and Apple as a customer driving them to be could be become really meaningful. You know obviously the world
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changed and when I came back uh to uh Intel in 2001 TSMC was producing 5x the wafers of Intel.
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>> Wow. >> Right. Not 10% more 5x. >> Yeah. And all of a sudden that model of foundry became the model of the
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semiconductor industry with two exceptions Intel and memory. you know, memory design and manufacture, right,
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for you know, that is uniquely different. And obviously, you know, we're seeing the, you know, $3 trillion
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memory companies just extraordinary, you know, and, you know, trillion dollar foundry company uh in TSMC. You know,
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the industry has said, I want a lot of wafers. I want a lot of innovation of different designs. I have a layer of
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standardization and EDA tools. And the world changed. And obviously as I came back to Intel that was one of the core
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thesis of the new strategy. Yeah. We must become a foundry as well five to one and now it's more like seven to one
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in terms of wafers you know to TSMC to and >> are we going to be able to onshore that
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obviously we had the chips act and just give us broad strokes what you think is going to happen here in terms of
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obviously Taiwan is in play. Some people in the administration believe um it's going to happen the year after Trump's
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out unless he takes his third term. Other people believe like it was going to happen as early as 27 uh or maybe
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going into 28. So, are we going to be able to replicate that here in America in a reasonable
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amount of time, or is this like truly could be a cataclysmic event if, you know, god forbid, China decides,
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hey, we're going to blockade um Taiwan and and the Taiwanese decide, yeah, we're going to burn the fabs and we're
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going to fly out all of the engineers and ship them to America. >> Well, there's a lot in that question,
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you know. Do we have an hour to talk about this question? Well, I mean we have six minutes, but Okay. Um, yeah, do
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the best you can. >> Okay. >> I want to talk also about the AI bubble. >> So, super, you know, three things about
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this super quick. You know, one is the chips act is having benefit. >> Yeah. >> Right. You know, when we started the
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chips act in, you know, in 2001 when I came back, the US was building about 12% of leading edge. Today, that number is
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more like 18%. >> Okay. You know, we're making progress. It's not 50%. We have a long way to go,
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right? You know, Intel is starting to be a real foundry. Okay, that's real progress. Uh, and TSMC's factories are
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up and operating at scale, right? We have Samsung and, you know, uh, as well. But, you know, I say the Intel and the
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TSMC progress. Okay, that's meaningful. Now, let's make it ugly for a second. Uh, the island of Taiwan has less than 3
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weeks, a big article in the Wall Street Journal two weeks ago on this, less than
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3 weeks of energy reserves. Wow. Okay, that should just put a chill in everybody's spine, right? Because the
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blockade after 3 weeks, the island browns out. When you turn off a fab, it doesn't come back on for 90 days, right?
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The economic impact of a brown out of Taiwan is greater than the Great Depression, right? Uh in the world,
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never do you need to do anything a shot to be fired. You just need to say, "Great, no energy for 3 weeks.
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>> No oil." Yes. >> Right. No LG, right? You know, that's how the island run. That is scary, you
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know, to me. We need more resilient supply chains uh associated, you know, with it. And I don't think this is an
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alternative for the world because if it really does become a risk, you know, and
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I'm, you know, I, you know, I don't sit in the situation room and get all the data and so on, but let's remind each
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other that I think China has blockaded the Taiwan Straits seven times over the last four years.
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>> Yeah. >> This isn't a theory. >> No, no. They're running exercises. They're being pernitious and
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>> right >> pretty provocative in terms of >> Is that 2027? Is that 2030? Is that
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2035? their intentions have been clear over a sustained period of time. We need more resilient uh supply chains, you
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know, forward. So, something, you know, I put a lot of my time and energy into and we're making progress, but we need
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to go faster, need to go more meaningful. >> Yeah. And let's talk a little bit about
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the AI buildout. I mean, you watched the PC revolution, servers, the internet. These were all extraordinary buildouts.
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And then this is the buildout to end all buildouts. the amount of data centers, the amount of chips, the amount of
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inference needed. Do you think it's a bubble? I think I've heard you say like it's it's obviously a
00:17:50
bubble, but what what's the risk factor here? That we build too much uh or that the technology doesn't solve enough
00:17:59
problems and we are swimming in tokens? What what worries you about what you're seeing now? the valuations of these
00:18:06
companies has gotten quite extraordinary. And you know, if they build too much and they spend too much
00:18:12
money and they don't make enough money, well, based on your experience with running a company, a public one, that's
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a lot of tension on it. When you don't make as much money as you're spending, people tend to fall out of love with
00:18:26
these stocks. Yeah. Well, I do think there, you know, there there is a silver lining here that
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guarantees we don't get too far ahead of oursel in terms of bubble, you know, and
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that is energy capacity. >> Right. >> Right. You know, energy capacity in the world is expanding four 5%. You know, in
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the US we had a decade at 1%. Right. You know, I mean, it's just hideous what we
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did to our energy grid, you know, over about a decade and a half. But now that's getting built out. But
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essentially, nobody's going to build and buy GPUs and build data centers if they
00:19:01
don't have energy. >> So essentially, you have an upper bound on how aggressive and how hyped and
00:19:07
bubbled that we get. So I take a lot of soloulless in that. >> Yeah. >> Right. You know, for it because what
00:19:13
then is the incremental value of a token and if it's a measure of intelligence, it's somewhat infinite, right? You know,
00:19:20
in the sense if I have more intelligence, I will do, you know, better supply chain. I will do better
00:19:26
finance. I will do more, you know, efficient logistics. I will, you know, all of those things. So to me, the the
00:19:33
potential value that we unleash in a token economic world is somewhat infinite, right? And particularly with
00:19:40
labor shortages and so on that we see right in uh developed countries, I am an optimist, you know, that we're in a
00:19:48
couple of decade buildout. >> Wow. >> Right. Not a couple of years, a couple of decades. One of the big objectives
00:19:55
I've said is that I have to make AI 10,000x better, >> right? You know, it's way too expensive
00:20:02
today. you know, we want to drop, you know, by five orders of magnitude the cost per token, you know, the energy,
00:20:08
you know, per token so that we really do have Jevans law that we just explode the
00:20:12
access to AI, right, in much more economic uh ways, >> which it does seem like Jevans uh
00:20:19
paradox has been at play over the last year, like, oh my lord, these tokens are so cheap and the tools are getting so
00:20:25
good. Yeah, I'm just going to start using these tools all day long until the bill comes in and you're like, "Okay,
00:20:30
yeah, maybe I need to get some ROI out of this." But you do have these incredible companies, Cerebrris, Grock,
00:20:36
etc. making inference >> dematrix silicon and so you know, and you know, if we accomplish right, you know, these
00:20:43
orders of magnitude improving and token economics, availability, reduction in energy costs associated with it. You
00:20:50
know, we just have a fantastic couple of decades in front of us. There has not been a time in human history where it's
00:20:57
been better to be a technologist than the one we're in right now. We will solve chemistry. We will solve language.
00:21:03
We will, you know, invent new materials, re, you know, new forms of, you know, uh, interaction, you know, uh, killing
00:21:11
cancer, right? Lifting people out of poverty. There is not a better time to be alive than the one that we're in
00:21:17
right now. And as technologists, we get to sit in the driver's seat of it. >> Pretty amazing. and you're investing uh
00:21:23
and that's your passion. Now what do you think of these valuations? It's quite seems a you know if you live through the
00:21:31
dotcom bubble we did see a disconnect there. These companies slightly different. We just had 11 labs up 600
00:21:38
million in revenue. Lovable I think they're at five or 600 million. So that's quite different than the do
00:21:44
speculation. Yeah. >> Yeah. Well fundamentally we have real revenues you know real margins coming
00:21:49
out of these businesses as well. You know that said anytime the multiples get too high okay some corrections you know
00:21:55
and to me periodic corrections that keep the multiple you know earnings multiples
00:22:00
and you know so on in reasonable things is good because this will not be a smooth curve you know I'm predicting two
00:22:06
decades of goodness and there's going to be lots of disruptions along the way it's not going to be a smooth curve and
00:22:12
every time we have one of those corrections say thank you right we're not letting the bubble get ahead of
00:22:16
itself right you know hey we had the SAS apocalypse there's going to be other apocalypses on that journey when when
00:22:23
industries get impacted by the capabilities that will be unleashed and that's even before it gets exciting and
00:22:30
what I call the trinity of computing classical computing AI computing and quantum computing and when those three
00:22:37
come together okay that's when things get really exciting >> quantum's been about 5 years away for 25
00:22:44
years um when is it actually going to do anything meaningful >> this decade this decade. So by 2030,
00:22:51
>> yep, >> it'll be meaningful. What should we expect in terms of its impact in 2030?
00:22:56
Like >> you know, you're going to be able to start doing things that cannot be computed today.
00:23:01
>> You know, chemistry, you know, biology, there will be things that can't be computed today. You know, some of the
00:23:06
easy things will be some of like the logistics where I will compute the best answer to get this thing to you, right?
00:23:14
>> Traveling salesman problem, >> right? you know all of a sudden all of those problems uh obviously it's
00:23:18
probably going to be you know 2020 2032 2033 when we solve you know things like encryption right you know where you know
00:23:26
you'll have the fundamental Qday you know kind of implications but this decade we will see quantum supremacy uh
00:23:33
results across multiple industries you know we know how to build cubits we know how to error correct cubits we now have
00:23:40
algorithmics right against uh quantum and you know now it's just about engineering scale.
00:23:46
>> Who's going to win? >> Well, obviously I'm a SI quantum guy, right? Since that's one of our portfolio
00:23:51
companies. But the thing that you're seeing is that you now have like four, five, six modalities of quantum that are
00:24:00
demonstrating pretty good results, right? You know, across trapped ions, across, you know, photonic uh
00:24:06
approaches, spin uh approaches. So, you now say modality is not an issue. Error correction's been proven uh across them.
00:24:14
And you know, I think the race will be on and my prediction is meaningful results before 2030.
00:24:20
>> Wow. You realize that's about 40 months from now. >> Yeah. Okay. Meaningful results. Thanks
00:24:25
so much, Pat, for sharing all this incredible uh >> information and knowledge. Great to see
00:24:30
him. >> Very good. >> Your most valuable conversations rarely happen at a desk. The hallway sink, the
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00:25:00
>> Oika is one of my favorite founders. He's the founder of Lovable. Why do I love this founder? Uh well he's built a
00:25:08
product that people are addicted to primarily Anton the people who work for me and I uh love talking to you because
00:25:16
as a founder you have a northstar you're incredibly laser focused on enabling anyone to build great software. Yeah
00:25:25
it's the mission of the company. I'm paraphrasing here but >> essentially that's the mission of
00:25:29
lovable >> mission I talk about empowering humans. empowering humans >> and the first gap is to build a product.
00:25:36
>> The second gap is to build a business around that product, right? >> And now at everyone at Lovable, we're
00:25:41
we're working on both of these two gaps, right? >> The first one, we got very far. We're
00:25:46
seeing a million new projects built every single week on the >> incredible. And on the on the second
00:25:51
one, we're investing a lot in making it easier to run your business and to get people to care, people to discover what
00:25:58
you build and the entire business of what you're whatever you're doing as a small business. As if you're a large
00:26:03
business, we're also getting a lot of traction. Um, and uh we're actually seeing as a proof of that more than 700
00:26:12
million visits to the applications every month. So every month there's um extreme
00:26:17
growth in in the surface area of of the entire more than 50 million apps built on the
00:26:23
platform to date. >> How many years has lovable been in market or how many months now?
00:26:28
>> 20 months since 20. Yeah. And and again we're seeing people who are first-time
00:26:33
founders. We're seeing enterprise leaders move much faster together with their teams on this platform that has a
00:26:40
lot of opinionated pieces in how you should uh create software and how to operate that software and how the
00:26:48
different applications in your company connect to each other over time. So that's what why we're seeing so much
00:26:53
growth also on the enterprise side which where where we actually growing fastest
00:26:57
right now. This is really interesting because 10 years ago, uh, people were doing wizzywig software. Um, what was
00:27:05
the name for it? Before Vive, no code, low code. Yes. And when I saw that 10 years ago in my incubator, you know,
00:27:14
every 20th company, somebody would come in who was an MBA or not a developer and
00:27:19
they had vibecoded something and um not vibe coded, they had no coded and they were using these different software
00:27:26
platforms and the software didn't look good. It didn't work perfectly well. It was slow, but the promise was there. And
00:27:35
I guess it took LLMs and this new intelligence to make actually good software. So maybe
00:27:42
you could talk a little bit about who is the customer because developers uh do developers use lovable or is it
00:27:53
the other 95% of society that are your customers? How do you think about who your ideal customer profile is?
00:27:59
>> Yeah, we're seeing people use Lovable both with a technical background. about
00:28:04
20% are technical or some type of engineer and they they love that we're quite opinionated. We put all the best
00:28:11
practices into how the software is architected and we make it seamless to um with one prompt get payment set up in
00:28:18
a very secure way and do things like run security scans after every change even now in the background monitoring the
00:28:26
projects. So it's actually quite appreciated by the engineers in the technical community. Um also because
00:28:33
it's a great bridge >> from the nontechnical people which is four out of five are are nontechnical uh
00:28:39
and they're building uh often first to figure out what is the right thing to build
00:28:44
>> which is where lovable has always been exceptionally good and uh now what we're
00:28:49
seeing is that people are running businesses making more than million dollars of revenue on the on this
00:28:56
platform. So it's it's this we're building for everyone. It's this entire spectrum. And what's what's exciting to
00:29:01
see is often that if someone who discovers lovable from their colleagues at a large company, they go out and then
00:29:07
run a side hustle and some of those those idols hustles really work. They make hundreds of thousands of dollars
00:29:13
and then they become a founder after that. So there's this crosspollination from both.
00:29:17
>> Yeah. And this is like the really interesting thing about vibe coding. If we were sitting here last year, people
00:29:21
would look at it and say it's a great way to make a mockup. like you said, a great way to think about product and
00:29:27
maybe create wireframes or a workable prototype. All of that's out the window now. The whole concept of building
00:29:36
wireframes and building a mockup, well, you can just go right to building the product in a day or two days. And what
00:29:46
people I think don't appreciate about what you're doing at Lovable is after you've made a product that you're proud
00:29:52
of and that has some product market fit, there are many more steps that are required. You mentioned payments, you
00:30:00
mentioned security, uh making sure that the data isn't lost or that it's not leaked.
00:30:06
That's changed dramatically over the last 12 months. Yeah, >> very much so. So um I would say many
00:30:12
engineers they don't look at the code they don't write code anymore and that means that you don't need to be an
00:30:19
engineer to create software right um but the the thing that lovable does for any
00:30:24
anyone also the non-technical people is that it it um takes uh creates a structure for the architecture of the
00:30:31
software that you build and it makes sure that you don't go off a cliff um and that things like setting up payments
00:30:38
emails things like getting discovered by other AI chat engines and uh by Google search those things are kind of taken
00:30:47
care of. So you don't have to know how all these things work in the details you trust you can trust the platform to take
00:30:53
care care of data security connecting to other tools that you might be using in a
00:30:59
secure way and and that's really where um us being opinionated from day one and being focused on making this for the
00:31:06
99%. It's a it's a vast market right from the from day one is what made us very successful.
00:31:12
>> Yeah. And I can tell you internally I gave my team all the different tools they could possibly want to use and
00:31:19
somebody had started with lovable. I think I told you the story when you were on this week in startups a year ago like
00:31:25
and they made some interesting websites and they were trying to make an internet. They couldn't quite get it
00:31:31
done. Then I had some people who started using you know cursor or clawed code. They started vibe coding stuff but they
00:31:39
couldn't finish the product. And then people tried to solve some problems with codework. I really like perplexity
00:31:45
computer. And then my team came to me and for one of our projects I was talking to you about founder university
00:31:52
our pre-acelerator. They wanted to make an internet. Um, now this is something I would have
00:31:58
never okayed because it would have cost $500,000 10 years ago to make it and we don't
00:32:04
have that kind of budget. You know, we would rather put that towards the founders in the program and getting more
00:32:09
people into the program. And in 4 to 8 hours, they made the whole internet and they made a bunch of things I hadn't
00:32:16
asked for. And it was the person running the um this founder university who made
00:32:23
it and she did it on her own without uh permission in lovable. I said, "Whoa, where how did you build this?" She said,
00:32:30
"Loveable." I was like, "Oh, we still have lovable." And they're like, she's like, "I just put it on my corporate
00:32:36
card." To your point, she made it. Now that software is driving the program and the reason people do the
00:32:48
uh the the program in their country, we have it in Saudi and in Japan is because
00:32:52
it has economic impact. >> So I said, "Hey, I have an idea. Can you make for me an economic impact of the 50
00:32:59
companies that are in the program?" She asked Lovable to do it. I gave her some, you know, prompting, human
00:33:07
prompting boss to now it has the economic impact in there and it considered, you know, with our
00:33:13
prompting, well, how many people work at each company? What are they paying taxes? How much do they rent their home
00:33:19
for? What is their average salary? And it built something that I would have never been able to afford to build. And
00:33:25
lovable is 50 bucks a month, I think. I don't know how much you charge, but it's
00:33:30
far too little. Like >> $50 a month, I think. >> Yeah. That's if you're on a business
00:33:35
plan. Yeah. It starts at 25. >> Yeah. So, uh, the economic impact of what you're building is I would equate
00:33:44
for what you built to us, it would have cost me $500,000 2 years ago. It was built in 4 hours by an employee, which
00:33:51
if you just put employees at 50, 60, whatever, $70, uh, plus the cost of your software, it got made for less than
00:33:58
$2,000 >> in a year. It's extraordinary. I I'd love to hear more about the progress of the of the internet.
00:34:06
Anything that you asked for that you want to forward directed to me. >> Uh well, right now, you know, my concern
00:34:13
was security and making sure that data didn't leak and they talked to your team and they went through it and
00:34:20
>> it's secure. So, we feel good about it. >> Well, look, um I'm now asking people who
00:34:27
do penetration testing to say, I want you to compare all the tools. Yeah. and uh make sure that there's a all the work
00:34:33
that we're doing that's not visible on security and trust. Yeah, there's a lot a lot a lot of things um where we we
00:34:41
invest and spend money on that every also free users get a lot of security scanning running in the background that
00:34:47
that actually um translates to something that security experts can can see. And >> a year ago we were at mock-ups. Now
00:34:55
we're at functionality and secure and super viable for deployment. Where will you be in a year?
00:35:03
>> Yeah. So, what we're seeing is that there's a gap in build being able to build the product, right? And and you
00:35:09
built an entire internet on the platform. That's great. Um, what we've done since then is to have a new product
00:35:16
line basically the hosting part which is both the AI and you know all the normal
00:35:20
hosting and that product line has been going faster than the building uh thing. I mention
00:35:25
>> AWS competitor. >> It it lets you it lets you run all your software and then we're working with
00:35:31
companies like AWS under the hood as well. But but what you also want to have is um to use lovable we're seeing by our
00:35:40
customers as an AI co-founder, >> a partner that you talk to about everything in your business. And if
00:35:45
you're running your apps, your tools are on the platform, then just talking to Lovable has access to all the data that
00:35:53
you might want to know about your about your company, how it's doing. So, we're we're working with some of our customers
00:36:02
in pre-release to give them access to a co-founder that works for you even when you're sleeping
00:36:07
>> and comes back to you in the morning and says like, "Here are some strategic directions you could go. here's some
00:36:13
optimizations you can do go in terms of growing your business faster serving your customers better uh faster uh and
00:36:20
and and that's um that evolution towards operation and intelligence for towards driving towards outcome
00:36:28
>> for your business to build the software but you stay to build the business >> yes to operate your business and um what
00:36:36
we're already doing I've been doing for a very long time is to compound from everything we're learning every time
00:36:42
lovable makes a mistake. Uh it goes to a gentic system with our engineers in it improving it. That compounding
00:36:48
intelligence is of course applicable to our our customers, our users running their business on our platform as well.
00:36:56
>> Is software going to become 100% bespoke even like the internal tools. I was looking at Slack and our
00:37:06
bill for Slack even on the highest version is maybe $10,000 a year. It's not a lot of money. It's well worth it.
00:37:13
But I was starting to think, well, maybe I should vibe code my own Slack so it's
00:37:18
integrated into everything we do at a deeper level. So how do you think the f what do you think the future will look
00:37:24
like in terms of some of these you know uh foundational pieces of software that every startup every
00:37:32
enterprise uses Salesforce HubSpot Slack uh the Google suite Microsoft Office will bespoke software
00:37:44
start to replace those do you believe >> I I like this question let let me ask answer it but I'll just give you a story
00:37:51
about someone I recently heard who's going on this journey. They're quite advanced. So,
00:37:56
>> NAD, he works at a pretty large company in the US, Nursa, and uh he came to our
00:38:02
platform because he wanted to build out a new product lines, nurse study for educating more nurses, right? And and he
00:38:09
built out all the admin tools for the program, the scheduling for the nurses getting getting their licenses and their
00:38:16
certification management. and he was able to build that into a product and to take it to market because they have they
00:38:22
have had all that access to nurses wanting their certification. What he also did was he took it into the back
00:38:29
office internally and they've now replaced more than 10 tools that they had bespoke applications and um I think
00:38:38
in terms of your question you can do that for multiple reasons. In their case they're saving more than a million
00:38:43
dollars per year, >> right? >> So that's that's huge, right? But it's also the case that in some cases you
00:38:50
have specific requirements where the tools that you've been using to date they aren't suited for those requirement
00:38:56
exactly and in those cases I think yes >> you will have more more bespoke solutions. Yeah,
00:39:02
>> but we're I also expect us to see that lovable continues to interoperate with
00:39:09
all of those tools. And uh I'm not sure if you tried this if if you ask for connecting to anything in the Google
00:39:16
suite or now to anything in the Microsoft suite or or Slack lovable guides you through all the steps to do
00:39:22
that in a way where you can get a a very good overview of exactly how the data flows which is of course very important
00:39:29
that you don't give access to the wrong person to the wrong data and you can continue to use Salesforce um HubSpot
00:39:35
and all the tools that you kind of like to use under the hood but with a bespoke
00:39:39
interface on top of H how have these new frontier models they're in some ways competitive but in some ways you can use
00:39:48
them to power lovable. So how do you think about the competition with them opensource
00:39:55
a and the future of lovable because people have announced that lovable's dead every 6 months since you started
00:40:02
and then every 6 months you go from 100 to 200 to 300 I think you're at 400 million in revenue something crazy. We
00:40:09
we we reached 500 in May. >> Okay. Growth is a phenomenal. >> So you're dying again by another 100
00:40:16
million in annual revenue. >> Exactly. >> So but underneath the hood you're using
00:40:21
some of these. >> Yeah. Let me explain. Yeah. So we've always had this strategy that we do
00:40:26
whatever is best for our customers. And in terms of the intelligence that means that we're using multiple models. And so
00:40:35
if you ask Lovable now, it's actually routed to the model that's most suitable to whatever you want to do. And that's
00:40:42
both the commercial frontier models. So from multiple vendors >> and increasingly it's open weight models
00:40:50
where our team when whenever it's get gets routed to an to our own model that model becomes more intelligent for our
00:40:57
agent harness. Yeah. especially on the mistakes that it might be making in some cases on which which tool to call, which
00:41:04
integration to create and how to guide you through uh success for your business.
00:41:09
>> Right. So, you're all in on open source. You believe that's the future of Lovable. I I'm reading into it. So we
00:41:17
have multiple partnerships and we're investing heavily to be close with those partners and it's the big the big labs
00:41:22
and it's also to make sure that um we get the fastest performance at the lowest cost for our customers when we
00:41:31
know that we can do that with our own models >> right >> and uh we have a really really strong
00:41:36
research team up in Stockholm who is working on what's called post training so and we're applying all the best
00:41:42
practices to do that and scaling up that team uh quite significantly since we also believe it's a it's a part of the
00:41:49
European ecosystem to have that capability in Europe specifically. >> Are you doing or are you using any of
00:41:55
the data labeling data training companies to help you understand the most common businesses and build that
00:42:03
proprietary data? So, so what we're doing is that we're looking at um the mistakes that any of the models do right
00:42:10
now and then we we prioritize them by what drives most impact for our customers and then we make the models we
00:42:17
create data sets or we um we do did something called reinforcement learning specifically for the problems where the
00:42:23
frontier models are making mistakes for us right now and um we have this enormous token distribution right from
00:42:31
um a million new products being built every every single You're burning a lot of tokens.
00:42:36
>> We are. Yes. And that's and that's a lot of signals for making the system both
00:42:41
the agent harness >> and um what we've been refining over the last two years which is the skills that
00:42:49
we have have this like internal type of skills that the agent knows when to remember the facts from our software
00:42:55
engineers that know how to build really really good software. We're modifying both of those on every every single
00:43:00
week. >> It makes total sense. And somebody told me some companies are doing token
00:43:05
dumping. They're, you know, selling $100 worth of tokens for $50. Um, you know, basically they become token resellers in
00:43:14
some ways and they're money losing businesses. You have to you're money you're profitable I believe now or close
00:43:21
to it. Um, we we always monitor our margins, but again um we're doing what's best for our customers and that means
00:43:28
that often means more intelligence. So we're not we're not looking at oh let's use a we've never had the decision to
00:43:34
say let's use a cheaper model here if it's measurably worse for our customers and we can measure that what's best for
00:43:41
>> but are they is it unlimited for the 50 or you have caps now >> we have caps overages and caps are people starting to
00:43:48
hit them >> yeah our customers definitely hit caps and then you can top up you can have a
00:43:54
we have multiple subscription tiers >> what number I'm just curious like what percentage of people need to top up.
00:43:59
They're so addicted to it that they're blowing past the the >> so from the lowest subscription tier.
00:44:05
>> Yeah. >> Um I I think it's the >> uh m it's something like 60% of our customers
00:44:12
I think >> I'm hearing that more and more often that people are willing to pay the
00:44:17
overages because they're getting so much value. And I think that's the future of
00:44:21
the business is people are looking at it going like I am. Well, if I'm paying $600 and if you token max to 6,000 a
00:44:30
year, but this is a $500,000 piece of software, I don't care. I'm still paying somewhere between.1%
00:44:38
and 1% of what I would have paid 3 years ago. Who cares? >> Go for it. Um, so >> yeah, what we're seeing is everything is
00:44:47
about moving moving fast these days and and AI more AI usually lets you move much faster. So the spend is usually
00:44:54
worth it. >> Do your customers a final question for you because I'm starting to see this now
00:45:00
where multiple people in the organization try to solve the same software problem and they're competing
00:45:06
with each other. So like this internet I'm talking about, we built one for Japan.
00:45:11
>> Yeah. >> But somebody built the US one. So now I have two pieces of software. So I said
00:45:15
to the two different people or do we have did you guys fork each other's code or they're like no we just
00:45:22
built two different lovable projects. And I'm like is that the right thing to do because you went faster and I had two
00:45:30
swings at bat two different intelligent brilliant people making their version of
00:45:35
the software. >> But you would never have done that >> in the previous way of building
00:45:40
software. You would have one track of software and you would be building Franken software where you'd be trying
00:45:46
to get all the needs into it from the two different groups. I Yeah, I I'm actually a huge fan of very rapid
00:45:53
experimentation and I I have a story where for a while I worked at a a place called CERN where they do particle
00:46:01
physics. It's it's pretty here in Europe, right? Uh and that's where I was introduced to this concept of
00:46:07
co-opetition where they have two actually quite isolated teams working on the same um particle accelerator but
00:46:15
different places on it and then they don't share the results until they publish and that way they uh they can
00:46:22
kind of over time learn what's working best in the different organizations but you don't get stuck in a local minimum
00:46:27
and it's you know free markets work extremely well because of competition and they they they do that in academia
00:46:31
as well and now since the engineering is less of the bottleneck. It's more the question of what is the right thing to
00:46:37
build. I think it's a great thing to have if you have the sufficiently many humans right to do to try to attempt
00:46:45
solving the same problem in different ways. And then if you do that on lovable, what I like to do is I I take I
00:46:50
bring up a new project or one of the projects and I I say, "Hey, can you go and just check out this other one and
00:46:55
take this these three things that I really like and and bring them bring them over here and maybe even run an a
00:47:02
split test, run an experiment to see if it's if it's improves improving the metrics for for our customers we're
00:47:07
trying to serve. >> Did you see somebody used Fable to build Fortnite >> and uh >> I've seen the 3D some of the 3D games?"
00:47:14
Yeah. >> Yeah. What is your take on, you know, this latest version from Anthropic
00:47:19
Fable? I know they're a part or I assume they're a partner. I don't know that. >> Yeah, we use Fable as well as one of the
00:47:24
models. >> What do you think of it in terms of compared to the last generation faster,
00:47:30
better, both? >> Yeah. Is it a massive step function? Yeah. >> What I've seen is that it can in the
00:47:38
first attempt create very sophisticated things that look really good. Then when as you're evolving right it's it's still
00:47:45
the same thing where you as a human you have to think you often should be planning together with your agent about
00:47:52
what is the right thing to do and and that's more of that's again more of the bottleneck uh whereas more intelligence
00:47:58
is on some tasks it's great yeah like it creates really beautiful things 3D games
00:48:03
for example but on figuring what to what to build figuring out figuring out what
00:48:08
are the right strategic directions or experiments you should run to improve outcomes for your business. That's um uh
00:48:15
that's not changing as fast is the humans knowing how to use the tool to get and to plug in all the right data to
00:48:22
be able to take the right decisions for taking your product forward and to take your business forward.
00:48:26
>> Um listen, I love the product, but even more than I love the product and you as
00:48:31
a founder, I love the outcome. The outcome for business is extraordinary. So, anybody who's listening, Lovable is
00:48:39
absolutely worth your time. Don't wait. Just put it on your corporate card and start building. That's my message. Just
00:48:45
start building with Lovable. It's an incredible product. And uh congratulations on being reborn six
00:48:53
times cuz every 6 months you add 100 million in revenue it seems. And then everybody says Lovable's dead because
00:49:00
the new foundation model is so good. But you keep studying your customer and and
00:49:05
you keep somehow surviving and thriving. So congratulations as an entrepreneur. Thank you so much, Jason. I enjoyed that
00:49:12
chat. I hope you enjoy the rest of your stay here in Paris. >> It's pretty great. And the Palace of
00:49:16
Versailles is so impressive, huh? Uh someday we'll be building this with lovable and optimist robots. I
00:49:22
>> I'm looking forward to it. I'm going all in. I'm going all in.

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Episode Highlights

  • Intel's Rise and Fall
    A deep dive into Intel's history, successes, and critical mistakes over the years.
    “What were the mistakes and what would we change?”
    @ 01m 07s
    July 15, 2026
  • Taiwan's Energy Crisis
    A chilling look at Taiwan's energy reserves and the implications for global tech supply chains.
    “Less than 3 weeks of energy reserves.”
    @ 16m 00s
    July 15, 2026
  • The AI Bubble
    Exploring the potential risks and realities of the current AI buildout.
    “Do you think it's a bubble?”
    @ 17m 41s
    July 15, 2026
  • The Future of AI and Economics
    The speaker discusses the potential of AI to drastically reduce costs and improve accessibility, predicting a transformative couple of decades ahead.
    “We will solve chemistry. We will solve language.”
    @ 21m 01s
    July 15, 2026
  • Lovable's Impact on Software Development
    Lovable is empowering both technical and non-technical users to build software efficiently, with significant growth in user engagement.
    “We're seeing a million new projects built every single week on the platform.”
    @ 25m 46s
    July 15, 2026
  • The Future of Lovable
    Open source is seen as the future for Lovable's growth and innovation.
    “You're all in on open source.”
    @ 41m 12s
    July 15, 2026
  • Rapid Experimentation
    Emphasizing the importance of rapid experimentation in software development.
    “I'm a huge fan of very rapid experimentation.”
    @ 45m 50s
    July 15, 2026
  • Lovable's Resilience
    Despite claims of being dead, Lovable continues to thrive and grow.
    “Every 6 months you add 100 million in revenue.”
    @ 48m 56s
    July 15, 2026

Episode Quotes

  • What a colossal waste of time.
    Former Intel CEO on What Went Wrong, What's Next + Lovable CEO on the Real Promise of Vibe Coding
  • Less than 3 weeks of energy reserves.
    Former Intel CEO on What Went Wrong, What's Next + Lovable CEO on the Real Promise of Vibe Coding
  • This isn't a theory.
    Former Intel CEO on What Went Wrong, What's Next + Lovable CEO on the Real Promise of Vibe Coding
  • Growth is phenomenal.
    Former Intel CEO on What Went Wrong, What's Next + Lovable CEO on the Real Promise of Vibe Coding
  • You're dying again by another 100 million in annual revenue.
    Former Intel CEO on What Went Wrong, What's Next + Lovable CEO on the Real Promise of Vibe Coding
  • I love the outcome. The outcome for business is extraordinary.
    Former Intel CEO on What Went Wrong, What's Next + Lovable CEO on the Real Promise of Vibe Coding

Key Moments

  • Critical Mistakes01:07
  • Taiwan's Energy Risk16:00
  • AI Buildout17:41
  • Quantum Computing Predictions22:51
  • Lovable's Growth25:46
  • Economic Impact32:54
  • Open Source Future41:14
  • Rapid Experimentation45:50

Tension Over Time

Words per Minute Over Time

Vibes Breakdown