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Is It Too Late To Invest In Nvidia? | Pivot

June 28, 2024 / 04:49

This episode discusses Nvidia's stock performance, its impact on the market, and investment strategies. Key topics include Nvidia's volatility, market capitalization, and the potential effects on housing prices.

Scott highlights Nvidia's recent stock fluctuations, noting it has rebounded 7% after significant declines. He explains how Nvidia's market value influences the NASDAQ and S&P indexes, emphasizing its role in the broader economy.

The conversation touches on the wealth generated for Nvidia employees and its implications for real estate in San Francisco. Scott speculates on how many employees may now have significant wealth and how this could affect housing demand.

Scott advises listeners on investment strategies, suggesting that buying index funds may be a safer approach than investing directly in Nvidia. He explains that index funds provide exposure to top-performing companies while mitigating risk.

The episode concludes with Scott reiterating the importance of diversification in investments and the benefits of index funds for mental health and financial stability.

TL;DR

Nvidia's stock volatility impacts the market and housing; Scott advises investing in index funds for safety.

Video

00:00:00
another story that's really interesting
00:00:01
Scott I I noticed Nvidia stock they were
00:00:03
talking about here on Aspen it's been on
00:00:05
a roller coaster this week Shares are
00:00:07
headed back up after multiple days of
00:00:09
decline which cost the company it's
00:00:10
title is the world's most valuable
00:00:12
company NVIDIA Shares are still up over
00:00:16
160% uh since January what do you think
00:00:19
about this um I think a lot of I think a
00:00:23
lot of people thought this was coming
00:00:24
you you talked about this a lot go ahead
00:00:27
yeah but since it's rebounded 7% it's
00:00:29
not it's ups and downs aren't that
00:00:31
interesting what's more interesting is
00:00:32
that when it loses
00:00:34
133% over the course of 3
00:00:36
days um it basically loses the value of
00:00:40
MasterCard I mean if you look at the
00:00:42
blast zone or Ground Zero of essentially
00:00:45
two trillion do in incremental value
00:00:47
creation over the last six or 12 months
00:00:50
the knock on effects are so dramatic if
00:00:52
this company this company could go down
00:00:54
80% and all of a sudden the NASDAQ and
00:00:56
the S&P wouldn't be keeping Pace with
00:00:58
inflation one company is now sort of as
00:01:01
goes I mean it in it used to be the
00:01:03
Magnificent 7 now it's the Magnificent
00:01:06
one it's it's the singular Samurai Nidia
00:01:09
so nvidia's now become the tail that's
00:01:12
wagging the dog of almost everything and
00:01:14
I'm fascinated by this thing because
00:01:16
people just can't imagine the kind of
00:01:18
value creation here and what it means
00:01:20
when it becomes so
00:01:21
huge that in this volatile it is I mean
00:01:25
the NASDAQ is effectively the tone for
00:01:28
the American economy right now now is
00:01:30
going to be directly and indirectly
00:01:33
dictated by the volatility of Nvidia
00:01:36
even for example 30,000 employees 3
00:01:40
trillion plus market cap so you're
00:01:42
talking about $100 million per person I
00:01:43
was just I work my ass off got so lucky
00:01:47
with L2 sold it for $160 million after
00:01:50
executing almost what I felt like was
00:01:52
perfectly having just an in incredibly
00:01:54
lucky just finally I did something and I
00:01:56
got every all the moons lined up 160
00:01:59
million dollar 80 people so that's $2
00:02:02
million per employee they've generated
00:02:05
somewhere between 100 and 130 million
00:02:07
per employee and I would bet of those
00:02:09
30,000 10,000 woke
00:02:12
up last week and said I'm worth between
00:02:14
10 and 50 million doar right which what
00:02:18
does that do to San Francisco real
00:02:19
estate prices when all of a sudden what
00:02:21
do you do when you're
00:02:23
29 you know that we we talked about that
00:02:25
housing is way up
00:02:27
mhm a lot of the tech companies and
00:02:29
especially all the an open AI everybody
00:02:32
coming back etc etc but when you have
00:02:34
10,000 people probably in their 20s 30s
00:02:37
and 40s that all of a sudden have $10
00:02:38
million in incremental wealth you got to
00:02:41
think two-thirds of them are thinking
00:02:42
we're either going to buy a nice home or
00:02:44
a better home I mean we're either going
00:02:45
to buy a first home or upgrade what does
00:02:46
that do to housing stock I mean there's
00:02:49
just and then what happens if this thing
00:02:51
goes down 80% it could Nvidia could
00:02:54
decide the the presidential election if
00:02:56
the market is off 2% instead of up 14
00:03:00
that is a huge talking point for for the
00:03:03
Republicans this Nvidia has become as
00:03:06
Nvidia goes so goes the market and the
00:03:09
perception of the American economy so
00:03:11
where is it a buy now Scott for people
00:03:13
who are like you still can't to it this
00:03:16
is literally it's it's a meme stock in a
00:03:18
weird way in a weird this is I I tell
00:03:21
you I track everything I get about 70 60
00:03:25
meals a day from strangers and the
00:03:27
number one question I get is regarding
00:03:29
Young men either moms looking for advice
00:03:32
or young men themselves the number two
00:03:34
is is it too late to buy
00:03:36
Nvidia people and what I tell them is
00:03:39
look I don't know I can pin a scenario
00:03:42
where it doubles I can see it getting
00:03:44
cut by 50% if not 80% so this is what
00:03:47
you do in my view you buy spy you buy an
00:03:50
index fund because if you buy an index
00:03:52
fund every dollar that goes you're
00:03:54
buying 24 cents on the dollar goes to
00:03:58
the Magnificent Seven so if those
00:03:59
companies continue to kill it you
00:04:01
participate but if the other 493 stocks
00:04:04
have their day in the Sun and those
00:04:05
stocks get cut in half you're still okay
00:04:08
so you take some upside off the table
00:04:11
but you save your mental health you know
00:04:13
you're participating and the thing about
00:04:15
these indexes that's so amazing is they
00:04:18
are a screening mechanism for the best
00:04:19
companies so so you know uh
00:04:30
right so it's the best companies in the
00:04:32
world you're investing in and they do
00:04:34
the job of balancing and diversifying
00:04:36
for you so anyway you want to invest in
00:04:38
Nvidia thoughtfully you don't need to
00:04:40
know whether it's going to go up or down
00:04:41
buy an index fund just buy an index fund
00:04:43
good idea

Episode Highlights

  • Nvidia's Market Influence
    Nvidia's volatility could dictate the American economy and even presidential elections.
    “As Nvidia goes, so goes the market.”
    @ 03m 09s
    June 28, 2024
  • Investing in Index Funds
    Consider investing in index funds to balance risk while participating in market growth.
    “Buy an index fund just buy an index fund.”
    @ 04m 43s
    June 28, 2024

Episode Quotes

Key Moments

  • Nvidia's Roller Coaster00:05
  • Market Volatility00:58
  • Wealth Impact02:41
  • Investment Strategy04:30

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