Why NFL Week 1 Can Fool You
- Sep 16, 2026
- 1:12:56
- Full Episode
ABOUT THE EPISODE NFL Week 1 can create instant hype, panic, and major changes to power rankings. But which results actually matter?
Tej Seth, data scientist, explains how NFL analysts separate real trends from early-season noise. He explores why offensive scheme can be more predictive than one game's box score, why turnovers should be downweighted, and how analysts adjust projections after surprising performances.
The conversation also looks at the Ravens' offensive changes, the Chiefs' running game, the 49ers-Rams matchup, and the key tests ahead for NFL contenders.
ABOUT THE PODCAST Sports is a game of numbers. Wharton experts Eric Bradlow, Shane Jensen, Cade Massey, and Adi Wyner team up to tackle the world of sports, from current events to longstanding issues such as: What sports streaks are the most impressive? How do you rank the best players? Can athletes be compared across sports? Moneyball Highlights explains how decision-makers in the game can avoid the common mistakes and embrace the data. Episodes are recorded at the Wharton School.
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Brief Summary
Tej Seth discusses NFL Week 1 analysis, college football matchups, and MLB playoff races.
Key points
- Tej Seth Joins the Show. Tej Seth, a rising football analyst, shares his insights on NFL trends and performances.
- Ravens' New Offensive Coordinator. Tej discusses the impact of the Ravens' new offensive coordinator on their gameplay.
- Impressive 49ers Victory. The 49ers showcased dominance against the Rams, surprising many with their performance.
- Josh Allen's Incredible Performance. Josh Allen led the Bills to a notable victory against the Texans, showcasing his skills under pressure.
- Texas-Ohio State Showdown. Texas staged a thrilling comeback against Ohio State, winning with a 21-point fourth quarter.
- Quarterback Clutchiness Debate. A discussion on whether some quarterbacks perform better under pressure, exploring the concept of 'clutchiness'.
Episode highlights
- Tej Seth Joins the ShowTej Seth, a rising football analyst, shares his insights on NFL trends and performances.“I've been listening to this show for the past couple of years.”3:05Sep 16, 2026
- Ravens' New Offensive CoordinatorTej discusses the impact of the Ravens' new offensive coordinator on their gameplay.“I'm going to be more bullish on the Ravens offense the rest of the year.”5:05Sep 16, 2026
- Impressive 49ers VictoryThe 49ers showcased dominance against the Rams, surprising many with their performance.“That was wildly impressive.”22:09Sep 16, 2026
- Josh Allen's Incredible PerformanceJosh Allen led the Bills to a notable victory against the Texans, showcasing his skills under pressure.“He dealt with the pressure throughout the game.”29:36Sep 16, 2026
- Texas-Ohio State ShowdownTexas staged a thrilling comeback against Ohio State, winning with a 21-point fourth quarter.“Texas won in dramatic fashion, coming back with 21 points in the fourth quarter.”37:19Sep 16, 2026
- Quarterback Clutchiness DebateA discussion on whether some quarterbacks perform better under pressure, exploring the concept of 'clutchiness'.“Is this a thing?”45:07Sep 16, 2026
- Zverev's Promising FutureZverev reflects on his career and potential, acknowledging his growth after a rocky start in major finals.“I would not be surprised if Zverev can end up with four or five majors in his career.”52:04Sep 16, 2026
- Ben Shelton's Future in TennisBen Shelton has the potential to win, but can he improve his game enough?“He has to improve from the back of the court.”52:42Sep 16, 2026
