Why College Football Playoff Predictions Are More Certain Than They Should Be

ABOUT THE EPISODE The hosts break down how MLB now mixes analytics into Gold Glove voting and why current defensive metrics still misjudge positioning and value by position. They discuss why NFL power rankings look unusually tight this year, whether league-wide analytics and rule changes are compressing team quality, and why some playoff sims are far too confident. They also dig into the uncertainty in the new 12-team college football playoff, MLB’s recent gambling issues, and the Oilers’ 9–1 loss to Colorado.

ABOUT THE PODCAST Sports is a game of numbers. Wharton experts Eric Bradlow, Shane Jensen, Cade Massey, and Adi Wyner team up to tackle the world of sports, from current events to longstanding issues such as: What sports streaks are the most impressive? How do you rank the best players? Can athletes be compared across sports? The Moneyball podcast explains how decision-makers in the game can avoid the common mistakes and embrace the data. Episodes are recorded at the Wharton School.

#SportsAnalytics #MLB #NFL #CollegeFootball #Moneyball ----- The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania is committed to sharing its intellectual capital through Knowledge at Wharton, the school’s online business analysis journal.

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