Roth Steve SF
Brief Summary
The episode discusses forecasting, risk-taking, and decision-making through personal experiences in the Good Judgment Project.
Key points
- Becoming a Super Forecaster. After joining the Good Judgment Project, I learned the importance of perspective and risk-taking.
- The Value of Adaptation. I frequently re-examine my forecasts based on new information and events.
- Investment Philosophies. My wife and I have differing investment philosophies that reflect our risk perspectives.
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Episode highlights
- Becoming a Super ForecasterAfter joining the Good Judgment Project, I learned the importance of perspective and risk-taking.“I was not a super forecaster; I had to earn that status.”1:08Feb 25, 2016
- The Value of AdaptationI frequently re-examine my forecasts based on new information and events.“Forecasts should change based upon the events and happenings of the world.”2:58Feb 25, 2016
- Investment PhilosophiesMy wife and I have differing investment philosophies that reflect our risk perspectives.“My professional career has been oriented towards reducing the risk that decision makers have.”5:04Feb 25, 2016
