NFL home-field advantage is shrinking, analytics show
Episode Description
Home-field advantage in the NFL has declined over time, shares Moneyball host Cade Massey.
ABOUT THE EPISODE Wharton Professors and Moneyball hosts Cade Massey, Adi Wyner, Eric Bradlow, and Shane Jensen dig into baseball’s offseason, new defensive metrics like outs above average, and what analytics reveal about fielding and player value. They talk about the growing sense of parity across the NFL, how uncertainty shapes power rankings, and whether analytics are making teams more alike. Towards the end of the episode, they discuss college football, debating playoff odds, strength of schedule, and which programs still have a path to the title.
ABOUT THE PODCAST Sports is a game of numbers. Wharton experts Eric Bradlow, Shane Jensen, Cade Massey, and Adi Wyner team up to tackle the world of sports, from current events to longstanding issues such as: What sports streaks are the most impressive? How do you rank the best players? Can athletes be compared across sports? The Moneyball podcast explains how decision-makers in the game can avoid the common mistakes and embrace the data. Episodes are recorded at the Wharton School.
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Brief Summary
Homefield advantage in sports has significantly decreased over the years, affecting betting strategies.
Key points
- Declining Homefield Advantage. Homefield advantage has significantly decreased over the years, now thought to be less than three points.
