How AI and Analytics Are Changing Quarterback Evaluation and NFL Outcomes

Knowledge at Wharton

  • Jan 8, 2026
  • 1:07:55
  • Full Episode

ABOUT THE EPISODE In this episode recorded on 12/31/2025, Eric Bradlow, Shane Jensen, and Adi Wyner examine how AI-driven metrics, model calibration, and Bayesian approaches inform quarterback evaluation, team upsets, and the evolving limits of sports analytics. Eric Bradlow talks about how modern analytics reshape the way quarterbacks are evaluated beyond traditional stats. Shane Jensen discusses the role of coaching, team context, and patience in quarterback development. Adi Wyner explains how Bayesian thinking and model uncertainty change how analysts interpret surprising results.

ABOUT THE PODCAST Sports is a game of numbers. Wharton experts Eric Bradlow, Shane Jensen, Cade Massey, and Adi Wyner team up to tackle the world of sports, from current events to longstanding issues such as: What sports streaks are the most impressive? How do you rank the best players? Can athletes be compared across sports? Moneyball Highlights explains how decision-makers in the game can avoid the common mistakes and embrace the data. Episodes are recorded at the Wharton School.

#SportsAnalytics #FootballAnalytics #AIInSports #NFLAnalytics ----- The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania is committed to sharing its intellectual capital through Knowledge at Wharton, the school’s online business analysis journal.

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Brief Summary

The episode discusses sports statistics, standout players, coaching impacts, and the evolving role of analytics in sports.

Key points

  • End of Year Reflections. The hosts reflect on a year filled with advancements in statistics and sports.
  • Drake May's Impact on the Patriots. Shane shares his excitement about Drake May's performance and the Patriots' surprising success.
  • Betting Odds and Team Strength. Discussion on the discrepancies between betting odds and statistical models for NFL teams.
  • MVP Debate: May vs. Stafford. The MVP race is heating up between Drake May and Matthew Stafford, with stats on both sides.
  • Sam Darnold's Surprising Success. Sam Darnold is now one of six quarterbacks to win 13 games two seasons in a row.
  • 81% Chance for Underdogs. A surprising statistic reveals the probability of underdogs advancing in college football.

Episode highlights

Tension

40/ 100Low tension

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