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Can Anyone Regulate a $400 Trillion Market?

December 19, 2013 / 22:24

This episode features Gary Gensler, chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, discussing financial regulation, derivatives oversight, and the Dodd-Frank Act.

Gensler addresses the intense debates surrounding the regulation of derivatives markets, which are valued between 400 and 700 trillion dollars. He emphasizes the importance of transparency in these markets, noting that unregulated derivatives contributed to the 2008 financial crisis.

He explains the challenges of cross-border regulation, particularly with overseas derivatives, and the need for U.S. laws to apply to foreign branches of U.S. financial institutions. Gensler highlights the cooperation among global regulators since the G20 summit in 2009.

The conversation touches on the CFTC's achievements in implementing reforms, including reporting requirements and risk mitigation techniques. Gensler also discusses the importance of preventing another financial crisis by ensuring that large financial firms can fail without taxpayer bailouts.

Finally, Gensler reflects on the CFTC's limited resources compared to the vast market it oversees, emphasizing the need for effective regulation to maintain public confidence in the financial system.

TL;DR

Gary Gensler discusses derivatives regulation, transparency, and the challenges of overseeing a $400 trillion market.

Episode

22:24
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today at knowledge at wharton we're
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speaking with gary gensler and he's the
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chairman of the commodities futures
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trading commission
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thank you for joining us today gary no
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it's terrific to be back at my alma
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mater
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oh great um your career
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on wall street has not prevented you
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from being um
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a target of criticism by your former
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wall street colleagues
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and um most of that is happening because
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of the way you would like to interpret
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the dodd-frank and other financial
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reforms
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now your tenure comes to a close in just
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a couple months at the end of 2013
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and a lot of people would be sort of
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buffing up their plaques on the wall and
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starting to pack their boxes but instead
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you're
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actually involved in one of the most
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intense debates of your entire
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career at the commission so um
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you're also overseeing a market of
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derivatives that's
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somewhere between 400 and 600 or 700
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trillion dollars you can
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you can fill us in on what the right
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number is um
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could you talk about what
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this latest intense debate is about i
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think it has to do with
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with overseeing overseas derivatives and
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getting them or not getting them on to
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an exchange
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well let me let me start by saying
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these financial contracts called
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derivatives or swaps were at the center
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of the 2008 crisis
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and 8 million people lost their jobs in
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that crisis
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and large businesses
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like the insurance company aig
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we americans as taxpayers bailed out
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because it was so interconnected with
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the rest of the economy through
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the unregulated swaps marketplace that's
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what this is about
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ensuring uh that there's transparency in
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the markets
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and ensuring that large financial firms
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have the freedom to fail
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rather than each of us americans putting
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our hard-earned dollars
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in to bail out those businesses
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well aig you might remember had
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a large swaps business which actually
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was run
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overseas there are four flung operations
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actually nearly brought down our u s
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economy
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so this most recent debate about the
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cross-border application
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was to ensure that our laws are not
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strictly territorial
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but they actually will cover the
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far-flung operations the branches and
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guaranteed affiliates
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of u.s financial institutions and we've
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been successful
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congress gives gave us those authorities
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and our commission voted out guidance in
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july to do that
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that is um it's a parallel situation to
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the banks and bank regulations correct
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where
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we're too big to fail is uh is it's it's
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a problem
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in preventing that partly because uh so
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many operations can be overseas so you
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you face that same problem
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you have as i understand it overseas
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regulators or certainly financial folks
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overseas that aren't very happy about
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this
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and are coming to a kicking and
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screaming and probably
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fighting it in many legal ways too so
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what what what's your defense when uh
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you know the uk or someone says wait a
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minute this this transaction
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originated here in london you can't
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impose your regulations washington on
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what we're doing over here
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actually we we've been on a journey
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together uh
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from 2009 when president obama got
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the leaders of 20 nations together in
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pittsburgh it was called the g20 summit
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in pittsburgh in 2009 and there was
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broad agreement
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on bringing new oversight to these once
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dark markets
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and europe canada japan the u.s
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we've been on this journey together
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they've had very strong laws
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in place in europe and in japan and the
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u.s
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we might be a little ahead on timing
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and that creates some
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challenges because of different timing
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uh but we really
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are on this journey together so the
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broad structure you're in agreement i
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know the devil's in the details and
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that's where
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yes this is those areas and but there's
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a lot of details
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um and a lot of dust devils so so uh
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a fair review is that on uh
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three or four areas just we're smack on
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about the same place
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and a couple of areas we're not so
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reporting to regulators meaning
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all of these transactions have to be
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reported to regulators that's been going
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on in the u.s since december of last
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year
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400 trillion dollars of derivatives
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reported into the data repositories here
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in the u.s
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as we speak that there's something
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called
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central clearing that helps lower the
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risk of the marketplace it's
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it's been around for 120 years in other
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markets
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we've just brought this common sense
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reform to the swaps market
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in the u.s we have phased it from march
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until this october and it is now fully
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in place
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and the last data we had was nearly
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three quarters of the transactions in
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the middle of september were being
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cleared
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in the interest rate markets europe will
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put that in place
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uh sometime in the middle to second half
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of next year so
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there's some timing difference and then
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uh we have what's called the risk
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mitigation techniques that
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that the various dealers have to have
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clean up their back office the boring
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back office part of this but
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swaps have to be documented they have to
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be confirmed they have to be reconciled
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in all of those three areas we're really
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uh in sync i would say the one
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area that has has been um
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we americans have put in law and others
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have
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yet to join is that the public benefits
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from transparency
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and economists have shown whether
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they're at wharton or elsewhere
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economists have shown for decades
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that transparency price and volume of
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transactions
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helps the broader public it helps the 99
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plus percent
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of the public that might use these
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contracts but it does shift some of the
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information advantage from
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wall street to main street we've put
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that in place
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we have post-trade reporting in the u.s
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that means every transaction is reported
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now
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publicly we're just initiating
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uh that trading platforms as well have
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to be registered
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um but as you might know
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europe is only now passing a law to do
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that as well and i think they will pass
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a strong law but
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there are some differences because we're
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about two years
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gap on the law when that gap's closed
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will there be
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um incentives for some organizations to
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try to let's say originate you know
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outside of these 20 countries and and
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you know so there's always the argument
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with some regulation that well if you
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if you regulate too much then things
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just go underground and they become less
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transparent but i mean
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you're in september you're saying you
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captured three quarters of the
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of the swamps in the u.s so can i go to
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the cayman islands well maybe that's a
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bad example because i know there are
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just some new rules passed there but can
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i go to some other
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you know outside of these 20 countries
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and initiate my
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my swap and avoid some of this paperwork
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well risk knows no geographic
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border or boundary so what we've done
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here in the u.s
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has said if you're a u.s person or if
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you're
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an overseas branch of that u.s person
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or you're an overseas affiliate that's
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guaranteed by the u.s person you're
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covered by
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these reforms that only makes sense
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because we have to remember
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and recall the lessons of the crisis
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that so many of the u.s banks
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came asunder because of their offshore
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uh enterprises in the cayman islands and
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elsewhere
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if you want to set up in the cayman
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islands and you have nothing to do with
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the u.s
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you're by all rights go ahead but if
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you're guaranteed back here by
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the mothership in the u.s you're a
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branch back here in the u.s
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then you need to be covered sounds
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pretty
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um a pretty advanced state of global
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regulation really
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how would you compare that to what's
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happened
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in banking are you are the two
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industries more or less i know they're
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interrelated but are they following
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parallel tracks or do you think that
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this swap business is maybe a little bit
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ahead now
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we've been very successful with the
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commodity futures trading commission we
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were given about
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60 rules to write by congress
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that was three years ago and as we are
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here
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today we've completed 61 in fact rules
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guidances and orders and
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for the last year the markets have been
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coming into compliance
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i'm very proud of all of the people at
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the cftc we've largely completed the
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task the president and congress gave us
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that's partially true for bank
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regulation around the globe but it's not
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as far along in bank regulation
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you've been quoted as saying that the
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cftc is not going
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to allow the creation of another enron
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loophole could you tell us what you were
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referring to when you said that well
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there was there were various reforms
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that congress passed
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13 years ago in a in a different era
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and as part of those reforms
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there was an allowance an exemption
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for trading platforms from registration
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i mean think about it as that you could
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operate
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a a restaurant or maybe
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if you wish a casino without having a
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proper
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license without having to
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allow inspectors to come into your
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restaurant
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or your casino and
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that was all right that's where congress
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was in 2000.
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that came to be known as the enron
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loophole
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a number of senators and congressmen and
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even
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senator obama in june of 2008
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put out a release saying that he felt
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that we should close this enron loophole
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that we should no longer have unlicensed
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restaurants or casinos in the swaps
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trading
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area that's what congress did they
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repealed that exemption
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and with rules that we completed that
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went into effect on october
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2nd of this year now
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if you want to trade on a trading
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platform
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it has to not only have a license but it
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has to have certain business conduct it
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has to
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be open to the whole broad public not
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just to a select view
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and these reforms will really help
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promote transparency in our
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economy you talked about a market of
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400 trillion put that next to
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the entire u.s economy which is about 16
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trillion
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so it's a big number um confront it with
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that and you
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one has to ask how can you possibly
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regulate something
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so big and sprawling what what are some
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of the fundamental principles
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that you start out with when you do that
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and how did you accomplish that
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so here's a market that actually is 25
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times the size of our economy the
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notional
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amount the risk is is not quite that big
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so the fundamental principles going back
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to basics
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transparency matters you can shift
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information from the few dealers
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to the broad public and that makes an
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economy work better that's true whether
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it's in automobiles
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where we now can go on the internet we
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can see the price of automobiles before
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we go into the dealership
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and it's as true and important in these
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swaps so the
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market is your partner enforcer in a way
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well
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beyond that that we promote
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economic activity and efficiency in
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markets which is a fancy economic word
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saying that it cost you less
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if the market's transparent i have three
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daughters
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and uh they're young i wouldn't give
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them the keys to the car
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if i didn't think there were rules of
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the road that
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years ago the state legislature passed
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laws to have traffic lights and stop
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signs and
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cops on the beat to insure against drunk
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drivers
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i mean i just wouldn't give my daughters
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the keys to the car that's what we were
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doing
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in this swaps market it was unregulated
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and because of the crisis congress said
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no we have to have common sense rules of
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the road
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for the big highways of finance the same
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way we might have for the back roads for
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my daughters
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that's the basic principle after
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they ran the tractor trailer off the
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road well they did if i might just pause
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there
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so that's what we saw aig
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and others had fantastic
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accidents and they took out
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the the bystanders
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so so you could have been a pedestrian
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so to speak on the road
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and you could have been one of eight
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million that lost your job and having
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never heard of what a credit default
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swap
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my my mom she's 86 she still asked me
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gary what's a swap
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you know so so our job in washington and
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it's very different than
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when i once was
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fortunate enough to work on wall street
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for many years
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but our job is to look out for that
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broad public interest
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transparency and lowering risk and
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ensuring
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against manipulation and fraud for the
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general public
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you know it's interesting that uh with
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the uh aig bailout which i think was
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something like 180 billion
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that's right six hundred dollars for
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each and every american
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and i know that um i know that they've
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claimed
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not that long ago that they they paid it
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back with interest and i know there's a
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lot of folks who say but that
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you know that's miscounting or
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misaccounting there's a lot of other
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costs that that weren't added up in
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there
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and that there was probably actually a
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direct loss to the taxpayer but putting
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that controversy aside
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what you mentioned um is interesting
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that eight million jobs were lost they
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were a big contributor to that that's
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never
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on the ledgers that's never counted
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that's that's separate and apart from
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you know the you know the 180 billion
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and we
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and they paid that back um
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so just i mean it sounds like you're
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you're concerned about that and i find
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it interesting because you don't hear a
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lot of concern about that
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um it tends to be you know about the
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debits and credits and
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it turns into a technical discussion a
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lot of times and the human side is lost
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no no there's a very real human side i
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mean
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beyond the eight million people that
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lost their jobs i mean
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millions uh found themselves
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with homes that were valued less than
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their mortgages and
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and and millions found their pension and
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savings lower hundreds of thousands of
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businesses didn't make their budget
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in 2008 and 2009. there's
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real live consequences
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to the public from these
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what might be considered otherwise sort
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of narrow
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part of the economy do you know that
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non-finance in our economy
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the non-finance side employs
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94 percent of private sector jobs and of
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the other six percent most of that is
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insurance or community banks only a very
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small slice
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is what we might call wall street but
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they produce more than 40 percent of the
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profits i think
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well but ultimately ultimately
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finance has got to serve the real
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economy
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finance is about what wharton it's
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studied
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it's about allocating
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the money in society to the best uses
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so that my family's savings or
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your family's savings is allocated to
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another family that wants to take out a
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mortgage
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or somebody that has a good idea and
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wants to innovate and start a business
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finance is about serving the rest of the
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economy
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and these complex market swaps uh
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if well regulated or a component of
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serving the rest of the economy but not
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taking down the rest of the economy
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right and i cite the 40 percent
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uh not so much to underline the
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importance of the industry of course
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it's very important but
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but to also note there's many economists
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uh and financial observers from across
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the spectrum
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who say that that's an imbalanced
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economy when you have that much of your
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economy based uh in finance
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well and and in fact economists will say
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if you bring efficiency to a market you
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usually
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narrow the profit spread
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and can produce the same product for
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less
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cost we all like it that our computers
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cost less today than they did
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three years ago or ten years ago
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transparency
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in the swaps market will provide
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the risk reduction of swaps for but for
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a lower cost one last question
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um i hope it's not a hard one
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i'm wondering you you're talking about
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regulating
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400 trillion dollars worth of swaps i
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think you have about four employees
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working right now in your agency we're
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right now under the government shutdown
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still um
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you're the only financial regulator
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that's actually shut down
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except for a few key people um
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how does that work or not work well
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the staff of the cftc have proven
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themselves to be remarkably resilient
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the 650 that
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were furloughed and have not come in
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i thank them for their resilience of
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putting
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their uh professional lives on hold and
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living with this uncertainty for the 30
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who have come in each day
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and um each day we have an all hands
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meeting and we get together to say are
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you still here i fit them in one room
00:18:56
one room one room and we go around
00:19:00
everybody talks i thank them as well
00:19:03
it we're not doing anything other than a
00:19:07
cursory review of markets at this point
00:19:09
in time this is not
00:19:11
um adequately overseeing the markets
00:19:14
and we're a gravely underfunded agency
00:19:17
to start with we're only about
00:19:20
five percent bigger than we were 20
00:19:22
years ago and that was before congress
00:19:24
gave us this new
00:19:25
responsibility to oversee a 400 trillion
00:19:28
dollar market
00:19:29
so i i wonder how many times bigger the
00:19:32
market is
00:19:33
can you do that math well we we had
00:19:36
overseen a market called the futures
00:19:39
market
00:19:40
which historically was in corn and wheat
00:19:43
and oil but it also was in financial
00:19:45
products
00:19:46
like the euro dollar contract and the s
00:19:49
p 500.
00:19:50
that total market was about 30 trillion
00:19:53
dollars
00:19:54
and congress asked us to take on this
00:19:56
other market
00:19:57
this 400 trillion dollar market so you
00:19:59
can see
00:20:00
and with that new responsibility
00:20:03
we don't have more people there's
00:20:06
one other odd thing about that i think
00:20:09
that i've come across which is that i
00:20:12
believe your agency was responsible for
00:20:14
bringing in something like
00:20:16
almost a billion dollars worth of fines
00:20:17
is that correct
00:20:19
over the last year or so well in the
00:20:21
heart of the 2008 crisis
00:20:24
what our agency the cftc found
00:20:27
is that large financial institutions
00:20:30
banks were readily
00:20:33
and pervasively rigging the interest
00:20:35
rate market
00:20:37
there's something called the london
00:20:38
interbank offer rate which is
00:20:40
in many of your viewers
00:20:43
mortgages and student loans and and
00:20:46
business loans and
00:20:50
that marketplace was being
00:20:53
rigged by major banks we've brought four
00:20:55
actions and you're right
00:20:57
collectively those four actions against
00:20:59
three big banks and one
00:21:02
broker have brought in i think over two
00:21:06
over two billion dollars to the u.s
00:21:09
treasury somebody went back and they
00:21:12
figured out that that
00:21:13
added up to the last 17 years of our
00:21:16
agency's funding
00:21:18
well maybe in the future you'll be able
00:21:19
to get a small cut of that
00:21:21
no we don't i we're a good investment to
00:21:24
the american public because you
00:21:26
need cops on the road you need somebody
00:21:28
looking we're also a good investment
00:21:31
i would contend to wall street though
00:21:34
they don't always
00:21:35
agree with what we do their brand is
00:21:38
wrapped up
00:21:39
in the confidence in the markets could
00:21:42
you imagine would anybody come to the
00:21:43
football games
00:21:45
on sundays if there were no referees i
00:21:47
mean for a week or two it might be
00:21:49
interesting but after that it would not
00:21:52
we need referees to
00:21:55
ensure that people have confidence in
00:21:56
the markets thanks very much for joining
00:21:59
us
00:21:59
appreciate it thank you
00:22:23
you

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This episode stands out for the following:

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  • 60
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Episode Highlights

  • Regulating a Massive Market
    Gensler discusses the challenges of regulating a $400 trillion swaps market with limited resources.
    “How can you possibly regulate something so big and sprawling?”
    @ 11m 38s
    December 19, 2013
  • The Importance of Transparency
    Gary Gensler emphasizes that transparency in financial markets is crucial for economic efficiency.
    “Transparency matters; it makes an economy work better.”
    @ 12m 00s
    December 19, 2013
  • Lessons from the Financial Crisis
    Gensler reflects on the human impact of the 2008 financial crisis and the need for regulations.
    “There’s a very real human side to the financial crisis.”
    @ 15m 26s
    December 19, 2013

Episode Quotes

  • Transparency matters; it makes an economy work better.
    Can Anyone Regulate a $400 Trillion Market?
  • I wouldn’t give my daughters the keys to the car without rules of the road.
    Can Anyone Regulate a $400 Trillion Market?
  • There’s a very real human side to the financial crisis.
    Can Anyone Regulate a $400 Trillion Market?

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