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E14: Salesforce acquires Slack, DeepMind’s AlphaFold breakthrough, Trust Fund Socialists & more

December 04, 202001:32:23
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okay besties are back besties are back going  around the horn rain man david sacks calling  
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in from an undisclosed location suffering through  two code 13s in one lifetime and david friedberg  
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is here the queen of quinoa spacking everything  in sight living the life calling in from  
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a nondescript ritz-carlton room it appears to  be and of course the dictator himself chamoth  
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poly hopitia tackling like a fool welcome  back everybody this is what you pay for with  
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your subscription to the all-in podcast  brought to you by slack uh if you didn't  
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own slack shares raise your hand it's been an  incredible uh week um on a number of levels  
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we're going to talk this week about uh salesforce  buying slack trump and section 230 uh the coinbase  
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the ongoing coinbase saga uh freeberg found some  interesting science that could save humanity  
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and of course the trust fund socialists in the  new york times who hate their parents for giving  
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the money uh let's start off let's start with  off the most important thing what is that shirt  
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undershirt combo you're wearing i mean look  it's just it's you have buttons on buttons  
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break the layering rule you can't you can't  fool us if you're going to layer properly  
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you can have only one layer of buttons but to  have two layers of buttons that's not how it  
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works jkl went in and got it oh no layers are  for players not me no he's like an almond milk  
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cappuccino and he's like i like how that barista  dress is and i'm gonna wear that from now on  
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wait a second can i ask a technical question can  can i have buttons i can't have buttons on buttons  
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but can i have buttons and then a zipper up like  with the no you can't do that either um listen  
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had a weird aversion to buttons ever  since he spent the time in italy  
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did you was he button-shamed in italy i wasn't  i was a little button-chained but i'm looking  
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at sax's buttons on his collars which just makes  no sense saks is wearing the same brooks brothers  
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shirt that he graduated high school in at brooks  he owns 17 of brooks brothers at this point from  
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the number of blazers he's bought there all  right let's get off to it we've insulted each  
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other i don't think freeberg's taking the brunt  of anything yet anybody have any uh chop busting  
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they want to do with free burgers that's just sort  of built in no freeburg took the tablecloth that  
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i used for a picnic in the summertime and made  it into a shirt you know you have to be frugal  
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at this time and also free bird cares about the  environment he's not going to just land a picnic
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it was a hemp based tablecloth and so i knew  it was going to get taken and stolen i love how  
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i choose to spend my time with you guys it just  pays off here we go all right can we kick this off  
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all right let's kick it off with our advertisement  for nobody because tomorrow will not let me make  
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any money off of this podcast uh and thanks again  for the suggestion that we launched a syndicate  
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with no carry now a bunch of [ __ ] on twitter are  like hey when is the all-in syndicate starting i'm  
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like never i need to make a living i need to get  my beak wet and this week i'm sorry but i think  
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a an all-in syndicate would be super super  disruptive and cool i'm totally fine with  
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running it as long as we can have the 20 carry  and i'll manage the whole thing we got four  
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people on the call four or five we each get five  percent carry but we gotta make a living here  
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not everybody's made a chima not everybody's  got spacks a through z or had all of their slack  
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shares bought i think we'll kick it off with that  chamath we saw this week in fact just two days ago  
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salesforce in a record transaction for a sas  company i think it's the highest ever paid for  
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a sas company 27 billion dollars 27.7 billion  dollars for slack which has only been public  
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for just over a year i think you were i think did  the series be in slack right after they did their  
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pivot at social capital i don't know if that was  in one or two but phil hellmuth is serious about  
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it it was a series b in tiny spec but it was  the series a in slack and um there's a really  
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important story which is that um myself and raco  um who's my partner at social capital we've worked  
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together now for my gosh i think it's probably 15  years um wrote a really great memo justifying the  
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investment in slack and it had to do with one  thing and one thing only we ignored the revenue  
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and ar i mean it was fine and nice and good but  the single biggest thing that we were attracted  
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to was something that we looked at and which was  called inter-company edges and even back in 2015  
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or 16 when we did this original investment there  was this dynamic where people across companies  
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were communicating via slack channels and i was  completely stunned by this idea because that was  
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effectively a substitution for email because the  only way you communicate across companies today  
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is by email you know david is at craftventures.com  and he emails me at socialcapital.com and i email  
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jason inside.com that's how we communicate  across across businesses except now all of  
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a sudden you could be messaging and having a much  more real-time interface that to me was incredibly  
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disruptive and it justified the entirety of  the real forward-looking investment thesis  
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now fast forward five years later and these guys  have more usage on a daily basis than facebook  
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which is stunning because you know these guys  have 10 million daus and facebook has 2 billion  
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so it just goes to show you the  quantity of traffic and and the  
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the volume of information and theoretically you  know productivity that's happening on slack and so  
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i'm not sure what salesforce bought i actually  think that you know you can make a case why it's a  
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shame that it got bought a very strong one in fact  but what they did get whether they know it or not  
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is an inter-company edge effect which is the  most disruptive thing to email and in the hands  
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of salesforce and that sales team i think it  has the ability to really be a very disruptive  
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um force for good in enterprise software all right  so sax this is a natural um passing of the ball to  
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you and the baton because you did yammer sold it  to microsoft for a billion dollars and obviously  
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slack was the mobile successor to the desktop  version of yammer and you got a lot of your  
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fingerprints all over this but the  fact is you did a tweet storm about it  
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slack is an unbelievable success stewart  is a great uh founder you know he sold his  
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first company flickr for 30 million this one  for almost 30 billion so that's pretty nice  
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but there was one failure and you  pointed out in your tweet storm  
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explain what the one failure if you could pick out  of the hundreds of things thousands of things they  
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did right there was one thing they did wrong that  uh to jamaat's point would have resulted in them  
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remaining an independent company that could  have become worth more than 27 billion  
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yeah it was it was a slowness to embrace the idea  of enterprise sales and and by the way let's put  
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this in context i mean stuart and the slack team  did a phenomenal job 30 billion dollar exit um  
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seven years of just about flawless execution so i  don't want to and also you know i was an investor  
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in the company so thank you to sir for letting  me invest i'm definitely don't want to sound  
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like an ingrate or a critic i mean they just they  did a phenomenal job but if you were to nitpick  
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just one one little thing that i think they  could have uh done faster it would have been  
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embracing enterprise sales the big learning  from yammer uh you know we learned this at  
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yammer from 2008 to 2012 is that enterprises don't  self-serve right they don't self-close bottom up  
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sas products are phenomenal for generating  top of funnel basically generating leads but  
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you have to have sales people close the deals and  enterprises don't just kind of pull out a credit  
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card and self-serve you they need a sales person  and i think there was um something in the df  
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dna of snap slack that actually i see really very  commonly uh in the dna of of sort of product e sas  
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companies product e sas founders which is they  kind of have a reflexive dislike or distaste  
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for sales and they resist the idea of sales  and they want to believe that they can just  
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be entirely product driven and and what  i see and across the board as they all  
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come to the same realization that that we had  a yammer which is we have to have a sales team  
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and i do remember you know back in 2014 the  whole yammer sales team was basically rolling off  
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um because of you know microsoft acquired the  company in 2012 and there's an integration period  
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and by 2013 2014 they were all looking for  jobs and i remember you know my my former  
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cro i think was interviewing at slack and it would  have been such a perfect thing for them because  
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he had just learned all the lessons of how you  layer on kind of an enterprise sale on top of a  
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of a bottom-up product and they just weren't ready  to to make that higher yet and so look if you're  
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going to nitpick look 30 billion outcome no one's  criticizing but if you're to nitpick you know um  
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it's it's an a plus regardless but you know this  would be the one thing you could you could say  
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well congratulations all around to everybody  involved especially phil hellmuth who was an  
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lp in one of chamot's fun so if you need  insights on slack or any of the inside  
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information you can just follow phil hellmuth  on twitter at being the greatest or i am the  
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greatest or i'll always be the greatest one  of those twitter handles is but but jason  
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you basically came to the same conclusion in  your emergency pod right i mean i did i hadn't  
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seen your i think you tweeted him after the  emergency pod but uh yeah it just seemed to me  
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this company unlike zoom uh should have been able  to grow quicker and if you look at their numbers  
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they had 87 companies that had were spending over  a million dollars you put a rabid sales team on  
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that product and they go in like benioff does with  his sales team i mean he was just hyper aggressive  
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at just putting huge numbers out there and saying  you have to pay us this much money so much so that  
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i don't know if you remember elon getting into a  public spat with him where he's like salesforce is  
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horrible software get it out of the organization  he basically banned it because they came to him  
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with the bottom up people using of salesforce  and said hey you owe us this amount of money and  
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elon was like fu banned forever from inside of our  organization we'll build our own software we don't  
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need it and they didn't have somebody and stewart  didn't have that dna i think to say aggressively  
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we need to charge what this product is worth and  you saw that in i think one of their strengths  
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and weaknesses which was they only build you for  people who were actively using the product now  
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that's a beautiful awesome feature it makes you  not scared to use it but on the enterprise level  
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i mean that seemed to be like maybe one of  those non-cutthroat things that maybe were  
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holding them back david do you have any insights  on this or should we go on to alpha photo it's  
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um it's a it's really important to remember  the the mechanics and the game theory around  
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m a especially you know big game hunting when  you're doing 30 billion dollar acquisitions  
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um it's also kind of true at  billion dollar levels but less so  
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um but the bigger the acquisition gets you have to  remember that there's an asymmetry of information  
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between buyers and sellers and the question is who  does the asymmetry favor right because you could  
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look at this acquisition and say wow salesforce  is crazy for spending 30 billion dollars  
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and somebody else may say wow slack was really  stupid for selling it for 30 billion dollars right  
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the reality is that i think that there was  asymmetries on both sides i think that what  
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slack probably saw and i don't know because i've  been off the board now for more than a year um but  
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i think what they saw was as david said just um  you know a level of sophistication and scale and  
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ability to cross-sell an upsell that was needed  for enterprise scale either you overcome it with  
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precision and speed or you overcome it by going  the same pace as somebody like microsoft but with  
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an equivalent product portfolio so that's that's  sort of one realization that that that slack had  
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but in in the case of you know um salesforce what  they probably had was a realization that they  
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couldn't go wall-to-wall inside of a customer  because they didn't really have a product  
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that was useful or usable to every  single individual inside of an enterprise  
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and so both of those two things create asymmetries  there's a level of fear inside of slack and  
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there's a level of fear inside of salesforce both  of them are about the fear of disruption and then  
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the question is who gets the better of the other  person in the middle of the acquisition right  
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so the deal could have probably gotten done at  you know 22 billion it probably could have also  
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gotten done at 45 billion um and that's again to  a combination of um how well you play poker in  
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that moment right who blinks first and the quality  of the bankers this is like two people having top  
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pair on a very textured board it's like pizza and  they're just raising versus each other yeah that's  
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who i play them because like it's similar also to  like how microsoft bought linkedin right because  
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if you think about what happened in linkedin if  you remember when that happened it was almost to  
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a t very much like slack linkedin had a one bad  quarter they got decapitated by i you know and i  
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owned it at the time in the in our public fund it  got decapitated by like 50 60 70 i mean something  
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insane for missing numbers by like a few pennies  okay and all of a sudden it took a lot of the wind  
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out of their sales internally it didn't change the  user momentum at all because you know the users  
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that were signing up for linkedin didn't care what  the stock price was yesterday today and tomorrow  
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but it all of a sudden created a fear and i think  microsoft was able to exploit that fear and within  
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a year this company was bought for 25 billion  dollars not dissimilar you know slack had uh you  
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know a hiccup and they got re-rated the stock  bounced back um but i think that if salesforce  
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was smart they probably created you know sort of  like a white knight kind of bid that said listen  
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you need enterprise scale and the ability to  cross-sell and upsell i can give it to you  
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and slack probably said listen you need to go  wall to wall so i understand why you need me  
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and you know the price is what the price is good  free burger if you look at the pricing right  
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so slack normally the way these big ma you know  public company m a deals get done is the board has  
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to approve the price and they have to say this was  the right deal for us relative to other options  
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and one of the ways you assess that is you look at  where the share price has been historically and if  
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you're getting a premium to where the share price  has been historically let's say 30 40 percent  
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higher than it's ever been then the board says  great that's a good deal we should take it because  
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we've got a long way to grow into that value in  this case the deal was done not at a very high  
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premium to where slack traded just in the summer  uh is that right chamots it looked like it peaked  
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it's basically if you look at the 10 premium  right 10 premium yeah 10 premium yeah we we  
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opened the direct listing at 40 or 41 and then  this was at 45. right and so there clearly was a  
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a sense of weakness from the board which is um  i think why the salesforce stock traded down  
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afterwards because if they were willing to sell  at that small of a premium the forecast internally  
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is probably feeling not that strong and then  people translate that into hey salesforce bought  
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something that's not that strong um you know  there's there's something a little bit amiss  
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but but obviously to your point they're missing a  lot of the cross-selling and the synergy that that  
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that i think it's a huge slam dunk acquisition  and i go back to the this uh idea of intercompany  
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network effects um i think they  exist and i think they're real  
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and i think that the slot the the slack um  product team's ability to innovate around that  
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was not as fast as it could have been but it  was still very unique and i think it was um it  
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was a true moat and you know the the tragedy is  we won't see what the terminal value is if they  
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were um left alone to execute and in this weird  way like i've always struggled with why microsoft  
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was so overly obsessed with slack because  if you looked at the team's product it was  
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much more directly competitive with zoom and  to this day still remains much more directly  
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competitive with zoom than slack but you know  there we have it and if you look at the revenue  
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um slack was doing 800 million run rates and  we rounded up to a billion and yet salesforce  
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at 20 billion uh so five percent revenue to  revenue and then they got 10 of the company so  
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in that way if you look at on a percentage  basis which is you know how you might look at  
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the facebook instagram and and whatsapp is what  percentage of the existing entity did they get  
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right the science growing size scoring about 60 a  year and salesforce is growing about 22 something  
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like that the other thing is the president of  salesforce's uh brett taylor who uh was our  
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cto at facebook who i worked with and so i think  brett also understands network effects really well  
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um and you know by the way in in this  interesting twist of fate benioff was the  
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under bidder i think for linkedin and so um you  know we've uh we've seen mark around the hoop  
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on these you know social network network effect  business tool um acquisitions before and finally  
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also twitter he was running he was hanging around  the basket with twitter and then they also brought  
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his name up for tick-tock which made no sense  so i think benioff is just looking at this like  
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if if google and microsoft and apple are too  scared to buy things because of antitrust  
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well i'm under the radar of the antitrust trillion  dollars so i'm i'm the only one right he's uh he's  
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under the radar because he doesn't have a play in  this sort of communication or collaboration space  
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and so therefore there are no anti-trust issues um  if microsoft were to do it it would definitely be  
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scrutinized because you could argue that they're  adding to their existing dominant market share  
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and and collaboration um but benioff's dream has  always been at least since he uh you know launched  
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chatter to compete with with us when we were doing  yammer this is back in 2010 2011. is he his dream  
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has always been to have a product that could get  him onto every seat in the enterprise you know his  
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current product set has is departmental i mean  you've got kind of the crm product for sales and  
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they've got the support cloud for customer support  and they've got the marketing cloud for marketing  
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and so he's gone department by department but  he's never really had a sort of pan like or cross  
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company yeah something that the entire company  would use like a specific login system right  
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and slack is that central login system but when  you when he came up against you it was very you  
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know benioff you're friendly with benioff benioff  came at you so hard he threw three or four hundred  
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engineers at chatter he took out full-page wall  street journal ads he tried to poach her people he  
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tried to make the product free he made it personal  against you after you would not sell to him true  
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or false david sacks i don't i don't think he made  it personal but uh it was definitely do you feel  
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personal um did he tell you now no no no no no it  he did that's i understood what he was trying to  
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do that's your way of saying no i mean if we had  sold to salesforce like we we ended up so what i  
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would say is yeah we got in like a very it was  a very competitive situation he didn't beat us  
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um you know i was that he fell does that product  even exist yeah um it's sort of like a feed inside  
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of the the crm product it didn't really succeed  as a standalone collaboration product and so  
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we won that battle but it definitely i would  say it scared us enough to sell to microsoft  
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um because you know the what did we we were  about to we were about to enter a new stage  
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of competition so here's what happened is he  launched his product to kind of be a clone of  
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yammer inside of salesforce but he was initially  charging fifteen dollars per seat we were charging  
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like five and so they massively overpriced it and  and the event and then they they were on this like  
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slippery slope or they kept lowering the price  to compete better with us and then finally they  
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realized that they should just give the thing  away for free as a strategic move um and that  
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was when we decided to sell to microsoft is we  didn't know we knew we had a better product than  
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chatter but we didn't know how it would go if we  were up against a free chat tell us honestly how  
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much did he offer what was the meeting like where  he made you the offer we yeah so yeah so here's  
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i'll tell you the back story i mean this hasn't  been public publicly revealed but um here we go
00:21:20
in service of the all-in podcast go  ahead go ahead david give us some ratings
00:21:28
and services trying to get us from number  three to number one on the charts um  
00:21:32
no you know it's funny we launched uh yammer at  the techcrunch 40 conference that jason as you  
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know you were the co-founder of and benioff was  like a judge he was a panelist and he was raving  
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about it and you could just you know from from  the moment we launched he was raving about it  
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you could see the light bulb go off with him and  um he realized that like social was going to be  
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it was you know at the time obviously social was  big with consumer social networks but he saw the  
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potential of social or collaboration inside the  enterprise and so yeah i mean like i think a year  
00:22:05
later or something they were interested in buying  the company for around 250 million dollars the big  
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issue for them though was that benioff had a bunch  of like engineers who wanted to build it in-house  
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and so they they they actually i don't know what  would happen if um if they you know didn't want to  
00:22:24
build it themselves but but basically they vetoed  doing a deal and so they ended up building chatter  
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and they threw the 300 engineers at it and they  basically spun their wheels for a few years  
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and um anyway it turned out to be much better  for us because we end up selling the company for  
00:22:40
five times as much to microsoft um you know if we  had sold to salesforce in like 2010 it would have  
00:22:46
been a much smaller deal um but yeah that i mean  he was very interested from the from the get-go  
00:22:53
all right folks so you have a breaking  news in the background on what actually  
00:22:57
happened congratulations to stewart and the team i  want to ask a question did you guys um keep all of  
00:23:04
the shares you you originally invested in um to  the exit here just to set the context for folks  
00:23:10
you know you invest in a company it's a  small startup it's actually over 30 billion
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for every share that i owned half of it were  half no uh yeah for of of of a hundred shares  
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that i owned per every 100 that i owned um 10  of them i sold at 38 right at the direct listing  
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um i want to say 40 of them i sold uh in the  mid-20s and uh the rest of it just got taken  
00:23:46
out at this price so your dollar cost average to  the you know whatever high 30s maybe 40 or so yeah  
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i don't know my exact i mean i i i sold some and  i still own some so um you know i definitely got  
00:23:59
my my beak wet from this acquisition but but uh  no but look i i think i probably sold you know  
00:24:08
more than half of them you know um and that was a  mistake and you know one of my biggest learnings  
00:24:13
as an investors has been to let your winners ride  you know my biggest mistake as an investor has not  
00:24:18
been the losers it's all it's been selling the  winners prematurely yeah uber as well david uh  
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and i sold some uber before but i kept a lot of  my uber maybe most of it or half of it i think  
00:24:30
anyway uber facebook i mean facebook you know  when they ipo'd it was worth 50 billion we all  
00:24:35
thought that was like unbelievable i mean because  it was over a 50x return but um what's the lesson  
00:24:42
just never sell anything if you can help it i uh  i served on my facebook in 2014 and bought amazon  
00:24:49
and tesla i think that you have to be able to sell  for two reasons liquidity and moral obligation
00:24:57
yeah i mean that's an exaggeration i mean you  can never it's it's people need to be able to  
00:25:02
sell but to the extent you can hold on uh just  don't sell everything you know always you know  
00:25:09
keep um yeah keep saying think about the people  who were at apple in the 80s or microsoft in the  
00:25:14
80s or amazon in the 90s a lot of those people  got frustrated holding the shares for so long  
00:25:19
and i think keeping at least  20 of your shares forever  
00:25:23
you know could be amazing there was somebody  told me had never sold a single share of  
00:25:27
i don't know if that's a true story or not i  told you that you can't be okay okay anyway
00:25:37
more breaking news
00:25:52
what we should do is we should do a um we  should put beeps in there nick i was told  
00:25:59
had never sold a share of and then we just let  everybody react to it this way nobody knows  
00:26:06
what we're talking about i i do know that has  not sold a single share and it has only sold  
00:26:12
shares of the fund capital calls  which is an incredible statement to  
00:26:16
fortitude and vision incredible lord incredible  it's by the way by the way it's not always worked  
00:26:21
out because he did the same with those didn't go  as well yeah i mean look you you have to diversify  
00:26:28
when when you've got all your eggs in one basket  in one company obviously you have to sell some  
00:26:32
shares but um you know one of the things i've just  learned over the last 20 years is probably people  
00:26:37
ask me what's your biggest regret or learning  or whatever it's just selling too early is like  
00:26:40
one of the biggest mistakes you can make look at  paypal paypal is now a 250 billion dollar company  
00:26:46
we sold it in 2002 for 1.5 billion we thought that  was a great deal at the time and we sold it for  
00:26:52
less than one percent of what it's worth today  and the product's basically the same you know  
00:26:58
is the lesson never sell if it's a winner  ride it you compare okay hold on hold on  
00:27:03
i'm gonna put a final nail disc off and then  we're gonna go to alpha fold there's a great  
00:27:06
quote by warren buffett which is um if you know  what you're doing the best thing you can do  
00:27:12
is be as concentrated as possible nobody  ever got rich in their seventh best idea  
00:27:18
and i think that that basically sums it up but you  have to be in a position to have the ability to  
00:27:23
have that kind of portfolio allocation and i think  that's hard free birds explain alpha fold please  
00:27:30
uh okay let's explain give me two minutes on  i'll explain proteins and then the importance  
00:27:35
of proteins and then alpha folds so um the  numbers to remember are 4 3 and 20. there  
00:27:42
are four nucleic acids that make up your dna  we all learned this in high school biology  
00:27:47
sets of three a c t and g combinations  define an amino acid there are 20 amino acids  
00:27:55
um and a protein is a string of amino acids  so in your body and every cell there are these  
00:28:01
organelles they make proteins by reading the  dna taking out a copy of it and turning it into  
00:28:07
amino acid chains and that's what we kind of call  proteins but what's interesting is when you make  
00:28:13
a chain of amino acids so there's 20 of them  that you could put in each point in the chain  
00:28:18
it doesn't come out as a long chain what happens  is those amino acids the whole thing collapses  
00:28:23
and it turns into a very specific shape and the  shape of that protein is what defines its function  
00:28:29
so pretty much every biological function across  all life is uh is undertaken by proteins doing  
00:28:38
something some proteins like hemoglobin in our  red blood cells will has a very specific little  
00:28:43
pocket where oxygen molecules stick into the  pocket and then it moves the oxygen from your  
00:28:47
lungs to your cells it's a pretty amazing protein  to exist uh and it specifically is shaped to do  
00:28:53
that exact function there are other proteins  that can for example rip apart other molecules  
00:28:58
break a molecular bond there are other  proteins for example that can take nitrogen  
00:29:04
out of the atmosphere and put it into plants  cells that the plants can then use to grow  
00:29:09
there's an incredible you know a set of potential  on the nanoscale of what you can do with proteins  
00:29:15
and we see that in life and we're just shocked  and odd and amazed by it every day but in order to  
00:29:20
figure out how to create proteins that do specific  things you have to know how do those amino acids  
00:29:25
turn into the shape that the protein ultimately  takes and that's what's called protein folding  
00:29:30
um and so the hard thing is um and you know why  is this important it's important because we can  
00:29:36
easily read dna and therefore we can figure out  what amino acid sequence is being made to define  
00:29:43
that protein but what we don't know really well  is what is the shape of that protein and therefore  
00:29:47
how does it undertake the function that we see  it taking in biology and if you think about the  
00:29:52
reverse of this the reverse of this if you have a  function you want to undertake in biology you can  
00:29:56
design a protein to do that function for you for  example bind to a specific point on a cancer cell  
00:30:02
um or you know take carbon out of the atmosphere  or pretty much anything else your your mind can  
00:30:07
kind of imagine on the nanoscale proteins can be  designed to do the challenge is how do you write  
00:30:14
the code which is the dna to make the protein that  does that thing well we don't know how the code  
00:30:20
turns into the shape and that's what folding  the folding problem is so the folding problem  
00:30:25
there's a data set and the data set is what's  the three-dimensional shape of a protein  
00:30:29
and then what's the dna code that defines the  amino acid sequence that makes that protein  
00:30:34
and how do you figure out how to predict the  shape of the protein from the amino acid sequence  
00:30:39
it has been an impossibility and um again  if you think about this chain of amino  
00:30:44
acids they each have little um you know uh  electrical spaces and and the way that they  
00:30:50
bind to each other it's very complicated  you can't just deterministically define it  
00:30:55
you know we don't have that level of understanding  on a quantum scale so what alpha fold has done  
00:31:01
is they have now been able to predict from a  sequence of amino acids what the protein shape  
00:31:06
will ultimately become by learning from a database  of hundreds of thousands of structural protein
00:31:15
shapes that have been defined through really  really really um difficult uh you know scanning  
00:31:20
microscopes and other techniques to really  try and scan a protein on a microscopic scale  
00:31:25
and then looking at the the dna sequence and  figuring out okay what's the relationship  
00:31:30
and the accuracy of their predictive  model now is within the range of error  
00:31:36
of the microscopes that are being used to  actually scan and measure those proteins  
00:31:41
so that's incredible because now theoretically  you could come up with a design for a protein  
00:31:46
and you could actually build that protein by  writing the amino acid sequence and that protein  
00:31:50
can do any number of things you want to do and  this has been a difficult problem that's been  
00:31:54
intractable by humanity and we've been challenged  by it for decades um for this machine learning  
00:32:00
breakthrough to kind of be realized in literally  less than three years i mean the these guys were  
00:32:05
at a score of 40 last year and this year they're  at like nearly 90. which is incredible and so now  
00:32:12
um you know we can now predict what the shape will  be from the from the dna sequence and and this  
00:32:17
is going to unlock this ability everyone's now  going to take their model if they license it or  
00:32:21
whatever they do with it or people are going to go  learn using the same techniques that deepmind used  
00:32:25
um but it just means that it's possible and  then scientists will go away and they'll say  
00:32:30
you know what i want to do this particular thing  on a microscopic scale let me design in in three  
00:32:35
dimensional space of protein to do that thing okay  now let me go figure out how to make that protein  
00:32:39
by writing the dna code which is really easy if  you can use this algorithm to solve that for you  
00:32:44
and it is literally dollars and pennies to  make proteins we can write dna on a computer  
00:32:50
we can get printed dna sent to us in 48 hours  in a fedex envelope for a dna printing facility  
00:32:54
we can put it in a microbe and we can get that  microbe to make the protein for us in a day  
00:32:59
the lab cost any high school biology class can  do this now so by being able to actually figure  
00:33:03
out what dna to write based on the objective  function of what we want the protein to do  
00:33:08
it's going to unlock this universe of things we  can do in medicine in environmental science we  
00:33:14
can do things like break apart p-e-t plastics  we can do things like fixing nitrogen from the  
00:33:20
atmosphere and getting rid of fertilizer plants  we can create all sorts of new um you know food  
00:33:24
solutions health solutions environmental solutions  any chance you can make a pizza that doesn't have  
00:33:30
carbohydrates because that's what i'm thinking  about here is is there a way that you can make  
00:33:34
a healthy pasta or pizza or something like that  but in all seriousness what do you think the  
00:33:39
early wins will be out of this technology and is  this a theoretical win that will benefit from in  
00:33:45
20 years or is this a serious breakthrough that  we're going to benefit from in the near term  
00:33:51
like no i think one or five years both are true  this is an incredibly important advancement in  
00:33:56
machine learning um but the reality is that you  know google will still have to spend a deep mind  
00:34:01
will have to spend a lot of time refining it and  then they have some really big ethical challenges  
00:34:05
ahead of it how do you expose this technology to  whom and under what conditions and it's the same  
00:34:11
situation that openai has with gpt3 although  a lot of people i think you know the scale of  
00:34:16
the computer science challenge maybe was a bigger  win in gpt3 because it was a much more open space  
00:34:22
and i think this is a much more specific sort  of almost expert system in a way um but the the  
00:34:28
downstream commercial implications of this is just  enormous um and so just think about this like this  
00:34:35
is where like you gotta you gotta love companies  like google the fact that they exist because  
00:34:39
from you know page rank in 1999 to cpc ads in 2003  and four um we have alpha fold in 2020. and that  
00:34:48
to me is just that's just this is an argument  against breaking up tech because only a tech  
00:34:53
company with this amount of resource knowledge can  then go spend a billion dollars on deepmind i mean  
00:35:00
alphabet's burning four to five billion dollars  a year on their quote-unquote other bets line  
00:35:05
and people give them a lot of [ __ ] for it but  i mean you hit any one of these things and it's  
00:35:09
a hundred billion dollar payday i mean look at  youtube youtube's easily a hundred billion dollar  
00:35:12
payday on a billion dollar bet billion six oh  no that's it that's a 250 to 500 billion dollars  
00:35:18
applied semantics a lot of people missed  this but applied semantics was 100 million  
00:35:21
dollar bet and that's the entirety of  adsense initially android android um  
00:35:27
is this is this the first commercial application  of deep mind because until now you know they've  
00:35:33
had alpha zero it's been so there was a  period of time a lot of people i don't know if  
00:35:38
uh let me just think about this for a second  because alpha zero alpha was really good i want  
00:35:44
to be careful about this but i do think people  could not disclose no but i i do think i do think  
00:35:49
it was disclosed that they've used deep mind uh  to improve ads quality and improve um uh youtube  
00:35:56
viewing and as a result of that you get the number  of hours per day of the average user on youtube to  
00:36:00
double or triple ad revenue goes by three x and i  think in one quarter google was able to generate  
00:36:06
something like an incremental 15 billion  annualized revenue from deep mines and you know  
00:36:10
what that deep mind actually did on youtube it  sent everybody to the alt-right info wars and ben  
00:36:16
shapiro congratulations be careful when you send  people's minds with artificial intelligence maybe  
00:36:21
you just argued to break them up yeah but i i  understand stacks that it's being used broadly  
00:36:27
across the products at google in in in in now now  in a much more careful way is my understanding  
00:36:33
i'm look i'm a i'm i'm a big ally of alphabet  i'm a big fan and i love you know they were  
00:36:38
and i used to work there and i'm very close to  people there so i know who used to be on the board  
00:36:42
and was the major backer of that company deepmind  founder's fund founder's fund elon musk too and he  
00:36:48
begged them to not sell to google because i  mean 400 million 400 million exit was a steel  
00:36:54
40 or 50 scientists i think yeah absolute steel  no elon i mean elon has publicly said that he  
00:36:59
thinks deep mind is like the greatest threat to  well he thinks ai is a great start to humanity  
00:37:04
and of the people working on ai deep mind is  the furthest along and therefore most dangerous  
00:37:10
he tried to stop he i mean he told me straight up  like when he's been very public about this since  
00:37:14
that he he said i'll give you an unlimited  amount of money to not sell to google he's  
00:37:18
friends with larry page too but he said  don't sell i want you to be independent i  
00:37:22
want you to keep working on this but he said  that when he saw the ai there become aware  
00:37:26
that it was an ai that that was when he was like  wait a second no wait dude deep mind is not the  
00:37:33
alpha's alpha fold or alpha zero is not self-aware  that's it i felt it was becoming self-aware that  
00:37:39
it knew what it was i don't know if that was just  elon you know just sort of no it's not it's not  
00:37:44
self-aware so i mean i've watched anything yeah i  mean the amazing things that deepmind has released  
00:37:51
prior to this were games right they had this  um this chess ai called alpha zero which  
00:37:59
rapidly became not just the best chess um it only  beat every human in the world it also beat every  
00:38:05
chess engine because computers became more you  know better at chess than humans a long time  
00:38:09
ago because of their sheer computational power  but uh alpha zero plays like a human but with  
00:38:15
kind of that same computational power and so that  created a whole revolution in chess engines and  
00:38:21
then they also did that with a game called go  they created alphago and basically every single  
00:38:27
game that you can think of uh deepmind's created  you know an alpha whatever alpha version that  
00:38:33
um destroys both humans and computers but this is  the first thing they've publicly announced that  
00:38:40
that seems like it will be available to others  eventually that could have tremendous social  
00:38:47
impact imagine the government trying to understand  this can you imagine them being brought before  
00:38:52
like senators well these are these are these  are the new weapons of mass destruction i mean  
00:38:56
let's be honest like if if somebody else had had  alpha fold and probably somebody does and just  
00:39:03
hasn't said you know i mean google actually values  transparency so that's the only reason why we know  
00:39:08
um imagine what they could do as friedrich said  it's like you know the the opposite of this is  
00:39:13
basically to design um a specific protein that  basically um you know destroys organs or there  
00:39:20
are proteins called prions which are the scariest  thing known in biology in my opinion a prion is a  
00:39:26
protein that it actually finds similar proteins  and based on its shape it gets those proteins  
00:39:31
to change and it becomes like a virus and  prions actually um are there's an extremely  
00:39:37
uh sad series of diseases that are related to  prions where your body expresses a protein in the  
00:39:43
wrong way and then that protein itself gets other  proteins to change and creates copies of itself  
00:39:48
and it spreads um it is a fascinatingly scary  um biological phenomenon but you know there  
00:39:55
are extremely scary things you can do with the  designer protein capabilities basically you could  
00:40:00
make a bio weapon that would be similar to what  the aliens and prometheus and aliens were doing  
00:40:05
the engines even much worse even much worse this  is why i think they're going to spend years before  
00:40:11
so this is why back to that earlier question it'll  be years before this sees the light of day because  
00:40:15
um they are they're smart enough to know what  they've uncovered and i think they did they did  
00:40:21
the right thing by talking about it because  i think there's a lot of really amazing r d  
00:40:26
but the reality is that google for the next  20 or 30 years will have layers and layers of  
00:40:30
oversight because you know it's not like you're  going to allow a company to enrich uranium  
00:40:36
in mountain view without oversight and this is  the equivalent it's just a we're we're buying  
00:40:41
time until governments realize that they have to  do that they have to do it but let's also remember  
00:40:46
the protein data set they trained on is publicly  available you know anyone can access this and with  
00:40:51
the you know i should catch up in machine learning  you know capability to deep mind uh infrastructure  
00:40:56
wise theoretically you know someone could could  i i think it's it's an inevitability that in the  
00:41:01
next 24 months someone else will write this  right now i think what deepmind has done  
00:41:06
is showed that specific um techniques of  learning can overcome limitations in compute  
00:41:13
but to your point david like we're accelerating  silicon at a fast enough speed where you know if  
00:41:18
like if you can throw 5 10 50 100 500 pet ops at  a problem uh you're you know you can run you know  
00:41:25
some really really old version of tensorflow and  probably get to the same answer yeah i actually  
00:41:30
think they published uh i'm gonna find it while  you guys are chatting but they published um what  
00:41:34
the compute needs were on running this uh  i'll find it in a second uh i'll tell you
00:41:41
let me make one sort of slightly descending point  on the whole wmd thing i mean look obviously the  
00:41:48
you know who has access this technology needs  to be controlled um we do have to make sure it  
00:41:53
doesn't get into the hands of bad actors but the  reality is there's plenty of existing wmds out  
00:41:58
there that have been around for a long time that  bad actors could get their hands on um they could  
00:42:02
already make you know extremely dangerous  viruses in a lab they could you know take  
00:42:08
something that's as contagious as smallpox and  make it as deadly as ebola or something like that  
00:42:13
and it's these new technologies that provide a  way for us to combat those those wmds because  
00:42:20
you know technology has a tendency to become  democratized um you know um was it uh 75 years  
00:42:28
ago the us was the only country that had  an atomic weapon now what like close to 10  
00:42:33
have you know nuclear atomic weapons and so um you  know these these sort of nefarious technologies  
00:42:40
get democratized anyway and we really need some of  these new technologies and new abilities as a way  
00:42:46
to combat them it's like last week we were talking  about the ability now to basically print um  
00:42:53
you know a vaccine using this mrna technique  within two days you know you can imagine you know  
00:42:59
if if someone tried to use a bio weapon create a  new virus we could print a vaccine the next day  
00:43:04
um those are the kinds of capabilities we're  going to need to fight the spread of wmd  
00:43:08
i think you're right it's just that you then have  a law of large numbers problem meaning you know  
00:43:13
the previous problem before is you had 180 190 200  state-sponsored actors so if you had a one percent  
00:43:20
you know rate of people who are just bad you're  talking about two states now when you talk about  
00:43:26
five billion people getting access to code that's  basically running an aws or gcp instance someplace  
00:43:32
and you have a one percent you know bad guy rate  all of a sudden that one percent really matters  
00:43:37
and i think that's the problem it's just  the law of large numbers david applied to  
00:43:41
very very small rates of immorality but i  mean you can already do very scary things with  
00:43:48
you know recombinant dna taking dna from one  organism putting in another and setting that  
00:43:51
organism out and you know uh theoretically you  could have designed a virus that would spread  
00:43:56
throughout humanity and cause a lot of death  right i mean there's a lot of this uh capability  
00:44:01
people would have found that out because like  you can't run these labs and you're not gonna  
00:44:04
get you know monkey models or mouse models it's  like there's there's a trail of breadcrumbs there  
00:44:08
that is easier to track wouldn't you agree than  just running an instance in a simulation on gcp  
00:44:13
sending it someplace to then have a protein  printer that comes in a fedex envelope too  
00:44:18
and you have to hire people as we saw in iran  with you know their chief scientist being whacked  
00:44:23
by whoever accidentally whacked him with 60 people  like you need to have the brain power to do this  
00:44:29
once you have the brain power to do it you can  track that brain power and we had uh for the last  
00:44:34
i think it's like since we even tested nuclear  bombs we've had these special planes flying around  
00:44:40
the globe looking for the signature of nuclear  uh detonations or any kind of nuclear fallout  
00:44:47
and we've been flying those forever uh i think  i think i think i think biodefense is going to  
00:44:52
become probably one of the biggest industries on  planet earth starting in the latter half of this  
00:44:56
century because you're going to get to a point  where um digital biology is like a tool just like  
00:45:01
software was in the 80s where suddenly everyone  could access it everyone could use it everyone  
00:45:05
could do stuff with it you have this ubiquity of  scary [ __ ] happening hackers everywhere hold on  
00:45:10
freebird didn't we have that as well and those  same claims about nuclear power and we've been  
00:45:14
able to for 100 years with nuclear close to 100  years nuclear and particularly with nuclear in  
00:45:20
particular there is a material problem you have to  source and refine material to do something scary  
00:45:25
with biology you don't you can do this  anywhere you can do it on your desktop at home  
00:45:30
and you know it's getting easier cheaper faster  and you can use software and a printer and you  
00:45:35
know a cheap sequencer and do stuff do we believe  that china has this freeburg yes china for sure  
00:45:41
yeah i mean look this is yeah i think today's  head of deep mind or behind hundred percent 100  
00:45:46
so here's the stats that deepmind put out it took  um the equivalent of 100 to 200 gpus run over a  
00:45:51
few weeks uh to build this model that is i don't i  don't care how advanced deepmind is at this point  
00:45:57
um so you know if that's the model  then someone else can replicate that  
00:46:01
uh you know someone else that's what happened  to to alpha zero the d minor chess engine  
00:46:06
after they proved it now there's  a whole bunch of uh chess ais yeah  
00:46:15
a lot of startups replicating this alpha fold  uh technique and then using that to go do drug  
00:46:21
discovery and you'll see 50 startups getting  funded 12 to 18 months from now based on some  
00:46:25
novel protein idea um and i think that this we got  to get our beach wet on this and the iss everybody  
00:46:31
go to this is getting ridiculous everybody's good  slash all in but but we should create a protein  
00:46:38
we should create a we should create a protein  folding syndicate yeah absolutely here it is  
00:46:43
everybody go to thesyndicate.com all in if we do  this i'm collecting the emails now uh no but i  
00:46:50
i will i will i will make my first series of bets  less on the application and more on the protection  
00:46:55
i think biodefense 30 years from now is going  to be so important if you want to invest with  
00:47:00
the best ease can there is there going to be a  protein that prevents rudy giuliani from farting  
00:47:07
i mean what is going on saks let's throw to you as  our resident right wing uh joking sacks don't take  
00:47:14
it so personal we know you didn't vote for trump  we know you did a write-in vote for tucker carlson  
00:47:22
let me ask you have you have you or have  you not had dinner with tucker carlson  
00:47:28
um i call all in uh i i've actually uh yeah  i um no i don't think i've had to know with  
00:47:36
tucker but into a party with tucker  carlson no but let me let me get uh  
00:47:44
here's what's happening is well i feel my  dream of gridlock in washington for the next  
00:47:49
four years is slipping away um you know the  the you know i described this as sort of like  
00:47:55
it was kind of a dream scenario that you would  have um a divided uh congress and the republicans  
00:48:02
you know they won 50 they won 50 seats in the  senate in november and then you know because of  
00:48:07
this stupid rule in georgia that you have to you  can't just win you have to win by having over 50  
00:48:14
um the republicans would have had uh 51 but now  these there's a runoff for these two open seats  
00:48:20
and the republicans were ahead in the polls at the  time they were the more i think it was mostly it's  
00:48:25
based on the candidates being more popular than  the democratic candidates but now because of all  
00:48:29
these antics around the election the democrats  of both democratic candidates have pulled ahead  
00:48:36
and so it's yeah they are now both democratic  in the last couple of last week or so  
00:48:42
um ossop is ahead of purdue by about two points  which is a stunner because purdue has already  
00:48:49
beaten him before he beat him in the november  election he's i think a better chance though right  
00:48:54
and the the most margin right but warnock is seven  points ahead of uh loffler so that one is outside  
00:49:03
the margin of error he's clearly uh beating her  and um it you know and now it looks like purdue's  
00:49:10
in danger too the republicans just need to win  one of those in order for us to have you know  
00:49:15
divided government of washington which i think  tends to produce better results than giving one  
00:49:20
party all the levers of power um but but this is  this is the crazy thing and so i think even from  
00:49:27
trump's point of view you know i think this  is a branding exercise to you know prove that  
00:49:33
he didn't lose the problem is yeah how's that  going well it's not working and it looks like  
00:49:39
it's gonna cost republicans the senate which is  something that i think he won't come back from  
00:49:43
so if i was advising the president i would tell  him to drop this you know these these legal  
00:49:48
challenges they fired sydney powell from the legal  team which i think was a good decision because  
00:49:52
of her crazy wild allegations but now rudy's  out there doing the same stuff judy giuliani  
00:50:01
giuliani the answer that i gave you is they  didn't bother to interview a single witness  
00:50:07
he was adjusting he wasn't waking up the genie he  was he was tucking his pants in laying down in the  
00:50:12
bedroom having a drink with a russian underage  age i mean rudy is just i mean fresh off his  
00:50:17
his guest starring appearance in the borap  movies i mean it's like he's uncredited yeah  
00:50:23
it's like he's reenacting my cousin vinnie or  something in these um in these hearings yeah um  
00:50:29
how many things it's gonna cost republicans the  senate yeah i think they're it's so amazing like  
00:50:35
the democrats basically have now have a stone cold  free roll because there is a very good chance that  
00:50:40
these guys are going to um win these two senate  seats which would just be absolutely incredible  
00:50:45
absolutely so so republicans are definitely  figuring this out rich lowry had a great call  
00:50:52
he's a editor of national review he's on the right  but i think provides very good objective political  
00:50:57
analysis he's his last column sounded the alarm  bells about what was happening in georgia and  
00:51:02
look if the if the issue in the georgia runoffs  is are these antics if it's rudy and sydney powell  
00:51:08
the republican's gonna lose the seat both seats if  the question of the election is whether democrats  
00:51:15
should have a free hand to ram through whatever  legislation they want then i think the republicans  
00:51:20
win so the question is what is that election going  to be about and the longer that rudy stays on  
00:51:24
the stage making these crazy wild allegations  the worse it gets for republicans when is the  
00:51:30
georgia runoff election i think it's january 5th  or 10th it's one of those two january 5th i think  
00:51:37
my gosh would anybody hear if they had gray hair  and i know we have three gentlemen on the call who  
00:51:44
have gray hair uh freedberg somehow you're you're  you're you might be maybe i've answered this  
00:51:49
question just not on his head would any of you  dye your hair if you were a 79 87 year old rudy  
00:51:59
giuliani no my hair is white and getting whiter  it's like it is what it is it's a passage of time  
00:52:04
i would just move on david would you consider  t just taking that gray right out of your hair  
00:52:11
because you have the euro the silver fox as  it stands would you ever consider it you just  
00:52:17
you can see the decision i've made  but um look that's not i mean it's  
00:52:22
yeah i mean that was just like a meltdown  i mean a literal meltdown a little literal  
00:52:27
meltdown and uh it was so like representative  of the moment the the congressional republicans  
00:52:33
want to use a hook to get rudy off the stage i  mean they cannot wait to get him off the stage and  
00:52:38
uh but if they don't stand up and just tell trump  to shut this down i think i think it's coming  
00:52:44
it's coming so yeah oh wow so the republicans are  going to stand up to trump with four weeks left in  
00:52:50
office wow what a profiling courage freeberg are  you dying your hair do you have gray hair and are  
00:52:55
you actually dying or have you not hit the gray  yet just tell us right now it's an emergency pod  
00:53:01
no it's the truth david are you dying  you're here yes or no this is it
00:53:09
there's so many ways to have an opinion on whether  trump um is allowed to pre-pardon himself and his  
00:53:14
kids oh that's exactly where i was going yeah sex  well yes our right wing he could definitely pardon  
00:53:20
his kids i don't know that there's a open legal  question whether he can pardon himself can you  
00:53:25
pre-pardon um what does it mean pre-pardon in this  definition you mean i don't in the future i don't  
00:53:30
know you can only pardon for a committed crime  right i mean that's traditionally not part of it  
00:53:35
right well you can pardon for things that  happened in the past um i don't think you  
00:53:39
can pardon for things that happen in the future  and you can find it you can what's a blanket  
00:53:43
party no i don't think you have to define it  i think you could just do a blanket pardon  
00:53:47
um the i would advise trump not to do it if  i were one of his advisors and the reason is  
00:53:53
that he can only pardon for federal and the  big problem the trump family has right now  
00:53:59
you know the southern district of new york these  mad dog prosecutors who are democrats this is  
00:54:05
you know i don't approve of it this is this is  to me this to me this is the criminalization  
00:54:11
of political differences i don't i think it'd be  great if he could pardon because i do think that  
00:54:17
those guys are again they're trying to criminalize  political differences but but pardoning doesn't  
00:54:22
solve the problem with the southern district  of new york and biden has already said that he  
00:54:25
doesn't believe in having any uh having these uh  having like a federal investigation of trump and  
00:54:33
so i don't think i don't think trump has anything  to worry about federally i think the problem is  
00:54:38
god can i just say this it's just so [ __ ] decent  and classy like isn't it refreshing it's actually  
00:54:44
boring but isn't it just wait what are you  talking about biden is just so decent who's biden  
00:54:51
like i haven't seen that guy has he worked for  us he's been great no i mean like he's well  
00:54:55
he's disappeared no he doesn't disappear he's just  not crazy he's bidet biden biden has done a really  
00:55:03
has done a few really smart things i mean in his  acceptance speech he did what churchill advises  
00:55:09
you to do in victory which is be magnanimous  he's made the right sort of sounds towards  
00:55:14
reconciliation i think saying that he didn't  believe in going after trump criminally  
00:55:19
i mean look i i don't think that would have been  a good political move anyway because it would have  
00:55:23
created a backlash but it was a smart uh thing  to say and so he and then i think the other smart  
00:55:29
thing he's done is uh which is very biden anyway  which is he's got an establishment all the way  
00:55:34
for his cabinet he has not put he hasn't named  any totally crazy progressives to his cabinet  
00:55:40
yet that the republicans could latch on to for the  georgia runoffs and so biden's doing a very good  
00:55:46
job right now of appearing non-threatening and  doing nothing to nothing to blow up his honeymoon  
00:55:52
he and his advisors have run a perfect perfect  flawless flaw it's been flawless i mean david  
00:55:58
you just nailed it like all of all the things he  could have done to potentially put the senate at  
00:56:02
risk or to potentially give republicans  sort of something to hang their hats on  
00:56:07
he has given zero space right like he has not  created a single opening so you you would have  
00:56:13
thought that coming into this election cycle  the way that trump tried to paint biden was like  
00:56:18
this you know uh gaffaholic and instead he has  just been picture pitch perfect roxanna well i  
00:56:25
think i think i think he's a he's a gaff machine  when he speaks spontaneously which he has not  
00:56:29
done i mean every time i've seen him speak since  the election has been reading off a teleprompter  
00:56:34
but i think that his campaign has run a really  good they have run a good strategy um and now look  
00:56:42
it helps that the press doesn't really challenge  you uh it's like it's like weekend at bernie's  
00:56:46
except it's like presidency at bernie's you know  it's like four years they hit him in a basement he  
00:56:50
only reaches out to teleprompter hold him up put  him in the on the stage yeah the press let him get  
00:56:55
away with it i mean no other candidate could have  gotten away with a basement strategy but the press  
00:56:59
was so determined to go after trump that they  really gave him a free pass on what biden believed  
00:57:04
and what he was going to do but look biden has  run by biden has run a very good campaign and  
00:57:09
a very good transition and really i think the  biggest mistake he made during the campaign was  
00:57:14
not declaring definitively that he would not try  to pack the supreme court that was his big mistake  
00:57:20
and what happened the voters split the ticket  to give the senate to the republicans so that  
00:57:26
biden wouldn't be able to pack the court and so he  wouldn't be able to do it anyway and i think maybe  
00:57:30
his administration has learned from that mistake  which is don't do anything or say anything that's  
00:57:35
going to give republicans something to latch on  to to say that biden's really a radical we got to  
00:57:40
stop him and anyway so to now george is in play  and biden could win the senate that's a perfect  
00:57:46
insight sax because what you haven't seen as well  is you haven't seen kamala harris out there all  
00:57:51
that much because that's something republicans  could glom on to and you haven't seen aoc bernie  
00:57:56
sanders or elizabeth warren they are persona no  grata they are not involved in this wow they are  
00:58:02
m.i.a they are m.i.a and they the democrats won't  bring them up and you have bernie sanders like hey  
00:58:09
wasn't he supposed to be oh george of like elon  omar wants to cancel rent and mortgages i mean  
00:58:14
they're throwing that classic and they're  throwing everything out there just to see  
00:58:18
if anything sticks right now yeah but biden  biden has really given uh bernie sanders and  
00:58:23
that wing of the party the hi-hat in the in  these uh cabinet choices in fact he just named  
00:58:30
uh a woman to to be the head of the uh of omb the  uh the you know the budget director who has a huge  
00:58:36
twitter feud with bernie sanders and the bernie  the bernie folks are up in arms about it i don't  
00:58:41
think she's gonna get through um but but yeah i  mean biden has really um stiff-armed a lot of the  
00:58:47
progressives associated with the hysterical left i  mean it's a why would you want to associate i just  
00:58:52
want i also think it's historical i think it's  an appeal to the rights of the right i mean he  
00:58:57
is appealing to the right to some extent right i  mean like by by not putting those people in place  
00:59:01
i think he's never understood never writer he's  never going to be able to appeal to the trump base  
00:59:05
but what he's going to be able to do is prevent  the republicans from from sort of labeling him as  
00:59:11
a radical and therefore and therefore you know  went over those independents that he needs and  
00:59:16
by the way back to back to trump for one second i  apologize because i wanted to ask you david i mean  
00:59:22
the other thing that could tip georgia is this  whole craziness where trump is like i'm gonna veto  
00:59:28
the the defense bill unless we repealed section  230 and if you're you know a military person in  
00:59:36
georgia you're like wait a second um you're going  to leave my brothers and sisters in arms basically  
00:59:42
lollygagging without any financial support because  you don't like twitter's tweet policy it's gonna  
00:59:48
seem kind of crazy yeah it was it was one of these  like classic trump moves where you feel like i  
00:59:56
think he does have a good point with respect to  the social media companies i do think they've been  
01:00:02
engaging in censorship they've overstepped their  bounds they are they they do deserve some sort of  
01:00:08
comeuppance or control i personally don't think  that repealing two to eight uh two third was  
01:00:13
it 280 um is the section 230 is the way to go  um it um for a bunch of reasons that we could  
01:00:21
get into if you want but um but but yeah it  was one of these like reflexive trump trump  
01:00:26
you know tweets and you heard republicans in in  the senate were very very quick to shoot it down  
01:00:33
um and you know there was an article in politico  where um republicans were quoted well anonymously  
01:00:38
saying they're pretty sick of this [ __ ] that  was the quote and so yeah i mean i think that  
01:00:44
republicans on capitol hill are kind of ready  for for for those types of antics to be over  
01:00:50
okay should he uh or will he pardon himself  and the kids like i mean i guess that's what  
01:00:57
it comes down to and then well i think we should  i think i don't i don't i don't think so and i  
01:01:02
don't think it'll matter because i think biden  will leave him alone and it will not help his  
01:01:06
biggest risk uh and this is by the way why they  tried to get jay clayton to resign from the sec  
01:01:11
and move over to the southern district of new york  because they thought maybe he could run some kind  
01:01:15
of interference but i mean i think the state ags  will want a pound of flesh here and if i were if i  
01:01:24
yeah just if i were advising trump and and  advising him on how to maximize his legacy  
01:01:31
it would be you know pardon pardon people in the  administration been treated unfairly there's no  
01:01:36
need to pardon yourself um i don't i don't think  he has federal exposure and i would and i would  
01:01:44
tell him that you know if republicans lose these  georgia senate seats that he will be blamed for  
01:01:51
among the base for a long time and that i think  will be hard for him to get past uh in four years  
01:01:57
and so it's very important i think for him to make  sure that that at least purdue wins his election  
01:02:02
yeah what do you guys can do can i ask another  question what do you think is gonna happen  
01:02:09
with um so trump is trying to make his case um  but no one's listening twitter keeps putting up  
01:02:16
his fraudulent you know uh um this is just  disputed claims thing and he's been pushing  
01:02:23
newsmax and oann do you think those become  viable and real kind of media businesses now  
01:02:29
and are they actually gonna steal an audience away  from fox news 100 percent it's already happened  
01:02:35
it's just the increasing fragmentation of media  right cable networks don't pick them up do they  
01:02:41
uh the cable companies i've seen i've seen newsmax  newsmax has a cable channel my theory is this  
01:02:46
entire twisted like crazy right alt-right mania  just fades into oblivion and the party reinvents  
01:02:55
itself no no because they can't win they can't win  david they can't win with this brand they did they  
01:03:00
did win they did and they will not in the future  because they just lost their the republicans won  
01:03:05
like 10 or 12 uh seats in the house they've almost  got the majority back in the house they almost  
01:03:10
certainly will win back the house and retire nancy  pelosi in two years during the midterm election  
01:03:16
i'll put money on that right now they held the  senate local elections they held the senate  
01:03:21
presidency again with this strategy you think they  can win with the demographic shift with trump in  
01:03:26
2024 really yeah uh because people want to go back  to that level of crazy people people don't want  
01:03:35
the they don't want the crazy but this idea that  the issue set that trump ran on and one on is dead  
01:03:42
i don't i don't agree with that yeah those issues  are still there you'll have a better branded face  
01:03:48
and a standard bearer for those issues and if you  say it in a less crazy way and you're generally  
01:03:53
less crazy i think that it will resonate with  a lot more people than have already proven that  
01:03:59
it resonates with it already resonates with 70  million could it resonate with 75 and could they  
01:04:03
overtake the white house it's not inconceivable  so i think i think we can't all of a sudden say  
01:04:08
this is signed sealed and delivered it's a fata  complete and all of a sudden it's just democrats  
01:04:12
the rest of the way dave is right the down  ballot results for the democrats were not good  
01:04:16
and it's a sign that moderate centrism is the only  winning strategy if you really have a strategy  
01:04:23
where it's like i really want to win and not just  me but my party and generations of people after me  
01:04:29
you have to run a centrist campaign which is why  they're retiring the aoc elizabeth warren bernie  
01:04:33
bro contingent right so well yeah there's  there's a house member that group of crazy  
01:04:39
right there was a there was a democratic house  member i think elizabeth spamberger um who almost  
01:04:46
lost her uh seat i think in like a virginia like  kind of a swing virginia district there was a big  
01:04:51
uh call of the democratic house caucus and she  was just laying into pelosi and the leadership  
01:04:58
there because she was basically saying don't  ever mention defund the police again you know  
01:05:03
if you want me to win my my swing district next  time do not mention this ever again and she was  
01:05:09
just this was all in the washington post you know  they um the the call was leaked by about a dozen  
01:05:14
different press out outlets which tells you there  was a lot of unhappiness among the house members  
01:05:20
who almost lost their seat because of these like  radical ideas the other the other thing is and you  
01:05:24
know unless all of a sudden the the folks that are  in their 20s and 30s are radically different than  
01:05:31
many many generations before them the reality is  that they will as they get older and wealthier  
01:05:38
generally speaking get more conservative and we  are about to go through over the next 20 years  
01:05:44
30 trillion dollars of wealth transfer and so you  know i mean you can wear good segue but buttons on  
01:05:51
buttons on flannel but at the end of the day when  you're you know mom and dad pass pass away and  
01:05:57
all of a sudden you know you have four five six  seven eight million bucks and you have to think  
01:06:01
about your children and your children's children i  tend to think people generally do very predictably  
01:06:07
get more conservative and so again  another reason why you can't count on  
01:06:12
um a stayed interpretation of progressivism it  there will be progressivism i think it just will  
01:06:20
be a different form of policy and it'll just be  more moderate and centrist and it'll be normal  
01:06:26
uh which is a perfect segue to the new york  times story that came out on the friday after  
01:06:30
thanksgiving november 27th the rich kids  who want to tear down capitalism socialist  
01:06:34
minded millennials millennial heirs are trying to  live their values by getting rid of their money  
01:06:40
lately sam jacobs and i'll read just a little bit  of it has been having a lot of conversations with  
01:06:44
his family's lawyers he's trying to gain access  to his trust of 30 his 30 million trust fund  
01:06:50
at 25 he's hit the age where many heirs can  blow their money on her brain businesses or  
01:06:55
stable of sports cards he doesn't want to do  that but by wealth management standards his  
01:06:59
plans are just as bad he wants to give it all  away i want to build a world where someone like  
01:07:04
me a young person who controls tens of millions  of dollars is possible a socialist college mr  
01:07:08
jacob sees his family's extreme plutocratic  wealth as both a moral and economic failure  
01:07:13
his parents must be very proud first of all sam  jacobs sounds like an idiot and he shouldn't have  
01:07:17
any money so hopefully he gets his wish why did  his parents give him 30 million dollars this trust  
01:07:21
fund should be like given to somebody who deserves  it like yeah but but what what's saying what sam  
01:07:27
jacobs wants doesn't mean that sam jacobs gets to  decide for everybody else and just because that he  
01:07:33
wants to live in a communist country he can go and  find one and the reality is like you know we just  
01:07:38
talked about alpha fold well guess what you know  there's four of us on this on this podcast today  
01:07:44
that over the next 20 or 30 years are more  than likely going to invest hundreds of  
01:07:47
millions of dollars in protein design and uh  i don't do that with any um sense of um shame  
01:07:57
um and i'm glad that stuart butterfield made  me you know a lot of money because it's going  
01:08:02
to go go back into the world in positive ways and  you know maybe if my children are taught properly  
01:08:08
they'll be able to take a small piece of that and  they'll decide that you know there's uh something  
01:08:12
else that's important to them but the reality is  that everybody should be allowed to make their  
01:08:15
own decisions and i don't want somebody like him  especially a 25 year old [ __ ] telling me or my  
01:08:21
kids who even though they're you know under the  age of 15 are probably smarter than him what to do  
01:08:27
david when you read this article uh if you did  read it uh what were your thoughts um especially  
01:08:33
in regards to parenting and thinking about our own  kids because what i started thinking about i was  
01:08:37
like oh my god what if one of my daughters wants  to take her trust fund and just throw it into the  
01:08:42
wind i really don't want to comment wait hold  on i just want to say one thing the part that's  
01:08:46
completely reasonable and that i respect is this  this 25 year old seems to have come to a decision  
01:08:53
what i find completely unreasonable and you  know just completely lathered with insecurity  
01:08:59
is his need to then project it and say it  has to be true for everybody else as well  
01:09:04
and and the the grand arcing  statements of how it should never be  
01:09:09
just completely betrays you know what we've  learned in how society functionally works  
01:09:14
like if you want democracy the only sort of  economic philosophy that's been partnered with  
01:09:19
with democracy to work well as capitalism and  so if you want to change one you're gonna have  
01:09:23
to change the other and just the fact that you  know with all of his education the hundreds of  
01:09:28
millions of dollars you know didn't get a course  in civics to understand that is kind of sad  
01:09:33
i just before you go david i have to read one  comment because it's so deranged that it almost  
01:09:39
seems like it was part of a script to like some  billions or secession um heirs whose wealth have  
01:09:47
come from specific sources sometimes use that  history to guide their giving there's that's in  
01:09:51
new york time saying that pierce still a hunt a  32 year old socialist anarchist marxist communist  
01:09:58
or all of the above has a trust fund that was  financed by their former stepfather's outlet mall  
01:10:03
empire when i and this is uh mr uh mr i'm sorry  mx i've never seen that before abdullah hunt  
01:10:13
how do you pronounce max hunt how do you pronounce  mx mx de la hunt takes non-gendered pronouns  
01:10:23
has anybody seen mx i've never seen that that was  the first time yeah that's the first for me so i  
01:10:28
guess it's so you can say so you don't have to  say mr or miss or missus it's like latinx where  
01:10:34
you just can group a bunch of people into one  thing got it right um this is what uh mx de la  
01:10:41
hunt says i'm just trying to figure out how it's  pronounced maxis hunt de la hunt um taking a shot  
01:10:50
jason you're you're not showing  respect for his pronouns  
01:10:54
i don't want to get canceled it  just is kind of hard to pronounce mx  
01:10:59
i don't mean to laugh but i need i need  somebody to tell me how to pronounce mx.com um  
01:11:08
but this is the quote that is so insane when  i think about outlet malls and i think this  
01:11:14
is what we all think about when we think about  outlook walls when i think about outlaw malls i  
01:11:19
think about intersectional oppression what's  the first thing that comes to mind freeburg  
01:11:24
when you think of an outlet mall certainly  it's intersectional compression or a subway  
01:11:29
i just can i just point out like the um the new  york times has become a little bit sensationalist  
01:11:34
like you know if you were to ask statistically  what percentage of people that are inheriting  
01:11:40
wealth are going to be stupid like this the answer  would probably be pretty low but they find the  
01:11:46
one or two characters like this and they build the  story around them and then people extrapolate that  
01:11:50
as if that is the persona of the entire population  of people that are going to inherit some degree of  
01:11:54
wealth and that becomes the story and i'm just  so sick of it like i don't read the new york  
01:11:59
times anymore and look i love the new york times  i would read it every single day i still have it  
01:12:03
on my phone i still pay for my subscription but  i'm so sick of the narrative being written by the  
01:12:07
author's objective and then they go and find one  or two facts that meet that narrative and rather  
01:12:12
than speaking about it statistically and saying  we surveyed a hundred people that were wealthy  
01:12:16
this is how many and if it was sixty percent  of them saying i'm gonna go give away all my  
01:12:20
wealth and do crazy [ __ ] great like that's the  story but again but picking picking and picking  
01:12:25
an individual and building the narrative around  that individual as if that is the game but david  
01:12:29
and that's the point like what they do is they  don't even talk about people who want to give  
01:12:33
their money away what they do is they create these  caricatures around this like judgment judgment  
01:12:38
it's it's all about this like judgment it's like  it's virtu it's like i am holier than everybody  
01:12:44
else because of these decisions that i made and  i just find it so offensive now here's can i just  
01:12:49
tell you i had my physical last week and i have a  doctor in l.a who's superb and he's he's in many  
01:12:54
ways sort of a philosopher king to me he's been  incredibly important in my life and you know dr  
01:13:00
agus i talked to his name his name is christian  renna uh at lifespan medicine but uh anyways  
01:13:06
um and here's what you're and i talked to  chris about raising kids and chris has seen  
01:13:10
you know thousands of people over the course of  his you know journey as a primary care physician  
01:13:14
and he's seen the kids of these folks and etc  you know he he boiled it down to me it's like um  
01:13:22
you know your job as a parent is to make sure that  your children have incredible tools married with  
01:13:29
incredible habits and so some of these things are  very simple like food and you know how to eat and  
01:13:35
self-care and exercise but some of these things  are really important which is a world view empathy  
01:13:42
and he uses this word which is called awareness  and awareness is this idea that you understand  
01:13:49
the world around you and that's an incredibly  difficult thing for parents to be able to teach  
01:13:53
their kids but it seems like if you could give  them that that's independent of anything other  
01:13:58
than time and care right it doesn't matter whether  you're rich or you're poor it doesn't really  
01:14:02
matter whether you're black or white you can  really teach the concept of awareness and empathy  
01:14:07
and then the other thing that he taught me was you  know there's a really big difference between folks  
01:14:12
like you me meaning guys like me who grew up poor  and who are focused on the generation of money  
01:14:18
right meaning making money and some of you make  it some of you don't but you're living in this  
01:14:24
existential threat that you feel is hanging over  you and so you go out and you make it and a lot of  
01:14:31
it is driven by this insecurity you've had since  you were young but make no mistake your children's  
01:14:37
lives is harder than yours and it's about the  utilization of money and whether they want to give  
01:14:42
it away or whether they want to use it you have a  responsibility to teach them whether you're giving  
01:14:46
them a dollar a million dollars or a billion  dollars and this is where i think somewhere along  
01:14:50
the way these kids as parents you know may or may  not have done the best maybe they did the best  
01:14:56
they could but somewhere along the way these gaps  are are obvious at least in the telling of the  
01:15:02
article and this is where i go back to if you're  really going to talk to about something like this  
01:15:06
which actually is quite important because again  we're going to go through the the most enormous  
01:15:10
wealth transfer in the history of the world in  the next 20 years 30 trillion dollars that could  
01:15:15
so talk about that if if enough people took  their inheritance and decided to eradicate  
01:15:19
student debt it would be three percent of what's  going to be inherited over the next 20 years  
01:15:24
think about it so obviously you can do some  incredible things but it's not framed in the  
01:15:30
right way it doesn't promote the right kind of  discussion and all it is is salacious reporting  
01:15:34
that makes these kids look like caricatures and  by the way remember that money today is invested  
01:15:40
somewhere so to pull that three percent out would  have a kind of triple kind of rippling and kind of  
01:15:46
um probably deleterious effect on on amazon no  no forget about that factories family but this  
01:15:55
is this is my point also is i think that there's a  responsibility to these stewards of capital right  
01:16:00
they they may be you can call them wealthy all you  want but they really are the people that pull the  
01:16:04
strings and where money's moving um and there's uh  i think you know to your point kind of a degree of  
01:16:09
responsibility that inevitably has to kind of sit  with this uh this group um here's the problem with  
01:16:17
it is if they just want to give their money away  to a charity that they thought was worthy and that  
01:16:23
and they were willing to live like you know monks  or something and not need money that'd be fine  
01:16:28
you know we could respect that but the reason  why they're in such a hurry to get rid of this  
01:16:32
wealth is because they feel like money itself is  ill-gotten that wealth itself is is by definition  
01:16:39
ill-gotten it must have come from at the expense  of somebody else right you only could have gotten  
01:16:45
that wealth by ripping people off and that is  the thing that that's the idea that's really  
01:16:50
pernicious about this sort of like socialism  movement is they don't really understand that  
01:16:55
the way capitalism works you only get rich by  selling something to somebody that they want that  
01:17:01
makes their life better right i mean all of us are  engaged in the creation of new technologies and  
01:17:07
new products and that makes the world better and  people are willing to pay for that and that's what  
01:17:12
creates value and and that's what creates wealth  and it's really just kind of sad that people  
01:17:17
you know are in this it goes beyond this  article on these trust fund kids but this whole  
01:17:22
uh condemnation of capitalism and this attack  on any you know billionaires or whatever um the  
01:17:28
problem with it is it doesn't recognize the way  that value is created for everybody can i um can  
01:17:34
i give you a quote um from walter williams who uh  just passed away who's a very famous uh economist  
01:17:40
prior to capitalism the way people amassed great  wealth was by looting plundering and enslaving  
01:17:47
their fellow man capitalism made it possible  to become wealthy by serving your fellow men  
01:17:52
and that's really true and some are along  the way folks folks have lost the script  
01:17:56
and have all of a sudden gone back to pre-historic  capitalist times and um i think that we don't  
01:18:04
have enough good examples of constructive  capitalism that prove that this is not a bad word
01:18:09
yeah exactly yeah i love the walter williams quote  um just to give another example jeff bezos just  
01:18:17
gave 10 billion dollars to uh climate change teddy  what's the kid's name teddy schaefer or something  
01:18:23
like that the journalist has been writing him on  twitter i think he works for vox or something like  
01:18:29
they have basically been attacking bezos since he  made the announcement that he hasn't done enough  
01:18:34
and it's like 10 billion dollars is the largest  contribution ever made to a single cause i mean  
01:18:41
obviously right bill gates and how did he do  foundation right and how did he do that because  
01:18:46
he created amazon which has created enormous  value for all of us imagine if one of these kids  
01:18:50
in the article instead of just giving their money  away by the way it looks like there's a bunch of  
01:18:55
organizations that have sprung up to scam these  kids out of their trust fund it's sort of you  
01:18:59
know a fool in their money in their money are soon  parted there's a whole bunch of of scam artists  
01:19:06
who are trying to scam these kids but uh yeah  i mean they're definitely getting scammed but  
01:19:10
imagine if instead of just getting scammed out  of their money they were to use it to create a  
01:19:13
business that created a new product or technology  that served people then maybe they could turn  
01:19:18
that 30 million into 10 billion like bezos did  and and if they lost it they would have done it  
01:19:23
in the pursuit of something really grand and so  nobody would actually instead of virtue signaling  
01:19:28
instead of virtue signaling on the new york times  yeah like these guys were so glad to be in the new  
01:19:32
york times to dunk on capitalists and dunk and  literally dunk on their own parents think about  
01:19:36
that you hate your parents so much you have to go  to the new york times and tell them how much you  
01:19:40
hate them i mean i don't know how this changes  well by the way speaking of virtue signaling in  
01:19:45
the new york times can we talk about the new york  times writing that hit piece on coinbase all right  
01:19:50
i mean if you want to go there i mean this is the  first rail of the podcast but we've been talking  
01:19:55
about brian armstrong just to set the table  here brian armstrong wrote a memo he said oh no  
01:20:00
politics by the way by the way jkl i just posted  an image for nick to put up here just to to don't  
01:20:06
don't tell me it's a code 13 that says this is not  a code 13. it's to reinforce your point about the  
01:20:11
you know the virtue of capitalism you know this  kind of dates back to these are three three images  
01:20:17
three charts from the year 1500 to today and  energy use has grown 115 times well so this is  
01:20:24
basically uh a measure of population consumption  and production right and so the the capitalist  
01:20:31
incentive has driven um the ability while  population has grown 14x over the last 500 years  
01:20:37
it's driven um a nearly 10x increment in what  is available for humans to consume uh per capita  
01:20:46
during that period of time i mean think about  that that was driven entirely by industry and so  
01:20:51
industry has enabled and production has increased  by 240x so we have a surplus of goods on planet  
01:20:56
earth and a surplus of access to goods because  of the capitalist incentive over the last 500  
01:21:02
years and whose right is it to say that that was  wrong and all of the people that are employed by  
01:21:06
it and live within that mechanism and who are  no longer living in poverty who are no longer  
01:21:10
slaves all of a sudden 50 000 people convert  you signal because they're sitting in their  
01:21:14
warm homes in america telling everybody else  to [ __ ] off i mean i find it kind of a joke  
01:21:19
i mean i i would like you to go and live you know  where i was supposed to live before i emigrated  
01:21:24
right sri lanka no heater no roof no food etc they  should go to north korea you go come to sri lanka  
01:21:32
i can show you you go to an outhouse okay you  sit there you squat to go to the bathroom okay  
01:21:38
um there's no [ __ ] three-ply you know uh bamboo  you know press-free toilet paper to deal with  
01:21:45
um you know you you literally what you know you  clean yourself with your hand you brush your teeth  
01:21:50
with coal i remember we used to brush our teeth  with [ __ ] coal okay we have a well for water  
01:21:57
and so you you have all these people in these  situations where all we wanted was to just give  
01:22:02
a chance to run the race and the people that were  born with a silver spoon in their mouth who had  
01:22:07
the chance to run the race turns around and tells  guys like me no you can't and it [ __ ] infuriates  
01:22:13
me yeah i want to blow up the racetrack by the  way yeah i want to just get rid of the internet  
01:22:16
i mean [ __ ] about you it's a serious [  __ ] you to these to these like they were  
01:22:22
profited and they benefited from democracy and  capitalism and now they want to revert back  
01:22:27
to a system where everybody who's in that space  they're trying to get into this system they don't  
01:22:32
understand what feudalism is because there are so  many layers removed through their [ __ ] filtered  
01:22:37
lenses and you know country clubs and [ __  ] vacations and all this crap that they have  
01:22:42
no idea what it's like and i'm telling you i am  first generation of having escaped that [ __ ] and  
01:22:47
i don't want anything to do with it but the point  is capitalism has allowed not just the us but many  
01:22:54
other countries to change their course in life um  stephen pickner's for all of the controversy he  
01:22:59
creates his books on um you know what humans have  really achieved during this great kind of era of  
01:23:06
capitalism and industrialism and how we've changed  our course on planet earth uh improved human  
01:23:11
health improved longevity improved calorie access  to calories improved access to shelter to medicine  
01:23:17
um it's all because of a an incentive a  market-based incentive system and it is very  
01:23:23
very powerful it is the most powerful force we  know as a species and it's allowed this incredible  
01:23:28
acceleration exponential acceleration of  possibility for our species also from the article  
01:23:34
a great quote elizabeth baldwin a 34 year old  democratic socialist from cambridge massachusetts  
01:23:41
she plans to keep enough of her inheritance to  buy an apartment and raise a family enjoying  
01:23:46
the sort of pleasant middle-class existence denied  to many people of color in the united states
01:23:55
what is that i mean that's just i don't know i  just i i don't think let's just move on let's  
01:23:59
talk about brian it's so dumb they they see  they see the world in a zero some way where  
01:24:05
you know anything they have means that somebody  else must it must have been taken away from  
01:24:09
somebody else they don't really understand  the way that value is created by an exchange  
01:24:15
and by people creating new things um and you  know and and that's what technology is all about  
01:24:21
you know it's creating news i mean there was a  time when everybody didn't have access to clean  
01:24:25
water now we take that for granted there's a time  when everybody have access to affordable food and  
01:24:29
electricity and by the way look at how we started  all of this is driven by capitalism and look at  
01:24:34
how we started the conversation today alpha fold  i think is the realization of one of the greatest  
01:24:39
capitalist enterprises in history if not the  greatest you know alphabet and they're still  
01:24:43
getting started and the output of that is going to  be an incredible new tool for drug discovery that  
01:24:48
is going to extend human lifespan in an incredible  way there was a window of time where folks who are  
01:24:55
really really good at bitching and complaining had  a window of opportunity to [ __ ] and complain and  
01:25:00
what happened was they were not able to seize  power and then just in the last few months  
01:25:06
literally i think we are nailing that coffin shut  because as you said david you're gonna have to all  
01:25:11
of a sudden like look at companies like google  and look at things like affifold and reject them  
01:25:17
and i don't know how people do because everyone  will need something that that company will create  
01:25:22
now and that alpha fold will be responsible for  we are all going to need a vaccine these are all  
01:25:27
coming from for-profit companies that thrived on  top of r d you know all of it was funded by past  
01:25:33
drug profits from other things and so you know  we're going to have to really look at ourselves  
01:25:37
in the mirror and say did we not want that did we  want to just die on the street to prove a point  
01:25:42
and i don't think anybody actually wants that i  mean what is your what is the ultimate criticism  
01:25:47
of amazon they made you know iphone chargers five  dollars well the point is 40 you can't have your  
01:25:53
cake and eat it too you can't actually you know  complain about amazon on the one hand complain  
01:25:59
about no action on climate change on the other  complain about this complain about that complain  
01:26:03
about the other thing then you're just a [ __ ]  whiner and nobody wants a whiner around because  
01:26:08
they're not additive they're not useful you don't  learn anything from a whiner all right so looking  
01:26:15
at the uh new york times uh versus coinbase the  foul new york times fake news sorry i'm just
01:26:24
we'll talk about talk about whining  this is more virtue signaling  
01:26:28
uh whining by the new york times and actually  the look this was clearly a hit piece because  
01:26:36
they don't like brian armstrong's decision to  make coin base in a political workplace if any  
01:26:41
workplace has chosen to be political it's the  new york times there's a lot of examples of that  
01:26:45
the fact that they ran barry weiss out of  there they ran mario weiss out of the newsroom
01:26:53
they ran james bennett out of there for publishing  a an op-ed by tom cotton remember that he got  
01:26:59
kicked out he got forced to resign because he  published one op-ed by a republican senator  
01:27:05
okay this is the most close-minded group  the most close-minded political workplace  
01:27:12
and here they are lecturing a silicon  valley company that in their view isn't  
01:27:16
tolerant enough i mean it's ridiculous but the but  the and it was obvious that it was a hit piece the  
01:27:21
stories the the examples in the article were years  old um you know the uh they weren't even reported  
01:27:28
to hr violation as violations at the time so  there's you know it's it's people cooking up  
01:27:34
things that weren't reported as problems at the  time but the but the really interesting thing  
01:27:40
about the story i think is that is  the way coinbase reacted to it by  
01:27:45
preemptively announcing that it was coming which  really made the new york times reporters really  
01:27:51
irate you know they called it extremely enough  reporters were upset and they threatened that  
01:27:56
they would no longer the journalist said if  you guys are going to front run our stories  
01:28:01
we are not going to call you when we have a story  and i responded to that and i was like are you  
01:28:05
serious like you're literally going to lose  what little integrity you have left crazy  
01:28:10
about fact checking because there's an amazing  somebody wrote a pre-emptive blog post about it  
01:28:15
i'll say this about i'll say this about uh brian  armstrong i have a lot of respect for him for  
01:28:19
making a stand i think every ceo has that right  and uh i'm glad that at the end of the day the  
01:28:24
employees at coinbase were given a humane way of  making a decision to be on the same page with him  
01:28:29
or not i will also say that i thought that essay  was not goal written and that uh given the chance  
01:28:35
i could have rewritten that for him in a much  better way i've maintained this the whole time  
01:28:39
um but i i think he's in the right here wrap  it up tell us what you think well okay that's  
01:28:46
that's that's interesting that your mother's  um it's interesting to hear your support for  
01:28:50
brian so we've talked about this has become  a recurring topic on the pod um but anyway  
01:28:55
i think you know the important thing is the  way that i think the tech community fought  
01:29:00
back against this hit piece and it was the like  you said jason the front running of the story  
01:29:06
somebody's uh a a wag on twitter had a had a great  comment saying you know um he basically said you  
01:29:14
know i try to walk out you i agree with the new  york times on this i try to walk up to somebody  
01:29:19
and kick him in the nuts and they cover their  groin you know how dare they you know uh
01:29:26
how unprofessional of them it was a slow motion  kick to the nuts yeah exactly and so coming sunday  
01:29:33
it's right but it was day but on sunday we're  kicking you on the nuts so yeah the new york times  
01:29:39
the coin base just covered its groin so the new  york times can cover kick him in the nuts and um  
01:29:44
and of course the reporters all went hysterical  about that but it you know but but but it was a  
01:29:49
really brilliant pr tactic by coinbase because  what it did is it almost like released a spike  
01:29:54
protein you know by by sort of a pre-announcing  new york times story it created this  
01:30:00
spike protein that trained the immune system of  silicon valley to be ready for this pathogenic  
01:30:05
new york times story and the the story  just really fell flat it didn't go anywhere  
01:30:11
yeah it was um and they did the same thing with  the away ceo she was too hard on people in slack  
01:30:17
all of these stories to go full circle involve  some leak from a slack room so if you're a ceo or  
01:30:24
you're managing anybody don't have any difficult  or legal issues discussed on slack just go for  
01:30:29
a walk with somebody talk to them face to face  because you're going to get destroyed all right  
01:30:32
listen everybody this has been another amazing  episode we had 10 more stories we wanted to get to  
01:30:38
that we weren't able to get to uh but while  we were doing this i asked my crack team
01:30:47
sorry at the syndicate whoa what was that  to set up the syndicate.com slash all in  
01:30:55
so i'm not saying we're doing a syndicate  yes we are we're going to figure out how to  
01:30:58
do something we're going to do something to  let the people who listen invest alongside  
01:31:03
us we're going to figure it out in 2021 at some  point but you have to write a review on itunes  
01:31:08
no you just got to sign up just got to sign  up at the syndicate.com all in if we do a  
01:31:13
folding protein company or a unicorn in the isa  space maybe everybody who listens to the all-in  
01:31:19
podcast gets to wet their beak for the rain when  david speak what you're the beak let your feet
01:31:36
the t-shirt guy that listens to us we love you  uh there's a code there's a word but wet your  
01:31:41
beak or what the beak we have to figure out which  one's better i think we have a new i think we have  
01:31:44
a new tagline for the pod what you're being wet  you're right and code 13. these are great merch  
01:31:50
opportunities for anybody who wants to go do merch  you can go do merch on your own we don't care  
01:31:55
we're not in the merch business put it up on your  own website love you guys love you besties uh so  
01:32:00
for bestie rainman the dictator paulie hoppetea  and the queen of quinoa himself metro mile founder  
01:32:09
spacker piper laying pipe and spacks everywhere  i'm jason calaganis for the besties we'll see  
01:32:15
you next time which could be in a week or a month  who knows on the all in podcast love you besties

Podspun Insights

The besties are back and ready to dive into a whirlwind of tech, politics, and personal anecdotes in this episode of the All-In Podcast. With David Sacks calling in from an undisclosed location, the gang tackles a smorgasbord of topics, including Salesforce's jaw-dropping acquisition of Slack for a staggering $27.7 billion. The conversation flows effortlessly as they dissect the implications of this deal, touching on everything from enterprise sales strategies to the emotional weight of letting go of a beloved startup.

As the banter unfolds, the crew doesn’t shy away from playful jabs at each other's fashion choices, revealing their camaraderie and lightheartedness amidst serious discussions. They also delve into the ongoing saga of Coinbase and the controversial New York Times article that sparked outrage among tech enthusiasts. The besties express their thoughts on the evolving landscape of capitalism and the responsibilities that come with wealth, all while keeping the tone engaging and relatable.

Listeners are treated to a fascinating exploration of AlphaFold, a groundbreaking advancement in protein folding that could revolutionize medicine and environmental science. The episode wraps up with a humorous yet insightful look at the future of the tech industry and the potential for new investments, leaving fans eager for more.

Badges

This episode stands out for the following:

  • 95
    Most shocking
  • 95
    Most talked-about
  • 95
    Most iconic moment
  • 93
    Most surprising

Episode Highlights

  • Salesforce Acquires Slack
    Salesforce makes history with a $27.7 billion acquisition of Slack, the highest ever for a SaaS company.
    “Salesforce buying Slack is a record transaction for a SaaS company.”
    @ 03m 51s
    December 04, 2020
  • Lessons from Yammer
    Sacks reflects on the importance of embracing enterprise sales for success in SaaS.
    “Enterprises don't self-serve; they need a sales person to close the deals.”
    @ 08m 09s
    December 04, 2020
  • The Power of Patience in Investing
    Selling winners too early can be a costly mistake for investors. 'Let your winners ride.'
    “Selling winners prematurely is my biggest mistake as an investor.”
    @ 24m 18s
    December 04, 2020
  • Alpha Fold's Breakthrough
    Alpha Fold can predict protein shapes from amino acid sequences, revolutionizing biology and medicine.
    “Now we can predict what the shape will be from the DNA sequence.”
    @ 32m 17s
    December 04, 2020
  • Ethical Challenges of AI
    The implications of AI technologies like Alpha Fold raise significant ethical questions.
    “Imagine the government trying to understand this technology.”
    @ 38m 47s
    December 04, 2020
  • The Rise of Biodefense
    Biodefense is set to become a major industry as digital biology becomes more accessible.
    “Biodefense is going to become probably one of the biggest industries on planet Earth.”
    @ 44m 52s
    December 04, 2020
  • Biden's Strategic Cabinet Choices
    Biden's cabinet selections avoid extreme progressives, aiming for a centrist approach.
    “Biden has done a really smart thing... he has not put any totally crazy progressives to his cabinet.”
    @ 55m 40s
    December 04, 2020
  • Elizabeth Spamberger's Warning
    Democratic House member Elizabeth Spamberger warns leadership against 'defund the police' rhetoric to protect her seat.
    “Don't ever mention defund the police again!”
    @ 01h 05m 03s
    December 04, 2020
  • Sam Jacobs and Wealth Redistribution
    Sam Jacobs, a millennial heir, wants to give away his $30 million trust fund to live his values.
    “I want to build a world where someone like me is possible.”
    @ 01h 07m 04s
    December 04, 2020
  • The Role of Capitalism
    Walter Williams highlights how capitalism allows wealth creation through service, contrasting it with historical wealth accumulation methods.
    “Capitalism made it possible to become wealthy by serving your fellow men.”
    @ 01h 17m 40s
    December 04, 2020
  • Coinbase vs. New York Times
    The New York Times published a controversial piece on Coinbase, sparking a fierce debate.
    “This was clearly a hit piece because they don't like Brian Armstrong's decision.”
    @ 01h 26m 28s
    December 04, 2020
  • Preemptive Strike
    Coinbase's preemptive announcement of the article frustrated New York Times reporters.
    “It created this spike protein that trained the immune system of Silicon Valley.”
    @ 01h 29m 54s
    December 04, 2020

Episode Quotes

Key Moments

  • Insulting Each Other02:23
  • Ethical AI Concerns38:47
  • Accessibility of Biology45:25
  • Biden's Smart Strategy55:40
  • Political Tensions1:04:51
  • Parenting and Wealth1:13:22
  • Capitalism vs Socialism1:17:22
  • Vaccine Needs1:25:22

Words per Minute Over Time

Vibes Breakdown