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Satya Nadella on AI’s Business Revolution: What Happens to SaaS, OpenAI, and Microsoft?

January 21, 202632:00
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All right, everybody. We're thrilled to
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have the one, the only Tata Nadella
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here, the third CEO of Microsoft for a
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uh impromptu fireside chat with David
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Saxs, Arzar of AI and crypto. Satia
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third, CEO of Microsoft, born in India.
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What an incredible story. came here
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right after college and uh you had a
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little round trip to pick up your wife
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in your book to to bring her here. Tell
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everybody briefly uh how that occurred.
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>> Well um uh you know so that's that's a
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great story of uh the uh the labyrinth
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that is the immigration policies of the
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United States I think. Um I my wife and
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I went to college together in India. I
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came here for grad school. We then got
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married. Uh I got my green card. Um and
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she couldn't come join because we got
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married. So the story goes basically I
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had to give up my green card. So the
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funny thing is I went to the American
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embassy in Delhi
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>> and I said where's the line to give up
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my green card? And they said there is no
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such line. Um
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>> that would be a crazy thing to do in the
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'9s. So it was a strange thing to give
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up your green card, get an H1 so that
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she could join, but it all worked out.
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So um you know it's a long lost memory
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but it was you know a way to work around
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it. Um I wanted to ask you uh having
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launched a co-pilot first with GitHub
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then having a co-pilot on the desktop.
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You made a very bold move for Microsoft
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to put that in the Windows product,
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which I use every day, on the desktop,
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but you did that before it really could
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recognize the file system and interact
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with applications. Got a little bit of a
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lukewarm reception, but now you've been
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doubling down, doubling down, and there
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seems to be, in my estimation, three
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modalities for knowledge workers.
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Elon's building at XAI,
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what they're calling a human emulator,
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if you saw that leak this week. Yeah.
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uh where they're just building employees
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and just putting them into their chat
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rooms and email. Then you have Claude
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came out with co-work this week.
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Incredibly powerful. People are kind of
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losing their minds over it. I've been
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playing with it for the last 40 hours.
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Truly impressive.
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What's your vision for Microsoft and how
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knowledge workers will actually put this
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to use because there seems to be a gap
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between you know playing around with
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chatbt and getting some interesting
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results and getting business results.
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>> Yeah. So I think it one of the most um
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perhaps illustrative examples um of
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trying to understand these various form
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factors is looking at coding which is
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obviously a form of knowledge work or uh
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probably the best example of knowledge
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work and if you think about the journey
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coding has been it started with u
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essentially uh uh the next edit suggest
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right that was the first time in fact my
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own belief in this entire uh generation
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of tech really sort of got formulated
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where I started seeing I think it was G
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you know there's a codeex model back in
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the day it was preGPT35
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uh that's when next edits started
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working with some real accuracy then we
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went to chat then we went to actions and
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now to full autonomous agents and then
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the autonomous agents can be both
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foreground background in the cloud or
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local right so that's all the form
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factors that exist today when you're
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coding and interestingly If you look at
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it, you use all of them, right? It's not
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like there's only one form factor. So
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that's I think probably one of the other
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lessons. So for example, when I'm in a
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CLI, I can you go a foreground agent,
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background agent, and then just
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literally go edit in VS Code, right?
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There all happening in parallel, right?
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So that sort of shows how these form
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factors even composed. So then you bring
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that to knowledge work to your point. We
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started with chat. chat with reasoning
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sort of goes beyond just request
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response because you now have that chain
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of thought uh where you can see it work
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now they're actions right essentially
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either through computer use or through
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uh AP you know basically skills uh and
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agent calls so you can do actions so
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that's kind of the state of the copilot
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today now there is a way to think about
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you know the the theory of the mind
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evolution Right? Because you need like
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if you remember you know Jobs had the
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best line I would say for PCs or
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computers was to say if you it's a
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bicycle for the mind. Bill had a line
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which I liked as well which was it's
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information at your fingertips. We kind
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of need now a new concept metaphor for
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how we use computers in the AI age. And
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you have one
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>> and the one I like actually came from
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the CEO of notion which I you know that
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manager of
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>> incredible product. Yeah.
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>> You haven't bought it yet? I've not got
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that. Uh but the it's both management of
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you know basically
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a manager of infinite minds. That's a
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nice way to think about it right when
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you sort of really look at all the
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agents that you are working with. You
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kind of need to understand what I in
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fact the other term I like is we macro
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delegate and micro steer. In fact you
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kind of need that in in in coding you
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kind of have it right. So you do a macro
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delegation and then I can in parallel
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give it instructions while it is doing
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work. So that's sort of the state even
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today of co-pilot or what have you. you
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bring up a little bit of what one of one
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of the form factors I'm very excited
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about and you'll see us even in the next
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week even uh do things is while I'm
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sitting in GitHub copilot
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what it's not as if software developers
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sit in isolation right it's not like the
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only thing I work on is my repo I attend
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meetings um I write specs or others have
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written specs that I'm implementing uh I
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need to have my repo be consistent with
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that so that means using either a
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straightforward MCP server or a skill I
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want to be able to call into my work IQ
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which is the co-pilot bring that in
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that's the type of composition uh of
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knowledge work that'll happen same thing
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with security say you're a security
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professional you have lots of logs uh
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how do you sort of really analyze them
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you drop them into a file system then
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write code on top of it create a
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dashboard what have you those are the
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types of knowledge work that we can
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enable there I think you bring up one
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more thing which is can you create quote
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unquote digital employees digital
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co-workers or what have you and it's all
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about credentials right so the I today
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you could like you can literally assign
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>> are you working on that as well
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>> yeah so in fact we introduced something
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called agent 365 as a way to give
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identities in fact extending the
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identities we have for humans today uh
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and the endpoint protection we have for
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their compute devices to agents so
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>> so you might clone me working in the HR
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department or working in the marketing
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department and have a virtual correct
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>> version of me inside of office.
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>> That's correct. So, so there are two
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sort of modalities there. One is you
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give every knowledge worker infinite
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minds. That's kind of one and then you
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create even infinite minds independent
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of the your identity because the
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identity is one of the key things you
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got to get right even for it to work
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right. Right. So
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>> permissions
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>> and decision making
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>> permissions decision- making and like
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one of the key in things is who did what
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to whom is sort of the most important
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query in an organization right at the
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end of the day the organization needs to
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understand what work got done h and
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what's the provenence of that work uh
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and how do you trace it back right so
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therefore you kind of want either what
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if it's a human with a lot of agents
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then it's really macro delegation micro
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steering by the human whose identity was
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passed on. So it's delegation versus a
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separate identity.
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>> And that was done by a level of
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management, product management that
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you've eliminated, that Alphabets
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eliminated. Meta has started to
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eliminate in their organization four
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years ago. You had the same number of
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employees you have at Microsoft now, but
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you put a $90 billion onto the top line
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of the revenue in that time and you
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doubled your income during that time. So
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how did that happen? Is that automation
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of those jobs? Is it you were a little
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bit overstaffed?
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>> Unpack.
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>> I think it's it's actually you're
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pulling on a very interesting thread
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which is at some level what's the big
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structural change that needs to happen.
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In fact, I would say this is probably
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the biggest change in knowledge work
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since PCs. I mean I always you know
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think about like how did work happen
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precise right? I mean think about a
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multinational company like ours trying
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to do a forecast. uh right faxes went
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around, inter office memos got sent and
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then you kind of created a you know uh a
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forecast then suddenly you know PCs
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became standard issue uh you put an
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Excel spreadsheet put some numbers sent
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it in email everybody entered numbers
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and you had a forecast so the work the
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work artifact and the workflow all
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changed that's what's happening so for
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example I'll give you uh at LinkedIn
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uh we used to have product managers we
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had designers uh we had front-end
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engineers and then we had CIS backend
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engineers and so on. So what we did is
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we sort of took those first four roles
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and combined them in fact increased
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scope and said let's they're all full
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stack builders. So I like that because
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that's a structural change that allows
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for us to increase the change both the
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work and the workflow between these
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functions and I would assume the
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velocity because you don't have four
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people communicating and that throughput
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of ideas it's just one person and vibe
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coding. Exactly. And there's a new
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workflow. So what at the same time as
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you can imagine if to build an AI
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product today there's a complete new
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workflow right it starts with eval right
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so basically there's this eval to
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science to infrastructure and so eval
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are done by these full stack builders
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and what have you and product managers
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in the new form the infrastructure is
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built by the systems engineers at the
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back end because they support the
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science that supports the product. So in
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some sense there's a new loop uh and you
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have to structurally change and so a lot
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of what is happening inside a tech is
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that change uh which is I think going to
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be pretty massive uh and at the same
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time a company like ours I have to do
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everything. It's not like I can just so
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go live in the future. I have to make
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sure we're doing a fantastic job of
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doing hot patching on Windows is done
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with quality uh while at the same time
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building the evals that are improving
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co-pilot quality. Right? And so both of
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those have to be first class.
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>> I assume this is the most challenging
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moment of your career because Microsoft
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was so dominant duopoly in some spaces.
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Um but you really weren't up against the
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competition level you're up against now.
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I was talking to Elon, you know, and he
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was sort of saying, well, building cars
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was pretty easy. Uh because I was up
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against the legacy car makers and now
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I'm up against
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just look at the set you're up against.
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Yeah, it's it's a pretty intense time. I
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mean, so the way I I I always think is
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it's always helpful uh when you have a
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complete new set of competitors every
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decade because that keeps you fit. Uh if
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you think about it, I joined uh
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Microsoft in '92 when I had Noel as the
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big existential competitor we had. Um
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and here we are in 2026. Uh and it
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you're absolutely right, it's a pretty
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intense time. I'm glad there's the
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competition. uh it's it's quite honestly
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at the end of the day when I look at it
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right as a percentage of GDP 5 years
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from now where will tech be right uh it
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will be higher so we're blessed to be in
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this industry it's lot of intense
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competition but it's not so zero sum as
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some people make it out
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>> it's getting much bigger
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>> much the TAM and the you know just the
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impact of this tech is going to be so
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massive um the question then of course
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is what is like I I always go back to
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what's the brand identity Microsoft has
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brand permission. We have what do
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customers expect from us. It's sometimes
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we kind of overthink somehow that every
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customer wants the same thing from all
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of the competitors and finding that out,
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right? It's kind of a different take on
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the Peter Theal thing which is you got
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to avoid competition by really
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understanding what customers really want
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from you uh versus thinking everybody's
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a competitor.
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>> David.
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>> Yeah. So there are a lot of heads of
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state here obviously at Davos as well as
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CEOs of Fortune 500 companies and I
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think you got asked a question last
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night at the dinner about how they
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should think about AI and how to be
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successful and I recall they used the
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word diffusion and I was wondering if
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you could expand on those remarks
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because that really resonated with some
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of the policy work I've been doing.
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>> No, absolutely. In fact, uh what you all
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have been doing to make sure in in this
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context of the American tech stack um is
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broadly used around the world and is
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trusted around the world because I think
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uh when I look back David to me um uh at
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the end of the day you create the
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technology but really the benefits
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come only by intense use. In fact, one
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of my favorite studies has always been
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this work that uh an economist I think
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out of Dartmouth did uh his name is
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Diego Comman where he studied uh
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basically what happened during the
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industrial revolution um how did
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countries get ahead? Um and the simple
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sort of takeaway from that was any
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country uh that brought the latest
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technology into their uh country and
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then did value add technology on top of
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it. Right? So it's like don't reinvent
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the wheel. Bring the latest and then
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build on top of it. That's to me uh what
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happens you know when you have
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diffusion. So especially with general
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purpose technologies like AI it needs to
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spread like right in our you know in our
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own country in the United States we now
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need we have the tech. The question is
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is it being used in healthcare? Is it
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being used um in financial services? Is
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it being used in every sector of the
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economy by large businesses, small
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business, public sector? Um so to me un
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unless and until we see that diffusion
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and intense use uh we're not going to
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have the success. Um uh and so that's
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the phase we are in it's f you know it's
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diffusing faster um and so some of the
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work policy work you have done um and in
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general all you know the good news here
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is the technologies there the rails
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around cloud and mobile that were laid
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out make it possible for this thing to
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spread right it's not you know
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impossible to get the tokens the
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question is what are the use cases how
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do and how do you manage the change in
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all of that um you know like one of the
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questions at least in Davos is it's one
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for the west and the developed nations.
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What about the global south? Um I think
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global south has a huge opportunity too
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quite frankly because to me like let's
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say you know 40% 50% of the GDP of most
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global south countries is public sector.
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So just imagine this tech making a
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difference in how the governments uh
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really parlay their taxpayer money into
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services for citizens and there's if
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there's efficiency gains that's probably
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couple of points of GDP growth right
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there and so I'm very optimistic that
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there's going to be a pull uh and that
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we should as the United States given the
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technology stack we have uh in Europe in
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Asia in you know in South America in
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Africa and everywhere
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get it to be broadly deployed.
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>> You one of the questions I get asked a
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lot about the AI race is how do you know
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if you're winning or how do you know if
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the United States is ahead of its global
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competitors? And the answer I give is
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market share. You know, if we look
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around the world in 5 years and we see
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that American companies, American
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technology has say 80% market share, it
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means we did a good job. If we look
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around the world in five years and see
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that it's say Chinese chips and Chinese
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models that are being used all over the
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world, well means we probably lost. So
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you know ultimately usage is the proof
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of the pudding is in the eating of it. I
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mean the in this case the way that you
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know that you're succeeding is through
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market shares through usage.
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>> I and I I would agree with that. But
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David, since you even worked at
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Microsoft for a few years, um you you
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know, one of the things that I'm very
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grounded on is always uh that Bill Gates
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line of a platform, right? So, one of
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the things that I always think about is
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it's market share, but it's also
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ecosystem effects, right? See, what the
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United States always has done is not
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just about our market share or even um
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the revenues to US companies. In fact,
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one of the things I learned at Microsoft
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is whenever I did a country visit, the
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data I would first study is in let's say
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in the UK or in Switzerland or what have
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you is what is the total employment
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created in Switzerland uh in our channel
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that used to be like the number one
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thing uh in our country reports right
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and the total number
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>> that be like the number of IT workers
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the number
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>> office workers channel so channel
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partners we so number of ISVs
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uh who were there. So we used to have a
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complete marker of how did the ecosystem
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around the platform get built one
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country at a time and that is what the
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United States has always done. In fact
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the US tech stack
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>> including in China got built because
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others built around our tech stack the
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same thing is going to happen. So that's
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why I think the work you're doing around
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diffusion,
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>> right,
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>> is about really increasing the size of
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the pie, the trust in the platform so
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that there is true economic opportunity
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quite frankly.
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>> Well, you're right and and I remember
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actually you you brought back some
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memories from this is about a decade ago
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when my company Yammer was acquired by
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Microsoft. we were part of uh the
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SharePoint group and I remember that the
00:18:14
um the product managers there were very
00:18:15
proud of the fact that the revenue from
00:18:19
the SharePoint ecosystem meaning
00:18:21
non-Microsoft
00:18:22
the um the consulting community the
00:18:25
implementers who would go into companies
00:18:27
implement SharePoint I think their
00:18:29
revenue is something like seven times
00:18:30
greater than Microsoft's own software
00:18:33
revenue and I think
00:18:34
>> in aggregate
00:18:35
>> in aggregate and I think and I think
00:18:37
Bill had a line about you're not an
00:18:39
ecosystem or platform until the revenue
00:18:41
on top of your platform is some, you
00:18:44
know, factor of your own revenue. And
00:18:46
and I and I think that I think what's
00:18:48
really important about this is when we
00:18:50
talk about diffusion and obviously want
00:18:52
the United States to have this leading
00:18:55
position, it doesn't mean it's bad for
00:18:57
the rest of the world because they're
00:18:58
able to build on top of those platforms
00:19:00
and create even more value.
00:19:02
>> 100%. In fact, that's sort of the most
00:19:04
important point, right? So this is not
00:19:06
that this is not about uh American tech
00:19:09
um and America revenues to the United
00:19:11
States. It's actually creating
00:19:13
opportunity using a new platform
00:19:15
everywhere. And in fact you know the you
00:19:17
know like I remember I worked on our
00:19:19
database products uh in the '90s u you
00:19:22
know with SAP in fact the combination of
00:19:25
uh SQL Server and R3 were successful on
00:19:29
both sides. There's a lot talked about
00:19:30
Intel and Microsoft, but one of the
00:19:32
other things that I grew up in which has
00:19:34
sort of been foundational in how I look
00:19:36
at the world is what we did with a
00:19:38
European software company that is still
00:19:40
uh you know a giant. And so that you
00:19:42
know who knows what the next big AI app
00:19:45
will be and where and what will happen.
00:19:47
But uh I I sort of go in with the
00:19:49
attitude that there will be tech
00:19:51
companies uh maybe even top five tech
00:19:54
companies that could emerge everywhere
00:19:56
with even the American tech stack. you
00:19:59
have um done some amazing acquisitions
00:20:02
and you're quite a dealmaker on top of
00:20:03
being a technologist. It's probably the
00:20:05
least reported aspect of your
00:20:08
spectacular tenure and the massive
00:20:10
growth you've had.
00:20:12
But you did a deal with OpenAI and
00:20:15
probably one of the most savvy
00:20:18
slashcontroversial dealmakers of all
00:20:20
time, Sam Alman. That deal was looked at
00:20:23
as
00:20:25
you you you're you're set up to get a
00:20:27
windfall in cash which you don't need as
00:20:29
Microsoft. always nice I'm guessing if
00:20:31
they IPO but did you create potentially
00:20:34
and this was the criticism of it
00:20:37
an ultimate competitor to Microsoft and
00:20:40
how do you think about that and how can
00:20:42
Microsoft which missed Steve Bombber's
00:20:44
biggest regret missing the mobile
00:20:46
revolution how can you not have a Gemini
00:20:50
an XAI a claude that is your own or in
00:20:53
your mind do you have that because you
00:20:56
have the source code of open AI
00:20:57
>> yeah I think that that's right so when
00:20:58
when people say uh where is your
00:21:00
foundation model? I mean at the end of
00:21:02
the day we do have the IP but that said
00:21:04
I think you bring up a couple different
00:21:06
things right one is to us the most
00:21:08
important thing when I look at what is
00:21:10
Microsoft's uh strategy today one is we
00:21:14
want to build token factories right so
00:21:16
our biggest business today is Azure
00:21:18
business and the Azure business the TAM
00:21:20
given what's going to happen is is so
00:21:22
huge that we now need to be fantastic uh
00:21:25
at building these token factories and um
00:21:27
that's means a heterogeneous fleet of
00:21:30
infrastructure
00:21:31
and that every hyperscaler has always
00:21:33
done which is use software to make
00:21:35
maximum use of it and for TCO and
00:21:37
utilization. So that's one side of it.
00:21:40
Then there's the app server business
00:21:41
right which is everybody we you talked
00:21:43
about like if everyone's going to be
00:21:45
building agents have infinite minds have
00:21:47
these RL gyms have eval what have you
00:21:50
there's an entire just like every
00:21:51
platform has had an app server this one
00:21:54
has an app server that's what we're
00:21:55
doing with foundry and what have you
00:21:57
right so there's an app server business
00:21:59
in that app server one of the things
00:22:01
that structurally now is pretty clear is
00:22:04
anyone building any application or any
00:22:06
company is going to use not one model
00:22:08
but all the models Right? Why would I
00:22:10
not? Right? Which is in fact I will
00:22:12
orchestrate for any given task even
00:22:15
multiple models. Right? There's this one
00:22:17
nice thing that we came out in our
00:22:19
healthcare practice called the decision
00:22:21
orchestrator. What it proves is that by
00:22:24
assigning roles, right? So investigator,
00:22:27
data analyst, domain expert, just giving
00:22:30
even prompted roles to models and then
00:22:33
orchestrating them gets better results
00:22:36
than any one single frontier model. Am I
00:22:38
right to read into that then that you're
00:22:41
bullish on the open- source models and
00:22:43
think large language models will largely
00:22:45
be commoditized and that's not where the
00:22:47
value will occur. In fact, the way I
00:22:48
think about it is that just like what
00:22:50
happened
00:22:51
>> and Apple thinks that too by the way.
00:22:52
>> By the way, what the way you think about
00:22:54
what happened in the database market,
00:22:56
right? You know, I used to be like
00:22:57
everything is just a SQL database until
00:22:59
it was not, right? There was I mean,
00:23:01
think about it. There dock databases,
00:23:03
there is no SQL databases. The
00:23:05
proliferation of databases, right? Who
00:23:08
would have thought that the database
00:23:09
market would have such a richness to it
00:23:12
>> or that it could ever be open source?
00:23:13
That was
00:23:14
>> that's true. I mean talk about Postgress
00:23:16
or what has happened even with
00:23:17
which is open but there are even
00:23:18
companies that have backed it and so so
00:23:20
to me that's what's going to happen and
00:23:22
to me a model is like the database
00:23:24
market you know it's it's got it's going
00:23:26
to differences but I sort of somehow
00:23:28
think that uh it's not there are
00:23:30
definitely going to be frontier models
00:23:31
that are closed source you know there
00:23:33
going to be open source models that are
00:23:35
going to be uh uh frontier class in fact
00:23:38
if anything I think in this next year
00:23:40
what'll be probably a big part of the
00:23:43
discussion is what's the future of a
00:23:46
firm? A firm should be able to take the
00:23:50
tacet knowledge it has and embed it
00:23:54
inside a weights in a model that they
00:23:57
control. Right? So when somebody asks me
00:23:59
how many models should be there, I'll
00:24:01
say as many models as firms in the
00:24:03
world. Right? That's sort of the an
00:24:04
extreme way. Uh because because to me
00:24:07
that's how I think this you know this
00:24:10
knowledge economy becomes an AI economy.
00:24:12
>> Are you
00:24:13
secretly and you can say it here since
00:24:15
we're on allin working on an LLM to
00:24:18
exist on the Windows desktop because
00:24:21
that you are you have it like today
00:24:23
there's a five silica model which is
00:24:25
completely resident using NPUs and of
00:24:28
course using uh GPUs in fact the largest
00:24:31
installation
00:24:33
um of high power in fact it's one of the
00:24:34
fascinating the workstation is back I'm
00:24:36
one of the most if you went to see
00:24:38
>> which is great for Microsoft because you
00:24:41
you have a nice desktop business.
00:24:43
>> Absolutely. And so we and in fact we
00:24:45
think that that form factor especially I
00:24:47
mean I I always say this which is u you
00:24:50
know I started my career on a command
00:24:52
line. Who knows I may just end it in a
00:24:54
command line.
00:24:55
>> Well you started at Sun which was the
00:24:56
original 5 $10,000 workstation. Do you
00:24:59
see a time where you'll be meeting with
00:25:01
your customers here and advocating a 10
00:25:03
$20,000 desktop machine that has an LLM
00:25:07
and the hardware? You can you can put a
00:25:09
DGX card and you can have like just a
00:25:12
fantastic machine and the models I and
00:25:14
by the way you know we are one
00:25:16
architecture tweak away from even having
00:25:18
some kind of a distributed model
00:25:20
architecture right even ane architecture
00:25:22
that shows knows how to really
00:25:25
distribute itself right that's the type
00:25:27
of breakthrough that can completely
00:25:29
change uh what hybrid AI may look like
00:25:32
but we're absolutely committed and
00:25:34
focused on making the PC a great place
00:25:37
for local models uh and local models
00:25:40
that then do even a lot of the prompt
00:25:42
processing and call into the cloud,
00:25:44
right? So there's a whole lot of work
00:25:45
that can happen and that's sort of
00:25:46
definitely something that's underway.
00:25:48
>> Yeah, I think that the cloud co-work has
00:25:50
kind of shown the power of tapping into
00:25:52
the local file drive and be able to use
00:25:54
that. That that brings up another point.
00:25:56
you you got me thinking about Yammer and
00:25:57
for people who don't know um you know
00:25:59
Yammer's claim to fame this is about 15
00:26:01
years ago was that it pioneered a lot of
00:26:04
um well it used a lot of consumer growth
00:26:05
tactics to attack enterprise software
00:26:08
I'm wondering as you think about
00:26:09
enterprise adoption of AI how do you
00:26:13
think it's going to spread over the next
00:26:15
year it feels like we're at sort of a a
00:26:17
a critical point do you think it's going
00:26:19
to be top down is it going to come from
00:26:21
the CEO directing a team giving them a
00:26:24
strategic transformation
00:26:26
project and they're going to do an RFP
00:26:27
or do you think it's going to spread
00:26:29
bottom up in the enterprise through AI
00:26:32
native employees who are adaptable who
00:26:35
are using the tools in their own lives
00:26:37
and they start to bring these things to
00:26:39
work and start accomplishing amazing
00:26:41
things.
00:26:41
>> Yeah. No, I think you know like all
00:26:43
things David I think it's both the top
00:26:45
down bottom up right. uh the that the
00:26:47
reason I say that top down is if I look
00:26:49
at the ROI uh of uh applying AI in
00:26:53
customer service uh or in supply chain
00:26:56
or in HR self-service those are the easy
00:26:59
projects where uh IT and CXOs can make
00:27:04
calls and that's where you'll see the
00:27:05
first drop of uh real AI adoption but
00:27:09
the bottom up is what ultimately will
00:27:12
happen right I mean with even with the
00:27:13
PCs in fact if you think back at the
00:27:16
lawyers brought word in and then finance
00:27:18
bought Excel in and then email came and
00:27:21
then it became standard issue. That's
00:27:23
what's happening right now. So for
00:27:24
example, these agents when I sort of
00:27:27
talk about everybody's building agents,
00:27:29
they are figuring out a way to go create
00:27:33
these things that are changing workflow
00:27:35
and removing drudgery in their work.
00:27:37
Right? That's sort of the beginning of
00:27:40
what is a bottomup transformation. Um I
00:27:43
you I was in fact the thing that I'm
00:27:46
most excited about is this bottomup
00:27:47
change even at Microsoft for example we
00:27:49
manage something like 500 odd fiber
00:27:52
operators around the world in in Azure
00:27:55
today and by the way I not myself
00:27:57
realized it a lot of it you know it's
00:27:58
called DevOps but it's a it's a physical
00:28:00
asset things get cut and when you sort
00:28:03
of say DevOps that means you literally
00:28:05
are emailing people and saying hey what
00:28:07
happened to that fiber cut how do we
00:28:08
repair it so there's a lot of back and
00:28:10
forth so this network the the person who
00:28:13
runs our global network basically has
00:28:15
built to your point about these person
00:28:17
they're just digital employees
00:28:19
essentially that are doing all of that
00:28:22
devops uh and so that's and there's a
00:28:25
completely bottoms up uh where you see
00:28:27
the tools it's kind of like hey I have
00:28:29
the new way to build agents it's there
00:28:32
I'm going to use it to create levels of
00:28:34
automation uh that remove drudgery
00:28:36
improve efficiency improve quality and
00:28:39
that ultimately is a skilling thing
00:28:41
which is sort of the big issue which is
00:28:44
um and skilling is not mystical it's
00:28:46
just by doing right so it's not like I
00:28:48
go to a class per se it's like the
00:28:50
diffusion of the tools uh and using the
00:28:52
tools and that I think is what's really
00:28:55
going to be happening
00:28:56
>> and and we're in a very interesting
00:28:57
moment empowering an existing employee
00:29:00
with these tools is so much easier than
00:29:04
hiring and mentoring and bringing up the
00:29:06
next generation so it feels like we're
00:29:08
in a little bit of an indigestion moment
00:29:10
at Microsoft, do you think who's going
00:29:13
to have my job
00:29:14
>> in 30 or 40 years, if the company stays
00:29:17
the same size? Because given your
00:29:21
technology first approach, there's
00:29:23
really no reason to ever add another
00:29:24
Microsoft employee at the pace this is
00:29:26
going and you haven't for four years.
00:29:29
So, how you may have swapped some in and
00:29:32
out and changed the texture of it. So,
00:29:34
how do you think about maybe this next
00:29:37
generation? What advice would you have
00:29:38
for these college graduates who maybe
00:29:40
don't have an offer for Microsoft right
00:29:42
now? And you used to spend a lot of time
00:29:43
on that building that group, but maybe
00:29:46
you don't have that luxury now. Do you
00:29:48
think about it ever?
00:29:49
>> No, I I mean it's a great question. I
00:29:51
you know there's a little bit of a
00:29:52
debate what happens to early in career
00:29:54
and how is college recruiting. I still
00:29:56
am a big believer in uh college
00:29:58
recruiting because at the end of the day
00:30:00
um this is going to change the curve by
00:30:05
which anyone can pick up proficiency in
00:30:08
a codebase. Let's just it takes sort of
00:30:10
just regular CS hiring. uh what has
00:30:13
changed is perhaps for someone who comes
00:30:16
in new into a team and to be able to
00:30:19
ramp up thanks to all of uh the
00:30:23
markdowns, the skills, uh the fact that
00:30:26
I can go ask the agent. I mean, think
00:30:28
about it, right? It's like having an
00:30:30
unbelievable mentor who is getting you
00:30:33
onboarded onto a codebase faster. So in
00:30:36
some sense the productivity curve uh of
00:30:39
a college hire is going to be much
00:30:41
steeper than it ever before. So I think
00:30:44
there might be a difference. In fact,
00:30:45
one of the things we're experimenting
00:30:46
with is a different type of
00:30:48
apprenticeship, right? Which is you take
00:30:50
somebody who's an IC senior dev have
00:30:53
like a cohort of college uh hires
00:30:56
working with them because it's a new way
00:30:58
of working. It's like I remember like
00:31:00
all you know everybody who joined
00:31:01
Microsoft would say go how how did you
00:31:03
know whatever um Cutler implement Malik
00:31:06
or what have you right he would go try
00:31:08
to read uh his code to understand uh
00:31:11
what great craftsmanship looks like
00:31:14
nowadays I think that great
00:31:15
craftsmanship uh comes by looking at
00:31:18
even how the 10x 100x engineers use AI
00:31:22
to build great quality products uh and
00:31:25
that is what these new college grads
00:31:28
will learn and learn faster and so
00:31:30
that's a beneficial thing for a company
00:31:31
like us because at the end of the day
00:31:33
you know until we saw longevity or
00:31:35
something we need people to come into
00:31:38
the workforce be successful at Microsoft
00:31:40
so we are very committed but we are also
00:31:42
making sure that the scopes of the jobs
00:31:45
make sense for what the aspirations of
00:31:47
people are going to be both who are
00:31:49
currently in the workforce and people
00:31:50
who are entering the workforce.
00:31:52
Okay, on that note, Sache Nadella,
00:31:55
>> thank you so much.

Podspun Insights

In this riveting episode, Satya Nadella, the CEO of Microsoft, takes center stage for an engaging fireside chat with David Saxs. The conversation kicks off with a personal anecdote about Nadella's immigration journey, showcasing his resilience and determination. As they dive into the world of AI and knowledge work, Nadella shares his vision for Microsoft's innovative tools like Co-Pilot, emphasizing the transformative power of AI in the workplace. The discussion shifts to the competitive landscape of technology, where Nadella reflects on the intense rivalry Microsoft faces today compared to his early days at the company.

Listeners are treated to insights on the structural changes within tech and how Microsoft is adapting to these shifts. Nadella's thoughts on the importance of ecosystem effects and the diffusion of technology resonate deeply, highlighting the need for widespread adoption of AI across various sectors. With a blend of optimism and realism, he addresses the future of work, the role of digital employees, and the evolving landscape of knowledge work.

As the conversation unfolds, Nadella's passion for innovation and his commitment to fostering a thriving workforce shine through. He discusses the potential for AI to enhance productivity and the importance of nurturing new talent in a rapidly changing environment. This episode is a must-listen for anyone interested in the future of technology, work, and the human experience in the digital age.

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Episode Highlights

  • Satia Nadella's Immigration Journey
    Satia Nadella shares his personal story of navigating U.S. immigration policies to bring his wife to the U.S.
    “It's a long lost memory but it was a way to work around it.”
    @ 01m 27s
    January 21, 2026
  • The Future of Knowledge Work
    Nadella discusses the evolution of knowledge work and the role of AI in enhancing productivity.
    “You kind of need to understand what I...”
    @ 05m 12s
    January 21, 2026
  • Measuring Success in AI
    Nadella explains that market share and usage are key indicators of success in the AI race.
    “The proof of the pudding is in the eating of it.”
    @ 16m 23s
    January 21, 2026
  • The Future of AI Adoption
    AI adoption will come from both top-down and bottom-up initiatives in enterprises.
    “It's both the top down and bottom up.”
    @ 26m 43s
    January 21, 2026
  • Empowering Employees with AI Tools
    Empowering existing employees with AI tools is easier than hiring new talent.
    “Empowering an existing employee with these tools is so much easier than hiring.”
    @ 29m 00s
    January 21, 2026
  • The Changing Landscape of College Recruitment
    College graduates will ramp up faster in tech roles due to AI assistance.
    “The productivity curve of a college hire is going to be much steeper than ever before.”
    @ 30m 44s
    January 21, 2026

Episode Quotes

Key Moments

  • Immigration Story01:27
  • AI in Knowledge Work05:12
  • Success Metrics16:23
  • AI and Business Strategy21:14
  • Open Source Models22:48
  • Future of Work27:40
  • College Recruitment29:51

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