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The Savings Expert: “Do Not Buy A House!” Do THIS Instead! - Morgan Housel

November 06, 202301:57:26
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if you're buying a house because you
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don't do it run for your life Mr Morgan
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H he's the author of the psychology of
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money one of the bestselling business
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books of this decade he can help anyone
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build wealth and change their life the
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world is split between people who don't
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know how to start making money and
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people who don't know when to stop
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making money and if you are stuck in a
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low-income job you feel like you don't
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have the opportunity to generate wealth
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but once you realize that opportunities
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are available for everybody you can
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choose where you want to live what job
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you want when you retire because you can
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be rich prove it people like Ronald Reed
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and he was a janitor what does it take
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to amass Mr Reed's $8 million Fortune
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he's a fascinating story of somebody who
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became Rich despite not having the
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skills that you normally associated with
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wealthy people then there's Warren
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Buffett he's worth $100 billion do but
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the real secret to their success
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investing my parents are a great example
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of this we were very poor no Financial
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background and they have like minimal
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financial interest but now they'd
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probably be in the top 3% of
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professional investors if you want to do
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well with money you don't need to be a
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genius if you have endurance in your
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investing you're going to be filthy rich
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but when most people say I want to be a
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millionaire what they actually mean is I
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want to spend a million dollars I want
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some nice clothes bigger house the nicer
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car ask yourself what is your
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relationship with money if your
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expectations rise faster than your
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income you're never going to be happy
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with your money that's the problem so if
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I have1 what's the first thing that I
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should do I keep it as painfully simple
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as I can so
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ladies and gentlemen you're about to
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meet the man whose book changed my
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entire life as it relates to money and
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finance about four or five years ago my
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brother who's a investment banker said
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Steve there's one book I need you to
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read about wealth investing and money in
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finance and he passed me a book called
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the psychology of money that book
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changed my fortunes it is the reason
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I've been a successful investor and it's
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the reason I've been able to hold on to
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my wealth and build it it's this man and
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that's the reason why you need to stay
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tuned and listen to this
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[Music]
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episode
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Morgan you wrote what I would consider
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to be the greatest book on money and
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finance ever written I say that because
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I remember when I came into money when I
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was 25 20 no 27 27 28 years old and my
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brother turned to me and said there's
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one thing I ask of you he said you have
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to read this book called the psychology
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of money it will stop you losing all of
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the money you've just earned from your
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career and it changed my life I've
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talked about it for years and years ever
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since and that's why I was so Keen to
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have this conversation with you because
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I really believe if people choose to
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listen to this conversation it stands
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the chance of changing those two so
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let's begin why of all the things that
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you could do with your life Morgan why
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are you writing books about the subject
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matter that you explore what is the
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reason well first that's a that's a big
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statement that's a lot to live up to
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it's kind of scary to hear that because
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I've I've often been and this gets to
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the why I I've defined it as selfish
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writing where I write for an audience of
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one and that is me and I like to think
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of myself as a pretty selfless person
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but for writing I don't try to say I'm
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going to write a book for this person or
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that person or that audience I write
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what I'm interested in and I write it in
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a way that I think is interesting and I
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try to solve my own problem problems and
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then I take a leap of faith that if this
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is interesting to me and it's going to
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help me maybe it'll help somebody else
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that's very different from the
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traditional writing style of saying know
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your audience know your audience very
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quickly turns into Pander to your
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audience and I think a lot of people
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maybe they don't even know it but if
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they read a book and they don't
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necessarily like it it's because they
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were being pandered to they were being
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spoken to in a way that a person would
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never speak to them in real life so I
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just this is almost like my diary I
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think in terms of these are the topics
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that I found interesting for myself and
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so I guess that's the why I feel like
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I've really found myself in a career
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where I can just figure out my own
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problems and try to figure out what I
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think and what's interesting to me and
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then kind of put it out to the world and
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then hope that other people will enjoy
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it let's start with the psychology of
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money what is the benefit to my life if
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I understand the things that are written
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in the psychology of money well let me
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start with I think most Finance books
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will their their answer to that question
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would be when you're done with this book
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you will know how to pick stocks better
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you will know how to balance your
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checking account or what credit cards
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that you should use for my book I think
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when you're done with it I hope that you
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will just look in the mirror and say who
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am I which is kind of what I did with
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this trying to figure out who I am and
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what I want and why I was insecure why I
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wanted to show off to other people the
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car that I drove so if you become more
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introspective about who you are and what
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you want out of life and what money can
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do for you and cannot do for you and
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become a little bit more introspective
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about why you think
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about where you are in the social
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hierarchy and greed and fear and why you
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think about these things that you do I I
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honestly think that I I I hope at least
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because it was this way for me that when
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you're done for with the book that's
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kind of when the learning begins because
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maybe this will just spark a bit of
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curiosity for you to then go for a walk
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and think about what you want out of
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life and whatnot so I think most books
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when you're done with the last page the
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learning is done this I hope is just
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sparked something in you that will get
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you to think more clearly about what you
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want with money and what money can and
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cannot do for you part of that journey
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of understanding what you want helps you
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to define the word on the front of this
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book wealth what is your definition of
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wealth well I I I made up these
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definitions in the book so these are
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just my things that I made up but I
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defined rich as you have enough money to
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buy what you want to pay for your
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mortgage to make your car payment to go
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out to dinner with your friends you have
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money in the bank wealth I think is very
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different wealth is money that you did
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not spend and maybe you will not spend
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so wealth is hidden it's the money that
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you didn't spend on a car it's the money
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that you didn't spend on a big house you
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didn't spend on jewelry and that's
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really important because wealth that's
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saved up the unspent money is what gives
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you Independence and autonomy and just
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the ability to wake up every morning and
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do whatever you want with your with your
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life and so I think separating that is
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really important because when most
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people say I want to be a millionaire
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what they actually mean is I want to
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spend a million dollars that's what they
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mean and when I think about being a
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millionaire I think it's you have a
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million dollars that you're not going to
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spend and that because you're not going
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to spend it you have this giant cushion
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that will give you Independence and
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autonomy and so you can wake up tomorrow
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and say I can do whatever the hell I
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want today I can work for who I want I
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can work for as long as I want I can
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retire when I want the World is Yours
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like every bit of savings that you have
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is a piece of your future that you own
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it's a you're just buying your time in
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the future so that it's yours and you
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can do whatever you want with it and
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that to me has always been the goal
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there's a quote from Charlie Munger
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where he says I never wanted to become
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rich I just wanted to become independent
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and that when the first time I read it
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it was like that's me too that's what I
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want I don't want a Lamborghini I don't
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want a mansion and a yacht I want to
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wake up every morning and just say
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whatever I want to do today it's mine
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nobody's going to tell me where to work
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when to work what to do it's all me and
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to me for not just work but for your
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family life for your health for your
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mental sanity there's nothing more
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important than that it sounds like
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you're talking about your
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father my dad it was he has such an
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interesting background my my my mother
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too their background is so crazy and I
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didn't realize how crazy it was until I
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was an adult the early part of my
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childhood when my parents were in school
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we were very poor my parents were
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students living off of student loans and
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grants we had no money and then my dad
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became a doctor when I was 12 or 13 and
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things changed it wasn't we were not
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rich but like things got very
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comfortable and what was really
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important is that the frugality that my
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parents had to have when they were poor
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stuck with them even after they started
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making a little bit of money they didn't
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buy a Lamborghini no no we grew up in a
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very like modest house it was a nice
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house and we took some like decent
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family vacations but my we always live
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well below our means way below our means
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did that confuse you because you must
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have known that your dad had the money
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yes particularly when I was probably
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like 16 17 and I could learn like how
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much does a doctor make you can go look
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it up and figure it out and and then it
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was like I definitely looked down on my
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parents at that age because I was like I
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know you can afford a better car I know
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you can buy me better Christmas presents
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I know we can afford a bigger house and
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you're and you're not doing it because
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you're mean I think that was I think
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that was my view and then it really
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clicked about 10 years ago this is not
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that long ago so my dad is an ER doctor
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which is one of the most stressful jobs
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that you can imagine it's literally
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people dying in your arms every day and
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he did this for 20 years and after after
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20 years of doing this night shifts
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children dying in your arms literally
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every every week he said he he had had
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enough it was it was a lot he put in his
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dues he did it for 20 years and he said
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I'm done I'm I'm going to retire and the
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reason he could do that is because he
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had saved up so much money he was living
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well below his means they had a very
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high savings rate the moment he woke up
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and said I want to be done he was done
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and that was it and if you contrast that
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with so many other people including some
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of his colleagues who were also burnt
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out at age 60 who were also so burnt out
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by having people die in their arms for
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20 years they wanted to retire and they
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couldn't because they had the bigger
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house because they had the nicer car
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that I thought that we should have had
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when we were growing up and when they
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quit and moved on to their next phase of
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Life they got so much happier and so it
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was like so that this was 10 years ago I
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was in you know in my late 20s at this
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point I was like now I get it he was
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Frugal he saved a lot and that made him
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independent and the Independence made
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him Happ than any car would have done
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made them happier than any big house
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would have done so it's like I think
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that is one of the keys to happiness
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happiness is like the most complicated
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topic you can imagine but one of the big
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puzzle pieces is independence and
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there's been a lot of work on this
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studies on this of like one of the
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things that makes people really happy in
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life is having control over what they're
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doing and it's more so the flip of side
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of that it's like what makes people very
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unhappy in life not having control over
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what happens in their future not having
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control over their schedule where
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they're going to work whether they're
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going to get laid off having that
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uncertainty is a massive anchor and
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waight on your life your health
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absolutely I mean that was a big thing
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for my dad too he was working night
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shifts for for 20 years with this it
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it's very bad for your health it's not
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great at all so the ability the
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financial ability to just wake up one
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day and say I'm done done with that is
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huge I I was reading studies about this
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idea of autonomy because I was trying to
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figure out what you have to have
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professionally to love your work and I
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came up with these five different points
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one of them was autonomy and control and
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I I came up with that because I read
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studies where people who work jobs where
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they had a low autonomy and control had
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physiological consequences they were
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more likely to get disease they
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experienced stress significantly more
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more likely to have cardiovascular
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problems and heart disease which is the
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single biggest killer of of people
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generally I thought [ __ ] hell just
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not having control in your life yeah
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makes your body shut down yes you know
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this is something that I think everybody
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has experienced if they have something
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really stress going on at life they get
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into bed they're tired you can feel your
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heart pounding like the physiological
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response of stress is huge it's massive
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and if you have that going on every day
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for 5 years 10 years 20 years 30 years
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forget about it forget about it this's
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this great quote from John D Rockefeller
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he's the richest man in the world and he
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lived till I think he was 99 something
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like that he was 97 and his doctor
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talked about why like his key to
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longevity and the doctor said quote he
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never lets any anything bother him he
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spends plenty of time outside and he
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leaves the table when he's still a
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little bit hungry that was his key to
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longevity it was just and and when you
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read his biography you realize how true
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that was no matter what was going on in
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his life and the most stressful business
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conditions you can imagine none of it
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ever bothered him he just had ice in his
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veins and he could just keep going and
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so I I I do think that's that's
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definitely one of like the keys to
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physical health is lowering that amount
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of stress and there are not many other
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things in life that are going to
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increase the stress that you have have
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than not having control over what you're
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doing in life Freedom chapter seven of
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your book this is the broadest lifestyle
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variable that makes people happy doing
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something you love but on a schedule you
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can't control starts to feel the same as
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doing something you hate psychologists
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call this reactants that's right you
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know I I do think there are a lot of I
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think the best example are CEOs who
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might make $30 million a year $50
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million a year but they have no control
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over their time every single second of
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day is planned and demanded by somebody
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else and they have to do things that
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they don't want to do if they wake up
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and they're tired too bad you got to go
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to your meetings today they wake up and
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they're exhausted too bad you have to
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travel to China to close this deal they
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have no control over their time and
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compare that to someone who makes much
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less but they wake up they can wake up
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and do whatever they want whatever they
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want to do you want to hang out with
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your friends you want to sleep in you
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want to take a nap at 2 o'clock whatever
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you want to do the person who I think
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really sticks out in that in that vein
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is Warren Buffett who is the the CEO who
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makes a zillion a year he's worth
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hundred billion do but if you dig into
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how he structured his day total control
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100% autonomy can do whatever the hell
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he wants all day long what he wants to
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do is get up and go to work but he he
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has delegated things so effectively that
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he can do whatever he wants and that's
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not only the key to his I think business
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success but his health lifestyle success
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why he's 93 and still going as strong as
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ever I I was thinking about my calendar
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when you were talking about the CEO that
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makes $30 million a year but is just
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dragged around by his schedule sounds a
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lot like me to be honest I feel like the
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more successful I've got in my
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professional career the more my calendar
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the minute I wake up in the morning I'm
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just like a puppet master to these
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little boxes on my Google Calendar yeah
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they drag me around the world and
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there's very little I actually said to
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my assistant about a month ago I was
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like um Sophie please can you do me a
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favor could you just put lunch in for 30
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minutes because I'm not eating could you
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just put like could you just put that in
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midday every day at the same time so you
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can breathe so I can have a little bit
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of a moment I do nothing and then also
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the other thing I've put in now I have a
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personal trainer 7 days a week and I've
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just put that in my calendar it was
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before then a residual beneficiary as
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was everything for me well not for me
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because my work is for me but um it it
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got the time that was left over when all
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my priorities were done and I do reflect
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on that and go like how like a when does
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that stop because it's clearly not going
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to stop when I make money because I have
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the money and B how much control do I
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actually have and you know what I do
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sometimes I think I've noticed about
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myself I think sometimes I councel
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things just to prove to myself that I
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still have control that's great see
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that's a good thing there's a quote from
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n talb where he says like you are
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wealthy when the money that you deny
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tastes better than the money you accept
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so you get someone comes to you with a
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business deal and you say no thanks I
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don't want it when that tastes better to
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you than accepting the deal it feels
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better to you that's like one definition
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of of Rich there's another great quote
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from TYB where he says the world is
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split evenly between people who don't
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know how to start making money and
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people who don't know when to stop
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making money and I think there are a lot
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of people that are watching this that
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are in kind of our field who are easily
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in the ladder they have all the money
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that they could ever want to spend or
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maybe not not that much but they have
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more money than they ever thought they
00:15:44
would have but for every gold that they
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hit oh when whenever my net worth is X
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all my problems are going to go away
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everything's going to feel great and
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then they hit X and they just keep
00:15:53
moving the goalpost down and down so I
00:15:55
read in the book that like the hardest
00:15:56
Financial skill is getting the goalpost
00:15:58
to stop moving it's the hardest thing in
00:16:00
the world it's hard for everybody
00:16:02
because virtually everybody thinks if my
00:16:04
net worth or my income was this level
00:16:07
I'll be fine I'll feel great no more
00:16:08
problems I'll wake up every morning with
00:16:10
a smile on my face and then if you're
00:16:12
lucky enough or you work hard enough to
00:16:13
get there you realize it's not the case
00:16:14
at all you're just going to keep pushing
00:16:16
it keep pushing it keep pushing it
00:16:17
forever have they done studies to test
00:16:20
that in terms of analyzing whether
00:16:22
people's goal posts move off into the
00:16:23
future even when they're like
00:16:24
billionaires and whatever I mean here's
00:16:26
here's the broadest way that I would
00:16:28
frame this up that as has been studied
00:16:29
if you look at America today the average
00:16:32
household adjusted for inflation is
00:16:34
making twice as much money than they
00:16:36
were in the 1950s to adjusted for
00:16:38
inflation the average household double
00:16:39
the income that they were back then and
00:16:41
we less happy the statistics that try to
00:16:44
measure happiness over time it's not an
00:16:46
easy thing to do but we're less happy
00:16:48
today than we were back then and this is
00:16:50
why like look can money buy happiness
00:16:52
yes and to some extent does it yes like
00:16:54
people who are in abject poverty are not
00:16:56
as happy as people who are covering the
00:16:58
basics and they have food and shelter
00:16:59
etc etc but over time when you when the
00:17:03
society is getting richer and you're
00:17:05
comparing yourself to other people and
00:17:07
maybe the average American's income
00:17:09
doubled but so did their neighbors so
00:17:10
did their co-workers so did their
00:17:12
siblings so you just automatically
00:17:13
adjust to that I talked about
00:17:15
Rockefeller before Johnny Rockefeller
00:17:17
who died in I think the 1930s he was
00:17:19
worth adjusted for inflation almost half
00:17:21
a trillion dollars during his day
00:17:23
adjusted for inflation but he never had
00:17:26
during his life penicillin Advil
00:17:30
sunscreen polio vaccine keep keep going
00:17:33
down the list of things that virtually
00:17:34
everyone can take advantage of today
00:17:36
that he never had but you can't say that
00:17:39
the average American is living better
00:17:41
than Rockefeller today because we have
00:17:43
all of these technologies that he never
00:17:45
did because we just look at what other
00:17:47
people have and assume that that is the
00:17:49
Baseline so you can imagine a world in
00:17:51
which my kids my grandkids are earning
00:17:55
twice as much as me adjusted for
00:17:56
inflation and they're no happier for it
00:17:58
because the new technologies whatever it
00:18:00
would be that would seem like magic to
00:18:03
you and I will just become their
00:18:05
Baseline and that's always been the case
00:18:07
if there was if Thomas Jefferson or
00:18:10
somebody came to the year 2023 he would
00:18:12
faint at the new technologies and the
00:18:15
medical discoveries that we have and
00:18:17
these are technologies that you and I
00:18:18
don't spend one second being grateful
00:18:21
for because we've just accepted them as
00:18:22
a new Baseline it reminds me of
00:18:24
something in your new book which is out
00:18:26
in November which is
00:18:29
you know I've gassed up a lot of books
00:18:31
on this podcast before but this is one
00:18:32
of my favorite of all time it's just so
00:18:35
easy to read and so engaging because you
00:18:38
you're one of those authors in this book
00:18:40
that realizes the world that the reader
00:18:42
living in and they are busy and they
00:18:44
want the point and they want you to you
00:18:46
know give them not one word more than
00:18:48
you need to it is so brilliant it's so
00:18:51
brilliant um in this book you talk about
00:18:53
exactly that you say the first rule of
00:18:55
happiness is low expectations Y and
00:18:58
that's exactly what you're talking about
00:18:59
is comparison is the thief of Joy
00:19:01
because it just raises our own
00:19:02
expectations right when with that out
00:19:04
the window goes our happiness yeah and
00:19:07
it's it it it seems counterintuitive to
00:19:08
people that if you want to be H for most
00:19:10
people it's if you want to be happier
00:19:11
you need to be ambitious you need more
00:19:13
you need to make more money work harder
00:19:15
have a more successful startup whatever
00:19:16
it would be and there's that's true but
00:19:18
that's half the equation the other half
00:19:19
the equation is keep your expectations
00:19:21
low so the gap between those two it's a
00:19:24
gap between those two that actually
00:19:26
accru to happiness over time how did you
00:19:28
learn that I think it's just I think
00:19:30
there have been a couple little stories
00:19:31
that really stuck out to me one that I
00:19:33
love that just knocked me on my ass the
00:19:35
first time I read it was Stephen Hawking
00:19:38
the late physicist who was without
00:19:40
exaggeration one of the smartest people
00:19:42
to ever walk this planet he was just an
00:19:43
absolute genius and a quirky of course
00:19:46
is that he had a motor neuron disease
00:19:47
and he was paralyzed from head to toe he
00:19:49
had no control over his body he spoke
00:19:51
through a computer not a single muscle
00:19:53
in his body could he actually control by
00:19:54
himself so he was you know
00:19:57
physiologically it's one of the worst
00:19:58
Liv that you can imagine and he did an
00:20:00
interview with the New York Times a
00:20:01
couple years before he died and during
00:20:03
the interview he's talking about how
00:20:04
happy he was and how amazing his life
00:20:07
was and the New York Times said they
00:20:09
asked him they said what is your secret
00:20:10
to happiness like if there's anyone who
00:20:13
has the right to complain about life
00:20:15
it's it's that guy and he's talking
00:20:16
about how happy he was and he said my
00:20:19
expectations were reduced to zero when I
00:20:21
was 21 which is when he got his disease
00:20:24
and he said everything else since then
00:20:26
has been a bonus so this is like the who
00:20:29
whose life is like has ended up in a way
00:20:32
that most people watching that would say
00:20:33
like that's among the worst scenarios
00:20:35
you can imagine and he's probably
00:20:37
happier than you and I because his
00:20:39
expectations were so low that just
00:20:41
waking up in the morning and seeing the
00:20:43
sunrise and getting to go to work and
00:20:45
talk to people was this magical gift I
00:20:48
mean you can imagine not to get too
00:20:49
morbid about this but imagine you're on
00:20:50
your deathbed and the doctor is very
00:20:53
confident that you're going to die
00:20:54
tomorrow and let's say that you make it
00:20:56
one more day what is that Sunrise going
00:20:59
to feel like what's that you know
00:21:01
holding your your wife's hand for one
00:21:03
more day going to feel like it' be
00:21:06
amazing just because your expectations
00:21:07
were on the floor and so it it's always
00:21:10
like that and you go through life seeing
00:21:11
so many people who have everything all
00:21:13
the money the great family all the
00:21:16
health the beauty everything you can
00:21:17
imagine and they're not happy for it and
00:21:19
it's because with everything that they
00:21:20
have their expectations rise not only to
00:21:23
that level they might rise above it so
00:21:25
if you are some if your expectations
00:21:27
rise faster than your inome
00:21:29
you're never going to be happy with your
00:21:30
money no matter how much money you make
00:21:32
you can make a billion dollars a year
00:21:34
but if you needed and wanted 1.1 billion
00:21:36
you're broke you feel broke and the
00:21:39
reverse of that is true too there are
00:21:40
people who make $50,000 a year but if
00:21:42
they only need 40 to be happy they're
00:21:44
sto they feel great and so that's I
00:21:47
think that's one of the reasons it's so
00:21:48
important is because managing your own
00:21:51
expectations is more in your control
00:21:53
than managing your circumstances in
00:21:55
terms of raising your income raising
00:21:57
your investing return
00:21:59
it's not that you can't control raising
00:22:01
your income you can be ambitious and
00:22:02
smart and entrepreneurial of but it's
00:22:04
more in your control to just inside your
00:22:06
head to say I'm going to try to want
00:22:09
less that that's just a mental exercise
00:22:11
that's it's not to say it's easy it's
00:22:13
not easy at all but you have total
00:22:15
control over doing it so how in a
00:22:17
practical sense can one go about keeping
00:22:20
their expectations below their
00:22:23
circumstances I guess here's here's one
00:22:25
that really made an impact on me and
00:22:27
it's great that we're in La cuz that's
00:22:29
where this story took place I was a
00:22:31
valet here in La all throughout college
00:22:33
at a fstar hotel here in town so a I I
00:22:37
was young I was you know aged 19 to 24
00:22:39
or something like that and all day it
00:22:41
was people driving in in Ferraris and
00:22:43
Lamborghinis and rolls-royces and one
00:22:45
day it hit me just I I I remember the
00:22:48
moment because it was like out of the
00:22:49
blue it hit me whenever someone would
00:22:51
drive in in a rollsroyce or something
00:22:53
never once would I look at the driver
00:22:55
and say that guy is cool like wow look
00:22:58
at him he's so cool what I did is I
00:23:00
imagined myself as the driver and then I
00:23:03
thought if I was a driver people would
00:23:04
think I'm cool and I was like wait don't
00:23:06
you see like the disconnect here nobody
00:23:09
cares about the driver but they want to
00:23:11
be the driver because they think people
00:23:12
will then care about them and once you
00:23:14
realize that like the takeaway is nobody
00:23:18
is thinking about you as much as you are
00:23:20
nobody cares about your stuff as much as
00:23:22
you do nobody cares about your car or
00:23:24
your house or your clothes or your
00:23:26
jewelry as much as you do because to the
00:23:28
extent that they're even looking at them
00:23:30
they're looking at your car looking at
00:23:31
your house really what they're doing is
00:23:33
imagining themselves with that nice car
00:23:36
they're not giving you the credit
00:23:37
they're imagining themselves having it
00:23:39
so once I realize like that was the game
00:23:41
that was being played in society once
00:23:43
you once you recognize that's the game
00:23:45
your willingness your desire to show off
00:23:48
plunges and of course I I like nice
00:23:51
stuff I like nice cars I want some nice
00:23:52
clothes I live in a decent house but
00:23:55
once you realize that it plunges and I
00:23:57
think the most valuable Financial skill
00:23:59
that anybody can have is not needing to
00:24:01
impress other people if you don't need
00:24:04
to impress other people that is an asset
00:24:07
on your balance sheet that is worth a
00:24:09
billion dollars because so much of
00:24:11
society as a whole and individual is
00:24:14
just geared towards how can I get other
00:24:16
people's attention how can I show off to
00:24:18
other people how can how can they like
00:24:19
me more I both agree and understand but
00:24:22
agreeing and understanding is different
00:24:24
from being able to do I think at the
00:24:26
society level it will never be it'll
00:24:27
always be like that same as ever it's
00:24:29
never it's never going to move away from
00:24:31
that if you can manage it around the
00:24:33
edges at the individual level it's
00:24:35
massive for your life one thing that's
00:24:36
important here is that if you are a
00:24:39
young person and you're kind of looking
00:24:41
for a spouse a mate a boyfriend a
00:24:43
girlfriend a wife a husband whatever it
00:24:45
would be then your ability to look
00:24:47
really nice and to signal and to kind of
00:24:49
put up your peacock feathers is
00:24:51
important and I get it and I did it back
00:24:53
in the day once you are more settled
00:24:55
down in your career in your
00:24:56
relationships if at that point you are
00:24:58
still hanging on to the desire to
00:25:00
impress other people that's when it's
00:25:01
broken that's when it's just pure net
00:25:03
loss in your life because you're trying
00:25:05
to show off to for people who you don't
00:25:07
even need or want to love you there's a
00:25:10
great quote from Warren Buffett where he
00:25:11
says the definition of success is when
00:25:14
the people who you want to love you do
00:25:16
love you and so for me it's like five
00:25:19
people it's like my parents my wife and
00:25:21
my kids and like that's it that's it
00:25:23
those are the people who I want to love
00:25:24
me and if they love me I I probably have
00:25:27
90% of the happiness that I'm capable of
00:25:30
and if they don't love me and then I'm
00:25:32
never going to have more than like 10%
00:25:34
of the happiness that I'm capable of in
00:25:35
that chapter about happiness you talk
00:25:37
about your friend Brent as well in his
00:25:38
theory on marriage yeah my friend Brent
00:25:40
B sure has this great theory on marriage
00:25:42
where he says marriage only works if
00:25:45
both Partners want to serve the other
00:25:48
partner and expect nothing in return so
00:25:50
you wake up every morning and you say I
00:25:51
want to serve my spouse but I expect
00:25:54
nothing in return from them and if you
00:25:56
both do that simultaneously you're both
00:25:58
pleasantly surprised because what
00:26:00
happens is I didn't expect you to do
00:26:01
anything for me but you did and vice
00:26:04
versa and both of you just wake up every
00:26:05
morning you're like but you did that for
00:26:07
me you you helped me out here you you're
00:26:09
empathetic to me there and it feels
00:26:10
great you exceeded my expectations
00:26:12
exceed my expectations and I think what
00:26:14
breaks down any marriage or career or
00:26:16
whatever it would be is when you become
00:26:19
needy like nothing breaks love more than
00:26:22
being needy and really what needy is is
00:26:25
just your expectations are so high that
00:26:26
you wake up and you say I expect to do
00:26:28
this for me I expect you to help me I
00:26:31
expect you to serve me that's just like
00:26:33
massively high expectations that you
00:26:35
have in that relationship it's it's also
00:26:37
like expecting an external factor in
00:26:39
that case your partner to validate you
00:26:42
in some way or to and that kind of goes
00:26:44
back to your point about money where in
00:26:46
order to stop showing off and focusing
00:26:48
on those five people that we want to
00:26:50
love
00:26:51
ourselves we need to understand and
00:26:54
ideally solve our often toxic
00:26:57
relationship with like our need for
00:26:58
validation and that I guess brings me to
00:27:01
the first chapter in your book where you
00:27:02
talk about the stories of money that we
00:27:04
have and where they've come from and
00:27:07
something that's always baffled me is
00:27:08
when you go into low-income areas
00:27:10
there's more gambling shops yeah and I
00:27:12
can attest to it when I was 18 19 years
00:27:15
old and I'm shoplifting pizzas to feed
00:27:17
myself and I'm doing all sorts of stuff
00:27:20
when I got my student loan in I was in
00:27:21
university for one day and they gave me
00:27:23
like the first payment of my student
00:27:25
loan I don't think I've ever said this
00:27:27
before I put the entirety of the payment
00:27:30
on a bet wow and I lost it in the six in
00:27:33
the an injury time of that football
00:27:35
match I don't bet and did you need that
00:27:37
money for tuition like it it was then it
00:27:39
was then gone I needed it to eat yeah I
00:27:41
wasn't speaking I had no money I don't
00:27:43
come I didn't come from money and my
00:27:44
parents I'd gone to University with 50
00:27:46
Quid and I got this like, sent to me
00:27:48
from student loan whatever I was so
00:27:50
reckless with money when I didn't have
00:27:52
money the minute I got money it's like
00:27:54
everything just chilled the [ __ ] out and
00:27:55
I I became really longterm I made
00:27:59
responsible decisions I stopped buying
00:28:01
flashy things I like don't even own a TV
00:28:03
now I'm very Sim I feel like the more
00:28:05
money I have the less my material
00:28:07
desires are for sure for sure when I say
00:28:09
that out loud I'm like oh absolutely why
00:28:11
is that that when we have less we are
00:28:13
Reckless with our money well I think
00:28:14
there's two sides to this one of my
00:28:16
theories is
00:28:17
that what everyone wants in the world is
00:28:20
respect and admiration from other people
00:28:22
and there's kind of two ways to get that
00:28:24
you can get your respect and admiration
00:28:25
through your wisdom through your love
00:28:28
through your humor or if you don't have
00:28:30
that to offer from the to offer to the
00:28:32
world you're going to get it through
00:28:33
your material possessions so if you can
00:28:36
gain respect and admiration through your
00:28:37
business success your wisdom your love
00:28:40
your friendship great then you're going
00:28:42
to get it and you're going to fulfill
00:28:43
that bucket if you can't get it from
00:28:45
those things then you're like well might
00:28:46
as well show off my car it's all I got
00:28:47
to do that's all I have I think that's
00:28:49
one side of it so as you become more
00:28:51
successful your desire to show off
00:28:54
diminishes because you're gaining
00:28:55
respect and admiration through other
00:28:57
things that are not matural
00:28:58
the other side of this that's so
00:29:00
important is that you know I saw this
00:29:02
statistic years ago that the poorest 10%
00:29:05
of Americans buy like 80% of the lottery
00:29:08
tickets in America and these are people
00:29:10
who can like barely feed themselves
00:29:13
lowest 10% they're literally struggling
00:29:15
to put a roof over the head and feed
00:29:17
themselves are going out hand over fist
00:29:19
buying scratcher tickets and the the
00:29:21
knee-jerk reaction when you hear that is
00:29:24
morons what are you doing you idiot and
00:29:26
maybe that is the right reaction but I
00:29:28
started thinking about it and it was
00:29:29
like okay maybe if you try to put
00:29:31
yourself in those people's shoes maybe
00:29:33
they would say something like this if
00:29:36
you are stuck in a low-income job and
00:29:38
you feel like there's no way out you
00:29:39
feel like you don't have the opportunity
00:29:41
to work your way up the ladder become an
00:29:43
entrepreneur you feel like you're stuck
00:29:45
in this position buying a lottery ticket
00:29:47
might be the only thing in life that
00:29:49
gives you a little bit of hope it might
00:29:51
it's might be what feels like literally
00:29:52
your only ticket to get out and that
00:29:55
might be not something that you and I
00:29:57
feel like because because we have we we
00:29:59
we at least feel like we might have
00:30:00
other opportunities I it's you're so
00:30:02
right because when I gambled what I then
00:30:05
did the same day before the result of my
00:30:08
bet or my lottery ticket came in and I
00:30:10
said this to my team the other day is I
00:30:12
would go on right move and like auto
00:30:14
trader and look at stuff that I would
00:30:16
buy if I won yeah yeah I think there's a
00:30:19
sense too that if you are stuck in a
00:30:21
lower spot in life if you have a feeling
00:30:24
that the world is unfair and very often
00:30:26
it is so some maybe that that might be
00:30:28
the right mindset but if you feel the
00:30:29
world is unfair then it's very natural
00:30:32
to think I might as well cheat too if
00:30:34
the world's unfair why not might as well
00:30:35
cheat and I think that at least at some
00:30:38
level has some explanation for the
00:30:40
relationship between poverty and crime
00:30:42
that word hope is is so is so true I
00:30:44
think it's true too just a glimpse of
00:30:46
Hope because it gives you even if it's a
00:30:48
0.00001% chance if it's the only thing
00:30:50
in your day that made you smile a little
00:30:52
bit made you feel like you had a little
00:30:53
bit of hope then I get why they do it
00:30:55
the other reason the other thing I think
00:30:57
a lot about here is that if you are in a
00:30:59
low-income job and you're working
00:31:01
graveyard shifts and you're exhausted
00:31:03
and you're taking three buses to get
00:31:04
your kids to school if the only thing
00:31:07
that day that gives you a little bit of
00:31:08
pleasure is a cigarette and some alcohol
00:31:11
I get it I totally get it and that's
00:31:13
also the relationship between health and
00:31:15
poverty is a lot of that too so it's
00:31:16
very easy for people who are of higher
00:31:19
means to look down at those people and
00:31:21
point out all the bad decisions that
00:31:23
they're that they're doing in life but I
00:31:25
think you underestimate how much that
00:31:27
desire to just have a little bit of Hope
00:31:29
a little bit of pleasure and if those
00:31:30
feel like your only avenues for Hope and
00:31:32
pleasure maybe that's the explanation
00:31:33
for at least part of it quick one this
00:31:36
is really really fascinating to me on
00:31:37
the back end of our YouTube channel it
00:31:39
says that
00:31:40
69.9% of you that watch this channel
00:31:43
frequently over the lifetime of this
00:31:44
channel haven't yet hit the Subscribe
00:31:46
button I just wanted to ask you a favor
00:31:48
it helps this channel so much if you
00:31:50
choose to just subscribe helps us scale
00:31:52
the guest helps us scale the production
00:31:54
and it makes the show bigger so if I
00:31:55
could ask you for one favor if you've
00:31:57
watched the show before and you've
00:31:58
enjoyed it and you like this episode
00:32:00
that you're currently watching could you
00:32:01
please hit the Subscribe button thank
00:32:03
you so much and I will repay that
00:32:05
gesture by making sure that everything
00:32:07
we do here gets better and better and
00:32:08
better and better that is a promise I'm
00:32:10
willing to make you do we have a deal
00:32:11
let's speak then to 18-year-old Steve
00:32:14
that was in that little room with the
00:32:15
stack of these what they call County
00:32:17
Court judgments and bays and stuff stack
00:32:19
of letters on his desk what advice based
00:32:22
on all you know about money and finance
00:32:24
can you give to somebody who is Maybe
00:32:28
making a, $1,000 $2,000 a month covers
00:32:32
their rent just about doesn't have a lot
00:32:33
of money left over what is the best way
00:32:36
to go from that position to a position
00:32:38
of wealth in your
00:32:39
view I think one of the best ways to
00:32:42
think about it at the lower levels and I
00:32:44
explained a little bit this earlier but
00:32:45
to dig into it is a lot of what's
00:32:47
probably giving you stress in life is
00:32:49
that you don't have control over what
00:32:50
you're doing and if you view every
00:32:52
dollar of savings that you have as a bit
00:32:53
of your future that you own and control
00:32:56
then I think that mind that mindset can
00:32:58
shift pretty dramatically and it's like
00:33:01
that's that's the ticket out the ticket
00:33:02
out is not a nicer car it's not a bigger
00:33:05
house it's not better closeth the ticket
00:33:06
out is Independence that's what's going
00:33:08
to give you the better career that's
00:33:09
what's going to make you happier it's
00:33:10
what's going to make you healthier and
00:33:11
the only thing that's going to give you
00:33:12
Independence is having enough money
00:33:14
saved up so that you can choose where
00:33:16
you want to live maybe even what job you
00:33:19
want you can choose at at at some point
00:33:22
down the road when you retire if you get
00:33:24
sick it's not just going to break you
00:33:25
immediately having that Independence is
00:33:27
going to take more weight off your
00:33:28
shoulders than anything else you can do
00:33:30
in life save money that's it that's the
00:33:33
the title of that chapter in the book is
00:33:34
save money because you can't put it any
00:33:36
clearer or Starker like that's that's it
00:33:38
he says there are three types of people
00:33:40
those who
00:33:41
save those who don't think they can save
00:33:44
and those who don't think they need to
00:33:46
save yep three types of people which one
00:33:49
are you those who save those who don't
00:33:51
think they can save and those who don't
00:33:53
think they need to save I tell you what
00:33:55
I've been all three in my life that's
00:33:57
interesting I've always been a saver no
00:33:59
I haven't and see that I think that's
00:34:01
actually very rare that you change who
00:34:03
you are really on the nature nurture
00:34:05
Spectrum I actually think and this is
00:34:07
kind of disappointing to talk about it's
00:34:09
not fun to talk about but on the nature
00:34:10
of nurture Spectrum I think a lot of
00:34:11
money is nature Warren Buffett talks
00:34:14
about the people who have the money mind
00:34:16
which means like either they get it or
00:34:17
they don't and if they get it they get
00:34:19
it instantly and if they don't they'll
00:34:20
get it never at all I I I actually don't
00:34:23
believe in it it's that black and white
00:34:24
Charlie merer explains it like that he
00:34:26
says when explaining financial matters
00:34:29
to young people they either get it
00:34:30
instantly or never at all and he's
00:34:33
putting that too starkly I think I don't
00:34:35
think it's that black and white but on
00:34:37
the nature nurture spectrum is it 8020
00:34:39
is it 7030 I think it's probably
00:34:41
something in that range so let me give
00:34:44
you a count a counterargument to that
00:34:46
then so as I said I've been someone that
00:34:49
didn't think he could save because I
00:34:50
didn't have money and I just thought oh
00:34:52
you know but I could have saved in it
00:34:53
looking back now I know I could have
00:34:54
saved I could have saved a small amount
00:34:56
but I didn't see the value in saving
00:34:57
small numbers I didn't understand the
00:34:59
laws of compounding returns which we'll
00:35:00
definitely talk about I have also been
00:35:03
the person that
00:35:04
saves and I've also been the person who
00:35:09
thought they didn't need to save I've
00:35:10
been all three my Counterpoint to this
00:35:12
goes back to a story that I read from
00:35:14
your early years where two of your
00:35:17
friends died on a ski trip yeah and it
00:35:19
also links to something youve said in
00:35:21
your new book same as ever where you
00:35:23
speak about
00:35:24
how sometimes in life like hitting rock
00:35:28
bottom is the greatest incentive to
00:35:31
change our lives yeah so I put those two
00:35:33
things together and go that moment when
00:35:35
you were two of your friends died on a
00:35:36
ski trip that you were on when you were
00:35:38
younger it had an impact on your risk
00:35:40
appetite and your attitude towards and
00:35:42
therefore your attitude towards money
00:35:44
yep what what happened what happened so
00:35:46
I grew up skiing in in Le Tahoe
00:35:47
California and I was a competitive ski
00:35:49
racer right uh so all throughout my
00:35:51
childhood and teenage years I skied six
00:35:53
days a week 10 months a year all over
00:35:55
the world and it was great there about
00:35:57
12 of us on the squad Valley ski team we
00:35:58
had grown up together and we had spent
00:36:00
our entire lives together and when I was
00:36:02
17 this is in 2001 I was skiing with my
00:36:05
two two of my best friends brenon Allen
00:36:07
and and and Brian Richmond and we would
00:36:09
ski out of bounds which is illegal
00:36:12
you're not supposed to do it we would
00:36:13
duck under the rope that says do not
00:36:15
cross and we'd ski out of bounds because
00:36:16
that's where a lot of the good skiing is
00:36:18
and when we would do this it would spit
00:36:20
us out on this back country road where
00:36:22
we'd have to hitchhike back there's no
00:36:24
chairlift when you ski out of bounds you
00:36:25
have to hitchhike your way back so so we
00:36:27
did it one morning in February 2001 the
00:36:29
three of us did it and when we did it we
00:36:31
triggered a very small Avalanche and I I
00:36:34
remembered it so clearly like I can
00:36:36
still feel it 21 year 22 years later I
00:36:40
can still feel what is like it's the
00:36:41
weirdest sensation of that I've had in
00:36:44
my life because when you get hit by an
00:36:46
avalanche rather than pushing on the
00:36:47
snow to gain traction with your skis the
00:36:50
ground is pushing you so all of a sudden
00:36:53
you're skiing along and you got control
00:36:54
and all a sudden boom you have no
00:36:55
control everyore the the ground is
00:36:57
pushing you around probably similar to
00:36:59
what it feels like if you're standing on
00:37:00
the ground during an earthquake like the
00:37:01
ground's pushing you but it was a pretty
00:37:03
small Avalanche maybe came up to our
00:37:05
knees ended pretty quickly and we kind
00:37:07
of like literally high-fived about it at
00:37:09
the bottom and went about our day we get
00:37:11
back around to the the base Lodge we hit
00:37:14
shik back and Bren and Brian said they
00:37:16
wanted to do it again they wanted to ski
00:37:17
again and I said hey for whatever reason
00:37:20
I I I just didn't want to do it so I
00:37:22
said hey rather than hit cheing back why
00:37:23
don't you guys go do it again and I'll
00:37:25
drive my truck around and pick you up so
00:37:28
we said great we made our plans went our
00:37:29
separate ways they went skiing I went
00:37:31
back around to take my boots off and
00:37:33
jump in my truck and go pick them up 20
00:37:35
30 minutes later I go to pick them up at
00:37:36
the pickup spot and they weren't there
00:37:39
and I knew it only took us a minute to
00:37:41
ski down the hill so 20 minutes later I
00:37:43
knew like they they they weren't coming
00:37:44
I I was not worried I figured that they
00:37:46
had already hit hike home but so after
00:37:49
waiting for another 20 or 30 minutes I
00:37:50
just left and I went back to the lodge I
00:37:52
expected them to be there and they
00:37:54
weren't and I still didn't really worry
00:37:56
like we didn't have cell phones back
00:37:57
then and people were just comfortable
00:37:58
being out of touch if you didn't know
00:38:00
where your your buddy was like wasn't
00:38:01
that that wasn't that big a deal so we
00:38:04
went about the day I I started worrying
00:38:06
a little bit I remember I stopped at
00:38:07
Brendan's house and expected him to be
00:38:09
there and he wasn't there either and I
00:38:11
remember calling and leaving a message
00:38:12
on his voicemail and I remember ending
00:38:14
the voicemail by saying I hope you're
00:38:15
okay man those are my last words I
00:38:17
remember that very clearly the day went
00:38:19
on and I think at about 4 or 5:00
00:38:22
Brian's mom called me and she said Brian
00:38:25
never showed up for work today do you
00:38:26
know where he is
00:38:28
and I told her what happened I said we
00:38:30
skied the backside of squa where we'd
00:38:32
hit Chik back I was going to pick them
00:38:34
up but they never showed up and I
00:38:35
haven't seen them since and I also
00:38:37
remember so clearly Brian's mom saying
00:38:40
oh my God and hanging up the phone and
00:38:42
that was so like so it's then we started
00:38:44
getting worried we called the police the
00:38:45
police didn't take it very seriously
00:38:46
because they thought ah they're out at a
00:38:48
party they ran off with a girl for the
00:38:49
night like they weren't worried but we
00:38:51
finally got search and rescue involved
00:38:53
and Rescuers of probe poles frowned
00:38:56
Brenan and Brian buried under 6 ft of
00:38:58
snow and they were they had been killed
00:39:00
from a massive Avalanche and so look I
00:39:03
think virtually everyone listening to
00:39:04
this I'm sure you to have lost somebody
00:39:06
close to you somebody that you love so I
00:39:08
know the experience was not unique in
00:39:10
that way but it was the first time that
00:39:12
I had experienced loss and it was the
00:39:15
first bad thing that had ever happened
00:39:16
to me in my life so it had a big impact
00:39:18
on me and there were a lot of takeaways
00:39:21
I think at the time I didn't have the
00:39:23
cognitive tools to piece together what
00:39:25
happened or to learn about what happened
00:39:28
like have any sort of takeaways but as I
00:39:30
got older and thought about it and
00:39:32
looking back I put together all these
00:39:35
like realizations of what that did to me
00:39:37
how it changed me and what were some of
00:39:39
the lessons from it too one that I talk
00:39:42
about in the book that I think about all
00:39:43
the time is my decision to not go with
00:39:47
them on a second run was this completely
00:39:50
brainless decision I put no thought into
00:39:52
that decision it was not a cost benefit
00:39:54
analysis I didn't think through it but
00:39:56
it's the most important decision I've
00:39:57
ever made in my life 100% chance if I
00:40:00
was with them I would have died and I
00:40:02
had skied literally thousands of runs
00:40:04
with Brendan and Brian how many times
00:40:06
did I deny a second run with them or say
00:40:09
you guys keep going I'm going to go in
00:40:11
almost never the one time I did it saved
00:40:13
my entire life and so that you really
00:40:16
realize that the world hangs by a thread
00:40:18
everybody thinks like oh you're going to
00:40:20
put a lot of thought into your big
00:40:21
decisions to make sure that you're
00:40:22
successful in life where you go to
00:40:23
college what your career is going to be
00:40:25
who you marry that's all great but the
00:40:27
world hangs by a thread and there are
00:40:29
tiny little no nothing decisions maybe
00:40:31
that you made today of maybe it was when
00:40:34
to cross the street maybe it was when to
00:40:36
leave to get in your car that can
00:40:38
utterly change the course of your life
00:40:41
and so when once you accept that of how
00:40:44
much the world hangs by a thread I think
00:40:45
you become much more humble with your
00:40:47
willingness to make forecasts about the
00:40:49
future what the economy is going to do
00:40:51
who's going to win the election what's
00:40:52
going to happen in my life my career my
00:40:54
family's life we have no clue we have no
00:40:57
idea because all we can think about are
00:40:59
the big decisions we cannot piece
00:41:02
together the chaos theory of I got in my
00:41:05
car at the at the wrong time I met the
00:41:08
wrong person or I met the right person
00:41:09
or you know I I decided not to take a
00:41:11
second run we cannot forecast the impact
00:41:13
of those things and so that had a big
00:41:16
impact on me too of just who are we to
00:41:18
fool ourselves that we can predict the
00:41:20
next recession that we can predict where
00:41:22
our careers are going to be in 10 years
00:41:24
that we can predict how long our
00:41:25
marriage is going to last that we can
00:41:27
predict how long we're going to live we
00:41:28
can't nobody can because we can't
00:41:30
predict how crazy these tiny events can
00:41:33
turn into and this comes right back to
00:41:35
investing doesn't it
00:41:37
because most people that consider
00:41:40
themselves to be investors whether
00:41:41
that's just putting a couple of quid
00:41:42
into crypto or something else engage in
00:41:46
the idea that they can predict the
00:41:47
future yeah um and this is where it
00:41:50
appears that most money is lost I mean
00:41:52
think about the biggest risk to the US
00:41:54
economy over the last two generations Co
00:41:57
mean that's one of them the others would
00:41:58
be Pearl Harbor okay 911 Co and maybe uh
00:42:02
Lan Brothers couldn't find a buyer in
00:42:04
2008 which sparked the financial crisis
00:42:06
of 2008 those are the biggest Risk by
00:42:08
far and the common denominator of every
00:42:10
one of those stories is that nobody saw
00:42:12
them coming they were not in any
00:42:14
newspaper before they happened they were
00:42:15
not in any economic Outlook nobody was
00:42:18
going on TV warning you that this was
00:42:20
coming the common denominator of those
00:42:22
is that they did all of their damage in
00:42:24
two seconds and that would be the case
00:42:26
going forward you can guarantee that the
00:42:28
biggest news story and the biggest risk
00:42:30
over the next year or the next 10 years
00:42:33
of our life whatever it is is something
00:42:34
that nobody's talking about today that
00:42:37
you and I have can't even fathom because
00:42:39
it's always been like that there's never
00:42:40
been a time when the biggest news story
00:42:42
was
00:42:43
foreseeable and it's all and it'll be
00:42:45
like that going forward so that's
00:42:46
another just like embracing how fragile
00:42:49
the world is there's a great quote from
00:42:50
a financial adviser who I really admire
00:42:52
Nam Carl Richards and he says risk is
00:42:54
what's left over when you think you've
00:42:56
thought of everything
00:42:57
H you can go out of your way to think
00:42:59
about all of the risks that are in your
00:43:00
life and like great and like how you're
00:43:02
going to prevent them great that's a
00:43:03
good thing to do when you're done with
00:43:05
that exercise what's left over that
00:43:07
you're not thinking about is what risk
00:43:09
actually is it's like by definition we
00:43:11
can never plan or even imagine what the
00:43:13
biggest risks in our lives are going to
00:43:14
be you say that in same as ever you say
00:43:17
I think the the chapter title is risk is
00:43:19
the things you can't see or something
00:43:21
risk is what you don't see risk is what
00:43:22
you don't see that was a little bit
00:43:24
terrifying and it's true and I think I
00:43:27
think sometime you can phrase it as
00:43:28
terrifying it's also kind of relieving
00:43:32
that like why are you going to put so
00:43:34
much effort into trying to predict what
00:43:36
the stock market's going to do next what
00:43:37
the econom is going to do next why are
00:43:39
you building a forecasting model to
00:43:41
figure out what the econom is going to
00:43:42
do over the next 10 years when you look
00:43:44
at the last 10 or 20 years how could you
00:43:46
ever predict 911 or Co and even look
00:43:50
like something like Co there's like a
00:43:51
2015 Bill Gates Ted Talk where he talks
00:43:54
about the biggest risk to society is a
00:43:56
viral pandemic so it's not that nobody
00:43:59
saw that thing coming but the specifics
00:44:02
of when it's going to happen how bad
00:44:04
it's going to be is it just going to
00:44:06
shut down the economy for a week or two
00:44:08
years that is completely impossible but
00:44:10
there's also lots of other TED Talks
00:44:11
that say everything's going to be great
00:44:13
of course of course there's proba
00:44:14
there's a lot more so on balance the
00:44:16
world had no idea I think on balance the
00:44:19
world breaks once per decade not exactly
00:44:22
once per de but on average once per
00:44:24
decade everything that you thought about
00:44:25
risk and uncertainty and stability goes
00:44:29
to [ __ ] so how do I prepare if risk if
00:44:32
risk is what I don't see how do I
00:44:33
prepare there's another great quote from
00:44:35
Nasim talad that I like where he says
00:44:37
invest in preparedness not in prediction
00:44:40
so rather than going out of your way to
00:44:41
be like here's what I think is going to
00:44:43
happen in crypto here's what I think is
00:44:44
going to happen in the stock market just
00:44:45
make sure that you have a big enough
00:44:47
buffer in your finances cash liquidity
00:44:50
being scared of debt so that no matter
00:44:52
what happens you're you at least have a
00:44:55
Fighting Chance of enduring it and make
00:44:57
through one thing I've I've often
00:44:59
thought about is that you should have
00:45:01
enough cash in your investing portfolio
00:45:03
the amount of cash you should have
00:45:05
should feel like it's too much it should
00:45:07
feel it should make you winse a little
00:45:08
bit because if you only have enough cash
00:45:11
to put up with the risk that you can
00:45:13
Envision and the risk that you can
00:45:14
foresee you're going to miss a surprise
00:45:16
every single time every single surprise
00:45:18
is going to be a surprise to you but if
00:45:20
you feel like you have too much cash
00:45:22
then at least you have a Fighting Chance
00:45:24
of putting up with the 911 the co the
00:45:27
Harbor whatever it might be so when
00:45:29
people look at my asset allocation my
00:45:32
investments a lot of people look at it
00:45:34
and say you seem really conservative why
00:45:36
do you have this much cash what are you
00:45:38
saving for and my answer is always I
00:45:40
don't know I have no idea what I'm
00:45:42
saving for who are we to assume that we
00:45:45
can predict the risks that are going to
00:45:47
be in our own personal lives and
00:45:49
throughout the broader World nobody can
00:45:51
do it the only way to prepare for it is
00:45:52
to have what feels like too much safety
00:45:55
what is your capital strategy how do you
00:45:57
invest your money um this is you know
00:46:00
this is the thing people want to know
00:46:01
most about you I keep it as painfully
00:46:04
simple as I possibly can so literally my
00:46:06
entire net worth is cash a house and
00:46:09
index funds and some shares of Marquel
00:46:11
where I'm on the board of directors and
00:46:13
that's it there's nothing else my entire
00:46:15
I can summarize everything so easily and
00:46:18
so cleanly and truly that's it and it's
00:46:20
not even like I have 20 bank accounts I
00:46:22
I have one bank account one brokerage
00:46:23
account like in a house and that's it so
00:46:25
simple why why index funds you're the
00:46:28
reason I your Capital allocation
00:46:31
strategy is almost identical to mine I
00:46:32
want to talk about the house thing as
00:46:33
well but um after reading your book I
00:46:36
stopped trying to pick stocks yeah and I
00:46:39
invested all of my available Capital
00:46:41
into index funds outside of investing it
00:46:45
in starting companies so I'm a
00:46:46
shareholder in I don't know 50 60 70
00:46:48
companies I all my other available
00:46:51
capital is invested in index funds and
00:46:53
then I have a very long-standing
00:46:57
position in ethereum which I've held for
00:46:58
like six years or something which has
00:47:00
done me very well yeah that is it and
00:47:02
the ethereum investment is also based on
00:47:05
the fact that I run a software business
00:47:07
that is in blockchain and I could see
00:47:09
that developers are building on top of
00:47:10
ethereum more than any other blockchain
00:47:12
so that Insight was really beneficial to
00:47:15
me and six years so even with the big
00:47:18
fall of the last two years you're still
00:47:20
up a lot yeah I I think your book taught
00:47:23
me that successful investing is when you
00:47:26
lose the pass to your investment account
00:47:28
yes that's exactly it I don't actually
00:47:30
think you said that in there but that's
00:47:31
like when I lose the password to my
00:47:33
investment account I'm so proud of
00:47:34
myself yeah because it means I haven't
00:47:36
checked it in
00:47:37
forever and so it was funny because you
00:47:39
were coming today I thought oh yeah well
00:47:41
I have all this money in these index
00:47:42
funds I'll check it and I thought [ __ ] I
00:47:44
don't know the password good that's why
00:47:46
you're going to do okay the reason I do
00:47:48
this what's important is that I am not
00:47:49
one of the people who says nobody can
00:47:51
beat the market so therefore use index
00:47:52
funds that's not what I believe I think
00:47:54
there I think it's extremely hard to
00:47:56
beat the market and very few people will
00:47:58
do it but I think there are really smart
00:48:00
people who can do it and people who I
00:48:02
know who I could invest with the reason
00:48:04
I don't is not because I don't believe
00:48:06
it can be done it's because the variable
00:48:07
that I want to maximize for in my
00:48:09
investments is endurance if I can just
00:48:12
earn average returns for an above
00:48:13
average period of time it's going to
00:48:15
lead to amount of success that will
00:48:17
literally put you in the top 5% of
00:48:19
investors my parents are a great example
00:48:22
of this my parents are smart people but
00:48:24
they really they have no Financial
00:48:25
background and they like minimal
00:48:27
financial interest I would say and but
00:48:29
they have dollar cost average into index
00:48:31
funds for going on 40 years now and
00:48:34
literally if you look at the returns
00:48:35
they've never sold anything ever and
00:48:37
literally if you look at the returns
00:48:38
they'd probably be in the top 3% of
00:48:40
professional investors what is for
00:48:42
anyone that doesn't know what is dollar
00:48:43
cost averaging and what is an index fund
00:48:45
dollar cost averaging means you buy the
00:48:48
same dollar amount of Investments every
00:48:50
single month come hell or high water
00:48:51
doesn't matter what the stock market's
00:48:52
doing recession boom bust you say I'm
00:48:55
going to put $100 or whatever it is in
00:48:57
the stock mark on the first of every
00:48:59
month now most people who like have a
00:49:00
401k at work are doing this whether they
00:49:03
know it or not they have $100 or
00:49:05
whatever removed from every paycheck and
00:49:07
it goes into the funds that they own and
00:49:09
they don't have to do anything whether
00:49:10
you know it or not you're actually doing
00:49:11
it the contrast to that would say I'm G
00:49:14
to buy and sell based off of how I feel
00:49:16
in the stock market I wake up I watch
00:49:18
CNBC I decided to sell and I'm going to
00:49:20
put it back in when I feel better about
00:49:21
the market it's the contrast to that an
00:49:23
index fund is just a single fund that
00:49:25
owns hundreds or or thousands of stocks
00:49:28
within it and if it's diverse enough if
00:49:30
it's big enough really what you're doing
00:49:31
is you're owning a slice of the global
00:49:33
economy which is how I think about it
00:49:35
it's thousands of individual stocks in
00:49:37
there Tesla Apple whatever it would be
00:49:39
but really what you're doing is you're
00:49:40
owning a slice of capitalism if I was
00:49:42
your son and I said Dad prove to me that
00:49:44
that's a better long-term wealth
00:49:46
creation strategy than buying crypto or
00:49:49
buying companies that I use or like how
00:49:51
would you explain that to your to your
00:49:54
kid your ability to do well over the
00:49:56
next one year or 5 years is going to
00:49:58
have no role whatsoever on your lifetime
00:50:00
ability to generate wealth all that's
00:50:02
going to matter is not what are the best
00:50:05
returns you can earn all that matters
00:50:07
are is what are the returns that you can
00:50:08
sustain for the longest period of time
00:50:10
all that matters is your endurance it
00:50:12
doesn't matter if you can double your
00:50:13
money this year or even double your
00:50:15
money again the next year all that
00:50:16
matters is can you stick and keep it
00:50:19
going for 50 years that's where
00:50:21
compounding comes from prove it all
00:50:23
because the formula for compounding is
00:50:25
returns to the power of time
00:50:27
that's not quite it but like more or
00:50:28
less that's it so in that equation if
00:50:30
you understand the math all of the heavy
00:50:32
lifting comes from the exponent prove it
00:50:34
because that's how exponential growth
00:50:36
works that's how it works it's literally
00:50:38
exponential give me a case study where
00:50:39
someone has followed that strategy and
00:50:41
done well okay here's one way to explain
00:50:42
it that I use in the book 99% of Warren
00:50:46
Buffett's net worth was accumulated
00:50:48
after his 60th
00:50:49
birthday after he turned 60 years old
00:50:52
99% of his wealth Jesus has been
00:50:54
accumulated after that period because
00:50:56
the longer do you hold that for the
00:50:58
crazier the numbers get when he was 60 I
00:51:00
think he was worth about $3 billion lot
00:51:02
of money he's a multi-billionaire but
00:51:04
now that he's 90 he's worth over hundred
00:51:06
billion and he's given like a 100
00:51:07
billion away to charity so if he didn't
00:51:09
do that he'd be worth he'd go from three
00:51:10
billion to 200 billion since he's been
00:51:12
60 because the numbers just get crazier
00:51:15
at that point he's worth a hundred
00:51:16
billion dollar so if his if his Market
00:51:18
if his net worth goes up 10% in one year
00:51:20
he makes $1 billion which is three times
00:51:22
that he was worth when he was 60 so
00:51:25
that's when you look at somebody like
00:51:26
Buffett is he a great investor is he a
00:51:28
great stock picker of course but the
00:51:30
real secret to his success is that he's
00:51:33
been a good investor for 80 years and if
00:51:36
he had retired at age 60 or at age 50
00:51:38
nobody would have ever heard of him he
00:51:40
would have been like one of the other
00:51:42
multi-billionaires who lives in Florida
00:51:44
and plays golf and like you've never
00:51:45
heard of him the reason he use a
00:51:47
household name is because he's been
00:51:49
doing this non-stop since he's since
00:51:51
he's been 11 years old and he's never
00:51:52
stopped it's just the endurance that's
00:51:54
made him so wealthy not necessarily the
00:51:56
annual returns patience it's a difficult
00:51:59
thing it also reminds me of the story
00:52:00
that you talk about in the introduction
00:52:01
of your book about the janitor Ronald
00:52:03
James Reed yeah who when he died in 2014
00:52:08
age 92 had a net worth of over 8
00:52:11
million and he was a janitor how did he
00:52:14
do that he took what very little money
00:52:16
he could save from his job as a janitor
00:52:18
mopping floors at the gas station he put
00:52:21
it in stocks and he left it alone for 70
00:52:23
years and that's it that's all you need
00:52:25
that's all you need to do if you have
00:52:27
endurance in your investing and you can
00:52:29
keep it going for years or decades you
00:52:31
don't need to be a genius stock picker
00:52:34
and not only you do not need to do it if
00:52:35
you have endurance you're going to beat
00:52:37
literally 97 or 99% of the genius stock
00:52:41
Pickers and what's so interesting about
00:52:43
it is like picking the right stocks is
00:52:45
hard it's supposed to be hard like
00:52:47
there's no world in which everybody who
00:52:48
tries to beat the market is going to do
00:52:50
it of course it's hard just like being
00:52:51
an NBA player is hard and but having
00:52:54
endurance is like largely in your
00:52:55
control
00:52:56
it's so much easier to just be patient
00:52:59
than it is to pick the right stocks
00:53:01
every single day now I think some people
00:53:03
nature nurture some people like probably
00:53:04
Ronald Reed and my parents Ju Just
00:53:07
understand it naturally it's not hard
00:53:08
for them to be patient but do like there
00:53:11
are professional investors who work 80
00:53:13
hours a week for 30 years to try to beat
00:53:16
the market and they can't do it not only
00:53:18
some that that explains like most of
00:53:20
them and even the ones who can do it are
00:53:21
maybe going to beat the market by half a
00:53:23
percent per year 1% per year but if you
00:53:25
can have Endor
00:53:27
that is that's a bigger benefit than you
00:53:29
can have by even being like a very
00:53:31
successful stock picker like somebody
00:53:32
who outperforms the market by one
00:53:34
percentage Point per year and they can
00:53:36
do that for 10 years that's amazing
00:53:39
that's like Mount Rushmore investor but
00:53:41
somebody who earns average returns and
00:53:43
does it for 20 years is going to have
00:53:45
way more money you do it for 30 years
00:53:47
you're going to be Filthy Rich you be
00:53:49
like Ronald Reed you can be a janitor
00:53:50
who leaves 8 million to charity when you
00:53:52
die but so in the case of Ronald Reed do
00:53:54
you not look at him a little bit and go
00:53:56
listen bro if you had eight or9 million
00:53:59
in the bank you should have been living
00:54:00
it up see this is one I I do kind of
00:54:03
regret that in the book that I'm I kind
00:54:05
of I didn't say it explicitly but I kind
00:54:07
of make him out to be a role model and I
00:54:09
don't think that's the case he he's not
00:54:10
my role model I think he's a fascinating
00:54:13
story of somebody who became Rich
00:54:15
despite not having any of the pedigree
00:54:18
or any of the skills that you are
00:54:20
normally associated with wealthy people
00:54:22
but you're right that he lived in a a a
00:54:26
s wed housing and he worked as a janitor
00:54:28
that's not my goal so I I I want to live
00:54:30
a nice life I want to be independent but
00:54:32
he's the most extreme example that you
00:54:34
can come up with and I I I wish I had
00:54:36
stated that more clearly in the book A
00:54:37
lot of people have this conversation
00:54:39
around pensions and in the UK we we can
00:54:41
pay money from our salary into our
00:54:43
pension but I think a lot of people
00:54:45
think gosh when I'm 60 when I'm 65 I
00:54:48
want to be rich I want to be rich when
00:54:49
I'm 25 yeah and I can go to Vegas and
00:54:53
you know ball out and buy nice things
00:54:56
and have great experiences not when I'm
00:54:58
65 yeah no I think that's true I think
00:55:00
there are a lot of people a lot of
00:55:01
financial advisers will say that one of
00:55:03
the hardest things they do as an adviser
00:55:05
is getting their clients to spend money
00:55:07
because they've been so conditioned to
00:55:08
save save save save save that when they
00:55:11
finally retire at 65 they don't know how
00:55:12
to spend they have no clue how to spend
00:55:14
money there's a great uh author I think
00:55:16
you've had him on your show RIT Siti who
00:55:18
talks about this a lot like how you like
00:55:19
you need to learn how to live a a rich
00:55:22
life and figure out what that is for you
00:55:24
for some people like for me it's just
00:55:25
like my my happy state is like sitting
00:55:28
on the couch in sweatpants reading a
00:55:30
book going for a walk with my wife
00:55:31
that's that's that's my rich life that I
00:55:33
love doing and to do that I need to be
00:55:35
independent and autonomous so I can do
00:55:37
that all day long I can do that on a
00:55:38
Wednesday afternoon rid talks a lot
00:55:40
about like maybe your rich life I think
00:55:42
for him it's flying first class and
00:55:44
wearing nice clothes and he talks about
00:55:46
like he drives I think like a beat up
00:55:48
Honda but he flies first class and he
00:55:50
dresses very nicely so you just have to
00:55:52
figure out what is the little thing
00:55:53
that's going to make you happy and I
00:55:55
think a lot of people's problem is that
00:55:57
Society tells you what you're supposed
00:56:00
to do to be happy you're supposed to
00:56:02
have a nice car you're supposed to have
00:56:03
a big house supposed to wear nice
00:56:04
clothes that's what Society tells you to
00:56:06
do and for some people that might be the
00:56:08
case for other people like me I think it
00:56:10
it's not that's that that would not ever
00:56:13
make me happy what does make me happy is
00:56:15
Independence so I can just do these
00:56:16
little quirky things that I like to do
00:56:18
so I think you just have to figure out
00:56:20
the little things that make you happy
00:56:22
rather than just being forced by Society
00:56:24
into what they want you to do
00:56:26
knowing when enough is enough this was
00:56:28
one of
00:56:29
the most interesting things that I think
00:56:31
really rang true to me was how do I know
00:56:34
in my life when enough is enough I've
00:56:35
definitely been a victim to that
00:56:36
external narrative that I need to have
00:56:38
these things in my life to be a happy
00:56:40
person but how does one go about knowing
00:56:43
when enough is enough I think back to
00:56:46
the story of my father he just woke up
00:56:47
one day and it was obvious that he would
00:56:50
he had been doing what he did for long
00:56:53
enough and it was he had felt like he
00:56:54
had enough and whatnot and he and he
00:56:56
broke away from it I
00:56:58
think for for a lot of people it's just
00:57:00
I one thing that's important about the
00:57:01
concept of having enough in Independence
00:57:03
is that when most people even if they
00:57:05
are independent they wake up every
00:57:07
morning what they want to do is go to
00:57:08
work one of one of the big problems with
00:57:10
the fire movement the financial
00:57:11
Independence retire early movement where
00:57:13
people are like they're going to be a
00:57:14
Super Saver and then retire at age 31
00:57:16
whatever it' be so many of those people
00:57:18
who actually did that and retired at age
00:57:21
31 they once they retired after about
00:57:23
two weeks they were bored out of their
00:57:24
mind and if they did it for six months
00:57:26
they were clinically depressed cuz for
00:57:28
most people you want to be productive
00:57:30
you want to keep doing it so having
00:57:33
enough doesn't necessarily mean that
00:57:34
you're going to stop working it just
00:57:36
means you're going to keep doing only
00:57:37
the work that you want to do there's a
00:57:39
really interesting question that Patrick
00:57:40
oesi asked a lot of people uh in in his
00:57:44
office he says if you won a billion
00:57:46
dollars in the lottery but you had to
00:57:48
stay at this job you're a billionaire
00:57:50
but you can't quit what did this company
00:57:52
would you want to do and what would you
00:57:54
get rid of and virtually everyone has an
00:57:56
answer for that question they say oh if
00:57:58
I didn't need the money but I have to
00:57:59
stay I would love to work on this
00:58:01
project I love working on this thing
00:58:03
this that and the other is all [ __ ]
00:58:05
to me so like in any job there's going
00:58:08
to be something that you want to do
00:58:09
there's going to be some project there's
00:58:10
going to be some position or or or maybe
00:58:12
it's like being an artist whatever it
00:58:13
would be it's not that you stop working
00:58:15
it's that when you have enough you get
00:58:16
to pick and choose which of those things
00:58:18
you're going to end up doing it's often
00:58:20
too late in our lives when we realize
00:58:21
the cost that we've paid for enough
00:58:24
never being enough you know it could
00:58:26
could be family it could be Health
00:58:27
whatever um I always reflect on the with
00:58:30
Brony we wasn't it who interviewed
00:58:31
people on their deathbeds and found out
00:58:33
that the biggest regret of the dying was
00:58:34
not living a life true to themselves
00:58:36
working too much Etc but that's on your
00:58:38
deathbed there's nothing you can do at
00:58:39
that point right and I think a lot about
00:58:41
this like what am I going to regret yes
00:58:43
I think about that too I think this is
00:58:45
this is pretty morbid to think about but
00:58:46
I think about if I were on my deathbed
00:58:48
tomorrow would I regret working hard and
00:58:51
saving a lot of money and my answer is
00:58:52
absolutely not it would give me so much
00:58:54
pleasure to know that my wife and my
00:58:56
young kids are going to be fine and the
00:58:58
opposite of that I cannot fathom being
00:59:00
on my deathbed and looking at my wife
00:59:02
and my 8-year-old son and my
00:59:03
four-year-old daughter and thinking you
00:59:05
guys are screwed that would that that
00:59:07
would that would be the biggest regret I
00:59:08
can fathom so I think a lot of people
00:59:10
would look at someone with a high
00:59:11
savings rate like me and would assume
00:59:13
that I'm going to regret it on my
00:59:15
deathbed and who knows but I I I have to
00:59:17
think it would actually be the opposite
00:59:19
what makes me gives me so much happiness
00:59:21
and pleasure is taking care of my family
00:59:23
and if I were to go tomorrow I wouldn't
00:59:25
regret for one second the car that I
00:59:27
didn't buy the big house I didn't buy
00:59:30
the nice clothes I didn't buy not for a
00:59:31
second would I regret not doing those
00:59:33
it's a really good frame to think there
00:59:34
isn't it about our financial decision-
00:59:36
making and you know a lot of people like
00:59:38
saving up to buy a lot of nonsense
00:59:40
that's going to depreciate and would you
00:59:42
rather have a little Nest Egg left over
00:59:44
for the ones you love or buy that
00:59:46
Lamborghini there's another great book
00:59:48
called die with zero which basically the
00:59:51
title is self-explanatory and one of the
00:59:54
concepts is even if you want to give
00:59:55
money away way to your family don't wait
00:59:57
until you die don't make your kids wait
00:59:59
or like hope you're going to die so they
01:00:00
can get their inheritance give it to
01:00:02
them when it really matters which for
01:00:03
most people is in their 30s and 40s if
01:00:05
you wait until you die at age 90 and
01:00:08
your kids are 60 and then they get your
01:00:10
money like what's the purpose of that
01:00:12
give it to them when they need it when
01:00:13
they're raising kids and whatnot that's
01:00:15
when they need your money I I I really
01:00:17
like that concept I think about that
01:00:19
with my own kids the counter point to
01:00:20
that is though if I just give my kids
01:00:22
money then like the chth quote
01:00:26
they might lose it quick think about
01:00:28
that especially as you know someone that
01:00:30
has a lot of cash they could give I
01:00:32
think about this because at some point
01:00:33
I'm G to have kids and they're going to
01:00:34
Daddy I want to do a driving lesson or
01:00:36
they're going to be 18 and go off to
01:00:38
University or whatever God I hope they
01:00:39
don't go to university um and they're
01:00:41
going to say like I've got nowhere to
01:00:43
live or I found this nice apartment dad
01:00:46
and in those moments do I make the
01:00:47
decision to pay for it because I can or
01:00:50
withhold it because they need to learn
01:00:51
the hard way I have this yeah I'd call
01:00:54
it an argument with my girlfriend
01:00:56
where I say babe listen when we have
01:00:57
kids they're going to sit an economy and
01:01:00
she's like absolutely not yeah and I'm
01:01:03
like no babe when they get okay we made
01:01:05
a deal I think we got to about when
01:01:06
they're 12 years old I'm going to put
01:01:07
them in economy so they can learn for
01:01:09
themselves the value of things see we we
01:01:13
made this mistake I don't think I've
01:01:14
ever talked about this but it was about
01:01:15
a year ago we flew my son who was me I
01:01:18
guess he was seven at the time we flew
01:01:19
first class and we explained to him that
01:01:22
this was not normal this was not going
01:01:24
to be the way it is as soon as as he did
01:01:26
it he went home he told all of our
01:01:27
neighbors told all of his friends told
01:01:29
everybody at school and that was when my
01:01:32
I like can't can't do this never again
01:01:35
you see how quickly somebody can be
01:01:36
spoiled or use that to try to show other
01:01:39
people that they are superior to them
01:01:41
that's when it was like no no we can't
01:01:42
ever do this ever again and you moved
01:01:44
his expectations in a way absolutely I
01:01:46
didn't fly first class till I was 35 and
01:01:48
he did it at 7 and so that my when I
01:01:50
first did it at 35 I remember feeling a
01:01:53
I earned this I worked for this and Al
01:01:56
felt so special to me because I'd flown
01:01:57
coach 9,000 times before that so it felt
01:02:00
amazing and so that's I I I think about
01:02:02
that a lot there's a great quote from
01:02:03
Charlie Munger where one of his rich
01:02:05
friends says Charlie if I give my kids
01:02:08
all of my money is that going to ruin
01:02:10
their ambition and Charlie says of
01:02:12
course it will but you have to do it
01:02:14
anyways and the guy says why and Charlie
01:02:16
says because if you don't your kids will
01:02:17
hate you and I think that's that too is
01:02:20
like lots of Charlie Monger quotes are
01:02:22
are framed as black and white they're
01:02:24
extreme but I think that's probably like
01:02:25
80% true really that it's it's maybe 70%
01:02:29
true that if you are a wealthy person
01:02:31
and I'm not talking billionaires if you
01:02:32
just have a moderate amount of wealth
01:02:34
that you might pass along to your kids
01:02:35
someday that your two options are kind
01:02:37
of at least to some extent hurt their
01:02:39
ambition or risk some level of strife
01:02:42
and it's always child dependent like I
01:02:44
always make the example that if
01:02:46
18-year-old Bill Gates or Mark
01:02:47
Zuckerberg or Elon Musk inherited a
01:02:49
billion dollars would have made any
01:02:51
difference to their ambition they would
01:02:52
have they would not have slowed them
01:02:54
down by one second but most people
01:02:56
including myself it would have like I
01:02:59
was driven by fear of not making it
01:03:01
which is what most people are I was I
01:03:03
was scared shitless that I was not going
01:03:05
to find the right career that I wasn't
01:03:07
going to make it and that's what drove
01:03:08
me some people don't need that but I
01:03:12
think it's very rare I think the huge
01:03:14
majority of people if you give them an
01:03:16
easy life they will take it and embrace
01:03:18
it with both hands making money and
01:03:20
keeping money require two different
01:03:22
skills you you've spoken about a few of
01:03:24
the skills that are required for making
01:03:26
money the one that really stuck out to
01:03:28
me that you've discussed so far is this
01:03:29
idea of endurance patience regardless of
01:03:32
what's happening in the markets
01:03:33
regardless of the volatility lose your
01:03:35
password and sit on your hands just on
01:03:38
that point as well I remember reading
01:03:39
somewhere it might have even been your
01:03:40
book you know it's so crazy because the
01:03:43
things that I know about money I can't
01:03:44
remember where I've got them from but
01:03:46
most of them came from this book like
01:03:48
most of the principles came from this
01:03:49
book and one of the things that I read
01:03:51
was that Warren Buffett would go like
01:03:53
five years without allocating capital
01:03:55
and this where he said the hardest thing
01:03:58
to be a great investor is to be able to
01:04:00
sit on your hands and do nothing sit on
01:04:01
your ass and do nothing that's it that's
01:04:03
that's AER quote and that's what they're
01:04:05
doing right now right now Berkshire
01:04:06
hathway which is Warren Buffett's
01:04:07
company has like $150 billion dollar of
01:04:09
cash right now and that's their entire
01:04:12
uh 60-year history of Warren Buffett and
01:04:14
Brookshire hathway is build up a
01:04:16
shitload of cash wait 10 years for an
01:04:18
opportunity deploy it all and then go
01:04:21
back to waiting and building up cash
01:04:23
crazy and that's that's that's how they
01:04:24
done it good opportunities are rare of
01:04:26
course they are they should be rare it
01:04:27
shouldn't be that anybody can just open
01:04:29
up their stock account and find the
01:04:30
opportunity of a lifetime what are the
01:04:32
gonna come once a decade what are the
01:04:33
other skills then endurance patience to
01:04:35
create to get money for the for the
01:04:38
ordinary person endurance and patience
01:04:40
is 99% of what you need as an investor
01:04:42
because the opportunities there to
01:04:44
invest in a lowcost Index Fund are
01:04:46
available for everybody and you can do
01:04:47
that from your phone like you do it from
01:04:48
your phone open up a Robinhood account
01:04:50
buy some index funds anybody can do that
01:04:52
and so that and but that was not always
01:04:54
the case it used to be 20 years ago that
01:04:57
the only people who could invest were
01:04:58
people who had a lot of money and could
01:05:00
afford a broker and had connection to a
01:05:01
broker and you yet to like make a phone
01:05:02
call make a phone call you had to know a
01:05:04
guy and even then you were going to pay
01:05:05
a ridiculous fee to that person for do
01:05:08
pieces of paper and all kinds it was a
01:05:09
joke and that's 20 years ago it's not
01:05:11
that long ago so I think like people
01:05:13
aren't grateful enough or appreciative
01:05:16
enough of how much things have changed
01:05:18
that open up those opportunities for
01:05:19
everybody you talk about the skill of
01:05:21
keeping money which is different from
01:05:22
the skill of getting money is predicated
01:05:26
on Survival Financial survival and just
01:05:28
putting up with all the unpredictable
01:05:31
nonsense that's going to happen between
01:05:33
now and the end of your life and we
01:05:35
talked earlier about the surprises Pearl
01:05:37
Harbor 9911 all these big surprises just
01:05:40
it's just your ability to endure things
01:05:42
like that that's going to be literally
01:05:44
90% of your financial success and your
01:05:46
investing success so gaining money is
01:05:48
like being an optimist and taking a risk
01:05:50
like being optimistic about yourself
01:05:52
swinging for the fences you need that to
01:05:54
get rich staying rich is is like the
01:05:56
exact opposite you need a level of being
01:05:58
conservative you need to be scared you
01:06:01
need to be like acknowledge of all the
01:06:03
unknown risks that are in front of us
01:06:05
and have a financial allocation and a
01:06:07
mindset that's going to allow you to
01:06:09
endure them and survive them financially
01:06:11
you need both of those skills at the
01:06:12
same time so well your kid is 20 years
01:06:15
old he's broke do you tell him to go and
01:06:19
take huge outsized risks he's not got a
01:06:21
family he's not got a mortgage he's not
01:06:22
got a dog what advice do you give him at
01:06:25
that age to create wealth I would
01:06:27
actually say I think this is a little
01:06:28
counterintuitive that when somebody is
01:06:29
Young you you think you would say you
01:06:31
got 50 years in front of you swing for
01:06:33
the fences go for it it's also when your
01:06:35
life is the most fragile it's when
01:06:37
you're most likely to be laid off most
01:06:39
likely to change your career most likely
01:06:40
to break up or get divorced whatever it
01:06:42
would be and so for that you need quite
01:06:45
a bit of financial flexibility just cash
01:06:47
and liquidity so once you had some level
01:06:49
built up whatever the level might be for
01:06:51
a different person then like do
01:06:53
something crazy I also think for careers
01:06:56
some of the best career advice that's
01:06:58
maybe not Universal but when you
01:07:00
graduate college and you're looking at
01:07:02
your career don't take the safe job
01:07:04
which is usually like the big company
01:07:06
the blue chick company go for the weird
01:07:08
company why go for something crazy
01:07:10
because when you're older when you're 40
01:07:12
and you have two kids and a mortgage
01:07:14
you're not going to want to take the
01:07:15
weird job that's when you want the
01:07:17
stability that's when you're probably
01:07:18
going to want the job that's has good
01:07:20
benefits and a stable paycheck cuz you
01:07:22
need that when you're 22 and you're not
01:07:24
tied down by anything
01:07:26
don't go work for Goldman Sachs or apple
01:07:28
or deoe or something like that go for
01:07:29
the weird startup where you like you're
01:07:31
you're going to learn something
01:07:32
completely different linked to that
01:07:35
point is in the weird startup you're
01:07:37
going to be so close to the failure and
01:07:38
failure is the knowledge you're going to
01:07:40
learn so much much and there's so many
01:07:42
people who take the blue chip the safe
01:07:44
job out of college and it puts them on a
01:07:46
very predictable track you're going to
01:07:48
be an analyst for two years and then if
01:07:49
you're good you'll get promoted to
01:07:51
senior analyst and then you'll get
01:07:53
promoted to associate it's like very
01:07:54
stable and linear and that's the like
01:07:57
it's you're capping all of your upside
01:07:59
where if you go for the weird company
01:08:00
you're either going to do one of two
01:08:01
things it's either going to fail and
01:08:03
you're going to learn a lot from that or
01:08:05
it's going to take off and you're going
01:08:06
to learn a lot from that and then maybe
01:08:07
when you're 40 after going through all
01:08:09
that then you want the stable job at the
01:08:11
big company it's interesting I was
01:08:13
thinking as you're speaking that the
01:08:14
proximity from your desk and the
01:08:17
CEOs probably needs to widen over time
01:08:20
yes I think I think that's that's true
01:08:22
yeah absolutely and mo most people I
01:08:24
think if they if you do it the other way
01:08:26
around or most people would never do it
01:08:27
the other around if you start your
01:08:29
career in the stable company you're
01:08:31
probably never going to leave you're
01:08:32
going to get addicted to the nice
01:08:34
paycheck the stable benefits whatnot and
01:08:36
you're never going to take a risk and do
01:08:37
anything else maybe that's okay maybe
01:08:39
for some people's personalities that's
01:08:40
exactly what they want but I think there
01:08:42
is a higher level of regret for people
01:08:44
that start in a safe company and then
01:08:46
they get the golden handcuffs they can't
01:08:47
leave and by the time they're 40 and
01:08:50
they realize that they wanted to work at
01:08:51
the crazy company they can't because
01:08:52
they got a mortgage and two kids and
01:08:54
they're saving for retirement and they
01:08:55
can't take the risk at that level of
01:08:57
their life you introduced this concept
01:08:59
of
01:09:00
tales long tales and this also changed
01:09:04
my life changed my investment strategy I
01:09:05
should probably say you talk about the
01:09:07
example of venture capital where for
01:09:09
every 50 Investments That Venture
01:09:11
capitalists make statistically half of
01:09:14
them will completely fail 10 will do
01:09:16
okay and one or two will make huge
01:09:19
profits that drive 100% of the funds
01:09:21
returns yeah this is a lesson about
01:09:23
investing in finance but it's also me a
01:09:25
lesson about life it's always life yeah
01:09:27
it applies to everything Tales where
01:09:30
just a couple of things that happen
01:09:32
explain 90 or 99% of what matters it's
01:09:36
always the case you see it in business
01:09:38
where you take in the United States
01:09:40
there are you know thousands of public
01:09:42
companies that you can buy stock in but
01:09:44
the huge majority of the value in the US
01:09:47
Stock Market is in like 10 companies
01:09:48
Apple Tesa Microsoft so even though you
01:09:51
have thousands of companies 10 of them
01:09:52
are the ones that really matter and are
01:09:54
going to drive all of the r turns over
01:09:55
time so why you just buy those 10
01:09:57
because nobody knows what they're going
01:09:58
to be at least in hindsight that that
01:10:00
that's the argument for owning a
01:10:01
thousand of them is that you know that
01:10:03
the 10 that are going to be the next big
01:10:04
ones are going to be in there all of
01:10:06
this is a case for humility this is
01:10:08
honestly what I took away from your book
01:10:10
you're expecting to walk away with tips
01:10:14
all these tips these tricks these
01:10:15
special ways to make more money than
01:10:17
everybody what I came away with is this
01:10:20
one important lesson that I've never
01:10:23
been able to unsee which is I don't know
01:10:26
I I think that's great and that back to
01:10:28
I wrote this book for myself that's been
01:10:30
the biggest lesson for me is not only do
01:10:33
I know but nobody else knows either
01:10:35
everyone everyone else is bullshitting
01:10:36
their way through the investing Market
01:10:37
too they don't know either I'm in this
01:10:39
crypto chat where one of my friends I
01:10:41
won't disparage him one of my friends
01:10:43
he's the guy in the chat that's always
01:10:44
posting the forecast graphs you know
01:10:46
those ones where they kind of like the
01:10:47
little logger graphs where they forecast
01:10:49
where the stock or the crypto where they
01:10:50
think it's going to go right and it's
01:10:52
always it's always up and to the right
01:10:56
um and it's kind of like male horoscopes
01:10:58
I heard someone say that that that's
01:11:00
such a great yeah no I think that's I
01:11:02
think what's closest to investing is
01:11:03
something like the horoscope or even if
01:11:05
you know it's [ __ ] you want to read
01:11:06
it why because it's comforting what a
01:11:09
lot of people want out of their
01:11:10
investing forecasts or whatever it is is
01:11:12
they want to reduce the uncertainty
01:11:14
that's giving them stress because
01:11:16
everyone I think intuitively knows that
01:11:17
the future in front of us is unknown and
01:11:19
it's unknowable but that hurts and so if
01:11:22
it hurts you try to reduce that stress
01:11:24
by finding someone who says I do know
01:11:26
what's going to happen you know what
01:11:27
this applies as well is I read Amazon's
01:11:29
Jeff Bezos who's the CEO and founder of
01:11:30
Amazon his shareholder letter where he
01:11:33
says we have to be the best place in the
01:11:35
world to fail um we swing for the fences
01:11:38
10 times and for every 10 swings nine of
01:11:41
them are in the Amazon graveyard he's
01:11:43
talking there about a9.com which nobody
01:11:45
knows cuz failed the fir phone which
01:11:47
nobody knows but the one in 10 pay for
01:11:50
the entirety of the graveyard the one in
01:11:51
one 10 is going to be AWS which make 70
01:11:54
billion this year right he talked about
01:11:55
that when the fir phone from Amazon
01:11:57
which if you don't know Amazon built a
01:11:59
cell phone it's called the fir phone and
01:12:00
it was a joke it was a disaster it was a
01:12:02
massive flop and he was doing like an
01:12:04
analyst call and this analyst talked
01:12:07
about like hey the Fire Phone flopped
01:12:09
like what happened there and bezo said
01:12:10
if you think that was a big failure just
01:12:12
wait you've seen nothing yet and like
01:12:14
that's why Amazon's successful they're
01:12:16
willing to try a thousand things with
01:12:18
the idea that they know 990 of them are
01:12:21
going to fail but the 10 that work are
01:12:23
going to be massive and you can fail
01:12:25
well and have the mentality to fail and
01:12:28
the financial backing to be able to fail
01:12:30
like make sure your bets are not that
01:12:32
big and you can just keep taking little
01:12:33
risks all the time the optionality that
01:12:36
you get from that like the odds that one
01:12:38
or two of those are going to explode are
01:12:40
huge it's massive I mean it's no
01:12:42
different than how do you win the
01:12:44
lottery you have to buy thousands and
01:12:46
thousands or millions of tickets if you
01:12:48
buy billions of tickets you'll probably
01:12:49
win the lottery it's probably not going
01:12:50
to pay off because it doesn't work like
01:12:52
that but it's the same concept like if
01:12:54
you if you if you take enough swings at
01:12:56
bat one of them is going to hit
01:12:58
eventually and this is also
01:13:01
a reason why some companies look
01:13:04
Innovative they look like their Geniuses
01:13:05
but in fact their failure rate is
01:13:08
massive massive there's a story at at at
01:13:10
Netflix several years ago where there
01:13:12
was uh a report to the CEO and the and
01:13:15
the report was all of the new movies
01:13:18
that we've come out that that we've that
01:13:19
we've produced have been successful and
01:13:22
whoever presented that probably thought
01:13:23
this is great this is what you want hear
01:13:25
and the CEO said that's terrible that
01:13:27
means we're not taking enough risks if
01:13:29
every movie that we release is a hit
01:13:32
we're not taking risks like you want
01:13:34
your failure rate to be at least some
01:13:36
that that's when you know you're at
01:13:37
least trying something new it's the same
01:13:39
like if you're managing uh a hotel you
01:13:42
don't want every room to be sold out
01:13:44
because that means you're not pricing
01:13:45
high enough you know you're doing a good
01:13:46
job when you have 10 empty rooms that's
01:13:49
when you know you're pricing the other
01:13:50
rooms at a high enough rate so there's
01:13:53
always going to be like some level of
01:13:55
what looks like failure that you need
01:13:57
and if you don't have it you're not
01:13:58
taking a big enough risk Daniel X sat
01:14:00
here and he said the same thing he goes
01:14:02
one of the most important metrics that I
01:14:03
think about at Spotify is our mistake
01:14:06
rate yeah and people will think okay so
01:14:08
he wants to limit mistakes very much the
01:14:10
opposite he wants to make sure that the
01:14:12
company maintains that sort of startup
01:14:15
mentality and they increase their rate
01:14:17
of mistakes and this brings me to
01:14:19
something which I kind of hit me like a
01:14:21
truck um in your new book same as ever
01:14:23
which was this idea that we need to keep
01:14:25
running now there were areas in my
01:14:27
professional life where I've been
01:14:28
successful poas is doing well I think
01:14:31
doing pretty well and I had a I had a
01:14:33
car Journey with Jima who's through the
01:14:35
wall who you met and we last time we
01:14:37
came to well I'm in the front seat of
01:14:38
the car and I go Jima do you know what
01:14:39
our biggest um our biggest threat is now
01:14:43
complacency when people get successful
01:14:46
they play defense to their detriment um
01:14:50
they don't play offense as much as they
01:14:52
need to to keep up with the rate of
01:14:54
change in the world and then a young
01:14:57
Scrappy agile incumbent who has a high
01:15:00
risk appetite will take their cheese
01:15:03
right and your chapter on keep running
01:15:05
there's two quotes that I really pulled
01:15:06
out chapter is called keep running and
01:15:09
the quot two quotes that I pulled out
01:15:11
were competitive advantages tend to be
01:15:14
shortlived often because their success
01:15:17
plants the seeds of their own decline
01:15:21
one more quote it's easy to overlook how
01:15:24
many forces pull you away from your
01:15:26
competitive Advantage once you have one
01:15:29
specifically because you have one
01:15:31
success has its own gravity that's right
01:15:34
and the the the the biggest source of
01:15:36
gravity there is laziness the reason
01:15:38
you're successful is because you work so
01:15:40
hard to get to where you were and now
01:15:42
that you feel like you've made it now
01:15:43
that you feel like you're on the top of
01:15:44
the mountain top you get lazy and that's
01:15:46
so many companies fall for that so many
01:15:47
careers fall for that there's a great
01:15:49
story from Jerry Seinfeld where he said
01:15:51
that one of the reasons that he quit the
01:15:53
show when it was still going gang
01:15:55
Busters is because he could start to
01:15:56
sense that what made the show successful
01:15:59
was starting to be was starting to go
01:16:01
away he said and part of the reason is
01:16:03
was because he got so famous when he was
01:16:06
not that famous he could go sit in a
01:16:08
coffee shop and watch how people ordered
01:16:10
their coffee and make a joke out of it
01:16:12
he was observing how Society worked once
01:16:14
he got very famous he couldn't do that
01:16:16
anymore he was too famous to go sit in a
01:16:17
deli and watch how people order their
01:16:19
sandwiches he couldn't do it so
01:16:20
therefore he didn't have a lot of the
01:16:22
source material that he had before and
01:16:24
so he was like look what made me so
01:16:26
funny and the show so successful I can't
01:16:28
do anymore so like red alert let's pull
01:16:31
the plug before it gets really bad here
01:16:33
so that's like a very specific example
01:16:35
but what he realized that what made him
01:16:37
successful was gone and a lot of a lot
01:16:39
of CEOs will will have this problem too
01:16:42
where what made them successful was that
01:16:44
they were a scrappy startup founder and
01:16:46
they were very good at building a
01:16:47
product but now that the company is big
01:16:49
and successful they also need to be an
01:16:50
HR Manager they need to be a finance
01:16:52
specialist they need to be a marketer
01:16:54
they need to be all these other things
01:16:56
and therefore their time is pulled away
01:16:58
from what they're actually good at which
01:16:59
was building a product a good example of
01:17:01
this if I can say it was Travis kenck of
01:17:04
uber the founder of uber probably nobody
01:17:07
in the world was better at scaling a
01:17:09
company like uber than he than he was
01:17:11
and there were a few people who were
01:17:13
worse at managing a big company than he
01:17:16
was so it's like what made Uber
01:17:18
successful is what pulled him away from
01:17:21
being a successful manager at that he
01:17:22
was very good at one thing he was the
01:17:24
best in the world at that one thing but
01:17:27
you shouldn't think that like it's going
01:17:28
to last during when another phase of the
01:17:30
company's life my person I consider a
01:17:33
mentor and a friend of mine been a
01:17:35
long-term friend of mine a guy called
01:17:36
Shaquille Khan he was one of the very
01:17:37
first investors in shop in Spotify um
01:17:39
new Daniel the founder from the very
01:17:41
Beginnings he said to me um a piece of
01:17:44
advice that stayed with me and I've also
01:17:47
imparted on other people at a time when
01:17:49
I'd left my company I was now
01:17:51
financially successful um financially
01:17:53
free by all regards and and I called him
01:17:55
after leaving my company and I said D I
01:17:57
said Shaq what should I do now with my
01:18:00
life he said to me Stephen the reason
01:18:02
you were successful was because you were
01:18:04
hungry you need to realize that you're
01:18:06
no longer hungry for the same reasons
01:18:09
and what he told me to do was the
01:18:10
hardest [ __ ] thing I've ever done in
01:18:11
my life which was nothing he said spend
01:18:14
a year don't rush back into starting the
01:18:16
same business again because he said to
01:18:17
me the reason why you were so
01:18:20
unbelievably disciplined and would go to
01:18:21
the office seven days a week was because
01:18:23
you were like an insecure kid that was
01:18:24
like fighting to survive that's gone now
01:18:26
so sit on your hands for a year do
01:18:28
absolutely nothing and get inspired
01:18:30
again get get hungry again about
01:18:31
something new um because my Temptation
01:18:33
was just to run back in and start a big
01:18:35
marketing business again or whatever
01:18:36
yeah I that's kind of what you're you're
01:18:38
speaking of as well is that like the
01:18:40
need to understand that our motivations
01:18:41
evolve and change over time and the
01:18:43
thing that made us successful might not
01:18:44
be the thing that makes us successful
01:18:46
again in a new Venture I think there are
01:18:47
some people who really can keep it going
01:18:49
some people who do keep running like
01:18:50
Elon [ __ ] perfect example guy worth a
01:18:52
quarter of a trillion dollars still
01:18:54
works 100 hours a week so there are
01:18:55
those people who exist but I think for a
01:18:57
lot of people this should not be a scary
01:18:59
thing the fact that after you've made it
01:19:01
and have some success and some some
01:19:02
wealth that you're not as hungry as you
01:19:04
used to be that's fine just you just
01:19:06
have to accept it it gets dangerous when
01:19:09
people don't realize it and they they
01:19:11
are less hungry they're not as motivated
01:19:13
but they're still going to try to go
01:19:15
start a new business even though they
01:19:16
don't need it anymore and then they're
01:19:17
shocked when that business doesn't work
01:19:19
he said to me you need to take on a
01:19:22
moonshot and cuz he know he goes you you
01:19:24
did the first business you did well
01:19:26
whatever Etc he goes the thing that will
01:19:27
make you hungry and sufficiently
01:19:29
terrified is you now need to find a big
01:19:32
scary terrifying goal that's what Elon
01:19:34
did with Twitter yeah he'd already
01:19:36
become the richest man in the world and
01:19:37
he probably got bored a little bit and
01:19:38
he said I need to do something that's
01:19:40
crazy and that even for someone like me
01:19:42
is going to be an absolute stretch to
01:19:43
pull off crazy which is buying Twitter
01:19:45
and running into the ground I mean
01:19:46
there's no surprise that billionaires
01:19:48
will seem to start rocket companies yeah
01:19:50
I mean the reason that they are
01:19:52
successful is because they have that
01:19:53
complete swing for def fenses I mean
01:19:55
most people would quit full stop when
01:19:57
their net worth hit 10 million or less 3
01:20:00
million and so for someone to have a net
01:20:02
worth of 10 billion and to wake up and
01:20:04
say I'm going to keep going as hard as I
01:20:06
possibly can that's why they have that
01:20:08
level of success it's complete
01:20:09
insatiable Hunger for More I sat with a
01:20:12
billionaire when I was
01:20:13
20 going to say 24 years old and I sat
01:20:16
in his office and I thought okay this
01:20:17
could be really interesting I get to
01:20:18
meet this very successful person in
01:20:20
Manchester and I looked into his eyes
01:20:22
and said why are you doing this like you
01:20:24
have all this money and it became
01:20:26
completely apparent to me that it was
01:20:27
not about the money it was all about
01:20:29
competition I then went and met another
01:20:31
billionaire who was in Manchester runs
01:20:32
another big company Manchester everybody
01:20:33
knows the company and it was the same
01:20:35
thing with him it was the thing that had
01:20:37
got him to a billion was the thing that
01:20:40
was going to keep him going after a
01:20:41
billion yeah I mean there's there's a
01:20:44
chapter in my book about natural Maniacs
01:20:46
like people like wild Minds people the
01:20:47
kind of person like Elon Musk who has
01:20:49
that mindset to say you know when he was
01:20:52
30 years old or whatever he took on GM
01:20:55
Ford Chrysler and NASA when he was like
01:20:57
30 the kind of person who thinks that is
01:21:00
not the kind of person who's going to
01:21:01
say I have enough I'm going to put it
01:21:03
all in Muni bonds and go live on the
01:21:04
farm like it's not the person who thinks
01:21:07
they can do that and can pull that off
01:21:09
is the kind of person who's never going
01:21:10
to stop if Elon Must List till he's 97
01:21:12
he's going to be starting new rocket
01:21:13
companies for sure do you think he's
01:21:15
happy no absolutely none I think most
01:21:17
people in that situation the word that I
01:21:19
would use is tortured I think they wake
01:21:21
up every morning tortured at the
01:21:23
problems that they are aspiring to solve
01:21:25
that they haven't solved yet there's
01:21:27
almost no biography of a very successful
01:21:30
person like that of that level of
01:21:32
success that you would read their
01:21:33
biography and say that life sounds great
01:21:35
it's one of the things that hit me like
01:21:36
a train truck was those two billionaires
01:21:38
I met were just the most miserable
01:21:40
people absolutely and I met their their
01:21:42
one of their sons and they go dad is so
01:21:44
unhappy I remember him saying that to me
01:21:46
and just go [ __ ] he's going to that
01:21:48
office every single day has a billion
01:21:49
dollars and his kids think he's like sad
01:21:52
there's this amazing story do you
01:21:54
remember uh
01:21:55
Myspace back in the day before before
01:21:57
Facebook and the guy who ran it his name
01:21:58
was Tom I forget his last name but when
01:22:00
you signed up for Myspace Tom was your
01:22:02
first follow he was the founder of
01:22:04
Myspace and every he followed everybody
01:22:07
and he sold Myspace I think to Qualicom
01:22:10
maybe no I'm sorry he sold he sold
01:22:13
Myspace to Viacom and uh did pretty well
01:22:16
let's say I'm guessing let's say he made
01:22:18
$50 million it's probably something in
01:22:20
in in in that range it's it's probably
01:22:21
nothing that's dramatic 500 was it he
01:22:24
sold the company for that much actually
01:22:26
don't but it was it was it was it was a
01:22:28
good but not extraordinary sum of money
01:22:30
and you can see his life on Instagram
01:22:32
it's not exaggeration he's like travels
01:22:34
around the world with his girlfriend
01:22:36
hiking in Bali it looks like at least
01:22:38
from Instagram he lives this amazing
01:22:39
life and then think about Mark
01:22:41
Zuckerberg who is like every year hauled
01:22:43
before Congress where he's like screamed
01:22:46
at for causing all of society's ills and
01:22:48
he has so much on his shoulders and
01:22:50
Facebook stock fell 70% last year
01:22:53
because everyone thinks it's going to
01:22:54
and like it looks like a very stressful
01:22:56
incredible amount of pressure on his
01:22:58
shoulders if you were to ask me which
01:23:01
one of those lives would I take would I
01:23:02
rather be someone with $50 million who
01:23:04
was traveling around the world hiking in
01:23:07
Bali with my wife or would I be wor a
01:23:09
hundred billion do and wake up every
01:23:11
morning scared shitless with so much
01:23:13
pressure on my shoulders for me it's
01:23:15
obvious I'd much rather be Tom than Mark
01:23:17
but that pressure is a drug in the sense
01:23:21
that when I say the pressure is a drug I
01:23:22
mean we know from motivation psychology
01:23:25
and I mean I think I saw on the back of
01:23:27
your your book yeah Daniel H pink y
01:23:30
Daniel pink told me that when people
01:23:32
aren't sufficiently challenged they lose
01:23:33
motivation and their level of challenge
01:23:35
kind of increases so to be engaged with
01:23:37
a task you need to um and you think of
01:23:40
this like game psychology the levels
01:23:42
need to get harder and harder for you to
01:23:43
be engaged that's why every game we play
01:23:45
it's not on level one over and over and
01:23:47
over again we need it to go to level two
01:23:48
crosswords get more difficult we stay
01:23:50
engaged do you not think that's the case
01:23:52
with like a big famous CEO know that
01:23:54
their engagement appetite their
01:23:56
challenge appetite just grows and that's
01:23:59
the only way they can stay engaged solve
01:24:01
bigger problems I think if you look at
01:24:02
someone like Bill Gates I think he had
01:24:04
figured out business and in 2000 he he
01:24:09
effectively quit Microsoft but he
01:24:10
immediately moved on to what I think was
01:24:12
in his mind a bigger problem which was
01:24:14
like how do I give this money away
01:24:15
effectively and how do I eradicate
01:24:17
malaria those kind of problems and so
01:24:19
even for someone like him who was able
01:24:20
to extract himself from the business
01:24:22
they' immediately move on to something
01:24:24
that I think in his mind was more
01:24:26
problematic and a bigger challenge so
01:24:28
there's never going to be a period where
01:24:29
someone like that were to say I've had
01:24:30
enough I'm just going to retire to read
01:24:32
books like that will never be the case
01:24:34
it's always going to be I think they're
01:24:35
addicted to the challenge is what it is
01:24:38
yeah and I think I I think I am I think
01:24:40
I think everybody is to some extent and
01:24:42
the mus and the gates those people are
01:24:44
extreme examples of it but every I think
01:24:46
everybody needs a minimum level of
01:24:49
stress in their life and the irony is
01:24:51
that we all kind of dream about like
01:24:53
what can I do to at the stress so I just
01:24:55
wake up in Nirvana every day and you
01:24:57
can't everyone needs to have some sort
01:25:00
of conflict Strife challenge stress in
01:25:03
their life and for I think for a lot of
01:25:04
people if they don't get it from real
01:25:06
places they just make up fake problems
01:25:08
in their life that's that's a big
01:25:09
problem with people for people who
01:25:11
richer people who have a lot of things
01:25:12
they will start worrying and stressing
01:25:14
about the most minute things because
01:25:16
they need that stress in their life on
01:25:19
that point as well just popping back to
01:25:20
we were talking about the complacency
01:25:22
the other thing that I think successful
01:25:24
people become a victim of is their own
01:25:27
correctness I think about that with me
01:25:29
like I've been right about several
01:25:30
decisions in a row so surely that
01:25:32
creates evidence that I'm probably right
01:25:34
again and that can be your downfall as
01:25:36
well or what a lot of it is is you were
01:25:38
right on this topic and then therefore
01:25:40
you assume that you're going to be right
01:25:41
on another topic and you didn't know the
01:25:42
role luck might have played you didn't
01:25:44
know what luck would play but let's say
01:25:45
you're a very successful investor and
01:25:48
then and they'll say you're like
01:25:49
massively successful a lot of those
01:25:50
people will think therefore I can also
01:25:53
be an effective politician
01:25:54
therefore I can also be an expert on Co
01:25:57
whatever it would be because they think
01:25:58
they're so smart in this area that they
01:26:00
must be smart in other areas a lot of
01:26:02
doctors have this problem with investing
01:26:04
where they think I'm a doctor I'm very
01:26:06
successful I got a PhD from a great
01:26:08
school therefore I can pick the stocks
01:26:10
because I'm a smart person and that
01:26:12
level of overconfidence is their undoing
01:26:14
can success I think your book the one of
01:26:16
the key things that stayed with me and I
01:26:18
didn't need to recap myself on was the
01:26:19
stories you told about people
01:26:22
that accurately predicted what was going
01:26:25
to happen in the stock market against
01:26:26
all conventional wisdom they all from
01:26:29
what I recall they went on to lose their
01:26:30
money eventually anyway a lot of them
01:26:32
yeah yeah what is that story you told in
01:26:33
your book there's a story about a guy
01:26:34
named Jesse Livermore who was back in
01:26:36
the 1920s he was the most successful
01:26:38
investor in the world and what's so
01:26:40
amazing about Jesse Livermore is that I
01:26:42
think four different occasions in his
01:26:43
life he became the equivalent of a
01:26:45
billionaire adjusted for inflation and
01:26:47
then went bankrupt four separate times
01:26:49
in his life so he was the person who was
01:26:51
like better at anyone in the world at
01:26:54
making money and had no skill whatsoever
01:26:56
at keeping money and that's someone who
01:26:59
like even when he became at one point he
01:27:01
was the richest man in the world and
01:27:03
rather than saying I have enough it's
01:27:05
enough he have said let's cap te bigger
01:27:07
bets let's swing even harder next time
01:27:09
it goes never enough and he eventually
01:27:12
the last time he went broke he
01:27:13
eventually ended up killing himself it's
01:27:15
the most amazing like just fascinating
01:27:17
life that you can imagine of someone who
01:27:19
is so good at making money but never
01:27:23
knew when to stop and it is actually the
01:27:25
more money he made the more risk he
01:27:26
wanted to take so it was always like his
01:27:29
I I think his outcome was always
01:27:32
predestined because there was never
01:27:34
going to be a moment like the Richer he
01:27:35
be the more successful he became the
01:27:37
higher the odds that he was going to
01:27:40
fail and I think there's some version of
01:27:43
that for a lot of people because it
01:27:44
because their success increases their
01:27:47
confidence more than their ability and
01:27:49
they don't even know that that's a
01:27:50
problem that you can't self diagnose
01:27:52
like if you're confident you think it's
01:27:53
earned and you think it's real and and
01:27:56
then because you're successful a lot of
01:27:58
people who when you were poorer or less
01:28:00
successful they would tell you you're
01:28:02
being an idiot you're wrong you're not
01:28:04
right about this but when you're rich
01:28:06
maybe because you employ them or because
01:28:08
they think that you're so smart even
01:28:10
when you say something stupid they might
01:28:12
go yeah maybe it's right go for it and
01:28:15
therefore you don't have people who are
01:28:16
telling you how overconfident you are
01:28:18
that again it comes down to humility
01:28:20
doesn't it a lot of it yeah and like I
01:28:22
think that's that's that's so much of it
01:28:24
and like and I think you have to go out
01:28:25
of your way sometimes for that humility
01:28:27
that when you have some level of success
01:28:29
in your life whatever that level is just
01:28:31
always remind yourself I think I
01:28:33
remember there was a quote that I think
01:28:34
it was um Roman Warriors that when they
01:28:37
would come home from a battle that they
01:28:38
won and they were in like the Parade of
01:28:42
you know like we won the battle and
01:28:43
we're going to go in the parade that
01:28:45
like we're we're the victors were so
01:28:46
great that they would have someone by
01:28:48
their side whispering in their ear
01:28:51
something something along the lines of
01:28:53
you're not that great
01:28:54
because they're in this parade where
01:28:55
they're glorious and like Victorious but
01:28:58
they need to someone to bring them back
01:28:59
down to earth and be like hey you're
01:29:01
just a you're just a dude you're just a
01:29:03
guy you're not that special you're very
01:29:05
fallible like make the like tame it down
01:29:08
they would actually hire people to do
01:29:09
that for them and I think if you look at
01:29:11
a lot of like the great entrepreneurs a
01:29:13
lot of the great investors they will
01:29:15
have some sort of partner with that
01:29:18
Charlie Munger is that to Warren Buffett
01:29:20
like when Warren Buffett comes up with
01:29:22
an idea a big part of Charlie munger's
01:29:23
job is to tell him when he's being an
01:29:24
idiot and to have someone like Warren
01:29:26
Buffett who will trust a person like
01:29:28
that and to have someone like Munger who
01:29:29
is willing to do something like that is
01:29:32
so critical just a quick Interruption
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01:31:50
from success often really does create
01:31:52
blind spots and that's something I think
01:31:53
about so much like how do I stay aware
01:31:57
of those blind spots in my life that you
01:32:00
know the success I've had in various
01:32:01
areas has undeniably created and
01:32:04
honestly a lot of I just go just save
01:32:05
loads of money Steve because the day
01:32:07
you're wrong you don't want to go broke
01:32:09
I also think about that like whenever
01:32:11
the curtain comes down on my career I
01:32:12
want to make sure that I can say like
01:32:14
hey thank you for for for letting me
01:32:18
have this I'm so grateful for it but I
01:32:20
I've saved enough that like I'm ready to
01:32:21
pass a baton to someone else and that's
01:32:24
a form of humility too there's a quote
01:32:26
from Denzel Washington where he's
01:32:27
talking to Will Smith After Will Smith
01:32:29
slapped Chris Rock remember that whole
01:32:31
debacle after that show Denzel
01:32:33
Washington comes up to Will Smith and he
01:32:34
says will when you're at your highest
01:32:36
moment in your career that's when the
01:32:38
devil's going to get you and it's like
01:32:41
when when when you when your career is
01:32:42
so high and you're so famous you think
01:32:44
so highly of yourself that you can do
01:32:45
anything that's when you're going to get
01:32:47
yourself into
01:32:48
trouble what a powerful quote and I
01:32:51
think just paying attention to that
01:32:52
that's the natural humility that goes
01:32:54
into it and it's not false humility it's
01:32:56
not like oh I you know false humility is
01:32:58
like I I didn't do any of this I just
01:33:00
got lucky that's all false humility I
01:33:02
think real humility is like I built this
01:33:04
through hard work and I made some good
01:33:06
decisions but I'm just I'm just a guy
01:33:08
I'm as fallible as anybody else I think
01:33:11
that's it's that's not just important I
01:33:12
think that's critical to any amount of
01:33:14
sustainable success you taught me that
01:33:16
the price you pay to be wealthy is the
01:33:20
volatility you have to incur along the
01:33:23
way kind of how I think about it in my
01:33:24
head that's the cost of admission to
01:33:26
being to being wealthy and to to be to
01:33:28
any level of success is putting up with
01:33:30
an enduring unknowns and volatility and
01:33:34
Booms and busts and then other [ __ ]
01:33:36
that you put up with in the investing
01:33:37
market and in your career and in your
01:33:39
relationships there's always a cost for
01:33:42
anything good in life there's a cost
01:33:44
that you have to pay like of course like
01:33:46
nothing's free like that but most of the
01:33:48
costs that you pay are not they don't
01:33:50
have a price tag that you can just
01:33:51
measure very cleanly like the cost of
01:33:54
doing well at investing is putting up
01:33:55
with volatility the cost of a successful
01:33:57
career might be long hours where you
01:33:59
were pulled away from your family the
01:34:01
cost of a relationship is like always
01:34:03
needing to sacrifice and compromise for
01:34:06
the other person nothing is ever free
01:34:08
and so much of the success in life is
01:34:10
just identifying what the cost is and
01:34:12
being willing to pay it because for all
01:34:14
of those things I just laid out
01:34:15
investing career relationships the cost
01:34:18
of admission is worth it putting up with
01:34:20
the volatility is worth it over time
01:34:23
because if you can put put up with the
01:34:24
stock market falling 30% if you could
01:34:26
just say ah it's not that big a deal I'm
01:34:27
just going to hold tight 10 years from
01:34:29
now the cost is well worth doing that be
01:34:31
rich if you can put up with the
01:34:33
compromise that takes to have a
01:34:34
successful relationship by and large
01:34:36
that's going to be a cost that's worth
01:34:38
paying because you know like so much of
01:34:40
what matters in life is just the
01:34:42
relationships that you have and once you
01:34:44
identify the cost of that relationship
01:34:46
you're like oh I'll pay that cost all
01:34:47
day long so worth it this requires you
01:34:49
to be cognizant of time Horizons and
01:34:51
your own time Horizons which is
01:34:52
something you talk a lot about in
01:34:54
chapter 16 of the psychology of money
01:34:56
why is it important for us to know our
01:34:58
time Horizons and what do you mean by
01:35:00
time Horizon it's the the amount of time
01:35:02
between now and whatever your goal is
01:35:05
which is very different for everybody
01:35:06
not just by your age but like if you
01:35:08
want to retire early or whatever would
01:35:09
be like everyone's going to have a
01:35:10
slightly different time Horizon what's
01:35:12
yours mine I mean I you would break it
01:35:14
up into different chunks like I want to
01:35:16
get to a point or maybe I'm nearing a
01:35:18
point in my career where I'm just doing
01:35:21
things because I enjoy them there's
01:35:24
really no Financial incentive to what
01:35:25
I'm doing that's one time Horizon
01:35:28
another is like okay once my kids start
01:35:31
getting older I I want to make sure that
01:35:32
like I'm always there for them when they
01:35:34
need me teenage years are so difficult
01:35:36
for people like I'm always 24/7 I'll be
01:35:39
there for you which means I'm going to
01:35:40
have to pull back there's going to be a
01:35:41
point where I just say look I've
01:35:43
accomplished what I want to with writing
01:35:45
and I want to be able to move on to
01:35:47
something else and there's going to be a
01:35:48
point where I say I really don't want to
01:35:49
work that much anymore I just want to
01:35:50
move on and maybe I need to take care of
01:35:52
my parents would it be so like there's
01:35:53
multip multile different time Horizons
01:35:54
at different goals of your life is
01:35:56
buying a house a good or bad financial
01:35:58
decision I'll tell you my own experience
01:36:00
which was in my 20s and early 30s my
01:36:03
wife and I lived in like seven different
01:36:05
cities and there was nothing better for
01:36:07
us some of those were just like let's
01:36:09
try this new city for fun some of it was
01:36:11
moving for work we moved for her school
01:36:14
and our ability to just get up and go
01:36:15
hand the keys back to the landlord
01:36:17
nothing was more valuable than that once
01:36:19
we had our son our first kid then very
01:36:22
quickly nothing became more valuable to
01:36:24
me than having an established secure
01:36:27
home base that nobody could take away
01:36:29
from me that was The Cure and also like
01:36:32
kids are loud and they scream and I
01:36:33
didn't want Neighbors in an apartment
01:36:35
building that I was going to have to
01:36:36
like try to keep my kid quiet from so I
01:36:38
was I want my own house that's mine and
01:36:40
it's just a standalone house my kid can
01:36:42
scream as loud as he wants not bothering
01:36:44
anybody else that became important to me
01:36:46
like instantly so it's Le I think people
01:36:48
get caught up when they're like well the
01:36:50
housing market returns 4 and a half% per
01:36:52
year that's it's like with the
01:36:54
spreadsheets like just do what's going
01:36:56
to work for you I know I know RIT Siti
01:36:59
has a lot of thoughts about this on
01:37:01
renting versus buying and I think one
01:37:03
one of like the differences between
01:37:05
remit and myself is I have two young
01:37:08
kids and so like that that if I didn't
01:37:10
have kids I think I would be like rent
01:37:12
rent forever really and try and try
01:37:14
different cities move all move all
01:37:15
around what could be better than that
01:37:17
but when you have kids what's more
01:37:19
important to me is stability I want my
01:37:21
kids to go to a stable School know their
01:37:23
neighbors have friends that they can be
01:37:24
friends with for years that's important
01:37:26
if we just think about investing then in
01:37:28
terms of is buying a house a good
01:37:30
Financial investment my brother who
01:37:31
works in my company and he's the one
01:37:33
that introduced me to your book many
01:37:34
many years ago said to me something
01:37:36
along the lines of Steve don't buy
01:37:40
houses to make money because you have
01:37:42
the ability to play a different set of
01:37:44
games that very few people can play yeah
01:37:47
and what I mean by that is he kind of
01:37:48
explained it to me goes listen everyone
01:37:50
can buy a house so the returns there
01:37:52
aren't going to be huge go find a game
01:37:54
that like only you can play you'll get
01:37:56
bigger returns if you're buying a house
01:37:58
because you think it's going to be a
01:37:58
good Financial investment stop like even
01:38:01
if it turns out in hindsight that it was
01:38:03
it doesn't matter I think these are just
01:38:05
purely lifestyle decisions and I think
01:38:07
so many people get screwed up when
01:38:09
they're in a spot in their life where
01:38:10
they should be renting because they need
01:38:12
to be mobile they need to move around to
01:38:13
a new job new career new school whatever
01:38:15
it is but they end up buying because
01:38:17
they think they're going to make money
01:38:18
doing it and that's like that's the
01:38:20
problem so I own a house and if I ended
01:38:22
up losing money on it I I I I don't
01:38:24
think I'd care that that's not why I'm
01:38:26
owning it I'm owning it just cuz I want
01:38:27
the stability for my family I've just
01:38:29
made an offer on my first ever house and
01:38:30
I cuz I played I played other money
01:38:32
games for the last decade of My Life um
01:38:35
and now I have a partner and we've been
01:38:36
together many years and we're both like
01:38:38
31 years old and we're getting into that
01:38:40
position now you know Y and my brother
01:38:42
explained to me he goes listen this is a
01:38:45
bad financial decision but it's a good
01:38:49
emotional social life decision and you
01:38:51
need to know how to separate the two
01:38:53
don't mark this down as a way that
01:38:54
you're trying to make money like you
01:38:56
might make money in 20 years time if you
01:38:58
just like if you're still living there
01:38:59
look at it as you know you need
01:39:01
somewhere to live and he must have got
01:39:02
that from you when I when I when we
01:39:04
bought our last house which was after I
01:39:05
wrote this book so this is a different
01:39:07
experience um I thought at the time and
01:39:10
still think today I I probably paid a
01:39:11
little bit too much I mean I paid the
01:39:12
market rate but if you said like oh did
01:39:14
you get a good deal I say no no not
01:39:16
didn't bother me in the slightest that's
01:39:17
not what I was doing it for it would I
01:39:19
mean it would be like if you ask like if
01:39:22
someone is deciding whether or not to
01:39:24
have kids and they think about the cost
01:39:26
of kids like forget of course you're
01:39:28
going to dump hundreds of thousands or
01:39:31
millions of dollars into your kids and
01:39:32
it's G it's like if if money is coming
01:39:35
into the equation like stop right there
01:39:37
this is it should not do it you're doing
01:39:38
it for very different reasons this is
01:39:40
not an investment people people buy
01:39:42
houses because they think that they're
01:39:43
making loads of money from because there
01:39:44
have been periods in time in which
01:39:45
people have made loads of money
01:39:46
historically like that's the anomaly
01:39:48
historically in the US and the UK
01:39:50
housing prices adjust over inflation go
01:39:52
nowhere it's just been the last 20 or 30
01:39:55
years that there's this very brief
01:39:56
window of time that owning a house was a
01:39:59
great investment Robert Schiller won the
01:40:01
Nobel Prize about a decade ago for his
01:40:03
work in showing that over the last 150
01:40:06
years in the United States adjusted for
01:40:08
inflation most home prices have been
01:40:10
flat as a pancake it's just the last 20
01:40:12
years that have inflated people's
01:40:14
expectations of what a house can
01:40:16
do statistically there's going to be at
01:40:18
least one person listening to this that
01:40:21
has made an offer as we speak for a
01:40:23
house under the assumption that it's
01:40:25
going to help them stack
01:40:29
wealth if they were purely doing it for
01:40:31
those reasons what would you tell them
01:40:33
to do instead if that's purely the
01:40:35
reason run for run for your life don't
01:40:37
do it particularly I mean it it used to
01:40:40
be and maybe it still is like this in
01:40:41
many cities in America in the UK but it
01:40:44
used to be that rentals were almost
01:40:46
without exception shitty houses there
01:40:49
were no good rentals a big change at
01:40:51
least in America in the last 20 years is
01:40:52
that most cities have tons and tons of
01:40:55
luxury apartments to live in and that
01:40:56
are great places to live and they're in
01:40:59
the city centers and they got beautiful
01:41:00
granite countertops and they're great
01:41:02
places to live don't fall for the idea
01:41:04
that you can't live well if you're
01:41:06
renting I think that's that's that's the
01:41:08
problem and realize that if you're doing
01:41:10
it for financial reasons you're probably
01:41:12
about to borrow a shitload of money for
01:41:15
an investment that historically has been
01:41:17
a very bad investment like if you put it
01:41:20
in those terms like what are we doing
01:41:22
here man going to borrow hundreds of
01:41:24
thousands of dollars for an investment
01:41:27
that historically has been a loss that's
01:41:29
what you're doing here does you feel
01:41:31
good about that that's what I'd say to
01:41:33
that person God
01:41:35
speed I I would love to be in the room
01:41:37
somewhere where that person has just
01:41:39
looked at their partner after persuading
01:41:42
them to make that offer because it was
01:41:43
going to make them Rich sorry guys the
01:41:45
um this new
01:41:48
book same as ever essentially it's 23
01:41:52
short stories about things that never
01:41:53
change in the world y well there's a
01:41:55
couple of really interesting things that
01:41:56
I pulled out one of them again which
01:41:58
really hit me in the face was this idea
01:42:00
that the best story wins I know this I
01:42:03
know this intuitively I talk about it on
01:42:04
stage but I don't think people
01:42:06
understand the power of the best story
01:42:09
wins because when you think about
01:42:10
entrepreneurship or investing or
01:42:11
pitching or sales what most people do is
01:42:14
they lead out with facts stats and
01:42:17
figures yeah and even one of the things
01:42:19
I've noticed about you from our
01:42:20
conversation now is you have a
01:42:21
remarkable ability to tell stor thank
01:42:23
you and there's a huge power in that
01:42:26
prove to me that the best story wins I
01:42:30
mean it's it's always the case that it's
01:42:31
not the right answer or the best answer
01:42:34
or the mathematically accurate answer
01:42:36
it's just whoever gets people to nod
01:42:37
their heads in the right direction
01:42:38
that's who's going to win over time some
01:42:40
of the examples of this that I Love Ken
01:42:42
Burns one of the most famous uh
01:42:44
documentary filmmakers of all time most
01:42:47
of what is are in his
01:42:49
documentaries is is information that
01:42:51
people already know he'll make a
01:42:52
documentary about Civil War World War II
01:42:54
Vietnam whatever it would be there's not
01:42:56
you're not learn necessarily learning
01:42:58
something new in there but he is
01:43:00
massively successful massively popular
01:43:04
because he's probably the greatest
01:43:05
Storyteller of our time so even when
01:43:07
you're taking information that people
01:43:08
already know if you can spin a good
01:43:10
story about it you get people lining up
01:43:13
and they will knock your door down to
01:43:15
listen to you one other example of this
01:43:17
are people who tell comedy if you're a
01:43:20
good comedian like that's all just
01:43:22
storytelling and a lot of what a good
01:43:23
comedian does is takes something that's
01:43:25
very obvious and simple but you can make
01:43:29
you can tell a good story about it you
01:43:30
can make people laugh and all of a
01:43:31
sudden you get their attention and
01:43:32
they'll remember it you said in the book
01:43:34
not the best idea or the right idea or
01:43:35
the most rational idea just whoever
01:43:37
tells a story that catches people's
01:43:39
attention I think there are dangerous
01:43:41
stories which is when people want to is
01:43:43
when people tell you what you want to
01:43:44
hear oh I got a dangerous story The
01:43:46
vaccine gives you autism I think I think
01:43:49
it's a story that people wanted to hear
01:43:50
some people wanted to hear that and if
01:43:52
you tell people what they want to hear
01:43:53
you can be wrong forever and people
01:43:56
won't care because you tell them what
01:43:57
they want to hear T shrot who's a
01:43:59
neuroscientist sat here and she told me
01:44:00
a story of Donald Trump stood on the
01:44:02
debate stage and they panned over to Dr
01:44:05
Tucker Carson I believe he's called and
01:44:06
asked him about the vaccine and he
01:44:08
basically gave stats facts and figures
01:44:10
He said That vaccine doesn't give kids
01:44:11
autism and then they like pan over to
01:44:13
Donald Trump and Donald Trump tells this
01:44:16
elaborate story about a friend of his
01:44:18
one person one friend of his clearly
01:44:21
doesn't exist one friend of his and he
01:44:23
describes the needle like this he goes
01:44:26
this huge needle yeah and he so vivid
01:44:29
Vivid personal and emotional yep and you
01:44:32
get people nodding their heads to that
01:44:33
and and and capturing their attention
01:44:35
tally said I'm a neuroscientist I knew
01:44:36
it was wrong however there was something
01:44:39
about hearing it that even as a
01:44:40
neuroscientist I look to my daughter and
01:44:42
go [ __ ] I think we've always been
01:44:44
storytellers and that's what's really
01:44:46
set humans apart that's the whole idea
01:44:48
from youval no Harari is that like what
01:44:49
sets humans apart is our ability to tell
01:44:51
and remember stories and it's made it so
01:44:54
it's just a tool to simplify facts in
01:44:57
the world like most people the other
01:44:58
thing is powerful about stories is that
01:45:00
you remember them you think about in
01:45:02
school when you had a math test and the
01:45:04
teacher just said memorize this formula
01:45:07
to regurgitate it on the test literally
01:45:09
5 minutes after the test is done you
01:45:10
forget it you have no idea what it was
01:45:12
but if you remembered a good story even
01:45:14
that you were told when you were two
01:45:15
years old you remember it for the rest
01:45:17
of your life so it's just a tool for
01:45:20
getting people to remember how the world
01:45:21
works and they be so persuasive and so
01:45:25
good at eliminating the uncertainty that
01:45:28
grates on all of us that people will
01:45:30
listen to and believe things even when
01:45:32
they're just obviously flagrantly not
01:45:34
true if it's what they want to hear
01:45:36
people talk about um when we're talking
01:45:39
about investing but generally life
01:45:40
people talk about compounding interest
01:45:42
and we all know the I think a lot of
01:45:43
people should know the power of
01:45:44
compounding interest now but we rarely
01:45:47
think about how compounding interest can
01:45:49
negatively slowly impact our lives and
01:45:52
in your chapter about tiny and
01:45:54
magnificent you explore that and again
01:45:56
this hit me like a truck in the face
01:45:58
because I I think I spend my time now
01:46:00
thinking about how getting things to
01:46:02
compound in my fa favor will change my
01:46:04
life but I don't spend a huge amount of
01:46:05
time thinking about how things are
01:46:06
compounding against me right now yeah
01:46:08
what what's really true is that most
01:46:10
good news happens slowly and most bad
01:46:12
news happens very fast so bad news is
01:46:15
like Co literally happens overnight boom
01:46:17
you got a you got a virus it's going to
01:46:18
kill millions of people shut down the
01:46:20
economy happens literally overnight 911
01:46:22
Happ happens start to finish it's like
01:46:24
30 minutes like boom just happens
01:46:25
immediately good news is usually slow
01:46:28
compounding over time so I use the
01:46:30
example of the book of like the
01:46:31
Improvement in heart disease mortality
01:46:34
over the last 70 years is Bonkers we've
01:46:36
made so much progress and saved
01:46:39
literally tens of millions of lives in
01:46:41
the fact that we've gotten better at
01:46:43
treating heart disease and but nobody
01:46:45
talks about it it's like it most people
01:46:48
are aren't even aware that it's happened
01:46:49
because if you look at what happened it
01:46:51
was the mortality improved it got better
01:46:53
by about 2% per year now if you compound
01:46:55
2% per year for 70 years it's off the
01:46:58
charts we're like living in such a
01:47:00
better world now than we were 70 years
01:47:01
ago but in any given year you didn't
01:47:03
even notice it you're never going to see
01:47:05
a news headline like breaking news heart
01:47:07
disease mortality improves by 1.4%
01:47:09
that's not a headline like all the
01:47:11
headlines are bad news because bad news
01:47:13
happens fast so once you realize that
01:47:15
then it's like most of the news is going
01:47:18
to skew negative not because there's
01:47:20
some producer who's trying to toy with
01:47:21
your brain it's just because what is
01:47:24
obviously happening today tends to be
01:47:26
the bad news where the good news is just
01:47:28
very slowly compounding over
01:47:31
time that can go in the other direction
01:47:33
of like bad news that compounds over
01:47:35
time I think about our health smoking
01:47:37
Health like that's like in like one
01:47:39
cigarette is not going to do anything
01:47:41
bad for you but one cigarette per day
01:47:43
for 30 years is catastrophic and so
01:47:46
that's that's really what it is like
01:47:47
same with like getting one bad night
01:47:48
sleep not that big a deal but if you're
01:47:50
sleeping 6 hours a night every night for
01:47:53
years on end you're going to reduce your
01:47:54
life expectancy by a tremendous amount
01:47:56
this idea of compounding interest and
01:47:58
compounding returns and how important it
01:48:00
is I've spent so long trying to explain
01:48:02
to people that compounding interest and
01:48:04
compounding returns this very hard thing
01:48:06
to think about is so important I imagine
01:48:09
you have two what is your go-to way of
01:48:11
explaining to like your eight-year-old
01:48:13
kid or someone else the power of
01:48:15
compounding we were actually going to
01:48:16
get like a bowl of rice here and I was
01:48:17
going to do some experiments the rice is
01:48:19
the best the the rice board experiment
01:48:20
if you if people aren't familiar with it
01:48:22
it's this story that's probably not true
01:48:24
that back 500 years ago someone uh you
01:48:27
know told the king they said hey here's
01:48:29
a here's a chess board I'm going to put
01:48:31
one grain of rice on the
01:48:33
first Square two on the second Square
01:48:36
four on the third and then let's do that
01:48:38
and by the end of the chessboard that's
01:48:41
like it's like more rice than exists in
01:48:43
the entire world because like if you
01:48:44
double something again and again and
01:48:46
again it's just completely
01:48:47
counterintuitive how big it can grow the
01:48:49
one way that I I I had a friend of mine
01:48:51
Michael batnick explained this to me
01:48:52
years ago I think he wrote this in a
01:48:54
blog post he said if I ask you what is 8
01:48:57
plus 8 plus 8 plus 8 you can do that in
01:48:59
your head like it's it's not it's not
01:49:01
that hard but if I say what is 8 time 8
01:49:03
time 8 time 8 like forget about it even
01:49:05
if you are really mathematically
01:49:07
inclined there's no way you can like
01:49:09
very few people could figure that out in
01:49:10
their head so our minds are just not
01:49:13
good at exponential thinking that's just
01:49:15
not it's it's just not something that
01:49:16
we're really geared towards doing like 8
01:49:18
plus 8 plus 8 it's like so simple linear
01:49:20
thinking so simple exponential thinking
01:49:22
not intuitive in the slightest and
01:49:24
because it's not intuitive it's so
01:49:25
common to underestimate what smoking is
01:49:28
going to do to you that compounds over
01:49:30
time what investing is capable of doing
01:49:32
to your wealth because it's so
01:49:34
counterintuitive that 99% of Warren
01:49:36
Buffett's net worth came after he was 60
01:49:38
years old not intuitive at all and so
01:49:41
since exponential thinking is not
01:49:43
intuitive both on the positive and the
01:49:44
negative side we go through life
01:49:47
underestimating what's going to happen
01:49:49
to us in good things and bad things it's
01:49:50
like a religion we have to adopt I think
01:49:52
I think that's a great way it's it's
01:49:53
like a mathematical religion because
01:49:56
just like a lot of religion it's like
01:49:57
it's not intuitive and it almost takes
01:49:58
like a leap of faith to be like I know
01:50:00
it's seems crazy but this is this is
01:50:02
what I believe I think there's a sense
01:50:04
of that to compounding where like it's
01:50:06
just math you can just put the numbers
01:50:07
in a spreadsheet and they'll tell you
01:50:08
what it is but since it's not intuitive
01:50:11
there's almost like a religious aspect
01:50:12
that you need to believe how powerful it
01:50:14
can be over time two of the chapters in
01:50:16
your book same is ever speak to the
01:50:17
importance of discomfort one of the
01:50:20
chapters is called when the magic
01:50:21
happens and you say in that chapter
01:50:22
stress pain discomfort shock and disgust
01:50:24
for all its tragic
01:50:26
downsides it's also when the magic
01:50:29
happens and then the other chapter where
01:50:31
you kind of speak to this is It's
01:50:32
supposed to be hard most things worth
01:50:34
pursuing charge their fee in the form of
01:50:36
stress uncertainty dealing with quirky
01:50:39
people bureaucracy other people's
01:50:41
conflicting incentives hassle nonsense
01:50:43
long hours and constant doubt that's the
01:50:45
overhead cost of getting ahead what's
01:50:47
interesting is I never tied those two
01:50:48
chapters together but you're right
01:50:49
they're they're almost the exact same
01:50:51
idea that for the the whole economy for
01:50:53
the whole world when the biggest
01:50:54
improvements in society takes place is
01:50:56
when there's some sort of disaster like
01:50:58
for all of its obvious downside and
01:51:01
death and destruction nothing has been
01:51:03
more technologically Progressive for the
01:51:05
world than World War II the number of
01:51:07
inventions that came out of World War II
01:51:09
from atomic energy to Jets and like go
01:51:12
on down the list penicillin all of these
01:51:14
lists for things that you and I are
01:51:16
taking advantage of today happened not
01:51:18
in spite of but because of World War II
01:51:20
because there was this period where
01:51:21
everyone in the world came together and
01:51:23
they're like holy [ __ ] we got a big
01:51:24
problem to figure out let's put our
01:51:26
heads together and figure this out right
01:51:27
now but that's also on a personal level
01:51:29
on a personal level it happens as well
01:51:30
too like there there's there's there's a
01:51:32
book written many years ago called the
01:51:34
upside of down that's I thought that
01:51:36
just a brilliant title like the like the
01:51:37
upside of being down and it happens a
01:51:40
lot that when you have maybe it's a job
01:51:41
layoff or a breakup or a medical
01:51:43
emergency whatever it can be that it
01:51:45
changes you for the good and it's hard
01:51:48
it's always impossible to see that
01:51:49
silver lining in the moment you don't
01:51:51
ever imagine there's going be a silver
01:51:53
lining in that moment but when you look
01:51:55
back in hindsight it will be I saw this
01:51:57
recent example of this that really
01:51:58
knocked me on my ass it was Steven coar
01:52:01
who I might be getting these details
01:52:02
wrong but I think when he was uh a young
01:52:05
child his father and brother died
01:52:08
tragically and he said at one point that
01:52:12
uh I don't want to put words in his
01:52:13
mouth but he said something along the
01:52:14
lines of like he is grateful for that
01:52:17
and he was asked like what do you mean
01:52:18
you're grateful for that and he said
01:52:19
look of course I wish it never happened
01:52:22
but it allowed him to understand the
01:52:26
emotions of other people and get closer
01:52:27
to other people who had also experience
01:52:29
something like that and so even in like
01:52:31
the deepest darkest moment of his life
01:52:34
that he says he of course he wishes it
01:52:35
didn't happen it taught him something
01:52:36
about Humanity that he's Greatful for
01:52:38
today that's an extreme example but I
01:52:41
think for a lot of people being laid off
01:52:43
from a job in the moment is going to be
01:52:45
the hardest thing they've ever dealt
01:52:46
with and in hindsight it's going to be
01:52:48
one of the best things that ever
01:52:49
happened to their career a breakup might
01:52:51
be the hardest thing you've ever been
01:52:52
through and in hindsight it might be the
01:52:54
best thing that's ever happened to you
01:52:56
so I that's always like that's when the
01:52:58
magic happens is when things get really
01:52:59
tough It's just always impossible to see
01:53:01
that when you're going through it a lot
01:53:03
of people would have clicked on to this
01:53:04
conversation and if they've gotten to
01:53:05
the end of the conversation well done to
01:53:07
them what conclusion can we offer them
01:53:10
based on everything we've talked about
01:53:11
as it specifically relates to wealth
01:53:14
creation and money first I think for
01:53:16
both of these books we're almost ending
01:53:18
exactly where we started which is like I
01:53:20
hope they get you to think about your
01:53:22
life in different way both of these
01:53:24
books and the Publishers hated this
01:53:26
there's no advice in the books never do
01:53:28
I say and therefore you should do this
01:53:31
and the publisher wants you to do that
01:53:32
and I said no no no because I don't know
01:53:34
you I don't know the person reading this
01:53:35
book who am I to say what you should do
01:53:37
with your own life I don't even know to
01:53:38
do with my own life but I hope it gets
01:53:40
you thinking about what you want and who
01:53:43
you are and what you are capable of what
01:53:46
you're not capable of if it gets you
01:53:48
thinking about your life then I think
01:53:50
I've been successful doing this rather
01:53:52
other than trying to assume that I can
01:53:53
give you specific advice about what to
01:53:55
do Morgan we have a closing tradition on
01:53:58
this podcast where the last guest leaves
01:53:59
a question for the next guest not
01:54:00
knowing who they're going to be leaving
01:54:01
it for and the question that's been left
01:54:03
for you
01:54:05
is what is your biggest regret in life
01:54:08
and how has that experience changed
01:54:12
you I think I've uh always been prone to
01:54:17
mild depression not not significant but
01:54:20
mild depression and anxiety and I wish I
01:54:23
could go back to different periods of my
01:54:25
life in a time machine and just say it's
01:54:28
going to be okay it's not going to be
01:54:30
easy it's not going to be perfect but
01:54:32
it's gonna it's it's going to be fine
01:54:34
and I I I look back not with regret but
01:54:38
how much time have I wasted worrying
01:54:39
about things that never happened and
01:54:42
were almost certainly never going to
01:54:43
happen a tremendous amount and even if I
01:54:47
recognize that today I know I'm going to
01:54:49
worry about something tonight and
01:54:51
tomorrow and next week about something I
01:54:52
really shouldn't be worrying about I
01:54:54
don't know if I regret it because I
01:54:55
think having a sense of worry has kept
01:54:57
me safe A lot of times it's kept me out
01:54:59
of trouble in in a lot of things but I
01:55:01
do look back at the course of my life
01:55:03
and think man like I could have been
01:55:05
happier than I was if I had accepted a
01:55:09
certain level of just telling myself
01:55:10
it's going to be
01:55:12
okay well you're not going to have to
01:55:13
worry about your book because it's
01:55:15
superb thank you genuinely I I you know
01:55:18
hope my audience trust me um but I I
01:55:20
would really implore them to get both
01:55:22
books I mean the psychology of money I
01:55:23
think is the best book on money ever
01:55:24
written it's pretty much also the only
01:55:26
book I've ever read on money and then
01:55:28
same as ever is
01:55:30
just it's everything it's advice on
01:55:33
money life relationships everything that
01:55:35
matters because there are a set of
01:55:36
enduring principles that speak to the
01:55:39
fundamentals of life in a way that is
01:55:41
completely enduring you have a wonderful
01:55:42
ability to write enduring things and you
01:55:44
tell wonderful stories like you say I
01:55:46
actually didn't even notice that you
01:55:47
didn't give me advice when you said that
01:55:48
You' not given me advice any and I never
01:55:50
will to anybody bullshitting but you
01:55:51
know think about it you didn't I I
01:55:53
garnered my advice from the stories you
01:55:55
told and the evidence you provided
01:55:57
Morgan thank you so much I'm so glad we'
01:55:58
managed to have this conversation and
01:55:59
it's been a huge honor and pleasure um
01:56:02
to meet you thank you as well because I
01:56:04
can't imagine how many millions of
01:56:05
pounds you've Saved Me by writing this
01:56:06
book genuinely it's such an honor to do
01:56:09
this with you Stephen this been a lot of
01:56:10
fun thank
01:56:13
you as you'll know this podcast is
01:56:15
sponsored by hu and we're going into
01:56:17
that last quarter of the year it's
01:56:18
getting a little bit colder back into
01:56:20
our routines back into our work rhythms
01:56:22
and it's in those moments that I need to
01:56:25
focus most on my diet as I get back into
01:56:27
the swing of work I need to get back
01:56:28
into a routine as it relates to my diet
01:56:30
and that's really where hu's RTD they're
01:56:32
ready to drink range comes in handy in a
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bottle you have a nutritionally complete
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meal that you can consume in a minute so
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this is a real Lifesaver in terms of my
01:56:40
health it is my Ally and my friend and
01:56:44
my companion on my busiest days and it
01:56:46
means that even when I'm pursuing all of
01:56:47
my professional goals my health goals
01:56:49
can be pursued at the same time there's
01:56:51
a link in the description below if
01:56:52
you've never tried heels rtds this is
01:56:54
the time if you're falling off of the
01:56:55
wagon this is the sign you needed to get
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back on there's a link below in the
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description order yourself a pack stay
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healthy throughout this busy period do
01:57:03
you need a podcast to listen to next
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we've discovered that people who liked
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this episode also tend to absolutely
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so I've linked that episode in the
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description below I know you'll enjoy it
01:57:19
[Music]
01:57:22
a

Podspun Insights

In this enlightening episode, the conversation dives deep into the intricacies of wealth, money psychology, and the emotional rollercoaster that accompanies financial decisions. The guest, Morgan Housel, author of "The Psychology of Money," shares captivating stories and insights that challenge conventional wisdom about wealth accumulation and spending. They explore the dichotomy between those who struggle to start making money and those who can't stop chasing it, emphasizing the importance of understanding one's relationship with money.

Listeners are introduced to fascinating real-life examples, like Ronald Reed, a janitor who amassed an $8 million fortune through simple, disciplined investing. Housel discusses the critical difference between being rich and being wealthy, urging individuals to reflect on their definitions of success and happiness. The episode also touches on the psychological aspects of money, including how expectations can shape our satisfaction and the often-overlooked benefits of frugality.

As the discussion unfolds, it becomes clear that the journey to financial independence is not just about numbers; it's about mindset, endurance, and the ability to weather life's unpredictable storms. Housel's anecdotes serve as a reminder that true wealth lies in the freedom and autonomy that comes from financial security, rather than the fleeting pleasures of material possessions.

This episode is a treasure trove of wisdom for anyone looking to reshape their financial future, offering practical advice wrapped in compelling storytelling that resonates on both emotional and intellectual levels.

Badges

This episode stands out for the following:

  • 95
    Most quotable
  • 95
    Best concept / idea
  • 95
    Most timeless
  • 92
    Best overall

Episode Highlights

  • Defining Wealth vs. Rich
    Understanding the difference between being rich and being wealthy is crucial for independence.
    “Wealth is money that you did not spend; it gives you independence and autonomy.”
    @ 05m 58s
    November 06, 2023
  • The Importance of Autonomy
    Having control over your life and finances is key to happiness and health.
    “Not having control in your life makes your body shut down.”
    @ 11m 21s
    November 06, 2023
  • The Importance of Saving
    Saving money is the key to achieving independence and happiness in life.
    “Save money because you can’t put it any clearer or starker.”
    @ 33m 30s
    November 06, 2023
  • A Life-Changing Decision
    A seemingly small choice saved a life during a tragic avalanche incident.
    “The most important decision I’ve ever made in my life.”
    @ 39m 57s
    November 06, 2023
  • Embracing Uncertainty
    Understanding that the biggest risks often come from the unexpected.
    “The biggest news story is something that nobody’s talking about today.”
    @ 42m 37s
    November 06, 2023
  • The Importance of Spending Money
    Many struggle to spend money after saving for years, missing out on enjoying life.
    “They don’t know how to spend money.”
    @ 55m 11s
    November 06, 2023
  • The Importance of Endurance
    Endurance and patience are crucial for financial success, making up 99% of what you need as an investor.
    @ 01h 04m 40s
    November 06, 2023
  • The Gravity of Success
    Success can lead to complacency; the biggest source of gravity is laziness.
    @ 01h 15m 36s
    November 06, 2023
  • The Pressure of Success
    Successful individuals often find themselves tortured by the problems they aim to solve.
    “The pressure is a drug.”
    @ 01h 23m 21s
    November 06, 2023
  • The Cost of Success
    Success comes with its own set of challenges and sacrifices that must be acknowledged.
    “The cost of admission to being wealthy is enduring volatility.”
    @ 01h 33m 20s
    November 06, 2023
  • The Nature of News
    Good news compounds slowly while bad news hits fast, skewing perceptions.
    “Most good news happens slowly, and most bad news happens very fast.”
    @ 01h 46m 12s
    November 06, 2023
  • The Power of Perspective
    Looking back, we often realize that our hardest experiences taught us valuable lessons.
    “Even in the deepest darkest moment, it taught him something about humanity.”
    @ 01h 52m 36s
    November 06, 2023

Episode Quotes

Key Moments

  • Wealth vs. Rich05:58
  • Autonomy and Happiness10:10
  • Unforeseen Risks42:37
  • Opportunities for All1:04:46
  • Investing Evolution1:04:57
  • Career Advice1:07:00
  • Complacency Threat1:14:46
  • Worry and Regret1:54:38

Words per Minute Over Time

Vibes Breakdown