E85: SBF's crypto bailout, Zendesk sells for ~$10B, buyout targets, US diplomacy, AlphaFold & more
- Jun 30, 2022
- 1:35:26
- Full Episode
0:00 Bestie intros 4:09 Assessing SBF bailing out major crypto players & the state of the market 18:24 Classifying crypto assets, high-yield crypto lending 34:17 Zendesk sells for $10B, accounting for stock-based comp, evergreen standard in tech 1:01:24 Buyout targets, public market "regime change" 1:08:21 Russia/Ukraine impact on markets, could US diplomacy have prevented the war? 1:28:35 Science Corner: Friedberg breaks down the newest breakthrough AlphaFold application
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Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show: https://www.wsj.com/articles/crypto-fund-three-arrows-ordered-to-liquidate-by-court-11656506404 https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/22/sam-bankman-fried-rescues-crypto-lenders-blockfi-voyager.html https://www.coindesk.com/business/2022/06/25/morgan-creek-is-trying-to-counter-ftxs-blockfi-bailout-leaked-call-shows/ https://twitter.com/ForbesCrypto/status/1541893168152690690 https://californiahealthline.org/news/article/tech-titans-want-the-richest-californians-to-pay-for-pandemic-preparedness/ https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1540732780501381121 https://www.marketwatch.com/story/gensler-labels-bitcoin-a-commodity-as-crypto-prices-stabilize-11656340239 https://www.coinbase.com/price/bitcoin https://www.coinbase.com/price/ethereum https://www.blockchaincenter.net/en/altcoin-season-index/ https://techcrunch.com/2022/06/24/zendesk-drama-concludes-with-10-2-billion-private-equity-acquisition/ https://techcrunch.com/2022/02/11/zendesk-spurns-17b-private-equity-takeover-offer/ https://investor.zendesk.com/ir-home/press-releases/press-releases-details/2022/Zendesk-Announces-Fourth-Quarter-and-Fiscal-Year-2021-Results/default.aspx https://investor.zendesk.com/ir-home/press-releases/press-releases-details/2022/Zendesk-Announces-First-Quarter-2022-Results/default.aspx https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-62422 https://techcrunch.com/2022/02/25/zendesk-terminates-4-1b-surveymonkey-acquisition-after-its-own-investors-reject-deal/ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CRM:NYSE https://www.google.com/finance/quote/WDAY:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NOW:NYSE https://www.issgovernance.com/library/resurgence-of-evergreen-features-in-ipo-equity-plans-restrict-investor-say/ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-25/jana-partners-pulls-zendesk-proxy-fight-after-9-5-billion-deal https://cdn.manscaped.io/assets/investor-relations/manscaped-investor-presentation-slides-2022.pdf https://investor.onepeloton.com/node/9271/html https://investors.buzzfeed.com/node/7426/html https://kalshi.com/events/CPI-22JUN/markets/CPI-22JUN-T0.9 https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/06/17/long-war-ukraine/ https://twitter.com/missy_ryan/status/1537944064703619074 https://www.reuters.com/world/kremlin-says-nato-expansion-ukraine-crosses-red-line-putin-2021-09-27/ https://www.reuters.com/markets/stocks/putin-warns-russia-will-act-if-nato-crosses-its-red-lines-ukraine-2021-11-30/ https://theconversation.com/ukraine-war-follows-decades-of-warnings-that-nato-expansion-into-eastern-europe-could-provoke-russia-177999 https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/16/world/europe/biden-putin-geneva-meeting.html https://abcnews.go.com/amp/US/wireStory/us-officials-land-solomons-discuss-china-pact-concerns-84238211 https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2021/09/01/politics/ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-biden-white-house/index.html https://www.state.gov/u-s-ukraine-charter-on-strategic-partnership/ https://apnews.com/article/moscow-russia-europe-ukraine-belarus-6d9818ff922a2650de107734a7c3faf5 https://news.yahoo.com/blinken-says-no-change-nato-193615967.html https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3182517/does-chinas-demotion-its-deputy-foreign-minister-signal https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abm9326
All-In E79 on RvW leaked draft: https://youtu.be/qH696z3ml1Q
Brief Summary
Crypto market turmoil, tax initiatives by Sam Bankman-Fried, and a breakthrough in nuclear biology with AlphaFold are discussed.
Key points
- Crypto Collapse and Systemic Risks. The discussion dives into the liquidation of Three Arrows Capital and the systemic risks in the crypto market.
- Sam Bankman-Fried's Tax Initiative. The panel critiques Sam Bankman-Fried's proposal to raise taxes in California while living in the Bahamas.
- The Need for Regulation. Bitcoin may need to be regulated like a security due to its market size and potential fallout.
- The Future of Bitcoin. Could Bitcoin evolve into a non-fiat currency, or is it just speculative hype?
- Zendesk's Acquisition and Market Signals. Zendesk's acquisition signals a potential bottom in the market, raising questions about growth sustainability.
- The Dilemma of Stock-Based Compensation. Stock-based compensation is diluting shareholder value while companies generate cash.
Episode highlights
- Crypto Collapse and Systemic RisksThe discussion dives into the liquidation of Three Arrows Capital and the systemic risks in the crypto market.“Is this the end of crypto?”5:39Jun 30, 2022
- Sam Bankman-Fried's Tax InitiativeThe panel critiques Sam Bankman-Fried's proposal to raise taxes in California while living in the Bahamas.“What is a guy in the Bahamas doing funding ballot initiatives in California?”14:15Jun 30, 2022
- The Need for RegulationBitcoin may need to be regulated like a security due to its market size and potential fallout.“You kind of need to have some rails.”22:20Jun 30, 2022
- The Future of BitcoinCould Bitcoin evolve into a non-fiat currency, or is it just speculative hype?“In the very long term, could Bitcoin be a non-fiat currency?”28:26Jun 30, 2022
- Zendesk's Acquisition and Market SignalsZendesk's acquisition signals a potential bottom in the market, raising questions about growth sustainability.“Is this the bouncing along the bottom moment?”40:20Jun 30, 2022
- The Dilemma of Stock-Based CompensationStock-based compensation is diluting shareholder value while companies generate cash.“It's a real cost to shareholders for sure.”47:33Jun 30, 2022
- Private Equity's Impact on GrowthPrivate equity firms are expected to restructure companies for profitability, reducing growth rates.“They could probably generate three, four, five hundred million of free cash flow.”54:06Jun 30, 2022
- Regime Change in MarketsInvestors are shifting focus from growth to margins and cash flow.“It's not about growth at all costs anymore.”1:02:21Jun 30, 2022





