E165: Vision Pro: use or lose? Meta vs Snap, SaaS recovery, AI investing, rolling real estate crisis
- Feb 9, 2024
- 1:28:21
- Full Episode
(0:00) Bestie intros! (2:08) Apple Vision Pro breakdown (20:46) Meta vs Snap: god-king CEO, dependent on ad revenue, drastically different performance (32:53) Positive signals indicating a big SaaS bounceback (41:06) VCs are split into three camps on how to approach AI investing (1:12:16) Rolling real estate crisis continues
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Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1755273518416302522 https://www.macrumors.com/2024/01/29/apple-vision-pro-headset-sales https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1755386651080106166 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ https://investor.fb.com/investor-news/press-release-details/2024/Meta-Reports-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Year-2023-Results-Initiates-Quarterly-Dividend/default.aspx https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/META/meta-platforms/net-income https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SNAP:NYSE https://corpgov.law.harvard.edu/2017/05/26/snap-and-the-rise-of-no-vote-common-shares https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/07/disney-q1-earnings-nelson-peltz-isnt-abandoning-proxy-fight.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/05/snap-to-lay-off-10percent-of-global-workforce-around-500-employees.html https://d18rn0p25nwr6d.cloudfront.net/CIK-0001326801/c7318154-f6ae-4866-89fa-f0c589f2ee3d.pdf https://s25.q4cdn.com/442043304/files/doc_financials/2023/q4/SNAP-2023-Annual-Report.pdf https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1754641005851328553 https://help.openai.com/en/articles/8554397-creating-a-gpt https://twitter.com/ArtificialAnlys/status/1747264832439734353 https://blog.research.google/2009/06/speed-matters.html https://techcrunch.com/2010/05/18/facebook-launches-0-facebook-com-a-mobile-site-that-incurs-zero-data-fees https://artificialanalysis.ai https://chamath.substack.com/p/deep-dive-artificial-intelligence https://twitter.com/danshipper/status/1751005727215301053 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7waMPlHugYI https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-31/new-york-community-bancorp-slumps-on-surprise-loss-dividend-cut https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Datawatch/Housing-glut-leaves-China-with-excess-homes-for-150m-people
Brief Summary
David Freeberg discusses the Apple Vision Pro's productivity potential, while Sachs highlights challenges in commercial real estate and technology's social impact.
Key points
- Apple Vision Pro Insights. Discussion on the potential of Apple Vision Pro and its impact on productivity.
- Predictions on Apple Vision Pro. Predictions about the future sales and impact of Apple Vision Pro.
- The Future of Personal Devices. Exploring the unique characteristics of a new personal computing device.
- Meta's Impressive Turnaround. Meta's ability to adapt and thrive despite challenges is remarkable.
- Psychological Triage Mode. In a tense environment, procurement teams are cutting costs to protect their jobs.
- The Rise of Open Source. Open source models threaten to diminish the economic value of proprietary models.
Episode highlights
- Apple Vision Pro InsightsDiscussion on the potential of Apple Vision Pro and its impact on productivity.“I don't know what it is today, but I can tell there's something there.”3:01Feb 9, 2024
- Predictions on Apple Vision ProPredictions about the future sales and impact of Apple Vision Pro.“This is going to be a $100 billion sales under five years.”16:48Feb 9, 2024
- The Future of Personal DevicesExploring the unique characteristics of a new personal computing device.“It's a very personal device.”18:16Feb 9, 2024
- Meta's Impressive TurnaroundMeta's ability to adapt and thrive despite challenges is remarkable.“It's just mind-blowing!”32:43Feb 9, 2024
- Psychological Triage ModeIn a tense environment, procurement teams are cutting costs to protect their jobs.“We cannot spend money; I don't want to lose my job.”37:39Feb 9, 2024
- The Rise of Open SourceOpen source models threaten to diminish the economic value of proprietary models.“Open source models will basically crush the value of models to zero economically.”45:25Feb 9, 2024
- Importance of Speed in AISpeed and responsiveness are critical for AI applications to succeed in the market.“Speed matters because without it, the best model in the world is useless.”53:40Feb 9, 2024
- OpenAI's Business Model BreakdownOpenAI operates three distinct businesses: consumer apps, enterprise services, and a closed model.“OpenAI has a closed model that's trained on the open internet.”56:55Feb 9, 2024





