E133: Market melt-up, IPO update, AI startups overheat, Reddit revolts & more with Brad Gerstner
- Jun 16, 2023
- 1:58:07
- Full Episode
Please take our audience survey!: https://allinpodcast.co/survey
(0:00) Bestie intros: Chamath flies public + Poker recap (8:12) FED pauses hikes momentarily, IPO window status, state of the market (25:10) Film, cold plunge, and sauna talk (33:25) AI's impact on tech and growth stocks surging, Google's position, AI's "$20T question" (50:27) Jay Trading beating the market, how Brad formulates and sizes public bets, how GPs should handle distributions, CalPERS mistakes (1:04:22) Reddit moderators in revolt and how this issue might reshape the future of social apps (1:15:11) Funding landscape for AI startups is overheating: Mistral's $100M+ Seed round, importance of constraints, and more (1:44:17) Science corner: Understanding the Bill Gates-funded mosquito project in Colombia
Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg https://twitter.com/altcap
Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/06/14/fed-rate-decision-june-2023.html https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/intel-talks-be-anchor-investor-arm-ipo-source-2023-06-13 https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/softbanks-arm-registers-blockbuster-us-ipo-sources-2023-04-29 https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-to-acquire-arm-for-40-billion-creating-worlds-premier-computing-company-for-the-age-of-ai https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-06-13/databricks-hits-1-billion-in-annual-sales-while-adding-data-warehouse-tool https://www.gamesindustry.biz/nvidias-acquisition-of-arm-cancelled-due-to-significant-regulatory-challenges https://bard.google.com https://coda.io/@presh-dineshkumar/jay-trading https://www.ft.com/content/86b49e10-3dd2-4427-b70b-993bad47b061 https://www.cnbc.com/2023/06/14/calpers-to-increase-venture-capital-investments-despite-tech-turmoil.html https://www.theverge.com/2023/6/12/23755974/reddit-subreddits-going-dark-private-protest-api-changes https://reddark.untone.uk https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/18/technology/reddit-ai-openai-google.html https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-20554441 https://digiday.com/media/twitters-third-party-app-problem https://www.wired.com/2015/07/reddit-ceo-ellen-pao-steps-down-huffman-replacement https://www.platformer.news/p/meta-is-building-a-decentralized https://www.ft.com/content/cf939ea4-d96c-4908-896a-48a74381f251 https://twitter.com/natfriedman/status/1668650915505803266 https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/1523379957/oculus-rift-step-into-the-game https://openai.com/blog/function-calling-and-other-api-updates https://twitter.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1667616444996104196 https://www.womenshealthnetwork.com/hormonal-imbalance/sunscreen-ingredients-that-mess-with-your-hormones
Brief Summary
The episode discusses poker tournaments, Fed decisions, AI investments, and misinformation on genetic engineering.
Key points
- Mental Strain of Poker. The intense focus during long hours of play led to unexpected weight loss.
- SoftBank's IPO Aspirations. SoftBank is seeking to raise billions with its IPO plans amid market challenges.
- The AI Debate. Is the current AI rally sustainable, or is it just hype?
- The Race to Intimacy. The new UI must focus on building intimate, conversational relationships with users.
- Google's Search Model Shift. Google's traditional search model is under threat as intelligent agents rise.
- Calpers' Shift to Venture Capital. Calpers is increasing its venture capital allocation from 1% to 6%, a significant change.
Episode highlights
- Mental Strain of PokerThe intense focus during long hours of play led to unexpected weight loss.“I ended up losing like two and a half pounds”3:31Jun 16, 2023
- SoftBank's IPO AspirationsSoftBank is seeking to raise billions with its IPO plans amid market challenges.“arm is aiming for evaluation of 70 billion”11:29Jun 16, 2023
- The AI DebateIs the current AI rally sustainable, or is it just hype?“The AI rally—overheated and fake?”22:33Jun 16, 2023
- The Race to IntimacyThe new UI must focus on building intimate, conversational relationships with users.“You have to build a conversational UI.”36:25Jun 16, 2023
- Google's Search Model ShiftGoogle's traditional search model is under threat as intelligent agents rise.“There's not going to be 10 Blue Links anymore.”43:00Jun 16, 2023
- Calpers' Shift to Venture CapitalCalpers is increasing its venture capital allocation from 1% to 6%, a significant change.“This is the moment; there's a lot of venture firms that are hard up for money.”57:58Jun 16, 2023
- Reddit's API ControversyReddit's decision to charge for its API has led to a strike by its moderators.“95% of Reddit went dark; they turned off new posts or went private.”1:04:27Jun 16, 2023
- The Future of Content MonetizationDiscussion on how platforms like Reddit can allow mods to monetize their activities.“Why not allow people to subscribe to subreddits and pay a membership fee?”1:14:02Jun 16, 2023





